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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2474

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 01 2015 00:25 GMT
#49461
in a two party system people tend not to care which candidate can adapt or improvise better but in a primary where the party's policies are roughly the same for every candidate it matters a lot more
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
November 01 2015 00:29 GMT
#49462
That is quite true, I'm also a rather unusual person in my preferences on these things
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-01 01:27:31
November 01 2015 01:26 GMT
#49463

And i don't know - there has to be alot more than what you assume there is to intelligence. Newton was intelligent. Einstein was intelligent. They looked at the same problem, one of them could not solve it. Why? Keep in mind that Einstein first developed his theory theoretically, then had it checked (it was a pure brainstorm, no technological advancement). So is Newton a stupid person now? He could've done exactly the same.

What the fuck are you talking about?

this is an awful example
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
November 01 2015 06:36 GMT
#49464
On November 01 2015 08:05 TheTenthDoc wrote:
You should elect people based on whether or not the policies they say they will implement will be better than the other candidates as well as any enumerated policy positions about hypothetical future happenings (like "I will not invade Iran unless XYZ"). Of course, there is also a trust element involved (which is why incumbents are generally better off).

Is there every really a case where you would elect a candidate whose policies you disagree with because of some bizarre, non-logical non-probabilistic semi-mystical intelligence calculus says that they're smarter than the other guys?

Edit: Semi-mystical is probably a better phrase here.
Also, observe track record about whether or not the policies they pledge to support have been followed through on in the past. That's one advantage of prior office and voting record. Politicians will say anything to get elected. Your judgment has to include reasons they'll hold to those policies or depart from them.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Eliezar
Profile Joined May 2004
United States481 Posts
November 01 2015 13:06 GMT
#49465
On October 31 2015 04:43 Plansix wrote:
The US healthcare system is a pile of garbage and is a joke compared to other nations. The fact that we even debate that it was functional before the ACA is embarrassing. But people worship the “free market” and assume it will solve the healthcare problem. Even though its impossible to get a quote on medical services or be 100% sure what your provider will pay.

But the invisible hand cures all problems.


Its still not functional after the ACA...

Insurance is a terrible system where companies do better by doing less.

But the degree to which I think its all a scam...from medicine prices to hospital practices (ie I got billed twice for anesthesia on a surgery a couple years back because one anesthesiast evidently left in the middle of my surgery and another took over and they EACH are able to bill for full...say what?)...is just out there.

Can't blame it on Obama though...he did something (or tried to?). But there needs to be a system that takes care of the people of the country, but most likely you need to either get rich or move to another country if you want good healthcare on a life scale. However, we have amazing surgery and preventative and so many other things here...
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18857 Posts
November 01 2015 14:12 GMT
#49466
Actually, it's the other way around The US is the world leader when it comes to palliative treatments; as for preventative medicine, unfettered access to healthcare is a core, threshold factor and in that regard the US is sorely lacking.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
November 01 2015 17:55 GMT
#49467
I want to mention that the shittiness of the US healthcare system has led to some pretty cool innovation in the private sector (where I work). But yeah, today right now I'd prefer we had good healthcare. If it weren't complete crap I might have gone ahead and went to med school instead of going into business.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
November 02 2015 00:46 GMT
#49468
So, how's the Clinton - Sanders battle going?
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23930 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 00:54:47
November 02 2015 00:53 GMT
#49469
On November 02 2015 09:46 OtherWorld wrote:
So, how's the Clinton - Sanders battle going?


Sanders made his first big ad buy

(CNN)Bernie Sanders released the first TV ad buy of his presidential campaign on Sunday, going on air in Iowa and New Hampshire with a biography spot that casts the senator as an "honest leader" who has long stood on principle, not politics.

Sanders' campaign will spend more than $2 million on the ad over the next 10 days, according to Michael Briggs, the campaign's spokesman. The large buy comes months after Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign went on air in the key early nominating states.

"Thousands of Americans have come out to see Bernie speak and we've seen a great response to his message," said Jeff Weaver, the campaign's manager. "This ad marks the next phase of this campaign. We're bringing that message directly to the voters of Iowa and New Hampshire."

To date, Clinton has released at least a dozen ads in the early nominating states. In the third fundraiser quarter Clinton's campaign spent $3.4 million on media, according to its filing with the Federal Election Commission.


Source

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 01:30:05
November 02 2015 01:28 GMT
#49470
On November 02 2015 09:46 OtherWorld wrote:
So, how's the Clinton - Sanders battle going?


RCP polling average

The numbers aren't the most useful (Bernie is almost certainly "doing better" that suggested due to his ability to generate turnout), but the trend is that as of two weeks ago Clinton stopped slumping after a good debate performance and an even better testimony in front of the Benghazi panel. The interesting thing will be to see who gets the lion's share of Biden's support, or if it splits down the middle. Still, anything could happen.

