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Why Hwaseung Oz Will Win the Proleague

Forum Index > BW General
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Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8171 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-08-01 19:26:28
July 19 2009 22:44 GMT
#1
Why Hwaseung Oz will win the Proleague
By Ideas

Almost exactly one week ago I wrote this article about how STX was going to win the Proleague. HOWEVER, I started writing that article long before I knew what the format of the playoffs would be and before I realized the harshness of the real world (that fairy tales don’t exist and the good guy doesn't always win). Now sit back and learn what life is REALLY like and why Hwaseung Oz will win this Proleague.

[image loading]


1. Hunger


In March of this year Oz’s well-deserved Winners League trophy was stolen from them right before victory by the unbelievably cheesy and untalented SkyHigh. After defeating Jaedong on the gravely Terran-favoring map Rush Hour 3 with both a positional advantage and BO advantage (supply barracks supply is so anti-5pool), he cheesed 2 non-Backho Protosses and defeated poor Hiya in the final match (who just couldn’t stand the pressure is all). Every night before each Oz member goes to bed, they pray for the death of SkyHigh and another shot at a Proleague title. Well, here it is.

2. The Tyrant

[image loading]

(Z)Jaedong


EVER2007 OSL. Batoo OSL. GOMTV S4 MSL. GSL S1. WCG Korea 2008. Averatec Intel Classic Special Match. Most wins Shinhan 08-09 Proleague. Career 244-111 (68.73%). Father of the greatest 27-game streak of all time. What else needs to be said of this StarCraft Prodigy? Everyone fears this man, no one questions his success. Undoubtedly the strongest and most-skilled player to ever pick up a mouse, Jaedong cannot and will not be stopped. A few fluke wins can’t keep this man down, and once whichever pathetic team arises from the playoff semifinals to meet Oz, Jaedong will unquestionably lay an amazing beatdown on whoever the opposition sends to snipe him. He will be well-rested and extremely in shape, and we will probably see this monster take StarCraft to a whole new level come late July.

3. The Format

[image loading]
"Fair's fair"

There is no doubt that Hwaseung’s coach was the main architect of the Proleague Playoffs format. The format has already proven to fully maximize S-class players. In this format, Hwaseung Oz players need to only nab 2 wins in 1 match and then hand it off to Jaedong for the slam-dunk (who can win his set, the ace match, and then the super-ace match for the win). In fact, JD might be able to even lose one of his games (although that event is very unlikely) as KHAN has already proven that a team can win in this format based almost solely on fluke wins. While at 1st that may seem bad for Oz, fear not: a rested Jaedong does not suffer fluke loses.

4. Practice Partners

4.1

[image loading]
(T)HiyA


Although in a small slump right now, Hiya was once one of the beastliest Terrans in the league, with the 4th best record of anyone in Winner’s League (basically the best performer outside of JD/flash/Bisu). His recent record may seem awful to some, but remember, this guy practices with Jaedong! He’s got 2 weeks to get his act together and I have no doubt that by then he will at least be able to take one game off of some unsuspecting CJ or KHAN player.

4.2

[image loading]
(P)BackHo


Everyone’s favorite Protoss player, Backho is currently the 2nd best player on Oz. Extremely inconsistent, you can count on this young lad to completely flabbergast some poor chump in the Playoffs. Backho prides himself on defeating tough opponents, so there’s no doubt that come the time, Backho will take down whoever the opposing team’s strongest player is and make it look easy.

4.3

[image loading]
(T)Lomo


In 2008, Lomo ALMOST beat flash and Jaedong in a BoX series!

5. Perfection
[image loading]

(P)PerfectMan


Once in a rare while a young rookie comes along and instantly starts to dominate the scene. Perfectman is one of those players. Perfectman defeated Iris, who was fresh off of 3-0ing Effort and beating Bisu, on a hugely Terran-favored map and he made it look easy. He didn't even practice the stategy he used for very long either:

"Up until Wednesday, I initially practiced standard builds, but occasionally I used strategic plays against players that I practiced with. But then the strategy I used was working well, so I decided to use it because of my desire to win."


