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[MSL spoiler] Elo

Forum Index > BW General
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Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
February 14 2008 18:17 GMT
#1
Something amazing happened last night after Jaedong defeated Flash; its not that he's in the semis, its not that he'll rape him again tonight, its that he just became the most powerful zerg user ever (according to TLPD)

Prior to his match he was sitting on 2299, 2 points below saviors highest (2301). After winning 3-1, his elo has shot up to 2309. This makes him...
  • The most dominant zerg user ever
  • 2nd most dominant in history
Further more, Oov's elo peak was 2329, the highest ever. Jaedong is just 20 below that, so the question is can jaedong make it? and become the most dominant broodwar player in history?

[image loading]

Poll: Will Jaedong do it?
(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
Lokust
Profile Joined January 2008
United States91 Posts
February 14 2008 18:19 GMT
#2
Where can we find the replays or VODS for those games?
BW 4 EveR!
.MistiK
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Netherlands347 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 18:24:41
February 14 2008 18:22 GMT
#3
Jon 747
grobo
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Japan6199 Posts
February 14 2008 18:22 GMT
#4
I voted yes because i really like Jaedong and i'm hoping he can pull it off, but yeah... won't be easy..
We make signature, then defense it.
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
February 14 2008 18:23 GMT
#5
If he's going to reach 2329, he'll have to 2-0 Flash in the OSL, win vs Frozean in the PL GF, then probably 3-0 or 3-1 Nada/Mind in the MSL Semis. He needs to do this because I doubt he'll 3-1 or 3-0 Much/Bisu in the OSL Semi, so he's gotta get to 2330 before then.

This will be really, really hard to do.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
paper
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
13196 Posts
February 14 2008 18:27 GMT
#6
how is his elo so high

when in contrast to oov, he barely has any tourny wins
Hates Fun🤔
Storchen
Profile Joined September 2006
Sweden4385 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 18:30:26
February 14 2008 18:28 GMT
#7
what does ELO stands for and how is it calculated?

edit: found this about the calculation but it doesnt say what it stands for. so.. anybody?
JoxxOr
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Sweden1502 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 18:39:34
February 14 2008 18:39 GMT
#8
No, Jaedong will loose against NaDa in msl and go in to a slump, nuff said.
Gör om, gör rätt
stk01001
Profile Joined September 2007
United States786 Posts
February 14 2008 18:48 GMT
#9
On February 15 2008 03:23 Hot_Bid wrote:
If he's going to reach 2329, he'll have to 2-0 Flash in the OSL, win vs Frozean in the PL GF, then probably 3-0 or 3-1 Nada/Mind in the MSL Semis. He needs to do this because I doubt he'll 3-1 or 3-0 Much/Bisu in the OSL Semi, so he's gotta get to 2330 before then.

This will be really, really hard to do.


Your right.. go JAEDONG!!! you can do it...
a.k.a reLapSe ---
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
February 14 2008 18:53 GMT
#10
He could, but I'm not sure o.,o
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Carnac
Profile Blog Joined December 2003
Germany / USA16648 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 19:05:32
February 14 2008 19:04 GMT
#11
even breaking oov's peak wouldn't by itself make him the most dominant player in history or whatever. he has to win a couple more titles before that etc.
also his 9-1 vt record with which he went into this match is nothing compared to oov's 27-0 record. and yes I realize the game has changed since then.
ModeratorHi! I'm a .signature *virus*! Copy me into your ~/.signature to help me spread!
3nickma
Profile Joined November 2007
Denmark1510 Posts
February 14 2008 19:11 GMT
#12
On February 15 2008 03:28 Storchen wrote:
what does ELO stands for and how is it calculated?

edit: found this about the calculation but it doesnt say what it stands for. so.. anybody?


Elo has no meaning as such but stems from it's inventor's name Arpad Emrick Elo. Generally speaking every chessplayer has an Elo rating that reflects his relative strenght to others. It's the same with the TL elo measurement system though the used K-value most likely differs. I'm no expert but if you want to become one then you can start off by reading this simple article

http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=4326
L E E J A E D O N G ! <3
Tropics
Profile Joined August 2007
United Kingdom1132 Posts
February 14 2008 19:14 GMT
#13
You've also got to take into consideration that elo average gradually rises over time - When someone gets a high score and then starts to fall from the top the people beating him are getting a lot of points, and so on.
Ack1027
Profile Blog Joined January 2004
United States7873 Posts
February 14 2008 19:16 GMT
#14
On February 15 2008 03:27 paper wrote:
how is his elo so high

when in contrast to oov, he barely has any tourny wins

Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 19:17:26
February 14 2008 19:16 GMT
#15
On February 15 2008 04:04 Carnac wrote:
even breaking oov's peak wouldn't by itself make him the most dominant player in history or whatever. he has to win a couple more titles before that etc.
also his 9-1 vt record with which he went into this match is nothing compared to oov's 27-0 record. and yes I realize the game has changed since then.
It's a pretty insane feat.
Getting an elo that high is ridiculously hard,
[image loading]


Keep in mind that i drew this prior to Jaedong getting to 2309, so he's still on 2299 in this graph - but it gives you an idea about how hard it is. (lol @ yellow having a bigger elo than boxer)
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
G5
Profile Blog Joined August 2005
United States2921 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 19:41:57
February 14 2008 19:35 GMT
#16
On February 15 2008 03:27 paper wrote:
how is his elo so high

when in contrast to oov, he barely has any tourny wins


Well, Jaedong has been dominant pretty much since he came onto the scene only really dying to Protoss players which he has changed recently. Iloveoov has also played a lot more games then Jaedong. Oov at 364 games, Jaedong at 137 games. Further more Jaedong's very first game as a progamer ever was in Proleague at the end of April in 2006. Iloveoovs first match? April 2003 (vs ElkY). Since he came on, Jaedong has been killing Proleague left and right and going pretty far in the few tournaments he has played, loosing to a Protoss at some point in there, until the last OSL where he destroyed Stork and went on to beat Bisu in the most recent OSL.

