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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5064

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
RealityIsKing
Profile Joined August 2016
613 Posts
September 20 2016 20:55 GMT
#101261
On September 21 2016 05:51 Plansix wrote:
Simplistic(common sense) explanations for complex systems are normally incorrect.


No they are often correct as long as your train of logic have little to no holes which there are little to none in this case unless you can logically argue otherwise which you aren't doing.
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
September 20 2016 20:56 GMT
#101262
--- Nuked ---
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
September 20 2016 21:01 GMT
#101263
--- Nuked ---
BallinWitStalin
Profile Joined July 2008
1177 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-11 19:11:09
September 20 2016 21:02 GMT
#101264
I await the reminiscent nerd chills I will get when I hear a Korean broadcaster yell "WEEAAAAVVVVVUUUHHH" while watching Dota
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:15:54
September 20 2016 21:03 GMT
#101265
--- Nuked ---
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 20 2016 21:03 GMT
#101266
On September 21 2016 05:56 Barrin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 05:51 Plansix wrote:
Simplistic(common sense) explanations for complex systems are normally incorrect.

"If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough." - Albert Einstein

Maybe if you replace "incorrect" with "inaccurate".

You are correct, inaccurate is more applicable.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:20:58
September 20 2016 21:14 GMT
#101267
On September 21 2016 06:03 Barrin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 06:02 BallinWitStalin wrote:
On September 21 2016 06:01 Barrin wrote:
On September 21 2016 05:55 BallinWitStalin wrote:
On September 21 2016 05:47 RealityIsKing wrote:
On September 21 2016 05:05 BallinWitStalin wrote:
On September 21 2016 04:25 RealityIsKing wrote:
On September 21 2016 03:44 Mohdoo wrote:
Did reality is king used to post here for a while? I feel like we've seen this exact same posting style before. Was the guy named cowboy or something? I forget. Either way, we've seen this exact same personality and posting style before. Walk into the thread replying to every liberal poster with baiting 1 liners and downright dismissing of science. Can't tell if it is a ban dodger or just s common archetype coming out of Reddit lately.


Yeah let's not be reasonable and immediately go for the censorship.

Please that's not how a free society should function.

Every single points need to be argued and

To that genetic science dude, you should've absolutely opened with that line and then you immediately went for the long wall of text subliminal insults.

You could've saved A LOT of your time.

You should've posted studies to prove that "No, people do not have survival instincts.".

Because the basic funding principle of biology is evolutionary survival of the fittest.

So if you want to argue against that, go a ahead and I would like to educated.

And also thinking of ignoring Plansix because all he does is yell names.


This will be my last post responding to you, this is getting a bit too intimate; if I keep posting like this all of TL is going to know exactly how big my dick is, so I won't respond further after this.

a) I called you out for saying something that should be verified with evidence, but inherently cannot be ("tribalism is in our genetics", or something silly like that)

b) You did not elaborate on any connection between survival instincts and tribalism; in fact, without a strict definition of tribalism to begin with (and therefor how "survival instincts" affect it) applying the concept in any way scientifically is impossible. In fact, I have no idea how you think "survival instincts" affect what you think "tribalism" is.

c) The onus is generally on the people claiming the silly thing (i.e. "tribalism is in our genetics") to provide evidence for it. I cannot actually provide sources disproving this, either, because (as I have repeatedly said) you have not provided any kind of coherent definition/meaning for "tribalism". Additionally, I suspect it is something inherently unprovable scientifically; we aren't allowed to experiment very much on humans anymore, so most attempts to scientifically ascribe behavior to genetic origins are not possible. I mean, think about it: how would you even go about "proving" the association between putative genetics and "tribalism"? Conduct controlled experiments where you manipulate clans of genetically similar human beings for generations? Find specific genes associated with "tribalism", knock them out, and then see how those human beings behave? You can't actually disentangle "tribalism behavior" from culture and genetics unless you do these sorts of things; this is why I was saying it's a tautological argument -> it basically boils down to "humans behave this way because I think that humans behave this way". It's meaningless, except as an internal statement to an arbitrary worldview.

As an example, take your concept of "survival of the fittest" -> Putting aside the meaninglessness of the term "tribe", what I think you want to say is that human beings that associated in "tribes" (whatever this means) historically had higher fitness (reproductive output) than humans that didn't. We can just call it "trait x", to simplify things. Even assuming that it is the case that "trait x" increases relative reproductive output (which, again, would need to be proven experimentally), how do you know it's associated with genetics? Culture is "heritable" -> not in the strict genetic sense, but it's something that is passed on from generation to generation, from parents to offspring (assuming the offspring are raised in the same cultural context as the parents). It could easily be the case that cultures with "trait x" (rather than humans) have higher fitness than those without this trait. Unless you conduct rigorous experiments of the nature I described above, you actually can't disentangle this.

