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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5768

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
MyLovelyLurker
Profile Joined April 2007
France756 Posts
October 26 2016 01:15 GMT
#115341
On October 26 2016 10:11 Buckyman wrote:
Nigeria => government that's overtly corrupt to the point of being nonfunctional
Russia => Nuclear armed power with an egotistical leader who's intent on expanding its influence in the middle east

Although both Trump and Clinton's respect for open political discourse seems to be on par with Russia's, so I can see how you might be confused.


You seem to be an educated and articulate person with a strong taste for hyperbole. In Russia, business owners who don't pay bribes to random government officials get jailed from one day to the next ( google Yana Yakovleva), or who show political disagreement with the regime are jailed in Siberia on murder charges ( google Mikhail Khodorkovsky ). The US is nowhere near that.
"I just say, it doesn't matter win or lose, I just love Starcraft 2, I love this game, I love this stage, just play like in practice" - TIME/Oliveira
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-26 01:15:48
October 26 2016 01:15 GMT
#115342
bucky -> why do you claim that clinton's disrespect for discourse is on par with russia's?
and of course those hyperbolic claims are excessive
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 26 2016 01:21 GMT
#115343
A Wisconsin city clerk said that she had heard "students lean more toward the democrats" and cited it as a reason not to open a campus early voting site, as some college groups had requested, according to an email surfaced by The Nation Tuesday.

Her admission reflects an elections administration culture where even low-level bureaucrats are on alert for any voting protocol that appears to make it easier for Democratic-leaning groups to vote, in a state that has passed a number of voting restrictions that have drawn scrutiny from federal courts.

In the email sent in August to an official at the Wisconsin Ethics Commission, Green Bay City Clerk Kris Teske said there were staffing, budgetary and ballot security issues that turned her off to the idea of putting an early voting site on the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay campus, as a state representative had proposed.

She added, however, "I was reading the statutes and read: No site may be designated that affords an advantage to any political party."

“UWGB is a polling location for students and residents on Election Day but I feel by asking for this to be the site for early voting is encouraging the students to vote more than benefiting the city as a whole," the email continued. "I have heard that that students lean more toward the democrats and he [the state representative] is a democrat."

Teske goes on to ask the ethics official to weigh in as to whether she has "an argument about it being more of a benefit to the democrats?”

The email was provided to The Nation via an open records request filed by One Wisconsin Institute, which successfully sued the state over its attempt to cut back early voting.

The request for the early voting site on the campus came from eight different student groups, including the college Republican and Libertarian organizations, and from state Rep. Eric Genrich (D), according to The Nation. The Nation report detailed the trouble some students had casting ballots during the primary, as off-campus polling places attracted long lines that some students said amounted to too long of a wait for their busy college schedules. The nearest early voting site for students is at the clerk's office, a 15-minute-drive from campus, and is only open during business hours, The Nation said.

While Teske argued there were budgetary issues in opening the early voting site -- which she said she had confirmed with the mayor's chief of staff and other City Hall officials --- The Nation pointed out that the city had a surplus that could have funded the $10,000 proposal Genrich had offered for a campus site open for 20 hours the week before the election.

Teske was appointed by Republican Mayor Jim Schmitt, who is an ally of Gov. Scott Walker (R), a voting restriction proponent, according to The Nation.

A federal judge struck down in July a 2014 Wisconsin law that had scaled back early voting. He left in place, however, the state's voter ID law, while ruling the state needed to do a better job of making sure voters who did not have the required ID would be able to get the free state ID available for voting. (He has since had to issue an additional order knocking the state for struggling to implement this process.)

Students were also among the targets of the Wisconsin voter ID law, according to voting rights advocates. The law only allows for student IDs to be used if they have a signature and expire within two years after their issuance date, even as the regular drivers' licenses that are accepted are good for 10 years. Only a few Wisconsin colleges issue IDs meeting those qualifications.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 26 2016 01:24 GMT
#115344
surely that rule about not advantaging a political party has some details provided for implementation that cover when it should and should not be applied. (unless someone screwed up and wrote a vague rule that isn't often looked at)
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Buckyman
Profile Joined May 2014
1364 Posts
October 26 2016 01:26 GMT
#115345
On October 26 2016 10:15 zlefin wrote:those hyperbolic claims are excessive


Admitted.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
October 26 2016 01:28 GMT
#115346
It would appear that Wisconsin would like to follow Kansas' lead and become another state where a supposed Republican paradise has turned into a nightmare.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
October 26 2016 01:36 GMT
#115347
On October 26 2016 10:28 farvacola wrote:
It would appear that Wisconsin would like to follow Kansas' lead and become another state where a supposed Republican paradise has turned into a nightmare.

