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[MSL] Nate MSL - Ro16 Day 3 - Page 29

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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Prev 1 27 28 29 30 Next All
Vasoline73
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States7827 Posts
December 24 2009 14:47 GMT
#561
People really think that Flash losing Bo1 matches against BeSt and Stork is going to lead to a Bo5 slaughter?

Yeah right. A series is way different than a Bo1 and we haven't seen Flash play a vP Bo5 since his series against Backho in GSL Season 1... August 2007 (pretty sure about that...)

I think it would be way closer than most people think and Flash's vP is definitely not bad. Dragons have constantly gone for special builds against Flash that wouldn't work as well in a series and I think Flash would still be a favorite against BeSt
usopsama
Profile Joined April 2008
6502 Posts
December 24 2009 15:30 GMT
#562
Don't worry, Jangbi. No one expected you to win. It is all about Stork now. =P
dcberkeley
Profile Joined July 2009
Canada844 Posts
December 24 2009 15:43 GMT
#563
The less zergs there are, the more happy I am.
Moktira is da bomb
SuperArc
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Austria7781 Posts
December 24 2009 15:51 GMT
#564
On December 24 2009 23:47 Vasoline73 wrote:
People really think that Flash losing Bo1 matches against BeSt and Stork is going to lead to a Bo5 slaughter?

Yeah right. A series is way different than a Bo1 and we haven't seen Flash play a vP Bo5 since his series against Backho in GSL Season 1... August 2007 (pretty sure about that...)

I think it would be way closer than most people think and Flash's vP is definitely not bad. Dragons have constantly gone for special builds against Flash that wouldn't work as well in a series and I think Flash would still be a favorite against BeSt


Best used his macro to beat Flash. Believe it or not, but macro doesnt change from game to game. It would work as well in a bo5 as in a bo1.

And Stork, Best, Flash have all played several bo5s in their life, so there isnt any advantage for Flash too since he isnt a bo5 monster like JD.
Snow - future of protoss! :) Nada = baller
iamho
Profile Joined June 2009
United States3347 Posts
December 24 2009 16:09 GMT
#565
wtf is this, now theres probably only going to be one zerg in the ro8. i dont like zvzs but i prefer them to tvts and pvts
Tien
Profile Joined January 2003
Russian Federation4447 Posts
December 24 2009 16:20 GMT
#566
Season of the swarm ended pretty fast.
We decide our own destiny
Xiphos
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Canada7507 Posts
December 24 2009 16:34 GMT
#567
On December 25 2009 01:09 iamho wrote:
wtf is this, now theres probably only going to be one zerg in the ro8. i dont like zvzs but i prefer them to tvts and pvts


Well you still have Kwanro and ZerO but ZerO will probably be toasted by Flash and Bogus have Hwasin to train his MnM controls so Kwanro will probably be taken out. Lol only Jaedong in Round of 8, can't believe that it ended like this.
2014 - ᕙ( •̀ل͜•́) ϡ Raise your bows brood warriors! ᕙ( •̀ل͜•́) ϡ
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
December 24 2009 16:35 GMT
#568
So, a very high possibility of 1 T in the OSL and 1 Z in the MSL -- Flash and Jaedong, stalwarts of their race.

Protoss dark age? Wuzzat?
Remember Violet.
Vasoline73
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States7827 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-24 17:04:33
December 24 2009 16:53 GMT
#569
On December 25 2009 00:51 SuperArc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2009 23:47 Vasoline73 wrote:
People really think that Flash losing Bo1 matches against BeSt and Stork is going to lead to a Bo5 slaughter?

Yeah right. A series is way different than a Bo1 and we haven't seen Flash play a vP Bo5 since his series against Backho in GSL Season 1... August 2007 (pretty sure about that...)

I think it would be way closer than most people think and Flash's vP is definitely not bad. Dragons have constantly gone for special builds against Flash that wouldn't work as well in a series and I think Flash would still be a favorite against BeSt


Best used his macro to beat Flash. Believe it or not, but macro doesnt change from game to game. It would work as well in a bo5 as in a bo1.

And Stork, Best, Flash have all played several bo5s in their life, so there isnt any advantage for Flash too since he isnt a bo5 monster like JD.

BeSt beat Flash with a 2 base carrier build on Colo in their first meeting. Then Flash mis-scouted Best's cancelled nexus as a reaver build on TOTM and pulled back his early force which would have won if he had just pushed forwards instead of pulling back to defend from a reaver that wasn't coming. Those matches definitely weren't macro wars...

And then on Fighting Spirit Best had a planned out well thought out fast observer build that gave him full scouting and at the same time denied Flash from seeing anything until he got scans up. The build was specifically designed for Flash and you can tell watching the game... sure he macroed while executing the build but it's not like he just did some standard build he would usually go for and just straight outmacro'ed Flash. There was alot of mind games behind him paying specific attention to denying Flash from scouting (Flash had to put turrets up and delay expoing), getting the observers in (how many protoss send in two obs at once just to get one in?) and his overall game plan..