This is why racists/white supremacists piss me off, too. They like to argue about evolution and genetics, but they are arguing things that are largely un-provable scientifically, what with our ethical reservations about conducting large scale experimentation on human beings.



Consider yourself educated, I'm out.


I was of kind of thinking these type of things are common sense.

One person cannot handle the tasks of building a sustainable civilization.

It requires people building infrastructures at home, finding sustainable resources, and other tasks.

And people will work with other people they can relate to with common characteristics.


Welcome to science.

What you think is common sense means jack-shit empirically (I say this in the most non-insulting way). Basically science doesn't give a shit what you think, it's about what you can prove using evidence.

Also none of those things are demonstrably due to "genetics", per se. Science also doesn't care about any of the lines you listed above. Define "sustainable civilization" (this is a moral question), plenty of humans lived for a long time without significant quantities of infrastructure (arguably the most cultural thing on the list), define "relate to", define "common characteristics", etc.

Nothing you've said is objectively quantifiable -> ergo not scientific.

Okay I really am done now.

When did this become purely scientific? And people thought my logic purism was going too far...

You should really just say what you're trying to get at, RealityIsKing.


When he said that "tribalism" is an inherent human condition due to our "genetics"

We've already established that that is wrong.

His argument may be wrong, but that does not mean that his conclusion "tribalism is inherent in human condition" is wrong. argument ad logicam. In fact I'm willing to go ahead and give him the benefit of the doubt here.

But why did he say that? What is his point?


uhh IIRC, someone said that being tribalistic is inherent to human nature when shits going bad.

Someone else (farva?) pointed out that humans arent inherently tribalistic (is that a word?) by nature. xDaunt (who conveniently made himself scarce) apparently felt THAT was claim that needed defending instead of the original claim.

Reality King jumped onto the circle jerk and said this thread as exhibit A of proof of tribalistic tendencies (thats when genetics were mentioned).

After that I kinda stopped caring because sometime I have to work at my job.

edit: There .. lol I had that exact page open in a tab beneath my millions of windows.

On September 21 2016 02:06 RealityIsKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 01:59 farvacola wrote:
The historical development of human organization, the one that people point to as they say that humans are naturally predisposed towards the dynamics observed through historical analysis (like tribalism), has no essential truth-bearing value vis a vie the human condition. In other words, the past is not proof that the past is the only possible path humans could have taken, it is merely an iterative narration of sorts. As much as I despise fallacy-talk, this is an outcropping of the naturalistic fallacy.


Its in our genetics.

Like on this forum here, there is a tribalism.

Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:23:28
September 20 2016 21:22 GMT
#101268
Wonder just how often Trump has used his charity as his own checking account. Can't imagine there's much to his "business empire" other than debt when he feels the need to sell steaks and water bottles and use other people's charity donations for his own needs.
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:33:10
September 20 2016 21:24 GMT
#101269
--- Nuked ---
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
September 20 2016 21:34 GMT
#101270
On September 21 2016 06:22 Doodsmack wrote:
Wonder just how often Trump has used his charity as his own checking account. Can't imagine there's much to his "business empire" other than debt when he feels the need to sell steaks and water bottles and use other people's charity donations for his own needs.

while I do have doubts about his actual current worth; I don't think your points actually support the conclusion that he's poor.
he puts his name on things because of ego; and he uses other people's money because that's part of how he gets rich, setting up situations where if there's a profit they all profit, and if there's a loss, the other guy gets stuck with it. so he avoids using his own money for anything if he can get away with it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:43:03
September 20 2016 21:42 GMT
#101271
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18241 Posts
September 20 2016 21:43 GMT
#101272
On September 21 2016 03:16 RealityIsKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 03:10 Plansix wrote:
On September 21 2016 03:07 farvacola wrote:
He likely has just as much as evidence as he does competence with the English language.

Yesterday he seemed to be the average Trump supporter, but today its pure one liners and bait posts with nothing to back them up.


Because yesterday I thought that you and whole bunch of others base your opinions on what's progressive for the society and have reasonable behaviors.

But then afterward, I've discovered otherwise.

Like all the people that were posting against me all beginning swearing/acting in uncivilized manner which drastically changed my opinions on the level of perhaps not IQ but EQ.

Lots of you guys are VERY combative and VERY emotional unstable that goes immediately into fighting mode.

That's very primeval behavior.

I answer appropriately amount to people that deserves it.

