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On September 24 2013 19:35 Alvar wrote:
Dingodile, what is wrong with that? Why shouldnt the winners of each season finale be eligible to compete at blizzcon?
Nobody said that the winner (of each season finale) is qualified for Blizzcon. But the points make this way 99%.
Somehow this isnt thrilling.
WCS isnt a weekend tournament, the word "consistency" should play a very big (or biggest) role in a longrun tournament, but if like Inno (as I explained my example) need only good result at one season (also only 33% from the tournament) to qualifiy, then somehow it is wrong.
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On September 24 2013 20:20 Dingodile wrote:Show nested quote +On September 24 2013 19:35 Alvar wrote:
Dingodile, what is wrong with that? Why shouldnt the winners of each season finale be eligible to compete at blizzcon? Nobody said that the winner (of each season finale) is qualified for Blizzcon. But the points make this way 99%. Somehow this isnt thrilling. WCS isnt a weekend tournament, the word "consistency" should play a very big (or biggest) role in a longrun tournament, but if like Inno (as I explained my example) need only good result at one season (also only 33% from the tournament) to qualifiy, then somehow it is wrong.
They might not have said so, but the point structure clearly supports that the winners of each season finale should qualify.
Personaly I would find it weird if they did not get there, they should even be seeded imo, but this works the same way. And besides, its not just inno, if someone that hardly has any wcs-points yet goes on to win season 3 champ title, he/she would most likely also qualify and I would support that, you want the winners fighting for the Blizzcon title together with 13 consistent players (not that the winners cant also be consistent).
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I wonder what will happen if there is a tie between the 16th and the 17th/18th. I guess the points from WCS tournaments would count more than the points from international tournaments but not sure about that. Anyone knows the rules ?
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On September 25 2013 08:24 Boucot wrote:
I wonder what will happen if there is a tie between the 16th and the 17th/18th. I guess the points from WCS tournaments would count more than the points from international tournaments but not sure about that. Anyone knows the rules ?
It's unlikely, but I think a good way to break the tie would be by using the points earned in the last season, so recent results are favored over past results.
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On September 24 2013 17:34 phagga wrote:Show nested quote +Oz, 23185/300000, started with 1100 WCS points, 7.72833%- Hide Spoiler [IF Game Changers] -
Oz starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing DeMusliM, Apocalypse, Suppy
Oz loses this match 53.25% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 0.00%.
Oz wins this match 46.75% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 16.53%. That was the Ro32 Group F (which you claim has been included), and Oz got through.
The Ro16 groups haven't been determined yet, so a player's Ro32 group is used as a placeholder.
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On September 25 2013 09:06 slowbacontron wrote:Show nested quote +On September 24 2013 17:34 phagga wrote:Oz, 23185/300000, started with 1100 WCS points, 7.72833%- Hide Spoiler [IF Game Changers] -
Oz starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing DeMusliM, Apocalypse, Suppy
Oz loses this match 53.25% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 0.00%.
Oz wins this match 46.75% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 16.53%. That was the Ro32 Group F (which you claim has been included), and Oz got through. The Ro16 groups haven't been determined yet, so a player's Ro32 group is used as a placeholder.
It's a bug in the display output, not a bug in the simulation. I should get a chance to do a new update in about 2 hours with all recent results.
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On September 25 2013 09:14 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On September 25 2013 09:06 slowbacontron wrote:On September 24 2013 17:34 phagga wrote:Oz, 23185/300000, started with 1100 WCS points, 7.72833%- Hide Spoiler [IF Game Changers] -
Oz starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing DeMusliM, Apocalypse, Suppy
Oz loses this match 53.25% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 0.00%.
Oz wins this match 46.75% of the time, which changes Oz's chances to 16.53%. That was the Ro32 Group F (which you claim has been included), and Oz got through. The Ro16 groups haven't been determined yet, so a player's Ro32 group is used as a placeholder. It's a bug in the display output, not a bug in the simulation. I should get a chance to do a new update in about 2 hours with all recent results.
Bug in the display output? :O I wasn't aware. Ok then
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updated with the fix on the next match bug where it showed the players from the previous round
also WCS AM group A and WCS EU group A
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On September 24 2013 20:20 Dingodile wrote:Show nested quote +On September 24 2013 19:35 Alvar wrote:
Dingodile, what is wrong with that? Why shouldnt the winners of each season finale be eligible to compete at blizzcon? Nobody said that the winner (of each season finale) is qualified for Blizzcon. But the points make this way 99%. Somehow this isnt thrilling. WCS isnt a weekend tournament, the word "consistency" should play a very big (or biggest) role in a longrun tournament, but if like Inno (as I explained my example) need only good result at one season (also only 33% from the tournament) to qualifiy, then somehow it is wrong.
