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Betting: Suspicious Activity Detected - Page 6

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Obamarauder
Profile Joined June 2015
697 Posts
July 17 2020 21:18 GMT
#101
zest floats 2k minerals everygame, and thats just how gate heavy toss armies work. warp in a cycle, float 2k warp in another. whats wrong with that?
Starecat
Profile Joined August 2014
936 Posts
July 17 2020 22:07 GMT
#102
Yeah, many times people pointed for many years Zest played that he floats a lot of resources.

Even though this is some shitty thing to see being brought on an already bad year t-t
:3
geokilla
Profile Joined May 2011
Canada8230 Posts
July 17 2020 22:10 GMT
#103
All the bets I made today were settled pretty quickly. Let's see how it goes tomorrow.
mikedupp
Profile Joined May 2020
233 Posts
July 17 2020 22:46 GMT
#104
zest is a habitual floater but so are many protoss players.

though I do recall a few reddit posts accusing zest of suspicious activity or the lines being suspicious.

I have no idea.

but it seems like someone has a hate boner for zest.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25004 Posts
July 17 2020 22:53 GMT
#105
On July 18 2020 07:46 mikedupp wrote:
zest is a habitual floater but so are many protoss players.

though I do recall a few reddit posts accusing zest of suspicious activity or the lines being suspicious.

I have no idea.

but it seems like someone has a hate boner for zest.

The argument isn’t that he was floating, it’s that he was floating while botching everything else.

Everyone posting in the thread knows Zest has that reputation, but he usually floats when he’s microing his heart out, or doing a bunch of army repositioning and prioritising that over a warp round.

It’s long been his approach and has what made him such a successful player. He finds angles and timings that to other players don’t exist because they’re concerned with always keeping their money low.

My personal opinion is that Zest was either ill or really hungover or something and people became aware of this. The Korean pro scene seems pretty close-knit after all.

Doesn’t have to be anything malicious at all. All it takes is a few players to be out with Zest and ‘man he was fucking wasted’ and people start placing bets there.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
geokilla
Profile Joined May 2011
Canada8230 Posts
July 17 2020 23:32 GMT
#106
About the Zest vs SouL game, I had Zest to win. This means I personally lost the bet. So for Pinnacle to void the bet, they really did me a favour because they could have kept my money while voiding only the people who had SouL spread or moneyline.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25004 Posts
July 17 2020 23:41 GMT
#107
On July 18 2020 08:32 geokilla wrote:
About the Zest vs SouL game, I had Zest to win. This means I personally lost the bet. So for Pinnacle to void the bet, they really did me a favour because they could have kept my money while voiding only the people who had SouL spread or moneyline.

Why would you ever bet against Serral’s preferred practice partner?
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
washikie
Profile Joined February 2011
United States752 Posts
July 18 2020 00:16 GMT
#108
Since it was zest who did this, I can completely believe he threw without any intention of doing so or shady business. Zest is the master of inconsistent performance.
"when life gives Hero lemons he makes carriers" -Artosis
Alejandrisha
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States6565 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-18 01:37:07
July 18 2020 01:34 GMT
#109
On July 18 2020 01:07 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2020 00:01 Morbidius wrote:
On July 17 2020 11:05 RPR_Tempest wrote:
and MarineKing had his SC2 career ended over this.

After playing the fishiest game in the history of SC2.

The fishiest game must surely be that macsed vs some diamond player game.

yes. this game should serve at the prototype of a 'fishy' game and always needs to be linked when this is brought up. because this wasn't a player losing a series; it was a player going 2-1 vs some one they should absolutely go 2-0 against. not an insane upset.

get rich or die mining
TL+ Member
Alejandrisha
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States6565 Posts
July 18 2020 01:35 GMT
#110
On July 18 2020 07:53 Wombat_NI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2020 07:46 mikedupp wrote:
zest is a habitual floater but so are many protoss players.

though I do recall a few reddit posts accusing zest of suspicious activity or the lines being suspicious.

I have no idea.

but it seems like someone has a hate boner for zest.

The argument isn’t that he was floating, it’s that he was floating while botching everything else.

Everyone posting in the thread knows Zest has that reputation, but he usually floats when he’s microing his heart out, or doing a bunch of army repositioning and prioritising that over a warp round.

It’s long been his approach and has what made him such a successful player. He finds angles and timings that to other players don’t exist because they’re concerned with always keeping their money low.

My personal opinion is that Zest was either ill or really hungover or something and people became aware of this. The Korean pro scene seems pretty close-knit after all.

Doesn’t have to be anything malicious at all. All it takes is a few players to be out with Zest and ‘man he was fucking wasted’ and people start placing bets there.

players need a masterclass in believably throwing games, apparently. since they are generally awful at hiding it, this makes for some hilarious spectacles
get rich or die mining
TL+ Member
Phredxor
Profile Joined May 2013
New Zealand15076 Posts
July 18 2020 01:57 GMT
#111
I guess people don't get warned for accusing players of matchfixing on TL any longer?

