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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5243

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
September 28 2016 17:54 GMT
#104841
On September 29 2016 02:53 Nyxisto wrote:
what the heck is going on with the TL pol lol

my guess is that someone like zeo is upset with how little the debate gelled with their understanding of US politics
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22042 Posts
September 28 2016 17:54 GMT
#104842
On September 29 2016 02:53 Nyxisto wrote:
what the heck is going on with the TL pol lol

The Trump bots have finally reached TL after having done all the major news sites earlier.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 28 2016 17:55 GMT
#104843
On September 29 2016 02:40 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:37 Dan HH wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:51 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:49 ticklishmusic wrote:
Curious why the Trump's been edging up in the stickied poll. Hmm.

Every poll ever on Clinton vs. Trump has started with a huge Clinton lead, then edged somewhat more towards Trump. I dunno, maybe all Trump supporters are night owls?

Did they sleep for two and a half days?


4chan's a helluva drug.

But on the other hand, we already know that TeamLiquid is statistically much more liberal than conservative, and one might wonder how much implicit confirmation bias appeared in the TL poll. I'm liberal and I think Hillary won and I don't think I'm being biased, but that doesn't mean I'm not biased

TL is also much more European than average.

Poll: Where do you live?

North America (31)
 
65%

Europe (14)
 
29%

Other (3)
 
6%

48 total votes

Your vote: Where do you live?

(Vote): North America
(Vote): Europe
(Vote): Other

History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
September 28 2016 17:55 GMT
#104844
On September 29 2016 02:54 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:53 Nyxisto wrote:
what the heck is going on with the TL pol lol

The Trump bots have finally reached TL after having done all the major news sites earlier.


does this mean we're famous?
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
September 28 2016 17:57 GMT
#104845
On September 29 2016 02:50 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:45 biology]major wrote:
Trump lost the first debate hands down, but as we have seen this election, that doesn't translate negatively into polls for trump. He might even be going up.

When he went after the khan family, that was the only time I've seen him actually take hit in the polls

I guess it depends on what you mean by "lost"
I'd say he did poorly, and maybe a bit worse than average; and hillary did well, and a bit better than her average.
But I feel that "winning" in the context of the debate, really means whether you improved or worsened your odds of winning the election; and hence is mostly going to be assessed by the poll numbers. I don't have a good sense of how typical people will respond, as I, and everyone I know, are atypical people.


I hope he gets his shit together. He has should address attacks with a sentence or two and go right back on offense. Stop defending the birther movement, or who you called fat with lengthy explanations that aren't very coherent to begin with. He has so much ammunition but limited time, and he really needs to take his gloves off for the remainder of the two debates.

In the first 30-40 minutes he was doing great, stayed relatively composed and was on offense. Then he became very defensive and lost control. If you are explaining yourself, you are losing. These things have nothing to do with policy but are all optics, and he has plenty of zingers but failed to use them to make her look bad.
Question.?
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45210 Posts
September 28 2016 18:01 GMT
#104846
On September 29 2016 02:55 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:40 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:37 Dan HH wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:51 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:49 ticklishmusic wrote:
Curious why the Trump's been edging up in the stickied poll. Hmm.

Every poll ever on Clinton vs. Trump has started with a huge Clinton lead, then edged somewhat more towards Trump. I dunno, maybe all Trump supporters are night owls?

Did they sleep for two and a half days?


4chan's a helluva drug.

But on the other hand, we already know that TeamLiquid is statistically much more liberal than conservative, and one might wonder how much implicit confirmation bias appeared in the TL poll. I'm liberal and I think Hillary won and I don't think I'm being biased, but that doesn't mean I'm not biased

TL is also much more European than average.

Poll: Where do you live?

North America (31)
 
65%

Europe (14)
 
29%

Other (3)
 
6%

48 total votes

Your vote: Where do you live?

(Vote): North America
(Vote): Europe
(Vote): Other



I'm not sure what "average" is in this case, though.

