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TL Mafia LXI - Page 233

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Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:40 GMT
#4641
If a Veteran is shot and loses his night life, is he informed?
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:41 GMT
#4642
if someone is saved by a medic are either party informed?
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:42 GMT
#4643
On May 05 2013 02:37 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:20 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
That makes no sense, there was like 0% chance you'd get hit. wtf JK


keep in mind we are assuming the jk is town and not a second mafia one.


Two scum JK's don't make sense though, because then where did the second hit go on the day Vivax died?
I just won't believe scum doublestacks Vivax on N1, especially when they have two roleblockers to block people that they suspect are blue.


honestly second hit could have been fired at ace and he never claimed it. I wouldnt as third party. It would also explain his constant roleblocking. as town following thread sentiment i would have rb'd people i thought were going to get shot, not someone who i thought was third party every night.

In that case, all town has is 2 cops, a paranoid cop and two masoners against a scumteam with at least 2 JK's, a vigilante and a framer. Roleswise that seems pretty damn scum favoured. Just based on balance alone I'd say it's more likely both town and scum have one each.

My original thought was that if scum shot Ace, they'd simply claim to have a guilty check on Ace (3rd party shows up as scum) and get the free towncred as well as make sure scum doesn't get lynched that day. Could've worked on both days that scum got lynched. However, I forgot that they could think that they shot a veteran too, so it would be a risk.

Thirdly, I don't think they would perma jail Ace if they found out he was third party. Scum was in a bad position. Letting Ace free for one night would make town focus on him again and divert attention away from scumhunting.


would it make him focus on town though? he was raping the scum team. I agree that the jk could be town but i dont see why a townie would rb last night of all people. when you have confirmed town you could protect.

i do find it likely that mafia could have shot him n1 though. i think doublestack on vivax just so unlikely.

Because town was far ahead. It'd be likely that Ace would target obvious townies because as 3rd party you don't want one party to get massively ahead. It'd serve his wincon better to aim for town. As town jk you know 100% certain that blocking Ace stops a kill that's probably aimed at town. I don't know why you wouldn't instantly go for that.
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:43 GMT
#4644
Also it is scummy as hell for yamato to try to get the jk to publically claim and risking getting shot.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:45 GMT
#4645
On May 05 2013 02:42 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:37 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:20 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
That makes no sense, there was like 0% chance you'd get hit. wtf JK


keep in mind we are assuming the jk is town and not a second mafia one.


Two scum JK's don't make sense though, because then where did the second hit go on the day Vivax died?
I just won't believe scum doublestacks Vivax on N1, especially when they have two roleblockers to block people that they suspect are blue.


honestly second hit could have been fired at ace and he never claimed it. I wouldnt as third party. It would also explain his constant roleblocking. as town following thread sentiment i would have rb'd people i thought were going to get shot, not someone who i thought was third party every night.

In that case, all town has is 2 cops, a paranoid cop and two masoners against a scumteam with at least 2 JK's, a vigilante and a framer. Roleswise that seems pretty damn scum favoured. Just based on balance alone I'd say it's more likely both town and scum have one each.

My original thought was that if scum shot Ace, they'd simply claim to have a guilty check on Ace (3rd party shows up as scum) and get the free towncred as well as make sure scum doesn't get lynched that day. Could've worked on both days that scum got lynched. However, I forgot that they could think that they shot a veteran too, so it would be a risk.

Thirdly, I don't think they would perma jail Ace if they found out he was third party. Scum was in a bad position. Letting Ace free for one night would make town focus on him again and divert attention away from scumhunting.


would it make him focus on town though? he was raping the scum team. I agree that the jk could be town but i dont see why a townie would rb last night of all people. when you have confirmed town you could protect.

i do find it likely that mafia could have shot him n1 though. i think doublestack on vivax just so unlikely.