In his first 11 matches as a progamer Jaedong beat JiHyun, Reach, SoO, Kuni, GoRush and NaDa. Loosing to ELIZA, Tester, Casy, Free and XellOs (not much shame here).

Following this he went on a 13-1 win streak vs Much, iloveoov (who hes about to surpass), SaSin)bOy, Child, 2-1 vs Free, ELIZA, Coul[fOu], Mingu, ZergMaN, July and Justin. Following this he went about 60/40 for a while (mainly loosing to toss') until he suddenly went on a "I can't loose" streak and won the OSL Title and is where he is at today in the Semi-Finals of the MSL and Quarters in the OSL.

~ Interesting Notes ~

Throughout his career vs top tier Terrans he is 2-1 vs Iloveoov, 3-1 vs NaDa, 4-0 vs UpMagic, 4-3 vs Sea, 3-2 vs Light, 3-2 vs Flash, 3-2 vs XellOs, 1-0 vs IriS, 1-0 vs Hwasin and 0-3 Casy.

Completely owning the rest of the Terrans with a lifetime 41-17 (70.69%) vs Terran.


Throughout his career vs top tier Zergs he is 2-1 vs sAviOr, 2-2 vs July, 1-0 vs GoRush, 3-2 vs Luxury and 1-0 vs GGPlay.

Completely owning the rest of the Zergs with a lifetime 30-9 (76.92%) vs Zerg.


Throughout his career vs top tier Protoss' he is 1-1 vs Bisu, 3-3 vs Stork, 3-5 vs Free, 2-2 vs Much, 1-0 vs Reach, 1-0 vs Nal_rA, 0-1 vs Pusan and 2-3 vs Rock.

Going about 50/50 with the rest of the Protoss' with a lifetime 22-18 (55.00%) vs Protoss.



Currently I would say Jaedong is a monster with his 25-3 streak he is on right now and currently is more dominating then anyone. I am not sure how long he can stay that way, but I don't remember sAviOr going 25-3 or anything near it. I remember sAviOr always ending up getting the job done with 3-1 / 3-2 epic wins and such but never in SUCH DOMINANCE as Jaedongs straight up 2-0 / 3-0 rapes over and over. Iloveoov I know was very dominant but it was dominance in a long period of time such as sAviOr's 5(?) straight MSL finals and NaDa's 3 year #1 or w/e it was. Jaedong is just hot right now and simply isn't loosing anything. For the past 4 months (yes pretty short time) he has been unstoppable, I hope he can keep it up.

P.S. Looks like if anyone doesn't like Jaedong and wants him off the throne, they should become Casy fans because Casy seems like the best hope vs Jaedong (being 3-0 vs him and all).

Jaedong Figghting!
Carnac
Profile Blog Joined December 2003
Germany / USA16648 Posts
February 14 2008 19:48 GMT
#17
I never said that it wasn't impressive, but you cannot by any means (especially when talking all time) be considered the most dominant player, when you still lack titles, which Jaedong does. That just doesn't work.
There's much more to it than just an ELO score, but I'm sure you know that
ModeratorHi! I'm a .signature *virus*! Copy me into your ~/.signature to help me spread!
Ack1027
Profile Blog Joined January 2004
United States7873 Posts
February 14 2008 19:58 GMT
#18
On February 15 2008 04:35 G5 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2008 03:27 paper wrote:
how is his elo so high

when in contrast to oov, he barely has any tourny wins


Well, Jaedong has been dominant pretty much since he came onto the scene only really dying to Protoss players which he has changed recently. Iloveoov has also played a lot more games then Jaedong. Oov at 364 games, Jaedong at 137 games. Further more Jaedong's very first game as a progamer ever was in Proleague at the end of April in 2006. Iloveoovs first match? April 2003 (vs ElkY). Since he came on, Jaedong has been killing Proleague left and right and going pretty far in the few tournaments he has played, loosing to a Protoss at some point in there, until the last OSL where he destroyed Stork and went on to beat Bisu in the most recent OSL.

In his first 11 matches as a progamer Jaedong beat JiHyun, Reach, SoO, Kuni, GoRush and NaDa. Loosing to ELIZA, Tester, Casy, Free and XellOs (not much shame here).

Following this he went on a 13-1 win streak vs Much, iloveoov (who hes about to surpass), SaSin)bOy, Child, 2-1 vs Free, ELIZA, Coul[fOu], Mingu, ZergMaN, July and Justin. Following this he went about 60/40 for a while (mainly loosing to toss') until he suddenly went on a "I can't loose" streak and won the OSL Title and is where he is at today in the Semi-Finals of the MSL and Quarters in the OSL.

