Newbie Mini Mafia XXVII
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thrawn2112
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On September 14 2012 06:12 kushm4sta wrote: thrawn where are you Africa or some shit ? west texas i do have internet, i just have to walk/ride a long ass time to get it. | ||
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at the risk of being lynched based on meta, i'm /in hi kush | ||
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however i should still be able to hold true to my town meta of leading a mslynch on a townie d1 | ||
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already been town 3 times | ||
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someone join | ||
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blah blah blah lurkers r bad blah blah, etc | ||
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So on to more important matters, here's an idea: last person in the thread gets lynched discuss? | ||
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On September 18 2012 11:18 kushm4sta wrote: Terrible idea? Since we prob have liek 3 different time zones. Biggest lurker gets lynched is a better plan but still not that great. A lot of noobs are pretty lost about what to do day 1. Here are my suggestions for discussion topics: 1 discuss lurker policy. I know you are bored with it or whatever, thrawn, but for peopel to say how they feel about lurkers and if they want to lynch them or let them lurk (both are viable strategies imo) gives us a baseline for FOSing people that go back on their lurker policy. Like what if a scum says lynch all lurkers, then one of the scumbuddies turns out to be the biggest lurker. That puts him in a bad position that he could avoid without lurker policy discussion. Eh, lurker policy is a pretty obvious thing to talk about and shouldn't last longer than maybe a single statement (if that) from each player. However like you implied having something to talk about is better than having nothing but in my past games town went on and on about lurkers for like 12 hours which is obviously bad. On September 18 2012 11:18 kushm4sta wrote:2 I think we should discuss a plan for how to spend time. Here is my proposed plan: Freely making cases against anyone you think is scum in the first 24 hours of the day, then focusing on a couple of the biggest bandwagons in the second 24 hours. Do you like this plan or do you have a better one? I would a more systematic scumhunt this game though. Lets not get too carried away with deciding on exactly how we'll proceed... that makes it very easy for mafia to hide. Remember the list stuff in our last game? Wasn't it sonic who proposed that idea and he ended up being scum and was able to hide his reads behind it because other people were also making lists? On September 18 2012 11:18 kushm4sta wrote:3 Give an introduction of yourself. How experienced are you? Are you a total noob or have you obsed some games? Very important IMO is will you be around for lynch time? That's 9 pm normal time btw if you are new. How active do you plan on being. Honestly I think once a day is okay IF your posts are good. This is my last newbie game and I like writing long posts with lots of quotes. I should be around for lynch time during the week days but maybe not during the weekends. Also, wtf kush. "Honestly I think once a day is okay IF your posts are good" after you talk about how much you hate lurkers? On September 18 2012 11:18 kushm4sta wrote:An intro for myself is coming. I'll write you an intro. Hey everyone this is kush. Judging off his username I suspcet he is a fellow lover of the ganja, which probably explains a lot of his posts. He says whatever comes to mind, and in the games I played with him he said a lot of very scummy sounding things as a townie. So basically expect to be confused. He likes going for crazy ballsy plays which often is the reason why I always thought he was town, as scum would have to be crazy to do those things. | ||
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I disagree with: On September 18 2012 12:08 kushm4sta wrote: remedy getting a good scum read d1 is impossible. It happens occasionally. But of course since it's somewhat rare, I think it's perfectly reasonable for everyone to agree with the following: We should scumhunt and make accusations and all that stuff and not discuss who is the best lurker candidate until it's close (maybe around halfway or so into the 2nd 24 period of D1) to the deadline and under the condition that we didn't catch anyone making scumslips, telling lies, shit like that. Not discussing lurker lynch candidates doesn't mean ignoring lurkers... we can pressure them without arguing over who is the lurkiest. That happened in my last game (we spent all of day 1 arguing over who was the lurkiest) and our main candidates ended up being town. This is all I have to say about lurker policy unless we get over halfway into D1 with no good lynch candidates. So yeah, everyone say your opinion about lurker policy then let's drop the issue asap. | ||
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On September 18 2012 12:25 RemedySC wrote: We have to start somewhere, so I'll post a theory. Kushm4sta, you say that it gives scum safe people to accuse, and I agree with that point, but your comment in your policy looks like it would fit that point. It would be pretty safe for a mafia if they were able to convince people to lynch lurkers. So you agree with his point about lurkers. There isn't much room for argument when it comes down to the reasoning behind lurker policy, there is no sane player that will say "lurkers are pro-town." So him having that anti-lurker opinion is not anything that would be a strong tell in either the town or mafia direction. He would have it as town, and he would "pretend" to have it as mafia. I don't see his post as anything indicative of him as scum trying to blend in by saying normal things. On September 18 2012 12:25 RemedySC wrote:Also Thrawn pointed out your contradiction. He did give a reasonable response to my post... but kush I'd like to ask you, how would you feel about specifically me only posting once per cycle? | ||
