EPTYet Another Normal Mini Mafia - Page 5
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
|
Morbidius
Brazil3449 Posts
| ||
|
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
| ||
|
Blazinghand
United States25557 Posts
 | ||
|
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
| ||
|
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
![[image loading]](http://images.sodahead.com/polls/000205196/polls_grinch_steal_tree_4450_191198_poll_xlarge.jpeg) Day 1 It's the week before Christmas, and the nay-sayers, sourpusses, and cheer-stealers are out in full force. Don't let them ruin christmas! Day 1 starts now. You have a few minutes less than 48 hours until the deadline. Go! | ||
|
sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
In the interest of getting discussion started, I'm going to argue why millers should claim on D1 in this setup: We have either no millers or 1 miller, and the chance that we have a miller is roughly 40%.+ Show Spoiler + C9++ specification: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=C9++ Keirathi said in the OP that he replaced innocent child with miller. So, we have a miller if Keir drew exactly 1 M or exactly 3 M's. He drew 7 letters and each has a 10% chance of being an M. Chance of 1 M = (.1)^1 * (.9)^6 * (choose 1 from 7) = 37.20087% Chance of 3 M = (.1)^3 * (.9)^4 * (choose 3 from 7) = 2.29635% So overall, the chance that we have a miller is 39.49722% Therefore, it would be a major risk for scum to fakeclaim miller. They'd have a 40% chance of being counterclaimed and subsequently lynched. Because it is such a big risk for a scum to take, I think we could have some faith in any D1 miller claim being an honest one. Thoughts? | ||
yamato77
11589 Posts
This post is not going to count against my post count because I'm forced to do this, I believe. | ||
|
sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:11 yamato77 wrote: I'm miller. This post is not going to count against my post count because I'm forced to do this, I believe. Well that was fast lol. Can you confirm that you're not trolling? I've been reading Hero Mini >_> | ||
|
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
| ||
|
yamato77
11589 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:13 sciberbia wrote: Well that was fast lol. Can you confirm that you're not trolling? I've been reading Hero Mini >_> Millers are actually self-aware this game? I read that stuff too. | ||
|
Morbidius
Brazil3449 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:11 yamato77 wrote: I'm miller. This post is not going to count against my post count because I'm forced to do this, I believe. That was quick, self aware millers should make this game interesting. | ||
|
sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:18 yamato77 wrote: Millers are actually self-aware this game? I read that stuff too. Yes millers are self-aware. I guess you're not actually claiming miller since you had to ask. But you should probably clear this up before we spend the next 5 pages talking about it (a la Hero Mini). | ||
|
Morbidius
Brazil3449 Posts
| ||
|
Morbidius
Brazil3449 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:18 yamato77 wrote: Millers are actually self-aware this game? I read that stuff too. Wtf, why would you ask if millers are self aware if you just claimed miller 1 post ago? | ||
|
yamato77
11589 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:22 sciberbia wrote: Yes millers are self-aware. I guess you're not actually claiming miller since you had to ask. But you should probably clear this up before we spend the next 5 pages talking about it (a la Hero Mini). It was a rhetorical question. Why would you think this is anything similar to Hero when millers are self-aware. Come on. | ||
|
Stutters695
2610 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:18 yamato77 wrote: Millers are actually self-aware this game? I read that stuff too. Shouldn't you be aware that you're self-aware? | ||
|
Vivax
22104 Posts
I'm a Vanilla townie. And I don't understand why yamato is so afraid of posting much. | ||
|
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
On December 19 2012 09:23 Morbidius wrote: Can any of the mods add filters to the player list? That would be very convenient. I have to run out for 30-45 minutes or so, but I will when I get home. | ||
|
debears
United States2516 Posts
| ||
|
Mr. Wiggles
Canada5894 Posts
##vote: wbg | ||
| ||