~ Interesting Notes ~

Throughout his career vs top tier Terrans he is 2-1 vs Iloveoov, 3-1 vs NaDa, 4-0 vs UpMagic, 4-3 vs Sea, 3-2 vs Light, 3-2 vs Flash, 3-2 vs XellOs, 1-0 vs IriS, 1-0 vs Hwasin and 0-3 Casy.

Completely owning the rest of the Terrans with a lifetime 41-17 (70.69%) vs Terran.


Throughout his career vs top tier Zergs he is 2-1 vs sAviOr, 2-2 vs July, 1-0 vs GoRush, 3-2 vs Luxury and 1-0 vs GGPlay.

Completely owning the rest of the Zergs with a lifetime 30-9 (76.92%) vs Zerg.


Throughout his career vs top tier Protoss' he is 1-1 vs Bisu, 3-3 vs Stork, 3-5 vs Free, 2-2 vs Much, 1-0 vs Reach, 1-0 vs Nal_rA, 0-1 vs Pusan and 2-3 vs Rock.

Going about 50/50 with the rest of the Protoss' with a lifetime 22-18 (55.00%) vs Protoss.



Currently I would say Jaedong is a monster with his 25-3 streak he is on right now and currently is more dominating then anyone. I am not sure how long he can stay that way, but I don't remember sAviOr going 25-3 or anything near it. I remember sAviOr always ending up getting the job done with 3-1 / 3-2 epic wins and such but never in SUCH DOMINANCE as Jaedongs straight up 2-0 / 3-0 rapes over and over. Iloveoov I know was very dominant but it was dominance in a long period of time such as sAviOr's 5(?) straight MSL finals and NaDa's 3 year #1 or w/e it was. Jaedong is just hot right now and simply isn't loosing anything. For the past 4 months (yes pretty short time) he has been unstoppable, I hope he can keep it up.

P.S. Looks like if anyone doesn't like Jaedong and wants him off the throne, they should become Casy fans because Casy seems like the best hope vs Jaedong (being 3-0 vs him and all).

Jaedong Figghting!


Ty for the explanation.

Although now it is kinda clear that him surpassing Oov's elo doesn't mean much at all, just a number since Oov's career is much more illustrious. He still hasn't reached the percentages Oov reached nor won the amount of awards. One thing I can't mention is the style in which he wins his games since I don't really watch progame vod's anymore. However, I think it would still be safe to say he doesn't win in the fashion Oov did back in the day. [ competition is harder now ]
tonight
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States11130 Posts
February 14 2008 20:05 GMT
#19
as long as he doesn't pull a savior and slump off after a year I could see him surpassing oov in terms of ELO and tournament wins.
if I come without a thing, then I come with all I need @tonightsend
G5
Profile Blog Joined August 2005
United States2921 Posts
February 14 2008 20:15 GMT
#20
On February 15 2008 05:05 tonight wrote:
as long as he doesn't pull a savior and slump off after a year I could see him surpassing oov in terms of ELO and tournament wins.


if he keeps up what hes done in the past 4 months, within 2 years he should break all osl / msl title records because that is how dominant he has been lately. Such a feat is SOOOO hard though. He will be #1 KESPA pretty soon though.
3nickma
Profile Joined November 2007
Denmark1510 Posts
February 14 2008 20:16 GMT
#21
On February 15 2008 04:48 Carnac wrote:
I never said that it wasn't impressive, but you cannot by any means (especially when talking all time) be considered the most dominant player, when you still lack titles, which Jaedong does. That just doesn't work.
There's much more to it than just an ELO score, but I'm sure you know that


Titles will come with Jaedong taking both the MSL and OSL
L E E J A E D O N G ! <3
il0seonpurpose
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Korea (South)5638 Posts
February 14 2008 20:24 GMT
#22
The scoring system also changed, but he should be able to reach it sometime even with a couple of losses. And he has to be bonjwa to be considered better than savior
Titusmaster6
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States5937 Posts
February 14 2008 20:51 GMT
#23
Like most people, I believe Jaedong can go all the way. He is extremely dominant right now and I don't think he is done becuase he has that look and aura of confidence and invincibility. A triple title would be sick though.
Shorts down shorts up, BOOM, just like that.
Macavenger
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States1132 Posts
February 14 2008 21:41 GMT
#24
Might be worth pointing out that having Elo in the title of the thread is a borderline spoiler, since people have been watching Jaedong's Elo soar lately and it only makes much sense to have a new thread about it if he passed another threshold, which would necessitate beating Flash.

Given how dominant Jaedong looks at the moment (I view how "close" the MSL series was as WTF Flash is better than I thought more than Jaedong being mortal), I'm pretty confident he's going to pass oov's peak. He may not do it this month, but with the way he's winning, I don't think he'll be stopped for quite some time.
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
February 14 2008 21:44 GMT
#25
i was weary of that when i created the title, but it still leaves alot up in the air
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
InfeSteD
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
United States4658 Posts
February 14 2008 21:53 GMT
#26
I hope not!

iloveoov forever!
w/e
vhallee
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
899 Posts
February 14 2008 22:00 GMT
#27
it will be a tough one for jaedong but i think he can do it.
Marijuana causes amnesia and other things I don't remember.
jimminy_kriket
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Canada5529 Posts
February 14 2008 22:10 GMT
#28
IMO this spoiled the results for me. I knew jaedong was close to getting the highest ELO, so what else could it mean? Please put more thought into your title next time.
life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery
HotZhot
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Colombia677 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 22:21:54
February 14 2008 22:21 GMT
#29
On February 15 2008 05:16 3nickma wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2008 04:48 Carnac wrote:
I never said that it wasn't impressive, but you cannot by any means (especially when talking all time) be considered the most dominant player, when you still lack titles, which Jaedong does. That just doesn't work.
There's much more to it than just an ELO score, but I'm sure you know that


