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+ Show Spoiler +On October 06 2011 01:20 Joseki wrote: I'd probably castle if I was playing it over the board, but after looking at it for an extensive period of time, I think whites best move is b4, with ideas of developing his knight on the queenside, and further weakening of blacks control over the dark squares with his already poor bishop on e7. I was thinking a continuation that gives white more space in the center to manuever his knights. Black probably has a winning endgame, even if hes down a pawn or two. gogo gadget bishop pair.
14. b4 a5!? 15. bxa5 c5 16. dxc5 Nxc5 17. 0-0 Ba6 18. Rd1 ...
I think b4 probably wins a pawn for white, and will clear out blacks center pawns and knight well enough to get our pieces back into that area.
I vote 14. b4
Spoiler your post man
+ Show Spoiler +Also, black does not play an early c5 in your lines. He will instead play Ba6, for instance: 14.b4 a5 15.bxa5 Ba6, where white is in an awkward position and black will play c5 when it is most advantageous for him.
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On October 06 2011 01:22 EvilNalu wrote:+ Show Spoiler +OK, I went back to the drawing board and I think that 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Rd8 17.Rd1 loses a pawn to 17...Ke6 (immediately!). Now white plays 18.Nc4 ...18...Ba6 ... I don't think 19.Na5 works out well for white - 19...Rd5 ... (20.b4 c5)... Maybe I'm missing something, but after + Show Spoiler +14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Nd2 f5 16. O-O Rd8 17. Rd1 Ke6 18. Nc4 Ba6 19. Na5 Rd5 20. b4 c5 21. Nc6 R[somewhere] 22. Nxe7 Kxe7 23. bxc5 it seems to me that White has not only solved his problems, but gained another pawn to boot. + Show Spoiler [position] +After 14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Nd2 f5 16. O-O Rd8 17. Rd1 Ke6 18. Nc4 Ba6 19. Na5 Rd5 20. b4 c5 21. Nc6 Rc8 [example] 22. Nxe7 Kxe7 23. bxc5 Black to play(Note that 23...Rcxc5 fails to 24. Bg5+ K[somewhere] 25. PxR).
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Variation of 14. 0-0
+ Show Spoiler + These are some possible variation of 14.0-0 that I was able to consider.
14. 0-0, Ba6 15. Re1, Nxd2 (I predict this because at this point he will lose his center so it best to trade knight) 16. Nxd2, Bg5 17. Pb4, ???
From this point we are in great position. No matter what white does here, there really isnt anything for him to do to stop us from doing 18. Nf3 which would let us get our knight back in a nice position again and let out the bishop. We are also able to nullify the rook pressure on the the B file by playing 17. Pb4.
14. 0-0, c5 15. d4xc5, Bxc5 16. Nxe4, Pxe4 17. Ng5, ???
As you see, if we play c5 and he chooses to take with the bishop, we get a favorable exhange because at 17. Ng5 we got a fork for a bishop. Thus I do not expect him to take with the bishop. On the other hand, if he take with the Knight....
14. 0-0, c5 15. d4xc5, Nxc5 16. b4, ???
From here we are able to nullify the rook pressure on the b2 pawn by playing b4 while pressuring the knight and gaining the tempo again. The knight can go back to Ne4 but now that we castled, he will not be able to hold this position for long thus he would probably retreat to Ne6 instead.
These are the only 2 Logical move that I see for black to do if we were to 14. 0-0 imo. There is nothing terrible so far that I can analyze but if I were to go deeper the possibility will open up and it will become harder to analyze.
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Move 14 Votes + Show Spoiler [Voters] +14. Nxe4: 8 (Soluhwin, Ikari, qrs, chesshaha, Cloud9157, mastergriggy, dtvu, qrs, EnderSword) 14. 0-0: 10 (GenesisX, SheaR619, EvilNalu, shackes, Raysalis, Bill Murray, Mash2, Malinor, jdseemoreglass, Chezus) 14. b4: 1 (Joseki) + Show Spoiler [bar graph] +@Joseki--you need to take your vote out of the spoilers for Ng5 to count it when he tallies the votes. As for why I don't think your move is good for us, EvilNalu covered it well. + Show Spoiler +...Ba6 means that we delay castling at our own risk here: 14. Nxe4 works because it creates threats that Black must respond to before playing ...Ba6, but most other moves don't work as well. In theory we could think about castling Queenside, but after bxa5 that does not seem like a very safe thing to do.
