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[M][N] Onegu is the Best Host Mafia Part 2 - Page 72

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disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
August 13 2016 13:12 GMT
#1421
Why Luna is scum, and you are scum too, if you don't vote him D4


Disclaimer: Might be slightly biased


Part 0: Filter Dive

On August 08 2016 23:55 Lunaticman wrote:
Meh tbh I'm just really busy with life, it's actually a coincidence. However the first lynch is almost always a town. So I'm fine with switching just on that reason alone.

"I don't care who I misslynch." IMO the bolded part is nothing a town would say. Also implies not caring at all.

Lots of soft pushes then starts the tunnel on me.
On August 09 2016 06:23 Lunaticman wrote:
I actually want to lynch dis now, because if he flips red I think we can catch the other 2 quite easy.

If I am wrong please enlighten me, but I don't feel like kush is mafia.

Doesn't sound like he really believes I am scum and wants to lynch me mainly for information all of a sudden.

refuses to unvote me even at points where it looks like there won't be a lynch at all. anti-town.

On August 09 2016 07:05 Lunaticman wrote:
I fucking knew it.

after the town!kush flip. trying to distance oneself from a ML is classic scum behaviour.

On August 09 2016 17:01 Lunaticman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 16:57 disformation wrote:
Good morning.
As time progresses GB is wandering down towards the bottom of my list. Unwillingness to change ones reads is a good scum indicator in my experience. Not that he really has any reads besides me. Might be a bit biased therefore though.

I want to completely reread/reevaluate grack and luna.

@Luna: I still have no idea why you want to lynch me. Plus now you are saying that the other guy who wants to lynch me is a good shot? You are making very little sense to me.
Also it is night time your current vote is invalid.

TBH Luna might just be one of those ppl I can't read for shit, but let me look at his filter later.
Also not going the VCA at work, so you guys have to wait for this evening for that.


Your making the mistake of thinking that any post more recent than my past page is actually relevant to my line of thinking.

Glowingbear is the one that stands out from the votes, since me and kush are town. Would the mafia put all three players on the train?

If you think yes, Glowingbear is town. If your answer is no, then he should be lynched.

Also Grac please step up, I know you can do better.


I call him out on his not really explained scum read on me, he reacts with dismissal and refusing to take responsibility for things he said in the past. Outright dismissal of a valid question is a scum tell.

Few more soft pushes, then this gem D2:
On August 11 2016 04:50 Lunaticman wrote:
So can we start speculating on who the two mafia buddies are if GB flips scum?

It feels like that is better than the whole thread being afk for 30 hours.

Ignoring the posts other ppl (eG me) had made previously to that. So complaining about nothing happening, while doing nothing. Returns after ~14-15 hours to post the case on me, after he gets called out for doing nothing. See Part 2 for more details on the case.

On August 12 2016 02:39 Lunaticman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 21:00 disformation wrote:
also: if you thought i might be blue. why the fuck did you vote me d1?


hehe good point, I think I just felt it was a mafia power role based on your behavior at the start of the day. Besides all roles have been claimed right so it's moot now anyway.

On August 12 2016 02:48 Lunaticman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2016 02:40 disformation wrote:
On August 12 2016 02:39 Lunaticman wrote:
On August 11 2016 21:00 disformation wrote:
also: if you thought i might be blue. why the fuck did you vote me d1?


hehe good point, I think I just felt it was a mafia power role based on your behavior at the start of the day. Besides all roles have been claimed right so it's moot now anyway.

no its not. its scum indicative for you to have voted someone who you thought might be blue.


Nah it was more of a 50/50, in either case a blue role would have claimed so no misslynch would have happend. There was only upsides going for you.

Actually we all should lynch him for these two posts alone. Dead serious here.

Rest of his filter is literally just a few soft pushes here and there and still thinking i am basically scum with whoever is the current lynch. Ah and not making sense.


Part 1: Overall contribution to the game

A bunch of soft pushes here and there. Never goes anywhere with them. 100% tunnel on me. Unwilling to reconsider in the face of new evidence.
Verdict:
Not solving the game, therefore scum. Not reevaluation as the game goes on, therefore scum.