Titles will come with Jaedong taking both the MSL and OSL


BTW where is the "Of Course" option? Yes, plainly put doesn't sum it up well.
I only smile in the darK [] sAviOr//JaeDong Fan 4 Ever ~ CJ Entusman # 7
Macavenger
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States1132 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-14 22:24:04
February 14 2008 22:23 GMT
#30
On February 15 2008 07:21 HotZhot wrote:
BTW where is the "Of Course" option? Yes, plainly put doesn't sum it up well.


The problem with the "Of Course" option is Jaedong is 67 points ahead of the #2 Elo right now. Even when you win 90% of your games, your rating doesn't go up much playing people that far below you.
Myxomatosis
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States2392 Posts
February 14 2008 23:08 GMT
#31
Jaedong will never, ever, have 3 MSL wins and 3 OSL wins. I think his ELO is somewhat inflated too with the huge amounts of games everyone is playing. However, it is indisputable that he is currently the most dominant player out there.
Darkmole
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States900 Posts
February 14 2008 23:12 GMT
#32
does points make u that dominant? cuz kespa ranking matters the most and Boxer had the Kespa for 18 month and Jaedong would only get the Kespa ranking for maybe less than 10 month
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5771 Posts
February 14 2008 23:12 GMT
#33
I think he could surpass oov's elo if he wins star invitational - there are plenty of amazing players there. Scoring the best of them might do the trick. ^________^V

JAEDONG FIGHTING!

PS Being an all time NaDa fan I actually can't tell whom I want to win in JaeDong vs NaDa matchup. JaeDong's play is just so inspiring currently. :O
DamageControL
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
United States4222 Posts
February 14 2008 23:17 GMT
#34
Elo is a measure of skill not of dominance
Liquid | SKT
Pressure
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
7326 Posts
February 14 2008 23:39 GMT
#35
yes
i dont see him suddenly dropping another game or two because of oov
MeriaDoKk
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
Chile1726 Posts
February 15 2008 00:12 GMT
#36
i voted no because i hate jaedong :D
Last Romantic
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States20661 Posts
February 15 2008 00:15 GMT
#37
You do realize the title is a spoiler, right? Because there's no way a Flash win would inspire anyone to care about elo, whereas people have been talking about Jaedong's rising elo for awhile.
ㅋㄲㅈㅁ
StylishVODs
Profile Joined December 2005
Sweden5331 Posts
February 15 2008 00:18 GMT
#38
how much elo will he drop if he lose a bo5 in osl or msl? cant he still make it if he loses? just win some more after that?
According to Reach, he is the fastest learner he has ever seen. He start bw only like 2/3 years ago. Infact, his bw history knowledge is so limited, he didn't even know what the map Guillotine was.
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
February 15 2008 00:23 GMT
#39
if someone wants to change the title go ahead
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
TheTyranid
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
Russian Federation4333 Posts
February 15 2008 01:27 GMT
#40
Jaedong could have had a good chance of beating Oov's elo peak if he didn't loose that game to Best.
His loss against best took hin down 10 elo pts (2285 to 2275 about). If he did win that game vs Best he would be around 2315. The loss agains Flash is legitimate but the former was really lame. If he played standard he would have trounced Best as hard as in their tiebreaker game on Katrina.

To beat Oov he'll need to:
2-0 Flash in OSL
3-0 his Gom group
Beat Frozean in Proleague

I have a big suspicion that Flash will take a game off of JD. With each loss JD will need more and more wins to surpass teh peak for losses take off more points than wins add points.
IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32278 Posts
February 15 2008 01:30 GMT
#41
Being most dominant is more than getting the highest elo. iloveoov humilliated opponents a lot more than Jaedong does today. Boxer has played since i don't know when, won lots of titles and was way ahead of its time. NaDa revolutioned the way to play along with Oov. July set the "PvZ imba!" cries in the sky, etc.

Good research though!
Moderator<:3-/-<
Manifesto7
Profile Blog Joined November 2002
Osaka27172 Posts
February 15 2008 01:46 GMT
#42
Dont worry about the spoiler Plexa. This post was really interesting. I never realized just how high Jaedong had gone. It is pretty incredible considering the short amount of time he has had to achieve this peak.

In the end though, elo is just a stat, although a powerful one. Much more goes into being a dominant player than a four digit number.
ModeratorGodfather
KawaiiRice
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States2914 Posts
February 15 2008 01:52 GMT
#43
Jaedong will crash down to 0 ELO after being 1 point away. NO TOUCHEY, ZERG PLAYERS
@KawaiiRiceLighT
Myrmidon
Profile Blog Joined December 2004
United States9452 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 02:24:10
February 15 2008 02:22 GMT
#44
I know little about the ELO system, but is it possible that having high ELO is easier now than in Oov's prime? These days you can get wins against players with relatively high ELO ranking that have since way past peaked (i.e. their current rank is better than their actual skill level). There are more games played with the expansion of proleague, so there are a lot of past and present 1950 rank players feeding points into the system, and in any case there's more capacity for variance given the higher number of games.