(come on guys, just confirm the goddamn Clinton Sanders ticket already, the combo would be like the Williams sisters versus me and my little brother in tennis).

Unrelated entertaining Onion Article
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23930 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 02:32:56
November 02 2015 02:28 GMT
#49471
On November 02 2015 10:28 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2015 09:46 OtherWorld wrote:
So, how's the Clinton - Sanders battle going?


RCP polling average

The numbers aren't the most useful (Bernie is almost certainly "doing better" that suggested due to his ability to generate turnout), but the trend is that as of two weeks ago Clinton stopped slumping after a good debate performance and an even better testimony in front of the Benghazi panel. The interesting thing will be to see who gets the lion's share of Biden's support, or if it splits down the middle. Still, anything could happen.

(come on guys, just confirm the goddamn Clinton Sanders ticket already, the combo would be like the Williams sisters versus me and my little brother in tennis).

Unrelated entertaining Onion Article


I can say after the "sexist" crap (in addition to her many flipflops) from the Clinton campaign, fewer and fewer Sanders supporters would consider voting for her.

Sanders Campaign manager did mention they would vet her for VP if she was interested though (Bernie slapped him on the wrist for that though lol).

As for the polls they've been analyzed pretty thoroughly and almost all are coincidentally polling Hillary favorable demographics at disproportionate rates. I'm not wrapped up in all that though. I'm seeing the differences on the ground. Hillary did get a good bit of energy on the ground following the Benghazi hearings and the JJ dinner though. We'll see how that holds up after the next batch of emails are released.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 02 2015 03:26 GMT
#49472
Fred Thompson has died.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Eliezar
Profile Joined May 2004
United States481 Posts
November 02 2015 09:46 GMT
#49473
On November 01 2015 23:12 farvacola wrote:
Actually, it's the other way around The US is the world leader when it comes to palliative treatments; as for preventative medicine, unfettered access to healthcare is a core, threshold factor and in that regard the US is sorely lacking.


I can go to the doctor for almost nothing at any point in time and as often as I want...
I have preventative medicines I take which cost me only like $10 a month or so...

But if something big happens to me I then end up hundreds of thousands in debt even though I have insurance AND may still not be able to get the treatment that I need and have paid $800-$900 a month into insurance for years... (actually I was paying only like $200 a month around 2002 and now I'm just under $900 a month...less than 15 years the cost of healthcare has gone up over 4x?!?!)

The US has the entire healthcare system backwards where they are great at getting flu vaccines out and treating bumps and scrapes, but the stuff where you need a doctor is incredibly expensive to the point that many people just don't get the treatment they need.

m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
November 02 2015 11:58 GMT
#49474
On November 01 2015 10:26 Paljas wrote:
Show nested quote +

And i don't know - there has to be alot more than what you assume there is to intelligence. Newton was intelligent. Einstein was intelligent. They looked at the same problem, one of them could not solve it. Why? Keep in mind that Einstein first developed his theory theoretically, then had it checked (it was a pure brainstorm, no technological advancement). So is Newton a stupid person now? He could've done exactly the same.

What the fuck are you talking about?

this is an awful example


It's actually quite decent for what i was trying to explain. Think about it a bit harder, maybe you understand "what the fuck i'm talking about".
On track to MA1950A.
corumjhaelen
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
France6884 Posts
November 02 2015 12:25 GMT
#49475
So Einstein was smarter than Newton because he managed to conciliate two theories that Newton didn't know of because one was devised a century and a half after him and he was busy inventing the very other ?
‎numquam se plus agere quam nihil cum ageret, numquam minus solum esse quam cum solus esset
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 13:36:28
November 02 2015 13:36 GMT
#49476
On November 02 2015 21:25 corumjhaelen wrote:
So Einstein was smarter than Newton because he managed to conciliate two theories that Newton didn't know of because one was devised a century and a half after him and he was busy inventing the very other ?


Newton didn't "invent" anything there. He actually stated, he can't tell why "gravity is happening" (and was annoyed by that), and that it's up to the reader to come to a conclusion. Like the Le-Sage theory. He certainly tried to think of a reason as to what's causing gravity and how it's working at vast distances.

And maybe my example wasn't clear enough, seeing that you have it completely backwards. I'm not saying Einstein is smarter. Exactly the opposite. There's no thing as "smarter" between those two.

