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HGC cancelled, What does it mean for SC2 ? - Page 8

Forum Index > SC2 General
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-Strider-
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Mexico1605 Posts
December 19 2018 04:23 GMT
#141
Can someone explain to me how Overwatch is a bigger eSport than SC2?
What is up? IM NESTEAAAA!
Wrathsc2
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2025 Posts
December 19 2018 05:05 GMT
#142
On December 19 2018 13:23 -Strider- wrote:
Can someone explain to me how Overwatch is a bigger eSport than SC2?


team game and it released with it being an esport in mind. plus on going support with skins and heroes
A marine walks into a bar and asks, "Wheres the counter?"
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16699 Posts
December 19 2018 05:31 GMT
#143
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 06:06:00
December 19 2018 06:04 GMT
#144
On December 19 2018 14:31 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.


What!!!???
OWL is the biggest esport scene barring maybe LoL the cost for a franchise spot was arround 20 million US and they expect to go maybe as high as 60 millions for the new spot next season. Plus the league is suppose to start every match in the city of the franchise in 2020 or 2021 meaning a full schedule of studio booking in at least 15 city around the world. It's litteraly the most ambitious esport venture of all time and could very well decide of the future of all the esport ecosystem.
OWL had hundreds of hours of broadcast every week and solid viewership count. (altough not crazy high)

SC2 host the GSL in a 100 people studio with free entries.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Parrek
Profile Joined May 2016
United States893 Posts
December 19 2018 06:34 GMT
#145
On December 19 2018 14:31 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.

They get over 100k 4 days a week for their league when it's on. They're a huge venture with OWL where they want to be the leader in a new evolution of esports. It's so massive that even if OWL fails hard in the next couple of years, the infrastructure that will be built around it will change esports, especially NA esports.

Also, fuzic tracks OW as well https://overwatch.fuzic.nl/trends/ so feel free to look for yourself
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6329 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 06:38:29
December 19 2018 06:38 GMT
#146
On December 19 2018 14:31 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.

OW is about 5-10x times in terms of both viewership and player base than sc2 esports period.
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16699 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 07:17:57
December 19 2018 06:41 GMT
#147
On December 19 2018 15:38 digmouse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 14:31 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.

OW is about 5-10x times in terms of both viewership and player base than sc2 esports period.

According to ATVI Investor Calls info OW had a paid player base of over 35 million by October 2017 while WoL sold 6 million copies. According to ATVI Investor calls Heart Of the Swarm sold 1 million in 3 days and LotV sold 1 million in 1 day. So I'd say your comment about both games' respective player bases is correct.

On December 19 2018 15:04 Nakajin wrote:
What!!!???
OWL is the biggest esport scene barring maybe LoL the cost for a franchise spot was arround 20 million US and they expect to go maybe as high as 60 millions for the new spot next season. Plus the league is suppose to start every match in the city of the franchise in 2020 or 2021 meaning a full schedule of studio booking in at least 15 city around the world. It's litteraly the most ambitious esport venture of all time and could very well decide of the future of all the esport ecosystem.

I recommend reading the ATVI investor call transcripts to obtain accurate information regarding OW and OWL and Blizzard. This is because execs can be criminally charged for lying during official investor communications. Rich Exec guys at ATVI don't like going to jail. ESPN and any esports web site can publish any rumours they hear and call them "credible sources tell us blah blah blah".

ATVI Investor Call Transcript > ESPN-Esports-Bro Gossip

If you want me to take a deep dive into a couple of ATVI investor calls... i will. Its ugly man. You won't like it. Its as ugly as ATVI's drop from $83.39 to $46.50 in stock price in 9 weeks. ATVI's big move into esports is floating about as good as a lead balloon.

Tying this back to HGC, WCS and SC2 esports; ATVI//Blizz has already cut back on Heroes of the Storm esports. I think people are concerned ATVI will cut back further on Blizzard's esports activities because Blizzard and ATVI esports are not profitable.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
December 19 2018 07:57 GMT
#148
If they thought that esports will be profitable, they are clueless idiots. Esports is marketing strategy. They lose money there and gain money from sales and MTX and hopefully it balances out. With the games that Blizzard has, I doubt it does.

