You're Telling Me There's a Chance - WCS points at DreamHa…

On September 13 2013 07:42 Osiccor wrote:
Instead of talking about the improbable, what are naniwa's chance that he will make it to the world final at Blizzcon which I believe is far from a sure thing.

On September 13 2013 07:20 carlfish wrote:


This misses the fact that top 5 automatically get a minimum of 500 points from the season finals, up to 3000 more points for winning them. So it's more like:

1st - 2000 to 4500 points
2nd - 1500 to 4000
3rd-4th - 1250 to 3750
5th (KR, EU) 5th-6th (NA) - 1000 to 3500
6/7th - 8th - 500
9th-12th - 300
13th-16th - 200
17th-24th - 150
25th-32nd - 100

On September 13 2013 06:28 Waxangel wrote:


I should have fit this into the article somewhere

<img src="http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/silverfire/MLGDallas2013/D2/P1/513_02656_t.jpg" width="300px;">

I wanted to fit this in too but couldn't figure out how to banner it

On September 13 2013 06:43 Bumblebee wrote:
"Chance of qualifying for World Finals: The same chance that the Papa John's showmatch between EG vs. TeamLiquid will actually happen this year."

So I guess it's very very likely, not to say 100 % that TLO will qualify for BlizzCon?

On September 13 2013 08:16 shid0x wrote:
I like how there's no article about forgg when he is the one guy that is just below the qualifying line.

On September 13 2013 07:43 Boucot wrote:

He has to make a top 2 at IEM NY. Basically.

On September 13 2013 06:48 Prog455 wrote:

Definitely

EDIT: I spoke too soon, but he have to place highly in both Code S and Season 3 Finals.

On September 13 2013 08:39 MysterySC wrote:
Ok. How is alive higher than Mvp in this :$ seriously

On September 13 2013 07:42 Latham wrote:
I probably LOLed too hard than I should have at Grubby's chance

HAHHAHAH

On September 13 2013 06:59 Nerchio wrote:
Ctrl + F : Nerchio
1 record : "Logout: Nerchio"
What an awful article!

Edit: Although i have to admit those notes about their chances are hilarous

On September 13 2013 08:27 Jacmert wrote:

No; he'll only get knocked out if 5 people from the bottom 16 manage to jump up into the top 16, right?

On September 13 2013 08:55 Die4Ever wrote:

you have about an 8.56% chance

On September 13 2013 08:27 Jacmert wrote:

No; he'll only get knocked out if 5 people from the bottom 16 manage to jump up into the top 16, right?

So really, Naniwa's chances of making the global finals is the same as the chance that no more than 4 people in the bottom 16 are able to jump into the top 16. Another way to look at it is if all the big WCS point grabs are taken by people already in the top 16 (or those already ahead of Naniwa), then he should be pretty safe. In other words, cheer for Revival and above

EDIT: Actually, I think the only legitimate contenders in the bottom 16 for qualifying for the Global Finals are those still in WCS. That means: ForGG, Scarlett, HyuN, KangHo, MMA, and Welmu. That's 6 players. Also, First and TLO, while knocked out of WCS, are still close enough to Naniwa that they could overtake him if they place really highly (like 1st, or two 2nd place finishes) in Bucharest and NYC. But if we just take the players still in WCS, that's 6 players that need to do well in WCS. I think odds are that fewer than 5 of them will end up making deep runs.