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On April 27 2016 11:09 kwizach wrote: Hillary pulls ahead in Connecticut! The NY Times' live model currently has her winning by three points.
Wait, what? That would be enormous. 2/5 was expected, so going 1/4 would be brutal.
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On April 27 2016 11:04 Introvert wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:02 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 11:00 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 10:52 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 10:45 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Bernie supporters are more likely to flake out than the republicans. How do you figure? Clinton is more of a liberal Dem than Trump is a Republican. Bernie is rallying young voters who are notoriously flakey. I also expect Trump to make some big deals to get the Republican Party to rally around him. I just don't know what that means. Getting the party to rally around him is one thing, but getting people's votes is another. I wonder if Trump is really scary enough that Dems will show up just to vote against. Edit: I think you are right about the party, maybe. Trump can't self fund the general and so far donors are reluctant. I don't think that voting against someone is enough of a motivation to drive turnout. People need something to vote for.
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Trump really isn't that scary. He might be in fact more scary to Reps than Dems. Cruz OTOH scares the bejeesus out of me.
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On April 27 2016 11:11 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:04 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 11:02 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 11:00 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 10:52 xDaunt wrote:Bernie supporters are more likely to flake out than the republicans. How do you figure? Clinton is more of a liberal Dem than Trump is a Republican. Bernie is rallying young voters who are notoriously flakey. I also expect Trump to make some big deals to get the Republican Party to rally around him. I just don't know what that means. Getting the party to rally around him is one thing, but getting people's votes is another. I wonder if Trump is really scary enough that Dems will show up just to vote against. Edit: I think you are right about the party, maybe. Trump can't self fund the general and so far donors are reluctant. I don't think that voting against someone is enough of a motivation to drive turnout. People need something to vote for.
That's true most of the time. And by that token Trump doesn't do anything for a lot of GOP voters. I am very curious to see how this turns out. There is research for years that's going to come out of this election.
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On April 27 2016 11:14 ragz_gt wrote: Trump really isn't that scary. He might be in fact more scary to Reps than Dems. Cruz OTOH scares the bejeesus out of me. Frankly, if Dems really want to troll the fuck out of the Republican Party, they should vote for Trump this fall and see that he wins the presidency. A Trump victory will destroy conservatism as we know it.
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Trump is the republican party's best shot at long term survival. Social conservatism and trickle down are toast. It has no future and the signs are everywhere. Trump gives the party a way to tilt into a somewhat socially liberal, otherwise conservative country. It's interesting actually.
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I'm having a hard time thinking of a single thing Trump is conservative on. Also, losing in landslides is not good for parties. IDK, all these ideas seem like trying to make reality fit an idea, instead of just seeing it for what it is.
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On April 27 2016 11:10 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:06 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 11:02 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:59 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:55 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:48 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:45 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:38 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:36 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:25 kwizach wrote: [quote] So which not-indicted for corruption elected officials do you feel have changed their views because of the impacts of Citizens United? And which haven't (other than who you'll obviously mention, Sanders/Warren)? I want to know what word besides "corrupting" you would like to use to describe the influence of Citizen United so you can answer who (other than Hillary) you think is both using it, and not being affected by it's _____ influence. That's interesting, you can't answer your own question?  Sure I can. I think all of the politicians using citizens united (particularly, directly coordinating with a superPAC, and using dark money) and those opposing candidates who are, are affected, some more than others and clearly in different ways. I agree with Bernie, Hillary, and the DNC that it is "corrupting" even if you and I disagree on the threshold on the use of the word. Bernie and I disagree with Hillary and the DNC that it should be exploited in the process of gaining the power to stop it. Your turn. Apparently you can't, because you asked me to name some and you didn't. Which elected officials changed their views because of Citizens United? Like I said in the edit in my previous post: come on, I know you'd like to speak about anything else than the results currently coming in, but I made my position clear in my exchange with Nebuchad. I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. But you're saying someone can use use Citizens United, those superPAC's, and undisclosed donations and not think it's a problem. I'm asking who, other than Hillary, you think is doing that. I "can't" name someone specific, because I don't think it's happening. I asked you to name officials whose views have changed due to the effects of Citizens United, which is what you have argued has happened. I am not saying Citizens United is not a problem, or that the people who work in the current legal framework and make use of what can be done in the current system don't think Citizens United is a problem. On the Democrats' side, the position is overwhelmingly that the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance are terrible. That wasn't my question though. If it's not it's "corrupting" influence, what makes it so terrible? You're asking whose views haven't changed, I'm asking you whose views have. Anyway, you're going back in circles now, clearly looking for something to distract you from the results coming in. I'll repeat my position: I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. Thought so. You can't name a single politician using Citizens United, superPAC's and undisclosed donations and not being influenced by it's ______ influence other than Hillary. Nebuchad was right. Your semantic games were just that, games. Please, you can't answer your own question with regards to whose views actually been influenced. Sorry for exposing your loaded question for the phony line of attack that it is (you don't even seem to understand the difference between what SuperPACs and 501(c)(4)s can do, given your framing of the question about politicians using undisclosed donations, making it impossible to answer by anyone familiar with the issue). Like I've said, I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. If it's names you want, look at the entire current roster of Senate Democrats, for example. I have yet to see evidence that they have changed their views due to campaign contributions or the actions of SuperPACs or 501(c)(4)s. I haven't looked into it much, though, so if you have evidence of the contrary, do bring it up.
