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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3690

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-27 15:36:38
April 27 2016 15:30 GMT
#73781
--- Nuked ---
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 27 2016 15:35 GMT
#73782
On April 28 2016 00:30 Barrin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2016 00:27 Plansix wrote:
On April 28 2016 00:14 Barrin wrote:
On April 28 2016 00:04 Plansix wrote:
Yeah, its called reading between the lines.

Indeed "it" is.

He isn’t going to contest the nomination in a party he is not part of at their own convention. That is beyond stupid.

Aye, that does sound silly. But irrelevant, because he is in fact in their party.

He is going to take his issues to the remaining states and use his visibility to help other progressives that agree with his views. He wants to keep the discussion going,

Yup. I rather disagree with Mohdoo saying "the dream is so fucking dead".

Sanders was an independent until his run this year, which is how he got on the ticket.

Yup. How do you think this would affect a brokered convention?

I'm not sure it would at all, past simply being brought up.

It won’t because the convention won’t be brokered. At all. Hilary is going to get to 51% and then they are going to make her the nominee. If it was, it wouldn't help him at all, since he hasn't been part of that party for the majority of his political life.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21580 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-27 15:36:49
April 27 2016 15:36 GMT
#73783
On April 28 2016 00:30 Barrin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2016 00:27 Plansix wrote:
On April 28 2016 00:14 Barrin wrote:
On April 28 2016 00:04 Plansix wrote:
Yeah, its called reading between the lines.

Indeed "it" is.

He isn’t going to contest the nomination in a party he is not part of at their own convention. That is beyond stupid.

Aye, that does sound silly. But irrelevant, because he is in fact in their party.

He is going to take his issues to the remaining states and use his visibility to help other progressives that agree with his views. He wants to keep the discussion going,

Yup. I rather disagree with Mohdoo saying "the dream is so fucking dead".

Sanders was an independent until his run this year, which is how he got on the ticket.

Yup. How do you think this would affect a brokered convention?

I'm not sure it would at all, past simply being brought up. Is there still so much of a gap between Hillary's platform and Bernie's?

How on earth do you see a brokered Democratic convention happen, please enlighten us.
In what reality does Hillary not go into the convention with 51% or more.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
April 27 2016 15:41 GMT
#73784
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15509 Posts
April 27 2016 15:45 GMT
#73785
On April 28 2016 00:41 Barrin wrote:
In the one where Hillary does not go into the convention with 51% or more.


What chance would you say this has of happening? What % of the remaining delegates do you think Sanders will get?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-27 15:46:13
April 27 2016 15:45 GMT
#73786
Place your bets. Don't think he'll drop out rather challenge Trump to debates or announce Fiorina as his VP in hopes to grab undecideds.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-27 15:53:47
April 27 2016 15:48 GMT
#73787
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15509 Posts
April 27 2016 15:50 GMT
#73788
On April 28 2016 00:45 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Place your bets. Don't think he'll drop out rather challenge Trump to debates or announce Fiorina as his VP in hopes to grab undecideds.

https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/725330128264294400


VP for sure. 50/50 Fiorina or someone else. He's being very effectively framed as failed. Carly dropped out with like 1% support, lol. These attacks write themselves. Desperate. Desperate. Over and over spam that word and Cruz drops. I mean, why not try? Hopeless though.
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-27 15:52:16
April 27 2016 15:52 GMT
#73789
--- Nuked ---
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 27 2016 15:59 GMT
#73790
The proportion of Americans who say a religious day of rest is personally important to them has dropped to 50%, reflecting growing secularism over recent decades, according to a new poll.

A similar question asked in a 1978 survey showed 74% of respondents saying the Sabbath had personal religious significance.

The new poll also showed a big fall in those saying they attended weekly religious services, from 55% in 1978 to 27% now. Jews were least likely to attend services and Mormons were most likely.

The survey was carried out by YouGov on behalf of the Deseret News, a “family-oriented” news site based in Salt Lake City. It questioned 1,691 Americans across religious, racial, gender and age groups.

The poll found that more than six in 10 Americans agreed that it was important for society to have a day of the week set aside for spiritual rest. YouGov adjusted the day depending on the respondent’s religious affiliation: Sunday for Christians, Saturday for Jews and Friday for Muslims.

