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ASL Season 20 Ro24 Groups

Forum Index > BW General
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RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3081 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 03:12:42
August 08 2025 03:03 GMT
#1
(Wiki)ASL Season 20



[image loading]
Toshinou-Kyouko
Profile Joined November 2024
Philippines398 Posts
August 08 2025 03:15 GMT
#2
Group D is death.

Other than that:

A: Sharp and Stork tbh (I would love to see Larva but it does feel like he's out of shape)
B: Bisu and Speed
C: Mini and especially Soma
E: JD and Rush
F: Barracks and herO
Yuru Yuri best anime
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26210 Posts
August 08 2025 03:15 GMT
#3
Who is BTS btw? I saw someone mention them as an ex-SC2 guy but forgot to ask who!

Man there’s such depth in ASL, most these groups there’s 3/4 who on their day could get out at least, and many it’s all participants
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 08 2025 03:32 GMT
#4
Go Calm ! Lol
BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50596 Posts
August 08 2025 03:46 GMT
#5
Mini is not in Group A, that in itself is amazing.
Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3081 Posts
August 08 2025 03:48 GMT
#6
Mini got shafted big time with soma as a "tier 2" lol. JYJ and Queen also gonna have a hard time.

Here are my predictions hehe

[image loading]
pseudosignal
Profile Joined May 2025
45 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-10 03:20:29
August 08 2025 03:59 GMT
#7
Sharp/Ample

Ample's TvP is simply monster mode lately. Definitely more of a heart pick than a brain pick, but I don't think it's that much of a stretch. I think Larva is a bit more of a threat to him since his TvZ isn't as strong, but I've also seen Larva struggle in the matchup in recent streams to the point where Rush is literally laughing out loud while sniping his mutas over and over.

Speed/Bisu

Confident in this pick, and I don't even think Bisu is very good nowadays. Speed is a guarantee IMO - just so strong in TvT.

Mini/soma

Would love sSak to go through, but I don't see it happening. Saber is a future threat in ASL I think but it's hard to give him the edge over these veterans given it's his first appearance.

Queen/effort

Simply picking the best two players. ZvZ group is wild.

Rush/ParalyzE

I don't see Mong getting through, so the main question is whether JD can do it. Honestly, my brain says it will be JD over ParalyzE for the same reason I don't see Saber getting through, but I'd love an upset.

BarrackS/hero

Only question here for me is whether it's BarrackS or RoyaL. Purely based on recent ASL performance, it just feels like RoyaL hasn't quite been able to cut it whereas BarrackS is a firehose of potential. I think it's his time.
GTR
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
51506 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 05:57:28
August 08 2025 05:56 GMT
#8
On August 08 2025 12:15 WombaT wrote:
Who is BTS btw? I saw someone mention them as an ex-SC2 guy but forgot to ask who!


(Z)TRUE

group d may end up being one of the rare groups i skip lol
Commentator
iFU.pauline
Profile Joined September 2009
France1660 Posts
August 08 2025 06:05 GMT
#9
I feel that Queen is going to choke so bad. Then he will hold his head for 10 minutes looking down and saying "haaaaaaa.....".
No coward soul is mine, No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere, I see Heaven's glories shine, And Faith shines equal arming me from Fear
KameZerg
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
Sweden1767 Posts
August 08 2025 08:08 GMT
#10
On August 08 2025 12:48 RogerChillingworth wrote:
Mini got shafted big time with soma as a "tier 2" lol. JYJ and Queen also gonna have a hard time.

Here are my predictions hehe

[image loading]


Effort not making it out of a all-zerg group? Please bro.
asdasdasdasdasd123123123
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 08 2025 12:10 GMT
#11
I will go ahead and say Stork, Bisu, Mini, ZerO, Jaedong and herO are likely to get eliminated from their group.

(!)

TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 08 2025 14:06 GMT
#12
My personal opinion

Overall, excellent group for Larva.
Even against 3 T, Bisu is gone.
Saber is in the group of death, gg
I wont risk any predictions for group D, but go Calm
I think Paralyze is over-rated, so 2nd place will be between JD and Mong. Probably Mong. Easy group for Rush
Finally a good group for sOrry, and i hope TRUE can make it as well. herO is not playing well right now, and could get eliminated.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4228 Posts
August 08 2025 16:02 GMT
#13
Do we also know the map order for ro24 already?
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
Zografa
Profile Joined February 2023
213 Posts
August 08 2025 18:37 GMT
#14
maps? and does tier1 play tier4 and t2 vs t3?
oxKnu
Profile Joined December 2017
1240 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 20:03:09
August 08 2025 20:02 GMT
#15
Bisu's group is insanely tough, especially on these maps.

