Schedule change be damned the ASL marches on with no break, as we head into homestretch the Ro4, everyone here is already seeded into the next ASL, everything is for keeps now, today we have a clash between two men who have found success in every tournament but the ASL, will they change their fortune this time?
Best at their Worst
Here we are, Its Light vs Bisu two guys who historically are not the greatest in the matchup they’re going up against and would rather go beat on some zergs being one step away from claiming championship. But does that mean we won’t get some good games out of this series? Their Ro24 encounter wasn’t that great but in a Bo7 anything can happen.
Light is coming hot off his series against Action which started off on the wrong foot but quickly managed course correct into a victory. This has been how Light’s entire ASL run has been thus far, in the Ro16 he was a game away from advancing in 1st but then lost the rubber match to Rain and then went on to advance 2nd, even before that in the Ro24 where he dropped the set against Bisu in the winner’s game which was a result of a brilliant opening and Light’s mismanagement leading him to lose, but now Light has the benefit of a Bo7 series to fall back on.
While Light’s ASL run thus far has been one with a few setbacks to which he made corrections, Bisu’s for the last couple of rounds has been a pure fight for survival and it’s been messy, his series with JyJ exposed a lot of flaws in Bisu’s PvT(you should have gone carriers more!) and Light is on JyJ’s level if not better when it comes to TvP, but if not for the fact that Bisu is a multi time champion and someone who can perform very well under pressure offline showing that clutch game 5 against JyJ. Lets go by the numbers to see what the odds really are for this series.
On sponbbang right now Bisu’s best matchup happens to be PvT maybe it has to do with Sharp being every protoss player’s punching bag but he also happens to have a winning record against Light, in the month of march no less, he’s 4-2 in the last 6 games that they have played, take that along with the result from their Ro24 match, Bisu really has Light figured out who in comparison does well against every other protoss, a moot point if you’re not beating the one protoss you need to beat right now.
Light does happen to have the maps to equal the odds.
Allegro(Set 1 - Light’s pick): Protoss is yet to win a single game on this map so far in the season and online its not a popular map to play on for protoss in the matchup, expect Bisu to attempt to pull a proxy 2gate and just try get the map over with.
Eclipse(Set 2- Bisu’s Pick): While the standard bearer map of the season, its been protoss favoured, fantastic map to do great vulture harass and drops, being a 2 player map means that the longer the game goes Terran will have more advantage, but I can see Light attempting to constantly keep protoss down and cut off his ability to get a 4th base.
Monopoly(Set 3 - Light’s pick): Another obvious pick from Light with how similar Monopoly is to Allegro in terms of how hard it is for a protoss to hold a 3rd base, its been a bad map for protoss this ASL.
Butter(Set 4 - Bisu’s pick): Not a popular map from the ASL map pool could go either way but I believe that Bisu has something planned for this map in particular.
Vermeer(Set 5 - Light’s pick): The last possible map that Light could pick that would have given him an advantage, the natural on vermeer is very hard to block, I can fully expect Light attempt to take this map with an early attack, 5 marines, 2 vultures(with mines) and a tank, provided he scouts right.
Revolver(Set 6 - Bisu’s pick): Its surprising that Revolver is coming in so late in the series considering Protoss has never lost on his map, fantastic map for carrier play, of course the last series JyJ just decided to pull the boys and lost the attack and the game, I don’t see Light doing this.
Metaverse(Set 7) : The final map, the map where Bisu already beat Light in the Ro24, I would not be surprised if Bisu attempted to pull off the same strategy again and hope Light bungles his marine defense again, if they reached this point in this long and mentally taxing series it would make sense.
All in all I see this series either going to Bisu ultimately in game 7 or to Light at any point prior be it 4-0,4-1 or 4-2.
Light to Advance to the Finals 4-2!