The troll is strong with this one!
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 21:44:24
September 20 2016 21:43 GMT
#101273
--- Nuked ---
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
September 20 2016 21:53 GMT
#101274
On September 21 2016 06:42 Doodsmack wrote:
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.


i'm pretty anti-trump, but he did shell out 50m to finance his campaign. he's probably got several times that in liquid assets. doesn't say exactly how rich he is, but does suggests he's *probably* a billionaire.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 20 2016 21:55 GMT
#101275
On September 21 2016 06:53 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 06:42 Doodsmack wrote:
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.


i'm pretty anti-trump, but he did shell out 50m to finance his campaign. he's probably got several times that in liquid assets. doesn't say exactly how rich he is, but does suggests he's *probably* a billionaire.

Trump provided those numbers and judging by how his charity runs it books, I’m not willing to believe the 50 million. And he is funneling a lot of that money back into his own business. I am sure he spent some money, but I doubt it is the amount he claims.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
September 20 2016 21:57 GMT
#101276
On September 21 2016 06:55 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 06:53 ticklishmusic wrote:
On September 21 2016 06:42 Doodsmack wrote:
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.


i'm pretty anti-trump, but he did shell out 50m to finance his campaign. he's probably got several times that in liquid assets. doesn't say exactly how rich he is, but does suggests he's *probably* a billionaire.

Drumpf provided those numbers and judging by how his charity runs it books, I’m not willing to believe the 50 million. And he is funneling a lot of that money back into his own business. I am sure he spent some money, but I doubt it is the amount he claims.


Yeah spending and paying for things are different things I feel like. He still probably is rich enough to afford 50 mil though.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 22:01:12
September 20 2016 22:00 GMT
#101277
On September 21 2016 06:55 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 06:53 ticklishmusic wrote:
On September 21 2016 06:42 Doodsmack wrote:
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.


i'm pretty anti-trump, but he did shell out 50m to finance his campaign. he's probably got several times that in liquid assets. doesn't say exactly how rich he is, but does suggests he's *probably* a billionaire.

Trump provided those numbers and judging by how his charity runs it books, I’m not willing to believe the 50 million. And he is funneling a lot of that money back into his own business. I am sure he spent some money, but I doubt it is the amount he claims.


it was a "loan" so i dont think theres any in kind contributions (id have to confirm that). and yeah, i agree a lot of the money did go back into his businesses.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
September 20 2016 22:01 GMT
#101278
"The big problem with Donald Trump was he never went right. He basically overpaid for properties, but he got people to lend him the money. He was terrific at borrowing money. If you look at his assets, and what he paid for them, and what he borrowed to get them, there was never any real equity there. He owes, perhaps, $3.5 billion now, and, if you had to pick a figure as to the value of the assets, it might be more like $2.5 billion. He’s a billion in the hole, which is a lot better than being $100 in the hole because if you’re $100 in the hole, they come and take the TV set. If you’re a billion in the hole, they say ‘hang in there Donald.’

[...]

Donald Trump failed because of leverage. He simply got infatuated with how much money he could borrow, and he did not give enough thought to how much money he could pay back.

You really don’t need leverage in this world much. If you’re smart, you’re going to make a lot of money without borrowing."

- W. Buffett, 1991
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22148 Posts
September 20 2016 22:03 GMT
#101279
On September 21 2016 06:53 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2016 06:42 Doodsmack wrote:
He's certainly not poor but there are legitimate questions about his debts and therefore, cash flow. Hard to imagine why he would choose his charity's account to write a check for 20k if he didn't feel the need to do so.


i'm pretty anti-trump, but he did shell out 50m to finance his campaign. he's probably got several times that in liquid assets. doesn't say exactly how rich he is, but does suggests he's *probably* a billionaire.

He loaned 50mil and then when confronted about it said he would cancel the loan.
Then he didn't (according to FEC filings) cancel it for another few weeks/months.
Only later, possibly after more inquiries were made, did he actually turn the loan into a gift.

I wouldn't think anything of his 'generosity'.

And while I certainly do not believe Trump is worth anywhere near as much as he claims he is still most likely rich enough to be able to spare the 50mil with no worries.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-20 22:33:01
September 20 2016 22:32 GMT
#101280
So, Trump apparently called the first moderator a Democrat and said all the debates are shams. Problem is, he's a registered Republican.

http://time.com/4501616/donald-trump-debate-lester-holt-democrat/

Why anyone thinks someone who doesn't even check the debate moderator's party affiliation before saying he's a Democrat can be thought of by anyone as informed or competent is beyond me.

I'm sure it doesn't matter because [insert bending over backwards justification here].
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