So the only scenario in which Center can get to Code S is if all of the former TSL players win the rest of their matches.

Time for team effort.

Edit: Wait a sec...is Center actually out?

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 11 2013 11:04 GMT

#726

On January 11 2013 20:02 pepe08 wrote:
if symbol wins against jaedong, the day is over, right?

Er, the GSL is over for today, yeah.

The day lasts until midnight as usual.

Kreb

4834 Posts

January 11 2013 11:04 GMT

#727

The mistake was to walk around the queens in an attempt to get into the base, allowing vikings + the rogue marine squad to snipe the 3 broods. Keeping the 3 broods alive with transfuse was his only chance.

Bjarne

Germany192 Posts

January 11 2013 11:05 GMT

#728

If JD looses, no more games have to be played...=(

Laurens

Belgium4541 Posts

January 11 2013 11:05 GMT

#729

yes byun, gooooooo

00Visor

4337 Posts

January 11 2013 11:05 GMT

#730

On January 11 2013 20:03 Too_MuchZerg wrote:

Show nested quote +

I was thinking same thing and I guess you are right.

Yes. If Jaedong loses, both Jaedong and Center can be 2-2 at best. Byun 2-2 at worst. And Byun beat both Jaedong and Center.

Epamynondas

387 Posts

January 11 2013 11:06 GMT

#731

On January 11 2013 20:00 TheBB wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Wildcard Group

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.12-0.88 (sets: 3.12-0.88)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 82.80%
      Most likely place: 2nd (43.08%)

Byun
      Expected score: 2.50-1.50 (sets: 2.50-1.50)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 69.90%
      Most likely place: 2nd (40.10%)

Jaedong
      Expected score: 2.45-1.55 (sets: 2.45-1.55)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.00%
      Most likely place: 3rd (33.77%)

Center
      Expected score: 1.22-2.78 (sets: 1.22-2.78)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 2.31%
      Most likely place: 4th (77.81%)

Shine
      Expected score: 0.70-3.30 (sets: 0.70-3.30)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 5th (100.00%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         Shine:  100.00%                                    
        Symbol:             0.96%   16.25%   43.08%   39.72%
          Byun:                     30.10%   40.10%   29.80%
        Center:            77.81%   19.89%    2.31%         
       Jaedong:            21.24%   33.77%   14.51%   30.48%

Match score

                     0-4      1-3      2-2      3-1      4-0
         Shine:   29.73%   70.27%                           
        Symbol:                     13.90%   60.52%   25.57%
          Byun:                     55.87%   38.04%    6.09%
        Center:            77.63%   22.37%                  
       Jaedong:             7.19%   40.14%   52.66%         

Set score

                      -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4
         Shine:   29.73%            70.27%                                                      
        Symbol:                                       13.90%            60.52%            25.57%
          Byun:                                       55.87%            38.04%             6.09%
        Center:                     77.63%            22.37%                                    
       Jaedong:                      7.19%            40.14%            52.66%

Symbol vs. Jaedong

Symbol wins (32.16%):
1-0: 32.16%

Jaedong wins (67.84%):
1-0: 67.84%

Most likely winner: Jaedong (67.84%)
Median outcome: Symbol 0-1 Jaedong

details, data source, code

This is strange.... If Jaedong is so favored against Symbol, how comes his probability to advance is so low? Are his chances against center that low?

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 11 2013 11:06 GMT

#732

It's amazing how much shorter a 5 person day is than a 6 person day but I guess we did have a 6 minute TvT

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

January 11 2013 11:06 GMT

#733

On January 11 2013 20:03 stuchiu wrote:
Now that Shine can no longer advance, he'll play great and make sure someone else goes through, like usual.

yep :/

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 11 2013 11:07 GMT

#734

Dong vs Little Dong (teehee)

Could be good

glzElectromaster

Japan2474 Posts

January 11 2013 11:07 GMT

#735

Center's actually out, no? At the best he can only take 3rd since he lost to Byun.

JJH777

United States4407 Posts

January 11 2013 11:07 GMT

#736

On January 11 2013 20:04 glzElectromaster wrote:
So the only scenario in which Center can get to Code S is if all of the former TSL players win the rest of their matches.

Time for team effort.

Edit: Wait a sec...is Center actually out?

If Byun goes 4-0 and Symbol loses his next 2 games and Jaedong goes 2-2 then there will be a 3 way tie.

PressItDown

Singapore74 Posts

January 11 2013 11:08 GMT

#737

On January 11 2013 20:06 Shellshock1122 wrote:
It's amazing how much shorter a 5 person day is than a 6 person day but I guess we did have a 6 minute TvT

That and there isn't a 1 hour PvT today

Mattidute

Netherlands232 Posts

January 11 2013 11:08 GMT

#738

On January 11 2013 20:06 Epamynondas wrote:

Show nested quote +

On January 11 2013 20:00 TheBB wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         Shine:  100.00%                                    
        Symbol:             0.96%   16.25%   43.08%   39.72%
          Byun:                     30.10%   40.10%   29.80%
        Center:            77.81%   19.89%    2.31%         
       Jaedong:            21.24%   33.77%   14.51%   30.48%

Match score

                     0-4      1-3      2-2      3-1      4-0
         Shine:   29.73%   70.27%                           
        Symbol:                     13.90%   60.52%   25.57%
          Byun:                     55.87%   38.04%    6.09%
        Center:            77.63%   22.37%                  
       Jaedong:             7.19%   40.14%   52.66%         

Set score

                      -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4
         Shine:   29.73%            70.27%                                                      
        Symbol:                                       13.90%            60.52%            25.57%
          Byun:                                       55.87%            38.04%             6.09%
        Center:                     77.63%            22.37%                                    
       Jaedong:                      7.19%            40.14%            52.66%

Symbol vs. Jaedong

Symbol wins (32.16%):
1-0: 32.16%

Jaedong wins (67.84%):
1-0: 67.84%

Most likely winner: Jaedong (67.84%)
Median outcome: Symbol 0-1 Jaedong

details, data source, code

This is strange.... If Jaedong is so favored against Symbol, how comes his probability to advance is so low? Are his chances against center that low?

It probably has to do with Jaedong having a better ZvZ while Symbol's ZvZ in the last few months have been pretty bad.

TheBarcid

Canada44 Posts

January 11 2013 11:08 GMT

#739

Hah center was awesome! gogo JD