Politically, in America, you'd expect about a 50/50 split between Hillary and Trump based on previous polling data in 538 and other reputable sources, but I don't know what the benchmark ratio is for NA/EU.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
September 28 2016 18:02 GMT
#104847
On September 29 2016 02:57 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:50 zlefin wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:45 biology]major wrote:
Trump lost the first debate hands down, but as we have seen this election, that doesn't translate negatively into polls for trump. He might even be going up.

When he went after the khan family, that was the only time I've seen him actually take hit in the polls

I guess it depends on what you mean by "lost"
I'd say he did poorly, and maybe a bit worse than average; and hillary did well, and a bit better than her average.
But I feel that "winning" in the context of the debate, really means whether you improved or worsened your odds of winning the election; and hence is mostly going to be assessed by the poll numbers. I don't have a good sense of how typical people will respond, as I, and everyone I know, are atypical people.


I hope he gets his shit together. He has should address attacks with a sentence or two and go right back on offense. Stop defending the birther movement, or who you called fat with lengthy explanations that aren't very coherent to begin with. He has so much ammunition but limited time, and he really needs to take his gloves off for the remainder of the two debates.

In the first 30-40 minutes he was doing great, stayed relatively composed and was on offense. Then he became very defensive and lost control. If you are explaining yourself, you are losing. These things have nothing to do with policy but are all optics, and he has plenty of zingers but failed to use them to make her look bad.


I'd rather people win on matters of policy than optics, but sadly that's not the world we live in
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 28 2016 18:03 GMT
#104848
On September 29 2016 03:01 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:55 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:40 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:37 Dan HH wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:51 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:49 ticklishmusic wrote:
Curious why the Trump's been edging up in the stickied poll. Hmm.

Every poll ever on Clinton vs. Trump has started with a huge Clinton lead, then edged somewhat more towards Trump. I dunno, maybe all Trump supporters are night owls?

Did they sleep for two and a half days?


4chan's a helluva drug.

But on the other hand, we already know that TeamLiquid is statistically much more liberal than conservative, and one might wonder how much implicit confirmation bias appeared in the TL poll. I'm liberal and I think Hillary won and I don't think I'm being biased, but that doesn't mean I'm not biased

TL is also much more European than average.

Poll: Where do you live?

North America (31)
 
65%

Europe (14)
 
29%

Other (3)
 
6%

48 total votes

Your vote: Where do you live?

(Vote): North America
(Vote): Europe
(Vote): Other



I'm not sure what "average" is in this case, though.

Politically, in America, you'd expect about a 50/50 split between Hillary and Trump based on previous polling data in 538 and other reputable sources, but I don't know what the benchmark ratio is for NA/EU.

There are not all that many "Europeans" in the US. Mostly just recent immigrants. And the European right is our left, which leads to obvious liberal tendencies.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
September 28 2016 18:04 GMT
#104849
When you say "European right," who exactly are you referring to?
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 28 2016 18:05 GMT
#104850
On September 29 2016 03:04 farvacola wrote:
When you say "European right," who exactly are you referring to?

Mainstream right, not fringe/populist groups.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
September 28 2016 18:06 GMT
#104851
What do you mean by mainstream but not populist? Aren't a lot of the political problems facing Europe related to the fact that the aforementioned distinction is collapsing much like it has here?
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
September 28 2016 18:09 GMT
#104852
I'd assume he's talking about Merkels Party (CDU) or something else like that when referring to "European right"
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-28 18:12:48
September 28 2016 18:09 GMT
#104853
On September 29 2016 03:06 farvacola wrote:
What do you mean by mainstream but not populist? Aren't a lot of the political problems facing Europe related to the fact that the aforementioned distinction is collapsing much like it has here?



Mainly in Eastern Europe, as long as the French don't elect Sarkozy we should be good
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45210 Posts
September 28 2016 18:11 GMT
#104854
On September 29 2016 03:03 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 03:01 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:55 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:40 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:37 Dan HH wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:51 LegalLord wrote:
On September 29 2016 01:49 ticklishmusic wrote:
Curious why the Trump's been edging up in the stickied poll. Hmm.

Every poll ever on Clinton vs. Trump has started with a huge Clinton lead, then edged somewhat more towards Trump. I dunno, maybe all Trump supporters are night owls?

