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Lone Star Clash 2: $35k SC2 + LoL, Nov 10-11 in TX - Page 52

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
11212 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 50 51 52 53 54 561 Next
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32747 Posts
November 10 2012 17:43 GMT
#1021
What's wrong with Sheth and Hatchery cancellations today? This is like his third time he forgot to cancel building the Hatch.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
DOUDOU
Profile Joined October 2011
Wales2940 Posts
November 10 2012 17:43 GMT
#1022
On November 11 2012 02:41 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2012 02:40 DOUDOU wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:37 TheBB wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:32 Toxi78 wrote:
then there is something totally moronic about the way you actually get to these percentages? polt and stephano being in the same bracket, having 40% for stephano to win and 7% for polt to win makes little to no sense?
just the fact that you throw out these statistics like it means anything is totally hilarious.
why not compare the last 5 bo3s of the players (regardless of who they played) so you get their shape, then make a totally ridiculous stat in which lets say axslav won his last 5 matches and stephano lost his last 5 and have a ranking that adds up to 100% and doesnt look mathematically flawed yet makes no sense?
the fact that mathematically your stats make sense doesn't mean that the method is not flawed.
your statistics are bullshit, there is so much statistical bias in them that they are just worth laughing at.

The method is described in detail here: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=380850

Feel free to make specific and constructive criticism there instead of polluting this thread. I never claimed they mean anything. It's up to everyone to interpret them as they please.

i'm no statistician but is 0% even suppose to be possible?

Ah, no, they're just estimates from a large amount of samples (50k). Qxc has a very small probability of winning. It's not zero but it's so small that it might as well be. (Poor guy.)

so it's not 0
you should put ~0% or >0% to avoid misunderstandings
Feast | Grubby | Mvp | Polt | Fantasy | Last | MMA | forGG | Leenock | Soberphano | Scarlett cutiepie
Demonidze
Profile Joined May 2012
194 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1023
Gandji? ;p
Merfyn
Profile Joined May 2011
United Kingdom945 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1024
God sheth
"One cannot play StarCraft with clenched fish.."
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10142 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1025
On November 11 2012 02:43 AlternativeEgo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2012 02:42 Shellshock1122 wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:41 AlternativeEgo wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:40 MangoMountain wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:37 Integra wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:36 Coolhwip wrote:
Im studying mathematic statistics right now with alot of focus on probability. Ask me anything

what's the probability of people starting to argue about statistics in this thread?

It's already happened, so 1 I guess


But one is super low. It should be like 100000000000000000 or something.

1 = 100%


100% of 1 yes but 50% of 2. It's math.


So 3 must be 150%, amirite ?
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32747 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1026
And Sheth misses the killing Fungal...
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Fueled
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1610 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1027
Lets go Ret
The Wood League - Where a double gas opening can still mean a Marine/SCV all-in
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1028
It appears the order will be so far ret vs ganzi, crank vs thorzain then hawk vs naniwa.
Glorious SEA doto
clocked
Profile Joined November 2012
111 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1029
c'mon I hope Ret's no more smoking thing really helps him place top 8 at least !!
MangoMountain
Profile Joined June 2011
Norway2044 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1030
Sheth is making a bunch of infestors so there's still hope
alainysaur
Profile Joined September 2012
United States131 Posts
November 10 2012 17:44 GMT
#1031
Seth derping
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
November 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1032
On November 11 2012 02:43 DOUDOU wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2012 02:41 TheBB wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:40 DOUDOU wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:37 TheBB wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:32 Toxi78 wrote:
then there is something totally moronic about the way you actually get to these percentages? polt and stephano being in the same bracket, having 40% for stephano to win and 7% for polt to win makes little to no sense?
just the fact that you throw out these statistics like it means anything is totally hilarious.
why not compare the last 5 bo3s of the players (regardless of who they played) so you get their shape, then make a totally ridiculous stat in which lets say axslav won his last 5 matches and stephano lost his last 5 and have a ranking that adds up to 100% and doesnt look mathematically flawed yet makes no sense?
the fact that mathematically your stats make sense doesn't mean that the method is not flawed.
your statistics are bullshit, there is so much statistical bias in them that they are just worth laughing at.

The method is described in detail here: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=380850

Feel free to make specific and constructive criticism there instead of polluting this thread. I never claimed they mean anything. It's up to everyone to interpret them as they please.

i'm no statistician but is 0% even suppose to be possible?

Ah, no, they're just estimates from a large amount of samples (50k). Qxc has a very small probability of winning. It's not zero but it's so small that it might as well be. (Poor guy.)

so it's not 0
you should put ~0% or >0% to avoid misunderstandings

Yeah. It just hasn't been a problem before now.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
AlternativeEgo
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden17309 Posts
November 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1033
Metal and flickering lights \m/
Mark Munoz looks like Gretorp
Hylirion
Profile Joined March 2012
Netherlands968 Posts
November 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1034
Ret not looking very relaxed...
AlternativeEgo
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden17309 Posts
November 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1035
On November 11 2012 02:44 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2012 02:43 AlternativeEgo wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:42 Shellshock1122 wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:41 AlternativeEgo wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:40 MangoMountain wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:37 Integra wrote:
On November 11 2012 02:36 Coolhwip wrote:
Im studying mathematic statistics right now with alot of focus on probability. Ask me anything

what's the probability of people starting to argue about statistics in this thread?

It's already happened, so 1 I guess


But one is super low. It should be like 100000000000000000 or something.

1 = 100%


100% of 1 yes but 50% of 2. It's math.


So 3 must be 150%, amirite ?


Seems correct.
Mark Munoz looks like Gretorp
Mouzone
Profile Joined April 2011
3937 Posts
November 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1036
Is there a second SC2 stream?
renlynn
Profile Joined May 2011
United States276 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-10 17:46:18
November 10 2012 17:46 GMT
#1037
goddamnit overlay still makes no sense

edit: nevermind they just fixed it
Fueled
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1610 Posts
November 10 2012 17:46 GMT
#1038
Got a little scared there, thought Ret switched Terran

The Wood League - Where a double gas opening can still mean a Marine/SCV all-in
AlternativeEgo
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden17309 Posts
November 10 2012 17:46 GMT
#1039
On November 11 2012 02:45 Mouzone wrote:
Is there a second SC2 stream?


http://www.teamliquid.net/video/streams/LSC2 - Stream B
Mark Munoz looks like Gretorp
Darpa
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada4413 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-10 17:48:16
November 10 2012 17:47 GMT
#1040
wow that eye thing is pretty cool


edit. he probably means the mainstream given its not listed.

http://www.teamliquid.net/video/streams/Lone Star Clash

main stream
"losers always whine about their best, Winners go home and fuck the prom queen"
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