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WCS Win Rates - Page 13

Forum Index > SC2 General
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chris5180
Profile Joined July 2012
198 Posts
August 01 2012 14:17 GMT
#241
wow this is really interesting and really cool thanks for posting it!
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
August 01 2012 14:17 GMT
#242
On August 01 2012 23:15 znow1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 07:31 MCXD wrote:
This is actually misleading, because terran is very underrepresented in america and europe (esp at high levels). Regardless of balance, it's expected statistically that there would be less terrans. For that reason alone, the statistics here can't be trusted to make the point that terran is underpowered.

Furthermore, if you look at korean matchup statistics recently, everything is actually pretty close to 50%.


Thats a false statement to make, a couple of months ago terran were really overrepresented in Europe

The people in this thread would have you believe that the game should only be balanced for the "highest level" but then turn around and defend the Queen change, which DRG himself described as being needless for his own play, as he'd already worked out how to defend Hellions without much difficulty. The Queen buff was undeniably aimed at something other than Code S level Zergs, because none of them were getting crushed by Hellion runbys. So, do you Zerg players actually want balance at the highest level, or only when it suits you?

Aunvilgod
Profile Joined December 2011
2653 Posts
August 01 2012 14:21 GMT
#243
Only korea is relevant. Everybody else just doen´t know how to play their race to the full potential and thus their data is irrelevant.

Korean statistics look probably only worse.
ilovegroov | Blizzards mapmaker(s?) suck ass | #1 Protoss hater
znow1
Profile Joined January 2012
54 Posts
August 01 2012 14:21 GMT
#244
On August 01 2012 23:17 Shiori wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 23:15 znow1 wrote:
On August 01 2012 07:31 MCXD wrote:
This is actually misleading, because terran is very underrepresented in america and europe (esp at high levels). Regardless of balance, it's expected statistically that there would be less terrans. For that reason alone, the statistics here can't be trusted to make the point that terran is underpowered.

Furthermore, if you look at korean matchup statistics recently, everything is actually pretty close to 50%.


Thats a false statement to make, a couple of months ago terran were really overrepresented in Europe

The people in this thread would have you believe that the game should only be balanced for the "highest level" but then turn around and defend the Queen change, which DRG himself described as being needless for his own play, as he'd already worked out how to defend Hellions without much difficulty. The Queen buff was undeniably aimed at something other than Code S level Zergs, because none of them were getting crushed by Hellion runbys. So, do you Zerg players actually want balance at the highest level, or only when it suits you?


Dont ask me, I´m terran.
Snowbear
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Korea (South)1925 Posts
August 01 2012 14:25 GMT
#245
On August 01 2012 23:21 Aunvilgod wrote:
Only korea is relevant. Everybody else just doen´t know how to play their race to the full potential and thus their data is irrelevant.

Korean statistics look probably only worse.


In EU and NA you see protoss and zergs dominating. Why is this? Because if you take a terran and a zerg/protoss, then the terran has it much harder then the other player. Every terran that is not a progamer suffers from this. Even the EU and NA terrans suffer from this. The korean terrans are seriously gods, nothing more to say. I always wondered how mkp would look with z (splitting banelings instead of 1aing them in a ball, even nestea does this).

Foreign zergs and protoss players better hope that HOTS doesn't make terran viable lategame...
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
August 01 2012 14:27 GMT
#246
On August 01 2012 23:21 Aunvilgod wrote:
Only korea is relevant. Everybody else just doen´t know how to play their race to the full potential and thus their data is irrelevant.

Korean statistics look probably only worse.

See, while I agree with this mentality, accepting it totally undermined the rationale for the Queen buff to begin with, because Korean Zergs were never the ones having problems with Hellion openers/runbys. It was only ever the foreigners.
mazqo
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland368 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 14:27:54
August 01 2012 14:27 GMT
#247
People really need to stop saying that terran will figure something out and make ravens. Did zerg figure something when they played roach hydra corruptor in ZvP? No, blizzard buffed infestors. Did zerg figure something when terrans camped with planetaries and ghosts and sniped everything? No, blizzard nerfed that strategy to the ground.

Other thing zergs say "terran players still plays the same hellion openings instead of figuring something new out". But you dont understand that hellions are THE ONLY counter to mass ling+bane "allins".

Ok lets imagine terrans will start using ravens. How do you think games will go? There is no more early or midgame. There is only boring +30min games where terran just camps with planetaries and has atleast 3 techlab starports and few with reactors. Terran has no tech switch capability of Zerg. And it takes 90 seconds with energy ugprade to get energy for HSM.