Did they sleep for two and a half days?


4chan's a helluva drug.

But on the other hand, we already know that TeamLiquid is statistically much more liberal than conservative, and one might wonder how much implicit confirmation bias appeared in the TL poll. I'm liberal and I think Hillary won and I don't think I'm being biased, but that doesn't mean I'm not biased

TL is also much more European than average.

Poll: Where do you live?

North America (31)
 
65%

Europe (14)
 
29%

Other (3)
 
6%

48 total votes

Your vote: Where do you live?

(Vote): North America
(Vote): Europe
(Vote): Other



I'm not sure what "average" is in this case, though.

Politically, in America, you'd expect about a 50/50 split between Hillary and Trump based on previous polling data in 538 and other reputable sources, but I don't know what the benchmark ratio is for NA/EU.

There are not all that many "Europeans" in the US. Mostly just recent immigrants. And the European right is our left, which leads to obvious liberal tendencies.


Well I definitely think that one of the reasons why TL is more liberal than the average American sample is because there is decent European representation and not just Americans, sure.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-28 18:13:41
September 28 2016 18:12 GMT
#104855
On September 29 2016 02:57 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:50 zlefin wrote:
On September 29 2016 02:45 biology]major wrote:
Trump lost the first debate hands down, but as we have seen this election, that doesn't translate negatively into polls for trump. He might even be going up.

When he went after the khan family, that was the only time I've seen him actually take hit in the polls

I guess it depends on what you mean by "lost"
I'd say he did poorly, and maybe a bit worse than average; and hillary did well, and a bit better than her average.
But I feel that "winning" in the context of the debate, really means whether you improved or worsened your odds of winning the election; and hence is mostly going to be assessed by the poll numbers. I don't have a good sense of how typical people will respond, as I, and everyone I know, are atypical people.


In the first 30-40 minutes he was doing great, stayed relatively composed and was on offense. Then he became very defensive and lost control. If you are explaining yourself, you are losing. These things have nothing to do with policy but are all optics, and he has plenty of zingers but failed to use them to make her look bad.


You may have missed his embarrassing interruptions during those 30-40 minutes.

Hillary consulted with psychiatrists, experts on narcissism, and played Trump like a toy.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 28 2016 18:13 GMT
#104856
On September 29 2016 03:06 farvacola wrote:
What do you mean by mainstream but not populist? Aren't a lot of the political problems facing Europe related to the fact that the aforementioned distinction is collapsing much like it has here?

CDU for Germany, UMP-LR for France, Conservative Party for UK, PP for Spain, etc.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 28 2016 18:13 GMT
#104857
On September 29 2016 03:09 Toadesstern wrote:
I'd assume he's talking about Merkels Party (CDU) or something else like that when referring to "European right"

CDU, UK Conservative Party, etc. There is clearly a rightward shift in Europe, same as there is a leftward shift in the US, but for now the distinction is apparent enough to make Europe skew liberal by American standards. With some exceptions of course.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
September 28 2016 18:20 GMT
#104858
On September 29 2016 03:13 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 03:06 farvacola wrote:
What do you mean by mainstream but not populist? Aren't a lot of the political problems facing Europe related to the fact that the aforementioned distinction is collapsing much like it has here?

CDU for Germany, UMP-LR for France, Conservative Party for UK, PP for Spain, etc.

That's a helpful list because I think it demonstrates that "American Left=European Right" is only useful in the most utterly general sense; any level of granular comparison starts to show that international political dynamics are more scattered than the prior equivocation would suggest.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6334 Posts
September 28 2016 18:21 GMT
#104859
On September 29 2016 02:54 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2016 02:53 Nyxisto wrote:
what the heck is going on with the TL pol lol

my guess is that someone like zeo is upset with how little the debate gelled with their understanding of US politics

You're more obsessed with me than Clinton is with Trump
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-28 18:22:25
September 28 2016 18:22 GMT
#104860
When a handful of posts on Teamliquid looks like an obsession, Trump appears to be winning.

Thanks for the rule of thumb Zeo
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
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