• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 04:30
CEST 10:30
KST 17:30
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
Team TLMC #5 - Finalists & Open Tournaments0[ASL20] Ro16 Preview Pt2: Turbulence2Classic Games #3: Rogue vs Serral at BlizzCon9[ASL20] Ro16 Preview Pt1: Ascent10Maestros of the Game: Week 1/Play-in Preview12
Community News
Weekly Cups (Sept 8-14): herO & MaxPax split cups0WardiTV TL Team Map Contest #5 Tournaments0SC4ALL $6,000 Open LAN in Philadelphia7Weekly Cups (Sept 1-7): MaxPax rebounds & Clem saga continues29LiuLi Cup - September 2025 Tournaments3
StarCraft 2
General
Weekly Cups (Sept 8-14): herO & MaxPax split cups SpeCial on The Tasteless Podcast Team TLMC #5 - Finalists & Open Tournaments Weekly Cups (Sept 1-7): MaxPax rebounds & Clem saga continues #1: Maru - Greatest Players of All Time
Tourneys
Maestros of The Game—$20k event w/ live finals in Paris RSL: Revival, a new crowdfunded tournament series WardiTV TL Team Map Contest #5 Tournaments Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament SC4ALL $6,000 Open LAN in Philadelphia
Strategy
Custom Maps
External Content
Mutation # 491 Night Drive Mutation # 490 Masters of Midnight Mutation # 489 Bannable Offense Mutation # 488 What Goes Around
Brood War
General
ASL20 General Discussion Playing StarCraft as 2 people on the same network [ASL20] Ro16 Preview Pt2: Turbulence Pros React To: SoulKey's 5-Peat Challenge BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/
Tourneys
[ASL20] Ro16 Group C [IPSL] ISPL Season 1 Winter Qualis and Info! Is there English video for group selection for ASL [ASL20] Ro16 Group B
Strategy
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Muta micro map competition Fighting Spirit mining rates [G] Mineral Boosting
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Borderlands 3 Nintendo Switch Thread Path of Exile General RTS Discussion Thread
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion LiquidDota to reintegrate into TL.net
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Canadian Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread The Big Programming Thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine
Fan Clubs
The Happy Fan Club!
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece Anime Discussion Thread
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Linksys AE2500 USB WIFI keeps disconnecting Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread High temperatures on bridge(s)
TL Community
BarCraft in Tokyo Japan for ASL Season5 Final The Automated Ban List
Blogs
The Personality of a Spender…
TrAiDoS
A very expensive lesson on ma…
Garnet
hello world
radishsoup
Lemme tell you a thing o…
JoinTheRain
RTS Design in Hypercoven
a11
Evil Gacha Games and the…
ffswowsucks
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1380 users

[D]ZvZ: A GSL History of the Blind 15 Hatch - Page 3

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Strategy
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 3 4 Next All
whatthefat
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States918 Posts
September 13 2011 16:55 GMT
#41
This is a great resource, thanks OP! I didn't realize just how much my understanding of ZvZ had been shaped by the GSL until I read through this and remembered my thoughts at the time of each game.
SlayerS_BoxeR: "I always feel sorry towards Greg (Grack?) T_T"
acidfreak
Profile Joined November 2010
Romania352 Posts
September 13 2011 17:17 GMT
#42
My mind is blown from your hard work on this! Incredible research! Thanks!
You can't out-think the swarm, you can't out-maneuver the swarm, and you certainly can't break the morale of the swarm.
Tortious_Tortoise
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States944 Posts
September 13 2011 17:19 GMT
#43
Great OP, examines scientifically the extent to which a blind 15h build is strategically viable and safe at high levels of play. If this is cleaned up a little bit, it could easily be a college statistics essay.
Treating eSports as a social science since 2011; Credo: "The system is never wrong"-- Day9 Daily #400 Part 3
kirdie
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Germany221 Posts
September 13 2011 17:23 GMT
#44
The links of kyrix vs losira don't work. I checked on GomTV and I could not find them either...
TutsiRebel
Profile Joined August 2011
United States172 Posts
September 13 2011 21:10 GMT
#45
awesome post
I can bhop irl
Alejandrisha
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States6565 Posts
September 13 2011 21:32 GMT
#46
you, sir, are a saint.
get rich or die mining
TL+ Member
michaelhasanalias
Profile Joined May 2010
Korea (South)1231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-09-13 23:21:47
September 13 2011 23:21 GMT
#47
On September 14 2011 02:23 kirdie wrote:
The links of kyrix vs losira don't work. I checked on GomTV and I could not find them either...


They require the gomtv season pass because only the first game of each match is free (I think they are games 3 and 5 in the group). There are china links floating around that are rebroadcasts in chinese where you could probably watch them. I think it's probably frowned upon by GOM but I don't think they have the copyright abilities over China.