Clinton widening the gap in CT! 
On April 27 2016 11:11 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:09 kwizach wrote: Hillary pulls ahead in Connecticut! The NY Times' live model currently has her winning by three points. Wait, what? That would be enormous. 2/5 was expected, so going 1/4 would be brutal. I mean, it doesn't even make a difference given the fact that Sanders wouldn't have been able to close the gap in pledged delegates with Clinton even if she had been unviable in CT. But to see Sanders not even able to win it should send a clear signal to the people who thought he still had a shot.
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I can't believe Hilldawg might win CT. I'm not gonna hope, because Bernie the Disney Princess dream needs to be kept alive, just kinda because. But holy crap.
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On April 27 2016 11:11 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:04 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 11:02 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 11:00 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 10:52 xDaunt wrote:Bernie supporters are more likely to flake out than the republicans. How do you figure? Clinton is more of a liberal Dem than Trump is a Republican. Bernie is rallying young voters who are notoriously flakey. I also expect Trump to make some big deals to get the Republican Party to rally around him. I just don't know what that means. Getting the party to rally around him is one thing, but getting people's votes is another. I wonder if Trump is really scary enough that Dems will show up just to vote against. Edit: I think you are right about the party, maybe. Trump can't self fund the general and so far donors are reluctant. I don't think that voting against someone is enough of a motivation to drive turnout. People need something to vote for.
While I am inclined to agree with you in general on this principle, I don't think America has ever seen anyone like Trump run before. I genuinely think that's it's difficult to make predictions about voter turnout, based on that. It's too much of an unknown, and there's no previous experiences to really base expectations on that are (roughly) analogous.
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On April 27 2016 11:33 BallinWitStalin wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:11 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 11:04 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 11:02 xDaunt wrote:On April 27 2016 11:00 Introvert wrote:On April 27 2016 10:52 xDaunt wrote:Bernie supporters are more likely to flake out than the republicans. How do you figure? Clinton is more of a liberal Dem than Trump is a Republican. Bernie is rallying young voters who are notoriously flakey. I also expect Trump to make some big deals to get the Republican Party to rally around him. I just don't know what that means. Getting the party to rally around him is one thing, but getting people's votes is another. I wonder if Trump is really scary enough that Dems will show up just to vote against. Edit: I think you are right about the party, maybe. Trump can't self fund the general and so far donors are reluctant. I don't think that voting against someone is enough of a motivation to drive turnout. People need something to vote for. While I am inclined to agree with you in general on this principle, I don't think America has ever seen anyone like Trump run before. I genuinely think that's it's difficult to make predictions about voter turnout, based on that. It's too much of an unknown, and there's no previous experiences to really base expectations on that are (roughly) analogous. People said a lot of the same shit about Reagan.
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On April 27 2016 11:27 kwizach wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:10 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 11:06 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 11:02 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:59 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:55 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:48 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:45 GreenHorizons wrote:On April 27 2016 10:38 kwizach wrote:On April 27 2016 10:36 GreenHorizons wrote: [quote]
I want to know what word besides "corrupting" you would like to use to describe the influence of Citizen United so you can answer who (other than Hillary) you think is both using it, and not being affected by it's _____ influence. That's interesting, you can't answer your own question?  Sure I can. I think all of the politicians using citizens united (particularly, directly coordinating with a superPAC, and using dark money) and those opposing candidates who are, are affected, some more than others and clearly in different ways. I agree with Bernie, Hillary, and the DNC that it is "corrupting" even if you and I disagree on the threshold on the use of the word. Bernie and I disagree with Hillary and the DNC that it should be exploited in the process of gaining the power to stop it. Your turn. Apparently you can't, because you asked me to name some and you didn't. Which elected officials changed their views because of Citizens United? Like I said in the edit in my previous post: come on, I know you'd like to speak about anything else than the results currently coming in, but I made my position clear in my exchange with Nebuchad. I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. But you're saying someone can use use Citizens United, those superPAC's, and undisclosed donations and not think it's a problem. I'm asking who, other than Hillary, you think is doing that. I "can't" name someone specific, because I don't think it's happening. I asked you to name officials whose views have changed due to the effects of Citizens United, which is what you have argued has happened. I am not saying Citizens United is not a problem, or that the people who work in the current legal framework and make use of what can be done in the current system don't think Citizens United is a problem. On the Democrats' side, the position is overwhelmingly that the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance are terrible. That wasn't my question though. If it's not it's "corrupting" influence, what makes it so terrible? You're asking whose views haven't changed, I'm asking you whose views have. Anyway, you're going back in circles now, clearly looking for something to distract you from the results coming in. I'll repeat my position: I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. Thought so. You can't name a single politician using Citizens United, superPAC's and undisclosed donations and not being influenced by it's ______ influence other than Hillary. Nebuchad was right. Your semantic games were just that, games. Please, you can't answer your own question with regards to whose views actually been influenced.  Sorry for exposing your loaded question for the phony line of attack that it is (you don't even seem to understand the difference between what SuperPACs and 501(c)(4)s can do, given your framing of the question about politicians using undisclosed donations, making it impossible to answer by anyone familiar with the issue). Like I've said, I am disgusted by the effects of Citizens United on campaign finance. I agree that corruption can and does happen, and I agree that donations can have an impact on how some officials vote. I think "innocent until proven guilty" is an important principle, however, and the most important issue for me with Citizens United is the rise of SuperPACs and the ability of 501(c)(4)s to play a role in elections thanks to undisclosed donations. The problem is therefore far from limited to individual cases of corruption. If it's names you want, look at the entire current roster of Senate Democrats, for example. I have yet to see evidence that they have changed their views due to campaign contributions or the actions of SuperPACs or 501(c)(4)s. If you have evidence of the contrary, do bring it up. Clinton widening the gap in CT! 
