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Newbie Mini Mafia XXIX - Page 32

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kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 21:21 GMT
#621
sorry sylver.. misread.. I thought.you were saying daoud had great content.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
October 26 2012 21:22 GMT
#622
I said I wanted to lynch Djo. Everyone's saying don't lynch Djo. I'll come back to him later in the game.

Da0ud's refuation of your accusation was pretty solid, but I don't like the 'well i can't post much at all for 2 days' and it seems like the kind of cover a mafia benefits from, but makes a townie a lot less potent for the town.
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
October 26 2012 21:24 GMT
#623
Warning: I am about to leave on a 2-3 hour drive. I may be able to stop and post from phone one last time. But I expect to stand by my vote unless something drastic happens.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 26 2012 22:13 GMT
#624
I'm back for a bit.

Something I want to comment on with Inig's vote

On October 27 2012 05:50 Rad wrote:
Inig, you not voting da0uds is super interesting to me.

I feel like your safest vote to stay alive is da0uds. If you want to stay alive, you vote him.

Alternatively though, you may know that and realize if you vote da0uds you look bad.

Here are some interesting things about Inig:

1. He claimed vanilla townie in the past.
2. He was forced to make a vote here and he did not choose da0uds. Instead he chose Dan. Dan currently has no chance of being lynched today unless something crazy comes up, so the vote on Dan was worthless.
3. If he is indeed vanilla townie, and he does not quite trust his current reads on da0ud and dan, it would be the best town play to a) keep himself alive if possible (change vote from imcasey) and b) let others who are more well informed make the more educated vote. Voting for da0uds when he's really uncertain is just taking a chance, and da0uds is currently in second place to be lynched today, so there's a lot of pressure on Inig's vote (if he's town).

I had a null read on him before but it was extremely confusing one way or the other. With this I'm leaning townie for Inig. Anyone want to jump in and help analyze his decision here? I'm open to whatever thoughts people have and please help me if I'm making a WIFOM argument here.


His vote on Dandel MAKES NO SENSE AS TOWN

1) The only person a townie knows is town is themself. Thus, if Inig is town, he could not know if Dauod is town.
2) A townie's job is to survive in a lynch when that townie does not know the other person is town
3) Since Inig clearly could not know if Dauod is town if Inig is town, then why would Inig not fight to survive.

Townies should fight when they are about to be lynched, even if that means voting for an opponent who they are not sure about when the vote is close. They know that, if they can avoid being lynched, that is necessarily one more townie staying alive.

Inig is wasting a vote on someone who is not getting lynched today unless something drastic happens.

When someone does something that makes no sense as town, they are almost certainly scum, regardless of how much sense that action makes as scum.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 22:21 GMT
#625
@debears I've seen newb town do it before, be the only one's voting someone d1. They have a hunch and they believe in it .
I don't think we can read too much into his vote for dandel, esp not before we see someone flip.

The choice is between 2 people. I want everyone to say which they want to lynch, if they haven't already, and say why.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 26 2012 22:25 GMT
#626
@Kush

On October 27 2012 00:30 kushm4sta wrote:
Hi guys I read the thread (not super close towards the end though because I wanted to finish).

I think we should lynch Daoud.

He is posting just enough to be considered not a lurker. This level of activity is exactly what you want to lynch d1.

He catches Djo in the classic "scumslip," which does not always indicate scum, but that's not important.
"Why did you call me town djo?"
Then he says oh there might be a sk I guess my point is invalid. Makes no sense.
Bringing it up in the first place is a null tell, because it's an easy catch. But dropping it for such a stupid reason, that is scummy.

This is his most significant post so far:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 22:41 da0ud wrote:
Ebwop : sorry phone posting. Ill finsih the post :

Deb and rad have been so active and poking at each otjers that they actually look very townie to me. Pushing ideas, bringing content, putting pressure.

Talking about smileyDjo he has put a lot of pressure on people. Asking open questions etc. For having played a game with him where he played to nice lovable newbie card, I believe he is trying to step up and actually be a leader for town. I put him 90% town.