On September 13 2011 21:31 barrykp wrote:
Great stuff; I admire the effort you clearly put into it.

Can't say it makes choosing an opening any easier though

Seems like 14/14 is still the jack of all trades, but I always feel pressured when my first lings arrive and see my opponent has gone hatch first.

Anyway I love the thread; I'll definitely be rereading it and watching some of the games in the future, to help with my own ZvZ.


You know, I feel the same way. Including the game I forgot about but just added last night (Dimaga v NesTea KORvWORLD game on Terminus) that makes two games in total where there was a drone scout before hatch first, and in both cases it didn't really make a difference (neither scouted the other player before the hatch went down).

Further, the win rate of hatch first vs 14/14 is something close to 100%, with the only game a 14/14 won being NesTea when he played July, and it was dead even until July gave all his ultras away.

However, I think the more interesting story there is that the players we would generally consider superior in skill tend to more often open 15 hatch, whereas the cheesier guys who are in code A and B tend to always 14/14. So the better players are already 15 hatching, but the high win rate may well be because 15 hatch is indeed the superior (or at least equal?) opening.

I know I've always preferred 15 hatch when I can get away with it, but especially on ladder and with so many players opting for 9 or 11 pools or just early pools in general, it's difficult to justify opening 15 hatch at least for ladder practice.
KR NsPMichael.805 | AM Michael.2640 | SEA Michael.523 | 엔에스피 New Star Players
michaelhasanalias
Profile Joined May 2010
Korea (South)1231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-09-14 01:17:03
September 14 2011 01:11 GMT
#48
On September 13 2011 16:04 Lobotomist wrote:
Is there a liquipedia build for 10 pool baneling? Someone care to summarize?


I added a liquipedia page for the build as Check executed it in both games featured in the OP:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/10_Pool_Baneling_(vs._Zerg)
KR NsPMichael.805 | AM Michael.2640 | SEA Michael.523 | 엔에스피 New Star Players
Yoshi Kirishima
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States10347 Posts
September 14 2011 03:05 GMT
#49
Holy shit man, you are so awesome, thank you for such an awesome contribution to the community.

So organized, informational, descriptive, everything. Great stuff!
Mid-master streaming MECH ONLY + commentary www.twitch.tv/yoshikirishima +++ "If all-in fails, all-in again."
The.Doctor
Profile Joined February 2010
Canada333 Posts
September 14 2011 04:35 GMT
#50
Damn good post. TL needs more of this.
The Boss.
michaelhasanalias
Profile Joined May 2010
Korea (South)1231 Posts
September 14 2011 05:37 GMT
#51
added a game I had forgotten before, as well as a non-15h game in dimaga v july that I felt deserved inclusion because dimaga intended to 15h but scouting changed his mind:

KORvWORLD FXOmOOnGLade vs STJuly - Metalopolis - link
July opens blind 15 hatch 14 pool in cross positions against mOONglade's 14/14 bling pressure. July drops a fast warren but has a late gas and so is barely able to defend in time with roaches and zerglings. From here the game transitions into a typical July game (re: slugfest).

KORvWORLD mTwDimaga vs STJuly - Shakuras Plateau - link
This game is special among all of these I mention because it actually doesn't feature a blind 15 hatchery. I include it because in re-watching it I noticed something very important--Dimaga actually intended to open 15 hatchery, but he drone scouted on 9 supply and saw July's 10 pool. He then responds by canceling his 14th drone, and going 13 pool 12 gas. I firmly believe Dimaga would have been hard-pressed to survive against July's 10 pool pressure had he not drone scouted and responded accordingly.
KR NsPMichael.805 | AM Michael.2640 | SEA Michael.523 | 엔에스피 New Star Players
flcHoOt
Profile Joined September 2011
United States15 Posts
September 14 2011 05:42 GMT
#52
This post is very amazing. Very very brilliant and I can't thank you enough for your in depth analysis of this match up. Wonderful, Well Organized, To the Point, Looks clean, Nice Pics, Nice Links, Credibility. This post has everything.
Fear is The Mind Killer
Oboeman
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3980 Posts
September 14 2011 06:27 GMT
#53
great post.

Is nestea vs losira the only example of 10p/12ov against 14/14?
michaelhasanalias
Profile Joined May 2010
Korea (South)1231 Posts
September 14 2011 06:42 GMT
#54
On September 14 2011 15:27 Oboeman wrote:
great post.

Is nestea vs losira the only example of 10p/12ov against 14/14?


Yeah the only other game that didn't immediately end against this build was Cezanne's canceled 15 hatch into 15 pool, and he was pretty far behind the entire game in my opinion.
KR NsPMichael.805 | AM Michael.2640 | SEA Michael.523 | 엔에스피 New Star Players
Ghoststrikes
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada1356 Posts
September 14 2011 06:50 GMT
#55
Great read, and nice work on that!

