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Newbie Mini Mafia XXIV - Page 26

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YourHarry
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1152 Posts
August 18 2012 05:08 GMT
#501
For the record, and I am repeating myself here, my strong town read on thrawn was based on my strong scum read on Archrun. It turns out that I was wrong, but in my recent game, the scum did exactly the same thing as Archrun - attempting to benefit from a mislynch of one townie to ensure a mislynch on the second townie. So I felt confident that Archrun was trying to do the same thing.

Aside from the ease with which the Thrawn bandwagon is gaining momentum (an attempted scum lynch typically is followed by scum resistance), I expressed my opinion that after my initial town read on Thrawn based on Archrun being scum went out the window, I wanted to re-evaluate my read on Thrawn. And the combination of 1) Thrawn denying his breadcrumb post and 2) his claiming only after the second night kill was apparent makes me think that Thrawn is attempting to sell his vigilante story. If he did actually leave a bread crumb post saying that he is vigilante, I would have been more likely to buy his claim because then he would be incriminated in case there is no SK - and thus only one night kill. At this point, it seems like a safe claim from scum's point of view - knowing that SK would never claim at this point. And as far as the quick wagon on Thrawn, it is possible that all of the players voting for Thrawn are indeed all townies and they are correct about Thrawn being scum. And I guess it is also possible that one or more scums are bussing their scum partner in Thrawn.

In addition, I also find Thrawn's attempt to discourage the detective from investigating him (despite him not having the misfortune of being the miller) suspicious. I tend to think that townies want to feel the peace of mind in being confirmed by the detective.

And, I was not trying to keep Thrawn alive as long as possible, per se. I just thought that there could have been a strategy that we can employ that would allow us to find out Thrawn's alignment without having to compromise town's interest. But as goodkarma suggested, since townies can get a medic save OR scums may intentionally forgo one night kill (although extended giving up of the scum kill power or SK not sending in the kill could be eliminated from the possibility, for reasons I described earlier). As such, I am withdrawing my proposal to try to wait and see Thrawn's alignment.

I understand that if Thrawn does flip scum, this will make me suspicious for seemingly trying to defend Thrawn. But you should realize that scums tend not to defend each other so directly and conspicuously, in fear that such defense could lead to one being scum must be the other one being scum. And while that this may be WIFOM, it is also true that in practice such eye-catching defenses almost never occurs between two scums. Also, if you do get a chance, I advise everyone to read the XXI game (Mafia XXI Link and Scum Dr. Wiggle's Filter). I believe you will have a much easier time understanding where I was coming from, in terms of my strong suspicion of Archrun and thus my earlier town read on Thrawn.

For reasons explained above:
##Vote Thrawn


Never!
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 18 2012 05:13 GMT
#502
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I agree 100% that if a Vig exists but didn't shoot Arch, they should NOT counter-claim.

I disagree that waiting is fruitless and lynching thrawn is a good play currently.

No matter how we spin it, Thrawn is now tied to Archrun's death.

If Thrawn is town, he has no incentive to lie and claim a kill he didn't commit (likewise about being a 1shot vig [which really isn't that uncommon for balance purposes in minis, from what I've read >1shot Vigs are a rarity]).

Now if we don't lynch Thrawn today his fate is directly tied to future NKs.
If he's scum and another Vig took a shot last night it would be absolutely terrible play for him to claim the kill he had no knowledge of. A counter-claim if we have a vig essentially kills him for no value at all to the scum team.
If 2 people die Night2 a Thrawn lynch is essentially a given Day 3 and we'll see then.
If only one person dies it either means he's telling the truth or either the scumteam or SK decided to hold their shot to throw us off (good for us in that we save a night kill).

Essentially it comes down to how certain we are that Thrawn is scum. If he flips red we're in a great position and have a lot of info to go off of. If he flips blue we've wasted Day 2 on a lynch that we could have gathered info by letting him live while trying to catch other scum.

Currently I'd rather focus on other targets and see what we can do as opposed to gambling on this.