Because town was far ahead. It'd be likely that Ace would target obvious townies because as 3rd party you don't want one party to get massively ahead. It'd serve his wincon better to aim for town. As town jk you know 100% certain that blocking Ace stops a kill that's probably aimed at town. I don't know why you wouldn't instantly go for that.


primarily because off one nights worth of deaths its still really shaky to believe it was sk/sp shot instead of mafia vig or town vig at that point. It comes down to lack of info. id want ace unblocked at least once to confirm the read as poisoner.

and ace would obviously shoot at town at night while aiming for mafia during day to avoid the noose.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:45 GMT
#4646
On May 05 2013 02:43 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Also it is scummy as hell for yamato to try to get the jk to publically claim and risking getting shot.

I have something I want to point out about that but I want to see if Yamato points it out first.
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:47 GMT
#4647
On May 05 2013 02:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:43 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Also it is scummy as hell for yamato to try to get the jk to publically claim and risking getting shot.

I have something I want to point out about that but I want to see if Yamato points it out first.


fair enough
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:48 GMT
#4648
On May 05 2013 02:45 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:42 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:37 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:20 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
That makes no sense, there was like 0% chance you'd get hit. wtf JK


keep in mind we are assuming the jk is town and not a second mafia one.


Two scum JK's don't make sense though, because then where did the second hit go on the day Vivax died?
I just won't believe scum doublestacks Vivax on N1, especially when they have two roleblockers to block people that they suspect are blue.


honestly second hit could have been fired at ace and he never claimed it. I wouldnt as third party. It would also explain his constant roleblocking. as town following thread sentiment i would have rb'd people i thought were going to get shot, not someone who i thought was third party every night.

In that case, all town has is 2 cops, a paranoid cop and two masoners against a scumteam with at least 2 JK's, a vigilante and a framer. Roleswise that seems pretty damn scum favoured. Just based on balance alone I'd say it's more likely both town and scum have one each.

My original thought was that if scum shot Ace, they'd simply claim to have a guilty check on Ace (3rd party shows up as scum) and get the free towncred as well as make sure scum doesn't get lynched that day. Could've worked on both days that scum got lynched. However, I forgot that they could think that they shot a veteran too, so it would be a risk.

Thirdly, I don't think they would perma jail Ace if they found out he was third party. Scum was in a bad position. Letting Ace free for one night would make town focus on him again and divert attention away from scumhunting.


would it make him focus on town though? he was raping the scum team. I agree that the jk could be town but i dont see why a townie would rb last night of all people. when you have confirmed town you could protect.

i do find it likely that mafia could have shot him n1 though. i think doublestack on vivax just so unlikely.

Because town was far ahead. It'd be likely that Ace would target obvious townies because as 3rd party you don't want one party to get massively ahead. It'd serve his wincon better to aim for town. As town jk you know 100% certain that blocking Ace stops a kill that's probably aimed at town. I don't know why you wouldn't instantly go for that.


primarily because off one nights worth of deaths its still really shaky to believe it was sk/sp shot instead of mafia vig or town vig at that point. It comes down to lack of info. id want ace unblocked at least once to confirm the read as poisoner.

and ace would obviously shoot at town at night while aiming for mafia during day to avoid the noose.

It's a decent point, but this goes for both town and scum JK's. Both of them want to find out if Ace is 3rd party, so that on its own isn't alignment indicative.

Ace would do just enough scumhunting to not get lynched. Once it got down to 14-3 or something like that, he really wouldn't want to find any scum, just appear as if he's finding scum.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 17:48 GMT
#4649
It literally gives us 2 confirmed town, the JK, and the guy he didn't protect night 1.

You're delusional if you think that's scummy.
Writer@WriterYamato
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:52 GMT
#4650
On May 05 2013 02:48 yamato77 wrote:
It literally gives us 2 confirmed town, the JK, and the guy he didn't protect night 1.

You're delusional if you think that's scummy.


and we lose the jk who is as far as we know the only person able to deflect mafia kp.

so we trade someone who can extend the game for a few days if it goes badly for one guy who will get shot the following night.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 17:53 GMT
#4651
And you are scummy, because you never did push any lynch.

I find it funny that you want to reject logic that might confirm you as town with the JK business.
Writer@WriterYamato
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 17:54 GMT
#4652
On May 05 2013 02:52 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:48 yamato77 wrote:
It literally gives us 2 confirmed town, the JK, and the guy he didn't protect night 1.

