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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7446

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
May 04 2017 01:23 GMT
#148901
On May 04 2017 10:16 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 10:05 biology]major wrote:
Why does this carter page guy keep making public appearances.. he's so bad at defending himself. Everything he says sounds like a lie just because of how he says it and his own inconsistencies. He should go hide for a while and talk to the Feds when necessary.

He's getting absolutely killed by anderson right now

dunno; I'm guessing he does it because he likes being on tv and/or gets paid to appear or something?


That's a very reasonable explanation, but does he not realize how he appears or comes off? Maybe he just wants the money
Question.?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 04 2017 01:56 GMT
#148902


Slam it out the door and then blame the senate.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 04 2017 02:15 GMT
#148903
On May 04 2017 10:23 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 10:16 zlefin wrote:
On May 04 2017 10:05 biology]major wrote:
Why does this carter page guy keep making public appearances.. he's so bad at defending himself. Everything he says sounds like a lie just because of how he says it and his own inconsistencies. He should go hide for a while and talk to the Feds when necessary.

He's getting absolutely killed by anderson right now

dunno; I'm guessing he does it because he likes being on tv and/or gets paid to appear or something?


That's a very reasonable explanation, but does he not realize how he appears or comes off? Maybe he just wants the money

So long as he doesn't end up in jail, not a lot can really go wrong. But the whole jail thing would suck.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
May 04 2017 02:34 GMT
#148904
On May 04 2017 10:23 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 10:16 zlefin wrote:
On May 04 2017 10:05 biology]major wrote:
Why does this carter page guy keep making public appearances.. he's so bad at defending himself. Everything he says sounds like a lie just because of how he says it and his own inconsistencies. He should go hide for a while and talk to the Feds when necessary.

He's getting absolutely killed by anderson right now

dunno; I'm guessing he does it because he likes being on tv and/or gets paid to appear or something?


That's a very reasonable explanation, but does he not realize how he appears or comes off? Maybe he just wants the money

well, a lot of people do things for the money (or for fame). I mean, look at the current press secretary.
in the world of politics and entertainment in particular, there's a lot of people who have it as their job to say stuff, no matter how dumb it makes them look.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 04 2017 03:15 GMT
#148905
I think there's a 50 percent chance the vote is canceled tomorrow.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 04 2017 03:20 GMT
#148906
They will do it. They are doing it this fast to avoid protests. I look forward to tax cuts for millionaires and c-sections being a PEC.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
May 04 2017 03:33 GMT
#148907
I wonder what the odds are that they bring it to vote and don't have the votes on the floor.

I'm pretty sure the rush is so the CBO can't score it rather than an urge to avoid protests.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 04 2017 03:46 GMT
#148908
I can't really tell why the GOP does anything any more. Expect to say "We did it like big kids. We got rid of the black mans healthcare system."
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3304 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-04 03:59:07
May 04 2017 03:58 GMT
#148909
Jesus Christ, they're gonna pass it. Who knows what happens in the Senate, but if they're scheduling a vote they probably have the numbers in the House at least.

There's a small part of me that hopes they pass it and own every shitty outcome of it, so they can get killed in 2018. I didn't have that spiteful impulse before Trump, but hey, he brings out the worst in people. But I know people, including my girlfriend, who will get hit hard if that PEC stuff comes back.

This is fucked.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
May 04 2017 04:35 GMT
#148910
On May 04 2017 12:58 ChristianS wrote:
Jesus Christ, they're gonna pass it. Who knows what happens in the Senate, but if they're scheduling a vote they probably have the numbers in the House at least.

There's a small part of me that hopes they pass it and own every shitty outcome of it, so they can get killed in 2018. I didn't have that spiteful impulse before Trump, but hey, he brings out the worst in people. But I know people, including my girlfriend, who will get hit hard if that PEC stuff comes back.

This is fucked.

You probably don't have to worry about the PEC stuff reverting to pre-ACA conditions. I'm reasonably certain that any bill doing that is dead on arrival in the Senate. The problem, of course, is that any bill including that is dead on arrival in the Senate. As Plansix already mentioned, once they pass something and send it to the Senate, they can blame the Senate when it fails. They can also claim to constituents that they upheld their promise to repeal the ACA. It's a pretty good exit from the healthcare quagmire for House Republicans.