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On October 06 2011 01:57 qrs wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2011 01:22 EvilNalu wrote:+ Show Spoiler +OK, I went back to the drawing board and I think that 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Rd8 17.Rd1 loses a pawn to 17...Ke6 (immediately!). Now white plays 18.Nc4 ...18...Ba6 ... I don't think 19.Na5 works out well for white - 19...Rd5 ... (20.b4 c5)... Maybe I'm missing something, but after + Show Spoiler +14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Nd2 f5 16. O-O Rd8 17. Rd1 Ke6 18. Nc4 Ba6 19. Na5 Rd5 20. b4 c5 21. Nc6 R[somewhere] 22. Nxe7 Kxe7 23. bxc5 it seems to me that White has not only solved his problems, but gained another pawn to boot. + Show Spoiler [position] +After 14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Nd2 f5 16. O-O Rd8 17. Rd1 Ke6 18. Nc4 Ba6 19. Na5 Rd5 20. b4 c5 21. Nc6 Rb6 [example] 22. Nxe7 Kxe7 23. bxc5 Black to play(Note that 21...Rcxc5 fails to 22. Bg5+ K[somewhere] 23. PxR.
+ Show Spoiler +Good points. I have now gone to the drawing board once again. By activating the king immediately black can pressure white, I think winning back the pawn. However, this is probably more risky for black than the other lines I've mentioned.
14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6
Now 17.f3 looks weak after the familiar 17...e3
I don't think 17.b4 works because of 17...a5 18.bxa5 Rd8.
17.Nc4 runs into 17...Ba6.
17.Rd1 looks like a good try for white, but then the immediate 17...c5 creates problems: 18.dxc5 Bxc5 19.Nc4 Ba6 20.Nd6 Rhd8 and at least one pawn will fall. Of course, white doesn't have to play dxc5, he can try something like 18.Nc4. However, black can then force pretty much the same line with 18...cxd4 19.Rxd4 Bc5 20.Rd1 Ba6
Let me know what you think, I just can't see any good results for white after 16...Ke6 - and if this fails, there are really few other opportunities for white to deviate.
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+ Show Spoiler +14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+
18. d5+ Kxe5 19. Nc4+ Kf6 20. d6 Bd8 21. Bf4 Ba6 22. Ne5 Rxb2 23. Nc6 Bd3 24. Nxa7; (23. Nc6 Rb7 24. Rab1)
18. d5+ Kxd5 19. f4 ef 20. Nxf3+ Ke6 21. b4 cb 22. Nd4+ Kf7 (22. Nd4+ Kxe5 23. Nc6+; 22. Nd4+ Kd5 23. Nxf5+ Ke6 24. Nxg7+; 22. Nd4+ Kd7 23. Nxf5+ and 24. Nxg7+ again) and then 22. Nd4+ Kf7 23. Nxf5 ba and looks quite like a draw.
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On October 06 2011 03:17 greggy wrote:+ Show Spoiler +14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+
18. d5+ Kxe5 19. Nc4+ Kf6 20. d6 Bd8 21. Bf4 Ba6 22. Ne5 Rxb2 23. Nc6 Bd3 24. Nxa7; (23. Nc6 Rb7 24. Rab1)
+ Show Spoiler +I thought black would just go 18.d5+ Kxd5. None of the discovered checks look good for white:
19.Nc4+ Kxc4
19.Nb3+/Nf1+ Kxe5
19.Nf3+ Ke6
19.Nxe4+ I think Kxe4 works, but even if it doesn't Kxe5 is good for black.
I don't think 18.d5+ is viable.
edit: + Show Spoiler +Ok, I see you posted a line for 18.d5+ Kxd5 19.f4. I don't think 19...exf4 is the best for black though. Can't black simply keep his pawn with something like 19...Ke6, where he has his pawn back, the two bishops, a protected passed e pawn, and white is still in an awkward bind? This looks damn near winning for black to me.
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+ Show Spoiler +Anyway, I was thinking that it's 15. Nd2 that is ruining the position for white, so I thought 15. Ng1 might be better instead. e.g.
