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On June 29 2016 21:05 Jean Valjean wrote:Show nested quote +On June 29 2016 21:03 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On June 29 2016 21:01 Jean Valjean wrote: But yeah, fuck it, I started listing up the reasons I stopped thinking Artanis is mafia and they still kinda hold up, so I'm going back to my Chez is mafia theory.
Artanis' reaction to my pressure yesterday Artanis' post where he talks about smurfhunting (it shows sort of a.... chill attitude, that mafia might not dare portray) Artanis' filter length
So whatever, I'm just gonna assume he's a baddie, which wouldn't be that surprising. The lion concedes he was OMGUSing. It is too late for the lion. The zebra is hungry. You understand the actual chances of this happening are next to zero, right? Looking at the vote counts, amount of cleared people and thread sentiment, I would beg to differ.
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I'm curious how it feels to be on the opposite end of the table though.
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So I'm going to pretend Artanis doesn't exist for a while, it's not the first time I've had to ignore his idiocy.
Jealous is basically my "this guy is never going to be mafia/mafia of the year". I basically love how he think, I love everything he posts and he is a strapping lad in every possible way. I think this guy has a fantastic future in TL Mafia. If he somehow ends up the mafia I'll be doubly impressed. But yeah, I am never lynching this guy.
Skynx had a good day 1, but unless he's contributed much since daybreak I'm meh on him
GB is "confirmed" (he has a role, no other blues have claimed, he shot mafia) I am "confirmed" (towniest player in thread, lynched mafia)
Superbia is probably town. His gambit is of course possible mafia play (superbia is probably the player with the greatest mafia range in this game), but meh. He also sounded townie in the end when I put some pressure on him during the night.
Tumblewood has been more backgroundy than most, but every time I read posts by him I just think he doesn't sound like what mafia would sound like. I'm sort of letting him off as town.
I think mafia is most likely somewhere in:
Damdred/Artanis/Chez/Tictock
Of those there exists at least one reason for 3 of them (all but chez) to think they're town.
Damdred might be genuinely frustrated about the lack of respect he's getting (he has been bitching about being a good player yet ignored). Tictock still sounds scummy, but his reaction to superbia's test was.... ok? He's still suspicious because as I explained earlier all he needed was to know the track was false, but still. He's probably my 2nd choice for the remaining mafia. Artanis I already explained.
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On June 29 2016 21:09 Artanis[Xp] wrote: I'm curious how it feels to be on the opposite end of the table though. It's interesting.
We know one of us is good enough to pull his head out of his ass during a tunnel and get shit done (lynch scum). Now we're about to find out if the other one is good enough.
pro-tip: I'm not gonna help you by doing the typical townie things on TL Mafia: flame excessively, yell, pout, self-vote, or any of the other classic defenses.
I am going to stick to my principles, stay transparent, explain my thoughts, and I believe that will get me where I need to go.
So yeah, it's interesting, unexpected, but something I can deal with.
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And this is not a one way investigation Artanis, you are still a possibility for scum this game, mostly due lack of usefulness. You are now expected to go back and substantiate your push on me, and explain to town why you think I'm mafia. If not, you run the risk of being lynched on a bounceback once I flip town.
There is literally no downside for you in better explaining your read, if you're town. At worst, you'll still want to lynch me but town has a better understanding of why you did it, at best, you're going to realize your conclusion is faulty and we can start doing other things.
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Humm, I'm gunna hold off giving this game too much thought for a few more hours, but I plan to be around for EoD today.
So I'm kinda realizing that if we are putting Jean under some scrutiny due to the possibility of an Epic Bus situation D1, then we should also reexamine Super as well since I think the biggest thing going for him is his push D1 on Moosy.
So kinda open ended to everyone, what do you think about Super's fake claim on me today?
Too ballsy for scum? Too insane for town?
In particular I feel like he did not provide sufficient pressure to me to be able to really conclude that I am not scum for not having conceded (I'm actually not a fan of how much this "well he didn't concede today, must not be mafia" logic is being thrown around today...). I've shown in other games that I tend to not give up or surrender despite dire circumstances.
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On June 29 2016 21:37 Jean Valjean wrote: And this is not a one way investigation Artanis, you are still a possibility for scum this game
Deadline's today right? That's kind of unfortunate since I've got improv until close to deadline.
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Day 2 Votecount
Jean Valjean (3): Tictock, Artanis[Xp], Damdred Damdred (2): Tictock, Skynx, Tumblewood, Jealous Chezinu (2): Jean Valjean (x2), Jean Valjean (x2) Jealous (1): Artanis[Xp], Superbia, Damdred, Tumblewood Artanis[Xp] (0): Jean Valjean (x2) Tictock (0): Superbia, Artanis[Xp], Skynx, Jean Valjean (x2), Tumblewood, Jealous, Damdred
Not Voting (3): GlowingBear, Chezinu, Superbia
As of now, Jean Valjean will get lynched!