I totally hate the lurkers who actually do not post anything and hide to avoid potential suspicions. Id rather lynch lurking townie first day who doesn't help get info and push others to scumslip.

If scum are among active player we will have time to hunt them down. They will contradict themselves.

And we have semi lurkers like roco or blending ini. Which are pretty much as bad for town.

I would like to put my vote on Ini at the moment cause roco seems like a total newbie trying to stand out.

##Vote Ini


So he gives off some town reads. Djo is 90% town... what the fuck. I don't see how you can think that after playing last game with him. Asking open questions makes him 90% town? ok
Show nested quote +

I totally hate the lurkers who actually do not post anything and hide to avoid potential suspicions. Id rather lynch lurking townie first day who doesn't help get info and push others to scumslip.

This is such a weird time to talk about lurkers, unless he is giving that as his reason for voting Ini, but Ini isn't even close to the biggest lurker.

So why is he voting for ini? 2 words: "Blending in." Sick case bro.

##vote da0ud



I need some clarity on this case. It's based off

1) He's a Semi-lurker
2) He is giving off pretty much only town reads (including the percentage ones)
3) Generally blending into the thread
4) A difference in posting styles in his meta

on point 4) do you have specific posts that illustrate the difference?

Also, I'd say that Inig has done similarly in points 1-3
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 26 2012 22:27 GMT
#627
##Unvote

Going through filters now. Done kush and da0ud. Leaning da0ud so far. Will continue and report back in a few.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 26 2012 22:28 GMT
#628
@Kush

I see what you mean that it's possible. Still, I would think that your first instinct, as any alignment, is to survive. And the fact that he said he wanted to lynch Dandel earlier but then parked his voted on imcasey at the end of his own dandel case just isn't right.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 22:35 GMT
#629
@debears I did post quotes from daoud last game. The case isn't Omg great but there's not a lot to go off of and I think he is out best option.

Inig has contributed wayyy more. This is clear by sumply comparing their filters.

I don't get your point about the survival instinct. Scum have a stronger survival instinct than town. So unless daoud is scum, it seems like it makes more sense for him to vote daoud if he's scum.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 22:41 GMT
#630
I've just finished to catch up the thread...
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 22:43 GMT
#631
On October 27 2012 07:35 kushm4sta wrote:
@debears I did post quotes from daoud last game. The case isn't Omg great but there's not a lot to go off of and I think he is out best option.

Inig has contributed wayyy more. This is clear by sumply comparing their filters.

I don't get your point about the survival instinct. Scum have a stronger survival instinct than town. So unless daoud is scum, it seems like it makes more sense for him to vote daoud if he's scum.

No, it's optimal play for both alignments to stay alive themselves. Scum doesn't want to stay alive "more".

The only exception is if you actively save a claimed blue or a confirmed town. But I sure haven't seen such a thing so far.
And from what I gathered, there is no way Inig has a strong enough town read on daoud for it to make sense to get himself lynched over him.

The only way this is town behaviour is if he doesn't want to play anyways, but his posting so far didn't suggest a lack of motivation.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 22:49 GMT
#632
On October 27 2012 07:43 Dandel Ion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 07:35 kushm4sta wrote:
@debears I did post quotes from daoud last game. The case isn't Omg great but there's not a lot to go off of and I think he is out best option.

Inig has contributed wayyy more. This is clear by sumply comparing their filters.

I don't get your point about the survival instinct. Scum have a stronger survival instinct than town. So unless daoud is scum, it seems like it makes more sense for him to vote daoud if he's scum.

No, it's optimal play for both alignments to stay alive themselves. Scum doesn't want to stay alive "more".

The only exception is if you actively save a claimed blue or a confirmed town. But I sure haven't seen such a thing so far.
And from what I gathered, there is no way Inig has a strong enough town read on daoud for it to make sense to get himself lynched over him.

The only way this is town behaviour is if he doesn't want to play anyways, but his posting lately didn't suggest a lack of motivation.