edit: what I mean is, progaming isn't very mature, so it might take a while for things to settle out in terms of the point distribution characteristics.
FakeSteve[TPR]
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Valhalla18444 Posts
February 15 2008 02:29 GMT
#45
in contrast, though, the 2000+ players are much stronger relative to jaedong and than the top players were relative to oov when he was dominating

it was a lot easier for oov to dominate because he was so far ahead of the curve, whereas jaedong has to constantly adapt himself
Moderatormy tatsu loops r fuckin nice
BlackStar
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
Netherlands3029 Posts
February 15 2008 10:04 GMT
#46
You can't compare ELO through time.
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
February 15 2008 10:04 GMT
#47
Jaedong 0-3 Casy is pretty funny! :D
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Insane
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States4991 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 10:26:30
February 15 2008 10:05 GMT
#48
la la la la la

die you faker ;P!
vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv
FakeSteve[TPR]
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Valhalla18444 Posts
February 15 2008 10:18 GMT
#49
i just deleted a post

look dont post obvious spoilers in unrelated threads thats just bad manners

and peter what the fuck if you dont like it don't quote the damn thing
Moderatormy tatsu loops r fuckin nice
TheTyranid
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
Russian Federation4333 Posts
February 15 2008 10:19 GMT
#50
Oh shit. My bad.

Insane
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States4991 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 10:22:51
February 15 2008 10:22 GMT
#51
On February 15 2008 19:18 FakeSteve[TPR] wrote:
i just deleted a post

look dont post obvious spoilers in unrelated threads thats just bad manners

and peter what the fuck if you dont like it don't quote the damn thing

What the fuck Steve, I spoilered it where I had it quoted? I even provided a descriptive title you bag of walnuts.
riptide
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
5673 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 12:44:16
February 15 2008 12:43 GMT
#52
+ Show Spoiler +

Even with the loss to Flash today, I still think Jaedong has what it takes to take both Starleagues this time.


If there's anyone who can stop LJD it's Bisu or Luxury. I'm sorry, but there's not a Terran right now who can beat him in a Bo5.
AdministratorSKT T1 | Masters of the Universe
Navane
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Netherlands2751 Posts
February 15 2008 13:03 GMT
#53
About comparing a current ELO rating with an older one: like someone mentioned before, elo ratings are under influence of inflation, so you can't really do that.
lololol
Profile Joined February 2006
5198 Posts
February 15 2008 13:14 GMT
#54
Why do you care about ELO anyway, there are several different ELO type systems, so if you just choose another one he could've very well have the highest in history already... so why does exactly this one matter at all? It's not what makes a true champion or anything...
I'll call Nada.
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 13:20:13
February 15 2008 13:19 GMT
#55
On February 15 2008 21:43 riptide wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Even with the loss to Flash today, I still think Jaedong has what it takes to take both Starleagues this time.


If there's anyone who can stop LJD it's Bisu or Luxury. I'm sorry, but there's not a Terran right now who can beat him in a Bo5.


NaDa CAN beat him. Train your ass off NaDa, kill Mind, kill Jaedong. I BELIEVE

TORNADO LEE YUN YEOL FIGHTING! :O!


SORRY, HUGE FANBOYISM POST.
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
fLyiNgDroNe
Profile Joined September 2005
Belgium4068 Posts
February 15 2008 14:16 GMT
#56
On February 15 2008 22:19 G.s)NarutO wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2008 21:43 riptide wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Even with the loss to Flash today, I still think Jaedong has what it takes to take both Starleagues this time.


If there's anyone who can stop LJD it's Bisu or Luxury. I'm sorry, but there's not a Terran right now who can beat him in a Bo5.


NaDa CAN beat him. Train your ass off NaDa, kill Mind, kill Jaedong. I BELIEVE

TORNADO LEE YUN YEOL FIGHTING! :O!


SORRY, HUGE FANBOYISM POST.


Indeed. The same you guys said before savior/nada epic series Being a fanboy of Casy's tvz myself i find it extremely cool that he's 3-0 Jaedong. Hopefully Casy and Jae battle and produce much more interesting games than casy/savior were ...
Drone is a way of living
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
February 15 2008 14:18 GMT
#57
On February 15 2008 23:16 fLyiNgDroNe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2008 22:19 G.s)NarutO wrote:
On February 15 2008 21:43 riptide wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Even with the loss to Flash today, I still think Jaedong has what it takes to take both Starleagues this time.


If there's anyone who can stop LJD it's Bisu or Luxury. I'm sorry, but there's not a Terran right now who can beat him in a Bo5.


NaDa CAN beat him. Train your ass off NaDa, kill Mind, kill Jaedong. I BELIEVE

TORNADO LEE YUN YEOL FIGHTING! :O!


SORRY, HUGE FANBOYISM POST.


Indeed. The same you guys said before savior/nada epic series Being a fanboy of Casy's tvz myself i find it extremely cool that he's 3-0 Jaedong. Hopefully Casy and Jae battle and produce much more interesting games than casy/savior were ...


Uhm.. yeah, and at Shinhan Masters NaDa raped the living shit out of sAviOr.. O.O;
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
February 15 2008 14:40 GMT
#58
that's nice, yellow would win invitational tournaments too

but who won the OSL where nada and savior played? that's what really matters.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
February 15 2008 14:44 GMT
#59
On February 15 2008 23:40 Hot_Bid wrote:
that's nice, yellow would win invitational tournaments too

but who won the OSL where nada and savior played? that's what really matters.