14. Nxe4 ef 15. Ng1
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 e3 17. Bxe3 Rxb2 18. Bd2 Bh4+ 19. g3 Be7 20. Ne2/Nh3;
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 ef 17. Nxf3 and 18. Kf2 next;
15. Ng1 c5 16. Ne2 ba6 17. cd Bxc5 18. Nc3 Bd3 19. f3 ef 20. gf Bd4 21. f4; 19. f3 f5 20. ef ef 21. gf gf (not 21. fg fg 22. ghQ ghQ+ and 23. .. Rxh8) 22. b4 Bd4 23. Bb2 and Kd2 next;
Even 16. d5 variation might be viable -
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 fe 18. fe looks pretty solid to me;
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 ef 18. Nxf3 fe 19. Nxe5+ Ke8 (else Nxf7+ or Nc6) 20. Nc6 looks quite good too;
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 Ke6 17. Bd2;
I think the beauty of 15. Ng1 is that white can immediately either f3 or b4 depending on what black decides to play (unlike 15. Nd2 line, b4 is viable because on a5 we can take and play Bd2 still)
Edit: yeah, 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+ is stupid
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On October 06 2011 03:57 greggy wrote:+ Show Spoiler +Anyway, I was thinking that it's 15. Nd2 that is ruining the position for white, so I thought 15. Ng1 might be better instead. e.g.
14. Nxe4 ef 15. Ng1
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 e3 17. Bxe3 Rxb2 18. Bd2 Bh4+ 19. g3 Be7 20. Ne2/Nh3;
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 ef 17. Nxf3 and 18. Kf2 next;
15. Ng1 c5 16. Ne2 ba6 17. cd Bxc5 18. Nc3 Bd3 19. f3 ef 20. gf Bd4 21. f4; 19. f3 f5 20. ef ef 21. gf gf (not 21. fg fg 22. ghQ ghQ+ and 23. .. Rxh8) 22. b4 Bd4 23. Bb2 and Kd2 next;
Even 16. d5 variation might be viable -
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 fe 18. fe looks pretty solid to me;
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 ef 18. Nxf3 fe 19. Nxe5+ Ke8 (else Nxf7+ or Nc6) 20. Nc6 looks quite good too;
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 Ke6 17. Bd2;
I think the beauty of 15. Ng1 is that white can immediately either f3 or b4 depending on what black decides to play (unlike 15. Nd2 line, b4 is viable because on a5 we can take and play Bd2 still)
Edit: yeah, 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+ is stupid This looks so slow, I'm afraid that it can't be good. + Show Spoiler +After your 14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3, I'm not sure why you don't consider 16...f5 as in the 15. Nd2 lines. Wouldn't this be a strong move in these lines as well? If we exchange pawns, Black still has his pawn stronghold on e4 (which he can reinforce with ...Bd3, we still can't castle, and the open f-file makes Kf2 look rather unattractive. If we take the f-pawn en passant, then as in the other lines, we are dismantling our central pawns and opening up the position, to Black's advantage. If we do nothing, then we are still in a bind. EvilNalu's latest line has me worried; I'll look at it a bit more before responding, though.
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+ Show Spoiler +14. Nxe4 dxe4 15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 f5 17. fe fe with several options: Ne2-f4 (alternatively, Nh3-f4) if black decides to play Bd3 or, my personal favourite 18. b4 to counter c5. It's much easier for white to attack the solitary e4 pawn in these lines than in the other ones imho.
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On October 06 2011 03:57 greggy wrote:+ Show Spoiler +Anyway, I was thinking that it's 15. Nd2 that is ruining the position for white, so I thought 15. Ng1 might be better instead. e.g.
14. Nxe4 ef 15. Ng1
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 e3 17. Bxe3 Rxb2 18. Bd2 Bh4+ 19. g3 Be7 20. Ne2/Nh3;
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 ef 17. Nxf3 and 18. Kf2 next;
15. Ng1 c5 16. Ne2 ba6 17. cd Bxc5 18. Nc3 Bd3 19. f3 ef 20. gf Bd4 21. f4; 19. f3 f5 20. ef ef 21. gf gf (not 21. fg fg 22. ghQ ghQ+ and 23. .. Rxh8) 22. b4 Bd4 23. Bb2 and Kd2 next;
Even 16. d5 variation might be viable -
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 fe 18. fe looks pretty solid to me;
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 ef 18. Nxf3 fe 19. Nxe5+ Ke8 (else Nxf7+ or Nc6) 20. Nc6 looks quite good too;
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 Ke6 17. Bd2;
I think the beauty of 15. Ng1 is that white can immediately either f3 or b4 depending on what black decides to play (unlike 15. Nd2 line, b4 is viable because on a5 we can take and play Bd2 still)
Edit: yeah, 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+ is stupid
+ Show Spoiler +This looks terribly passive and at least one of your lines is simply losing:
15.Ng1 Ba6 16.f3 e3 17.Bxe3 Rxb2 18.Bd2 Rhb8 and I don't see how white avoids losses:
19.Ne2 R8B3 20.a4 Rd3, etc.