Part 2: The most scummy case in the history of ever

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 11 2016 20:03 Lunaticman wrote:
[image loading]

The case against Disinformation, who promptly lives up to his name as a mafia spreading lies and deceit:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Disclamer: Still learning how to format stuff on this site.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Show nested quote +
On August 07 2016 07:29 disformation wrote:
On August 07 2016 07:20 Tumblewood wrote:
On August 07 2016 06:58 disformation wrote:
So how's everyone doing at this fine <insert local time of day here>?
@Tumble: have we played in a game together before? I think I obs-warriored a few games you were in, but not sure if we played together yet.

no

hm. thought so. Lots of ppl I haven't played with before in this actually.
I am also noticing quite a bit of brevity on your part. I do hope your <insert local time of day here> is okay. Or are you unhappy with which fate RNGesus provided you?


This very first post set of red flags for me, it actually implies that he has a power role. Since he never stated he was happy or unhappy with his own role, it is in all regards a Freudian slip after reading his own role pm. I wanted to save this for later but it feels like the right time to reveal it considering that all the blue roles have been claimed.
He then posts 4 posts in a row just WIFOIMNG which indicates that he is kinda chill about the whole game, of course he is because he knows who the mafia are.

Then this gem appears:

Show nested quote +
On August 07 2016 23:53 disformation wrote:
On August 07 2016 23:47 GlowingBear wrote:
On August 07 2016 16:11 sicklucker wrote:
wanna just rng this shit


Mafia


On August 07 2016 23:51 GlowingBear wrote:
Town
Damdred

Mafia
Disformation


Step up people.

Where is sicklucker in the second post?


With the information now available to us it is easy to see that the GB mafia is trying to shade the Disinformation mafia for late game cred. It also such an early post that is feels constructed in a way, taking a stance to look like town. But early enough you can just claim WIFOIMING later. Or at the very late game when Disinformation is lynched and GB is alive towncred. It is all followed by a "I was joking post". Obviously the mafia had a change of heart. It is actually a very clever way to create distance between the two players.

The rest of his filter is full of filler but no effort to solve the game or any real content. He states several times he is going to look at mine/Gracs meta from last game. But never truly arrives at any conclusion. His filter is also full of statements that he is going to do all this work but it never arrives. I have yet to see a single list from his work.

And now look at the conversation between the posts 287# - 303#. With the information now available Tumble our Jailer is positive either Grac or Dis are mafia. The entire exchange is intresting since GB is indeed mafia just look at the votelist from around that time it is obvious that the mafia are trying to save disinformation when they failed to start a train on me.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Vote Count - Day 1

disformation (4): GlowingBear, nnn_thekushmountains, Grackaroni, Lunaticman
Grackaroni (4): Tumblewood, disformation, sicklucker, mderg, disformation
Lunaticman (1): Holyflare, disformation
nnn_thekushmountains (0): Grackaroni

Not voted (4): Shapelog, Stutters695, Vivax, Damdred

Currently no one is slated to be lynched.
There are 13 players presently alive and 7 are needed for the lynch.
This day ends in 0m 0s at 00:00 CEST (+02:00).

The voting thread is here and only votes in the voting thread will be counted.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

At this critical junction we have one mafia bussing but I would be surprised if two mafia were bussing this early this speaks volumes about Grac being a VT.

With the coloring and my townreads on Mderg and SL there are only a few names left in the trio not known. It comes down to Shapelog or Stutters. I don't think a mafia would be as inactive as Stutters as Viva was so atm the current mafia team looks like this:

Shapelog/GB/Disinformation

It is also cute to look at the interactions between Shapelog/GB and Dis, they are really doing a good job separating their reads/communication etc. There is for example a long qoute on shapelog from Dis where he basically says nothing.


Note: I have tons of posts qouted but it was just to much work atm, also the coloring on dis is based on my read and GB from cop claim. Even if GB flips town it is highly likely that disinformation is still mafia.









  1. The blue stuff happens. See Part 1.
  2. Huge part about me being scum with GB.
  3. On August 11 2016 20:03 Lunaticman wrote:
    The rest of his filter is full of filler but no effort to solve the game or any real content. He states several times he is going to look at mine/Gracs meta from last game. But never truly arrives at any conclusion. His filter is also full of statements that he is going to do all this work but it never arrives. I have yet to see a single list from his work.

