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Newbie Mini Mafia XLIV - Page 67

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Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 15 2013 22:50 GMT
#1321
I never got caught up through the night~~not going to be around and posting actively until tomorrow morning (pdt)~I might comment a little I guess, we'll see.
Going to thought dump my reads so you guys know, etc

Townie:
Hzflank, Chrom, Sponge
They were around a lot when I wanted to talk, have been proactively posting, and I get a townie gut read from them~What they've done has had pro town motivation.
Kinda townie:
Xzavier
He's been around, I like what he's posted, reminds me of the other game I played with him, but hasn't actually done much. I want him to go do something.
Null:Rainbows, Alakaslam, Onegu
Alakaslam and Onegu haven't posted enough for me to really get a read on them, since all they did was dump thoughts throughout the night. Some of their reads I remember disagreeing with (I haven't caught up past page 62ish). Alakaslam is confusing but whatever, I'll get the hang of it eventually
Rainbows has gut read as townie, but he hasn't really nailed down and pursued a scum read like I expected he would. He is present, but hasn't done shit. Would rather he go do shit.
slightly scummy: Gotard, Night, Koshi,
Gotard is only very slightly scummy though. Koshi and Night I'm a lot less sure on, Koshi has been around a lot and posted pretty erratically, and has done basically nothing to help town, but hasn't necessarily played like a scum would (imo)
Night is just weird, fuck it, post more, lynch all lurkers etcetcetcetcetc (has done nothing blah blah)
Preferred lynch: STILL SUPERFLUOUS
He's done nothing to make me want to lynch him less, it was just a competition between Kirby and him, he's gone silent, I still think he's a better lynch, would like to pursue this as a lynch.
I think I talked about everyone.

Lynch order is Superfluous>Night>Koshi>Gotard unless something happens to change my mind.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25558 Posts
July 15 2013 22:52 GMT
#1322
night actions have to be submitted before the night ends, in about an hour
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 15 2013 23:59 GMT
#1323
Last Woollen Testy Men:

General thoughts
We need to stop the sheeping. People need to actually provide reasons for their votes.

There is no way to get a good read on Alakaslam at this point.

Super

Super has not posted anything to make me change my read on him.

The problem that I have with Super being scum is that the day 1 lynch seemed more like town-town than town-scum. There was a great deal of sheeping that began long before the deadline. The fact that Super and Kirby did not attack each other was odd, given the circumstances.

I see poor value in continuing to push Super regarding his play in the early part of day 1. Therefore, I hope to see him post more during day 2 and hopefully someone can engage him and produce fresh information.

Scum until proven more innocent.

Gotard

Scum after 24 hours. Started to make a few better posts but then became a lurker. Finally gave us one scum read, but has not pushed it.

Needs to be pressured on day 2, at the very least. Must not be allowed to lurk to avoid being lynched.

Nightcat

Needs to give us some reads with original reasoning. It is his first game so we can let him off for not doing that on day 1, but he cannot be allowed to just sheep forever.

I did not like the fact that he thought that Kirby would be a better day 2 target.

Rainbows

His apathy about the day 1 lynch is understandable, but still alarming. He started the game very confident but suddenly lost his confidence, even though he was never put under any pressure.

Chrom
I cannot see a good scum motivation for his defence of Super. If he had started to defend his late then it could be scum association. But Chrom started defending Super at a point when scum just did not need to, regardless of Super's alignment.

Ask yourself this: If Super is town, why would a scum-chrom of defended him so heavily? If Super is scum, why would a scum-chrom of started to defend him so early?

Umasi

Although there are some individual points that look scummy, there is just so much town in his filter.

---

Wanted to post more but got distracted and out of time. If I die, pressure Super and Gotard on day 2. Dont let people keep sheeping.
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 16 2013 00:04 GMT
#1324
On July 15 2013 23:46 Nightcat99 wrote:
I just woke up but i have a question i been thinking about.

Regardless that there is a mislynch, do you think the scum will kill one of the tribunal tonight to ensure that theres less voting power tonight, and if none of them die tonight does that make a the tribunal suspicious?


Now that we're past the deadline, I want to point out that this post scared the crap out of me. This just screams 'Please help me direct my NK, guys' to me.

The mafia in this game may be scared of the Tribunal (which isn't even a real thing, as I've explained) if Umasi, Rainbows and Myself all actually happen to be town.