Probably their ideal scenario is they pass this repeal bill to the Senate, the Senate kills it ASAP, and the details don't get publicity. This lets all the Republicans go back to business as usual while claiming to have upheld their campaign promises, and if you're not happy with the outcome, vote for other like-minded Republicans in House and Senate elections.


The further details of why I hold that position are a little ranty, so they're spoilered to avoid offending people's sensibilities.
+ Show Spoiler +
Maybe I'm a little bit too cynical, but then, these are the politicians who largely fell in line behind Trump during the general election. I look at that as a calculated move for the sake of filling Scalia's seat on the Supreme Court and maybe getting a little bit of their policy agenda enacted with complete disregard for the broader consequences of a Trump presidency.

The reason that I can believe that is because Republican policy as a whole in so many areas seems to put short term gain over long term benefits. This is clearest in their environmental policies and economic plans. Thus, I'm not surprised to see that tendency to pursue immediate pay-off seeping into the party's collective decision making process.

Thus, this political play with health care. In the short term, it might help individuals in the 2018 elections who want high turnout of their most enthusiastic supporters. However, it's likely to hurt both individuals involved and the party as a whole by 2020, and may hurt the party as soon as 2018, because it's contributing to a broader picture of Republicans as a group being incapable of actually getting the work of government done.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
May 04 2017 06:46 GMT
#148911
On May 04 2017 13:35 Kyadytim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 12:58 ChristianS wrote:
Jesus Christ, they're gonna pass it. Who knows what happens in the Senate, but if they're scheduling a vote they probably have the numbers in the House at least.

There's a small part of me that hopes they pass it and own every shitty outcome of it, so they can get killed in 2018. I didn't have that spiteful impulse before Trump, but hey, he brings out the worst in people. But I know people, including my girlfriend, who will get hit hard if that PEC stuff comes back.

This is fucked.

You probably don't have to worry about the PEC stuff reverting to pre-ACA conditions. I'm reasonably certain that any bill doing that is dead on arrival in the Senate. The problem, of course, is that any bill including that is dead on arrival in the Senate. As Plansix already mentioned, once they pass something and send it to the Senate, they can blame the Senate when it fails. They can also claim to constituents that they upheld their promise to repeal the ACA. It's a pretty good exit from the healthcare quagmire for House Republicans.

Probably their ideal scenario is they pass this repeal bill to the Senate, the Senate kills it ASAP, and the details don't get publicity. This lets all the Republicans go back to business as usual while claiming to have upheld their campaign promises, and if you're not happy with the outcome, vote for other like-minded Republicans in House and Senate elections.


The further details of why I hold that position are a little ranty, so they're spoilered to avoid offending people's sensibilities.
+ Show Spoiler +
Maybe I'm a little bit too cynical, but then, these are the politicians who largely fell in line behind Trump during the general election. I look at that as a calculated move for the sake of filling Scalia's seat on the Supreme Court and maybe getting a little bit of their policy agenda enacted with complete disregard for the broader consequences of a Trump presidency.

The reason that I can believe that is because Republican policy as a whole in so many areas seems to put short term gain over long term benefits. This is clearest in their environmental policies and economic plans. Thus, I'm not surprised to see that tendency to pursue immediate pay-off seeping into the party's collective decision making process.

Thus, this political play with health care. In the short term, it might help individuals in the 2018 elections who want high turnout of their most enthusiastic supporters. However, it's likely to hurt both individuals involved and the party as a whole by 2020, and may hurt the party as soon as 2018, because it's contributing to a broader picture of Republicans as a group being incapable of actually getting the work of government done.

It's also in their long-term interest to deliver on campaign promises at least six years in the making. We're talking hundreds of seats where that agenda item topped every speech and debate. The Republicans stuck Obamacare's failure over Democrat's heads, and half of those Senators that supported it were gone five years later, 16 of whom lost/retired to be replaced by Republicans. This is the pure long-term move if we're talking broad strokes.

