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Why is Dayvie at the Top of the Ladder?

Blogs > ItsYoungLee
Post a Reply
1 2 Next All
ItsYoungLee
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Korea (South)227 Posts
August 13 2010 16:40 GMT
#1
At sc2ranks.com dayvie is currently #1 with rating 1188 with a record of 63.64% 119-68, while TTOne is #3 with rating of 1166 with a record of 67.96% 210-99. Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Is this a consequence of some Ladder Matching Rules Battle.net is using?

*
ePParamedico.160 (formerly ElParamedico)
seRapH
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9795 Posts
August 13 2010 16:44 GMT
#2
well ttone probably got matched against more lower ranked players, while dayvie got matched against stronger players.
boomer hands
blahman3344
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States2015 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-08-13 16:46:08
August 13 2010 16:44 GMT
#3
TTOne could have played a lot of players where he was favored, or davyie played a lot of players where his opponent is favored.
I like haikus and / I can not lie. You other / brothers can't deny
mesohawny
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada193 Posts
August 13 2010 16:46 GMT
#4
it doesnt matter how many wins you have, its the quality of your wins

"quality" being an arbitrary term in relation to their opponents ladder ranking.
love you long time
Chill
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
Calgary25996 Posts
August 13 2010 16:47 GMT
#5
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?
Moderator
spinesheath
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Germany8679 Posts
August 13 2010 16:47 GMT
#6
Oversimpified: TTOne is playing too much.

My guess is that it's a consequence of the bonus point system, high losses, low gains at the top of the ladder. Dayvie climbs in points because the bonus point system gives him more than he loses. TTOne loses more than/just as much as he gains from the bonus pool.
It's fairly safe to assume that you are bound to lose points if you are at the top of the ladder and "only" have a 68% win ratio.
If you have a good reason to disagree with the above, please tell me. Thank you.
EffectS
Profile Joined May 2010
Belgium795 Posts
August 13 2010 16:55 GMT
#7
On August 14 2010 01:47 (Z)Chill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and (T)Only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?


For that (Z)Answer my friend, I'd like to advice you to Check out the following site:
+ Show Spoiler +
50 Things that (T)Kill braincells
TEEHEE
ItsYoungLee
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Korea (South)227 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-08-13 16:57:42
August 13 2010 16:56 GMT
#8
On August 14 2010 01:47 Chill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?


It's not that trivial as an explanation of "Dayvie just played more favored people while TTOne didn't". If the system is good it should average out and you shouldn't have people with different win percentage of 4%+ with a combined sample size of over 400 games have similar rating. In this case it's even worse because the direction is reversed (lower win % --> higher score). The p-value for that has got to be miniscule.

The explanation must lie in how the system matches opponents. I don't have that great of a knowledge about how it works, and would like to understand.
ePParamedico.160 (formerly ElParamedico)
Kralic
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada2628 Posts
August 13 2010 16:56 GMT
#9
I don't know why you are having a problem with a third party ladder ranking website in the first place. Maybe go to the thread for it and demand the answers from the creator?
Brood War forever!
n.DieJokes
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States3443 Posts
August 13 2010 16:59 GMT
#10
On August 14 2010 01:55 EffectS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2010 01:47 (Z)Chill wrote:
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and (T)Only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?


For that (Z)Answer my friend, I'd like to advice you to Check out the following site:
+ Show Spoiler +
50 Things that (T)Kill braincells

Can someone please explain to me why EffectS tlpdized his post?
MyLove + Your Love= Supa Love
ItsYoungLee
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Korea (South)227 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-08-13 17:00:56
August 13 2010 16:59 GMT
#11
I don't have a problem with it, I'm just curious how it works. If you had read the post you would know that it's got nothing to do with the third party ranking site...

+Blizzard is reluctant to give all details of their ladder ranking system because then it's possible it could be abused. Just thought with the intelligent TL userbase here someone could venture some plausible guesses to explain such non-intuitive results.
ePParamedico.160 (formerly ElParamedico)
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8003 Posts
August 13 2010 17:00 GMT
#12
On August 14 2010 01:55 EffectS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2010 01:47 (Z)Chill wrote:
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and (T)Only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?