I was sad that Chrom posted his huge (compelling and legitimate) case on Nightcat as I was planning to pressure him hard after the deadline tonight / early Day 2. I will still do so if I don't die tonight. But if my clues from Nightcat are correct, I may be the NK target.
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:06 GMT
#1325
just curious if none of you guys on the tribunal die , does that make me less suspicious?
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 16 2013 00:06 GMT
#1326
That's why you do not give your strong town reads during the night phase. But Nightcat is new, so he would not know that.
Xzavier
Profile Joined January 2013
United States393 Posts
July 16 2013 00:07 GMT
#1327
nightcat, being that its your first mafia game, you do understand WIFOM right?
Mafia :D
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 16 2013 00:07 GMT
#1328
On July 16 2013 09:06 Nightcat99 wrote:
just curious if none of you guys on the tribunal die , does that make me less suspicious?


Not really. Scum control the NK. It can be hard for town to read a lot into it.
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:09 GMT
#1329
actually no, xzavier , mind explaining that?
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 16 2013 00:10 GMT
#1330
To elaborate on that: In this game you get trapped by circular logic. There are certain things that you cannot deduce until you have some constants. The Nightkill target is one of these things.

We do not talk about things during the night phase that might help scum to better direct their kill, but we cannot deduce too much information from that kill.

Day phase belongs to town, night phase belongs to scum.
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:11 GMT
#1331
ok so what does WIFOM stand for?
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:12 GMT
#1332
but now i understand why there was insane active level during the day and on the night things got quiet down alot, so thank you for that.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 16 2013 00:12 GMT
#1333
Wine In Front Of Me.

I have 2 glasses of wine. You know that one of them is poisoned. I give one of the glasses to you. Which glass do you want to drink from?
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:13 GMT
#1334
btw i am refreshing constantly to see who dies , is that evil of me? :D
Xzavier
Profile Joined January 2013
United States393 Posts
July 16 2013 00:13 GMT
#1335
im not as qualified to explain it as others, but ill tell you to look it up. im just goign to give an example:

I think that player A is scum.

i get night killed.

therefore player A must be scum removing a potential threat right?

not really, becasuse scum might be player B killing me just so everybody thinks its player A thats scum.

thats basically as simple an explanation of wifom i can give
Mafia :D
Nightcat99
Profile Joined December 2010
United States239 Posts
July 16 2013 00:15 GMT
#1336
i found the wiki on it with the wine in front of me , but thank you very much for the info
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
July 16 2013 00:15 GMT
#1337
EBWOP

You do not know which glass is poisoned, only that one of them is. I know which glass I poisoned and will let you choose which to drink. The one that I gave to you or the one that I kept for myself?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25558 Posts
July 16 2013 00:17 GMT
#1338
Night 1 is over. please stand by for day post
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 16 2013 00:24 GMT
#1339
Getting some thoughts out while I can. Sorry if this post lacks direction, but I've been limiting the content of my posting during night-time to deny mafia sensitive information. I think everyone should be looking to make a post similar to what Chromatically posted here:

On July 16 2013 05:09 Chromatically wrote:
Okay, here's what I've got. I can't be here at deadline so I'm going to post it now.

Scum are in the group of Xzav, Rainbows, Nightcat, Gotard, Super. Everyone else is too town.


Koshi is town. He's posting too much and drawing too much attention to be mafia. I thought it was weird how he changed from "we should follow others" to a STRONG Super read, but if you look at his filter it feels very natural. He gradually moves and becomes more and more entrenched as time goes along, which is pretty town. Scum would be much more likely to just say "I think Super is scum" and then stay on his lynch and push it a little. There's no reason to do this and draw all that attention as scum when you could easily just artificially put a vote on Super.

There's also a little bit of "too mental to be mafia" with his self vote stunt. Martyring stuff like that isn't necessarily townie, but it would just be a REALLY bold move as mafia.

His pressure on me before and after the lynch, and his general actions after the lynch are townie. He's been hardcore pushing his read on me, and what he's saying makes sense from a town POV (for the most part). He's mostly tunneling me, which would be possible to fake as scum, but he's a central figure in the discussion now and it doesn't seem like scum at all.



Super still feels townieish to me. It's mostly a gut read, but his posting feels open and honest to me. He's given some reads at this point that feel natural to me. I don't think that scum would randomly start talking about the cop like he did. I also think that yesterday was town-town wagons because of the general amount of apathy and unjustified voting that went around.



Xzavier just hasn't done anything to make me feel that he's town. I hate that he gave a really long list of reads and didn't actually come to any conclusions on whether people were town or not, the entire purpose of a list of reads. The rest of his posting actually looks fine to me though. He's mostly here by process of elimination.



Rainbows' big problem is his apathy about the lynch. hz's already pointed it out, but it makes no sense from a town perspective. First, he posts this:
Show nested quote +
On July 15 2013 06:24 Rainbows wrote:
Okay so here's my thing.

Kirby is town. His list post and recent activity feels townie.

Super might be scum. Lynch him. But I think both might be town here.

If I'm right I believe Koshi/Gotard/plus one lurker are scumteam.