EWBOP: Actually instead of "so far" in the last sentence, "lately" would be a more apt description.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 22:53 GMT
#633
So I guess the mafia motivation for voting dandel comes from:
either
1.daoud is scum and he wants to protect his scumbud
or
2.daoud is town and he wants.to get town points when hw flips

is this what you guys are getting at? because I haven't seen someone explain why scum wouldn't vote daoud.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 22:57 GMT
#634
I'm not really comfortable with any of the lynches...

I'll say Ini right now because of the emotional part. He has been saying

On October 26 2012 16:17 Inigmaticalism wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 12:22 Djodref wrote:


Why we should lynch Inig




First of all, I would like you to read Inig's filter before you read this case. It's not going to take you long time and you should also make your own opinion by yourself.

I would like to lynch Inig for the following reasons

  • Total lack of scumhunting
  • Emotionally detached from this game
  • Attempt to gain town cred by using a WIFOM argument


Total lack of scumhunting
+ Show Spoiler +

Even if he is claiming that he has done some scumhunting, Inig has not given us any scumread and has asked a total of two questions to other players. He is not putting pressure or anyone or trying to understand the motives of anyone.

On October 25 2012 15:39 Inigmaticalism wrote:
Ah yes i see, the 'why' is more important than the 'what'. Excellent, Sylver answer Djo when u wake up.


On October 26 2012 08:34 Inigmaticalism wrote:
Right now I dont have any scum reads, only town reads which Ive already said in earlier posts. So I would lynch one of the lurkers probably. Also, Djo you seem to be the only one really going after me, so while your asking everyone what they think of me, you should answer your own question. what you you think of me?

-Should be back to post something in around 6-7 hours.


As you can see, he is not really committing, even when he asks some questions.


Emotionally detached from this game
+ Show Spoiler +

When I'm reading Inig's filter, I have the feeling that he is spectating this game and not a part of it. This is a characteristic of mafia players. He tries to look active by telling us what is going on in the thread in his view but he is not giving us extra information. This post is a perfect example of such an empty posing style.
On October 25 2012 15:27 Inigmaticalism wrote:
I have a thought regarding the Rad-Debears argument, over the whole 'confidence' thing. Its possible Im wrong, but it seems that Rad views the world in a more 'logical' way, meaning that in this case (playing mafia) having sound logic and scum reads will naturally result in confidence from said logic. Debears may happen to be more 'emotional', in this case where having a strong will/confidence allows for people like him (and me) to be very logical when there is a strong emotional base beneath them. You've both brought up the pros and cons about each type of viewpoint, so it should be beneficial if you guys watch out for each other.

It seems you've both explained what you meant fairly well, and Im especially glad to see this post from you Rad cause I was getting slightly worried.

Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 14:11 Rad wrote:
EBWOP - I also agree that there's no point in lynching a lurker over a clear scum read. That's not what I said originally but is what he's trying to make it seem like I said.


Ha just saw you summed up my analysis for me:

Show nested quote +
You're pushing for "have confidence, the scum will show" while I'm pushing for "find the scum, if you're confident push it, otherwise we should lynch lurker". That stance seems completely reasonable to me. Does it not to you?


@ sylver
You seem fairly energetic. Also, don't really think "What's your favorite role to play in mafia?" keeps us all that focused on scum hunting, but as it may be some clever scheme of yours Ill bite.

......Well actually I won't because I realized I was typing how I play the game. How clever. Loaded question indeed.



Attempt to gain town cred by using a WIFOM argument
+ Show Spoiler +

This is the most incriminating point in my opinion. Please have a careful look at the following part from Ini in bold font.
On October 26 2012 03:42 Inigmaticalism wrote:
/snip

As for everyone else I need to read their posts again. It seems my scum-hunting has so far resulted in town-finding, but thats how its gone. Also, I deliberately dodged sylvers question about what your favorite role is to play to show I was town(which, ironically because he was role hunting, still answered his question). I would never have posted such an awkward response if I was mafia, I would have simply ignored the question all together, but it seems no one took it that way.