In that case fuck MKP.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25004 Posts
July 18 2020 02:01 GMT
#112
On July 18 2020 10:35 Alejandrisha wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2020 07:53 Wombat_NI wrote:
On July 18 2020 07:46 mikedupp wrote:
zest is a habitual floater but so are many protoss players.

though I do recall a few reddit posts accusing zest of suspicious activity or the lines being suspicious.

I have no idea.

but it seems like someone has a hate boner for zest.

The argument isn’t that he was floating, it’s that he was floating while botching everything else.

Everyone posting in the thread knows Zest has that reputation, but he usually floats when he’s microing his heart out, or doing a bunch of army repositioning and prioritising that over a warp round.

It’s long been his approach and has what made him such a successful player. He finds angles and timings that to other players don’t exist because they’re concerned with always keeping their money low.

My personal opinion is that Zest was either ill or really hungover or something and people became aware of this. The Korean pro scene seems pretty close-knit after all.

Doesn’t have to be anything malicious at all. All it takes is a few players to be out with Zest and ‘man he was fucking wasted’ and people start placing bets there.

players need a masterclass in believably throwing games, apparently. since they are generally awful at hiding it, this makes for some hilarious spectacles

It’s a skill.

Granted for my money there’s not much difference between Zest having a bad day at the office and him throwing games.

Contrast that to MKP for example.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Alejandrisha
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States6565 Posts
July 18 2020 02:12 GMT
#113
that mkp game will always be ingrained in my memory. a player on his decline looking for an easy payout or a washed out pro who doesn't have the map awareness of a diamond player
get rich or die mining
TL+ Member
Anc13nt
Profile Blog Joined October 2017
1557 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-18 07:44:57
July 18 2020 06:57 GMT
#114
weirder things have happened than Zest losing 0-3 to Soul in online cups. Like Hurricane having a pretty positive record on Serral or Zhugeliang beating Serral in an offline ZvZ. With so many SC2 series happening all the time, 5% chance is pretty high. Especially in an online tournament, where players aren't as pressured to play well.


So I don't know if there is enough evidence there but I have no idea how the betting lines stuff works tbh.

edit: Also would seem odd for him matchfix since he's been doing well this year. Most BW and SC2 match fixers were slumping pretty badly when they did matchfixing (maybe except for Life).
Ej_
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
47656 Posts
July 18 2020 08:23 GMT
#115
On July 18 2020 15:57 Anc13nt wrote:
edit: Also would seem odd for him matchfix since he's been doing well this year. Most BW and SC2 match fixers were slumping pretty badly when they did matchfixing (maybe except for Life).

Most that got caught.
"Technically the dictionary has zero authority on the meaning or words" - Rodya
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
July 18 2020 09:44 GMT
#116
This just seems like a typical Zest fail series he always floats minerals and sometimes he just brainfarts and collapses we've seen it in plenty of important series.

Factor in this is a tournament he probably doesn't care about and he has an upcoming gsl group he may want to hide builds for. This could just be a dodgy move by the betting company or someone just going for broke on a big bet for souL that distorts the market.
RPR_Tempest
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia7798 Posts
July 18 2020 11:41 GMT
#117
On July 17 2020 11:17 fastr wrote:

Show nested quote +
MarineKing had his SC2 career ended over this.

While it might have contributed to his decision to retire, MarineKing towards the end of his career was completely washed and couldn't even manage to qualify for GSL anymore, I think that has more to do with it.
I agree with your general sentiment though, don't throw accusations lightly, and even if a game looks suspicious, innocent until proven guilty.

So like, MarineKing was already doing quite poorly but after the matchfixing accusations he got even worse, became an absolute mess. I can understand why. Nearly everybody in the world thought he was a matchfixer when he wasn't. Like imagine playing a game of SC2 that was so bad you literally can't get people to believe you didn't throw it deliberately. That would crush you mentally I think.
Soundwave, Zerg player from Canberra, Australia. @SoundwaveSC
Morbidius
Profile Joined November 2010
Brazil3449 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-18 11:58:52
July 18 2020 11:58 GMT
#118
On July 18 2020 20:41 RPR_Tempest wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2020 11:17 fastr wrote:

MarineKing had his SC2 career ended over this.

While it might have contributed to his decision to retire, MarineKing towards the end of his career was completely washed and couldn't even manage to qualify for GSL anymore, I think that has more to do with it.
I agree with your general sentiment though, don't throw accusations lightly, and even if a game looks suspicious, innocent until proven guilty.

