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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 10 2016 23:23 GMT
#75741
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
May 10 2016 23:25 GMT
#75742
muh coal was boosted by trade though since china was taking in a ton. no idea what this wv anti-trade stuff is even coming from. the problem with the trade politics is lack of emphasis on reinvestment into places that are losing out. in the face of unavoidable globalization continuing to hide behind protectionism is only going to make matters worse in the long run.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15737 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-10 23:26:52
May 10 2016 23:26 GMT
#75743
On May 11 2016 08:19 SK.Testie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 07:18 Mohdoo wrote:
None of this has anything to do with the realities of voting. We will have two choices this year. They can not, in any intellectually honest way, be considered equal. One advocates for $12.50 and the other would prefer to do nothing. Isn't the entire idea that some groups are really disproportionately fucked a really big deal to you?

One of the fundamental ideals behind BLM is the idea that there exists a population in the US which has the unfortunate curse of living in a parallel society to the rest of our country. Institutionalized racism and millions of other small things make blacks, on average, more prone to a lot of shitty shit. This is a group which, when the GOP is in charge, gets shafted way worse than other groups. When the EPA gets gutted and suddenly people are able to build some toxic shit, where do you think it'll go? The communities that can organize and defend themselves with lawyers and protests and other shit (that the poor simply do not have the time for) will be fine, but the communities that can not defend themselves will suffer immensely, as they have already.

As I continued typing shit, I realized I am preaching to the choir. You get it. Some people get shafted way harder than others. I still remember what its like to grow up without food security or housing security. I think Clinton will do more to protect vulnerable families like my own than Trump would. $150 makes a huge difference to many, many families, my own growing up included. I'm not sure what your situation was like growing up, but some Paul Ryan'esque entitlement cuts would have probably meant homelessness for my family. Clinton may have similarities with the GOP, but I don't think there's any argument to be made that Trump or Clinton would have meant the same situation for me growing up.


The fact that people making $0-25,000 a year would pay 0 income tax... doesn't that make Trump better for royally fucked families? I picture a Trump presidency as poorer families getting more for the dollars they earn. Even if wages went up less than Bernie or Hillary's proposals. You could technically make more by being taxed less. Without that constant pressure of taxation you could scrimp and save your own money. They can make their own choices with their savings because the government is off their back. Is this too simplistic and naive?


Yes, this is indeed a bit over simplified. First of all, my family was already paying almost zero tax because its already essentially as you described. You need to also consider, why are these people poor? Do they have jobs with lots of security? Probably not. So when they get laid off, what the fuck do they do? If you live paycheck to paycheck, losing your job is kind of a death sentence. unemployment gets you close, but you are accumulating debt by taking out new credit cards to cover the $300/month you just lost. The bootstrap model does not allow for volatility. It doesn't account for all the random hectic shit that tends to be involved with poor families. In my family's case, we also had other older family members to consider.

The big thing is volatility and consistency. The safety net allows for things to get wild for a bit, then go back to normal. By allowing my family to use foodstamps instead of a new credit card, my mom was able to avoid taking on more debt than she already had. If you get a job, but make about as much as you did before, yet you had to take out a small loan or credit card to make up the $600 you didn't have for a couple months, when will you be able to pay off this $600? In the end, you pay it off a year later for $1000.

People spend more and cost more as a result of unfortunate situations. When people are able to stumble, but not fall on their face, the country as a whole saves a ton of money. You know how if you don't replace your brake pads, you start actually grinding at some metal shit that thus costs WAY more to repair? Same deal.
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-10 23:26:52
May 10 2016 23:26 GMT
#75744
On May 11 2016 08:19 SK.Testie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 07:18 Mohdoo wrote:
None of this has anything to do with the realities of voting. We will have two choices this year. They can not, in any intellectually honest way, be considered equal. One advocates for $12.50 and the other would prefer to do nothing. Isn't the entire idea that some groups are really disproportionately fucked a really big deal to you?