This is a really good reflection on the State of ZvZ openers!
Never say die
Oboeman
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3980 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-09-14 07:38:49
September 14 2011 07:33 GMT
#56
On September 14 2011 15:42 michaelhasanalias wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2011 15:27 Oboeman wrote:
great post.

Is nestea vs losira the only example of 10p/12ov against 14/14?


Yeah the only other game that didn't immediately end against this build was Cezanne's canceled 15 hatch into 15 pool, and he was pretty far behind the entire game in my opinion.


ok I had a vague memory so I checked the MLG Raleigh vods, and although this isn't GSL, they're code S zergs.

Coca went 10p/12 ov against DRG on testbug in game 1. and DRG went 14/14 speedling expand. Coca backs out and makes roaches before expanding (because his ling speed was miles behind), but DRG has a pretty solid lead and outright kills him with a roach ling timing.

also for what it's worth in game 3, Coca goes 14/14 against DRG's blind 15 hatch, and coca uses 6 speedlings to be annoying and somehow end up with a solid lead... not sure how that happened.
michaelhasanalias
Profile Joined May 2010
Korea (South)1231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-09-14 10:47:19
September 14 2011 09:57 GMT
#57
I had a chat with dongraegu about drone scouting in 15 hatch and he said this:

+ Show Spoiler +


나의 메시지: why are you terran now??
dongraegu is zerg!!
동래구프로에쓰: Terran so IMBA in Ladder
나의 메시지: hahahaha
동래구프로에쓰: dont worry
Ill play zerg forever
나의 메시지: what about 1.4??
no neural parasite
on big units
동래구프로에쓰: maybe DK has no brain
나의 메시지: what is DK?
동래구프로에쓰: David Kim
나의 메시지: hahahaha
can I post this to reddit
its so funny
reddit people really love you
동래구프로에쓰:
tell me about that links
나의 메시지: 잠깐만요
http://www.reddit.com/r/starcraft/comments/kf7fg/dongraegus_thoughts_on_proposed_14_neural/
this is so funny
you can say hi on reddit!~
they will ask you many questions too... you are the favorite zerg I think
동래구프로에쓰:
pleasure
나의 메시지: mm I wrote this yesterday maybe you will like it: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=264988
It's a history of 15 hatch open in ZvZ GSL games
I think your english is very good maybe you can understand
동래구프로에쓰: yeah Maybe I can understand
but
very tired to long long english sentence
나의 메시지: umm
동래구프로에쓰: read!
나의 메시지: I can summarize
NesTea is 6-0 in ZvZ when he plays against 15 hatch and he does NOT 15 hatch
동래구프로에쓰: oh
나의 메시지: but everyone else win every game 15 hatch vs 14/14
because NesTea soemtimes he does 10 pool 12 overlord
and he is 4-0
and 2-0 doing fast gold 15 hatch
동래구프로에쓰: conclusion is NesTea IMBA in ZvZ?
나의 메시지: nono
conclusion is 15 hatch risky in zvz!
동래구프로에쓰: aha!
나의 메시지: but i don't know maybe it's still best
every game nestea has lost in zvz has been to code B player
동래구프로에쓰: I think best build if opponent doesnt use fast pool
나의 메시지: i think so too
BUT
I don't understand why no drone scout??
동래구프로에쓰: well..
나의 메시지: there is ONE game in GSL history where there is drone scout for hatchery first
동래구프로에쓰: It doesnt necessary
나의 메시지: and dimaga v july in world championiship, and he would have lost to 10 pool but he won because he didn't make hatch
동래구프로에쓰: if do drone scout
then opponent know that I did first hatch

나의 메시지: (do you want me to correct your english? im an english teacher in korea its my job ^ ^)
hmm
동래구프로에쓰: yeah sure
thx
나의 메시지: ///it isn't necessary///
동래구프로에쓰: aha!
나의 메시지: hmmmm
so you don't drone scout because they know you 15 hatch?
동래구프로에쓰: yeah and
if opponent did first hatch too then
so badly start

나의 메시지: hmmmm
but only very small disadvantage
동래구프로에쓰: one drone mining is so difficult
나의 메시지: one sec
I made a program
it tells you how much minerals you lose from scout
동래구프로에쓰: ok
나의 메시지: if you send drone scout to check opponent main and come back after 2 minutes, it's 86 minerals
for 3 minutes it's 122 minerals
if you scout 2 bases
동래구프로에쓰: yeah yeah
나의 메시지: trade 80 minerals for win vs 10 pool all-in??
only 80 minerals, 1 good baneling and you're even
동래구프로에쓰: scouting
how many drones
나의 메시지: hmm?
동래구프로에쓰: 10 drone scouting?
나의 메시지: when to drone scout?
동래구프로에쓰: yeah right
나의 메시지: after 9 overlord start
9th drone hatch and scout
동래구프로에쓰: 9 drone scout is too poor
Neve win to 15hatch first opponent