So like, MarineKing was already doing quite poorly but after the matchfixing accusations he got even worse, became an absolute mess. I can understand why. Nearly everybody in the world thought he was a matchfixer when he wasn't. Like imagine playing a game of SC2 that was so bad you literally can't get people to believe you didn't throw it deliberately. That would crush you mentally I think.

All we know is he didn't get caught. I for one will never believe he wasn't paid to throw that game. He missed SCV production at the start of the game when there's nothing else to do, doesn't look at his minimap for 2 straight minutes, and decides to go 3CC against what was a 1 base baneling bust(if we pretend he doesn't see the hatchery and doesn't realize there's a proxy hatch somewhere). Not a single professional player could come up with a thought process behind that other than ''He had a stroke''. Voided bets due to suspicious betting patterns are the cherry on top.
Has foreign StarCraft hit rock bottom?
[Svall]Granis
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
Sweden94 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-18 12:12:06
July 18 2020 12:11 GMT
#119
On July 18 2020 20:58 Morbidius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2020 20:41 RPR_Tempest wrote:
On July 17 2020 11:17 fastr wrote:

MarineKing had his SC2 career ended over this.

While it might have contributed to his decision to retire, MarineKing towards the end of his career was completely washed and couldn't even manage to qualify for GSL anymore, I think that has more to do with it.
I agree with your general sentiment though, don't throw accusations lightly, and even if a game looks suspicious, innocent until proven guilty.

So like, MarineKing was already doing quite poorly but after the matchfixing accusations he got even worse, became an absolute mess. I can understand why. Nearly everybody in the world thought he was a matchfixer when he wasn't. Like imagine playing a game of SC2 that was so bad you literally can't get people to believe you didn't throw it deliberately. That would crush you mentally I think.

All we know is he didn't get caught. I for one will never believe he wasn't paid to throw that game. He missed SCV production at the start of the game when there's nothing else to do, doesn't look at his minimap for 2 straight minutes, and decides to go 3CC against what was a 1 base baneling bust(if we pretend he doesn't see the hatchery and doesn't realize there's a proxy hatch somewhere). Not a single professional player could come up with a thought process behind that other than ''He had a stroke''. Voided bets due to suspicious betting patterns are the cherry on top.


MKP did go 3CC in 99% of the games he played no? This was such a long time ago i cant remember.
Sundsvalls Finest
RPR_Tempest
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia7798 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-18 12:32:13
July 18 2020 12:31 GMT
#120
On July 18 2020 21:11 [Svall]Granis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2020 20:58 Morbidius wrote:
On July 18 2020 20:41 RPR_Tempest wrote:
On July 17 2020 11:17 fastr wrote:

MarineKing had his SC2 career ended over this.

While it might have contributed to his decision to retire, MarineKing towards the end of his career was completely washed and couldn't even manage to qualify for GSL anymore, I think that has more to do with it.
I agree with your general sentiment though, don't throw accusations lightly, and even if a game looks suspicious, innocent until proven guilty.

So like, MarineKing was already doing quite poorly but after the matchfixing accusations he got even worse, became an absolute mess. I can understand why. Nearly everybody in the world thought he was a matchfixer when he wasn't. Like imagine playing a game of SC2 that was so bad you literally can't get people to believe you didn't throw it deliberately. That would crush you mentally I think.

All we know is he didn't get caught. I for one will never believe he wasn't paid to throw that game. He missed SCV production at the start of the game when there's nothing else to do, doesn't look at his minimap for 2 straight minutes, and decides to go 3CC against what was a 1 base baneling bust(if we pretend he doesn't see the hatchery and doesn't realize there's a proxy hatch somewhere). Not a single professional player could come up with a thought process behind that other than ''He had a stroke''. Voided bets due to suspicious betting patterns are the cherry on top.


MKP did go 3CC in 99% of the games he played no? This was such a long time ago i cant remember.

Yeah it's one of those cases where it was literally any other player it'd be a sure thing, but MarineKing has been playing like that his whole career.

"Oh I play someone who 6 pools every single game? CC First for SURE."

I think what ultimately exonerates MarineKing is how suspicious he actually was. His team did a full investigation, found nothing. KeSPA did an official investigation and wasn't able to find anything (I remember people at the time being like "Well DUH of course they're gonna say they didn't find anything, if this gets out Proleague is finished" well uhhhh) and the police did a full investigation and arrested a few people.

There is absolutely no way that the most suspicious of the bunch didn't have his life passed over with a fine-toothed comb. I guarantee the police would have been checking his bank accounts and snooping in MKP's private life as much as they possibly can within the confines of the law. If they got people who hid it well like Life, they woulda got MKP IMO. I remember after Life was arrested the police statement said "We believe we have caught all matchfixers at this time." which is quite the statement of confidence.
Soundwave, Zerg player from Canberra, Australia. @SoundwaveSC
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