I believe, that is what counts.. for me at least :-)!
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Sewi
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Germany1697 Posts
February 15 2008 15:04 GMT
#60
Yes, he can.
I would love to see a bo5 between him and casy. This would be sooooooooo f++king great!!!
"Well, things were going ok until he lost all his stuff" - Tasteless, 17.02.2016
bash9
Profile Joined February 2008
25 Posts
February 15 2008 16:20 GMT
#61
ELO was innovative and accurate a long time ago. Now it is outdated and by modern standards it is a suboptimal system. The only reason it has survived is because it's simple, but we have computers, so a little more computational complexity shouldn't hurt (does anyone calculate ranks by hand today?).

Glicko or Trueskill vastly improve upon the ELO system by introducing an uncertainty parameter. This simple modification already fixes many of the "quirks" that people have been noticing in the ELO ranks and are by now taking for granted. ELO, they think, is not perfect after all. Not even close. Basically, what I'm trying to say is that we should switch to glicko, trueskill, or derivatives (glicko2 is my personal favorite for "live" rankings as it catches on more quickly to sudden massive dominance or sudden slumps). At least for our private comparisons over here at TL.net. It'll make it much more fun.

Also, don't confuse relative dominance and relative skill. Jaedong is the better player of the two, but he has a harder time if he really wants to "dominate."
PoP
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
France15446 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-15 17:27:06
February 15 2008 17:26 GMT
#62
bash9, do you have any idea as to where I could find a simple implementation of the glicko2 algorithm (or Trueskill for that matter)? Tried googling a while back but didn't find much.

Since it seems to be universally considered better than ELO, I'd really like to give it a try.
Administrator
KissBlade
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States5718 Posts
February 15 2008 19:17 GMT
#63
Heh, ELO, where Yellow beats Boxer.
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
February 15 2008 20:21 GMT
#64
+ Show Spoiler [osl spoiler] +
losing to flash made his elo drop 13 points
he is now resting on 2296
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
gwho
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States632 Posts
February 15 2008 20:32 GMT
#65
On February 15 2008 03:28 Storchen wrote:
what does ELO stands for and how is it calculated?

edit: found this about the calculation but it doesnt say what it stands for. so.. anybody?


wiki it.
disciple
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
9071 Posts
February 15 2008 21:57 GMT
#66
i dont like the idea... jaedong the most dominant ?! he is just lucky that all his rivals are in smth like a slump- yes jaedong is great, i like him very much but for me the dominance means titles, golden badges and a golden mouse... just a hot winning streak impresses for just a day or two, besides I really think Flash will take him out and the MSL is not so easy to win two (if JangBi somehow makes it to the final it will be) so jaedong has a lot to prove, because one OSL and 2300 elo wont be enough for the hall of fame
Administrator"I'm a big deal." - ixmike88
FieryBalrog
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
United States1381 Posts
February 15 2008 22:25 GMT
#67
ELO is only one stat

It doesn't measure dominance for sure, maybe skill and thats about it

Dominance is about both results and psyche, and right now JD although shit-hot is short on both compared to players like Savior, Oov, etc.
I will eat you alive
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
February 15 2008 23:10 GMT
#68
as an interesting point, oov won his first OSL when his elo was slumping dramatically, and his second one was achieved at about 2230
by this we could say that Jaedong won't win this OSL because his elo is too high lol
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
koryano321
Profile Joined June 2007
United States309 Posts
February 16 2008 00:03 GMT
#69
On February 15 2008 04:58 Ack1027 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2008 04:35 G5 wrote:
On February 15 2008 03:27 paper wrote:
how is his elo so high

when in contrast to oov, he barely has any tourny wins


Well, Jaedong has been dominant pretty much since he came onto the scene only really dying to Protoss players which he has changed recently. Iloveoov has also played a lot more games then Jaedong. Oov at 364 games, Jaedong at 137 games. Further more Jaedong's very first game as a progamer ever was in Proleague at the end of April in 2006. Iloveoovs first match? April 2003 (vs ElkY). Since he came on, Jaedong has been killing Proleague left and right and going pretty far in the few tournaments he has played, loosing to a Protoss at some point in there, until the last OSL where he destroyed Stork and went on to beat Bisu in the most recent OSL.

In his first 11 matches as a progamer Jaedong beat JiHyun, Reach, SoO, Kuni, GoRush and NaDa. Loosing to ELIZA, Tester, Casy, Free and XellOs (not much shame here).

Following this he went on a 13-1 win streak vs Much, iloveoov (who hes about to surpass), SaSin)bOy, Child, 2-1 vs Free, ELIZA, Coul[fOu], Mingu, ZergMaN, July and Justin. Following this he went about 60/40 for a while (mainly loosing to toss') until he suddenly went on a "I can't loose" streak and won the OSL Title and is where he is at today in the Semi-Finals of the MSL and Quarters in the OSL.

~ Interesting Notes ~

Throughout his career vs top tier Terrans he is 2-1 vs Iloveoov, 3-1 vs NaDa, 4-0 vs UpMagic, 4-3 vs Sea, 3-2 vs Light, 3-2 vs Flash, 3-2 vs XellOs, 1-0 vs IriS, 1-0 vs Hwasin and 0-3 Casy.

Completely owning the rest of the Terrans with a lifetime 41-17 (70.69%) vs Terran.


