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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4702

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 10 2016 20:43 GMT
#94021
igne -> that is an upside; albeit a small one, but there are also considerable downsides, and the net weight is unclear and probably neutral.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1366 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 20:51:09
August 10 2016 20:46 GMT
#94022
On August 11 2016 05:31 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 05:25 Plansix wrote:
Interest on mortgages for your primary residence is tax deductible. It is a huge tax incentive to buy a house.

Not really a huge incentive unless you were itemizing already. The first $12,600 of interest doesn't save you a dollar in tax. After that it saves you $0.25 on the dollar if you're in the 25% bracket etc. It's mostly a benefit to the rich who buy more expensive houses.

The median US house price is $189,000 so if we assume you still owe 100% of the home value and that you're paying 5% interest you still wouldn't get a cent in tax credits unless you were itemizing. And the poor don't itemize. It's a gift to the rich.


5% mortgage rate in usa? Oh wow that is high seeing that the banks lend for 0% themselves.
In northern europe it is now down to just above 2%. Thought usa would be similar.
But yes, deduction of the interest mostly benefits the rich. Still think its a good system but they should limit the max amount of deduction to a certain number.
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
August 10 2016 20:48 GMT
#94023
On August 11 2016 05:46 pmh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 05:31 KwarK wrote:
On August 11 2016 05:25 Plansix wrote:
Interest on mortgages for your primary residence is tax deductible. It is a huge tax incentive to buy a house.

Not really a huge incentive unless you were itemizing already. The first $12,600 of interest doesn't save you a dollar in tax. After that it saves you $0.25 on the dollar if you're in the 25% bracket etc. It's mostly a benefit to the rich who buy more expensive houses.

The median US house price is $189,000 so if we assume you still owe 100% of the home value and that you're paying 5% interest you still wouldn't get a cent in tax credits unless you were itemizing. And the poor don't itemize. It's a gift to the rich.


5% mortgage rate in usa? Oh wow that is high seeing that the banks lend for 0% themselves.
In northern europe it is now down to just above 2%. Thought usa would be similar.


5% should be overshooting it by at least a percentage point if not almost two.
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
DeepElemBlues
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5079 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 20:54:04
August 10 2016 20:52 GMT
#94024
Anyone paying a 5% rate on a mortgage they took on in the last ~15 years should hand over power of attorney to someone who isn't going to let them get hosed anymore.
no place i'd rather be than the satellite of love
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43232 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 20:56:26
August 10 2016 20:52 GMT
#94025
On August 11 2016 05:46 pmh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 05:31 KwarK wrote:
On August 11 2016 05:25 Plansix wrote:
Interest on mortgages for your primary residence is tax deductible. It is a huge tax incentive to buy a house.

Not really a huge incentive unless you were itemizing already. The first $12,600 of interest doesn't save you a dollar in tax. After that it saves you $0.25 on the dollar if you're in the 25% bracket etc. It's mostly a benefit to the rich who buy more expensive houses.

The median US house price is $189,000 so if we assume you still owe 100% of the home value and that you're paying 5% interest you still wouldn't get a cent in tax credits unless you were itemizing. And the poor don't itemize. It's a gift to the rich.


5% mortgage rate in usa? Oh wow that is high seeing that the banks lend for 0% themselves.
In northern europe it is now down to just above 2%. Thought usa would be similar.

I was ballparking really high to make a point with both the interest rate and the amount still owed on the home. If you had already paid off 70% of the cost of the home and your interest was 3% then simply to get above the standard deductible would take a balance of $420,000 still owed which mean a $1,400,000 home. A home worth less than that would, if you had a 3% mortgage and 70% paid off already, not surpass the standard deductible. That was my point, that even if we assume the most favourable circumstances, it still doesn't help anyone but the rich. If we assume realistic circumstances it doesn't help anyone but the super rich.

The mortgage interest deduction has so much overlap with the standard deductible that it gives very little benefit to people who aren't buying extremely expensive houses (or itemizing but again, the poor are far, far less likely to itemize).
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 10 2016 20:57 GMT
#94026
On August 11 2016 05:52 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Anyone paying a 5% rate on a mortgage they took on in the last ~15 years should hand over power of attorney to someone who isn't going to let them get hosed anymore.

Really, I wish everyone would just get their own advocate when taking out a 30 year mortgage to assure they don’t get screwed. But we are the nation that handed out no income, no job loans. Those heady days.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43232 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 21:06:04
August 10 2016 20:58 GMT
#94027
On August 11 2016 05:52 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Anyone paying a 5% rate on a mortgage they took on in the last ~15 years should hand over power of attorney to someone who isn't going to let them get hosed anymore.

No thoughts on the 100% still owed on the home? My point was that even with 100% of the value of the home still owed and a ridiculous 5% mortgage that's still only $9,500 of interest a year on a median home which falls short of the standard deductible. The more realistic you get the percentage still owed and the interest the more ludicrous the idea that anyone but the rich are really getting much benefit from the deduction becomes. People buying median homes do not really get shit out of the deduction.