I dont know about you guys, but i rather watch and play games like MMA vs Gumiho(bio vs mech tvt) than games where you sit 30mins doing nothing and one fight decides the game (mech vs mech tvt).
Dragar
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom971 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 14:31:22
August 01 2012 14:29 GMT
#248
On August 01 2012 23:15 znow1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 07:31 MCXD wrote:
This is actually misleading, because terran is very underrepresented in america and europe (esp at high levels). Regardless of balance, it's expected statistically that there would be less terrans. For that reason alone, the statistics here can't be trusted to make the point that terran is underpowered.

Furthermore, if you look at korean matchup statistics recently, everything is actually pretty close to 50%.


Thats a false statement to make, a couple of months ago terran were really overrepresented in Europe


It's a bit more complicated than either under represented or over represented. What is true is that for patch 1.4.1, Terran had much fewer players in every league apart from Bronze and, curiously, Master league in Europe.

In other words, Terran had far more players playing casually (I don't believe anyone in Bronze can be actually playing seriously), and an unusually high ratio of masters players to players in the lower leagues.
xelnaga_empire
Profile Joined March 2012
627 Posts
August 01 2012 14:34 GMT
#249
Yup, it's true that Terran is the weakest race right now. I'm not surprised by the WCS results. Terran takes the most skill to play but because of all the nerfs, the top Terran pros are losing. The game is simply balanced against Terran as it is. There is not much the top Terrans can do except wait for Blizzard to make some proper balance changes.
stfouri
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland272 Posts
August 01 2012 14:37 GMT
#250
Oh I must resist my interwebs trolling skills, must resist.
Ill go with zerg and protoss players, there are just too few relevant terrans in EU/NA/SEA.
Terran also needs to learn to use ravens and HSM, it destroys infestors.
Wait for TLPD and stop whining, I think terrans need 6months to figure things out.
Zerg didnt receive any buffs and terran only got buffs and still zerg managed to figure out terran, why can't terrans do the same!!!
carloselcoco
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2302 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 14:42:02
August 01 2012 14:41 GMT
#251
Please learn how to spell a country's name correctly dude... I feel insulted by you spelling Colombia as Columbia...
Also, the winning rates for Colombia can't be taken into account because only like four players that took part in them were in Masters. There were like 60% in Platinum or lower, that percent is probably higher...
http://www.twitch.tv/carloselcoco/b/296431601 <------Suscribe! Casts in Spanish :) |||| http://www.twitch.tv/carloselcoco/b/300285215<----- CSL: Before Sunday! Episode 3!
bokchoi
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Korea (South)9498 Posts
August 01 2012 14:43 GMT
#252
People need to stop acting like there being more accomplished Z/P pro players abroad is a new statistic. For whatever reason you want to use, Terrans have always been much more successful in Korea than abroad. Same was true in BW. In BW, it was argued that most foreign Terrans were just bad, or playing the game wrong. Could the same be said about Foreign Terrans in SC2? Who knows.

What I do know is. After any major patch/change there is always a period for figuring things out. Some players were stubborn and chose to only whine, while other players tried to adapt and make changes to their play. Terran players (at least in Korea) seem to have started to figure out the things they can and can't do with the new changes and what to do and what not to do. Although the queen change seemed extreme, it seems to be balancing itself out.

Also, given that winning %s were so skewed in the favor of Terran for a good part of 2 years. Terran players should chill out and take the few months of pain ;D
Scrubwave
Profile Joined July 2010
Poland1786 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 14:46:58
August 01 2012 14:43 GMT
#253
--- Nuked ---
m0ck
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
4194 Posts
August 01 2012 14:44 GMT
#254
On August 01 2012 23:09 Shiori wrote:
I like how people blindly point to Korean Terrans doing well without considering the competition at all. Who is actually doing consistently great as a Terran against Zerg? Like, all the time against the highest level Zergs? I haven't seen anyone. MKP drops games to Idra now, Taeja has mostly been simply outclassing his opponents, etc. etc. Who exactly is crushing face as a Korean Terran on a regular basis (not some freak win once in awhile and discarding every game they lose).

There is no blindly pointing to terran results, there is the simple fact that Korean terrans seemingly are doing fine in in every competition. In GSL, GSTL, MLG, WCG, WCS, OGS, TSL, IEM & IPL terrans are all well represented and are competitive in qualifiers.