BTW still no WCS announcement and the year is practically over.
Geo.Rion
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
7377 Posts
December 19 2018 08:34 GMT
#149
On December 19 2018 16:57 Pr0wler wrote:
If they thought that esports will be profitable, they are clueless idiots. Esports is marketing strategy. They lose money there and gain money from sales and MTX and hopefully it balances out. With the games that Blizzard has, I doubt it does.

BTW still no WCS announcement and the year is practically over.


Pretty sure Valve ran events made net profit these past several years
"Protoss is a joke" Liquid`Jinro Okt.1. 2011
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 11:05:07
December 19 2018 10:28 GMT
#150
If by "Valve ran" events you mean The International, yeah that's probably profitable, because of the crowd funding.
Geo.Rion
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
7377 Posts
December 19 2018 11:12 GMT
#151
On December 19 2018 19:28 Pr0wler wrote:
If by "Valve ran" events you mean The International, yeah that's probably profitable, because of the crowd funding.

You say like that s cheating somehow.
How else would a large scale event make profit? physical ticket sales?
"Protoss is a joke" Liquid`Jinro Okt.1. 2011
InfestedNeurone
Profile Joined October 2018
18 Posts
December 19 2018 11:33 GMT
#152
On December 19 2018 20:12 Geo.Rion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 19:28 Pr0wler wrote:
If by "Valve ran" events you mean The International, yeah that's probably profitable, because of the crowd funding.

You say like that s cheating somehow.
How else would a large scale event make profit? physical ticket sales?

Sponsors and merchandising, like "real" sport
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6924 Posts
December 19 2018 12:08 GMT
#153
On December 19 2018 01:43 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 01:08 Harris1st wrote:
On December 18 2018 22:45 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On December 14 2018 18:28 Kaizor wrote:
I wouldn't take that as confirmation until i see official plans for wcs 2019. And like some have mentioned before SC2 might have had its best year in a while but is it good enough for the higher ups?

i think Blizzard posted some good, detailed info about IEM-Katowice which they've labelled as a WCS-Circuit event. It looks like WCS 2019 is happening man.


WCS-2019 And GSL-2019
A year long SC2 championship pro circuit in the form of WCS occurs throughout 2019. The first event has been announced with a War Chest attached to the funding of additional cash to the prize pool. Blizzard named the new War Chest after the event: "War Chest Katowice 2019". Also, lots of details about the contents of the Warchest. Cool Stuff!
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/22792661/

Let's contrast WCS-2019 and IEM-Katowice-2019 with GSL-2019. We have lots of info about a WCS-Circuit event concluding months from now in March. Lots of details several months in advance for IEM-Katowice. Great stuff! Unfortunately, We have zero information for GSL-2019. No qualifiers, no prize pool details, no schedule. GSL Qualifiers are usually in December with GSL Season 1 occuring in the 1st week of January. Last year GSL Qualifiers were announced December 2.. Its December 18. https://www.reddit.com/r/starcraft/comments/a73im2/gsl_2019_offline_qualifiers/

Korean Pros and IEM Katowice
Notice the IEM Katowice 2019 event includes both WCS-Korea and WCS-Circuit in the graphic. It appears this event is open to any one of any nationality. The Katowice qualifiers are online in January making it easier for Koreans to participate. Notice IEM Katowice is described as "SC2 returns to Poland for the first major event of the year". Doesn't a GSL count as a major event? When is the first season of GSL 2019 happening?
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/

Blizzard's silence around GSL 2019 qualifiers and the appearance of the web site covering the WCS-Circuit doesn't give good vibes for the GSL in 2019. Fortunately, based on what Blizzard has already announced it looks like WCS-2019 should be good. There is even a cool countdown timer for IEM-Katowice saying it starts in 68 days, XX hours, XX minutes.

So for 2019 we've got some pretty cool stuff for WCS-Circuit and an odd silence around GSL-2019. The longer the silence the more it sounds like the silence surrounding HGC before its cancellation. In any event, we'll probably know in a few weeks what's going on with the GSL.


If they would do the Circuit globally it would actually be kinda fair.

Thinking of WCS tournaments in Katowice, Leipzig, Montreal, Austin, Valencia and Seoul. Open to anyone. No GSL



3 Europe, 2 NA, 1 Korea. How's this fair?

Anyway, this would be bad, we would lose many Koreans. And probably some foreigners.


