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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/HCfj48E.jpg?2) Sunday, Aug 30 3:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena Preview ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/UIahNwP.png) Host: Chobra Casters/Analysts: ToD | RotterdaM | Axeltoss  Main Stream![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/tNX9vPW.png) Group A:  Hydra -  INnoVation -  MacSed - HasGroup B: PartinG - HyuN - FireCake - IanGroup C: sOs - Solar - Harstem - TooDmingGroup D: Polt - Jaedong - Petraeus - viOLet![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VlPvKXp.png) http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena#Group_Stage | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
sOs, currently at 2400 WCS Points, got a huge boost just by replacing Zest, he went from 27.48% Blizzcon Chances up to 51.13%. However, if sOs loses in the first round then he goes 27.38%. Just advancing a single round (8th place) would put sOs at 50.41%, and a 1st place would put him at 97.4%. If he gets 8th in MSI and 16th in GSL then he goes down to 16.87%. If he gets an 8th in MSI, GSL, and Dreamhack, then he goes up to 94.96%. Jaedong is at 11.82% with 1525 WCS Points. He's not really on the edge yet, so a 16th place here wouldn't hurt him too badly, bringing him down to 9.45%, and similarly a 1st place would only bring him up to 24.2%. Jaedong really needs to make the WCS finals to have a decent chance, even a 4th place in WCS would put him at just 4.17%. Solar is in a similar position as Jaedong, at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances and 1350 WCS Points. A 16th place here puts him at 6.58% while a 1st place puts him at 17.13%. Solar needs to focus on GSL where a 4th place would put him at 3.58%, 2nd place at 17.62%, and 1st place at 94.39%. Hyun is different as he doesn't have a WCS primary tournament (WCS/GSL/SSL) left but he has more WCS Points at 2125, and 8.67% Blizzcon Chances. Because he's relying on partner tournaments now, this tournament can give him a huge swing, between 16th place bringing him down to 1.51%, 2nd place to 11.6%, and 1st place bringing him up to 50.64%. He's also still in the 4Gamers tournament where he's facing Parting next, if he loses there then that's 4th place and puts him at 5.63%. If he wins 1st place in both MSI and 4Gamers then he goes up to 77.15%. 8th in MSI and 4th in 4Gamers would put him down at 3.18%. A 1st place win in MSI and a 4th place in 4Gamers is still only 30.32%. A 2nd place in MSI, 2nd place in Dreamhack, and 4th place in 4Gamers would put him up at 87.05%. WCS Predictor 2015 MSI Masters Day 1 + Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes From sOs Replacing Zest] + Biggest Winners   sOs went up by 23.65%, going from 27.48% to 51.13%Biggest Losers  FanTaSy went down by 8.03%, going from 69.52% to 61.49%  Dark went down by 4.44%, going from 78.99% to 74.55% TY went down by 2.67%, going from 27.35% to 24.68% HyuN went down by 1.42%, going from 10.09% to 8.67% Rogue went down by 1.38%, going from 97.23% to 95.85% Lilbow went down by 0.94%, going from 14.42% to 13.48% GuMiho went down by 0.7%, going from 7.81% to 7.11%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + ForGG went down by 0.63%, going from 14.85% to 14.22% Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 12.34% to 11.82% Solar went down by 0.45%, going from 9.61% to 9.15% Dear went down by 0.38%, going from 5.87% to 5.5% Stats went down by 0.37%, going from 2.99% to 2.62% Snute went down by 0.32%, going from 7.71% to 7.4% MarineLorD went down by 0.29%, going from 4.79% to 4.5% Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 1.27% to 1.04% Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 4.39% to 4.25% INnoVation,  MacSed, Hydra, and  Has in in MSI Masters round of 16. INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.92% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MacSed is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FireCake, Ian, HyuN, and PartinG in in MSI Masters round of 16. HyuN must win this match! FireCake is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. HyuN is at 8.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.39%, or 1.51% if they lose. Ian is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs, TooDming,  Harstem, and Solar in in MSI Masters round of 16. sOs is at 51.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.46%, or 27.38% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TooDming is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Solar is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.19%, or 6.58% if they lose. Petraeus, Jaedong, Polt, and viOLet in in MSI Masters round of 16. Petraeus is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.79%, or 0.38% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Jaedong is at 11.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.61%, or 9.45% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.37%, or 0.04% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [MSI Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 19.39% chance to win----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't. Hydra has a 14.08% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 11.44% chance to win----going from 9.15% to 17.13% if they get 1st, or 8.12% if they don't. PartinG has a 10.6% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.2% chance to win----going from 8.67% to 50.64% if they get 1st, or 4.42% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + sOs has a 8.52% chance to win----going from 51.13% to 97.4% if they get 1st, or 46.82% if they don't. Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win----going from 11.82% to 24.2% if they get 1st, or 10.94% if they don't. Polt has a 5.95% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.37% chance to win----going from 1.04% to 6.62% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.09% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 2.16% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. FireCake has a 2.73% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.52% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.96% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Has has a 0.94% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ian has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.17% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [MSI Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/XUevbxY.png) | ||
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noobPride
Spain333 Posts
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Diabolique
Czech Republic5118 Posts
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
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RKC
2848 Posts
So will the entire SC2 tourney be played in a single day on the 30th? Or does it extend to another day? (If yes, just seems kinda weird for a weekend tourney to spill over a Monday) | ||
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rotta
5586 Posts
On August 28 2015 18:22 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Correction! Liquipedia had it wrong, this starts on the 30th. Heroes starts on the 28th. Their schedule was confusing. It's a good thing they just put LP links on their website. :D | ||
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Aeromi
France14460 Posts
On August 28 2015 21:58 RKC wrote: Thanks for hyping this up, SGTK! Early LR best LR! So will the entire SC2 tourney be played in a single day on the 30th? Or does it extend to another day? (If yes, just seems kinda weird for a weekend tourney to spill over a Monday) It's a two days event. | ||
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
GOGO SOS BEST PROTOSS 2015 TOP FIVE PLAYERS OF ALL TIME, STUCHIU! #SOSWASROBBED Am I doing it right? :/ | ||
stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
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rotta
5586 Posts
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
On August 28 2015 23:39 stuchiu wrote: No cause Has is here. Ah okay. GOGO HAS! EVIL MUST PREVAIL! | ||
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Heartland
Sweden24580 Posts
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
On August 29 2015 16:25 Heartland wrote: is it just me or are the sc2 vods not up in their past broadcast? Refer to my previous post. The SC2 starts on the 30th. | ||
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Heartland
Sweden24580 Posts
On August 29 2015 16:37 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Refer to my previous post. The SC2 starts on the 30th. Oh... How weird. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
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Shellshock
United States97276 Posts
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swissman777
1106 Posts
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Circumstance
United States11403 Posts
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Diabolique
Czech Republic5118 Posts
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