Some of your predictions are indicating that you still think this is 2020.
Crimson)S(hadow
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
Philippines594 Posts
August 08 2025 22:09 GMT
#16
sharp, larva
Bisu, TY
soma, mini
queen, effort
rush, jaedong
hero, royal
"It's the end of the BW era which i devoted everything to for 10 years. I tried playing sc2, but my BW memories run too deep; I felt like I was playing an entirely different game" -ToSsGirL
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 08 2025 22:12 GMT
#17
Sharp&Larva
Speed&TY
soma&sSak
effort&ZerO
Rush&Mong
sOrry&Barracks
GTR
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
51506 Posts
August 08 2025 22:52 GMT
#18
Game 1 and 2: Dominator
Game 3 and 4: Screaming Sea, Litmus or Knockout (each player bans 1 and last remaining map is played)
Game 5: Metropolis, Radeon or Polestar (each player bans 1 and last remaining map is played)
Commentator
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1916 Posts
August 09 2025 01:31 GMT
#19
Prediction:

A: Sharp, Larva (sorry Stork 😭)
B: Bisu, Speed
C: Mini, Soma
D: Queen, EffOrt
E: Rush, Jaedong
F: herO, RoyaL
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3081 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-09 03:29:01
August 09 2025 03:27 GMT
#20
I just look at group C and get a little sweaty. Fan me, someone.

You got the Gas Station Terran, aka Mechanic Terran, chomping on a 3 day old piece of a gum, doesn't bargain, will absolutely overcharge. He knows people look down on him a little, but it's your car in his garage. Can you fix a fucking engine? Didn't think so.

But then you have Mini, BGH, with his fuckin safari hat and Sako S20 rifle, beige pollo on beige high rise shorts, tall white socks, heading into the jungle for some soma panther meat. He looks like any old hunter, albeit on the nerdy side, and on top of all that getup a deck full of aces up his sleeve, including claws that rival the panther's, and martial arts skills that would make Steven Seagal in his prime look like an unborn teletubby.

Like it does look scary when you have that epic cinematic shot of the panther through the leaves, maybe with a little David Attenborough narration—and anyone expects the hunter to get his ass killed, especially for wearing shorts like that.
But the hunter is only appearing to look a little weak lately. It's all part of a greater tapestry. The mankillers spot what they perceive to be weakness, become overly aggressive, and the Sako S20 cleans up.

The hunter, instead of running into the forest like Arnold Schwarzenegger, covering himself in mud like a little bitch, walks right on the path. The panther, not realizing he's up against an Aikido master who will use his own aggression against him as he charges in and then hurl his ass back into the woods like an empty box, sees the hunter coming down. The panther waits for the whistling beige on beige afternoon snack to pass. The hunter's back is to him now. The panther jumps out without a sound, not a leaf disturbed. The hunter turns, fingers on his left hand stiff and curled to intercept a paw, the Sako in his right swinging around to line up with the head. But it's a panther, and his Aikido does shit, and the Sako misses, and the panther bites his throat so he can't even scream, and tears back and forth until the hunter is completely still, his head and neck like a smashed peanut butter jelly sandwich at the base of school cafeteria garbage can, that a kid didn't want and now he hates his mom even though it tastes fine like that. The panther stomps out the last few warping in photon cannons to the saddest violin you've ever heard, and all the probes pop like popcorn, and the hunter's dead left hand posthumously twitches Morse a single g.
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 09 2025 03:36 GMT
#21
fnmop ?
sM.Zik
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada2550 Posts
August 09 2025 06:08 GMT
#22
Y'all putting Mong as 2nd place instead of Jaedong are mad. Mong is constantly choking, never achieved anything meaningful, meanwhile Jaedong is playing quite well since the last 6+ months. He won 5 games in a row in KCM yesterday against the likes of Mini, Snow, Sharp, etc, in a very convincing way.
Jaedong Fighting! | youtube.com/ZikGaming
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26210 Posts
August 09 2025 07:15 GMT
#23
On August 09 2025 12:27 RogerChillingworth wrote:
I just look at group C and get a little sweaty. Fan me, someone.