Young Americans – the so-called millennial generation – are the least likely to consider the Sabbath to have religious or spiritual meaning: 41% of those born in the run-up to the millennium said it was personally significant, compared to 58% of those born before 1945.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15509 Posts
April 27 2016 16:50 GMT
#73791
On April 28 2016 00:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
The proportion of Americans who say a religious day of rest is personally important to them has dropped to 50%, reflecting growing secularism over recent decades, according to a new poll.

A similar question asked in a 1978 survey showed 74% of respondents saying the Sabbath had personal religious significance.

The new poll also showed a big fall in those saying they attended weekly religious services, from 55% in 1978 to 27% now. Jews were least likely to attend services and Mormons were most likely.

The survey was carried out by YouGov on behalf of the Deseret News, a “family-oriented” news site based in Salt Lake City. It questioned 1,691 Americans across religious, racial, gender and age groups.

The poll found that more than six in 10 Americans agreed that it was important for society to have a day of the week set aside for spiritual rest. YouGov adjusted the day depending on the respondent’s religious affiliation: Sunday for Christians, Saturday for Jews and Friday for Muslims.

Young Americans – the so-called millennial generation – are the least likely to consider the Sabbath to have religious or spiritual meaning: 41% of those born in the run-up to the millennium said it was personally significant, compared to 58% of those born before 1945.


Source


Helps explain why social conservatism is a dead idea. This is a big reason I think Trump is a blessing in disguise for the GOP. No matter how you look at it, the current model is toast. They need a new brand. Trump is at least a different brand.
amazingxkcd
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
GRAND OLD AMERICA16375 Posts
April 27 2016 17:40 GMT
#73792
Trump's foreign policy speech was pure and utter bliss.
The world is burning and you rather be on this terrible website discussing video games and your shallow feelings
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 27 2016 17:43 GMT
#73793
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
April 27 2016 17:44 GMT
#73794
On April 28 2016 01:50 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2016 00:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The proportion of Americans who say a religious day of rest is personally important to them has dropped to 50%, reflecting growing secularism over recent decades, according to a new poll.

A similar question asked in a 1978 survey showed 74% of respondents saying the Sabbath had personal religious significance.

The new poll also showed a big fall in those saying they attended weekly religious services, from 55% in 1978 to 27% now. Jews were least likely to attend services and Mormons were most likely.

The survey was carried out by YouGov on behalf of the Deseret News, a “family-oriented” news site based in Salt Lake City. It questioned 1,691 Americans across religious, racial, gender and age groups.

The poll found that more than six in 10 Americans agreed that it was important for society to have a day of the week set aside for spiritual rest. YouGov adjusted the day depending on the respondent’s religious affiliation: Sunday for Christians, Saturday for Jews and Friday for Muslims.

Young Americans – the so-called millennial generation – are the least likely to consider the Sabbath to have religious or spiritual meaning: 41% of those born in the run-up to the millennium said it was personally significant, compared to 58% of those born before 1945.


Source


Helps explain why social conservatism is a dead idea. This is a big reason I think Trump is a blessing in disguise for the GOP. No matter how you look at it, the current model is toast. They need a new brand. Trump is at least a different brand.


How is religiosity "Social Conservatism?"

I had assumed social conservatism is => wanting a deregulation of social norms. In other words, keeping government out of the private/social space. Examples would be enforced separation of church and state but also no Civil Rights laws.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4698 Posts
April 27 2016 17:47 GMT
#73795
It should be a Pence endorsement but he's a coward.
"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
April 27 2016 17:48 GMT
#73796
On April 28 2016 02:40 amazingxkcd wrote:
Trump's foreign policy speech was pure and utter bliss.


Explain.
CannonsNCarriers
Profile Joined April 2010
United States638 Posts
April 27 2016 17:50 GMT
#73797
On April 28 2016 02:44 Naracs_Duc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2016 01:50 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 28 2016 00:59 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The proportion of Americans who say a religious day of rest is personally important to them has dropped to 50%, reflecting growing secularism over recent decades, according to a new poll.

A similar question asked in a 1978 survey showed 74% of respondents saying the Sabbath had personal religious significance.

