EPTOn February 27 2015 21:48 Xoronius wrote:
Because it's february. They will go down during the year.
Show nested quote +
On February 27 2015 21:47 OtherWorld wrote:
Why are those chances of having one foreigner at BlizzCon so high? Oo
On February 27 2015 21:45 Die4Ever wrote:
yep
I don't have those stats specifically but http://sc2.4ever.tv/
here's my thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015
On February 27 2015 21:40 Xoronius wrote:
Also herO just made it above 2k WCS points. BC chances are looking good for him.
Also herO just made it above 2k WCS points. BC chances are looking good for him.
yep
On February 27 2015 06:24 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2015
herO, 
Maru, MC, and PartinG in
in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16.
herO is at 94.98% Blizzcon Chances.
61.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.51%.
38.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.45%.
MC is at 4.96% Blizzcon Chances.
29.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.38%.
70.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.29%.
Maru is at 99.16% Blizzcon Chances.
50.23% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.85%.
49.77% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.46%.
PartinG is at 63.96% Blizzcon Chances.
59.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.21%.
40.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.45%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances in ~
Life has a 21.12% chance to win
----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
INnoVation has a 13.65% chance to win
----going from 79.48% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 89.56% if they get 2nd.
herO has a 11.13% chance to win
----going from 94.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd.
Solar has a 10.57% chance to win
----going from 56.42% to 92.65% if they get 1st, or 69.46% if they get 2nd.
TY has a 10.09% chance to win
----going from 57.32% to 96.87% if they get 1st, or 72.76% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
PartinG has a 8.97% chance to win
----going from 63.96% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 86.91% if they get 2nd.
Maru has a 8.37% chance to win
----going from 99.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
MMA has a 8.2% chance to win
----going from 36.86% to 83.48% if they get 1st, or 50.3% if they get 2nd.
Rogue has a 6.63% chance to win
----going from 64.32% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 82.31% if they get 2nd.
MC has a 1.28% chance to win
----going from 4.96% to 62.72% if they get 1st, or 4.21% if they don't.
herO, Maru, MC, and PartinG in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16.
herO is at 94.98% Blizzcon Chances.61.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.51%.
38.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.45%.
MC is at 4.96% Blizzcon Chances.29.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.38%.
70.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.29%.
Maru is at 99.16% Blizzcon Chances.50.23% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.85%.
49.77% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.46%.
PartinG is at 63.96% Blizzcon Chances.59.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.21%.
40.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.45%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances in ~
Life has a 21.12% chance to win----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
INnoVation has a 13.65% chance to win----going from 79.48% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 89.56% if they get 2nd.
herO has a 11.13% chance to win----going from 94.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd.
Solar has a 10.57% chance to win----going from 56.42% to 92.65% if they get 1st, or 69.46% if they get 2nd.
TY has a 10.09% chance to win----going from 57.32% to 96.87% if they get 1st, or 72.76% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
PartinG has a 8.97% chance to win----going from 63.96% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 86.91% if they get 2nd.
Maru has a 8.37% chance to win----going from 99.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
MMA has a 8.2% chance to win----going from 36.86% to 83.48% if they get 1st, or 50.3% if they get 2nd.
Rogue has a 6.63% chance to win----going from 64.32% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 82.31% if they get 2nd.
MC has a 1.28% chance to win----going from 4.96% to 62.72% if they get 1st, or 4.21% if they don't.
On February 27 2015 21:42 boxerfred wrote:
by the way, given that the league organization changed quite heavily (WCS Premier, Korean stuff), how are the overall chances for Korea based players to get to Blizzcon? Any percentages known, roughly calculated? I mean things like "Given the point distribution, xx % of Blizzcon players will probably come from Korea, xx % will qualify via WCS Premier, xx % will qualify via tournaments such as Dreamhack and similar".
aligulac guy where are you
On February 27 2015 21:40 Xoronius wrote:
Also herO just made it above 2k WCS points. BC chances are looking good for him.
Also herO just made it above 2k WCS points. BC chances are looking good for him.
by the way, given that the league organization changed quite heavily (WCS Premier, Korean stuff), how are the overall chances for Korea based players to get to Blizzcon? Any percentages known, roughly calculated? I mean things like "Given the point distribution, xx % of Blizzcon players will probably come from Korea, xx % will qualify via WCS Premier, xx % will qualify via tournaments such as Dreamhack and similar".
aligulac guy where are you
I don't have those stats specifically but http://sc2.4ever.tv/
here's my thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015
Why are those chances of having one foreigner at BlizzCon so high? Oo
Because it's february. They will go down during the year.
yea, graph for the past 90 days http://sc2.4ever.tv/?comp_days=90#foreigner-hope-section