Another example: are people with spatial visualization ability smarter than others? It's actually debated, but what would you say?
On track to MA1950A.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 13:58:25
November 02 2015 13:57 GMT
#49477
einstein is pretty smarter than newton.

the guy who will make the next breakthrough in this day and age is pretty smarter than einstein at least in maths.

but new ideas and insights are not always determined by who's smarter, so work hard and be critical and maybe you'll be the one... lol
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
corumjhaelen
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
France6884 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-02 14:54:29
November 02 2015 14:50 GMT
#49478
On November 02 2015 22:36 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2015 21:25 corumjhaelen wrote:
So Einstein was smarter than Newton because he managed to conciliate two theories that Newton didn't know of because one was devised a century and a half after him and he was busy inventing the very other ?


Newton didn't "invent" anything there. He actually stated, he can't tell why "gravity is happening" (and was annoyed by that), and that it's up to the reader to come to a conclusion. Like the Le-Sage theory. He certainly tried to think of a reason as to what's causing gravity and how it's working at vast distances.

And maybe my example wasn't clear enough, seeing that you have it completely backwards. I'm not saying Einstein is smarter. Exactly the opposite. There's no thing as "smarter" between those two.

Another example: are people with spatial visualization ability smarter than others? It's actually debated, but what would you say?

I don't care about your second question, I wasn't really part of the original debate. For the reste, appart from the term invent, which I choose because nothing came to me in English faster, I tried my best to understand what the hell you could have meant in your original post, because that sure is as unclear to me as my post should seem to you.

I am quite than skeptics about that Einstein smarter than Newton. At least not because of relativity theory.
And I'm also skeptic about that vision of science. Maybe it won't even be persons who make the next "breakthrough". Or no one will. Or someone lucky as you say (and researching the right thing at the right time in the right place obviously helped some people, and I'm not only mocking Watson and Creek :p )
Edit : for the at least in maths, maybe. Or maybe not, Newton made up quite a lot more maths than Einstein, and they certainly were quite complicated. And special relativity certainly isn't a good example of something horrificaly complex mathematically. I mean even Einstein managed it alone l-u-l.
‎numquam se plus agere quam nihil cum ageret, numquam minus solum esse quam cum solus esset
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
November 02 2015 15:04 GMT
#49479
On November 02 2015 23:50 corumjhaelen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2015 22:36 m4ini wrote:
On November 02 2015 21:25 corumjhaelen wrote:
So Einstein was smarter than Newton because he managed to conciliate two theories that Newton didn't know of because one was devised a century and a half after him and he was busy inventing the very other ?


Newton didn't "invent" anything there. He actually stated, he can't tell why "gravity is happening" (and was annoyed by that), and that it's up to the reader to come to a conclusion. Like the Le-Sage theory. He certainly tried to think of a reason as to what's causing gravity and how it's working at vast distances.

And maybe my example wasn't clear enough, seeing that you have it completely backwards. I'm not saying Einstein is smarter. Exactly the opposite. There's no thing as "smarter" between those two.

Another example: are people with spatial visualization ability smarter than others? It's actually debated, but what would you say?

I don't care about your second question, I wasn't really part of the original debate. For the reste, appart from the term invent, which I choose because nothing came to me in English faster, I tried my best to understand what the hell you could have meant in your original post, because that sure is as unclear to me as my post should seem to you.

I am quite than skeptics about that Einstein smarter than Newton. At least not because of relativity theory.
And I'm also skeptic about that vision of science. Maybe it won't even be persons who make the next "breakthrough". Or no one will. Or someone lucky as you say (and researching the right thing at the right time in the right place obviously helped some people, and I'm not only mocking Watson and Creek :p )
Edit : for the at least in maths, maybe. Or maybe not, Newton made up quite a lot more maths than Einstein, and they certainly were quite complicated. And special relativity certainly isn't a good example of something horrificaly complex mathematically. I mean even Einstein managed it alone l-u-l.


And i don't know - there has to be alot more than what you assume there is to intelligence. Newton was intelligent. Einstein was intelligent. They looked at the same problem, one of them could not solve it. Why? Keep in mind that Einstein first developed his theory theoretically, then had it checked (it was a pure brainstorm, no technological advancement). So is Newton a stupid person now? He could've done exactly the same.


That's what i said, or actually, asked. I didn't even make a statement there about one being more intelligent than the other. I said both are intelligent, both looked at the same problem, one could not solve it. Does that mean, one is less intelligent? That's what i asked. And from context of the rest of my postings, it should be clear what my opinion on that is: no.

"I am quite than skeptics" i don't really get, so i can't actually agree or refute anything there. I also never ever said "lucky", nor implied it.
On track to MA1950A.
corumjhaelen
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
France6884 Posts
November 02 2015 15:13 GMT
#49480
I don't think they looked at the same problem at all. And no technological advancement, given that the point of relativity theory was that Newton's and Maxwell's equations clashed is a bizarre way of stating things.
Second part is an answer to oneofthem.
‎numquam se plus agere quam nihil cum ageret, numquam minus solum esse quam cum solus esset
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