Innovation has had much more than 1 good result. He's the opposite of a "flash in the pan".
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On September 25 2013 12:22 Bagration wrote:Show nested quote +On September 24 2013 20:20 Dingodile wrote:On September 24 2013 19:35 Alvar wrote:
Dingodile, what is wrong with that? Why shouldnt the winners of each season finale be eligible to compete at blizzcon? Nobody said that the winner (of each season finale) is qualified for Blizzcon. But the points make this way 99%. Somehow this isnt thrilling. WCS isnt a weekend tournament, the word "consistency" should play a very big (or biggest) role in a longrun tournament, but if like Inno (as I explained my example) need only good result at one season (also only 33% from the tournament) to qualifiy, then somehow it is wrong. Innovation has had much more than 1 good result. He's the opposite of a "flash in the pan".
I agree, Blizzcon would not be complete without Innovation.
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On September 25 2013 08:28 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On September 25 2013 08:24 Boucot wrote:
I wonder what will happen if there is a tie between the 16th and the 17th/18th. I guess the points from WCS tournaments would count more than the points from international tournaments but not sure about that. Anyone knows the rules ? It's unlikely, but I think a good way to break the tie would be by using the points earned in the last season, so recent results are favored over past results.
The better way would be a BO5 between the involved players :D
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On September 26 2013 02:09 Boucot wrote:Show nested quote +On September 25 2013 08:28 Die4Ever wrote:On September 25 2013 08:24 Boucot wrote:
I wonder what will happen if there is a tie between the 16th and the 17th/18th. I guess the points from WCS tournaments would count more than the points from international tournaments but not sure about that. Anyone knows the rules ? It's unlikely, but I think a good way to break the tie would be by using the points earned in the last season, so recent results are favored over past results. The better way would be a BO5 between the involved players :D
This ^
I mean common what better way to decide a tie than a tie breaker series? 
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The race is getting REALLY intense now 
MC just barely passed Naniwa in points, but both players still have games to play.
Also Rain, by winning kr group b, has tied Naniwa at 2750 points.
This is so exciting!
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On September 26 2013 09:43 painkilla wrote:Mvp has same points as sOs currently but in the WCS ranking sOs place higher. What is the tie breaker here? Not the alphabet for sure. http://wcs.battle.net/sc2/en/standings
why would you even care about that ?
Its just the way the entries were done with MySQL probably.
Also tomorrow and the day after are the the days  ForGG and  finale will probably solve their conflic.
Both have their destiny in their hands now (literally).
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United States23455 Posts
On September 26 2013 06:03 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:The race is getting REALLY intense now MC just barely passed Naniwa in points, but both players still have games to play. Also Rain, by winning kr group b, has tied Naniwa at 2750 points. This is so exciting!
Naniwa will have to do well at IEM or he will likely be outstripped by both MC and Rain.
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Preview for the next update, with some better filtering on the game changers. Revival's is particularly interesting since he's out of WCS and now relies on the placings of other players.
+ Show Spoiler [preview] +MC, 192464/300000, started with 2275 WCS points, 64.1547%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +MC starts in the round of 8 in Europe Premier
MC loses this match 50.08% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
MC wins this match 49.92% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 99.74%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
This happens 25.03% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.02%.
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 50.08% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.24%.
----MMA Acer gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 2.58% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 4.18%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.72% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 7.99%.
----MC gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.20% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.04%.
----MC gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 24.96% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 24.97% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.49%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.44% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.97%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.62%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.10% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.08%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.09% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.07%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.06% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.03%.
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.52%.
Rain SKT1, 190423/300000, started with 2250 WCS points, 63.4743%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Rain SKT1 starts in the round of 8 in Korea Premier
Rain SKT1 loses this match 50.06% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
Rain SKT1 wins this match 49.94% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.72%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
This happens 25.04% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.70%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.06% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 12.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.59%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.22% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 2.34%.
----PartinG gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 1.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.29%.
----Flash KT gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.98% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.35%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.29% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 97.50%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 25.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 24.94% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.43%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.48% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 98.87%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 21.41%.
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 25.18%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.57% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 94.90%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.64% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.69%.
Revival, 161622/300000, started with 2900 WCS points, 53.874%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +----Revival gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 100.00%.
