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[N]A Mostly Normal Game of Mafia - Page 45

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:36 GMT
#881
i am gonna be here for an hour more and i am gonna be really mad if at least hapa doesnt talk to me like now.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:37 GMT
#882
On November 30 2020 08:35 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:34 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i want you guys to explanin (hapa and trfel) why this game has 50% of the townies blue?


Because if this exact scenario.

A "normally" balanced Mini is usually 3 mislynches = loss.

With the "evil mastermind" in the setup, 2 mislynches = loss.

Town needs a fuckton of help in this seutp.

i think 2 blues and a confirmed town in bg is already enough.

Now why am i mafia?
table for two on a tv tray
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:37 GMT
#883
Just run some scenarios in your head about what happens if we don't lynch mafia or 3p on D1. It's not that hard to see how town basically rolls over and dies without some serious blue help.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:39 GMT
#884
and mad hatter is gonna do that? you get recruited by grack it's gg basically
table for two on a tv tray
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 29 2020 23:39 GMT
#885
On November 30 2020 08:30 Hapahauli wrote:
Trfel - talk to me about this "you or me" thing. Why does one of us have to be mafia?

Obviously throw out everything I'm about to say if we have another blue claim, but 2 mafia + Evil Mastermind is a fucking disaster for town without a lot of blue-role backup. In my view, you're confirmed town with FF.
Yes, I agree that that is a terrible setup for town. And honestly, this is where things get complicated for me with the whole setup thing.

2 mafia, 1 evil mastermind, 7 town seems like a really rough setup. However, the bodyguard also confirms a town. Going down to 6 town when (presumably) the evil mastermind recruits a town, if all of us are blue you are saying that 4/6 town in the game are confirmed? Three blues and a bodyguard? That seems a bit ridiculous to me.

I agree that maybe that's actually more balanced... it just feels excessive? I've only ever seen three blues in a non-mason game once before I think, mayyyybe twice... but last time it happened, I think we would have been more likely to win the game if it wasn't for having three blues because that made one of the blues doubt the alignment of another.

I guess it's not for sure but it seems likely, setup-wise? Because that would be so many confirmed town. Also, in a setup with so much KP, would they really put more KP in the game? I would have maybe expected another doctor or something to try and gain town an extra mislynch, but more KP seems strange.

I dunno for sure. I feel like you are towny otherwise, I looked through your filter and I don't see good reasons to call you mafia... But it's really really hard for me to see four confirmed town in a 10-player game.
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:40 GMT
#886
On November 30 2020 08:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:35 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:34 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i want you guys to explanin (hapa and trfel) why this game has 50% of the townies blue?


Because if this exact scenario.

A "normally" balanced Mini is usually 3 mislynches = loss.

With the "evil mastermind" in the setup, 2 mislynches = loss.

Town needs a fuckton of help in this seutp.

i think 2 blues and a confirmed town in bg is already enough.

Now why am i mafia?


In my mind, it's you, TT, or Vivax.

Of the three, I am probably the most confident in Vivax being mafia.

I have to sit down and read you and TT, and I will likely not have thoughts until a very deep readthrough. A readthrough that I won't do right this second, because talking with you and Trfel is the priority.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:41 GMT
#887
On November 30 2020 08:39 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:30 Hapahauli wrote:
Trfel - talk to me about this "you or me" thing. Why does one of us have to be mafia?

Obviously throw out everything I'm about to say if we have another blue claim, but 2 mafia + Evil Mastermind is a fucking disaster for town without a lot of blue-role backup. In my view, you're confirmed town with FF.
Yes, I agree that that is a terrible setup for town. And honestly, this is where things get complicated for me with the whole setup thing.

2 mafia, 1 evil mastermind, 7 town seems like a really rough setup. However, the bodyguard also confirms a town. Going down to 6 town when (presumably) the evil mastermind recruits a town, if all of us are blue you are saying that 4/6 town in the game are confirmed? Three blues and a bodyguard? That seems a bit ridiculous to me.

I agree that maybe that's actually more balanced... it just feels excessive? I've only ever seen three blues in a non-mason game once before I think, mayyyybe twice... but last time it happened, I think we would have been more likely to win the game if it wasn't for having three blues because that made one of the blues doubt the alignment of another.

I guess it's not for sure but it seems likely, setup-wise? Because that would be so many confirmed town. Also, in a setup with so much KP, would they really put more KP in the game? I would have maybe expected another doctor or something to try and gain town an extra mislynch, but more KP seems strange.

I dunno for sure. I feel like you are towny otherwise, I looked through your filter and I don't see good reasons to call you mafia... But it's really really hard for me to see four confirmed town in a 10-player game.