You got the Gas Station Terran, aka Mechanic Terran, chomping on a 3 day old piece of a gum, doesn't bargain, will absolutely overcharge. He knows people look down on him a little, but it's your car in his garage. Can you fix a fucking engine? Didn't think so.

But then you have Mini, BGH, with his fuckin safari hat and Sako S20 rifle, beige pollo on beige high rise shorts, tall white socks, heading into the jungle for some soma panther meat. He looks like any old hunter, albeit on the nerdy side, and on top of all that getup a deck full of aces up his sleeve, including claws that rival the panther's, and martial arts skills that would make Steven Seagal in his prime look like an unborn teletubby.

Like it does look scary when you have that epic cinematic shot of the panther through the leaves, maybe with a little David Attenborough narration—and anyone expects the hunter to get his ass killed, especially for wearing shorts like that.
But the hunter is only appearing to look a little weak lately. It's all part of a greater tapestry. The mankillers spot what they perceive to be weakness, become overly aggressive, and the Sako S20 cleans up.

The hunter, instead of running into the forest like Arnold Schwarzenegger, covering himself in mud like a little bitch, walks right on the path. The panther, not realizing he's up against an Aikido master who will use his own aggression against him as he charges in and then hurl his ass back into the woods like an empty box, sees the hunter coming down. The panther waits for the whistling beige on beige afternoon snack to pass. The hunter's back is to him now. The panther jumps out without a sound, not a leaf disturbed. The hunter turns, fingers on his left hand stiff and curled to intercept a paw, the Sako in his right swinging around to line up with the head. But it's a panther, and his Aikido does shit, and the Sako misses, and the panther bites his throat so he can't even scream, and tears back and forth until the hunter is completely still, his head and neck like a smashed peanut butter jelly sandwich at the base of school cafeteria garbage can, that a kid didn't want and now he hates his mom even though it tastes fine like that. The panther stomps out the last few warping in photon cannons to the saddest violin you've ever heard, and all the probes pop like popcorn, and the hunter's dead left hand posthumously twitches Morse a single g.

Oddly my exact prediction
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4228 Posts
August 09 2025 09:07 GMT
#24
A: Sharp + Larva
B: Bisu + Speed
C: Mini + soma
D: literally anything can happen in a bo1 4xZ group.. but let's say that ZerO + EffOrt will advance.
E: Rush + Jaedong
F: by.hero + RoyaL

some very interesting groups overall
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1057 Posts
August 09 2025 10:48 GMT
#25
guess it is time to make another preseason post qualifier power rankings chart for perhaps the oddest groups of all time.
JDON MY SOUL!
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3081 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-09 15:40:07
August 09 2025 15:25 GMT
#26
Y'allz be fuckin nuts, fuckin pine nuts. Mong's gonna win the whole tournament without dropping a map and then send his shit to you in the mail.

ALSO BOLD PREDICTIONS picking all the clear favorites. I'm just blown away over here. Yo, Sharp is old. He's a cool guy I'm sure, but he's like the grandpa from 3 Ninjas. He can still fight but he's more of a teacher now. Ample's gonna give him an Oberyn Martel death scene, there's no two ways to slice it.

Also shit man, wouldn't mind Paralyze getting through. I've seen a grand total of 0 of this dude's games but I'd clap my feet if he made a real splash. Maybe he'll win the whole tournament. Maybe it'll be him vs Mong in the finals. Anyone who says they know what's gonna happen is dreamin. I'm an idiot I just did that lolz
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 09 2025 15:54 GMT
#27
snmop ?
Destroyer
Profile Joined October 2002
Czech Republic937 Posts
August 09 2025 23:22 GMT
#28
A:
Sharp and Larva. Sharp is pretty consistent and Larva being back and already in really solid form should go through.
B:
Speed and Bisu. Speed is generally good in TvT and Bisu, even in not a super optimal form should be able to do it with one matchup to practice. Difficult group.
C:
Soma and Mini. After Soma got back, he plays like crazy and plays really really good. Mini is reasonably consistent and if he doesnt go crazy (like few seasons ago against sSak) he should be able to do it. But sSak can definitely surprice.
D:
Insanity. Queen is great in ZvZ and I would bet he ll go on, others.. No clue.
E:
Rush and JD. Both consistent, playing a lot and in good form.
F:
RoyaL and herO. As previous group, both playing a lot and very good. Especially RoyaL feels to me to be in really good shape.
never too old for starcraft :)
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 10 2025 02:22 GMT
#29
On August 10 2025 08:22 Destroyer wrote:
A:
Sharp and Larva. Sharp is pretty consistent and Larva being back and already in really solid form should go through.
B:
Speed and Bisu. Speed is generally good in TvT and Bisu, even in not a super optimal form should be able to do it with one matchup to practice. Difficult group.
C:
Soma and Mini. After Soma got back, he plays like crazy and plays really really good. Mini is reasonably consistent and if he doesnt go crazy (like few seasons ago against sSak) he should be able to do it. But sSak can definitely surprice.
D:
Insanity. Queen is great in ZvZ and I would bet he ll go on, others.. No clue.
E:
Rush and JD. Both consistent, playing a lot and in good form.
F:
RoyaL and herO. As previous group, both playing a lot and very good. Especially RoyaL feels to me to be in really good shape.


