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On February 02 2016 11:35 darthfoley wrote: well this is disappointing for me and for sanders
Wha? 50-50 is a win for Bernie, Hillary has been favored to win outright for the whole campaign. Plus he's going to blow her out in NH.
Not sure how O'Malley can justify staying in being in debt and getting 0% out of Iowa.
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Everyone on the GOP side obsessed with Rubio still lmao. Tomorrow's news has already been written!
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Cayman Islands24199 Posts
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It's too perfect. I didn't think Trump would appeal to moderates as much, but he hasn't even been hiding it as time has gone on, so I guess it's not a surprise at this point.
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On February 02 2016 11:35 darthfoley wrote: well this is disappointing for me and for sanders He was never going to crush Clinton outright. People who believed that were delusional.
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On February 02 2016 11:46 Plansix wrote:Show nested quote +On February 02 2016 11:35 darthfoley wrote: well this is disappointing for me and for sanders He was never going to crush Clinton outright. People who believed that were delusional.
I never said he would crush her. I was just hoping he'd be on the right side of the 50.7-48.7
@GH I think Bernie needs to win IA because the media is just going to write him off as "See, we told you so!" and I don't like that.
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I think there is something likable about the idea (caucus). Citizen interaction and all that.
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I'm on track to win both of my bar bets.
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On February 02 2016 11:48 Introvert wrote: I think there is something likable about the idea (caucus). Citizen interaction and all that.
I like the idea but its prob a mess. on 538 there actually discussion caucuses right now.
also carson cant even make good excuses anymore. remember when he was leading polls? lol
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from bbc
Ben Carson going home for 'a fresh set of clothes'
The Carson campaign has released a statement to dispel reports that the retired neurosurgeon was dropping out of the race. However, Mr Carson said he was leaving the campaign trail and returning to his home in Florida for "a fresh set of clothes", raising eyebrows among journalists.
also cruz's percentage slowly going down but dont think itll matter in the end.
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On February 02 2016 11:48 darthfoley wrote:Show nested quote +On February 02 2016 11:46 Plansix wrote:On February 02 2016 11:35 darthfoley wrote: well this is disappointing for me and for sanders He was never going to crush Clinton outright. People who believed that were delusional. I never said he would crush her. I was just hoping he'd be on the right side of the 50.7-48.7 @GH I think Bernie needs to win IA because the media is just going to write him off as "See, we told you so!" and I don't like that.
That last 30% favors Bernie heavy. It's not too late for Iowans to turn it around.
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On February 02 2016 11:54 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On February 02 2016 11:48 darthfoley wrote:On February 02 2016 11:46 Plansix wrote:On February 02 2016 11:35 darthfoley wrote: well this is disappointing for me and for sanders He was never going to crush Clinton outright. People who believed that were delusional. I never said he would crush her. I was just hoping he'd be on the right side of the 50.7-48.7 @GH I think Bernie needs to win IA because the media is just going to write him off as "See, we told you so!" and I don't like that. That last 30% favors Bernie heavy. It's not too late for Iowans to turn it around.
thats not what 538 said 15 minutes ago The Democratic race looks extremely close, with Clinton leading Sanders 51 percent to 48 percent. BUT, it’s going to be very difficult for Sanders to make up that deficit. There simply aren’t a lot of “Bernie blowout” zones. In very liberal, academic Iowa City (Johnson County), Bernie is leading by 15 percentage points, but that’s not as huge a lead as he might have expected there. And his leads elsewhere aren’t nearly as large. Plus, there’s still a good chunk of Clinton-friendly Polk (Des Moines) still out.
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On February 02 2016 11:52 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:from bbc Show nested quote +Ben Carson going home for 'a fresh set of clothes'
The Carson campaign has released a statement to dispel reports that the retired neurosurgeon was dropping out of the race. However, Mr Carson said he was leaving the campaign trail and returning to his home in Florida for "a fresh set of clothes", raising eyebrows among journalists.
also cruz's percentage slowly going down but dont think itll matter in the end.
So has Trump's. Prob most going to Rubio.
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Martin O'Malley's campaign is over. He's going to announce it later.
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On February 02 2016 11:57 GreenHorizons wrote: Martin O'Malley's campaign is over. He's going to announce it later.
Martin O'Malley's campaign has been over since before it begun
yeah rubio making a play for 2nd right now. still 3.1 percent behind though so basically same trump is behind cruz.
Bernie staying about same which is bad since theres less and less left for him to make up the gap
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In a dream world, I'd love to see Rubio beat Trump. It's about the same distance from Cruz -> Trump -> Rubio.
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I haven't seen any good analysis on the nature of final precincts. Like, any chance pcts turn around due to demographics etc.
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Anyone know how CNN went from 69% reporting to 63%?
On February 02 2016 11:59 frazzle wrote: I haven't seen any good analysis on the nature of final precincts. Like, any chance pcts turn around due to demographics etc.
Definitely on the Dem side. They favor Bernie as they are the more populous and college areas.
Huckabee and Santorum are going to drop out after this. Probably Fiorina and Gilmore (10 votes) too haha.
O'Malley was viable somewhere! Also Hillary is down to 50%.
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