And what I'm saying is that it's easy to prepare that well for a Bo1 in PL and to force mistakes (especially in the 'weak matchups like P>T T>Z and Z>P), but much harder to do in a best of 5 in MSL or OSL. I really think BeSt would have a 30% chance against Flash in a Bo5 once mind games kick in.

Really if Best was so far ahead in macro and PvT then why is he fighting close games against Canata in MSL or dropping out in OSL to n.die_ddong? Canata has the same "boring macro" style as Flash right? Are they better TvP'ers than Flash?

Once BeSt is out of his element and facing 5 games where he isn't totally aware of what's coming from Flash it's going to be a way different story than a one off PL game where he carefully planned his build to perfectly outsmart Flash. It's just way harder in a best of 5 to play control builds every game.

And btw, this isn't a Flash apologist post, I'm just saying there's alot more to these games than "Best had more units than Flash so he's better at macro" and "Flash has been losing alot of TvPs so he's not a favorite vs a mediocre protoss let alone a dragon in a Bo5"...most of the PvTs Flash has been losing are one off builds that couldn't be used every game and probably wouldn't show up in a series.. like Stork's build on HBR.. he couldn't use that every game, he just gambled on Flash not expecting it in a one off match..
]343[
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States10328 Posts
December 24 2009 17:40 GMT
#570
yeahhhhh stats~~~ 4/4 MSL liquibet!
Writer
hyst.eric.al
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States2332 Posts
December 24 2009 17:41 GMT
#571
those were some good predictions
Leta , BeSt, Calm fan forever! 김정우, I am sorry I ever lost faith in you.
MuffinDude
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States3837 Posts
December 24 2009 17:50 GMT
#572
Jangbi... T_T
Zerg can be so abusive sometimes | third member of the "loli is not a crime club" PM konadora to join!
InDaHouse
Profile Joined May 2008
Sweden956 Posts
December 24 2009 19:16 GMT
#573
I look at the results and 'fuck' JangBi lost -_-
Stork protoss legend
t_co
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
United States702 Posts
December 24 2009 19:26 GMT
#574
Scara, you said that they advanced to the Ro16 in your OP results... shouldn't they be advancing to the Ro8? :D
"Look, don't congratulate us when we buy a company, congratulate us when we sell it. Because any fool can overpay and buy a company, so long as there is money to buy it." --Henry Kravis
skronch
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States2717 Posts
December 24 2009 19:53 GMT
#575
holy crap just watched the jaedong game....that was utter rape
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
December 24 2009 20:48 GMT
#576
WIth how Best is playing against Terran, i'd honestly have him as a fav over Flash if they were to meet in the next round.
mog87
Profile Joined October 2008
United States1586 Posts
December 24 2009 20:58 GMT
#577
On December 24 2009 20:41 cokencheese wrote:
Jangbi isn't exactly known for his harrass ability, no way he would've come back after getting in an early deficit like that.

Even Stats is a pretty straightforward player from what I've seen.



All Jangbi does his harrass, that how he usually rapes lesser zergs they cant handle his multitask, did you ever see jangbi vs forgg in PL finals or some his games vs nada? Saying jangbi isnt known for his harass is like saying flash isnt known for macro or turtling.
mog87
Profile Joined October 2008
United States1586 Posts
December 24 2009 21:01 GMT
#578
On December 25 2009 05:48 On_Slaught wrote:
WIth how Best is playing against Terran, i'd honestly have him as a fav over Flash if they were to meet in the next round.


I wouldnt...he did lose to Lomo and If.Classic (cool build), hes not invincible but hes certainly picked his form back up, Id still put Flash the favorite at like 70% in a bo5.
darktreb
Profile Joined May 2007
United States3017 Posts
December 24 2009 22:01 GMT
#579
On December 25 2009 06:01 mog87 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 25 2009 05:48 On_Slaught wrote:
WIth how Best is playing against Terran, i'd honestly have him as a fav over Flash if they were to meet in the next round.


I wouldnt...he did lose to Lomo and If.Classic (cool build), hes not invincible but hes certainly picked his form back up, Id still put Flash the favorite at like 70% in a bo5.


I don't know about 70% but I think Flash is a slight favorite against Best in a BO5 too, given that he'd have to practice extremely hard for it.

But the numbers don't lie - it's been a rough year for Flash against the top Protoss players. Nothing a couple of big BO5 wins can't bring back though. Right now it's looking like a decent chance of Flash vs Bogus anyway which I think everyone can agree will be a slaughter.
Kinky
Profile Blog Joined September 2008
United States4126 Posts
December 24 2009 22:14 GMT
#580
Stats' wins always ruin my day -_-
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