One of the fundamental ideals behind BLM is the idea that there exists a population in the US which has the unfortunate curse of living in a parallel society to the rest of our country. Institutionalized racism and millions of other small things make blacks, on average, more prone to a lot of shitty shit. This is a group which, when the GOP is in charge, gets shafted way worse than other groups. When the EPA gets gutted and suddenly people are able to build some toxic shit, where do you think it'll go? The communities that can organize and defend themselves with lawyers and protests and other shit (that the poor simply do not have the time for) will be fine, but the communities that can not defend themselves will suffer immensely, as they have already.

As I continued typing shit, I realized I am preaching to the choir. You get it. Some people get shafted way harder than others. I still remember what its like to grow up without food security or housing security. I think Clinton will do more to protect vulnerable families like my own than Trump would. $150 makes a huge difference to many, many families, my own growing up included. I'm not sure what your situation was like growing up, but some Paul Ryan'esque entitlement cuts would have probably meant homelessness for my family. Clinton may have similarities with the GOP, but I don't think there's any argument to be made that Trump or Clinton would have meant the same situation for me growing up.


The fact that people making $0-25,000 a year would pay 0 income tax... doesn't that make Trump better for royally fucked families? I picture a Trump presidency as poorer families getting more for the dollars they earn. Even if wages went up less than Bernie or Hillary's proposals. You could technically make more by being taxed less. Without that constant pressure of taxation you could scrimp and save your own money. They can make their own choices with their savings because the government is off their back. Is this too simplistic and naive?


For the lowest income groups, social programs and being able to find employment are way more important than paying taxes.

That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
May 10 2016 23:29 GMT
#75745
On May 11 2016 08:19 SK.Testie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 07:18 Mohdoo wrote:
None of this has anything to do with the realities of voting. We will have two choices this year. They can not, in any intellectually honest way, be considered equal. One advocates for $12.50 and the other would prefer to do nothing. Isn't the entire idea that some groups are really disproportionately fucked a really big deal to you?

One of the fundamental ideals behind BLM is the idea that there exists a population in the US which has the unfortunate curse of living in a parallel society to the rest of our country. Institutionalized racism and millions of other small things make blacks, on average, more prone to a lot of shitty shit. This is a group which, when the GOP is in charge, gets shafted way worse than other groups. When the EPA gets gutted and suddenly people are able to build some toxic shit, where do you think it'll go? The communities that can organize and defend themselves with lawyers and protests and other shit (that the poor simply do not have the time for) will be fine, but the communities that can not defend themselves will suffer immensely, as they have already.

As I continued typing shit, I realized I am preaching to the choir. You get it. Some people get shafted way harder than others. I still remember what its like to grow up without food security or housing security. I think Clinton will do more to protect vulnerable families like my own than Trump would. $150 makes a huge difference to many, many families, my own growing up included. I'm not sure what your situation was like growing up, but some Paul Ryan'esque entitlement cuts would have probably meant homelessness for my family. Clinton may have similarities with the GOP, but I don't think there's any argument to be made that Trump or Clinton would have meant the same situation for me growing up.


The fact that people making $0-25,000 a year would pay 0 income tax... doesn't that make Trump better for royally fucked families? I picture a Trump presidency as poorer families getting more for the dollars they earn. Even if wages went up less than Bernie or Hillary's proposals. You could technically make more by being taxed less. Without that constant pressure of taxation you could scrimp and save your own money. They can make their own choices with their savings because the government is off their back. Is this too simplistic and naive?


Short answer that its too simplistic.

Long answer is that its all about what the minimum costs are that the american people want/need versus what the maximum tax can people afford. Then making a cost benefit analysis of which is actually more value per dollar spent. Its complex because the values relative and different from district to district, let alone state to state.

Lower middle class and lower class families near the mexico border should love the wall idea, if Trump promises it will be built by americans--because it would mean jobs. People as far north as montana could care less about the wall since it provides neither jobs nor security. Conversely, new businesses should all hate any candidate who is pro bank regulations because the first to suffer are borrowers who are not able to borrow as easily from banks on a tighter noose. At the same time, small business owners should love banking restrictions as it is better able to prevent same scale competition from popping up. Etc...

