US Politics Mega-thread - Page 512
Forum Index > Closed |
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
xDaunt
United States17988 Posts
| ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
More details are emerging about Wednesday's closed-door meeting where Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) evidently received an earful from his Republican colleagues, with one senator describing what transpired as a "lynch mob." A report published Friday by The New York Times shed more light on the private lunch, indicating that Sens. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Dan Coats (R-IN) and Ron Johnson (R-WI) blasted Cruz for leading the charge to block funding for the Affordable Care Act, a quixotic effort that led to the government shutdown. According to the Times report, Ayotte demanded that Cruz renounce attacks directed at Republicans by an unnamed "conservative group." Politico reported earlier this week it was attacks levied by the Senate Conservatives Fund, the organization founded by former Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), that rankled Cruz's GOP colleagues. According to the Times, Cruz did not disavow the attacks nor did he offer a strategy for the defunding effort, prompting Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) to join the criticism of the freshman senator. “It just started a lynch mob,” an unnamed senator told the Times. Source | ||
sam!zdat
United States5559 Posts
| ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
On October 05 2013 02:13 sam!zdat wrote: a main motivation for invading iraq was that saddam was going to start denominating oil sales in euros. That hurts the status of the dollar as global reserve currency. This is just straight out wrong. America would love the dollar to not be the reserve currency so it could stop running a structural trade deficit that comes with being the reserve currency of the world. | ||
sam!zdat
United States5559 Posts
where did you get that idea? | ||
Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
On October 05 2013 02:58 sam!zdat wrote: the value of the dollar is supported by being the reserve currency... it's like, a main tool of american hegemony, to whatever extent that exists... where did you get that idea? This is nonsense. First of all there is no "american hegemony", and he's completely right, the dollar is too expensive because it's the worlds biggest reserve currency, causing the US to lose exports of about 500 billion dollars a year, causing a trade deficit. Look up how much debt the US has accumulated. They'd love a weaker currency. | ||
sam!zdat
United States5559 Posts
edit: yes it's unsustainable and disastrous. and maybe i'm wrong. any book suggestions? | ||
aristarchus
United States652 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:15 Nyxisto wrote: This is nonsense. First of all there is no "american hegemony", and he's completely right, the dollar is too expensive because it's the worlds biggest reserve currency, causing the US to lose exports of about 500 billion dollars a year, causing a trade deficit. Look up how much debt the US has accumulated. They'd love a weaker currency. This is not true. You can argue over whether a weaker currency would be good or not (there are reasonable economic arguments on both sides) but the US has a "strong dollar" policy and actively tries to keep the dollar strong and used as the reserve currency. The trade deficit is not clearly that bad - it means Americans get lots of stuff and pay for it with money that people won't ever use to actually buy stuff back from us. Short-term, a reduction would be good for unemployment during a recession, but during good times it's not so bad on its own. One big potential downside is that if the dollar suddenly stopped being the reserve currency very quickly, there would be massive, massive inflation that could destroy the US (and global) economy. | ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:23 aristarchus wrote: This is not true. You can argue over whether a weaker currency would be good or not (there are reasonable economic arguments on both sides) but the US has a "strong dollar" policy and actively tries to keep the dollar strong and used as the reserve currency. The trade deficit is not clearly that bad - it means Americans get lots of stuff and pay for it with money that people won't ever use to actually buy stuff back from us. Short-term, a reduction would be good for unemployment during a recession, but during good times it's not so bad on its own. One big potential downside is that if the dollar suddenly stopped being the reserve currency very quickly, there would be massive, massive inflation that could destroy the US (and global) economy. This is wrong. The US does not actively want a strong dollar. De-coupling from gold, the Plaza Accord, the steady decline of dollar-euro under the entire Bush administration all point to a free floating dollar as the goal. The fact that dollar is strong is a function of demand for it as a reserve currency and demand for US Treasuries as the place where East Asian Mercantalists and Arab Petrodollars are recycled into. Less demand for treasuries ---> high interest rates for Americans --- > lowers consumption, decreasing the trade deficit ---> more balanced world economy | ||
Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:23 aristarchus wrote: This is not true. You can argue over whether a weaker currency would be good or not (there are reasonable economic arguments on both sides) but the US has a "strong dollar" policy and actively tries to keep the dollar strong and used as the reserve currency. The trade deficit is not clearly that bad - it means Americans get lots of stuff and pay for it with money that people won't ever use to actually buy stuff back from us. Short-term, a reduction would be good for unemployment during a recession, but during good times it's not so bad on its own. One big potential downside is that if the dollar suddenly stopped being the reserve currency very quickly, there would be massive, massive inflation that could destroy the US (and global) economy. If we're speaking short term, both, either a trade surplus and a trade deficit may not be harmful, but on the long run both are not really sustainable. We can see in Europe what happens if one country is selling too much stuff with an undervalued currency. (Germany), and we have seen in many cases of what happens if people pile up too much debt with an overvalued currency. (small example: Greece). And the US deficit is actually starting to reach dangerous heights. And with the government shutdown going on, this topic is not completely unrelated. On October 05 2013 03:20 sam!zdat wrote: a strong dollar means that we can support consumerism at home in order to preserve social stability. this props up US militarism (i don't think you can look at a graph of military spending and not believe in some form of US hegemony. the confusion may stem from a misunderstanding about what "hegemony" means) edit: yes it's unsustainable and disastrous. and maybe i'm wrong. any book suggestions? Regarding the whole hegemony thing: Of course modern imperialism wouldn't look like it did a few hundred years ago, but even with that in mind, i don't think the it's fair to call the USA a 'modern hegemony'. Culturally, just because everyone's drinking coke all over the planet doesn't mean we are under some kind of mind altering american influence. Regarding the military. Sure the USA has a really big budget (and i think it's way way too much), but i think the main reason, especially for the US policy concerning the middle east, is basically a fear driven overreaction after 9/11 under the Bush era. I do think strategic or geopolitical motives are much less of a deal than people imply all the time. I guess if the current politicians could go back in time and don't start two wars, they'd probably do it. | ||
aristarchus
United States652 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:32 Sub40APM wrote: This is wrong. The US does not actively want a strong dollar. De-coupling from gold, the Plaza Accord, the steady decline of dollar-euro under the entire Bush administration all point to a free floating dollar as the goal. The fact that dollar is strong is a function of demand for it as a reserve currency and demand for US Treasuries as the place where East Asian Mercantalists and Arab Petrodollars are recycled into. Less demand for treasuries ---> high interest rates for Americans --- > lowers consumption, decreasing the trade deficit ---> more balanced world economy http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-13/lew-says-he-will-maintain-strong-dollar-policy-if-confirmed.html It is at the very least the policy the US government consistently states that it has and the policy that nominees insist they will maintain in order to make senators vote for them. The dollar declined relative to the euro because the euro was establishing itself as the first currency with a large enough base to be a plausible reserve currency alternative. That doesn't mean the US *wanted* that to happen. I don't know what you mean by "a free floating dollar as the goal". The dollar does factually float freely. But the (stated) goal of the US government is to undertake policies that cause it to freely float at a high level. | ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:42 aristarchus wrote: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-13/lew-says-he-will-maintain-strong-dollar-policy-if-confirmed.html It is at the very least the policy the US government consistently states that it has and the policy that nominees insist they will maintain in order to make senators vote for them. The dollar declined relative to the euro because the euro was establishing itself as the first currency with a large enough base to be a plausible reserve currency alternative. That doesn't mean the US *wanted* that to happen. I don't know what you mean by "a free floating dollar as the goal". The dollar does factually float freely. But the (stated) goal of the US government is to undertake policies that cause it to freely float at a high level. In the last 10 years the dollar declined against: Australian and Canadian dollars, the Euro, it would