----Revival gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 91.51%.
----Scarlett gets 4th place in America Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.01%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.33% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.60%.
----Revival gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 1.73% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 82.61%.
----NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 6.30% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 31.55%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 33.04%.
----Revival gets 8th place in IEM
This happens 3.42% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 75.73%.
----INnoVation gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.97% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 72.15%.
----Jaedong gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.93%.
----HerO Liquid gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.54%.
----Soulkey WJS gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 3.86% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.80%.
----Polt gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.31% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.68%.
----TaeJa gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.18% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.30%.
ForGG, 112491/300000, started with 1950 WCS points, 37.497%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +ForGG starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
ForGG loses this match 49.85% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
ForGG wins this match 50.14% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 68.40%.
----ForGG gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 98.45%.
----ForGG gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.58% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.50% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.07%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.28% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.05%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.95% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.06%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.85% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.97% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.53%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.68% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.09%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.00% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.52%.
----ForGG gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.99% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
----ForGG gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----Genius gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.22%.
Maru Prime, 112158/300000, started with 2425 WCS points, 37.386%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Maru Prime starts in the round of 16 in Korea Premier facing PartinG, Flash KT, KangHo
Maru Prime loses this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
Maru Prime wins this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 71.50%.
----Maru Prime gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.18%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 12.51% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 6.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.99%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 97.95%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 1.96% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.01%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
----Maru Prime gets 4th place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 0.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 3.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 95.89%.
----PartinG gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----KangHo gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 9.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 87.51%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 96.66%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 94.84%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 83.67%.
duckdeok, 100219/300000, started with 2300 WCS points, 33.4063%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +duckdeok starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
duckdeok loses this match 49.95% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
duckdeok wins this match 50.05% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 65.21%.
----duckdeok gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.58% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 98.00%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.52% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.50% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.66%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.33%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 95.65%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.95% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in IEM
----duckdeok gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.21% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 0.27% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.88%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 0.63% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.09%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 3.13% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 91.31%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.86% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 93.85%.
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 7.07% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.68%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 67.21%.
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United States23455 Posts
On September 26 2013 12:29 Die4Ever wrote:Preview for the next update, with some better filtering on the game changers. Revival's is particularly interesting since he's out of WCS and now relies on the placings of other players. + Show Spoiler [preview] +MC, 192464/300000, started with 2275 WCS points, 64.1547%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +MC starts in the round of 8 in Europe Premier
MC loses this match 50.08% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
MC wins this match 49.92% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 99.74%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
This happens 25.03% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.02%.
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 50.08% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.24%.
----MMA Acer gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 2.58% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 4.18%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.72% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 7.99%.
----MC gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.20% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.04%.
----MC gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 24.96% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 24.97% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.49%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.44% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.97%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.62%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.10% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.08%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.09% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.07%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.06% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.03%.
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.52%.
Rain SKT1, 190423/300000, started with 2250 WCS points, 63.4743%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Rain SKT1 starts in the round of 8 in Korea Premier
Rain SKT1 loses this match 50.06% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
Rain SKT1 wins this match 49.94% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.72%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
This happens 25.04% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.70%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.06% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 12.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.59%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.22% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 2.34%.
----PartinG gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 1.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.29%.
----Flash KT gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.98% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.35%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.29% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 97.50%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 25.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 24.94% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.43%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.48% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 98.87%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 21.41%.
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 25.18%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.57% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 94.90%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.64% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.69%.
Revival, 161622/300000, started with 2900 WCS points, 53.874%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +----Revival gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 100.00%.
----Revival gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 91.51%.
----Scarlett gets 4th place in America Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.01%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.33% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.60%.
----Revival gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 1.73% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 82.61%.
----NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 6.30% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 31.55%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 33.04%.
----Revival gets 8th place in IEM
This happens 3.42% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 75.73%.
----INnoVation gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.97% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 72.15%.
----Jaedong gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.93%.
----HerO Liquid gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.54%.
----Soulkey WJS gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 3.86% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.80%.
----Polt gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.31% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.68%.
----TaeJa gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.18% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.30%.
ForGG, 112491/300000, started with 1950 WCS points, 37.497%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +ForGG starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
ForGG loses this match 49.85% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
ForGG wins this match 50.14% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 68.40%.
----ForGG gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 98.45%.
----ForGG gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.58% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.50% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.07%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.28% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.05%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.95% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.06%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.85% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.97% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.53%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.68% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.09%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.00% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.52%.