Recent times are dark for Protoss players, but the rumored 7th Dragon is finally upon us, and he is Perfect:

". I was going to eat OoHwangChungShimHwan but my hyungs told me if I ate that for my first match, I would end up having to eat it for every following match so I didn’t."


Perfectman not only has nerves of steel, not only PERFECT micro, but he is also a master of mindgames:

"I wanted to lower the other team’s morale, and I also wanted to get my name recognized more. I watched InkiGayo (t/n: music show program) and saw 2PM (t/n: Korean boy group) perform and thought they were so cool, so I decided to use their dance."


Oz not only has a Tyrant, but now they have themselves a Dragon too, and this Dragon wants blood. SKT1 blood. For more, read this article.

6. Lack of Competition

Let’s face facts; the competition is pathetic this season. I don’t know what it is, but after the two strongest teams were eliminated, it really seems like the average level of StarCraft being played right now has really dropped compared to say the 2007 Proleague. Even if Jaedong wasn’t playing on Oz they would still have a 50/50 shot at taking this thing.
Free Palestine
Perguvious
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States1783 Posts
July 19 2009 22:47 GMT
#2
uhm, why is hiya backho and backho hiya?

Grobyc
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Canada18410 Posts
July 19 2009 22:48 GMT
#3
Uh you have HiYa and BackHo's pictures switched...
If you watch Godzilla backwards it's about a benevolent lizard who helps rebuild a city and then moonwalks into the ocean.
Jonvvv
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Norway1530 Posts
July 19 2009 22:48 GMT
#4
fail@pictures
Liquipedia
StalkerSC
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
Canada378 Posts
July 19 2009 22:49 GMT
#5
I wouldn't call STX SouL the stronger team but they are good...also its basically (Z)Jaedong and friends, I bet (Z)Jaedong wins every game and the rest of his team wins..But thats just my opinion.
IIf your good at Starcraft, Your good at life. - Artosis
udgnim
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States8024 Posts
July 19 2009 22:50 GMT
#6
[image loading]

/thread
E-Sports is competitive video gaming with a spectator fan base. Do not take the word "Sports" literally.
Perguvious
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States1783 Posts
July 19 2009 22:50 GMT
#7
On July 20 2009 07:50 udgnim wrote:
[image loading]

/thread


...no.
Pakje
Profile Joined March 2009
Belgium288 Posts
July 19 2009 22:50 GMT
#8
hm can some1 explain the semi final format for me?
danl9rm
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States3111 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-19 22:53:45
July 19 2009 22:51 GMT
#9
lol
i'll buy it.
add: forgot 5.1 - Oz has the coolest looking uniform.
"Science has so well established that the preborn baby in the womb is a living human being that most pro-choice activists have conceded the point. ..since the abortion proponents have lost the science argument, they are now advocating an existential one."
TwoStep
Profile Joined January 2009
United States294 Posts
July 19 2009 22:52 GMT
#10
Killer deserves a passing mention.
Arf
geegee1
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States618 Posts
July 19 2009 22:52 GMT
#11
Lomo actually threw that game away to JD in gom. if he didnt i think Lomo had a chance for a gold and im actually being serious
pew pew
TwoStep
Profile Joined January 2009
United States294 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-19 22:55:46
July 19 2009 22:54 GMT
#12
On July 20 2009 07:52 geegee1 wrote:
Lomo actually threw that game away to JD in gom. if he didnt i think Lomo had a chance for a gold and im actually being serious

Lomo also showed ineptitude in every single late game situation from that game on just to trick us into thinking he has a horrendous endgame just so we wouldn't suspect he actually threw his game vs JD. Ingenious.

Also fOrGG threw his game vs JD in the WL finals, but he had to play badly for 3 months beforehand and afterwards so no one would be shocked by the fact that he played bad.
Arf
Grobyc
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Canada18410 Posts
July 19 2009 22:58 GMT
#13
On July 20 2009 07:50 Pakje wrote:
hm can some1 explain the semi final format for me?

