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[ASL19] Grand Finals - Page 32

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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gravity
Profile Joined March 2004
Australia1988 Posts
May 26 2025 03:04 GMT
#621
On May 26 2025 06:26 TMNT wrote:
Only foreigners care about goat and bonjwa. Korean don't.


On the Afreeca stream after the last game I saw a comment scroll by that was like "<Korean characters>GOAT", so I guess some of them care.
Galacsia
Profile Joined February 2020
Chile163 Posts
May 26 2025 03:24 GMT
#622
imo the biggest problem in PvZ is scouting. Protoss has the tools to fend off against anything from Zerg but not being able to know what's coming (especially early on) and considering Protoss stuff costs more than Zerg stuff, tends to make Protoss players invest a lot into something that may or may not pay off.
BeSt / Bisu ftw!!
bochs
Profile Joined February 2022
116 Posts
May 26 2025 03:25 GMT
#623
On May 26 2025 10:41 Simplistik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 05:25 BisuDagger wrote:
How many more wins does SK need to become part of the general GOAT discussion? Does he touch top 5/10 all time yet? SK lacks a team league presence that helps many other’s records.

I guess for team leagues we can look at KCM and Major Proleague and he's very good in both...


SK's performance in KCM is mediocre at best, and sometimes even disappointing. He seems to not put up his best fight when stake is not high enough. I remember he skipped a KCM finals even though he qualified.

Even in ro4 vs Snow and the finals vs Best, he was gambling with nonstandard plays trying to score quick and easy wins, and only pulled off standard play as plan B if that didn't work well. I wonder if he had played standard to start with, whether he'd 4:0 or 4:1 vs Snow and Best.
HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey766 Posts
May 26 2025 05:07 GMT
#624
Comparing different era is silly. I hope Flash returns next season and we will have some competition.
LpTraxamillion
Profile Joined October 2020
265 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 05:22:33
May 26 2025 05:19 GMT
#625
On May 26 2025 14:07 HOLYBATS wrote:
Comparing different era is silly. I hope Flash returns next season and we will have some competition.


Why is it silly? It is the exact same game it ever was and you can literally watch replays to judge the quality of play.

So many fans have rose tinted glasses when it comes to kespa, the nostalgia overrides objectivity
pyrogenetix
Profile Blog Joined March 2006
China5098 Posts
May 26 2025 06:23 GMT
#626
On May 26 2025 12:03 Highways wrote:
Game 6 and 7 shows that Protoss cannot match Zerg in macro game.

Best was powering for so long on 2 base and mass gateway, and couldn't even hold his third base against a Zerg who was massing drones with 4 base and going quick hive.

Agreed. Game 6 and 7 made it quite clear in a straight up macro game, protoss has no chance.
Yea that looks just like Kang Min... amazing game sense... and uses mind games well, but has the micro of a washed up progamer.
HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey766 Posts
May 26 2025 06:24 GMT
#627
No not the exact game. The game is much more different even from the last season. I would not compare even Flash vs SK ASL runs lets forget Kespa.
On May 26 2025 14:19 LpTraxamillion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 14:07 HOLYBATS wrote:
Comparing different era is silly. I hope Flash returns next season and we will have some competition.


Why is it silly? It is the exact same game it ever was and you can literally watch replays to judge the quality of play.

So many fans have rose tinted glasses when it comes to kespa, the nostalgia overrides objectivity

iopq
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States1060 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 07:48:05
May 26 2025 07:47 GMT
#628
On May 26 2025 15:23 pyrogenetix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 12:03 Highways wrote:
Game 6 and 7 shows that Protoss cannot match Zerg in macro game.

Best was powering for so long on 2 base and mass gateway, and couldn't even hold his third base against a Zerg who was massing drones with 4 base and going quick hive.

Agreed. Game 6 and 7 made it quite clear in a straight up macro game, protoss has no chance.


Did you not watch the Radeon game? It was a macro game, Protoss took ONE good fight at the 4th and basically won the game

and I would consider SK to be ahead after the weak zealot harass
iopq
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States1060 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 07:50:26
May 26 2025 07:49 GMT
#629
On May 26 2025 12:24 Galacsia wrote:
imo the biggest problem in PvZ is scouting. Protoss has the tools to fend off against anything from Zerg but not being able to know what's coming (especially early on) and considering Protoss stuff costs more than Zerg stuff, tends to make Protoss players invest a lot into something that may or may not pay off.