Thing is, you are forgetting about the Evil Mastermind, and how much that fucks town if a blue is recruited.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:42 GMT
#888
On November 30 2020 08:40 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:35 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:34 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i want you guys to explanin (hapa and trfel) why this game has 50% of the townies blue?


Because if this exact scenario.

A "normally" balanced Mini is usually 3 mislynches = loss.

With the "evil mastermind" in the setup, 2 mislynches = loss.

Town needs a fuckton of help in this seutp.

i think 2 blues and a confirmed town in bg is already enough.

Now why am i mafia?


In my mind, it's you, TT, or Vivax.

Of the three, I am probably the most confident in Vivax being mafia.

I have to sit down and read you and TT, and I will likely not have thoughts until a very deep readthrough. A readthrough that I won't do right this second, because talking with you and Trfel is the priority.

But you said it's me and Vivax most likely? Like i know you prolly have vivax as your top scum but hah....
table for two on a tv tray
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:42 GMT
#889
3 blues is certainly a town "buff".

But is also a 3p buff.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:42 GMT
#890
On November 30 2020 08:41 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:39 Trfel wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:30 Hapahauli wrote:
Trfel - talk to me about this "you or me" thing. Why does one of us have to be mafia?

Obviously throw out everything I'm about to say if we have another blue claim, but 2 mafia + Evil Mastermind is a fucking disaster for town without a lot of blue-role backup. In my view, you're confirmed town with FF.
Yes, I agree that that is a terrible setup for town. And honestly, this is where things get complicated for me with the whole setup thing.

2 mafia, 1 evil mastermind, 7 town seems like a really rough setup. However, the bodyguard also confirms a town. Going down to 6 town when (presumably) the evil mastermind recruits a town, if all of us are blue you are saying that 4/6 town in the game are confirmed? Three blues and a bodyguard? That seems a bit ridiculous to me.

I agree that maybe that's actually more balanced... it just feels excessive? I've only ever seen three blues in a non-mason game once before I think, mayyyybe twice... but last time it happened, I think we would have been more likely to win the game if it wasn't for having three blues because that made one of the blues doubt the alignment of another.

I guess it's not for sure but it seems likely, setup-wise? Because that would be so many confirmed town. Also, in a setup with so much KP, would they really put more KP in the game? I would have maybe expected another doctor or something to try and gain town an extra mislynch, but more KP seems strange.

I dunno for sure. I feel like you are towny otherwise, I looked through your filter and I don't see good reasons to call you mafia... But it's really really hard for me to see four confirmed town in a 10-player game.


Thing is, you are forgetting about the Evil Mastermind, and how much that fucks town if a blue is recruited.

MY POINT EXACTLY; WHY YOU CLAIM STINKKKKKKKKKKKKKSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!
table for two on a tv tray
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
November 29 2020 23:42 GMT
#891
What is wrong with me removing Hapa from my PoE due to being an UnCC'd blue role yet still speculating the possibility of him being mafia?

In other news Sho is a weird kill... not totally sure what I make of it yet but seems like that points to Hapa being scum to me. I say that as I feel like a Sho kill indicates mafia was blue hunting.

As I assume we should have All claims happen today, I am VT.

And I will be decently happy if my yolo scum team D1 is correct.
I can take that responsibility.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:43 GMT
#892
What is your yolo scum tem D1?
table for two on a tv tray
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 29 2020 23:44 GMT
#893
It's an interesting setup for sure, and one that (in this case) makes for a fun and interesting game... but I don't think it's a good setup for future games. It's just so swingy, and I think this game working out okay relied on the exact perfect lynch Day 1.

I guess the fact that it's already such a weird setup makes me slightly hesitant to try and make reads off of setup things? It's usually correct but also sometimes it can lead to games being lost... like the game that had two town jailkeepers or whatever it was (Palmar and Blazinghand I believe), it required host intervention to stop town from lynching both in succession.

But it still just seems like so much confirmed town.......
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:45 GMT
#894
On November 30 2020 08:42 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:40 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:35 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:34 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i want you guys to explanin (hapa and trfel) why this game has 50% of the townies blue?


Because if this exact scenario.

A "normally" balanced Mini is usually 3 mislynches = loss.

With the "evil mastermind" in the setup, 2 mislynches = loss.

Town needs a fuckton of help in this seutp.

i think 2 blues and a confirmed town in bg is already enough.

Now why am i mafia?


In my mind, it's you, TT, or Vivax.

Of the three, I am probably the most confident in Vivax being mafia.

I have to sit down and read you and TT, and I will likely not have thoughts until a very deep readthrough. A readthrough that I won't do right this second, because talking with you and Trfel is the priority.