I'm about to reread the thread and get some thoughts up on my reads, I just wanted to weigh in on this.
YourHarry
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1152 Posts
August 18 2012 05:24 GMT
#503
EDBWOP: Also, I know XXI game would be a pretty long read but Day 1 has all of the relevant information. You can also choose to read Dr.Wiggle's filter instead.
Never!
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 18 2012 05:29 GMT
#504
@Stutters:

I highly encourage you to read my case, which was posted just before the official day 2 post. There is strong reason to suspect that Thrawn is scum. I'll tell you what I told YourHarry:

There is really no reason to wait.

If after looking at my case you still feel that Thrawn isn't scum, I encourage you to share your defense of him with us. The biggest problem I see with your post is that I've already highlighted who all of the scum are.


A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 18 2012 05:35 GMT
#505
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 18 2012 05:52 GMT
#506
On August 18 2012 14:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.


The problem with this logic is that no one knows if there's an sk + Show Spoiler +
(except the sk, if he does exist)
. So, there may not even be a vigilante...

And you felt it was necessary to inquire if there could be two vigis, a setup that though possible is fairly unlikely. It feels like you're already trying to find an escape route if you get caught up in your lie.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 18 2012 05:54 GMT
#507
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
@Stutters:

I highly encourage you to read my case, which was posted just before the official day 2 post. There is strong reason to suspect that Thrawn is scum. I'll tell you what I told YourHarry:

There is really no reason to wait.

If after looking at my case you still feel that Thrawn isn't scum, I encourage you to share your defense of him with us. The biggest problem I see with your post is that I've already highlighted who all of the scum are.


A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


That is a good case. However it backs up my point of not lynching Thrawn. If we pressure everyone for more content and inevitably fall back on that case (a very real possibility) then lynching Ochrow makes significantly more sense. Thrawn has 0 town cred and is not a threat at all to the town's direction today. If we lynch Ochrow instead and he flips red it all but confirms Thrawn as scum and puts YouHarry under great suspicion. I have no qualms if it is determined later on today that Thrawn is clearly the best lynch but deciding on it this early into the day is going to stifle discussion and give us less content heading into Day 3.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 18 2012 06:04 GMT
#508
On August 18 2012 14:52 goodkarma wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 14:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.


The problem with this logic is that no one knows if there's an sk + Show Spoiler +
(except the sk, if he does exist)
. So, there may not even be a vigilante...


The scum player wouldn't know this. He would be gambling on there not being a vig.

And you felt it was necessary to inquire if there could be two vigis, a setup that though possible is fairly unlikely. It feels like you're already trying to find an escape route if you get caught up in your lie.


I asked if there could be 2 vigs because I was planning on asking for a vig counter claim. Since there could be two I decided asking for a counter claim was a bad idea because if there is another vig and he counter claimed then I would look pretty bad.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Golbat
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States499 Posts
August 18 2012 06:10 GMT
#509
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I am in agreement that we should just lynch thrawn here. We seem to have caught a scum or even two, I think if thrawn flips scum then YH is almost certainly scum.
Like why do u use an oven instead of a fire? Coz its fucking better at cooking, that doesnt mean you want the shit to burn.
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:13 GMT
#510
On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
For the record, and I am repeating myself here, my strong town read on thrawn was based on my strong scum read on Archrun.


That is bullshit. You yourself stated that your town read on him was CONFIRMED by that post not based on that post.


On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
Aside from the ease with which the Thrawn bandwagon is gaining momentum (an attempted scum lynch typically is followed by scum resistance)


A Thrawn Lynch has been met with an Incredible amount of resistance so far. Shady's counter wagon and mislynch were almost a direct response to it. You yourself have spent vast amounts of time and effort trying to establish Thrawn as town and are continuing to soft-defend him and stop him from being lynched at the same time as you cast VERY MILD suspicion on him.

On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
I expressed my opinion that after my initial town read on Thrawn based on Archrun being scum went out the window, I wanted to re-evaluate my read on Thrawn.


So now it is an initial town read? LMAO Even though you said before archuns post that you had a town feel from thrawn and defended his laughable town read of you? Seems like you are trying to play down the connection between you both and are preparing to Bus him.

On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
And the combination of 1) Thrawn denying his breadcrumb post and 2) his claiming only after the second night kill was apparent makes me think that Thrawn is attempting to sell his vigilante story. If he did actually leave a bread crumb post saying that he is vigilante, I would have been more likely to buy his claim because then he would be incriminated in case there is no SK - and thus only one night kill.