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On September 18 2012 13:49 drazak wrote: I'm already accused of being trashy town? Really Kush? Man, you're prejudiced right off the bat. I know you can post while you're at work and stuff, but I can't post in class and I can't post when I'm tutoring people. If you'd like I can sleep-post and it'll be really bad. Sorry if my posts last game weren't up to your posting standard kush. For the record, I might not post consistently at different times, and maybe I'll push agressively against someone, my reasons will usually be good. I'd ask that people use their own logic after reading my posts, look at the evidence provided and use your logic. Last game we had a lot of people not thinking for themselves, I'll be going to bed soon so don't expect another post from me. I'll probably post in the morning, and I think I'll post before tutoring, but I don't think I'll be posting until maybe this time tomorrow again after that. My thoughts while reading this: "man this guy is going out of his way to defend himself when there's no need to" And that's a scum trait....so drazak, I'm watching you buddy. I don't see why you'd ask everyone to be fair and "use their own logic" and "look at evidence" when reading your future posts... obviously those things are what everyone is trying to do. It looks a little suspicious that you're already defending criticisms of your posts that haven't even happened yet. If it's all because kush pissed you off then too bad you should ignore that, he does it from time to time. | ||
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On September 18 2012 15:22 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Maffia XXVII survey (not filling it in will make you look scummy): 1. Will you be around for lynch time? 2. How active do you plan on being? 3. How many games have you obsed? 4. Is this your first game playing? 5. If not, how many games have you played? 6. Is this your first time playing as scum? Ok sonic this is even scummier than your "hey everyone should be making lists" tactics in XXVI. Some of those questions (1 and 2) you cant reasonably expect people to give solid/infallible predictions about, or at least not predictions accurate enough for you to lynch them later based on a discrepency between the prediction and their actual activity level, and the other questions you don't need people to answer them in order to get the information you want. 6 is just silly. I don't see the point at all of that survey other than to appear useful which imo it isn't.. and that's the same thing you were doing with the lists in xxvi. | ||
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On September 18 2012 15:40 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: A good policy, however, is to not answer questions intended for someone else. Whether accusations are valid or not they may induce interesting reactions, so please stop defending other players. stop telling me what to do I didn't answer a question that wasn't directed at me. I was participating in the current discussion. And no I don't want you to explain what happened during xxvi because unlike you claimed, I was paying attention that game because I played in it lol. You were onbaord with the list idea, in fact I think you were the one who suggested it in the first place. Then I immediately pointed out was a bad idea and something that scum could use to blend in without having to commit to reads, and hey, surprise, you ended up flipping scum. Now you are here in a new game, once again suggesting some useless idea that will do nothing but spam up the thread with stuff that's almost impossible to base reads off of. Yep. | ||
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On September 18 2012 16:34 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: You were answering accusations towards Kush. You don't see why that is a bad idea? I can see how it is bad to answer questions but I'm just not liking how much you like to tell people exactly what to do. Being "thread-cop" bascially. It's not necessarily scummy I just don't like it lol. On September 18 2012 16:34 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:You want to accuse me, but you still don't want me to explain? You're not giving my argument a fair representation. I still think lists is a good idea if they're limited to your ~3 top suspects AND include your reasoning. That way it's easy to follow a player's thought process through the thread wrt to his key reads (instead of reads being blended into a wall of text, hi there Jacob). That's what I suggested. And you're suggesting I was hiding behind lists. I never made any long ass lists, which a lot of other players did. Again, we don't need a list discussion. Just post your suspects along with your reasoning in any way you like. But make sure to make those posts clear. All I wanna say about lists/survey is this: you suggested list making in xxvi and I thought it was a scummy idea and you ended up being scum that game. Now you are suggesting another idea that I think is scummy and to me it's very similar to the xxvi situation. On September 18 2012 16:34 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:So this was serious? It's a mind numbingly stupid idea. Unless you're scum and suggest it for an easy d1 town lynch. It's very easy to coordinate your scum team not to be the last one in the thread and you get away with an easy lynch. Since you don't seem mind numbingly stupid and it was a serious idea, it's scummy. Yeah it was a serious question and no of course I don't think it's a good idea. I was trying to move the discussion past the mostly useless lurker policy talk circlejerk while providing easy bait for scum to jump at. I kinda failed in the first aspect but you seem to have jumped at the bait stronger than anyone else. fos sonic | ||