If you're asking who the terran is, who has the 70-80% winrate against zerg now? It's taeja. Oh, he doesn't count? Well, maybe then there aren't one. But tough titty, there were NEVER any zerg players who could put up those kind of numbers against terran. Never. Statistically, ZvT is DRGs worst match-up..
spbelky
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States623 Posts
August 01 2012 14:46 GMT
#255
On August 01 2012 23:37 stfouri wrote:
Oh I must resist my interwebs trolling skills, must resist.
Ill go with zerg and protoss players, there are just too few relevant terrans in EU/NA/SEA.
Terran also needs to learn to use ravens and HSM, it destroys infestors.
Wait for TLPD and stop whining, I think terrans need 6months to figure things out.
Zerg didnt receive any buffs and terran only got buffs and still zerg managed to figure out terran, why can't terrans do the same!!!


obviously didn't resist hard enough
keglu
Profile Joined June 2011
Poland485 Posts
August 01 2012 14:57 GMT
#256
Terran was always Korean race. Even in 2011 in premier and major tournamentsm for non Koreans , Terran was least succesfull race in terms of Top2 positions.

You cant balance game on all levels when one race scales so much better with players skill then others 2. Blizzard probably understands this based on their warhound design lol.... Its the shame they dont take aproach of giving Z/P more tools for players to shine instead of dumbing down Terran.



On August 01 2012 18:19 Decendos wrote:
so basically there were 45 of 216 player in top 8 which is about 21% of all players and they won 18%. now thats a huge imbalance...NOT. just wait for the TLPD stats with the best players in it and not some random stats which even say 20% of the players won 20%.


Problem is why there were only 21% in Top8
spbelky
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States623 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 15:03:53
August 01 2012 14:58 GMT
#257
On August 01 2012 23:44 m0ck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 23:09 Shiori wrote:
I like how people blindly point to Korean Terrans doing well without considering the competition at all. Who is actually doing consistently great as a Terran against Zerg? Like, all the time against the highest level Zergs? I haven't seen anyone. MKP drops games to Idra now, Taeja has mostly been simply outclassing his opponents, etc. etc. Who exactly is crushing face as a Korean Terran on a regular basis (not some freak win once in awhile and discarding every game they lose).

There is no blindly pointing to terran results, there is the simple fact that Korean terrans seemingly are doing fine in in every competition. In GSL, GSTL, MLG, WCG, WCS, OGS, TSL, IEM & IPL terrans are all well represented and are competitive in qualifiers.

If you're asking who the terran is, who has the 70-80% winrate against zerg now? It's taeja. Oh, he doesn't count? Well, maybe then there aren't one. But tough titty, there were NEVER any zerg players who could put up those kind of numbers against terran. Never. Statistically, ZvT is DRGs worst match-up..


Yea, because FruitDealer didn't go 11-2 vs T in GSL season 1,
Nestea didn't go 10-3 vs T in GSL season 2,
Symbol until recently was over 70% win vs T, hes at a measly 69% now.

edit: not to mention, both FruitDealer and Nestea did this when T was clearly OP. How did they do this? they simply had the best understanding of how to play the game in comparison to everyone else. Right now, Taeja is stomping face simply because he gets it. There is something he see when he looks at the screen that everyone else is missing. His success has nothing to do with what race his plays, it's simply Taeja is an amazing player.
keglu
Profile Joined June 2011
Poland485 Posts
August 01 2012 15:00 GMT
#258
On August 01 2012 21:02 NEEDZMOAR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 07:32 BronzeKnee wrote:
Let me calculate how many Terrans there were...

There were no random players from any of the South American countries. 18 or 72 (25%) were Terran meaning 54 (75%) were Protoss or Zerg.

There were no random players from any of the North American countries. 36 of 128 (28%) were Terran meaning 92 (72%) were Protoss or Zerg.

There were no random players from any of the European countries. 47 of 200 (24%) were Terran meaning 153 (76%) were Protoss or Zerg.

In total 25% of the players from these qualifiers were Terran, meaning 75% were from another race (Protoss or Zerg). There were no random players.

Forget skill, fact is, after calculating these statistics I actually believe Terran is doing better than the other races statistically, and is outperforming their sample size!

