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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3569

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15690 Posts
April 07 2016 15:38 GMT
#71361
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?


2 coalitions and suddenly people remember why we have 2 parties.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
April 07 2016 15:54 GMT
#71362
You think Sanders had it bad from Daily News:

Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
April 07 2016 16:07 GMT
#71363
kwizach Laying down the lumber on the Bern.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
April 07 2016 16:13 GMT
#71364
I always find it difficult to figure out how news influences votes (if it does at all), but here's something that might lean women even more heavily towards Hillary:


Sanders’s latest broadside came after Clinton questioned Sanders’s recent comments about banking reform, which she said raised “a lot of questions” about whether he had done his “homework” on one of his signature issues. A Post article about those Clinton comments (which the Sanders campaign circulated) said: “Clinton questions whether Sanders is qualified to be president.” Clinton didn’t flatly say that Sanders is unqualified, though.

Regardless, Sanders responded at a rally last night as if she had say that:

“She has been saying lately that she thinks I am quote-unquote not qualified to be president.

“Let me just say in response to Secretary Clinton, I don’t believe that she is qualified if she is through her Super PAC taking tens of millions of dollars in special-interest money. I don’t think that you are qualified if you get $15 million from Wall Street through your super PAC.

“I don’t think you are qualified if you have voted for the disastrous war in Iraq. I don’t think you are qualified if you’ve supported virtually every disastrous trade agreement which has cost us millions of decent paying jobs.”

Source


And my news feeds are showing backlash among women:

Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 07 2016 16:13 GMT
#71365
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15690 Posts
April 07 2016 16:16 GMT
#71366
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-07 16:22:37
April 07 2016 16:17 GMT
#71367
The electoral college isn't bound to the popular vote, and I've got some subprime mortgages to sell you if you think they'll let the house choose the president lol
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 07 2016 16:18 GMT
#71368
On April 08 2016 00:54 Ghanburighan wrote:
You think Sanders had it bad from Daily News:

https://twitter.com/mlcalderone/status/717879834572009472

Honestly, I don't like news like that. I don't think it proves anything that you can make someone look stupid if you try because that's really easy to do. It only matters if you're trying to be charitable with questions and coverage and they fuck up.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 07 2016 16:22 GMT
#71369
On April 08 2016 01:17 farvacola wrote:
The electoral college isn't bound to the popular vote, and I've got a some subprime mortgages to sell you if you think they'll let the house choose the president lol

We would be in the most uncharted of waters if that took place. But I doubt it would happen. 3rd party bids normally end in whimpers and don't make a dent in the popular vote. I don't expect this to be any different.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15690 Posts
April 07 2016 16:28 GMT
#71370
On April 08 2016 01:22 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:17 farvacola wrote:
The electoral college isn't bound to the popular vote, and I've got a some subprime mortgages to sell you if you think they'll let the house choose the president lol

We would be in the most uncharted of waters if that took place. But I doubt it would happen. 3rd party bids normally end in whimpers and don't make a dent in the popular vote. I don't expect this to be any different.

Has a 3rd party ever had near the support trump and Sanders have? Neither align with the party they are running as
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-07 16:31:23
April 07 2016 16:28 GMT
#71371
On April 08 2016 01:07 JW_DTLA wrote:
kwizach Laying down the lumber on the Bern.

This race is becoming depressing, because I feel it's such a wasted opportunity. Right now the left could be pushing forward its progressive agenda with a united voice and drawing sharp contrasts with the Republicans' policy vacuity and bigotry. I truly hope that once it becomes absolutely clear to Sanders' campaign itself that they have no path to the nomination (which should be by the end of this month), Sanders will go back to a positive message only. I see the influence of his campaign advisors behind the change in tone, and he's better than that.

Anyway, in other news:

Key conservatives pushing Mike Lee for the Supreme Court

Prominent conservatives are lobbying Donald Trump to say that he will nominate Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) to the Supreme Court if he’s elected president.

And Trump’s main rival for the nomination, Ted Cruz, has already said he’d consider his best friend in the Senate for the seat that opened with Antonin Scalia’s death.

As President Obama travels to the University of Chicago this afternoon to deliver a speech calling for Merrick Garland’s confirmation, Senate Republican leaders are expressing confidence they can hold firm through the November election in refusing to grant him even a hearing. If Hillary Clinton wins in November, there will be pressure to quickly confirm Garland so that she could not appoint someone who is younger and more liberal. If she loses, then the next Republican president will get to nominate someone else.