나의 메시지: ooooh
BUT
if you scout 15 hatchery
your time is maybe only 80 seconds
동래구프로에쓰: what mean
나의 메시지: and then ~50-60 minerals only
동래구프로에쓰: my time?
나의 메시지: yes because
you scout
you can BLOCK the hatchery
or you can see hatchery
동래구프로에쓰: ah
나의 메시지: and you can come back fast
you dont need to see main base if you see hatchery
so very fast
동래구프로에쓰: hmm
ㅈㄷ
ok
then I practice when my team practice time

now I gonna packing
동래구프로에쓰: prepaare to go spain
oh
나의 메시지: spain??
wow why
동래구프로에쓰: yeah
dreamhack
나의 메시지: oh yeah
you will win!
동래구프로에쓰: sure
나의 메시지: hahaha
thank you for chatting, good luck at dreamhack!
동래구프로에쓰: thx
나의 메시지: 다음에 봐요!
동래구프로에쓰: see ya!
동래구프로에쓰 님의 연결이 끊겼습니다.


I never really thought about how drone scouting generally reveals that you are 15 hatching..... it's not just the greed factor (at least according to him)
KR NsPMichael.805 | AM Michael.2640 | SEA Michael.523 | 엔에스피 New Star Players
sQueez
Profile Joined March 2011
12 Posts
September 14 2011 11:20 GMT
#58
This is pretty awesome. Thank you a lot for putting this together!
Superpower
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia212 Posts
September 14 2011 11:52 GMT
#59
THANK YOU SOOO much links to heaps of zvzs ty !!!! Give this guy a clap!!!*claps*
Taeja <3
CrueltY
Profile Joined March 2011
Guernsey37 Posts
September 14 2011 16:39 GMT
#60
Excellent post. I have been trying to do a similar thing by analysing Nestea's zvz from the GSL, and you've ended up doing a way more impressive job then I did.

My one thought would be how map dependent these matches were. For example, Nestea did his 10 pool DET on Dual Site and Xel'Naga Fortress in the GSL finals against Losira, and I wonder how much the easier scouting of his opponent played into that. I'm trying to look at this to understand what maps it would be more reasonable for me to take the risk of 15 hatching.
All warfare is based on deception - Sun Tzu
Prev 1 2 3 4 Next All
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 1h 31m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Nina 139
ProTech74
StarCraft: Brood War
Sea 1402
actioN 610
Zeus 358
Stork 289
Leta 192
Rush 69
Hyun 62
Dewaltoss 59
Aegong 47
Mind 37
[ Show more ]
sSak 29
Noble 21
Dota 2
BananaSlamJamma156
League of Legends
JimRising 484
Counter-Strike
olofmeister542
Stewie2K472
shoxiejesuss308
allub190
Other Games
ceh9434
C9.Mang0309
XaKoH 156
NeuroSwarm66
Mew2King35
Happy29
Organizations
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 15 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• Berry_CruncH216
• LUISG 25
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• iopq 4
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
League of Legends
• Lourlo1333
• HappyZerGling134
Upcoming Events
Afreeca Starleague
1h 31m
Snow vs Sharp
Jaedong vs Mini
Wardi Open
2h 31m
OSC
15h 31m
Sparkling Tuna Cup
1d 1h
Afreeca Starleague
1d 1h
Light vs Speed
Larva vs Soma
PiGosaur Monday
1d 15h
LiuLi Cup
2 days
RSL Revival
3 days
Maru vs Reynor
Cure vs TriGGeR
The PondCast
3 days
RSL Revival
4 days
Zoun vs Classic
[ Show More ]
Korean StarCraft League
4 days
RSL Revival
5 days
[BSL 2025] Weekly
5 days
BSL Team Wars
5 days
RSL Revival
6 days
Online Event
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

BSL 20 Team Wars
Chzzk MurlocKing SC1 vs SC2 Cup #2
HCC Europe

Ongoing

KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 3
BSL 21 Points
ASL Season 20
CSL 2025 AUTUMN (S18)
LASL Season 20
RSL Revival: Season 2
Maestros of the Game
FISSURE Playground #2
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1

Upcoming

2025 Chongqing Offline CUP
BSL Polish World Championship 2025
IPSL Winter 2025-26
BSL Season 21
SC4ALL: Brood War
BSL 21 Team A
Stellar Fest
SC4ALL: StarCraft II
EC S1
ESL Impact League Season 8
SL Budapest Major 2025
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
IEM Chengdu 2025
PGL Masters Bucharest 2025
MESA Nomadic Masters Fall
Thunderpick World Champ.
CS Asia Championships 2025
ESL Pro League S22
StarSeries Fall 2025
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.