Republican/Conservative "heroes" have a strange habit of being actually terrible.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9244 Posts
October 26 2016 01:40 GMT
#115348
http://live.reuters.com/Event/Election_2016/433031628

Trump saying 'with her you'll end up in WW3'. Lately he's been copy pasting doomsday predictions and conspiracy theories a lot more and a lot faster from places like /pol/ and r/the_donald. Wanna bet he'll talk about Soros voting machines by the end of this week?
CannonsNCarriers
Profile Joined April 2010
United States638 Posts
October 26 2016 01:41 GMT
#115349
On October 26 2016 10:40 Dan HH wrote:
http://live.reuters.com/Event/Election_2016/433031628

Trump saying 'with her you'll end up in WW3'. Lately he's been copy pasting doomsday predictions and conspiracy theories a lot more and a lot faster from places like /pol/ and r/the_donald. Wanna bet he'll talk about Soros voting machines by the end of this week?


You know, my conservative friend also ran the WW3 talking point. Crazy how this stuff spreads so fast.
Dun tuch my cheezbrgr
Buckyman
Profile Joined May 2014
1364 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-26 01:44:17
October 26 2016 01:42 GMT
#115350
On October 26 2016 10:15 zlefin wrote:
bucky -> why do you claim that clinton's disrespect for discourse is on par with russia's?


Her campaign's record of calling in retaliation at journalists like Matt Buenig who criticize her. Correct the Record's attempts to subvert moderator control at major online discussion fora to hide anti-Clinton content. Her stated intent to ignore and/or override the pro-free-speech portion of the Citizens' United decision.

"on par with Russia" is hyperbolic as an interpretation of her public stance, but I infer from her actions (and her supporters' actions) that she views open policy discussion as an obstacle.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
October 26 2016 01:44 GMT
#115351
undecided voters who are also really into politics tend to be crackpots
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-26 01:50:03
October 26 2016 01:49 GMT
#115352
On October 26 2016 10:42 Buckyman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2016 10:15 zlefin wrote:
bucky -> why do you claim that clinton's disrespect for discourse is on par with russia's?


Her campaign's record of calling in retaliation at journalists like Matt Buenig who criticize her. Correct the Record's attempts to subvert moderator control at major online discussion fora to hide anti-Clinton content. Her stated intent to ignore and/or override the pro-free-speech portion of the Citizens' United decision.

"on par with Russia" is hyperbolic as an interpretation of her public stance, but I infer from her actions (and her supporters' actions) that she views open policy discussion as an obstacle.


from what I've seen, she would welcome policy discussion, as she does better at policy discussion than other things.
Not that there's much policy discussion anyways. Nor do I see supporters actions which avoid policy discussion.
Why would policy discussion be an obstacle?
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Yoav
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1874 Posts
October 26 2016 01:50 GMT
#115353
On October 26 2016 10:41 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2016 10:40 Dan HH wrote:
http://live.reuters.com/Event/Election_2016/433031628

Trump saying 'with her you'll end up in WW3'. Lately he's been copy pasting doomsday predictions and conspiracy theories a lot more and a lot faster from places like /pol/ and r/the_donald. Wanna bet he'll talk about Soros voting machines by the end of this week?


You know, my conservative friend also ran the WW3 talking point. Crazy how this stuff spreads so fast.


Not really all that fast. The Trump campaign is basically "Putin for Prez" at this point and this has been a Russian talking point for a while (Trump=peace [with Russia]; Hillary=war)
MyLovelyLurker
Profile Joined April 2007
France756 Posts
October 26 2016 01:53 GMT
#115354
On October 26 2016 10:42 Buckyman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2016 10:15 zlefin wrote:
bucky -> why do you claim that clinton's disrespect for discourse is on par with russia's?


Her campaign's record of calling in retaliation at journalists like Matt Buenig who criticize her. Correct the Record's attempts to subvert moderator control at major online discussion fora to hide anti-Clinton content. Her stated intent to ignore and/or override the pro-free-speech portion of the Citizens' United decision.

"on par with Russia" is hyperbolic as an interpretation of her public stance, but I infer from her actions (and her supporters' actions) that she views open policy discussion as an obstacle.