This is just ZvT in reverse, Zerg MUST go muta to start because you don't know what the Terran has. He could actually be going mech or valk or fast vessel, you just don't know seeing a barracks + 2 supply depot wall at the front

In the same vein, you must get at least one corsair to verify what the Zerg is doing and adjust after that
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1159 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 08:16:24
May 26 2025 07:53 GMT
#630
dont look at just the finals to determinenif P has a fair chance against Z. look at the entire bracket of a tournament. if you think that is too much, look at the top 8 instead.

for example best beat a queen who was in good shape.
or how mini stomped a highly active effort 4-0 in asl 16.
Asl15 best 3-1 action.
Or asl 13. Rain beat soulkey and soma. And then Bisu beat Soma in 3rd place match.

Or how Soulkey lost 4-0 vs snow last week in an online best of 7. the finals sample size is sooooooooooo small that it is not a good statistical representation of balance. Look at all best of sets over 5 or 7, offline and online, and you get the actual state of balance.


for example, you can flip a coin 10 times and get head 8 times and tails two times. but if you flip it 100 times you will be much closer to 50/50. and if you flip it a 1000 times you will be even closer to 500/500. Small sample sizes are terrible for data interpretation.
JDON MY SOUL!
femtehjulet
Profile Joined October 2018
19 Posts
May 26 2025 08:52 GMT
#631
On May 26 2025 16:53 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
dont look at just the finals to determinenif P has a fair chance against Z. look at the entire bracket of a tournament. if you think that is too much, look at the top 8 instead.

for example best beat a queen who was in good shape.
or how mini stomped a highly active effort 4-0 in asl 16.
Asl15 best 3-1 action.
Or asl 13. Rain beat soulkey and soma. And then Bisu beat Soma in 3rd place match.

Or how Soulkey lost 4-0 vs snow last week in an online best of 7. the finals sample size is sooooooooooo small that it is not a good statistical representation of balance. Look at all best of sets over 5 or 7, offline and online, and you get the actual state of balance.


for example, you can flip a coin 10 times and get head 8 times and tails two times. but if you flip it 100 times you will be much closer to 50/50. and if you flip it a 1000 times you will be even closer to 500/500. Small sample sizes are terrible for data interpretation.


Agree. Best - Queen 4-3, Snow - SK 3-4, Best - SK 3-4. What more to ask for in terms of balance?
1 Z, 1 T and 2 P top 4.

SK is imba. Not Z vs P.
iFU.pauline
Profile Joined September 2009
France1680 Posts
May 26 2025 09:44 GMT
#632
On May 26 2025 14:19 LpTraxamillion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 14:07 HOLYBATS wrote:
Comparing different era is silly. I hope Flash returns next season and we will have some competition.


Why is it silly? It is the exact same game it ever was and you can literally watch replays to judge the quality of play.

So many fans have rose tinted glasses when it comes to kespa, the nostalgia overrides objectivity


It is not the exact same game, you could make a comparison if the maps were identical. Destination alone would break the current meta in z v p for instance, so the skill gap might not be as obvious as you state, and he depends also which players we are talking about of course... Btw, MAKE TAU CROSS GREAT AGAIN!
No coward soul is mine, No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere, I see Heaven's glories shine, And Faith shines equal arming me from Fear
Bonyth
Profile Joined August 2010
Poland595 Posts
May 26 2025 10:04 GMT
#633
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.
M2
Profile Joined December 2002
Bulgaria4141 Posts
May 26 2025 10:11 GMT
#634
Honestly, if anything, this ASL showed that perhaps Protoss is finding its way vs Zerg. As many already said, losing 3:4 vs Soulkey is most likely not a balance issue. However, the ZvP fatigue is for so long, that people cannot appreciate that perhaps things are changing. Also just two big tournaments per year are not really enough to claim a pattern.
Knife kitty, night kitty, put you on a slab. Stealthy kitty, hunter kitty, stab stab stab :-)
M2
Profile Joined December 2002
Bulgaria4141 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 10:17:48
May 26 2025 10:16 GMT
#635
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