While the rest of the mainstream media is preoccupied with the Garland battle, conservative luminaries are increasingly looking ahead to next year and quietly touting Lee as a potential nominee. Republican senators like this idea, and Democrats are figuring out how they’d respond.

Source
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 07 2016 16:35 GMT
#71372
On April 08 2016 01:28 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:22 Plansix wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:17 farvacola wrote:
The electoral college isn't bound to the popular vote, and I've got a some subprime mortgages to sell you if you think they'll let the house choose the president lol

We would be in the most uncharted of waters if that took place. But I doubt it would happen. 3rd party bids normally end in whimpers and don't make a dent in the popular vote. I don't expect this to be any different.

Has a 3rd party ever had near the support trump and Sanders have? Neither align with the party they are running as

Two relevant elections:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1824 (House chooses, only example)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1912 (third party beats a main candidate but loses on EVs)
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-07 16:56:09
April 07 2016 16:55 GMT
#71373
On April 08 2016 01:16 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?


Well, since most states are winner-take-all for electoral votes, it would have to involve him pulling from Clinton more than Kasich (which seems unlikely) or actually winning some blue states outright by beating Clinton without the support of the anti-Trumps (which also seems unlikely).
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-07 17:35:30
April 07 2016 17:17 GMT
#71374
On April 08 2016 00:54 Ghanburighan wrote:
You think Sanders had it bad from Daily News:

https://twitter.com/mlcalderone/status/717879834572009472

Is that considered quality journalism in America?


On April 08 2016 01:13 Ghanburighan wrote:
I always find it difficult to figure out how news influences votes (if it does at all), but here's something that might lean women even more heavily towards Hillary:

Show nested quote +

Sanders’s latest broadside came after Clinton questioned Sanders’s recent comments about banking reform, which she said raised “a lot of questions” about whether he had done his “homework” on one of his signature issues. A Post article about those Clinton comments (which the Sanders campaign circulated) said: “Clinton questions whether Sanders is qualified to be president.” Clinton didn’t flatly say that Sanders is unqualified, though.

Regardless, Sanders responded at a rally last night as if she had say that:

“She has been saying lately that she thinks I am quote-unquote not qualified to be president.

“Let me just say in response to Secretary Clinton, I don’t believe that she is qualified if she is through her Super PAC taking tens of millions of dollars in special-interest money. I don’t think that you are qualified if you get $15 million from Wall Street through your super PAC.

“I don’t think you are qualified if you have voted for the disastrous war in Iraq. I don’t think you are qualified if you’ve supported virtually every disastrous trade agreement which has cost us millions of decent paying jobs.”

Source


And my news feeds are showing backlash among women:

https://twitter.com/SlaughterAM/status/718106974806794240

Which is a god damn stupid reaction. He didn't say that she was unqualified because she was a woman, and didn't even imply that. He said that she was unqualified because of other reasons which could apply just as well to a male candidate.
edit : ha, didn't see the original article was from the Washington Post. That explains a lot.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
April 07 2016 17:21 GMT
#71375
On April 08 2016 01:55 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?


Well, since most states are winner-take-all for electoral votes, it would have to involve him pulling from Clinton more than Kasich (which seems unlikely) or actually winning some blue states outright by beating Clinton without the support of the anti-Trumps (which also seems unlikely).


Yes. Trump running 3rd ensures a Hillary 350+ EV majority because she wins almost every state even if she only gets 40% (ironically, the Trump primary plan).

Hillary + Cruz + Trump + Bernie all running in the general ensures...madness. Its possible that one will end up with 270 EVs because the plurality winner (Probably Hillary or Cruz) could win a lot of states at 30-35% vote totals. Or Trump/Bernie support could end up being more malleable, meaning that party's nominee would likely win (Hillary seems most likely) or it goes to the House if states (note votes mind you, Lincoln won a ton of electoral votes at 40%) split up enough. That would mean probably a Paul Ryan or Cruz presidency.

But the reason that is unlikely is also because most states have sore loser laws (like Ohio) so if you participate in a primary, but don't get that party's nomination you cannot get on the ballot.
Freeeeeeedom
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 07 2016 17:35 GMT
#71376
April 7 (Reuters) - The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s secret method for unlocking the iPhone 5c used by one of the San Bernardino shooters will not work on newer models, FBI Director James Comey said.

“We have a tool that works on a narrow slice of phones,” Comey said at a conference on encryption and surveillance at Kenyon University in Ohio late on Wednesday.