It would make more sense if some democrats voted from trump and some republicans voted for hilary based on which demographics in their specific local area benefits the most.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 10 2016 23:58 GMT
#75746
The rejection of international trade deals is a response to stagnate wages and a perception that they will not see the benefits of the trade deal. The argument that people don't understand economics is valid, but the simple fact is that the US government does little to sell these deals to the US population and does even less to address wage stagnation and a rising cost of living.

And this is also why protectionist platforms are so popular, even if they are flawed.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
SK.Testie
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada11084 Posts
May 10 2016 23:59 GMT
#75747
Thanks for the answers. I don't have the best grasp on America's social welfare net so I figured I was oversimplifying things there.

On May 11 2016 08:26 travis wrote:
That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?


The assumption thus far is that he's decently socially liberal and believes in social security & welfare and lower taxes for the poor. He's been adamant that, "we're not going to have people dying on the streets. We're going to take care of people." I assume he'll leave it unchanged until he brings it up. His big things he talks about most are trade & the border.
Social Justice is a fools errand. May all the adherents at its church be thwarted. Of all the religions I have come across, it is by far the most detestable.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 00:03:08
May 11 2016 00:02 GMT
#75748
re: plansix
I'd address both of them if I were in congress. In housing excess regulation at the local level is one of the common problems; though scaling that back from a federal level would be difficult.
Wage stagnation, I'd look to see what I could do; some of it is structural changes in the economy for which there is no truly good solution; as a stopgap adjusting some tax rates based on trends of who's benefitting could help smooth those out somewhat.

thread too busy, people answer when i'm busy typing response
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15737 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 00:06:37
May 11 2016 00:04 GMT
#75749
On May 11 2016 08:59 SK.Testie wrote:
Thanks for the answers. I don't have the best grasp on America's social welfare net so I figured I was oversimplifying things there.

Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 08:26 travis wrote:
That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?


The assumption thus far is that he's decently socially liberal and believes in social security & welfare and lower taxes for the poor. He's been adamant that, "we're not going to have people dying on the streets. We're going to take care of people." I assume he'll leave it unchanged until he brings it up. His big things he talks about most are trade & the border.


The wording that Trump uses makes it seem like he intends to expand social programs. Historically, Trump has always been in favor of single payer.

Edit: With regards to West Virginia,

Clinton is going to have a hard time in West Virginia because she's so violently anti-coal and obsessed with clean energy. Yet she is called a republican? She gets such a different label depending on who is attacking her at that moment.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 11 2016 00:06 GMT
#75750
I found what I was missing this election:

I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
May 11 2016 00:07 GMT
#75751
On May 11 2016 09:04 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 08:59 SK.Testie wrote:
Thanks for the answers. I don't have the best grasp on America's social welfare net so I figured I was oversimplifying things there.

On May 11 2016 08:26 travis wrote:
That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?


The assumption thus far is that he's decently socially liberal and believes in social security & welfare and lower taxes for the poor. He's been adamant that, "we're not going to have people dying on the streets. We're going to take care of people." I assume he'll leave it unchanged until he brings it up. His big things he talks about most are trade & the border.


The wording that Trump uses makes it seem like he intends to expand social programs. Historically, Trump has always been in favor of single payer.


Can you really expand social programs when you intend to cut taxes though? There is always the print more money plan I guess ^_^
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15737 Posts
May 11 2016 00:19 GMT
#75752
Clinton at 45% in West Virginia, highest she'll be all night

Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
May 11 2016 00:21 GMT
#75753
On May 11 2016 09:07 Blitzkrieg0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 09:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 11 2016 08:59 SK.Testie wrote:
Thanks for the answers. I don't have the best grasp on America's social welfare net so I figured I was oversimplifying things there.

On May 11 2016 08:26 travis wrote:
That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?


The assumption thus far is that he's decently socially liberal and believes in social security & welfare and lower taxes for the poor. He's been adamant that, "we're not going to have people dying on the streets. We're going to take care of people." I assume he'll leave it unchanged until he brings it up. His big things he talks about most are trade & the border.


The wording that Trump uses makes it seem like he intends to expand social programs. Historically, Trump has always been in favor of single payer.


