After 1st match.

U&D Group B

Squirtle
      Expected score: 3.40-1.60 (sets: 3.40-1.60)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 60.96%
      Most likely place: 1st (37.34%)

Trap
      Expected score: 2.98-2.02 (sets: 2.98-2.02)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 46.75%
      Most likely place: 1st (23.96%)

TaeJa
      Expected score: 2.94-2.06 (sets: 2.94-2.06)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 42.58%
      Most likely place: 2nd (22.28%)

Shine
      Expected score: 2.63-2.37 (sets: 2.63-2.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 31.07%
      Most likely place: 4th (23.72%)

Dream
      Expected score: 1.76-3.24 (sets: 1.76-3.24)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 12.87%
      Most likely place: 6th (28.68%)

Happy
      Expected score: 1.29-3.71 (sets: 1.29-3.71)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 5.77%
      Most likely place: 6th (48.99%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         TaeJa:    5.83%   12.03%   17.56%   21.99%   22.28%   20.31%
          Trap:    7.21%   11.82%   15.25%   18.97%   22.79%   23.96%
         Happy:   48.99%   25.12%   13.13%    7.00%    4.12%    1.65%
         Shine:    5.68%   17.03%   23.72%   22.50%   18.57%   12.50%
      Squirtle:    3.61%    7.40%   11.39%   16.64%   23.61%   37.34%
         Dream:   28.68%   26.60%   18.94%   12.91%    8.63%    4.24%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
         TaeJa:    0.74%    7.21%   24.86%   37.32%   24.28%    5.58%
          Trap:    0.95%    7.56%   23.48%   35.32%   25.60%    7.09%
         Happy:   20.37%   40.75%   29.16%    8.78%    0.93%         
         Shine:            11.35%   34.86%   36.05%   15.41%    2.33%
      Squirtle:    0.29%    3.35%   14.98%   32.62%   34.55%   14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%   31.69%   35.17%   18.06%    4.37%    0.40%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
         TaeJa:    0.74%             7.21%            24.86%            37.32%            24.28%             5.58%
          Trap:    0.95%             7.56%            23.48%            35.32%            25.60%             7.09%
         Happy:   20.37%            40.75%            29.16%             8.78%             0.93%                  
         Shine:                     11.35%            34.86%            36.05%            15.41%             2.33%
      Squirtle:    0.29%             3.35%            14.98%            32.62%            34.55%            14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%            31.69%            35.17%            18.06%             4.37%             0.40%

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 07 2013 09:40 GMT

#104

sick micro by Taeja o.O

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

January 07 2013 09:40 GMT

#105

Nice defense by Taeja.

AxionSteel

United States7754 Posts

January 07 2013 09:41 GMT

#106

Nice job TaeJa!!

iKill[ShocK]

Vietnam3530 Posts

January 07 2013 09:42 GMT

#107

anyone update on first taeja match? he better win

DisaFear

Australia4074 Posts

January 07 2013 09:43 GMT

#108

On January 07 2013 18:42 iKill[ShocK] wrote:
anyone update on first taeja match? he better win

Taeja seems to have mostly Marine Tank Medivac
See a Templar Archive for the Protoss

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 07 2013 09:43 GMT

#109

On January 07 2013 18:42 iKill[ShocK] wrote:
anyone update on first taeja match? he better win

He's pretty far ahead with double the army size of Trap

AxionSteel

United States7754 Posts

January 07 2013 09:44 GMT

#110

On January 07 2013 18:42 iKill[ShocK] wrote:
anyone update on first taeja match? he better win

Taeja is waaay ahead, about to crush him right now

Olli

Austria24417 Posts

January 07 2013 09:44 GMT

#111

On January 07 2013 18:43 Shellshock1122 wrote:

Show nested quote +

He's pretty far ahead with double the army size of Trap

Good, Taeja better be going back to Code S. So he can get 4-0d by HerO in the finals.

Gimmeurladderpoints

Germany372 Posts

January 07 2013 09:44 GMT

#112

nice lead

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 07 2013 09:45 GMT

#113

Poll: Recommend TaeJa vs Trap?

