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Aotearoa39261 Posts
On April 11 2008 17:30 Bockit wrote:Show nested quote +On April 11 2008 16:49 Plexa wrote: As we are looking for an Electricity connection, the Storm (and hence ID) don't really apply to this aspect of Taipan. Also, the juxtaposition of the name is also lacking from Taipan - hence it is fairly safe to assume that TranceStorm is not Taipan Snake and hence Trancestorm is not mafia. While I agree with pretty much all your methodology I don't think you can make the claim "because the juxtaposition doesn't exist then it increases his chance of not being mafia" and for proof I bring quesadilla, whose *only* connection to the clues was his signature, his name wasn't relevant but it was still him. Fair enough it turned out TranceStorm was townie, and the rest of his stuff doesn't match up as well as it seems people were thinking, as you've pointed out. I'm just trying to avoid us falling into the trap of saying "This clue fits X but Y doesn't fit therefore it can't be him" when we've seen that this can be the case. But yeah I agree with pretty much everything else you've been saying. Let's see some red by nightfall. fair enough, i would argue that the juxtaposition isn't a central argument but is something which increases the chance of him being innocent. But the clue should match pretty seamlessly to one particular profile trait of the mafia
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Sydney2287 Posts
On April 11 2008 17:33 Plexa wrote:Show nested quote +On April 11 2008 17:30 Bockit wrote:On April 11 2008 16:49 Plexa wrote: As we are looking for an Electricity connection, the Storm (and hence ID) don't really apply to this aspect of Taipan. Also, the juxtaposition of the name is also lacking from Taipan - hence it is fairly safe to assume that TranceStorm is not Taipan Snake and hence Trancestorm is not mafia. While I agree with pretty much all your methodology I don't think you can make the claim "because the juxtaposition doesn't exist then it increases his chance of not being mafia" and for proof I bring quesadilla, whose *only* connection to the clues was his signature, his name wasn't relevant but it was still him. Fair enough it turned out TranceStorm was townie, and the rest of his stuff doesn't match up as well as it seems people were thinking, as you've pointed out. I'm just trying to avoid us falling into the trap of saying "This clue fits X but Y doesn't fit therefore it can't be him" when we've seen that this can be the case. But yeah I agree with pretty much everything else you've been saying. Let's see some red by nightfall. fair enough, i would argue that the juxtaposition isn't a central argument but is something which increases the chance of him being innocent. But the clue should match pretty seamlessly to one particular profile trait of the mafia
Cool, yeah I was just clarifying I guess. You're right it definitely has to be a good match.
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Well, some of the medics if not most of them have probably been rolechecked, so it probably comes down to a 1/2 or 1/3 chance of getting a mafia with a vig hit.
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Scorch we've already got it under control, I can't release the name yet though.
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Eddie is LostYourSkills , its pretty obvious Luck is mentionned in the first day or so and then its becoming an habit
Also : the player that I'm trying to fit to a caractere atm is artanis[xp] pretty sure he's mafia Reason : he got roleblocked? wtf? why him he doesnt even post? + his name (artanis) could possibly be linked to a mafioso
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just saw the news, changing my votes
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How long will it roughly be until night? Sorry i don't pay attention to times.
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I dunno but it could be done now since its pretty obvious who will be lynched
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nice nice, the game is alive again! nice analysis by plexa...sorry for not posting much but i've been very busy whit RL stuff, but im always checking the thread and reading the las 2-3 pages. i dont know if you rolechecked ninja...but he's still my 1st suspect :p
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On April 11 2008 22:09 Unforgiven_ve wrote: nice nice, the game is alive again! nice analysis by plexa...sorry for not posting much but i've been very busy whit RL stuff, but im always checking the thread and reading the las 2-3 pages. i dont know if you rolechecked ninja...but he's still my 1st suspect :p
Considering how much work ive put into finding california mountain snake, i've come up with shit all...
all i found besides ninja4ever was infundibilum who has a hat and a spinny thing (which was used to cut off the head of someone), but he seems scandinavian, and california mountain snake bowed. So our best bet is ninja4ever. (How ever obvious that seems).