[image loading]
If you watch Godzilla backwards it's about a benevolent lizard who helps rebuild a city and then moonwalks into the ocean.
TwoStep
Profile Joined January 2009
United States294 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-19 23:24:50
July 19 2009 23:23 GMT
#14
"The format has already proven to fully maximize S-class players." Maximize my ass,

Okay, I just did some math. Note that the scenario I used is not totally representative of what happens here. I don't know what conclusions you can draw from this, but it's still interesting.
Assume that for each game, Team A has 60% chance to win, and team B has 40%, except in a Super Ace match (not normal ace match). For the Super Ace match, the percentages are reversed.

Then, under the old Bo7 format, Team A would have a 71.0208% chance of winning. Under this new format, Team A has a 75.137% chance of winning.

If the percentages are 70/30 then Team A has a 87.3% and 83% change of winning; the winning percentage actually goes down, but not by much anyways.

The way it would actually maximize teams with one S-class player and little depth is if the final deciding ace match was a Bo3....which is what every STX fan wanted anyways.

So basically, STX feel gipped at the format because it allowed a less deep team to win, complained, and suggested a way that would make it easier for a less deep team to win.
Arf
ryuu_
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States1266 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-19 23:25:31
July 19 2009 23:25 GMT
#15
Deep in my soul I want Oz to win..but who knows what can happen.
♣ Jaedong. Stork. Bisu. Calm. NaDa. SC2: Sen, MKP, DRG, MMA, Grubby, NonY, Ret, Jinro, TLO, Sheth, HayprO, Zenio,Taeja,Snute, Sea, Rain, MC,Squirtle,Stephano,Parting ,Life, and HEROOOOO <3
Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8171 Posts
July 19 2009 23:29 GMT
#16
On July 20 2009 08:23 TwoStep wrote:
"The format has already proven to fully maximize S-class players." Maximize my ass,

Okay, I just did some math. Note that the scenario I used is not totally representative of what happens here. I don't know what conclusions you can draw from this, but it's still interesting.
Assume that for each game, Team A has 60% chance to win, and team B has 40%, except in a Super Ace match (not normal ace match). For the Super Ace match, the percentages are reversed.

Then, under the old Bo7 format, Team A would have a 71.0208% chance of winning. Under this new format, Team A has a 75.137% chance of winning.

If the percentages are 70/30 then Team A has a 87.3% and 83% change of winning; the winning percentage actually goes down, but not by much anyways.

The way it would actually maximize teams with one S-class player and little depth is if the final deciding ace match was a Bo3....which is what every STX fan wanted anyways.

So basically, STX feel gipped at the format because it allowed a less deep team to win, complained, and suggested a way that would make it easier for a less deep team to win.


if Oz is team B then you should change it so that Oz has a 100% chance of winning the super ace match.
Free Palestine
TwoStep
Profile Joined January 2009
United States294 Posts
July 19 2009 23:32 GMT
#17
I said it didn't completely represent each team. Maybe once lineups come out and each person agrees on percantages for each match then I could do it. JD's not 100%, I'd say 60% because Effort and Movie, FBH, and Jangbi can go against JD who has to practice 3 MUs.
Arf
Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8171 Posts
July 19 2009 23:50 GMT
#18
On July 20 2009 08:32 TwoStep wrote:
I said it didn't completely represent each team. Maybe once lineups come out and each person agrees on percantages for each match then I could do it. JD's not 100%, I'd say 60% because Effort and Movie, FBH, and Jangbi can go against JD who has to practice 3 MUs.


no he's 100%
Free Palestine
MutaDoom
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Canada1163 Posts
July 19 2009 23:57 GMT
#19
On July 20 2009 08:50 Ideas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2009 08:32 TwoStep wrote:
I said it didn't completely represent each team. Maybe once lineups come out and each person agrees on percantages for each match then I could do it. JD's not 100%, I'd say 60% because Effort and Movie, FBH, and Jangbi can go against JD who has to practice 3 MUs.


no he's 100%

True, very true.
ghostWriter
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3302 Posts
July 19 2009 23:59 GMT
#20
Hiya and Lomo are really bad now. They won't be able to pull through. Backho is too inconsistent.
It's basically jaedong by himself and even if they are able to advance past cj, they won't be able to take on sktt1.
Sullifam
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