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MSI MGA Grand Finals 2015

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
1 2 3 4 5 60 61 62 Next
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-30 08:53:48
August 28 2015 08:10 GMT
#1
[image loading]

Sunday, Aug 30 3:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena
Preview


[image loading]
Host: Chobra
Casters/Analysts: ToD | RotterdaM | Axeltoss

uk Main Stream


[image loading]

Group A:
(Z)Hydra - (T)INnoVation - (P)MacSed - (P)Has
Group B:
(P)PartinG - (Z)HyuN - (Z)FireCake - (Z)Ian
Group C:
(P)sOs - (Z)Solar - (P)Harstem - (Z)TooDming
Group D:
(T)Polt - (Z)Jaedong - (Z)Petraeus - (Z)viOLet


[image loading]
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena#Group_Stage
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-28 14:34:39
August 28 2015 08:21 GMT
#2
MSI Masters hasn't had a lot of buzz, but these WCS Points could be very important for Jaedong, Solar, Hyun, and sOs since he replaced Zest.

sOs, currently at 2400 WCS Points, got a huge boost just by replacing Zest, he went from 27.48% Blizzcon Chances up to 51.13%. However, if sOs loses in the first round then he goes 27.38%. Just advancing a single round (8th place) would put sOs at 50.41%, and a 1st place would put him at 97.4%. If he gets 8th in MSI and 16th in GSL then he goes down to 16.87%. If he gets an 8th in MSI, GSL, and Dreamhack, then he goes up to 94.96%.

Jaedong is at 11.82% with 1525 WCS Points. He's not really on the edge yet, so a 16th place here wouldn't hurt him too badly, bringing him down to 9.45%, and similarly a 1st place would only bring him up to 24.2%. Jaedong really needs to make the WCS finals to have a decent chance, even a 4th place in WCS would put him at just 4.17%.

Solar is in a similar position as Jaedong, at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances and 1350 WCS Points. A 16th place here puts him at 6.58% while a 1st place puts him at 17.13%. Solar needs to focus on GSL where a 4th place would put him at 3.58%, 2nd place at 17.62%, and 1st place at 94.39%.

Hyun is different as he doesn't have a WCS primary tournament (WCS/GSL/SSL) left but he has more WCS Points at 2125, and 8.67% Blizzcon Chances. Because he's relying on partner tournaments now, this tournament can give him a huge swing, between 16th place bringing him down to 1.51%, 2nd place to 11.6%, and 1st place bringing him up to 50.64%. He's also still in the 4Gamers tournament where he's facing Parting next, if he loses there then that's 4th place and puts him at 5.63%. If he wins 1st place in both MSI and 4Gamers then he goes up to 77.15%. 8th in MSI and 4th in 4Gamers would put him down at 3.18%. A 1st place win in MSI and a 4th place in 4Gamers is still only 30.32%. A 2nd place in MSI, 2nd place in Dreamhack, and 4th place in 4Gamers would put him up at 87.05%.

WCS Predictor 2015
MSI Masters Day 1

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes From sOs Replacing Zest] +

Biggest Winners
kr sOs went up by 23.65%, going from 27.48% to 51.13%

Biggest Losers
kr FanTaSy went down by 8.03%, going from 69.52% to 61.49%
kr Dark went down by 4.44%, going from 78.99% to 74.55%
kr TY went down by 2.67%, going from 27.35% to 24.68%
kr HyuN went down by 1.42%, going from 10.09% to 8.67%
kr Rogue went down by 1.38%, going from 97.23% to 95.85%
fr Lilbow went down by 0.94%, going from 14.42% to 13.48%
kr GuMiho went down by 0.7%, going from 7.81% to 7.11%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr ForGG went down by 0.63%, going from 14.85% to 14.22%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 12.34% to 11.82%
kr Solar went down by 0.45%, going from 9.61% to 9.15%
kr Dear went down by 0.38%, going from 5.87% to 5.5%
kr Stats went down by 0.37%, going from 2.99% to 2.62%
no Snute went down by 0.32%, going from 7.71% to 7.4%
fr MarineLorD went down by 0.29%, going from 4.79% to 4.5%
nz Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 1.27% to 1.04%
kr Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 4.39% to 4.25%



kr INnoVation, cn MacSed, kr Hydra, and tw Has in
in MSI Masters round of 16.
INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.92% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MacSed is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.58% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Has is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

fr FireCake, tw Ian, kr HyuN, and kr PartinG in
in MSI Masters round of 16.
HyuN must win this match!
FireCake is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HyuN is at 8.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.39%, or 1.51% if they lose.
Ian is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr sOs, cn TooDming, nl Harstem, and kr Solar in
in MSI Masters round of 16.
sOs is at 51.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.46%, or 27.38% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TooDming is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.43% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Solar is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.19%, or 6.58% if they lose.