This is obvious but I 100% agree. and yet you believed thrawns claim almost Immediately despite it containing no evidence and there being no discussion. If thrawn was the Vig, He 100 percent should have crumbed his hit in the night post.

On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
I understand that if Thrawn does flip scum, this will make me suspicious for seemingly trying to defend Thrawn. But you should realize that scums tend not to defend each other so directly and conspicuously, in fear that such defense could lead to one being scum must be the other one being scum. And while that this may be WIFOM, it is also true that in practice such eye-catching defenses almost never occurs between two scums.


Thanks for gracing us with more WIFOM Your Harry. even though you point it out doesn't mean it stops being useless. You seem to be desperate to distance yourself from Thrawn's red flip. I find it very plausible that after Shady made a case against thrawn you and your scum buddies decided to form a counter wagon onto shady.

I find Thrawn, Yourself and Ochrow all incredibly suspicious. Who do you find suspicious?


"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
Golbat
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States499 Posts
August 18 2012 06:16 GMT
#511
On August 18 2012 15:04 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 14:52 goodkarma wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.


The problem with this logic is that no one knows if there's an sk + Show Spoiler +
(except the sk, if he does exist)
. So, there may not even be a vigilante...


The scum player wouldn't know this. He would be gambling on there not being a vig.

Show nested quote +
And you felt it was necessary to inquire if there could be two vigis, a setup that though possible is fairly unlikely. It feels like you're already trying to find an escape route if you get caught up in your lie.


I asked if there could be 2 vigs because I was planning on asking for a vig counter claim. Since there could be two I decided asking for a counter claim was a bad idea because if there is another vig and he counter claimed then I would look pretty bad.


The thing about gambling on there not being a vig is that even if there was a vig, it might not be in his or town's best interest to claim if he hasn't got his shot off yet.
Like why do u use an oven instead of a fire? Coz its fucking better at cooking, that doesnt mean you want the shit to burn.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 18 2012 06:18 GMT
#512
On August 18 2012 15:10 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I am in agreement that we should just lynch thrawn here. We seem to have caught a scum or even two, I think if thrawn flips scum then YH is almost certainly scum.


Could you outline why you want to lynch me other than that you are in agreement with what others have said? Since shady was lynched all you have said was this:

On August 18 2012 09:27 Golbat wrote:
I still maintain my case on thrawn. He and shady are my two biggest scum reads at the moment. I'll have to re read GK's case on oochrow, and then OO's filter and then see how I feel about that. But I feel pretty safe right now in voting for Thrawn.

##Vote Thrawn

also, ##FoS YourHarry

His play has been the flippiest and the floppiest. That usually means intentionally sowing confusion in the thread, as people have to follow his logic back and forth to make any sense of what he says.



There was not very much substance in that post and it's the only post you've made since the lynch where you explain your current reads.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:19 GMT
#513
On August 18 2012 15:10 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I am in agreement that we should just lynch thrawn here. We seem to have caught a scum or even two, I think if thrawn flips scum then YH is almost certainly scum.


You are lurking pretty hard buddy. I would also like to ask Ochrow, solarsail Z-Boson and Stutters to increase their contributions.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 18 2012 06:22 GMT
#514
@Thrawn:

On August 18 2012 15:04 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 14:52 goodkarma wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.


The problem with this logic is that no one knows if there's an sk + Show Spoiler +
(except the sk, if he does exist)
. So, there may not even be a vigilante...


The scum player wouldn't know this. He would be gambling on there not being a vig.

Show nested quote +
And you felt it was necessary to inquire if there could be two vigis, a setup that though possible is fairly unlikely. It feels like you're already trying to find an escape route if you get caught up in your lie.


I asked if there could be 2 vigs because I was planning on asking for a vig counter claim. Since there could be two I decided asking for a counter claim was a bad idea because if there is another vig and he counter claimed then I would look pretty bad.


So then you would agree it's possible, that a scum player would make a vig role claim in your shoes?