Day 2 ends Wednesday, Jun 29 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) in . TL countdown synchronizes with your device local time and not with the TL server time. It might be inaccurate.
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On June 29 2016 22:45 Tictock wrote: Humm, I'm gunna hold off giving this game too much thought for a few more hours, but I plan to be around for EoD today.
So I'm kinda realizing that if we are putting Jean under some scrutiny due to the possibility of an Epic Bus situation D1, then we should also reexamine Super as well since I think the biggest thing going for him is his push D1 on Moosy.
So kinda open ended to everyone, what do you think about Super's fake claim on me today?
Too ballsy for scum? Too insane for town?
In particular I feel like he did not provide sufficient pressure to me to be able to really conclude that I am not scum for not having conceded (I'm actually not a fan of how much this "well he didn't concede today, must not be mafia" logic is being thrown around today...). I've shown in other games that I tend to not give up or surrender despite dire circumstances. You are voting me.
What in my gameplay seems indicative of your "super bus" scenario. Didn't I waffle on Moosy's real alignment right until the lynch? Do I actually sound like mafia? Have my contributions this game been pushing mafia agenda?
Generally, while I understand fear lynching, you need to have at least one thing that makes the person you want to lynch mafia.
I do not want to get lynched, as I pointed out myself, the no1 priority of a townie is not to get lynched. The problem is I'm having a hard time finding the right frequency to communicate with a few of you (for example Artanis, and it seems you/damdred).
I'm trying to be open and transparent, but none of you actually want to explain why you think I'm mafia, and to someone who likes structured and logical play as much as I do, it's very hard for me (and a weakness of mine) to communicate with people who just want to lynch because... random butterflies?
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We are not lynching Rayn EHMM Jean Valjean today! What kind of stupidity is this?
If Jean Valjean was mafia he would never ever kill QT last night. It's simple: either scum was trying to take the bodyguard down or the bodyguard is scum and tried to make it look like he was trying to kill the bodyguard.
Either way, Jean isn't scum. IF he was scum and had hit the bodyguard, he would have to explain why he would be alive day3. That's a horrible position for Mafia to put himself in. He would kill another townie that had less chance to be town according to my town reads. I took a risk to give the bodyguard to a null read of mine exactly because of this by the way.
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If you guys want to YOLO we should lynch Chez who actually hasn't been even funny in this game :/
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Jean you might want to hammer Damdred first
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Then go back to chez if you wish so
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On June 29 2016 23:05 Jean Valjean wrote:Show nested quote +On June 29 2016 22:45 Tictock wrote: Humm, I'm gunna hold off giving this game too much thought for a few more hours, but I plan to be around for EoD today.
So I'm kinda realizing that if we are putting Jean under some scrutiny due to the possibility of an Epic Bus situation D1, then we should also reexamine Super as well since I think the biggest thing going for him is his push D1 on Moosy.
So kinda open ended to everyone, what do you think about Super's fake claim on me today?
Too ballsy for scum? Too insane for town?
In particular I feel like he did not provide sufficient pressure to me to be able to really conclude that I am not scum for not having conceded (I'm actually not a fan of how much this "well he didn't concede today, must not be mafia" logic is being thrown around today...). I've shown in other games that I tend to not give up or surrender despite dire circumstances. You are voting me. What in my gameplay seems indicative of your "super bus" scenario. Didn't I waffle on Moosy's real alignment right until the lynch? Do I actually sound like mafia? Have my contributions this game been pushing mafia agenda? Generally, while I understand fear lynching, you need to have at least one thing that makes the person you want to lynch mafia. I do not want to get lynched, as I pointed out myself, the no1 priority of a townie is not to get lynched. The problem is I'm having a hard time finding the right frequency to communicate with a few of you (for example Artanis, and it seems you/damdred). I'm trying to be open and transparent, but none of you actually want to explain why you think I'm mafia, and to someone who likes structured and logical play as much as I do, it's very hard for me (and a weakness of mine) to communicate with people who just want to lynch because... random butterflies?
Actually, Jean, your attitude against Moosy reeked of TMI. There was a post where you just said "ok, too trolly to be town" and locked on lynching him. Anyway, NK points you as town
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It just really seems not to care even though your busy, you aren't caught up in the day and are trying to solve the game with super imperfect information
It's easy to see how you are mafia, and if we get near lylo/mylo you can't be allowed to get that far just in case honestly.