Throughout his career vs top tier Zergs he is 2-1 vs sAviOr, 2-2 vs July, 1-0 vs GoRush, 3-2 vs Luxury and 1-0 vs GGPlay.

Completely owning the rest of the Zergs with a lifetime 30-9 (76.92%) vs Zerg.


Throughout his career vs top tier Protoss' he is 1-1 vs Bisu, 3-3 vs Stork, 3-5 vs Free, 2-2 vs Much, 1-0 vs Reach, 1-0 vs Nal_rA, 0-1 vs Pusan and 2-3 vs Rock.

Going about 50/50 with the rest of the Protoss' with a lifetime 22-18 (55.00%) vs Protoss.



Currently I would say Jaedong is a monster with his 25-3 streak he is on right now and currently is more dominating then anyone. I am not sure how long he can stay that way, but I don't remember sAviOr going 25-3 or anything near it. I remember sAviOr always ending up getting the job done with 3-1 / 3-2 epic wins and such but never in SUCH DOMINANCE as Jaedongs straight up 2-0 / 3-0 rapes over and over. Iloveoov I know was very dominant but it was dominance in a long period of time such as sAviOr's 5(?) straight MSL finals and NaDa's 3 year #1 or w/e it was. Jaedong is just hot right now and simply isn't loosing anything. For the past 4 months (yes pretty short time) he has been unstoppable, I hope he can keep it up.

P.S. Looks like if anyone doesn't like Jaedong and wants him off the throne, they should become Casy fans because Casy seems like the best hope vs Jaedong (being 3-0 vs him and all).

Jaedong Figghting!


Ty for the explanation.

Although now it is kinda clear that him surpassing Oov's elo doesn't mean much at all, just a number since Oov's career is much more illustrious. He still hasn't reached the percentages Oov reached nor won the amount of awards. One thing I can't mention is the style in which he wins his games since I don't really watch progame vod's anymore. However, I think it would still be safe to say he doesn't win in the fashion Oov did back in the day. [ competition is harder now ]


if you dont even watch the games you shouldnt even be commenting on how dominating this player is -_-;;
Scorpio2012 wrote: i guess god is about as useful as a protoss scout
fusionsdf
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
Canada15390 Posts
February 16 2008 03:28 GMT
#70
yes, because elo is inflationary
SKT_Best: "I actually chose Protoss because it was so hard for me to defeat Protoss as a Terran. When I first started Brood War, my main race was Terran."
Darkmole
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States900 Posts
February 16 2008 03:59 GMT
#71
i doubt jaedong is gonna win the MSL or OSL, my reasons will be his 0:1 against Flash (great game) and his gonna be facing Nada or Mind and Mind is amazing on TvZ and Nada is also good at TvZ and it wont matter who will face jaedong becuz Nada has trained Mind and Mind is ready to whoop his ass
Mindcrime
Profile Joined July 2004
United States6899 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-16 04:48:36
February 16 2008 04:48 GMT
#72
On February 16 2008 12:59 Darkmole wrote:
i doubt jaedong is gonna win the MSL or OSL, my reasons will be his 0:1 against Flash (great game) and his gonna be facing Nada or Mind and Mind is amazing on TvZ and Nada is also good at TvZ and it wont matter who will face jaedong becuz Nada has trained Mind and Mind is ready to whoop his ass


Mind does not have an amazing tvz. With the exception of the series against savior, it's been about average.

His tvp however...
That wasn't any act of God. That was an act of pure human fuckery.
IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32278 Posts
February 16 2008 05:42 GMT
#73
LOL, you'll never make it now J-Dong
Moderator<:3-/-<
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
February 16 2008 05:46 GMT
#74
+ Show Spoiler +


ROFL FROZEAN > JAEDONG -100 points gogo!

CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Wasabi
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
United States3085 Posts
February 16 2008 05:49 GMT
#75
--- Nuked ---
gravity
Profile Joined March 2004
Australia2041 Posts
February 16 2008 05:57 GMT
#76
On February 16 2008 12:28 fusionsdf wrote:
yes, because elo is inflationary

Not necessarily. It can be either inflationary or deflationary depending on circumstances. Also, it hasn't necessarily been long enough for very significant inflation or deflation to occur with respect to SC.
Darkmole
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States900 Posts
February 16 2008 22:25 GMT
#77
since jaedong lost to frozean shouldnt jaedong elo points go down now?
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-16 23:19:18
February 16 2008 23:07 GMT
#78
it will, once someone adds the games to tlpd
+ Show Spoiler +
Jaedongs elo now is like 2279 - ouch
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
disciple
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
9071 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-17 00:44:30
February 17 2008 00:35 GMT
#79
and as far as I know the ELO rating is not the best way to compare the achievements of players for a different years. There is smth like ELO-Inflation - the rating will grow up as far as the medium rating of the players is growing, i think the 2300 level will be easy to get in a year or two. I will give you an example with the chess...Bobby Fisher had in his most dominant years (1972) about 2750 ELO and his overall winning statistic was about 65-68%, today we have 2 players with 2800 with winning % of 55-56? Are they more dominant then Fisher? No, the average rating back in 1972 was far lower than today.
Administrator"I'm a big deal." - ixmike88
gravity
Profile Joined March 2004
Australia2041 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-17 01:05:23
February 17 2008 01:04 GMT
#80
On February 17 2008 09:35 disciple wrote:
and as far as I know the ELO rating is not the best way to compare the achievements of players for a different years. There is smth like ELO-Inflation - the rating will grow up as far as the medium rating of the players is growing, i think the 2300 level will be easy to get in a year or two. I will give you an example with the chess...Bobby Fisher had in his most dominant years (1972) about 2750 ELO and his overall winning statistic was about 65-68%, today we have 2 players with 2800 with winning % of 55-56? Are they more dominant then Fisher? No, the average rating back in 1972 was far lower than today.