For that (Z)Answer my friend, I'd like to advice you to Check out the following site:
+ Show Spoiler +
50 Things that (T)Kill braincells

Priceless
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Kralic
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada2628 Posts
August 13 2010 17:03 GMT
#13
Well you said @ the website he is ranked #1 over TT1. The ladder is up for interpertation from so many people on what should be taken into account, but like many have said it is all about who you play against win or lose.

Maybe TTone lost a lot of games to Dayvie? If you beat someone you gain a lot more points then what you would have won. Say Dayvie beats TT1 Dayvie gains 20 points and TT1 loses 10 points. Dayvie just gained 30 points on TT1 in the ladder.
Brood War forever!
AnodyneSea
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Jamaica757 Posts
August 13 2010 17:05 GMT
#14
favored / unfavored opponents and probably help from bonus pool. everyday i get home from work i have like 10+ pts in bonus pool.. i know thats only roughly 1 game but still
Lost within the hope of freedom, not for control but in the light of our cause
ItsYoungLee
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Korea (South)227 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-08-13 17:12:58
August 13 2010 17:09 GMT
#15
Kralic, you make a great point there - one possible explanation is Dayvie did beat TT1 a lot. Lol, maybe Dayvie is super effective against TT1? I'd like to here from TT1 himself whether this is the case.

As for the bonus pool, I don't think it should make much of a difference because they probably started laddering at the same time, at the release of Starcraft 2. Thus they both gained the same amount from the bonus.

I found this website which helps to explain the system a lot,
http://lorehound.com/starcraft/starcraft-2s-battle-net-leagues-ladders-and-rankings-explained/
but it still seems to me that the data I see for rankings seems discordant with a well-designed laddering system.

Another explanation that seems possibly plausible to me is that these two users play as part of two different Battle.net 'cohorts'. If TT1 only plays at night and Dayvie only plays during the day, this could somewhat explain how they could have different %ages with similar ratings. Do they live on opposite sides of the Earth? lol
ePParamedico.160 (formerly ElParamedico)
Chill
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
Calgary25996 Posts
August 13 2010 17:22 GMT
#16
Opposite sides of North America at least: California vs Quebec.
Moderator
broz0rs
Profile Joined July 2008
United States2294 Posts
August 13 2010 17:36 GMT
#17
in case you haven't read this analysis:

http://www.sirlin.net/blog/2010/7/24/analyzing-starcraft-2s-ranking-system.html
EffectS
Profile Joined May 2010
Belgium795 Posts
August 13 2010 17:54 GMT
#18
On August 14 2010 01:59 n.DieJokes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2010 01:55 EffectS wrote:
On August 14 2010 01:47 (Z)Chill wrote:
On August 14 2010 01:40 ItsYoungLee wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Can someone explain to me how someone with what appears to be 91 more wins and (T)Only 31 more losses is rated lower?

Can someone explain to me how you couldn't figure this out yourself?


For that (Z)Answer my friend, I'd like to advice you to Check out the following site:
+ Show Spoiler +
50 Things that (T)Kill braincells

Can someone please explain to me why EffectS tlpdized his post?


+ Show Spoiler +
I clicked it, and it is my geek nature not to more than is needed, so I diden't remove it.

happy now?
TEEHEE
Navane
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Netherlands2751 Posts
August 13 2010 18:12 GMT
#19
Maybe he won more games earlier and lost more later as opposed to evenly distributed?

If best winrate -> best ranking, then ranking would be rather redundant.
404.Delirium
Profile Joined May 2008
United States1190 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-08-13 18:24:06
August 13 2010 18:20 GMT
#20
I don't really know why it's a deal worth worrying over or blogging about, or why that post was TLPD'ized; or why we should know and you can't figure it out yourself =(

I really just responded half-heartedly to the thread because I got a mild kick out of the ad banner.
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
seriously next disrespectful comment in this blog is ip ban. Be happy or get the hell out. // SC2 is like playing with neutral-colored Play-Doh while BW is like colorful Legos.
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