No (8)

53%

Yes (5)

33%

if you have time (2)

13%

15 total votes

Your vote: Recommend TaeJa vs Trap?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): if you have time

thirtyapm

521 Posts

January 07 2013 09:45 GMT

#114

ahhh gsl, finally we're back

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

January 07 2013 09:45 GMT

#115

On January 07 2013 18:44 DarkLordOlli wrote:

Show nested quote +

Good, Taeja better be going back to Code S. So he can get 4-0d by HerO in the finals.

lolo that would be so funny.

Insoleet

France1806 Posts

January 07 2013 09:46 GMT

#116

Tanks are nice considering the current meta, with protoss rushing to HT without even building a single robo

Qwerty85

Croatia5536 Posts

January 07 2013 09:46 GMT

#117

Bad game. Taeja did nothing special to win, it is just Trap playing bad...

Hiea

Denmark1538 Posts

January 07 2013 09:46 GMT

#118

On January 07 2013 18:39 blitDz wrote:
Lr thread quiet compared to yesterday. I didn't have any stream issues yesterday but its good to see others have improved

Far less exciting group plus people were probably put off by the excessive amount of technical difficulties yesterday, and it's also a weekday, while yesterday was Sunday.

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 07 2013 09:46 GMT

#119

U&D Group B

TaeJa
      Expected score: 3.50-1.50 (sets: 3.50-1.50)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 65.70%
      Most likely place: 1st (36.03%)

Squirtle
      Expected score: 3.40-1.60 (sets: 3.40-1.60)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 60.71%
      Most likely place: 1st (38.15%)

Shine
      Expected score: 2.63-2.37 (sets: 2.63-2.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 31.48%
      Most likely place: 4th (23.31%)

Trap
      Expected score: 2.42-2.58 (sets: 2.42-2.58)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 23.59%
      Most likely place: 3rd (23.06%)

Dream
      Expected score: 1.76-3.24 (sets: 1.76-3.24)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 12.82%
      Most likely place: 6th (28.52%)

Happy
      Expected score: 1.29-3.71 (sets: 1.29-3.71)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 5.70%
      Most likely place: 6th (47.82%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         TaeJa:    1.94%    5.40%    9.45%   17.51%   29.68%   36.03%
          Trap:   12.37%   18.47%   22.50%   23.06%   15.92%    7.67%
         Happy:   47.82%   25.08%   14.09%    7.31%    4.14%    1.56%
         Shine:    5.75%   17.09%   23.31%   22.37%   19.00%   12.48%
      Squirtle:    3.60%    7.57%   11.33%   16.79%   22.56%   38.15%
         Dream:   28.52%   26.39%   19.31%   12.96%    8.71%    4.11%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
         TaeJa:             1.32%   11.78%   35.02%   39.10%   12.78%
          Trap:    2.17%   14.51%   35.04%   35.69%   12.60%         
         Happy:   20.37%   40.75%   29.16%    8.78%    0.93%         
         Shine:            11.35%   34.86%   36.05%   15.41%    2.33%
      Squirtle:    0.29%    3.35%   14.98%   32.62%   34.55%   14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%   31.69%   35.17%   18.06%    4.37%    0.40%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
         TaeJa:                      1.32%            11.78%            35.02%            39.10%            12.78%
          Trap:    2.17%            14.51%            35.04%            35.69%            12.60%                  
         Happy:   20.37%            40.75%            29.16%             8.78%             0.93%                  
         Shine:                     11.35%            34.86%            36.05%            15.41%             2.33%
      Squirtle:    0.29%             3.35%            14.98%            32.62%            34.55%            14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%            31.69%            35.17%            18.06%             4.37%             0.40%

Squirtle vs. Dream

Squirtle wins (77.22%):
1-0: 77.22%

Dream wins (22.78%):
1-0: 22.78%

Most likely winner: Squirtle (77.22%)
Median outcome: Squirtle 1-0 Dream