    Blatantly misrepresenting/discrediting me. Huge scum tell.
  4. Bit of VCA based on GB being scum.
  5. Then at the end this gem:
    On August 11 2016 20:03 Lunaticman wrote:Note: I have tons of posts qouted but it was just to much work atm, also the coloring on dis is based on my read and GB from cop claim. Even if GB flips town it is highly likely that disinformation is still mafia.

    "Well even though 90% of my case hinges on disf being scum with GB, disf is scum regardless, cause..."
    Funnily also enables him to be pushing me even after GB flipped green... wonder if he saw that coming.
  6. On August 11 2016 21:22 disformation wrote:
    also tw could have been killed gor a number of reasons. he was widely townread, active etc... maybe he was blue sniped. i sure as hell dont know.

    ofc luna picks the reason that fits his narrative the most.



Verdict:
You might ask me: "But disformation, he is a newer player, maybe these were honest mistakes instead of scum tells?"
And I will say: "Why not Zoidberg both?"

A few things I can see coming from a newer town player e.g. the TW thing or the overmuch reliance on the association.
Points 1,3 and 5 are very very scummy.




Bonus: Bit of WIFOM

Disclaimer: this is me going full WIFOM tinfoil mode.
I want to talk a bit about the few good posts he had, that everyone liked.
On August 09 2016 05:54 Lunaticman wrote:
Well one positive thing about this is that mafia probably spread their votes at this point. So when we get one flipped we should be able to figure out the rest of them purely based on the voting patterns.

On August 09 2016 05:59 Lunaticman wrote:
Tbh if I was mafia I would put one on town lead since we have to have majority, one on standby and one on a train.

So far I don't think it is either of Shape/Grac.

It has to be one of the early posters too.

It wouldn't be a reach to think something like Damdred/Stutter/Dis following that logic right?

I also feel it is strange that dis and Grac has changed their votes two times each.

On August 09 2016 06:17 Lunaticman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 06:10 Holyflare wrote:
Also luna can you tell me why you said that comment earlier about 1 mafia on someone and 1 not voting? Talk me through what went through your mind


Since the game is based on majority voting, the best play for mafia is the spread the votes as much as possible.

I just used my thought process based on that assumption. To catch a killer you have to think like a killer.

Damdred for example has the perfect excuse, he can just claim he wanted the town to lynch. So even if it is a misslynch he will get towncred.

That's why I went in and voted even though I didn't have time to read the thread earlier.

People also tend to use me a lot as bait I've noticed. I'm easy towncred and even if I flip green there are so many people scum reading me the town wont know what to do either way.


Note: HF dropped his scum read on him for this.
What if that was a plan they made in Scum QT to WIFOM all of us. It is a mechanically strong play, so not too suspicious if someone comes up with it. I.E. scum could have been voting 2 on 1 wagon and 1 on 1 wagon and post this to WIFOM town.




Part 6: Conclusion

Between his reluctance to do much of anything besides pushing me, some pretty bad scum tells (e.g. the blue thing) and a lot of little questionable things, these points outweigh the few points in favour of him. Lynch with fire. KTHXBYE.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
August 13 2016 13:14 GMT
#1422
Also I would like SL to elaborate/give an update on:
On August 11 2016 23:08 sicklucker wrote:
acualy im pretty sure lunatic is just scum. he was an easy town read for me last time. this time hes playing way different
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 13:16 GMT
#1423
You're wasting your time playing this game if you're going to just lynch me.

SL you're full of crao of course mafia do things that make them look good after a flip.

For instance you're calling me mafia but I had a theory that damdred was a fake vig and was a mafia vig with stutters yet damdred stilll died and stutters is a green check. You're calling me mafia so in some region of your brain you're acknowleding that "mafia" say things that make them look better in a situation.

So basically you're full of shit and using twisted logic because you're mafia and it suits you to push this lynch.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 13:19 GMT
#1424
Also, you can check every mafia qt I've ever been in disfo, I don't make plans as mafia about posts.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 13:24 GMT
#1425
In fact I'd like you to point to one mafi game where I try and fuck over my team by fake claiming something like this and get myself lynched.