Serral took the crown from Korea so obviously Korea gets one less and EU one more


On December 19 2018 01:48 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2018 18:36 Harris1st wrote: Afaik Blizzard shares are at an all time low right now. Could they really risk that?

lots of decent info in your posts, however, your one statement here is incorrect.

ATVI's price is ~$47 which is what it was in February 2017. Before February 2017 ATVI stock price was always below $47.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


In my defense, I didn't look past 2018 ^^' my bad

Kinda sitting on hot coals until Blizz finally decides to announce something official. Come on guys! I want lots of SC2 in 2019 for Christmas!
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
December 19 2018 12:09 GMT
#154
On December 19 2018 15:04 Nakajin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 14:31 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
OW has a far bigger player base than SC2. That said, OW esports isn't that much bigger than SC2 esports.


What!!!???
OWL is the biggest esport scene barring maybe LoL the cost for a franchise spot was arround 20 million US and they expect to go maybe as high as 60 millions for the new spot next season. Plus the league is suppose to start every match in the city of the franchise in 2020 or 2021 meaning a full schedule of studio booking in at least 15 city around the world. It's litteraly the most ambitious esport venture of all time and could very well decide of the future of all the esport ecosystem.
OWL had hundreds of hours of broadcast every week and solid viewership count. (altough not crazy high)

SC2 host the GSL in a 100 people studio with free entries.

Surely there's no way the OWL is performing as well for the money invested into it? It gets around 5x the viewership of sc2 for about 10x the playerbase, and probably 50-100x the investment into it by blizzard and the various orgs.
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16699 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 12:25:54
December 19 2018 12:23 GMT
#155
To get an idea of how ATVI views OWL and the esports of its games I recommend checking out their Investor Relations slides and transcripts.
https://investor.activision.com/events-presentations

ATVI states OWL, "other esports activities", "MLG Network" and "mobile game incubation" are "strategic initiatives". ATVI will boast that Blizzard's higher revenues offset spending on "strategic initiatives". So ATVI will put up with spending money into these various "strategic initiative" items due to Blizzard bringing in giant amounts of cash from its video games. ATVI is hoping OWL, MLG Network, "other esports activities" and "mobile game incubation" become profitable in the future. By labelling these things "strategic initiatives" and making them an expense in "Operating Segment Income" ATVI is stating these items are not profitable right now.

Hope of future profits does not last forever. SC:Ghost was in "game incubation" mode for 5 years and ATVI spent lots of money on it and it got cut. They lost hope in SC:Ghost becoming profitable. One item in "other esports activities" just got cut. That is, HGC for Heroes of the Storm. Clearly, ATVI doesn't think HGC can make a profit in the future. It got cut.

The question is: What is next to be cut?
Based on the info in this thread my guess is the GSL is going to be cut.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 12:41:16
December 19 2018 12:37 GMT
#156
On December 19 2018 21:08 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 01:43 deacon.frost wrote:
On December 19 2018 01:08 Harris1st wrote:
On December 18 2018 22:45 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On December 14 2018 18:28 Kaizor wrote:
I wouldn't take that as confirmation until i see official plans for wcs 2019. And like some have mentioned before SC2 might have had its best year in a while but is it good enough for the higher ups?

i think Blizzard posted some good, detailed info about IEM-Katowice which they've labelled as a WCS-Circuit event. It looks like WCS 2019 is happening man.


WCS-2019 And GSL-2019
A year long SC2 championship pro circuit in the form of WCS occurs throughout 2019. The first event has been announced with a War Chest attached to the funding of additional cash to the prize pool. Blizzard named the new War Chest after the event: "War Chest Katowice 2019". Also, lots of details about the contents of the Warchest. Cool Stuff!
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/22792661/

Let's contrast WCS-2019 and IEM-Katowice-2019 with GSL-2019. We have lots of info about a WCS-Circuit event concluding months from now in March. Lots of details several months in advance for IEM-Katowice. Great stuff! Unfortunately, We have zero information for GSL-2019. No qualifiers, no prize pool details, no schedule. GSL Qualifiers are usually in December with GSL Season 1 occuring in the 1st week of January. Last year GSL Qualifiers were announced December 2.. Its December 18. https://www.reddit.com/r/starcraft/comments/a73im2/gsl_2019_offline_qualifiers/