And lynching a suiciding moosey isn't that great but that goes for all of is who were on you so you could kill moose.
@Super you will really regret lynching me btw idk why I have to be lynched when I have put in a lot of work today and general activity is stupid high for probably dying today
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Damdy, if Jean is Mafia, why would he kill QT?
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On June 29 2016 22:50 Artanis[Xp] wrote:Show nested quote +On June 29 2016 21:37 Jean Valjean wrote: And this is not a one way investigation Artanis, you are still a possibility for scum this game Deadline's today right? That's kind of unfortunate since I've got improv until close to deadline. I'm still waiting for your analysis ): This would also help to quiet Jean saying you don't contribute? ^^
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I haven't been playing much because of the play. Today is the last day so I'll have plenty of time after tomorrow's hangover
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Now that I've slept on it, I think that lynching Jean would just be a terrible risk at this juncture. Although he hasn't been useful in D2, I can't exactly fault him for being busy. If he was scum, then intentionally being inactive would be the dumbest thing he could do at this point given how the game has turned out so far. Therefore, his lack of activity isn't AI to me. Chez has been equally inactive but seems to get a free pass from almost everyone, which seems like hypocrisy.
As TT said, the main reason this wagon even gained traction was because of some flight of fancy, more of a sentimental "let's jump to conclusions because we want this to be the greatest game evar" than any real analysis of Jean's play. As TT said, Superbia could be equally guilty of the same legendary bus technique.
Basing Jean's lynch on this and inactivity is too great a risk because we lose 2 potentially townie votes and we lose a townie who can't be NK.
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On June 30 2016 00:57 GlowingBear wrote: We are not lynching Rayn EHMM Jean Valjean today! What kind of stupidity is this?
If Jean Valjean was mafia he would never ever kill QT last night. It's simple: either scum was trying to take the bodyguard down or the bodyguard is scum and tried to make it look like he was trying to kill the bodyguard.
Either way, Jean isn't scum. IF he was scum and had hit the bodyguard, he would have to explain why he would be alive day3. That's a horrible position for Mafia to put himself in. He would kill another townie that had less chance to be town according to my town reads. I took a risk to give the bodyguard to a null read of mine exactly because of this by the way.
Eh while this is a decent WIFOM NK argument (and possibly the first I've seen made to TR someone) I think your assumption that QT was killed because he might be BG a little flawed.
There is just as much chance he was killed because basically everyone agreed he was town or because he was on the right track and heavily TR. Though I think my first thought was also that he was killed as a potential BG.
If he was killed because he was on the right track it would implicate Super actually.
On June 27 2016 04:17 QuickTwist wrote:Show nested quote +On June 27 2016 04:08 Superbia wrote:On June 27 2016 04:05 QuickTwist wrote:On June 27 2016 04:02 Superbia wrote:On June 27 2016 02:42 QuickTwist wrote:On June 26 2016 18:18 Superbia wrote: A quick few notes about how I feel about damdred btw:
I think damdred could be scum, but not for the reasons that have been brought up (iirc). I think his reads have been sort of relaxed and I can see them coming from a town perspective. I do want to see some reasons behind them. Especially the two I asked at the start of the game.
Damdred's most scummy play this game has been his chicanery regarding presidency. He started the game off with the whole "I don't want to be president but I want to support a town president" or something along those lines. I think this is actually sort of scummy. I think as town you want to be the president, especially if you believe in your own ability. Moreover, it felt like he did want the presidency from the very start. His last page of his filter also has him pushing more and more towards getting the presidency.
Damdred, can you explain? Did you really not want presidency? If so, what has changed?
Moreover, can you elaborate on your early reads a little? Why did you conclude artanis vs qt was TvT that quickly? This post sucks and I'm Scum reading you for it. Why? I'll just say it like this: your reasons for both Town reading him AND Scum reading him are not even AI. AI? uwut? How does it make me scum? Also what does it mean for damdred's alignment? This is the last post of the day for me. 1) Your read on him is very non-commital. That is sometimes considered a Scum tell all on its own. 2) I read your reasons for reading him both Town and Scum as greatly reaching into things that are not alignment indicative at all. It would be one thing if they were solid Town and Scum tells, but they are not. Combine these two and what are you left with? No stance taken one way or the other based off reasons that are not AI. You might as well have just said "He hasn't done anything AI" but the fact that you are trying to blow a post like that up by both giving a strong stance both ways and giving non-valid reasoning just makes it a terrible terrible post. Why this is a Scummy post is because: 1) Its one of the longer posts you have made 2) You are fabricating reads 3) You don't have hardly any long posts to begin with 4) So it makes it look like you are trying look like you are doing more than you really are.
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