Play on playa, play on.
I'll be plugging along, holding out for California, or the FBI, or Trump, to derail Hillary but if not, best of luck with that. Trump v Clinton may be one of the worst matchups for the country imo but I'll be damned if it's not going to sell tickets.
Trump comes out hard at the end. "All Hillary's got is the woman card. If she was a man I don't think she would get 5% of the vote. The beautiful thing is women don't like her".
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On April 27 2016 11:29 Mohdoo wrote: I can't believe Hilldawg might win CT. I'm not gonna hope, because Bernie the Disney Princess dream needs to be kept alive, just kinda because. But holy crap. The AP, ABC and NBC News have called CT for Hillary! Great night overall for her. It's more than time to rally around her against Trump, who's pivoting towards general election mode.
edit: and now CNN called it for Hillary as well!
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Is hilldawg really her nickname? I've never heard that before that's hilarious !
HILLDAWG FOR PRESIDENT
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Netherlands45349 Posts
Trump says scary shit but i'm not even sure he believes in half the shit he says Cruz says scary shit and I'm pretty sure he believes in that shit as well.
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On April 27 2016 11:46 radscorpion9 wrote: Is hilldawg really her nickname? I've never heard that before that's hilarious !
HILLDAWG FOR PRESIDENT
No, it's mainly me being a fucking idiot. I love referring to Clinton in the most almost-hip ways possible.
GH, what do you think Bernie's road to the nomination looks like now?
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On April 27 2016 12:06 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:46 radscorpion9 wrote: Is hilldawg really her nickname? I've never heard that before that's hilarious !
HILLDAWG FOR PRESIDENT No, it's mainly me being a fucking idiot. I love referring to Clinton in the most almost-hip ways possible. GH, what do you think Bernie's road to the nomination looks like now?
Road to victory is to keep on in case of emails just like how Hillary kept going in '08 in case of assassination attempt.
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On April 27 2016 12:06 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:46 radscorpion9 wrote: Is hilldawg really her nickname? I've never heard that before that's hilarious !
HILLDAWG FOR PRESIDENT No, it's mainly me being a fucking idiot. I love referring to Clinton in the most almost-hip ways possible. GH, what do you think Bernie's road to the nomination looks like now?
Well he's going to win more contests and delegates, those delegates are going to the convention, and they are going to help shape the platform regardless of how the race ends up. As for a path forward:
I'll/he'll be plugging along, holding out for California, or the FBI, or Trump, to derail Hillary. Maybe his supporters try to talk him into an independent run, but as the deadlines go, he may have to make moves before the convention (not sure which states deadlines come before the convention that he would need in a general) so that may not be entirely viable.
I'd support forcing the electoral college to decide/punt on it to expose why this game was rigged from the beginning, long before this election started.
But I'm a "radical" not really a Democrat if this is what the party wants representing them. Bernie, contrary to common wisdom, is not that "radical".
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On April 27 2016 12:06 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On April 27 2016 11:46 radscorpion9 wrote: Is hilldawg really her nickname? I've never heard that before that's hilarious !
HILLDAWG FOR PRESIDENT No, it's mainly me being a fucking idiot. I love referring to Clinton in the most almost-hip ways possible. GH, what do you think Bernie's road to the nomination looks like now? The Sanders campaign has essentially just conceded the race to the nomination. See here. They're basically saying they will focus solely on the issues, and on getting delegates to influence the Democratic platform at the convention -- no mention of trying to actually get the nomination itself.
I wish they had come to that conclusion sooner, because it has been a foregone conclusion for quite some time now and I'm sure his unjustified personal attacks of the last few weeks against Hillary will be (and they already are) used by Republicans in the general election. Still, it's a more than welcome development, and I look forward to seeing unity on the Democratic side. We'll have to wait until tomorrow to see how/whether he mentions Hillary in his next speeches, but I'm optimistic.
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4/1 is just a narrative thing
Anyways looks like I won a bet? Busy for work but I'll come up with some questions in the nest couple days
I look forward to a more constructive Bernie spreading the message and pushing downballot rather than throwing whatever might stick to try and win the nomination.
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