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On April 11 2008 22:13 Camlito wrote:Show nested quote +On April 11 2008 22:09 Unforgiven_ve wrote: nice nice, the game is alive again! nice analysis by plexa...sorry for not posting much but i've been very busy whit RL stuff, but im always checking the thread and reading the las 2-3 pages. i dont know if you rolechecked ninja...but he's still my 1st suspect :p Considering how much work ive put into finding california mountain snake, i've come up with shit all... all i found besides ninja4ever was infundibilum who has a hat and a spinny thing (which was used to cut off the head of someone), but he seems scandinavian, and california mountain snake bowed. So our best bet is ninja4ever. (How ever obvious that seems). I just did a quick research and I remember having seen gent in a profile I would put amber[light] as a suspect to california mountain snake before ninja4ever
Important words : bowed / peered
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On April 11 2008 22:21 HeRoS)Pink wrote:Show nested quote +On April 11 2008 22:13 Camlito wrote:On April 11 2008 22:09 Unforgiven_ve wrote: nice nice, the game is alive again! nice analysis by plexa...sorry for not posting much but i've been very busy whit RL stuff, but im always checking the thread and reading the las 2-3 pages. i dont know if you rolechecked ninja...but he's still my 1st suspect :p Considering how much work ive put into finding california mountain snake, i've come up with shit all... all i found besides ninja4ever was infundibilum who has a hat and a spinny thing (which was used to cut off the head of someone), but he seems scandinavian, and california mountain snake bowed. So our best bet is ninja4ever. (How ever obvious that seems). I just did a quick research and I remember having seen gent in a profile I would put amber[light] as a suspect to california mountain snake before ninja4ever Important words : bowed / peered
Thanks for that.
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"Enigma ran his hand through his hair"
I don't know if this could be a clue of some sort, but i advise someone to look into it.
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Its extraneous words, so I consider it a clue, not sure if plexa does
havent been able to relate it to anything though
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On April 11 2008 12:20 Plexa wrote: People, fuck the lists.
They are a great aid but we shouldn't be pushing them any further.
Rather than take a guess and go "OH EASY 1/3 CHANCE = INSTA WIN" sit back, check the players, and see what the clues spell out.
Rational arguments based on clues are hard to deny, argue or even counter.
On that note L is mafioso. Yes Cottonmouth threw 15 knives, but the important thing how the clues are worded. Why say that he threw 3 knives into each of his legs and 3 into his back? Why is it worded so? Summing the numbers stated you get 12 and given the lack of evidence pertaining to L this is a damming clue against him. This clue is very much alike to Queasy and Sidewinder and should not be lightly dismissed simply.
I dunno....Has Camlito ever posted in the thread yet comes back to defend iMderek and alventine....Honestly I suspect Alventine some what...for being like the hero of last game. A martyr. Being in a trusted position but against the town...But if thats based on that, then it could be Ace or our Pardoner, but I believe Ace to be innocent....
Oh...Clues are hard to make on people who have no information in their profile...Like Alventine...
Personally I think Chuiu should only allow people with a pic, and sig, to play in the game...
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On April 11 2008 17:00 Plexa wrote:Lysithea you profile picture is so cool where did you get it from oh wow you stole my 5200th post haha
http://www.hybridworks.jp/ <- sort wallpapers, the theme I use is named "Yoritsuki". Dl the zip and you'll get the whole theme with icons, day/night wallpaper in diffrent sizes.
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On April 11 2008 23:58 fusionsdf wrote: Its extraneous words, so I consider it a clue, not sure if plexa does
havent been able to relate it to anything though
If you look more in depth, do NOT look at so no feks' profile.
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On April 12 2008 00:03 ~OpZ~ wrote:Show nested quote +On April 11 2008 12:20 Plexa wrote: People, fuck the lists.
They are a great aid but we shouldn't be pushing them any further.
Rather than take a guess and go "OH EASY 1/3 CHANCE = INSTA WIN" sit back, check the players, and see what the clues spell out.
Rational arguments based on clues are hard to deny, argue or even counter.
On that note L is mafioso. Yes Cottonmouth threw 15 knives, but the important thing how the clues are worded. Why say that he threw 3 knives into each of his legs and 3 into his back? Why is it worded so? Summing the numbers stated you get 12 and given the lack of evidence pertaining to L this is a damming clue against him. This clue is very much alike to Queasy and Sidewinder and should not be lightly dismissed simply. I dunno....Has Camlito ever posted in the thread yet comes back to defend iMderek and alventine....Honestly I suspect Alventine some what...for being like the hero of last game. A martyr. Being in a trusted position but against the town...But if thats based on that, then it could be Ace or our Pardoner, but I believe Ace to be innocent.... Oh...Clues are hard to make on people who have no information in their profile...Like Alventine... Personally I think Chuiu should only allow people with a pic, and sig, to play in the game...
Sorry, i was a bit busy earlier on, and recently have started talking to plexa about clues and such.
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I think the mafia member is imderek...
Hamlet quote, Sword fight in Hamlet. I don't believe he's posted much...but has been voting. The story of Hamlet revolves around change, treachery, murder. "We don't like the way you're running things, and its time for change, either you submit and follow my leadership"
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