----ForGG gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.99% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
----ForGG gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----Genius gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.22%.
Maru Prime, 112158/300000, started with 2425 WCS points, 37.386%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Maru Prime starts in the round of 16 in Korea Premier facing PartinG, Flash KT, KangHo
Maru Prime loses this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
Maru Prime wins this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 71.50%.
----Maru Prime gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.18%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 12.51% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 6.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.99%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 97.95%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 1.96% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.01%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
----Maru Prime gets 4th place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 0.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 3.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 95.89%.
----PartinG gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----KangHo gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 9.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 87.51%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 96.66%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 94.84%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 83.67%.
duckdeok, 100219/300000, started with 2300 WCS points, 33.4063%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +duckdeok starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
duckdeok loses this match 49.95% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
duckdeok wins this match 50.05% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 65.21%.
----duckdeok gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.58% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 98.00%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.52% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.50% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.66%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.33%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 95.65%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.95% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in IEM
----duckdeok gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.21% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 0.27% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.88%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 0.63% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.09%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 3.13% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 91.31%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.86% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 93.85%.
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 7.07% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.68%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 67.21%.
Read Revival's and got a headache. Interesting stuff! Will be up to his performance at IEM and depending on that he may need some help from others in WCS.
|
On September 26 2013 12:41 Darkhoarse wrote:
Read Revival's and got a headache. Interesting stuff! Will be up to his performance at IEM and depending on that he may need some help from others in WCS.
How about colors?
edit: I feel like the colors pull my eyes to the right more, so maybe I should add more hyphens in front of the events to line them up better? like
---------------------------------------Revival gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 91.51%.
+ Show Spoiler [preview] +Revival, 161622/300000, started with 2900 WCS points, 53.874%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +----Revival gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 100.00%.
----Revival gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 91.51%.
----Scarlett gets 4th place in America Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.78% of the time. When it does, it decreases Revival's chances to 21.01%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.33% of the time. When it does, it decreases Revival's chances to 21.60%.
----Revival gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 1.73% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 82.61%.
----NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 6.30% of the time. When it does, it decreases Revival's chances to 31.55%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it decreases Revival's chances to 33.04%.
----Revival gets 8th place in IEM
This happens 3.42% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 75.73%.
----INnoVation gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.97% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 72.15%.
----Jaedong gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 71.93%.
----HerO Liquid gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 71.54%.
----Soulkey WJS gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 3.86% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 70.80%.
----Polt gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.31% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 70.68%.
----TaeJa gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.18% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 70.30%.
|
On September 26 2013 12:41 Darkhoarse wrote:Show nested quote +On September 26 2013 12:29 Die4Ever wrote:Preview for the next update, with some better filtering on the game changers. Revival's is particularly interesting since he's out of WCS and now relies on the placings of other players. + Show Spoiler [preview] +MC, 192464/300000, started with 2275 WCS points, 64.1547%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +MC starts in the round of 8 in Europe Premier
MC loses this match 50.08% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
MC wins this match 49.92% of the time, which changes MC's chances to 99.74%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
This happens 25.03% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.02%.
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 50.08% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 28.68%.
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 6.24%.
----MMA Acer gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 2nd place in Europe Placement
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 2.58% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 4.18%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.72% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 7.99%.
----MC gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.20% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.04%.
----MC gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 24.96% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 100.00%.
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 24.97% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.49%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.44% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 98.97%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.62%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.10% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.08%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.09% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.07%.
----MC gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 8th place in Europe Premier
This happens 10.06% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.03%.
----TitaN RoX.Kis gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.28% of the time. When it does, it changes MC's chances to 99.52%.
Rain SKT1, 190423/300000, started with 2250 WCS points, 63.4743%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Rain SKT1 starts in the round of 8 in Korea Premier
Rain SKT1 loses this match 50.06% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
Rain SKT1 wins this match 49.94% of the time, which changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.72%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
This happens 25.04% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.70%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.06% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 27.32%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 12.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 4.59%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.22% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 2.34%.
----PartinG gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 1.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.29%.
----Flash KT gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.98% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 5.35%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 31.29% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 97.50%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 25.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 100.00%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 24.94% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.43%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.48% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 98.87%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 21.41%.
----KangHo gets 1st place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 25.18%.
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.57% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 94.90%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Placement
----Rain SKT1 gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 4.64% of the time. When it does, it changes Rain SKT1's chances to 99.69%.
Revival, 161622/300000, started with 2900 WCS points, 53.874%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +----Revival gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 100.00%.
----Revival gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 91.51%.