Given that ELO is a measure of skill, not "dominance", this isn't necessarily wrong. The best players today are probably at least as good as Fischer in an absolute sense, and probably a bit better thanks to modern knowledge, while the average non-studying player isn't any better.

It's still possible there's inflation but I'm not sure it's ever been clearly proven.
PhilGood2DaY
Profile Joined September 2005
Germany7424 Posts
February 17 2008 01:12 GMT
#81
unless Jeadong gets a few titles at least ( no one thinks he can do as good as NaDa/Boxer in terms of success and titles anyway ) i dont even care how good his elo rating is. Because how would it make you dominant if u won every game except the finals and a few semi finals in your career ? Your elo ranking would be amazing but u have no titles.

For me best at elo ranks -/- most dominant players. By a huge margin.

Still amazing stuff, though..
hatred outlives the hateful
FragKrag
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States11556 Posts
February 17 2008 01:30 GMT
#82
+ Show Spoiler +
Well, since Jaedong lost to Frozean, so much for breaking oov's record.
*TL CJ Entusman #40* "like scissors does anything to paper except MAKE IT MORE NUMEROUS" -paper
StylishVODs
Profile Joined December 2005
Sweden5331 Posts
February 17 2008 01:59 GMT
#83
so uhm, if he wins this inventational thing and then vs flash next week he will have 2300++ again right? so its not impossible.
According to Reach, he is the fastest learner he has ever seen. He start bw only like 2/3 years ago. Infact, his bw history knowledge is so limited, he didn't even know what the map Guillotine was.
Darkblade2519
Profile Joined December 2007
United States80 Posts
February 17 2008 02:41 GMT
#84
cuteangel has stop Jaedong : P
ShaLLoW[baY]
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada12499 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-17 02:53:49
February 17 2008 02:53 GMT
#85
nvm.
ALEXISONFIRE ARE FUCKING BACK (sAviOr for life)
disciple
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
9071 Posts
February 17 2008 11:10 GMT
#86
On February 17 2008 10:04 gravity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 17 2008 09:35 disciple wrote:
and as far as I know the ELO rating is not the best way to compare the achievements of players for a different years. There is smth like ELO-Inflation - the rating will grow up as far as the medium rating of the players is growing, i think the 2300 level will be easy to get in a year or two. I will give you an example with the chess...Bobby Fisher had in his most dominant years (1972) about 2750 ELO and his overall winning statistic was about 65-68%, today we have 2 players with 2800 with winning % of 55-56? Are they more dominant then Fisher? No, the average rating back in 1972 was far lower than today.

Given that ELO is a measure of skill, not "dominance", this isn't necessarily wrong. The best players today are probably at least as good as Fischer in an absolute sense, and probably a bit better thanks to modern knowledge, while the average non-studying player isn't any better.

It's still possible there's inflation but I'm not sure it's ever been clearly proven.


I disagree...if you have very high elo, you can make it bigger only winning more and more games...for example (again chess) Kasparov...his elo was above 2800 (peak at 2845) . with this elo he couldnt afford to lose even a single game in the tournaments because the average ELO was 2750-2760. So to get higher he must win against all of the even a draw is not enough , but if the average elo is 2780-2790 it wont be so hard to keep a high ELO. Besides you can only guess if Kasparov in 1998 is better than Fisher in 1972
Administrator"I'm a big deal." - ixmike88
PhilGood2DaY
Profile Joined September 2005
Germany7424 Posts
February 17 2008 13:54 GMT
#87
dont you realize that elo has one BIG problem : Its very very important when u start and also there are times when you are higher than anyone else thats is just not worth playing anymore, acutally.
Like you are not much more skilled than anyone else but your ranking is much higher- that just sucks
hatred outlives the hateful
ForAdun
Profile Joined August 2007
Germany986 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-02-17 14:05:58
February 17 2008 14:03 GMT
#88
On February 17 2008 22:54 MaGic~PhiL wrote:
dont you realize that elo has one BIG problem : Its very very important when u start and also there are times when you are higher than anyone else thats is just not worth playing anymore, acutally.
Like you are not much more skilled than anyone else but your ranking is much higher- that just sucks


But if you lose some of your ELO and you don't get them back immediately you realize there's a problem that you need to solve. This is why ELO is a very good system.
And if you got the highest ELO ranking and you manage to keep it then you can safely say you're not doing anything wrong which makes you more confident into your knowledge about the game. Means when you fall you can later climb back if you remember what you did so well in the past.
PS: ELO ranking is perhaps the most accurate one in the world.
jonhan
Profile Joined February 2008
Australia14 Posts
February 17 2008 15:13 GMT
#89
As stated many times, higher ELO does not equal relative dominance.

In this case, Jaedong will be the highest rated player (if he happens to get the highest ELO rating which now it doesn't seem he will be getting), but it's a fallacy to say he's the single most dominant player in history because of his ELO.
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