Honestly, we could argue to death your vigi. role claim, but it's only a waste of time. I want to hear what you have to say about the case points currently against you. Read up on my case on you, which is posted right before the day 2 post. And tell me where in that case I'm wrong about you. I'm tired of hearing role claims and WIFOM from you. The longer you stall in providing an actual defense, the guiltier you're looking.
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:24 GMT
#515
EBWOP

On August 18 2012 15:13 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 14:08 YourHarry wrote:
For the record, and I am repeating myself here, my strong town read on thrawn was based on my strong scum read on Archrun.

That is bullshit. You yourself stated that your town read on him was CONFIRMED by that post not based on that post.


On August 17 2012 08:10 YourHarry wrote:
My strong town read on Thrawn is confirmed by Archrun's recent post stating that exactly Thrawn or Shady are scum. I don't know how he arrived at this conclusion. While it is unlikely that they are bussing each other as scums, how to exclude the possibility that they are both towns?

I would like recruit people to support a lynch against Archrun. Archrun flipping scum likely means that Thrawn and Shady (Thrawn, especially) are probably town.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:27 GMT
#516
On August 18 2012 14:13 Stutters695 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I agree 100% that if a Vig exists but didn't shoot Arch, they should NOT counter-claim.

I disagree that waiting is fruitless and lynching thrawn is a good play currently.

No matter how we spin it, Thrawn is now tied to Archrun's death.

If Thrawn is town, he has no incentive to lie and claim a kill he didn't commit (likewise about being a 1shot vig [which really isn't that uncommon for balance purposes in minis, from what I've read >1shot Vigs are a rarity]).

Now if we don't lynch Thrawn today his fate is directly tied to future NKs.
If he's scum and another Vig took a shot last night it would be absolutely terrible play for him to claim the kill he had no knowledge of. A counter-claim if we have a vig essentially kills him for no value at all to the scum team.
If 2 people die Night2 a Thrawn lynch is essentially a given Day 3 and we'll see then.
If only one person dies it either means he's telling the truth or either the scumteam or SK decided to hold their shot to throw us off (good for us in that we save a night kill).

Essentially it comes down to how certain we are that Thrawn is scum. If he flips red we're in a great position and have a lot of info to go off of. If he flips blue we've wasted Day 2 on a lynch that we could have gathered info by letting him live while trying to catch other scum.

Currently I'd rather focus on other targets and see what we can do as opposed to gambling on this.

I'm about to reread the thread and get some thoughts up on my reads, I just wanted to weigh in on this.


I am fine with not lynching thrawn today and lynching Your Harry instead.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:29 GMT
#517
These lurkers are really hurting us by the way.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
Golbat
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States499 Posts
August 18 2012 06:32 GMT
#518
On August 18 2012 15:19 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 15:10 Golbat wrote:
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I am in agreement that we should just lynch thrawn here. We seem to have caught a scum or even two, I think if thrawn flips scum then YH is almost certainly scum.


You are lurking pretty hard buddy. I would also like to ask Ochrow, solarsail Z-Boson and Stutters to increase their contributions.


I agree i'm lurking, but I feel that I have at least contributed well for my sparse filter. I made my case on thrawn, and cast my vote. When I see something worth discussing I mention it. I may not be living in the thread as hard as you, harry or thrawn, but at least I've contributed. What do you suggest I do to be less "lurky"? Make a shit case on someone in a misguided attempt to look active? Last game it got me lynched and cost town a vigi shot.

I'll go over the thread again and see if anything catches my eye, but I don't really see a case I can make that hasn't already been made ATM. At the very least i'll prod some people in my next couple posts.
Like why do u use an oven instead of a fire? Coz its fucking better at cooking, that doesnt mean you want the shit to burn.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 18 2012 06:40 GMT
#519
On August 18 2012 15:22 goodkarma wrote:
@Thrawn:

Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 15:04 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:52 goodkarma wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 18 2012 14:29 goodkarma wrote:
A cornered scum would have no problem lying about his role to get out of a lynch, and that's what I see is the case with Thrawn.


Like stutters said, a scum role claiming vig when he doesn't know who the real vig is would be pretty bad play because the scum would be leaving himself open to a counter claim when he has no idea who the vig is.


The problem with this logic is that no one knows if there's an sk + Show Spoiler +
(except the sk, if he does exist)
. So, there may not even be a vigilante...