have declined against the Yuan if the Yuan was a free floating currency, and the Yen until Abe stared his own policy of devaluation. When Lew says 'he will maintain a strong dollar policy' he isnt talking about what is going to happen, he is talking to Republican politicians who apparently decided they want to go back the gold standard. Its internal politics. There is no stated policy on where the dollar will be. | ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:20 sam!zdat wrote: a strong dollar means that we can support consumerism at home in order to preserve social stability. this props up US militarism (i don't think you can look at a graph of military spending and not believe in some form of US hegemony. the confusion may stem from a misunderstanding about what "hegemony" means) edit: yes it's unsustainable and disastrous. and maybe i'm wrong. any book suggestions? Barry Eichengreen's http://www.amazon.com/Exorbitant-Privilege-Dollar-International-Monetary/dp/0199931097/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1380912566&sr=8-2&keywords=barry eichengreen is a good start. | ||
peawok
United States71 Posts
On October 04 2013 22:46 BronzeKnee wrote: If anyone is still thinking that what the Republicans are doing regarding the shutdown is correct... imagine this... ...imagine that there was a law that passed through the House, Senate and Presidency that reformed welfare. Democrats disagreed with it, but didn't have the votes to stop it, so they took it to the Supreme Court. Democrats lost in the Supreme Court. But the Democrats held a majority in the House, even though they lost the popular vote in the last election where every seat was up for grabs (gerrymandering allowed them to win). And so 40 Democratic representatives including the Speaker of the House demand that the President, the Senate and the American people repeal the welfare reform, or they won't fund the government. The President refuses, so the government shuts down. And this happens despite the fact that the moderate wing of the Democratic party would vote to fund the government without seeking a repeal of the welfare, but because the only Speaker decides what comes up for vote, he doesn't allow it. Suddenly, this whole idea doesn't look so good, does it conservatives? Suddenly everyone can see how unreasonable the Tea Party is being, and why our Democracy cannot survive if that kind of behavior isn't condoned. Obama can't give him anything. We have to condone this behavior. Small fringe elements from either party should not be allowed to dictate policy to everyone else, especially after they lose the debate, lose the vote, and lose in the Supreme Court. That's how the American process works. But guess what? America is not a Democracy and the majority is only a small part of this. America is a Republic for the people. And here's a fact for you... someone can win the presidency with a vote of 270 people. Everyone else just gives their input. As for Democrats one day doing that... they have done many things to stop the political process in its tracks. The Civil Rights Act was filibustered by a Democrat in 1964. They filibustered legally passed laws of abortion funding in Texas just this year. They stopped Reagan from expanding the military in the 1980s. Barack Obama called our debt and deficit spending unpatriotic as late as July 2008. | ||
JonnyBNoHo
United States6277 Posts
| ||
![]()
KwarK
United States42004 Posts
On October 05 2013 04:10 JonnyBNoHo wrote: We have a 'strong dollar policy' (whatever that actually is and does, if anything) because it's too hard to explain that a weak dollar can be good in a sound bite. I'd believe that. | ||
sam!zdat
United States5559 Posts
On October 05 2013 03:50 Sub40APM wrote: Barry Eichengreen's http://www.amazon.com/Exorbitant-Privilege-Dollar-International-Monetary/dp/0199931097/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1380912566&sr=8-2&keywords=barry eichengreen is a good start. looks great! I am ordering this now | ||
packrat386
United States5077 Posts
On October 05 2013 02:13 sam!zdat wrote: a main motivation for invading iraq was that saddam was going to start denominating oil sales in euros. That hurts the status of the dollar as global reserve currency. According to some shit that I'm reading, it was largely as a sort of "demonstration" of the Bush doctrine. Saddam had been a thorn in the US side for a long time, but they never had international authority to do anything about it. The second that there was even a hint of a reason to justify US invasion Bush jumped on it. I won't deny that there weren't economic motives (as there are always economic motives). But I think that the main motive was an overzealous and panicked US military/administration in the wake of 9/11 | ||
sam!zdat
United States5559 Posts
On October 05 2013 04:13 packrat386 wrote: But I think that the main motive was an overzealous and panicked US military/administration in the wake of 9/11 excuse, not motive | ||
packrat386
United States5077 Posts
except thats NOT what the evidence that I've read points to. As I stated in the rest of the post that you didn't quote. | ||
| ||