They could still fail with a second bad AHCA that repeals little and replaces poorly, and I'm talking within their own party and grassroots. Given how the first attempt went, fourteen days to vote and heavy-handed pushing, things are looking bad for starters. And if they get a good plan from the Republican perspective on the majors, expecting the filibuster regardless of compromises because #Resist, Trump's on TV 24/7 pounding how Democrats want to save a dead and dying program.

I'd be happy if there was some turnover in Trump's advising staff if this sucker goes down in flames from RINOs or Trump's drafting influence.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
May 04 2017 06:55 GMT
#148912
One factor that might be adding fuel to the campus speech wars: Colleges are more politically polarized today than they have been in more than four decades.

That is the implication of the 2016 Freshman Survey, produced by the University of California at Los Angeles’ Higher Education Research Institute and released Monday. For decades, the survey has asked first-time, full-time freshmen how they describe their political views: far left, liberal, middle of the road, conservative or far right. Last fall, the lowest share on record, 42.3 percent, identified as middle of the road.

Additionally, the highest share on record identified as far left, though it’s still a small figure (4.2 percent).

The shrinking of the middle is largely due to a recent rise in the share of women (who also represent a majority of college students) who identify as either liberal or far left. The share of female respondents, but not male respondents, who describe their political views this way was at an all-time high (41.1 percent for women, 28.9 percent for men). Left-wing views peaked for men way back in 1971, at 43.6 percent.

WaPo

The Senate on Tuesday approved President Donald Trump’s choice to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission, elevating a Wall Street lawyer who hopes to turn around the decline in the number of public companies over the past 20 years. Jay Clayton’s agenda could be aided by an unusual alignment of political forces that escaped the SEC’s most recent leaders. He will enter office without a checklist of regulations mandated by Congress, which passed sweeping legislation in 2010 that pinned down the SEC with an abundance of directives both audacious and picayune.

WSJ (Paywalled)

President Donald Trump has invited conservative leaders to the White House on Thursday for what they expect will be the ceremonial signing of a long-awaited—and highly controversial—executive order on religious liberty, according to multiple people familiar with the situation.

Two senior administration officials confirmed the plan, though one cautioned that it hasn’t yet been finalized, and noted that lawyers are currently reviewing and fine-tuning the draft language. Thursday is the National Day of Prayer, and the White House was already planning to celebrate the occasion with faith leaders.

The signing would represent a major triumph for Vice President Mike Pence—whose push for religious-freedom legislation backfired mightily when he served as governor of Indiana—and his allies in the conservative movement.

The original draft order, which would have established broad exemptions for people and groups to claim religious objections under virtually any circumstance, was leaked to The Nation on Feb. 1—the handiwork, many conservatives believed, of Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, who have sought to project themselves as friendly to the LGBT community. Liberals blasted the draft order as government-licensed discrimination, and the White House distanced itself from the leaked document in a public statement.

Pence and a small team of conservative allies quickly began working behind the scenes to revise the language, and in recent weeks have ratcheted up the pressure on Trump to sign it. The new draft is being tightly held, but one influential conservative who saw the text said it hasn’t been dialed back much—if at all—since the February leak. “The language is very, very strong,” the source said.

Politico
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 04 2017 10:59 GMT
#148913
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Trainrunnef
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States601 Posts
May 04 2017 13:37 GMT
#148914
On May 04 2017 19:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/yashar/status/859952865766518784



Seems like much ado about nothing. Why does the original context matter? because she is white? Seems a little ridiculous to me, not to mention counter productive.