Take a look at France. Of 16 players, 2 were Terrans (12.5%) and yet we had a Terran taking 2nd place. In Sweden we had 3 Terrans out of 16 players, and a Terran won the tournament. In Norway we had 3 Terrans out of 16 players and a Terran came in 2nd. In Poland we have 1 Terran player out of 8 players, and he came in third. In addition Terrans won in Finland (had 5 out of 16), Spain (had 5 out of 16), and came in second in Italy (had 3 out of 8) and Russia (had 4 out of 16). In Ukraine they took 3rd and 4th with 3 of 8 being Terran players.

In general, Terrans did well with podium finishes in countries they were well represented in. In countries they were poorly represented they did not fair so well, but had some strong finishes as I pointed out (Sweden, Norway and Poland). There was simply a lack of Terrans in general. For instance, the Belgium qualifier had no Terrans at all in it (4 Protoss, 4 Zerg), yet somehow it becomes more evidence of how Terrans are failing to make the finals? Combined Europe had just 1 Terran player of 16 players.

Finally, 24% of the players were Terran in Europe, yet 8 made the finals out of 32 total. 8 divided by 32 is .25, meaning that 25% of the players in the finals are Terran. Thus 24% of the players in the qualifiers were Terran, while 25% in the finals are Terran. Terran obviously did fine in the qualifiers.

The South American finals were a different story (only 2 of 16 were Terran, while 25% of the players in the qualifiers were Terran), but a Terran took the silver there anyway (and it ends up being 1 Terran, 1 Zerg and 1 Protoss coming out of SA for the World Championship when only 25% of players were Terran in the first place!).

So yes, Terran came in underrepresented, but they are actually performing quite well and taking more than their fair share of spots based on the statistics!

Anyone can cherry pick facts all they want, but anyone who takes the time to look at them can see what is misleading.



I feel like this should be added to OP to prevent posters from repeating themselves.


It should not since its not true unless overall Terran representaion was about 20% which does not seems to be true based on numbers above.
Nabes
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1800 Posts
August 01 2012 15:01 GMT
#259
I believe terran is just the hardest race to play in general, in the micro,macro and strategy department. When i think of top north american pros the only ones that come to my mind are zerg/protoss, is this a coincidence? Terrans do well in korea because they have the actual mechanical skill to compete.
BlitzerSC
Profile Joined May 2011
Italy8800 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-01 15:13:09
August 01 2012 15:11 GMT
#260
On August 01 2012 23:44 m0ck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 23:09 Shiori wrote:
I like how people blindly point to Korean Terrans doing well without considering the competition at all. Who is actually doing consistently great as a Terran against Zerg? Like, all the time against the highest level Zergs? I haven't seen anyone. MKP drops games to Idra now, Taeja has mostly been simply outclassing his opponents, etc. etc. Who exactly is crushing face as a Korean Terran on a regular basis (not some freak win once in awhile and discarding every game they lose).

There is no blindly pointing to terran results, there is the simple fact that Korean terrans seemingly are doing fine in in every competition. In GSL, GSTL, MLG, WCG, WCS, OGS, TSL, IEM & IPL terrans are all well represented and are competitive in qualifiers.

If you're asking who the terran is, who has the 70-80% winrate against zerg now? It's taeja. Oh, he doesn't count? Well, maybe then there aren't one. But tough titty, there were NEVER any zerg players who could put up those kind of numbers against terran. Never. Statistically, ZvT is DRGs worst match-up..


Well represented ( terran is not well represented at all, but whatever ) =/= balanced.

The problem is that right now the Zerg has the upper hands all games long. If you try to macro you will lose because terran macro is inferior to zerg macro ( it's a FACT ), if you try to go for early harass you will either kill a few drones ( with few I mean less than 5 ) or even none. Terran also isn't flexible and can't handle the other races techswitches fast enough. The game concept is flawed and right now Zerg is in fact overpowered ( OMG I said it ), it's starting to get really boring to watch and to play.

Now, to all the people who says that Terran not being well represented doesn't show a really bad balance situation, let's go back when the game was released ( first GSL ). The ladder was FULL of terran, the pros were almost all terran but a zerg still managed to win the GSL. Today the ladder is FULL of zerg, the pros are almost all protoss or zerg ( there aren't many good terran players ) and Terran players aren't winning the most prestigious SC2 tournament on the planet.
Back then everyone agreed that T was OP ( and it got nerfed ), but today we see Zerg players say that the game is fine as it is, well let me tell you something: You are all hypocrites.
Enjoy your game where both the players only macro for 50 minutes without doing anything else.
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