19.Nh3 same
19.Rd1 Bxa3
19.g3 to try to free the bishop 19...Rb1+ 20.Rxb1 Rxb1 21.Kf2 Bxa3 and white looks dead lost.
Black can just play for the long bind with 15...a5 and he will get Ba6 in time to keep us from castling because 15.f3 runs into the lines above after 15...e3
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On October 06 2011 04:38 EvilNalu wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2011 03:57 greggy wrote:+ Show Spoiler +Anyway, I was thinking that it's 15. Nd2 that is ruining the position for white, so I thought 15. Ng1 might be better instead. e.g.
14. Nxe4 ef 15. Ng1
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 e3 17. Bxe3 Rxb2 18. Bd2 Bh4+ 19. g3 Be7 20. Ne2/Nh3;
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 ef 17. Nxf3 and 18. Kf2 next;
15. Ng1 c5 16. Ne2 ba6 17. cd Bxc5 18. Nc3 Bd3 19. f3 ef 20. gf Bd4 21. f4; 19. f3 f5 20. ef ef 21. gf gf (not 21. fg fg 22. ghQ ghQ+ and 23. .. Rxh8) 22. b4 Bd4 23. Bb2 and Kd2 next;
Even 16. d5 variation might be viable -
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 fe 18. fe looks pretty solid to me;
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 ef 18. Nxf3 fe 19. Nxe5+ Ke8 (else Nxf7+ or Nc6) 20. Nc6 looks quite good too;
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 Ke6 17. Bd2;
I think the beauty of 15. Ng1 is that white can immediately either f3 or b4 depending on what black decides to play (unlike 15. Nd2 line, b4 is viable because on a5 we can take and play Bd2 still)
Edit: yeah, 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+ is stupid + Show Spoiler +This looks terribly passive and at least one of your lines is simply losing:
15.Ng1 Ba6 16.f3 e3 17.Bxe3 Rxb2 18.Bd2 Rhb8 and I don't see how white avoids losses:
19.Ne2 R8B3 20.a4 Rd3, etc.
19.Nh3 same
19.Rd1 Bxa3
19.g3 to try to free the bishop 19...Rb1+ 20.Rxb1 Rxb1 21.Kf2 Bxa3 and white looks dead lost.
Black can just play for the long bind with 15...a5 and he will get Ba6 in time to keep us from castling because 15.f3 runs into the lines above after 15...e3
+ Show Spoiler +The entire purpose of 15.Ng1 is to be passive. There's no need to rush head-first into unnecessary exchanges and complications and tunnel-vision a single idea. Black's position isn't that dangerous. His dark-squared bishop isn't much better than ours - he needs to play c5 to bring him into the game (which we can counter by playing d5). His light-squared bishop's only diagonal of any worth is f1-a6, and he's not even controlling it at the moment.
White doesn't NEED to castle king-side. We can just leisurely move the king to c2 to keep the b2 pawn defended and then play f3 or move the bishop someplace else.
Having thought about it for a bit, I think that for any line 15. Ng1 that isn't 15. Ng1 a5 or 15. Ng1 c5, white can play 16. b4 and be fine? e.g.
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 a5 17. ba Ba6 18. Be3/f3;
And against 15. .. a5 16. Kd1 and Kc2 next could be played. e.g.
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 c5 17. d5 and 18. d6 next; this way black's dark-squared bishop is even worse than white's; on 17. d5 f6 18. f4 exists;
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ba6 17. Ne2 (17. Kc2? Bf1) Bd3 18. Nf4;
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ba6 17. Ne2 c5 18. d5 f6 19. e6+;
15. Ng1 f6 16. f4 ef 17. Nxf3 fe 18. Nxe5+ and Nc6 next.
To sum up, if, at any point,
1. black plays Ba6 with the a-pawn on a7, white can play b4;
2. black plays c5, white can (and I think we concluded that white should) respond with d5.