You're delusional if you think that's scummy.


and we lose the jk who is as far as we know the only person able to deflect mafia kp.

so we trade someone who can extend the game for a few days if it goes badly for one guy who will get shot the following night.

I'll take that trade, because you/Palmar are the remaining question marks.
Writer@WriterYamato
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:55 GMT
#4653
On May 05 2013 02:53 yamato77 wrote:
And you are scummy, because you never did push any lynch.

I find it funny that you want to reject logic that might confirm you as town with the JK business.


how is me not wanting the jk to get shot bad logic? You think i am scum. say jk comes out and i get confirmed as town? i get shot right after he does. if it looks like the person he knows is town by your logic ever looks like they are going to get lynched then claiming isn't a bad idea but doing it during a night phase is dumb as fuck.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:56 GMT
#4654
To be fair, Yamato does have a point in that it clears one of you. There's no reason for scum to defensively jail N1, so whoever he didn't protect is pretty much confirmed town. It might be worth it. If the town JK thinks he'll be found out soon, he should claim. If he feels safe, then there's no reason to just yet.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 17:56 GMT
#4655
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?
Writer@WriterYamato
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 17:58 GMT
#4656
On May 05 2013 02:55 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:53 yamato77 wrote:
And you are scummy, because you never did push any lynch.

I find it funny that you want to reject logic that might confirm you as town with the JK business.


how is me not wanting the jk to get shot bad logic? You think i am scum. say jk comes out and i get confirmed as town? i get shot right after he does. if it looks like the person he knows is town by your logic ever looks like they are going to get lynched then claiming isn't a bad idea but doing it during a night phase is dumb as fuck.

The longer he waits, the more likely it is that mafia shoot him. If he gets shot before he claims, we lose this information. There's little reason to wait, because the game is basically SOLVED.
Writer@WriterYamato
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:58 GMT
#4657
On May 05 2013 02:56 yamato77 wrote:
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?


Again if he is almost lynched then he can claim.

Also against confirming? This game is about finding mafia no? Yes clearing town is helpful as fuck, but If Palmar and I are on the right track with our thinking then what does it matter? Currently we arent lynching either myself or palmar so why dont you do what he and i are doing and assume for the moment both he and i are town.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
May 04 2013 17:59 GMT
#4658
Yeah, Yamato is town.
He pointed out earlier on that he thought he knew who the JK was.
On May 03 2013 03:02 yamato77 wrote:
Oh, and I'm certain that there is a town JK, and I'm fairly sure I know who he is.

I don't see any reason for scum to claim to know who the JK is, especially since he didn't try to gain any towncred from saying it himself. I was waiting to see if he brought such a point up, but he hasn't.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
May 04 2013 18:00 GMT
#4659
On May 05 2013 02:58 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:56 yamato77 wrote:
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?


Again if he is almost lynched then he can claim.

Also against confirming? This game is about finding mafia no? Yes clearing town is helpful as fuck, but If Palmar and I are on the right track with our thinking then what does it matter? Currently we arent lynching either myself or palmar so why dont you do what he and i are doing and assume for the moment both he and i are town.

Because I lynch mafia, and you are very likely to be mafia.

Either way, I'd rather lynch hopeless today, but the BC/Palmar situation could be resolved in reality, and not some pretend fantasy world so long as the JK claims and clears one of you.
Writer@WriterYamato
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 18:02 GMT
#4660
On May 05 2013 03:00 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:58 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:56 yamato77 wrote:
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?


Again if he is almost lynched then he can claim.

Also against confirming? This game is about finding mafia no? Yes clearing town is helpful as fuck, but If Palmar and I are on the right track with our thinking then what does it matter? Currently we arent lynching either myself or palmar so why dont you do what he and i are doing and assume for the moment both he and i are town.

Because I lynch mafia, and you are very likely to be mafia.

Either way, I'd rather lynch hopeless today, but the BC/Palmar situation could be resolved in reality, and not some pretend fantasy world so long as the JK claims and clears one of you.


and whats your solution if the town jk protected palmar and I get confirmed as town?

Lynch him? because I am not as sure of him anymore. There doesn't have to be a mafia in the two of us, we just assumed there did.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
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