----Scarlett gets 4th place in America Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 0.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.01%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.33% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 21.60%.
----Revival gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 1.73% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 82.61%.
----NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 6.30% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 31.55%.
----Scarlett gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 9.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 33.04%.
----Revival gets 8th place in IEM
This happens 3.42% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 75.73%.
----INnoVation gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.97% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 72.15%.
----Jaedong gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.93%.
----HerO Liquid gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 71.54%.
----Soulkey WJS gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 3.86% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.80%.
----Polt gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 2.31% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.68%.
----TaeJa gets 1st place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 1.18% of the time. When it does, it changes Revival's chances to 70.30%.
ForGG, 112491/300000, started with 1950 WCS points, 37.497%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +ForGG starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
ForGG loses this match 49.85% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
ForGG wins this match 50.14% of the time, which changes ForGG's chances to 68.40%.
----ForGG gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 98.45%.
----ForGG gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.49% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.58% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 9.50% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.54%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.07%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.28% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.05%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.95% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.06%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.85% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 6.42%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.97% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.53%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in Europe Placement
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 4.68% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.09%.
----ForGG gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 16th place in IEM
----Genius gets 16th place in Europe Premier
----ShoWTimE ESC gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 3.00% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 97.52%.
----ForGG gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.99% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----ForGG gets 1st place in IEM
----ForGG gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 100.00%.
----Genius gets 4th place in Europe Placement
----ForGG gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 0.77% of the time. When it does, it changes ForGG's chances to 99.22%.
Maru Prime, 112158/300000, started with 2425 WCS points, 37.386%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +Maru Prime starts in the round of 16 in Korea Premier facing PartinG, Flash KT, KangHo
Maru Prime loses this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
Maru Prime wins this match 50.00% of the time, which changes Maru Prime's chances to 71.50%.
----Maru Prime gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.66% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.78% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.18%.
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 12.67% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 12.51% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Korea Premier
This happens 50.00% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 3.28%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 4th place in Korea Premier
This happens 6.34% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.99%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 97.95%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 1.96% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 99.01%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
----Maru Prime gets 4th place or better in Korea Premier
This happens 0.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 100.00%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
This happens 3.12% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 95.89%.
----PartinG gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----KangHo gets 16th place in Korea Premier
----Rain SKT1 gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 9.45% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 87.51%.
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.89% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 96.66%.
----Maru Prime gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----Maru Prime gets 1st place in Korea Placement
----PartinG gets 8th place in Korea Premier
This happens 0.37% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 94.84%.
----Maru Prime gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes Maru Prime's chances to 83.67%.
duckdeok, 100219/300000, started with 2300 WCS points, 33.4063%+ Show Spoiler [IF Game Changers] +duckdeok starts in the round of 16 in Europe Premier
duckdeok loses this match 49.95% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
duckdeok wins this match 50.05% of the time, which changes duckdeok's chances to 65.21%.
----duckdeok gets 8th place or better in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.58% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 15.70% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 98.00%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 12.52% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 12.50% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.66%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in Europe Premier
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.33%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 6.26% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 95.65%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 49.95% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.54%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place or better in IEM
----duckdeok gets 4th place or better in Europe Premier
This happens 0.21% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 4th place in IEM
This happens 0.27% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.88%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place or better in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.14% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 100.00%.
----Starbuck gets 8th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
This happens 0.63% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 99.09%.
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Season 3 Finals
----duckdeok gets 1st place in Europe Placement
This happens 3.13% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 91.31%.
----duckdeok gets 1st place in IEM
This happens 0.86% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 93.85%.
----Starbuck gets 4th place in Europe Premier
----MC gets 8th place in Europe Premier
----duckdeok gets 16th place in Europe Premier
This happens 7.07% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 1.68%.
----duckdeok gets 2nd place in IEM
This happens 0.88% of the time. When it does, it changes duckdeok's chances to 67.21%.
Read Revival's and got a headache. Interesting stuff! Will be up to his performance at IEM and depending on that he may need some help from others in WCS.
Revival pretty much needs those that are already above him to clean sweep all of the Region Finals Spots, thus making all of the major point jumps unavailable. Which, given some of the players involved, was always going to be likely for a few people. Soulkey & Innovation both making a run to the Finals of GSL Code S would make Revival's chances greatly improve. With there being a good chance of some collection of Jaedong, Hero, Polt, Taeja, Soulkey & Innovation being back in the Season Finals, Revival probably makes it in, but he could have still helped himself.
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EPT