Thanks for your insight. A lot of upsets, thats a bold prediction.
zutt0
Profile Joined August 2025
10 Posts
August 11 2025 03:34 GMT
#30
A: Sharp and Stork. Larva is 4-14 against Sharp and 1-2 against Stork over the last 9 months. He could do it, but I'm not counting on it.
B: Bisu and Speed. These guys haven't played against each other much, but Bisu and Speed are both quite good against Terran, and JyJ is mediocre against Terran and poor against Protoss.
C: Mini and Soma. Mini is 10-5 against Soma over the last months. This idea that Soma is going to wipe the floor with Mini is totally unsupportable with the evidence. I don't think sSak is likely to beat Mini, because Mini is up 8-2. I do think sSak has a chance against Soma. He's 14-20 against Jaedong, 45-54 against Queen, and 20-29 against hero. I think Soma is favored, but sSak absolutely has a chance to make an upset.
D: Queen and Effort. There's a lot of variance here. Queen is the best ZvZer, but best of 1 means literally anything can happen here.
E: Rush and Jaedong. Mong is better than people think, but these are tough matchups for him. He's 0-3 against Rush and 3-9 against Jaedong.
F: Royal and Barracks. This is a tough group for hero with some weird rock-paper-scissors dynamics. He's 25-33 against Royal, 14-9 against Barracks, and by far the worst at ZvZ among the top pros (4-6 against BTS). Royal, on the other hand, is 4-6 against Barracks and 10-10 against BTS. Barracks is 22-8 against BTS.

In terms of the Tier 4s, I think BTS has a solid chance of making it out. hyun and TY do it on a good day, and I think Ample has an outside shot. Saber and Paralyze are hopeless.
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3081 Posts
August 11 2025 03:39 GMT
#31
On August 11 2025 12:34 zutt0 wrote:
This idea that Soma is going to wipe the floor with Mini is totally unsupportable with the evidence. .


SHHHHH... it's so Mini practices even harder and blends the fucker

SHHHHHHH

KEEP YOUR VOICE DOWN
goody153
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
44236 Posts
August 12 2025 04:41 GMT
#32
Group A: Larva Sharp (i do hope stork makes it out)
Group B: Speed JYJ (neat group for bisu only has to practice PvT but I dont think he makes it .. i do really hope TY makes it out of this group like cross-polination between sc2 and bw players are always good )
Group C: Mini Soma (one of the more obvious groups)
Group D: Queen Effort (tf is this all zerg group lmao)
Group E: JD Rush (the only group i'm kinda almost certain how it turns out)
Group F: Royal + 1 (even group)
this is a quote
prosatan
Profile Joined September 2009
Romania8502 Posts
August 12 2025 06:00 GMT
#33
I can't predict group D... it is zvz ... one game ... anyone can beat anyone
Lee JaeDong Fighting! The only church that illuminates is the one that burns.
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1100 Posts
August 12 2025 12:06 GMT
#34
The fact that Calm has a shot to makes it is perfect. The guy understands what he can and can't do. Therefore, he makes fun games to watch.