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On October 06 2011 05:12 greggy wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2011 04:38 EvilNalu wrote:On October 06 2011 03:57 greggy wrote:+ Show Spoiler +Anyway, I was thinking that it's 15. Nd2 that is ruining the position for white, so I thought 15. Ng1 might be better instead. e.g.
14. Nxe4 ef 15. Ng1
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 e3 17. Bxe3 Rxb2 18. Bd2 Bh4+ 19. g3 Be7 20. Ne2/Nh3;
15. Ng1 Ba6 16. f3 ef 17. Nxf3 and 18. Kf2 next;
15. Ng1 c5 16. Ne2 ba6 17. cd Bxc5 18. Nc3 Bd3 19. f3 ef 20. gf Bd4 21. f4; 19. f3 f5 20. ef ef 21. gf gf (not 21. fg fg 22. ghQ ghQ+ and 23. .. Rxh8) 22. b4 Bd4 23. Bb2 and Kd2 next;
Even 16. d5 variation might be viable -
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 fe 18. fe looks pretty solid to me;
15. Ng1 c5 16. d5 f6 17. f4 ef 18. Nxf3 fe 19. Nxe5+ Ke8 (else Nxf7+ or Nc6) 20. Nc6 looks quite good too;
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 Ke6 17. Bd2;
I think the beauty of 15. Ng1 is that white can immediately either f3 or b4 depending on what black decides to play (unlike 15. Nd2 line, b4 is viable because on a5 we can take and play Bd2 still)
Edit: yeah, 14.Nxe4 dxe4 15.Nd2 f5 16.0-0 Ke6 17. Rd1 c5 18. d5+ is stupid + Show Spoiler +This looks terribly passive and at least one of your lines is simply losing:
15.Ng1 Ba6 16.f3 e3 17.Bxe3 Rxb2 18.Bd2 Rhb8 and I don't see how white avoids losses:
19.Ne2 R8B3 20.a4 Rd3, etc.
19.Nh3 same
19.Rd1 Bxa3
19.g3 to try to free the bishop 19...Rb1+ 20.Rxb1 Rxb1 21.Kf2 Bxa3 and white looks dead lost.
Black can just play for the long bind with 15...a5 and he will get Ba6 in time to keep us from castling because 15.f3 runs into the lines above after 15...e3 + Show Spoiler +The entire purpose of 15.Ng1 is to be passive. There's no need to rush head-first into unnecessary exchanges and complications and tunnel-vision a single idea. Black's position isn't that dangerous. His dark-squared bishop isn't much better than ours - he needs to play c5 to bring him into the game (which we can counter by playing d5). His light-squared bishop's only diagonal of any worth is f1-a6, and he's not even controlling it at the moment.
White doesn't NEED to castle king-side. We can just leisurely move the king to c2 to keep the b2 pawn defended and then play f3 or move the bishop someplace else.
Having thought about it for a bit, I think that for any line 15. Ng1 that isn't 15. Ng1 a5 or 15. Ng1 c5, white can play 16. b4 and be fine? e.g.
15. Ng1 Rd8 16. b4 a5 17. ba Ba6 18. Be3/f3;
And against 15. .. a5 16. Kd1 and Kc2 next could be played. e.g.
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 c5 17. d5 and 18. d6 next; this way black's dark-squared bishop is even worse than white's; on 17. d5 f6 18. f4 exists;
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ba6 17. Ne2 (17. Kc2? Bf1) Bd3 18. Nf4;
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ba6 17. Ne2 c5 18. d5 f6 19. e6+;
+ Show Spoiler +I just don't think there's enough time for white to consolidate. The Ke6 idea is the key again, just as I think it is in the lines after Nd2:
15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ke6 17.Ne2 c5 and ...Ba6 is coming (black shouldn't rush to play cxd4 because Nxd4 is an adequate response..
Black has to try to prevent d5, and if he does c5 becomes a crusher.
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On October 06 2011 05:26 EvilNalu wrote:+ Show Spoiler +I just don't think there's enough time for white to consolidate. The Ke6 idea is the key again, just as I think it is in the lines after Nd2:
15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ke6 17.Ne2 c5 and ...Ba6 is coming (black shouldn't rush to play cxd4 because Nxd4 is an adequate response..