You make some decent points, but they certainly pale in comparison to Trump's public pledge to jail her (for using her Blackberry whilst flying enemy territory). Whilst her record is certainly far from spotless - after 30 years in politics, you'd be surprised ?- , she is the cleanest dirty shirt. You were referring to Nigeria. Trump's refusal to acknowledge election results should they not go his way wouldn't look out of place at all in a banana republic. It is in the strongest interest of America to send a stability message to the world, re-affirm the democratic values that you cherish, and repudiate him on election day.
"I just say, it doesn't matter win or lose, I just love Starcraft 2, I love this game, I love this stage, just play like in practice" - TIME/Oliveira
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-26 02:00:57
October 26 2016 02:00 GMT
#115355
On October 26 2016 10:42 Buckyman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2016 10:15 zlefin wrote:
bucky -> why do you claim that clinton's disrespect for discourse is on par with russia's?


Her campaign's record of calling in retaliation at journalists like Matt Buenig who criticize her. Correct the Record's attempts to subvert moderator control at major online discussion fora to hide anti-Clinton content. Her stated intent to ignore and/or override the pro-free-speech portion of the Citizens' United decision.

"on par with Russia" is hyperbolic as an interpretation of her public stance, but I infer from her actions (and her supporters' actions) that she views open policy discussion as an obstacle.


lets break this one down

1. buenig tweeted some pretty bad shit (well, by pre trump standards) about folks. he got fired for unprofessional conduct. nothing complicated or sinister.

2. thats a pretty funny way of referring to what i assume is reddit. guess what: competent political campaigns and their allies spend money on various forms of online media. also, the sanders campaign paid a lot more to revolution media directly, and iirc several mods of s4p directly coordinated with the sanders campaign. CTR was a superpac.

3. you do realize citizens united was about a group which was explicitly anti clinton?

4. we clinton supporters love discussing policy. our candidate was the only one that even had a coherent, detailed, workable policy platform. but we got alternately drowned out of the latest dumb faux scandal or got tired of relitigating the same points about minimum wage or healthcare.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 26 2016 02:07 GMT
#115356
I don't think there's a data point that better captures the weirdness of this presidential election cycle than the following:

According to the Federal Election Commission filings, Donald Trump's presidential campaign has spent $1.8 million on polling from June 2015 through September of this year (the most recent month for which data are available). The report also lists $3.2 million spent on hats.

rump has probably spent more on hats than he has spent on direct mail. The campaign filings occasionally aggregate a few things from the same vendor under one line-item, so some of the hat spending was on collateral generally that includes some hats. (His campaign spent more than $2 million on a line-item that was exclusively hats, though.) Overall, Trump's spent about $15.3 million on collateral — shirts, hats, signs, etc. — more than he has spent on field consulting and voter lists and data.

He has spent at least twice as much on collateral as he has on payroll.

In one apparent concession to the traditions of running a political campaign, Trump has at least started spending more on ads. The FEC reports don't go into great detail about what is or isn't ad spending, so for our purposes we included things like direct mail, telemarketing services (which probably went to fundraising), the campaign's website and digital outreach and so on. You're welcome and encouraged to take issue with this categorization, but it seemed appropriate.

That said, Trump spent more on ads (in that broad sense) in September than he had in any previous month, and also spent more as a percentage of his overall spending. It's not a surprise that the majority of his recent spending was on ads; what's surprising is that in 11 of the 16 months he's been running, ad spending was not the majority of what he was spending on.

Nothing encapsulates Trump's primary and general election campaigns more neatly than his spending on collateral generally, and hats specifically. Most candidates dream of seeing people clamoring for shirts and signs bearing their name or campaign message, but only a select few actually engender that kind of interest. Donald Trump did, and the force of celebrity that made his hats hot items also powered him to a plurality of the vote against a wide field of Republican opponents.

In the general election, that wasn't enough. His spending on polling was reported only in the last two months, a period that overlapped with his hiring Kellyanne Conway, a pollster, as his campaign manager. She has tried to get Trump's campaign to look more like a traditional one, with mixed success.

But Trump has still spent more on hats than polls and more on collateral than get-out-the-vote tools. The campaign in a nutshell.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 26 2016 02:09 GMT
#115357
Hmm, how to address the systemic flaw that favors telegenic and interesting candidates.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Buckyman
Profile Joined May 2014
1364 Posts
October 26 2016 02:10 GMT
#115358
On October 26 2016 10:53 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
You make some decent points, but they certainly pale in comparison to Trump's public pledge to jail her


I do not find this pledge credible on its face, just like a lot of things Trump says. Existing checks and balances should see to that.