Id love to explain but again, working atm. Im trying to shoot off what im thinking as we go but it sucks i cant quote here. Will probably be voting super again later.

"Both might be town, but Super is scummier."

Then this:
Show nested quote +
On July 15 2013 07:32 Rainbows wrote:
I feel as if we should lynch both days 1 and 2.

This doesn't make sense with what he just said at all.

He then sheeps onto the Kirby wagon with no resistance at all. He doesn't even protest at all.

Show nested quote +
On July 16 2013 03:58 Rainbows wrote:
Hey guys.

By the end of Day 1 I thought both super and Kirby were probably town and wanted to lynch one because nobody wanted to lynch Gotard. Just because I think they might be town doesn't mean they shouldn't be lynched. I don't know their alignment, nor does any other townie. I'd have preferred to lynch somebody else but even with the Tribunal shit going down it didn't look like It'd happen.

So, I gave very little shits who was lynched. It's day 1. Tomorrow shit gets real.

If I were scum I'd know the alignments of both these guys and have a strong stance and just never really waver from it. Hz, I'm blatantly thinking about the game and trying to figure out who was town/scum. I thought Kirby was prolly town, yes, but i don't know he's town. Super was scummier objectively imo, but it seemed a lot like he just played 'follow the cop' a lot on epicmafia or something. I jumped around terribly. It doesn't mean I'm mafia -- it means I don't know wtf anyone is in this game.

It would have been hell of a lot less suspicious to just jump on either candidate (provided super is town as well) and just sit there.


It is possible that it comes from town, yes, but that doesn't remove the scumminess of it. If he thought that Kirby had a better chance of flipping town, I would expect ANY townie to give at least minimal resistance. No resistance was given at all.

Also, where on earth did this attitude go?
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 07:29 Rainbows wrote:
I demolished a game as scum and troll claimed cop and ppl still believed me. my first town game i called out scum d1 ezpz. Last game i had 2 of 3 scum on my list of 3, but nobody believed me.

thats my history.

He went from "calling out scum d1 ez" to "I gave very little shits who was lynched, it's day 1, I don't know wtf anyone is in this game" when he was pressured about it.



Gotard has already been talked about a lot. His problem is that he gives out WAY to many townreads and, more importantly, defends too many people.

For example, the Stim thing. He first posts this about Stim:
Show nested quote +

2) StiMaDDict - bad town. It would be too easy if he's mafia.


But then when I talk to him about it, here's what he says:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 20:51 Gotard wrote:
Because it's obvious that he's mad that you think that he's mafia. I don't see any reasoning behind his posts except for being mad. Why would he write posts like that if he's mafia?

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 21:35 Gotard wrote:
But there was no reason for him to get mad if he's mafia.

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 22:41 Gotard wrote:
Yeah he looks bad or i should say useless for town. But you need to ask yourself "What would he gain with posts like that as mafia?". Bad town not mafia.

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 22:52 Gotard wrote:
So what he need to do to prove himself innocence? You are tunneling him too hard. You need to see the difference between someone being bad and scummy. I don't see any reason to rage like that if you are mafia.


Why didn't he mention any of this in his original post? Why is he so confident that Stim is town if his reason is that "It would be too easy if he's mafia"? This whole time, I was explaining why it would be beneficial for Stim to ragequit, be he was ADAMANT that Stim was town. He was extremely, unusually confident in this townread for no reason.

He also defended me and Umasi from Koshi a little for no reason. He then sheeped onto Kirby with a little justification, and then sailed through the lynch.

Show nested quote +
On July 16 2013 02:44 Gotard wrote:
On July 15 2013 07:46 Koshi wrote:
On July 15 2013 07:43 Chromatically wrote:
I would consolidate if it is literally the only way to avoid a no lynch.

THIS IS BULLSHIT


TOWN WE ARE GOING TO GET SO MUCH INFO WHEN WE LYNCH


THERE ARE ONLY 3 FUCKING SCUMS. A MISSLYNCH IS NOT BAD.




ARE YOU PEOPLE KIDDING ME? WE ALL AGREED THAT LYNCHING WAS GOOD. AND NOW CHROM WANTS TO PROTECT SUPER SO MADLY THAT A NO LYNHC IS OK?



WE AGREE THAT THEY BOTH LOOK SCUM. FUCK THIS

Getting mad after misreading. Emotional plays like that indicates bad town to me. Unless he wants to fake being mad after I defended Stim.

His case on Koshi called him "bad town" (...) instead of mafia, so why post it at all? Town is looking to find mafia. If he's going to case Koshi without actually thinking he's mafia, then he's just posting for the sake of posting - aka scum.