Black has to try to prevent d5, and if he does c5 becomes a crusher.
+ Show Spoiler +15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Kc2 c5 18. dc Bxc5 19. f4
looking at 18. .. Kxe5 now;
Actually, just 18. Be3 is good enough, no?
f.e. 15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Kc2 c5 18. Be3 f6 19. dc
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On October 06 2011 05:29 greggy wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2011 05:26 EvilNalu wrote:+ Show Spoiler +I just don't think there's enough time for white to consolidate. The Ke6 idea is the key again, just as I think it is in the lines after Nd2:
15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ke6 17.Ne2 c5 and ...Ba6 is coming (black shouldn't rush to play cxd4 because Nxd4 is an adequate response..
Black has to try to prevent d5, and if he does c5 becomes a crusher. + Show Spoiler +15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Kc2 c5 18. dc Bxc5 19. f4
looking at 18. .. Kxe5 now;
Actually, just 18. Be3 is good enough, no?
+ Show Spoiler +15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ke6 17.Kc2 c5 18.dxc5 Bxc5 19.f4 looks terribly awkward after 19...Ba6 and it looks like white's king will be embarrassed, leading to heavy losses, for example, 20.Bd2 (finally) Bd3+ 21.Kc1 Rhc8 (ouch) or 20.Nh3 Bd3+ and I see nothing better than for white's king to pathetically slink back to the center, as Kc3 is suicidal.
Also, I think in the 17.Kc2 lines 17...Ba6 is better - it constrains the knight and gets ready to invade immediately. c5 is always there as long as d5 is under control, so no need to rush. For example, 17.Kc2 Ba6 18.Be3 Bd3+ 19.Kc1 Rb3 and doubling on the b file will win: 20.Nh3 Rhb8 21.Ra2 Bxa3, etc. 19.Kc3 fares even worse after 19...a4, with 20...Rb3+ in the air.
I actually think the 15.Ng1 a5 16.Ne2 move order is better for white, but I still think after 16...Ba6 black is doing well - he still has f5 and c5 and Ke6 depending on white's responses, with the lines being very similar to previously analyzed ones.
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+ Show Spoiler +15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Ne2 c5 18. Nf4+ Kf5 19. Nd5;
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Ne2 c5 18. Nf4+ Kd7 19. Kc2 dc 20. Rd1 Bc5 21. Be3 d3+ is pretty bad for white, but
15. Ng1 a5 16. Kd1 Ke6 17. Ne2 c5 18. Nf4+ Kd7 19. d5 is better I think
Or, as you suggested, 15. Ng1 a5 16. Ne2 Ba6 17. Nf4 isn't too bad - I think the knight is perfectly placed on f4, controlling d3, d5 and e6, and immediate 17. .. g5 gets countered by 18. Nd5 Bd8 19. b4
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+ Show Spoiler +I now think black should avoid Ke6 while Nf4 is possible. So, how about Ba6 and Bc4 to control d5?
e.g. 15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ba6 17.Ne2 Bc4 18.Nc3 (to prevent c5 by allowing d5 in response, Nf4 not good because of g5 in this line) and now 18...Kd6! because after 19.Nxe4 Rhd8 the house of cards finally falls apart.
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On October 06 2011 06:59 EvilNalu wrote:+ Show Spoiler +I now think black should avoid Ke6 while Nf4 is possible. So, how about Ba6 and Bc4 to control d5?
e.g. 15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ba6 17.Ne2 Bc4 18.Nc3 (to prevent c5 by allowing d5 in response, Nf4 not good because of g5 in this line) and now 18...Kd6! because after 19.Nxe4 Rhd8 the house of cards finally falls apart. + Show Spoiler +15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ba6 17.Ne2 Bc4 18.Nc3 Ke6 19. Kc2 Rhd8 20. Rd1 c5 21. Be3
although 19. .. Bd3+ is possible
Yeah, 15.Ng1 a5 16.Kd1 Ba6 17.Ne2 Bc4 18.Nc3 Ke6 19. Kc2 Bd3+ lines don't look too hot to me. I think it might be advantageous to skip Kd1 altogether for now (and use it when chance arises and go with
15. Ng1 a5 16. Ne2 Ba6 17. Nf4 Bc4 18. h4 g5 19. hg Bxg5 20. g3
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