The new poll also showed a big fall in those saying they attended weekly religious services, from 55% in 1978 to 27% now. Jews were least likely to attend services and Mormons were most likely.

The survey was carried out by YouGov on behalf of the Deseret News, a “family-oriented” news site based in Salt Lake City. It questioned 1,691 Americans across religious, racial, gender and age groups.

The poll found that more than six in 10 Americans agreed that it was important for society to have a day of the week set aside for spiritual rest. YouGov adjusted the day depending on the respondent’s religious affiliation: Sunday for Christians, Saturday for Jews and Friday for Muslims.

Young Americans – the so-called millennial generation – are the least likely to consider the Sabbath to have religious or spiritual meaning: 41% of those born in the run-up to the millennium said it was personally significant, compared to 58% of those born before 1945.


Source


Helps explain why social conservatism is a dead idea. This is a big reason I think Trump is a blessing in disguise for the GOP. No matter how you look at it, the current model is toast. They need a new brand. Trump is at least a different brand.


How is religiosity "Social Conservatism?"

I had assumed social conservatism is => wanting a deregulation of social norms. In other words, keeping government out of the private/social space. Examples would be enforced separation of church and state but also no Civil Rights laws.


You aren't describing a functional coalition. There is no group of people who want principled social conservatism (see the election of Barry Goldwater). But there is a dwindling population of evangelical Christians who would vote their Values into Law that punishes others (see success of Bush2, but failure of Cruz). Values Voters have no limited government principles and seek unlimited enforcement of their interpretation of their own religion on other people. The Values Voters have nothing to do with limited government, principled social conservatism.
Dun tuch my cheezbrgr
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 27 2016 17:52 GMT
#73798
Apparently Trump wants to force other nations to pay for US security, which is super dumb and impossible to enforce. But it fails to address the fact that doing that will cause the nations to seek assistance from US rivals. Trump doesn’t seem to understand that the free market doesn’t dictated the relations between sovereign nations.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
April 27 2016 17:59 GMT
#73799
On April 27 2016 22:19 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 27 2016 22:14 Incognoto wrote:
He's only 300 delegates behind?

That's not a bad number.


He needs 64% of all remaining delegates. That's almost 2:1. Clinton is up in CA and that's only gonna get better after last night. Delegates are awarded proportionally. Bernie has already indirectly said he's not running to win at this point. Clinton's win in NY clearly took a giant Dump on Sandernista morale, as evidenced by CT. Last night's results are lights out for the shaky support he had. When you run a campaign fueled by such intense rhetoric, you need to be winning. Losing so badly, using Sanders' rhetoric, makes people lose confidence, as we've seen. Looks like we were right all along. In the end, he missed his mark by quite a bit.

Anyone looking for a morning laugh, I have got you covered:

https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/comments/4gnyol/we_can_win_by_4060_pts_in_montana_north_dakota/

Show nested quote +

It is possible. We have the right candidate and the right message.
How is it possible? What's the path to victory? Obviously big wins, but how do those get achieved?
We need to make this exponential. If you do 50 calls for Bernie a day, that's amazing. If you can recruit 5 people to do 10 calls a day and get 2 of them to recruit another 5 etc then it'll rapidly swell to way more than you could ever do alone. If you talk to somebody enthusiastic about Bernie, get them involved.
Don't just spread the message. Spread the desire, spread the activism, get them to spend 20 minutes of their day getting Bernie elected. Make the west coast BERN like a wildfire.

Very few of the Democratic voters in the polls I worked at were under 30. There were a number of independents who did not know Maryland Primaries have same-day registration (and I ended up directing a number over to re-enroll and sign up for provisional ballots), but otherwise, the Bernie "demographic" did not show up at my polling place at all. That being said, Bernie was landslided in MD so it's to be expected.

In the under 30 crowd, I'd estimate there were more REP voters in the under 30 crowd than DEM voters, but the station I worked at was in a moderately Republican-slanted district.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9159 Posts
April 27 2016 18:02 GMT
#73800
Maybe Trump was more specific this time but last time I heard him talk about other NATO members having to "pay up" I'm pretty sure he wasn't implying they need to literally pay America for protection, I think he meant that they need to increase their military spending and pariticipate in American interventions around the world
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