nz Petraeus, kr Jaedong, kr Polt, and kr viOLet in
in MSI Masters round of 16.
Petraeus is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.79%, or 0.38% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 11.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.61%, or 9.45% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.37%, or 0.04% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [MSI Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 19.39% chance to win
----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't.
kr Hydra has a 14.08% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 11.44% chance to win
----going from 9.15% to 17.13% if they get 1st, or 8.12% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 10.6% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 9.2% chance to win
----going from 8.67% to 50.64% if they get 1st, or 4.42% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr sOs has a 8.52% chance to win
----going from 51.13% to 97.4% if they get 1st, or 46.82% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win
----going from 11.82% to 24.2% if they get 1st, or 10.94% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 5.95% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
nz Petraeus has a 4.37% chance to win
----going from 1.04% to 6.62% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 3.09% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 2.16% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 2.73% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 1.52% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn TooDming has a 0.96% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.94% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Ian has a 0.45% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn MacSed has a 0.17% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [MSI Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
noobPride
Profile Joined June 2013
Spain333 Posts
August 28 2015 08:28 GMT
#3
How long since the last Axeltoss appearance on a live event? The memories...
\m/__dò.ób__\m/
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
August 28 2015 09:16 GMT
#4
HAS! We will be seeing Has!!! Against Innovation, it might be a delight ... Inno relies on late game ... I am pretty sure, there will be no late game :-)
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
August 28 2015 09:22 GMT
#5
Correction! Liquipedia had it wrong, this starts on the 30th. Heroes starts on the 28th. Their schedule was confusing.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
RKC
Profile Joined June 2012
2848 Posts
August 28 2015 12:58 GMT
#6
Thanks for hyping this up, SGTK! Early LR best LR!

So will the entire SC2 tourney be played in a single day on the 30th? Or does it extend to another day? (If yes, just seems kinda weird for a weekend tourney to spill over a Monday)
gg no re thx
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5585 Posts
August 28 2015 13:35 GMT
#7
On August 28 2015 18:22 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Correction! Liquipedia had it wrong, this starts on the 30th. Heroes starts on the 28th. Their schedule was confusing.

It's a good thing they just put LP links on their website. :D
don't wall off against random
Aeromi
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
France14456 Posts
August 28 2015 14:10 GMT
#8
On August 28 2015 21:58 RKC wrote:
Thanks for hyping this up, SGTK! Early LR best LR!

So will the entire SC2 tourney be played in a single day on the 30th? Or does it extend to another day? (If yes, just seems kinda weird for a weekend tourney to spill over a Monday)

It's a two days event.
https://twitter.com/DrAeromi | Updates on live tournaments: @StarCrafteSport
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 28 2015 14:19 GMT
#9
I technically have to cheer on sOs right?

GOGO SOS BEST PROTOSS 2015 TOP FIVE PLAYERS OF ALL TIME, STUCHIU!
#SOSWASROBBED

Am I doing it right? :/
kiss kiss fall in love
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
August 28 2015 14:39 GMT
#10
No cause Has is here.
Moderator
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5585 Posts
August 28 2015 14:41 GMT
#11
I wonder if Bogus has seen any recent WCS games or that Has vs. MMA... :D
don't wall off against random
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 28 2015 14:42 GMT
#12
On August 28 2015 23:39 stuchiu wrote:
No cause Has is here.

Ah okay.
GOGO HAS!
EVIL MUST PREVAIL!
kiss kiss fall in love
Heartland
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Sweden24580 Posts
August 29 2015 07:25 GMT
#13
is it just me or are the sc2 vods not up in their past broadcast?
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
August 29 2015 07:37 GMT
#14
On August 29 2015 16:25 Heartland wrote:
is it just me or are the sc2 vods not up in their past broadcast?

Refer to my previous post. The SC2 starts on the 30th.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Heartland
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Sweden24580 Posts
August 29 2015 07:38 GMT
#15
On August 29 2015 16:37 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2015 16:25 Heartland wrote:
is it just me or are the sc2 vods not up in their past broadcast?

Refer to my previous post. The SC2 starts on the 30th.


Oh... How weird.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 30 2015 03:10 GMT
#16
HYPE!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 30 2015 04:19 GMT
#17
tournament starting on Sunday? weird. should be a good event though. solid lineup
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
swissman777
Profile Joined September 2014
1106 Posts
August 30 2015 04:27 GMT
#18
sOs pls
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
August 30 2015 05:58 GMT
#19
I'd actually love to see a good run from Ian in this tournament. He always came painfully close to making WCS, and he spent time training in Korea without really getting a chance to make something of it.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-30 12:49:45
August 30 2015 12:48 GMT
#20
OK, if I may choose the semifinal participants, it will be sOs vs. Hydra and JaeDong vs. Has. So far, JD has successfully deflected all cheeses against him in the last time or revenged them immediately, so seeing him against Has would be a delight. And of course I wish sOs to win it all, so that he has more chances for Blizzcon. JD needs the points, too, but he primarily needs to get to the finals of WCS ...
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
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