I've certainly done it as town many times.
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
August 13 2016 14:44 GMT
#1426
Vote Count - Day 3


Holyflare (5): Grackaroni, sicklucker, mderg, Lunaticman, disformation

Not voted (3): Holyflare, Shapelog, Stutters695

Currently Holyflare is slated to be lynched.
There are 8 players presently alive and 5 are needed for the lynch.
This day ends in at 22:00 GMT (+00:00).


The voting thread is here and only votes in the voting thread will be counted.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
August 13 2016 15:35 GMT
#1427
On August 13 2016 22:14 disformation wrote:
Also I would like SL to elaborate/give an update on:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 23:08 sicklucker wrote:
acualy im pretty sure lunatic is just scum. he was an easy town read for me last time. this time hes playing way different


I explained my read it still stands. except I dont think he would be mafia with hf alot here but its possible
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 15:47 GMT
#1428
On August 14 2016 00:35 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2016 22:14 disformation wrote:
Also I would like SL to elaborate/give an update on:
On August 11 2016 23:08 sicklucker wrote:
acualy im pretty sure lunatic is just scum. he was an easy town read for me last time. this time hes playing way different


I explained my read it still stands. except I dont think he would be mafia with hf alot here but its possible


Also read as:

"My read on Lunatic still stands because Holyflare is town."
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
August 13 2016 16:04 GMT
#1429
no
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 16:55 GMT
#1430
How does me being alive change your ability to give reads on other people SL?
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 13 2016 17:38 GMT
#1431
Sorry guys. Got in a fairly bad car accident yesterday. Car is fucked. Been dealing with the insurance company all day. I've got today off otherwise so I'll try to get some stuff together.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 17:39 GMT
#1432
Hope you're okay :/

I green checked you btw.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 13 2016 17:45 GMT
#1433
Yeah, I'm fine. Got sick while driving, threw up and skidded off the road into a pole. I feel bad for the insurance company having to clean that. Anyway I'm reading your filter now.

I saw you mentioned you've fake claimed as town before, are there any specific games you can think of where you've done that?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 17:54 GMT
#1434
Uh, the majority of them I at least fake claim at one point, usually night though :/

But I'm not fake claiming which is kind of the point I just wanted more checks without getting mafia rbd if they had one which was likely.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/480042-tl-mafia-lxx-guardians-of-the-galaxy?user=Holyflare

I fake claimed mason with onegu and SL was mafia and did a weird conspiracy theory on it because he knew our alignments or w/e and that's why this game threw me off on him a lot
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 17:58 GMT
#1435
If you want an example of me actually playing to win as mafia here:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/487093-mafia-in-the-himalayas?user=Holyflare

and here is the mafia qt:

http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/3rcKficCDHd

it was almost a necessity that I fake claim in that game as mafia to survive and I still didn't do it and instead got the peons on my team to do it so they could sacrifice themselves for me to win endgame. Basically as mafia I have an even larger ego and am much more argumentative and most definitely would not let anyone else carry the game instead of me when my mafia win rate is my most precious stat.

Conversely, I don't care about my town win rate and fake claim a lot.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 13 2016 18:01 GMT
#1436
I know you claimed again (makes sense from either alignment tbh), just want to check your thought process when you've faked previously to see some things.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
August 13 2016 18:04 GMT
#1437
Well day 1 pretty much went the same way as this day so I wanted to avoid that and spice some things up.

Pretty much every good player: Damdred, GB, Vivax (and all been town loool) that I used to play with has been afk this entire game and I don't think I want to play again if that's their MOs or at least not in the same games with them unless there's a high activity requirement.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
August 13 2016 18:11 GMT
#1438
I might actually be open to no lynching today and waiting for the night kill.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
August 13 2016 18:12 GMT
#1439
Nah it's not worth it.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
August 13 2016 18:19 GMT
#1440
If we no lynch today it gives us less people to be suspicious of (3v2) and (2v1) lynches as opposed to (4v2) and (3v1) but it requires every single person agreeing to consolidate.

In this case a single townie missing a vote allows mafia to force a no lynch and win with the night kill.
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