Korean Pros and IEM Katowice
Notice the IEM Katowice 2019 event includes both WCS-Korea and WCS-Circuit in the graphic. It appears this event is open to any one of any nationality. The Katowice qualifiers are online in January making it easier for Koreans to participate. Notice IEM Katowice is described as "SC2 returns to Poland for the first major event of the year". Doesn't a GSL count as a major event? When is the first season of GSL 2019 happening?
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/

Blizzard's silence around GSL 2019 qualifiers and the appearance of the web site covering the WCS-Circuit doesn't give good vibes for the GSL in 2019. Fortunately, based on what Blizzard has already announced it looks like WCS-2019 should be good. There is even a cool countdown timer for IEM-Katowice saying it starts in 68 days, XX hours, XX minutes.

So for 2019 we've got some pretty cool stuff for WCS-Circuit and an odd silence around GSL-2019. The longer the silence the more it sounds like the silence surrounding HGC before its cancellation. In any event, we'll probably know in a few weeks what's going on with the GSL.


If they would do the Circuit globally it would actually be kinda fair.

Thinking of WCS tournaments in Katowice, Leipzig, Montreal, Austin, Valencia and Seoul. Open to anyone. No GSL



3 Europe, 2 NA, 1 Korea. How's this fair?

Anyway, this would be bad, we would lose many Koreans. And probably some foreigners.


Serral took the crown from Korea so obviously Korea gets one less and EU one more



But honestly - this solution means we lose plenty of progamers.
1) You give foreigners and Korea the same amount of seeds(with flight cost covered) - unfair to Korea. Many lower Korean players leave. Some foreigners end, not many, but this means reduced seeds -> less money.
2) You give foreigners less seeds than Korea. My estimation is that this means 40-40 loss ratio
3) You give foreigners more seeds than Korea ensuring Korean scene is dead for good.

Also 2 NA 3 Europe 1 Korea means Koreans are travelling the most. We may lose players who don't want to travel or have big issues with jet lag(I doubt WCS will pay for enough hotel time so these players can adapt)

This is similar to putting a patient with dead brain on a life support because his body doesn't know higher brain functionality is gone forever.

Edit> if #1 or #3 would happen my support to Blizzard is gone forever. This would be the last straw for me.
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
looknohands119
Profile Joined March 2010
United States815 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-19 13:27:34
December 19 2018 13:23 GMT
#157
I'm not sure why everyone in the Starcraft community is so worried about this... Heroes of the Storm has ALWAYS been a huge money sink for Blizzard. Its only very rarely been profitable and its Esports scene has never increased in-game revenue very effectively. Its been a losing proposition from a business perspective from day 1. It was only given the spotlight because it was "the game the devs wanted to make and felt passionate about" not because they actually thought it was a good business idea or what the market asked for/needed. Starcraft is the exact opposite in almost every way. Esports is absolutely vital to its success as a product, its proven that its capable of being a huge commercial success as a game and an Esport long-term given the right circumstances (in fact, maybe the most proven game in history ), and Blizzard have been taking big steps over several years now to make the game financially sustainable in the long-term. And the game and the Esport is exactly what the market has been clamoring for since before Starcraft 2 was even announced.

Esports money for all the games comes out of the same Blizzard budget/pot. All the HotS announcement means is that now there's a bunch of cash that's suddenly been freed up to go to the other games. If anything, this is GREAT news for Starcraft.
"The kingdom of the heavens is buried treasure. Would you sell yourself to buy the one you've found?" - Jon Foreman ('Your Love Is Strong' - Spring EP)
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6924 Posts
December 19 2018 14:03 GMT
#158
On December 19 2018 21:37 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2018 21:08 Harris1st wrote:
On December 19 2018 01:43 deacon.frost wrote:
On December 19 2018 01:08 Harris1st wrote:
On December 18 2018 22:45 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On December 14 2018 18:28 Kaizor wrote:
I wouldn't take that as confirmation until i see official plans for wcs 2019. And like some have mentioned before SC2 might have had its best year in a while but is it good enough for the higher ups?

i think Blizzard posted some good, detailed info about IEM-Katowice which they've labelled as a WCS-Circuit event. It looks like WCS 2019 is happening man.