Nightcat is who I'd really like to lynch tomorrow. His posting is essentially all fluff. Look at this post for example:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2013 07:30 Nightcat99 wrote:
Just want to give an update on my situation, I am quiet busy today but i will catch up on everything before the first day ends. Since I will be home on Sunday about 2 pm est as long as the plane doesn't screw me over again.

I would like to vote after I reread everything again that,s nt on my tiny phone screen but as far as stim's situation , I feel that he's either a bad mafia or a angry townie , so either way not worth a vote now because now everyone will put an watchful eye on him.

This is pretty much the only read he's given apart from just sheeping the wagons (and a random town read), but it says literally nothing at all. He comes in a while after Stim has stopped being a topic of discussion and gives his thoughts as "he's either town or mafia" (like everyone else thought at that time). And then doesn't vote him of course because no one else is.

He randomly votes Kirby with no explanation, saying he'll explain later, but then he switches onto Super with literally NO explanation at all.
Show nested quote +
On July 15 2013 07:54 Nightcat99 wrote:
hi guys i just got back home and i am reading through the filters for jrkiby and super, i might have mis judge jirkiby plus it seems like he wont get enough vote to be lynch, since i am a supporter of lynch one person a day i am going to jump on the super wagon for now but i will read through everything first and i will difently till the end of the voting period, so i will be able to read any message from now.

I also wanted to apoloygize for my absents, i really dont go on trips that often and from the one this game was looking, i wasnt expecting it to start before i come back, but i will be here everyday from now one and be much more active.

#unvote jrkirby
#vote: superfluous

He doesn't even say that one of the cases convinced him, it's just that "I might have misjudged Kirby" with no reasoning why. The votes were 5-4 at the time in favor of Super, so the "consolidation" reason is quite obviously made up.

He later sheeps the "tribunal" in switching back to Kirby, but offers no resistance at all. Despite wanting to lynch Super for unknown reasons, he doesn't try to convince anyone to vote him.

What really tipped me off to him was what he posted right before the night post came up. Sadly, it was edited out, but here's essentially what it said:
Show nested quote +

We should've lynched Kirby day 2 instead.

Why on EARTH wouldn't you post that BEFORE the deadline instead? If you honestly think that, you should try to get people to switch off of Kirby.

The way he posted it, however, the only explanation is that he's trying to distance himself from the lynch by showing that he wasn't really in support of it.

Show nested quote +
On July 15 2013 09:26 Nightcat99 wrote:
Superfluous (4): hzlank, Koshi, Xzavier, jrkirby
jrkirby (7): StiMaDDict, Chromatically, Gotard, Hurricane Sponge, umasi, Rainbows, nightcat99
Xzavier (1): Superfluous

first of all, theres got to be some scum that jump on the jrkirby wagon because he was super helpful and its a good move to have him removed. super's vote on xzavier made no sense that wouldn't change anything, stim's last mintue vote.. i dotn even know whos playing but if it was stim then that last minute post seemed a bit mroe townie then scum. i dont feel like hurricane and umasi is scum but gotard and chrom is someone we shall look at . and about the votes that stayed on super.

those are more likely to be townie then not.

If he was super helpful, why wouldn't you resist his lynch? Why wouldn't you talk about this before the lynch actually occured?

More importantly, he doesn't even have a reason why he was "super helpful" apart from the fact that he was "active". I don't know about you, but I don't consider people to be "super helpful" if they're active right before they get lynched. This just reads like more distancing: "Kirby was SUPER helpful, I didn't REALLY support his lynch".


Now, I may not agree 100% with all of cchrom's reads (a lot of them do line up), but that's not what's important. For you guys who are getting frustrated that we're accusing you of not scumhunting: That is scumhunting at its finest. If everyone posted one Last Will-type post like that behind the Night Action deadline, but before the NK, Town would benefit greatly.

I'm glad we got Alakaslam and Onegu to replace in for the inactives. These are two extremely active, creative, and (in my opinion) personable players of the newbie game. I generally disagree with Alakaslam's reads, but we have all of Day 2 to talk about it. He was using gut reactions and misinterpreting a LOT of stuff that went down. I'll probably have to make two mega-posts (one for him and one for o negu) to engage each in conversation about their catch-up posts. Regardless, it's great they're active, and I really hope Onegu doesn't have to eat his tablet tonight.

If anyone has any questions about the Tribunal thing, PLEASE direct them to me as soon as possible. I feel like I have a unique perspective, and as such, have unique reads on Rainbows and Umasi. In addition, the vote mobility we established should prove illuminating once flips start coming in. I'm posting a bit frantically right now because I think Onegu is going to eat his tablet, so pplease let me know if you need my insight on anything specific.
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 16 2013 00:24 GMT
#1340
EBWOP: FUCK, sorry
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