Can you really expand social programs when you intend to cut taxes though? There is always the print more money plan I guess ^_^


Its really simple; you cut programs.

You cut taxes, bringing revenue down X
You cut social programs, reducing spending by Y

This means we have (X1 - X2) - (Y1 - Y2) to spend on other programs.

So long as the expanded/added programs (Z) is at least equal to the new X - Y, then you're fine.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23644 Posts
May 11 2016 00:35 GMT
#75754
On May 11 2016 09:19 Mohdoo wrote:
Clinton at 45% in West Virginia, highest she'll be all night



She did beat Obama there.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 11 2016 00:39 GMT
#75755
On May 11 2016 08:23 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/MotherJones/status/730169831069122560

I just want to point out that I love they are trying to pass that off as a data base error, but are still sending emails. It's like they hoped everyone would forget.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15737 Posts
May 11 2016 00:41 GMT
#75756
On May 11 2016 09:35 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 09:19 Mohdoo wrote:
Clinton at 45% in West Virginia, highest she'll be all night



She did beat Obama there.


White population helped her in 2008. She's relying much more heavily on black vote in 2016. States with high white populations tend to go well for Sanders.
SK.Testie
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada11084 Posts
May 11 2016 00:44 GMT
#75757
On May 11 2016 09:07 Blitzkrieg0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 09:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 11 2016 08:59 SK.Testie wrote:
Thanks for the answers. I don't have the best grasp on America's social welfare net so I figured I was oversimplifying things there.

On May 11 2016 08:26 travis wrote:
That said, I am not sure about his stances on social programs... is anyone?


The assumption thus far is that he's decently socially liberal and believes in social security & welfare and lower taxes for the poor. He's been adamant that, "we're not going to have people dying on the streets. We're going to take care of people." I assume he'll leave it unchanged until he brings it up. His big things he talks about most are trade & the border.


The wording that Trump uses makes it seem like he intends to expand social programs. Historically, Trump has always been in favor of single payer.


Can you really expand social programs when you intend to cut taxes though? There is always the print more money plan I guess ^_^


There's always issues of the government wasting money though which is a huge thing that's not a sexy topic to talk about because you have to go after each individual issue. Right now I think the government is extremely wasteful... I think you'd be hard pressed to find any governments that aren't either wasteful or outright corrupt. And the oversimplified version of it is basically that the government isn't spending their own money, so they are far less careful with it and care far less.

There's a tonne of instances that governments, municipal, state, federal etc have either dropped the ball or outright stolen public funds. And it happens not just at every level, but in every industry imaginable. Transit, tourism, military, medical, education, etc. It's not a sexy issue though so it doesn't get a lot of screen time unless it's a really, really big scandal. Then again Obama's foreign policy of training fighters who basically just went and joined ISIS or Al-Nusra could be considered a pretty massive blunder but that's not even getting at all the domestic funds being wasted.

The government needs to be reigned in a little and I don't see a vote for Clinton doing that.
Social Justice is a fools errand. May all the adherents at its church be thwarted. Of all the religions I have come across, it is by far the most detestable.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 00:59:42
May 11 2016 00:59 GMT
#75758


lol just lol
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
May 11 2016 01:03 GMT
#75759
Government wasting money is more of a meme than an actual thing that is studied. Sure, there are a lot of anecdotal things but any corporate has them, like my friend at insurance company built a 6k gaming rig with company money, and the amount usually trivial in the grand scheme of things. Is the government more or less efficient than private sector? Is local government more or less efficient than national level? I just don't know, and it's not like either party is all that enthusiastic in finding out.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23644 Posts
May 11 2016 01:06 GMT
#75760
On May 11 2016 09:41 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2016 09:35 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 11 2016 09:19 Mohdoo wrote:
Clinton at 45% in West Virginia, highest she'll be all night



She did beat Obama there.


White population helped her in 2008. She's relying much more heavily on black vote in 2016. States with high white populations tend to go well for Sanders.


She won by 40%+, I don't think it can just be written off as "She's appealing more to black voters this time around". Something bigger than that changed to make WV voters support her a LOT less than in 08.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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