However, if it becomes evident that she did e.g. lie under oath about her Blackberry or carelessly leak classified information, a promise to make sure she's prosecuted under the appropriate statute would be fair play.

I'm more worried about the campaign finance situation, that it might become normal for the presidential election's loser's campaign team to be jailed for violating election laws while the winner's campaign team gets mass-pardoned for the same offenses, and anyone not willing to violate the laws loses. But I think Clinton's just as likely to employ that tactic as Trump is.

Trump's refusal to acknowledge election results should they not go his way wouldn't look out of place at all in a banana republic. It is in the strongest interest of America to send a stability message to the world, re-affirm the democratic values that you cherish, and repudiate him on election day.


Is this an argument to elect Trump to avoid the tantrum? Is the tantrum even relevant if Trump loses?
MyLovelyLurker
Profile Joined April 2007
France756 Posts
October 26 2016 02:25 GMT
#115359
On October 26 2016 11:10 Buckyman wrote:
I do not find this pledge credible on its face, just like a lot of things Trump says. Existing checks and balances should see to that.

However, if it becomes evident that she did e.g. lie under oath about her Blackberry or carelessly leak classified information, a promise to make sure she's prosecuted under the appropriate statute would be fair play.


I agree with you on this, it's only fair. As a matter of fact, and in the interest of fairness, nobody ever mentions that Trump is unelectable simply because he'd be impeached within fifteen days of his taking oath, due to the myriad of sex accusations he's lied on record about ( and his propensity to disregard fact completely and only try and entertain and surprise his audience ).

I'm more worried about the campaign finance situation, that it might become normal for the presidential election's loser's campaign team to be jailed for violating election laws while the winner's campaign team gets mass-pardoned for the same offenses, and anyone not willing to violate the laws loses. But I think Clinton's just as likely to employ that tactic as Trump is.


Agreed once again, that's a fifty-fifty.

Is this an argument to elect Trump to avoid the tantrum? Is the tantrum even relevant if Trump loses?


This is an argument to maximize the standing of America in the world by maximizing, by proxy, the Clinton-Trump percentage gap ( nobody will care about how much Jill Stein scores). In turn, America's improved credibility and political capital will favour better geopolitical outcomes for you, and, hopefully, for the whole world. If God forbid there was 'only' a 52-49 outcome for Clinton on election night, trust me, nobody would cheer the US the next day, and the case for exceptionalism would be greatly weakened. If you want to validate my claims, read reference articles in the Economist or the Financial Times, stronger words about the US have never been written. So at this point it's a matter of holding your nose and doing your patriotic duty irrespective of political affiliation.

That, or you could elect a clown that makes Berlusconi look good. After all, Silvio didn't write a billion off Mediaset.
"I just say, it doesn't matter win or lose, I just love Starcraft 2, I love this game, I love this stage, just play like in practice" - TIME/Oliveira
Buckyman
Profile Joined May 2014
1364 Posts
October 26 2016 02:26 GMT
#115360
On October 26 2016 11:00 ticklishmusic wrote:
1. buenig tweeted some pretty bad shit (well, by pre trump standards) about folks. he got fired for unprofessional conduct. nothing complicated or sinister.


It's not just Buenig; he happened to be the first example that came to mind.



2. thats a pretty funny way of referring to what i assume is reddit.

Reddit is an example, but I've heard credible reports about other major sites also. For example, Scott Adams claims he's been shadowbanned on Twitter over saying that Trump can win the election.


3. you do realize citizens united was about a group which was explicitly anti clinton?

Yes. But civil rights need to apply equally to both sides of a political discussion, so that shouldn't matter.

I read the Citizen's United decision during my election research. I agree with the decision's general conclusion that Congress cannot regulate speech about candidates by arbitrary citizens just because there's an election happening. And I'm worried that Clinton will nominate Supreme Court justices based on their willingness to overturn the Citizen's United decision at the expense of other First Amendment liberties.


4. we clinton supporters love discussing policy. our candidate was the only one that even had a coherent, detailed, workable policy platform. but we got alternately drowned out of the latest dumb faux scandal or got tired of relitigating the same points about minimum wage or healthcare.

Yeah, I feel for you. I'd love an election that's decided by policy issues instead of the alleged felons' clown show we have now. I probably should have just said "discussion" instead of "policy discussion" because it seems the lack of real policy discussion is mostly not Clinton's fault.
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