Or you could think of it that they get so much good stuff from the standard deduction that it overlaps entirely with the interest deduction. But either way the result is the same. The interest deduction is essentially a gift to the rich.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
August 10 2016 21:06 GMT
#94028
On August 11 2016 05:58 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 05:52 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Anyone paying a 5% rate on a mortgage they took on in the last ~15 years should hand over power of attorney to someone who isn't going to let them get hosed anymore.

No thoughts on the 100% still owed on the home? My point was that even with 100% of the value of the home still owed and a ridiculous 5% mortgage that's still only $9,500 of interest a year on a median home which falls short of the standard deductible. The more realistic you get the percentage still owed and the interest the more ludicrous the idea that anyone but the rich are really getting much benefit from the deduction becomes. People buying median homes do not really get shit out of the deduction.


But it is discounting what they could be itemizing but wasn't because standard deduction.

My interest is less than that, but my other expense didn't warrant deduction before, combined with mortgage interest it did.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 21:16:05
August 10 2016 21:14 GMT
#94029
Suffice to say, there are way better investment than housing and it heavily depend on the place/moment.
Housing is just a safe investment, it doesn't give a lot of return.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43232 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 21:17:53
August 10 2016 21:16 GMT
#94030
On August 11 2016 06:06 ragz_gt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 05:58 KwarK wrote:
On August 11 2016 05:52 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Anyone paying a 5% rate on a mortgage they took on in the last ~15 years should hand over power of attorney to someone who isn't going to let them get hosed anymore.

No thoughts on the 100% still owed on the home? My point was that even with 100% of the value of the home still owed and a ridiculous 5% mortgage that's still only $9,500 of interest a year on a median home which falls short of the standard deductible. The more realistic you get the percentage still owed and the interest the more ludicrous the idea that anyone but the rich are really getting much benefit from the deduction becomes. People buying median homes do not really get shit out of the deduction.


But it is discounting what they could be itemizing but wasn't because standard deduction.

My interest is less than that, but my other expense didn't warrant deduction before, combined with mortgage interest it did.

Sure, and if all your deductible expenses make it to $12,601 then you get to deduct that extra dollar and save your $0.25. Which means that the more you surpass the $12,600 by the better it becomes. Itemizing isn't very good for someone who itemizes $13,000 but it's great for someone who itemizes $50,000. The median family income is around $50,000 though so the odds of all of their deductible expenses adding up to $50,000 is pretty low though. That'd have to be an awful lot of healthcare expenses, charitable giving, school expenses etc.

I stand by my claim. Sure a poor family who itemizes $13,000 gets to write off taxes on that extra $400 for a saving of $100ish in taxes but that's not really going to be comparable with the benefits a richer family get from it. Or to put it another way, if the mortgage interest deduction were replaced with a general lowering of tax brackets or a raising of the standard deduction with the same $ value there would be a net benefit to the poor and a net detriment to the rich.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
puerk
Profile Joined February 2015
Germany855 Posts
August 10 2016 21:35 GMT
#94031
I am interested in why kwark keeps ignoring the aggregate picture in his argument for savings on a personal responsibility level

the situation is: there is a large incentive to save, there is government funding to match, and employer matching aswell
but
those incentives only exist because the assumed rate of use for them is very very low

furthermore: there is no demand for capital, there are no worthwhile investments for the huge amounts of capital you want to see saved, the system only works for a few, not because it is set up unfavourably for individuals, but because it has a limited aggregate demand

in a global economy where interbank interest rates and government bonds are below 0 as they are in europe, advocating for more saving on the individual basis to somehow improve the financial situation of all (not a single) individuals is doomed to fail by default

yes it works for you, but only because of the other 250m that currently are not doing it to the extent you advocate
jello_biafra
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
United Kingdom6639 Posts
August 10 2016 21:36 GMT
#94032
Someone's climbing Trump Tower right now lol

The road to hell is paved with good intentions | aka Probert[PaiN] @ iccup / godlikeparagon @ twitch | my BW stream: http://www.teamliquid.net/video/streams/jello_biafra
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45049 Posts
August 10 2016 21:50 GMT
#94033
Okay that's kind of amazing.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 21:53:43
August 10 2016 21:53 GMT
#94034
I bet he's practicing for the 2020 Olympics.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5765 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 21:58:22
August 10 2016 21:56 GMT
#94035


He's a Trump supporter but nonetheless crazy/an idiot.

He appears to be sticking to the corner where the window frames are, he seems to be working around those rather than in the middle of the open.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11370 Posts
August 10 2016 21:59 GMT
#94036
Must be a slow day at the office- I can't believe they are providing live commentary for an event that will likely last quite a long time.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7384 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 22:01:50
August 10 2016 22:01 GMT
#94037
el oh fuckin el, what an absolute nutjob.

This reminds me somewhat of Rapunzel. "Trump! O Trump! Let down your long toupe!"
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
August 10 2016 22:10 GMT
#94038
LOL i can't even
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5765 Posts
August 10 2016 22:12 GMT
#94039
Hoping they don't get him killed.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45049 Posts
August 10 2016 22:12 GMT
#94040
On August 11 2016 06:56 oBlade wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP493LmSJrE

He's a Trump supporter but nonetheless crazy/an idiot.

He appears to be sticking to the corner where the window frames are, he seems to be working around those rather than in the middle of the open.


Obviously he wants a cabinet position.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
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