This manufactured outrage only serves to
a) Ensure that when a real line is crossed it wont be taken seriously. The Trump team can point to a history of posts like this and blame media bias to get away with whatever they want.
b) Make money/publicity for whoever is breaking the latest Trump team faux pas
c) Tire out the real public outrage on silly issues like this. the MSM needs to learn a little moderation. When Trump was elected there were marches and protests. how much energy do you think people have to sustain over 4 years and how much of it goes wasted on small potatoes. people normalize to this if it happens to often. They stop caring and it becomes just another Trumpism that they have grown to accept because you can't sustain outrage forever, its exhausting.
I am, therefore I pee
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 04 2017 13:42 GMT
#148915
It's a book review and one guy on twitter pointed out a quote. The review doesn't focus on it. The only M MSM outrage in coming from inside the thread.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
May 04 2017 13:53 GMT
#148916
On May 04 2017 19:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/yashar/status/859952865766518784

The only offensive thing here is that she quoted Toni Morrison in the first place.
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-04 13:54:10
May 04 2017 13:53 GMT
#148917
On May 04 2017 22:37 Trainrunnef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 19:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/yashar/status/859952865766518784



Seems like much ado about nothing. Why does the original context matter? because she is white? Seems a little ridiculous to me, not to mention counter productive.

This manufactured outrage only serves to
a) Ensure that when a real line is crossed it wont be taken seriously. The Trump team can point to a history of posts like this and blame media bias to get away with whatever they want.
b) Make money/publicity for whoever is breaking the latest Trump team faux pas
c) Tire out the real public outrage on silly issues like this. the MSM needs to learn a little moderation. When Trump was elected there were marches and protests. how much energy do you think people have to sustain over 4 years and how much of it goes wasted on small potatoes. people normalize to this if it happens to often. They stop caring and it becomes just another Trumpism that they have grown to accept because you can't sustain outrage forever, its exhausting.

Nah man, even though the media focuses on stupid shit and tires people with outrage about nonsensical things, there are people working behind the scenes on the big issues. Don't worry, it'll be fine. You can safely spend all your time being outraged about whatever the media likes to present to you on a regular basis to be outraged about.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
May 04 2017 13:56 GMT
#148918
On May 04 2017 22:37 Trainrunnef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 19:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/yashar/status/859952865766518784



Seems like much ado about nothing. Why does the original context matter? because she is white? Seems a little ridiculous to me, not to mention counter productive.

This manufactured outrage only serves to
a) Ensure that when a real line is crossed it wont be taken seriously. The Trump team can point to a history of posts like this and blame media bias to get away with whatever they want.
b) Make money/publicity for whoever is breaking the latest Trump team faux pas
c) Tire out the real public outrage on silly issues like this. the MSM needs to learn a little moderation. When Trump was elected there were marches and protests. how much energy do you think people have to sustain over 4 years and how much of it goes wasted on small potatoes. people normalize to this if it happens to often. They stop caring and it becomes just another Trumpism that they have grown to accept because you can't sustain outrage forever, its exhausting.

They could choose to not stoop this low, a "spectacularly misapplied quote" and trying to say Ivanka is trivializing actual slavery by using it. Keep it down at 5, don't pump it up to 11. Especially on NPR haha.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43980 Posts
May 04 2017 14:03 GMT
#148919
On May 04 2017 08:03 biology]major wrote:
Btw what happens if our diplomats/leadership are kidnapped or assasinated when traveling abroad, especially to unstable countries? Would it be all out war --> nuclear catastrophe?

Almost certainly no nuclear strikes. The United States as a sole superpower has its hands tied by the doctrine of proportionality. A weak power can nuke a strong power, a strong power cannot nuke a weak power. There would be a power transition to the next in command in the civilian leadership and presumably a war if it was a government power that was behind the attack.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43980 Posts
May 04 2017 14:05 GMT
#148920
On May 04 2017 10:23 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2017 10:16 zlefin wrote:
On May 04 2017 10:05 biology]major wrote:
Why does this carter page guy keep making public appearances.. he's so bad at defending himself. Everything he says sounds like a lie just because of how he says it and his own inconsistencies. He should go hide for a while and talk to the Feds when necessary.

He's getting absolutely killed by anderson right now

dunno; I'm guessing he does it because he likes being on tv and/or gets paid to appear or something?


That's a very reasonable explanation, but does he not realize how he appears or comes off? Maybe he just wants the money

He's going to have to spend more than he gets paid when his lawyers have to comb through every word he has ever spoken in public and work out if he ever incriminated himself.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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