The scum player wouldn't know this. He would be gambling on there not being a vig.

And you felt it was necessary to inquire if there could be two vigis, a setup that though possible is fairly unlikely. It feels like you're already trying to find an escape route if you get caught up in your lie.


I asked if there could be 2 vigs because I was planning on asking for a vig counter claim. Since there could be two I decided asking for a counter claim was a bad idea because if there is another vig and he counter claimed then I would look pretty bad.


So then you would agree it's possible, that a scum player would make a vig role claim in your shoes?

Honestly, we could argue to death your vigi. role claim, but it's only a waste of time. I want to hear what you have to say about the case points currently against you. Read up on my case on you, which is posted right before the day 2 post. And tell me where in that case I'm wrong about you. I'm tired of hearing role claims and WIFOM from you. The longer you stall in providing an actual defense, the guiltier you're looking.


You are right that there is no evidence in either direction to prove or disprove my vig claim. I only vig claimed to give an explanation as to how things could have worked out the way they did if I am town.

I'm going to respond to your post, but it is VERY long and references tons of other posts all of which are very long so don't expect a response for quite awhile. I am also busy scumhunting but this is having to be done on my own because I don't have any credibility right now. Just to give you an idea of what leads I'm going after, here is my interpretation of what's going on. So far 3 town players have been killed/lynched. The scum I suspected (archrun and shady) of being behind my D1 lynch case turned out to be town. While this is going on there are a few players that have posted very, very little content. My conclusion is that either the scum team are doing an extremely good job of hiding their actions or that there is at least one, if not probably more than 1 scum among the lurkers. I am currently looking at Gobalt because his latest contribution was a vote for me and his only motivation for that vote was that he agreed with what others have said. Since the shady lynching he hasn't contributed anything beyond the post I pointed out in my post before this one and I would like to hear what he has to say. There are other lurkers too but since he is in the thread right now we had better get him posting while we can.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
August 18 2012 06:50 GMT
#520
On August 18 2012 15:32 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2012 15:19 DarthPunk wrote:
On August 18 2012 15:10 Golbat wrote:
On August 18 2012 12:55 goodkarma wrote:
@YourHarry:

Any suggestions as to who this someone else is that we should lynch?


My first thoughts are either Orchrow or you.


You seem to be very interested in keeping thrawn alive as long as possible... I suggest you start making some meaningful suggestions as to who you feel looks scummier. And it would also be helpful if you commented on people's most recent cases against thrawn, Orchrow, and yourself instead of continuing to strive to keep Thrawn alive.


There are situations here where the vigi still shouldn't claim. Like what if there is an sk, but the vigi hasn't used his shot yet? A vigi counter claim here would be terrible, as he could wind up rb'ed by scum and NK'ed before he can do anything.

And if we wait, who's to say town doesn't get a successful medic save or rb? Or that scum or the sk (if he exists) doesn't just sit back and do nothing for one night? There's a few different ways that there could be an sk but fewer than two night kills.

Waiting achieves nothing. My read, and the read of several of us here, is that thrawn is scum. It's time for him to go. Read through the case points against him, and show us why you feel he might be town. It's more productive than your WIFOM defense of thrawn you're presenting now.


I am in agreement that we should just lynch thrawn here. We seem to have caught a scum or even two, I think if thrawn flips scum then YH is almost certainly scum.


You are lurking pretty hard buddy. I would also like to ask Ochrow, solarsail Z-Boson and Stutters to increase their contributions.


I agree i'm lurking, but I feel that I have at least contributed well for my sparse filter. I made my case on thrawn, and cast my vote. When I see something worth discussing I mention it. I may not be living in the thread as hard as you, harry or thrawn, but at least I've contributed. What do you suggest I do to be less "lurky"? Make a shit case on someone in a misguided attempt to look active? Last game it got me lynched and cost town a vigi shot.

I'll go over the thread again and see if anything catches my eye, but I don't really see a case I can make that hasn't already been made ATM. At the very least i'll prod some people in my next couple posts.


Why so defensive? I understand that you got lynched for being over eager in XXII but your posting is markedly different than what I experienced there (although you were only alive for 24 hours so not much of a meta to read ) my post was not a personal attack but rather a call to all lurkers to contribute something.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
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