Comey added that the technique would not work on the iPhone 5s and the later models iPhone 6 and 6s. The iPhone 5c model was introduced in 2013 and has since been discontinued by Apple as newer models have become available.

The Justice Department said in March it had unlocked the San Bernardino shooter’s iPhone with the help of an unidentified third party and dropped its case against Apple Inc, ending a high-stakes legal clash but leaving the broader fight over encryption unresolved.

As the technique cannot be used to break into newer models, law enforcement authorities will likely have to lean on Apple to help them access the devices involved in other cases.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Ravianna26
Profile Joined March 2013
United States44 Posts
April 07 2016 17:38 GMT
#71377
On April 08 2016 01:55 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?


Well, since most states are winner-take-all for electoral votes, it would have to involve him pulling from Clinton more than Kasich (which seems unlikely) or actually winning some blue states outright by beating Clinton without the support of the anti-Trumps (which also seems unlikely).


Kasich's embrace of Obergefell was a complete betrayal of the GOP's conservative base so if the convention chose him you would see a lot of conservatives staying home in November. Yeah we don't want Hillary to be president however electing an unprincipled Republican would be even worse than a Hillary presidency.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 07 2016 17:40 GMT
#71378
On April 07 2016 16:59 Soularion wrote:
If anything, I think 'Hillary has jumped the shark in regards of attracting young, liberal voters' is a much more fair statement considering she's already struggled with the group and going after Sanders/young people so hard in the past week is sure to only alienate them further.

do you want me to teach you google?

as for sanders even if he endorses hillary eventually that process will be long and ugly.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 07 2016 17:56 GMT
#71379
On April 08 2016 02:21 cLutZ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 01:55 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?


Well, since most states are winner-take-all for electoral votes, it would have to involve him pulling from Clinton more than Kasich (which seems unlikely) or actually winning some blue states outright by beating Clinton without the support of the anti-Trumps (which also seems unlikely).


Yes. Trump running 3rd ensures a Hillary 350+ EV majority because she wins almost every state even if she only gets 40% (ironically, the Trump primary plan).

Hillary + Cruz + Trump + Bernie all running in the general ensures...madness. Its possible that one will end up with 270 EVs because the plurality winner (Probably Hillary or Cruz) could win a lot of states at 30-35% vote totals. Or Trump/Bernie support could end up being more malleable, meaning that party's nominee would likely win (Hillary seems most likely) or it goes to the House if states (note votes mind you, Lincoln won a ton of electoral votes at 40%) split up enough. That would mean probably a Paul Ryan or Cruz presidency.

But the reason that is unlikely is also because most states have sore loser laws (like Ohio) so if you participate in a primary, but don't get that party's nomination you cannot get on the ballot.

People often forget about the sore loser rules to prevent election disruption. Its why I find the talks of the Trump 3rd party turn amusing.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5606 Posts
April 07 2016 18:15 GMT
#71380
On April 08 2016 02:56 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2016 02:21 cLutZ wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:55 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 08 2016 01:13 LegalLord wrote:
On April 08 2016 00:36 Sent. wrote:
If Bernie and/or Trump run 3rd party, what happens when none of the candidates reaches 50+% of votes? Second round?

If no one reaches 270 electoral votes then the House chooses the president.


Hold the fuck up. So Trump is able to ensure a Kasich presidency by running 3rd party?


Well, since most states are winner-take-all for electoral votes, it would have to involve him pulling from Clinton more than Kasich (which seems unlikely) or actually winning some blue states outright by beating Clinton without the support of the anti-Trumps (which also seems unlikely).


Yes. Trump running 3rd ensures a Hillary 350+ EV majority because she wins almost every state even if she only gets 40% (ironically, the Trump primary plan).

Hillary + Cruz + Trump + Bernie all running in the general ensures...madness. Its possible that one will end up with 270 EVs because the plurality winner (Probably Hillary or Cruz) could win a lot of states at 30-35% vote totals. Or Trump/Bernie support could end up being more malleable, meaning that party's nominee would likely win (Hillary seems most likely) or it goes to the House if states (note votes mind you, Lincoln won a ton of electoral votes at 40%) split up enough. That would mean probably a Paul Ryan or Cruz presidency.

But the reason that is unlikely is also because most states have sore loser laws (like Ohio) so if you participate in a primary, but don't get that party's nomination you cannot get on the ballot.

People often forget about the sore loser rules to prevent election disruption. Its why I find the talks of the Trump 3rd party turn amusing.

Wouldn't it be lucky if there were antidemocratic laws on the books if they could stop presidential candidates we don't like?
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
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