How can you show that you are town by not answering question ? Why does he bring something like this up ?
Mafia players usually try to get as much town cred as they can, for whatever weird reason. I think he knows his reason to claim town are bad and that's why he is backing it up by a WIFOM argument.




Alright here we go.

1. I deny nothing about not scum hunting. I have only had time to read the thread, and have found town looking players: debears, rad, djo(tho im not sure anymore, more on that later). As I said, I will have time in a few days to do proper scum hunting. If you feel that is not a risk worth taking, so be it. Ill give my scum hunting/reading in my next post.
-And, if your going to pull out reasons to lynch me based not on what I have done, but what I havent done, then perhaps you should also look at Oats and Imcasey who havent scumhunted OR contributed (or at least tried) Or posted at all.

2. Ha I am anything BUT emotionally detached from this game. In fact, Ive been getting so emotional I dont think I can or should play mafia games and just go back to watching/reading them. All the logical things I want to say and rules I want to follow fly out the window, and its dumb. /snip

I actually almost rage-quit and threw out on-purpose made-up scumslips and such, so I just got to working on homework and stepped away. Im not sure why you said im emotionally detached.
/snip


and now "I don't mind to be lynched"

it doesn't add up...
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 22:57 GMT
#635
To be able to come up with a decent reason, I'd have to know both of their alignments...
This is WIFOM zone, I don't think anything will come out of us guessing about this.

The point is, the way I see it, there is no reason for town OR scum to not vote daoud in that situation. It doesn't make sense, and thus I'm treating it as a nulltell.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 22:59 GMT
#636
@djodref where did he say I dont. mind to be lynched?
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 23:00 GMT
#637
@ Cheese

What the fuck are you doing with your vote still on my back ?
Come in the thread and choose who you want to lynch today between daoud and Ini. Tell us your reasons about it !
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 23:01 GMT
#638
On October 27 2012 05:30 Inigmaticalism wrote:
just read thread, popping in before I have my exam, and wont be back until its over, so like 2-3 hours right before lynch. I have no time now to defend myself from the cases against me, but plan to do so when I come back. Will probably be too late but thats how it is. I dont mind if I am lynched. It is bad for town cause Im town, but a lesser evil since Im no special role.
##unvote
I voted imcasey over oats(now kush) by pure chance. I picked one name because I only have 1 vote. It appears it was utterly useless, and now has weakened me. The reason I didnt straight out vote Dan is because 1 or more people voting right before deadline out of nowhere scares me, but presuring didnt work the way I did it. So now of course Ill
##Vote: Dandel Ion
Like I said I have no time to refute his case on me. I thought it was interesting how he reappeared right after I called him out, and then da0ud came out right after, but im not going to go off of times based on my own history. I also thought da0uds reasons to vote me were sad. If anyone can get any good scum-tell from him besides what was already said I would change and vote for him. See you in a few hours.
*And for goodness sake, if Djo is scum hes put himself in an extremely risky situation, but is also being super pro about it. I want to keep him alive and see what he can do with his energy for defending himself put to the use of more scum-hunting.
*and no more FOS this close to deadline. straight up vote.


@Kush

He says it here...
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
October 26 2012 23:02 GMT
#639
Vote Count!

If your vote is not properly formatted it will not be counted. Everyone is required to vote.


Inigmaticalism (3) - Dandel Ion, da0ud, debears, Rad, Djodref
da0ud (3) - kushm4sta, Alsn, sylverfyre
Djodref (1) - Mr. Cheesecake, Alsn
Dandel Ion (1) - Inigmaticalism
imcasey (0) - Inigmaticalism
Roco69 (0) - sylverfyre
Rad (0) - debears

Not Voting (4) - imcasey, Roco69, Djodref, Rad

Currently, Inigmaticalism is set to be lynched! If you see that your vote is incorrect then pm me. You have an hour left to vote! Deadline is at 00:00 GMT (+00:00)
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 23:08 GMT
#640
Okay, so far, I've not seen anything that would make me unvote inig, or alleviate my scumread on him.
So I'm going to keep my vote on him unless somebody claims scum within the hour.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
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