But you said it's me and Vivax most likely? Like i know you prolly have vivax as your top scum but hah....


Rayn, you are too good of a player for me to point at anything specific in your filter to find a scumslip. That is not a realistic way of how I am going to catch you. And even if there is something "suspicious", it's not like there's a way to argue against it. You're a good scum player, and I respect that.

But my sense of your play is twofold:
1) You have been more "passive" than normal. I have had the "luck" of being able to really easily town read you based on your "rage" in the last two games I've played with you, and I do not have that luxury this game.
2) Nothing that you are doing is out of the scope of your scumplay.

Fuck, I can even come up with good reasons against why my reads don't hold water, so you don't have to do it for me. But right now, we're in process of elimination territory.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 29 2020 23:46 GMT
#895
On November 30 2020 08:42 Tictock wrote:
What is wrong with me removing Hapa from my PoE due to being an UnCC'd blue role yet still speculating the possibility of him being mafia?

In other news Sho is a weird kill... not totally sure what I make of it yet but seems like that points to Hapa being scum to me. I say that as I feel like a Sho kill indicates mafia was blue hunting.

As I assume we should have All claims happen today, I am VT.

And I will be decently happy if my yolo scum team D1 is correct.
I guess it's whatever if you don't see anything wrong with it, to me a POE means you're pretty darn sure everyone else is town though?
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:46 GMT
#896
##vote hapahauli
table for two on a tv tray
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:47 GMT
#897
On November 30 2020 08:42 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2020 08:41 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:39 Trfel wrote:
On November 30 2020 08:30 Hapahauli wrote:
Trfel - talk to me about this "you or me" thing. Why does one of us have to be mafia?

Obviously throw out everything I'm about to say if we have another blue claim, but 2 mafia + Evil Mastermind is a fucking disaster for town without a lot of blue-role backup. In my view, you're confirmed town with FF.
Yes, I agree that that is a terrible setup for town. And honestly, this is where things get complicated for me with the whole setup thing.

2 mafia, 1 evil mastermind, 7 town seems like a really rough setup. However, the bodyguard also confirms a town. Going down to 6 town when (presumably) the evil mastermind recruits a town, if all of us are blue you are saying that 4/6 town in the game are confirmed? Three blues and a bodyguard? That seems a bit ridiculous to me.

I agree that maybe that's actually more balanced... it just feels excessive? I've only ever seen three blues in a non-mason game once before I think, mayyyybe twice... but last time it happened, I think we would have been more likely to win the game if it wasn't for having three blues because that made one of the blues doubt the alignment of another.

I guess it's not for sure but it seems likely, setup-wise? Because that would be so many confirmed town. Also, in a setup with so much KP, would they really put more KP in the game? I would have maybe expected another doctor or something to try and gain town an extra mislynch, but more KP seems strange.

I dunno for sure. I feel like you are towny otherwise, I looked through your filter and I don't see good reasons to call you mafia... But it's really really hard for me to see four confirmed town in a 10-player game.


Thing is, you are forgetting about the Evil Mastermind, and how much that fucks town if a blue is recruited.

MY POINT EXACTLY; WHY YOU CLAIM STINKKKKKKKKKKKKKSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!


Then why didn't you vote me yesterday? I all but claimed in my posting after my roleblock claim fiasco that I was a Mad Hatter. This should have been apparent to you then.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 29 2020 23:48 GMT
#898
And I know you aren't stupid enough not to pick up on that.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
November 29 2020 23:48 GMT
#899
On November 30 2020 07:59 Hapahauli wrote:
Ooooh interesting.

I am a Mad Hatter. My intent in playing as I did (not running for mayor) was to have a chance of using my role. I targeted Vivax N1 (roleblocked) on the basis of my scumread. I targeted Shockeyy N2, in that if I was killed, I would rather leave town in a position where they had to worry about one less lurker. Plus, if I take someone down with me (even if my read is incorrect), it's still LYLO as opposed to MYLO.

I do not think Trfel's claim necessarily makes him mafia. I'm also not sure why someone else being roleblocked tonight would confirm "one of me or Trfel" as mafia.

More thoughts when I'm home tonight.


Why would mafia leave you alive after you claimed?

Like if I try and look at a world where both of you are town, then mafia is going "why did this guy claim rb" D2 and yet somehow they decide to RB Trfel and Shoot Sho last Night? That makes no sense
I can take that responsibility.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 29 2020 23:48 GMT
#900
On November 30 2020 08:48 Hapahauli wrote:
And I know you aren't stupid enough not to pick up on that.

huh?where was your claim?
table for two on a tv tray
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