I am curious how will the statistics look like if we make a point system for all the tournaments semifinals and finals, where semifinal is 1 point, final - 2p and a winner - 3p. and see how many points each race will get, since, just the winners might not be the best measure, but ro376 doesn't show a lot too
Knife kitty, night kitty, put you on a slab. Stealthy kitty, hunter kitty, stab stab stab :-)
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1159 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 10:22:49
May 26 2025 10:20 GMT
#636
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

you are trying to confirm your bias instead of looking at data objectively. If you want accurate data, look at everything. Ultimate Battle, Chinese spons, Kcm, proleagues, other tournaments, etc. Looking at just one single subset of data to draw conclusions is not accurate. In the remastered era 99% of play is online. Take the online data into consideration because thats where most of the competition happens. ASL is the most premier tournament, but its data is not more important than the rest. Heck, most competitors perform worse in ASL than they do in online competition, in the comfort of their own home and own set-up. Judging players on their ability to play in a sub-optimal environment is going to create inaccurate data. It just shows which individuals can perform best in that sub-optimal environment.
JDON MY SOUL!
M2
Profile Joined December 2002
Bulgaria4141 Posts
May 26 2025 10:22 GMT
#637
On May 26 2025 19:20 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

you are trying to confirm your bias instead of looking at data objectively. If you want accurate data, look at everything. Ultimate Battle, Chinese spons, Kcm, proleagues, other tournaments, etc. Looking at just one single subset of data to draw conclusions is not accurate. In the remastered era 99% of play is online. Take the online data into consideration because thats where most of the competition happens. ASL is the most premier tournament, but its data is not more important than the rest.

Do we have this data though? What does it show?
Knife kitty, night kitty, put you on a slab. Stealthy kitty, hunter kitty, stab stab stab :-)
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1159 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 10:25:41
May 26 2025 10:25 GMT
#638
On May 26 2025 19:22 M2 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 19:20 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

you are trying to confirm your bias instead of looking at data objectively. If you want accurate data, look at everything. Ultimate Battle, Chinese spons, Kcm, proleagues, other tournaments, etc. Looking at just one single subset of data to draw conclusions is not accurate. In the remastered era 99% of play is online. Take the online data into consideration because thats where most of the competition happens. ASL is the most premier tournament, but its data is not more important than the rest.

Do we have this data though? What does it show?

we do. you can find every match in which money was in someway invovled on eloboard. Some of the starcast soop duels get removed on request by starcast because he wants to paywall the games behind membership on his YT. the criteria to qualify for reporting on eloboard is for both player's POV to be on vod.

https://eloboard.com/men/bbs/board.php?bo_table=rank_list
JDON MY SOUL!
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3122 Posts
May 26 2025 10:25 GMT
#639
On May 26 2025 19:20 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

you are trying to confirm your bias instead of looking at data objectively. If you want accurate data, look at everything. Ultimate Battle, Chinese spons, Kcm, proleagues, other tournaments, etc. Looking at just one single subset of data to draw conclusions is not accurate. In the remastered era 99% of play is online. Take the online data into consideration because thats where most of the competition happens. ASL is the most premier tournament, but its data is not more important than the rest. Heck, most competitors perform worse in ASL than they do in online competition, in the comfort of their own home and own set-up. Judging players on their ability to play in a sub-optimal environment is going to create inaccurate data. It just shows which individuals can perform best in that sub-optimal environment.

I'm surprised you said this when you know full well the global PvZ win rate on eloboard is 47.4% out of 25k games that cover all of the tournaments above.
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1159 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-05-26 10:45:01
May 26 2025 10:28 GMT
#640
On May 26 2025 19:25 TMNT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2025 19:20 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
On May 26 2025 19:04 Bonyth wrote:
People really use tournament statistics to defend the balance and protoss race? We have 20+ years of tournament statistics, least protoss champions, least protoss bonjwas.
But hey, 'you are not looking at the statistics correctly, look at them in the way i look at them: most protoss representatives in ro376'.

you are trying to confirm your bias instead of looking at data objectively. If you want accurate data, look at everything. Ultimate Battle, Chinese spons, Kcm, proleagues, other tournaments, etc. Looking at just one single subset of data to draw conclusions is not accurate. In the remastered era 99% of play is online. Take the online data into consideration because thats where most of the competition happens. ASL is the most premier tournament, but its data is not more important than the rest. Heck, most competitors perform worse in ASL than they do in online competition, in the comfort of their own home and own set-up. Judging players on their ability to play in a sub-optimal environment is going to create inaccurate data. It just shows which individuals can perform best in that sub-optimal environment.

I'm surprised you said this when you know full well the global PvZ win rate on eloboard is 47.4% out of 25k games that cover all of the tournaments above.


didnt we also once reduce the pool of players used in the data to top 5 for each race and get even closer to 50%, by removing weak links like ysc and tyson for example. Also 47.4% is quite close to 50/50.


also zerg has 44.9% vs terran. statistically thats, based on your argument, much worse, which it is.


[image loading]


also if we look at statistics by map, we do see maps that have negative zerg winratea. Citadel, invader, butter, blitz y, tempest, minstrel, Revolver for example. Apocalypse seems most balanced at 50.8%
JDON MY SOUL!
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