Expect a special build order from Calm but don't expect it to works. May be though~
Souden
Profile Joined May 2023
50 Posts
August 12 2025 13:12 GMT
#35
Group A: Ample + Stork
Group B: TY + JyJ
Group C: Saber + sSak
Group D: Calm + Hyun
Group E: ParalyzE + Mong
Group F: BTS + Barracks

+ Show Spoiler +
This is an anti-bet btw, but would be fun to see some upsets.
VGhost
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3616 Posts
August 12 2025 14:08 GMT
#36
Predictions:

A: Larva, Stork. Larva seems like a clear favorite but Stork should make it out on the back of his PvT... assuming he practices at all.
B: Bisu, JyJ. Neither should be challenged by the other two.
C: Mini, soma. Ditto.
D: effort, Queen. Hyun seems the odd one out. I don't quite trust Calm's ZvZ, though I guess if Queen chokes again...
E: Rush, Jaedong. JD could even get out first.
F: hero, BTS. hero is the obvious pick; I don't have much confidence in either of the Terrans although I think on paper BTS is the underdog. But he's showed some fun games, would be nice to see him get through.
#4427 || I am not going to scan a ferret.
Lazyer
Profile Joined August 2011
United States365 Posts
August 12 2025 18:57 GMT
#37
I wanna see some 4pools in group D

A: Stork / Sharp, always rooting for Stork, didn't get a chance to watch Larva's quals so idk what shape he's in.
B: Bisu / Speed, I could see Speed getting ahead in the TvTs!
C: Mini / Soma, dunno who will go out in first though!
D: Queen / effort, fun group to make lmao
E: Rush / JD
F: herO / Barracks, I love Barracks hahaha I really hope he makes it out.
WGT-Baal
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
France3420 Posts
August 12 2025 22:37 GMT
#38
I have a bad feeling for bisu there. Stork has a shot, rough for the afrotoss. Looks dire for P this season.

But fun groups otherwise overall
Horang2 fan
Souden
Profile Joined May 2023
50 Posts
August 27 2025 12:19 GMT
#39
Coming back to this after round of 24 ended.

+ Show Spoiler +
Looks like Group F was the biggest upset. Got my anti-bet correct for all except Group F lol.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1916 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-27 12:23:04
August 27 2025 12:22 GMT
#40
On August 09 2025 10:31 LightSpectra wrote:
Prediction:

A: Sharp, Larva (sorry Stork 😭)
B: Bisu, Speed
C: Mini, Soma
D: Queen, EffOrt
E: Rush, Jaedong
F: herO, RoyaL


+ Show Spoiler +
hero and RoyaL threw because they didn't want my predictions to be perfect. You heard it here first
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
pseudosignal
Profile Joined May 2025
45 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-27 14:36:26
August 27 2025 12:23 GMT
#41
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2025 12:59 pseudosignal wrote:
Sharp/Ample

Ample's TvP is simply monster mode lately. Definitely more of a heart pick than a brain pick, but I don't think it's that much of a stretch. I think Larva is a bit more of a threat to him since his TvZ isn't as strong, but I've also seen Larva struggle in the matchup in recent streams to the point where Rush is literally laughing out loud while sniping his mutas over and over.

Speed/Bisu

Confident in this pick, and I don't even think Bisu is very good nowadays. Speed is a guarantee IMO - just so strong in TvT.

Mini/soma

Would love sSak to go through, but I don't see it happening. Saber is a future threat in ASL I think but it's hard to give him the edge over these veterans given it's his first appearance.

Queen/effort

Simply picking the best two players. ZvZ group is wild.

Rush/ParalyzE

I don't see Mong getting through, so the main question is whether JD can do it. Honestly, my brain says it will be JD over ParalyzE for the same reason I don't see Saber getting through, but I'd love an upset.

BarrackS/hero

Only question here for me is whether it's BarrackS or RoyaL. Purely based on recent ASL performance, it just feels like RoyaL hasn't quite been able to cut it whereas BarrackS is a firehose of potential. I think it's his time.


JD and Larva both surprised me, and hero threw hard. Otherwise not terrible.
prosatan
Profile Joined September 2009
Romania8502 Posts
August 27 2025 14:27 GMT
#42
pseudosignal use spoilers here please!
Lee JaeDong Fighting! The only church that illuminates is the one that burns.
pseudosignal
Profile Joined May 2025
45 Posts
August 27 2025 14:37 GMT
#43
Okay done - but if someone who doesn't want to read spoilers is reading a thread called ASL GROUPS after the group stage has wrapped up, I propose that it's their fault lmao
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