WCS-2019 And GSL-2019
A year long SC2 championship pro circuit in the form of WCS occurs throughout 2019. The first event has been announced with a War Chest attached to the funding of additional cash to the prize pool. Blizzard named the new War Chest after the event: "War Chest Katowice 2019". Also, lots of details about the contents of the Warchest. Cool Stuff!
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/22792661/

Let's contrast WCS-2019 and IEM-Katowice-2019 with GSL-2019. We have lots of info about a WCS-Circuit event concluding months from now in March. Lots of details several months in advance for IEM-Katowice. Great stuff! Unfortunately, We have zero information for GSL-2019. No qualifiers, no prize pool details, no schedule. GSL Qualifiers are usually in December with GSL Season 1 occuring in the 1st week of January. Last year GSL Qualifiers were announced December 2.. Its December 18. https://www.reddit.com/r/starcraft/comments/a73im2/gsl_2019_offline_qualifiers/

Korean Pros and IEM Katowice
Notice the IEM Katowice 2019 event includes both WCS-Korea and WCS-Circuit in the graphic. It appears this event is open to any one of any nationality. The Katowice qualifiers are online in January making it easier for Koreans to participate. Notice IEM Katowice is described as "SC2 returns to Poland for the first major event of the year". Doesn't a GSL count as a major event? When is the first season of GSL 2019 happening?
https://wcs.starcraft2.com/en-us/news/

Blizzard's silence around GSL 2019 qualifiers and the appearance of the web site covering the WCS-Circuit doesn't give good vibes for the GSL in 2019. Fortunately, based on what Blizzard has already announced it looks like WCS-2019 should be good. There is even a cool countdown timer for IEM-Katowice saying it starts in 68 days, XX hours, XX minutes.

So for 2019 we've got some pretty cool stuff for WCS-Circuit and an odd silence around GSL-2019. The longer the silence the more it sounds like the silence surrounding HGC before its cancellation. In any event, we'll probably know in a few weeks what's going on with the GSL.


If they would do the Circuit globally it would actually be kinda fair.

Thinking of WCS tournaments in Katowice, Leipzig, Montreal, Austin, Valencia and Seoul. Open to anyone. No GSL



3 Europe, 2 NA, 1 Korea. How's this fair?

Anyway, this would be bad, we would lose many Koreans. And probably some foreigners.


Serral took the crown from Korea so obviously Korea gets one less and EU one more



But honestly - this solution means we lose plenty of progamers.
1) You give foreigners and Korea the same amount of seeds(with flight cost covered) - unfair to Korea. Many lower Korean players leave. Some foreigners end, not many, but this means reduced seeds -> less money.
2) You give foreigners less seeds than Korea. My estimation is that this means 40-40 loss ratio
3) You give foreigners more seeds than Korea ensuring Korean scene is dead for good.

Also 2 NA 3 Europe 1 Korea means Koreans are travelling the most. We may lose players who don't want to travel or have big issues with jet lag(I doubt WCS will pay for enough hotel time so these players can adapt)

This is similar to putting a patient with dead brain on a life support because his body doesn't know higher brain functionality is gone forever.

Edit> if #1 or #3 would happen my support to Blizzard is gone forever. This would be the last straw for me.


Just to clarify: There is no source, or at least I don't have one. This is just purely speculative
Only thing that is sure is IEM Katowice is flagged as WCS event for everybody including Koreans. The rest of the tournaments I made up or are from this years WCS Circuit.

Anyway, making IEM Katowice a event for everyone leads me to believe this might be what WCS 2019 looks like. Koreans would absolutely need to travel. If Maru doesn't want to travel, he will probalby miss out on a huge portion of the WCS events. Obviously jet lag is a thing and traveling is expensive and tiresome so there would always be the "home" factor to consider
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
December 19 2018 14:23 GMT
#159
Katowice is exactly the same as last year. I can't see any difference. It is open for everyone and is part of WCS. The only information we can get from this announcement is that IEM Katowice 2019 is exactly the same as IEM Katowice 2018, which is good I guess.
KalWarkov
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Germany4126 Posts
December 19 2018 14:58 GMT
#160
to answer the title of the thread:
nothing.
DiaBoLuS ** Sc2 - Protoss: 16x GM | Dota2 - Offlane Immortal | Wc3 - Undead decent level | Diablo nerd | Chess / Magnus fanboy | BVB | Agnostic***
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