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On September 19 2012 00:35 KillingTime wrote: I don't understand the point of FoS'ing on day 1 ##Fos KillingTime Nice contribution to the thread. Do you really think that's something worth talking about when there are already lots of other discussions going on? | ||
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I will give you a little bit of slack because I did lead you on by answering that it was in fact a serious question, so I can see why you as town would think that I was either giving an extremely terrible idea as town which isn't likely, or that I was saying something dumb as scum which I guess you could've seen as more likely. However seeing the lengths you went to to use that post against me, when it was obviously a really dumb idea regardless of my alignment, I still think you were attacking me with scum motives. In one of your recent posts you attacked someone for defending me, which makes sense if you are town and seeing debears post as a scum trying to protect their fellow scum partner. So overall, your position on my scum-o-meter is a little lower than it was but you're still up there. | ||
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On September 19 2012 01:56 KillingTime wrote: I like sonic's last post on Debears though - For now my feeling is that Debears is mafia trying to blend into the thread. Debears who do you think is scum? For now: ##Vote:debears Killing are you for real? You make a post devoid of content which I call you out for, then in your next post you actually start talking about current discussion but then you make a vote for someone based on a single sentence of justification? | ||
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On September 19 2012 02:37 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: I don't really agree with your approach. I wanted to pressure you on the off chance it was serious. Pressuring you gave me the explanation that it was "scum bait", which still doesn't make sense to me. Pressuring someone can give you more information that might be more useful than the original one. And I still want you to explained your rationale behind your post being "scum bait". Ok. Every newbie game I've played in has started with tons and tons of talk about lurker policy, the term I used earlier for it was a "lurker policy circle-jerk." I didn't want this game to go down that path, so I needed to say something that would give people something to argue about instead of everyone just agreeing with each other about lurkers for the first half of D1. So I said something completely ridiculous that I thought should have been obvious to everyone that it wasn't a real suggestion...... obvious to everyone except scum, who are over eager to jump on anything in order to push a mislynch. Hence, "scum-bait." So yes, it was a serious question that I was hoping to get responses to, but it wasn't my personal choice for D1 lynch. A few posts after that I outlined my real D1 lynch ideas. | ||
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About debears: I'll read his filter and point out what I think about it, but for now the thing that struck me as odd was the line: On September 18 2012 22:42 debears wrote:I think thrawn is town. Anyone with evidence pointing otherwise, please present. I don't see why he is making it such a huge goal for town to establish if I am 100% town or not. Seems a little too off topic from the whole scumhunting thing. | ||
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I went through debear's filter and here's what I've got: People are jumping on him for defending me, under the reasoning that either A) he's mafia trying to make safe posts or B) he and I are both mafia and he's trying to defend me. B is the vibe I'm getting from kush and sonic. But what about option C) that he's town and talking about something that everyone else is talking about? Obviously I say B is dumb excpet from the perspective of sonic who had been accusing me most of the game, but I don't see any indicator that option A or option C is more likely. To me it looks like the people who are accusing him are doing so because they already thought I looked scummy, or because they are scum themselves pushing a mislynch. The thing in debear's filter I disagreed with was his agreement that kush is sk. I can see how it would be possible but I don't see any reason to think it's likely, especially since we don't even yet know if there's a sk or not. Debears what are your thoughts on kush beyond what you already said? In summary: His defense of me doesn't look more town-motivated or mafia-motivated, so I'm going with a null read on the whole "defending thrawn" situation. Pre Edit: just saw that he posted some stuff about rethos, so my current read on him is that he's done nothing that I see as scummy and he has participated in discussion and brought some original ideas into the mix. So overall I'm saying he's looking town. His defense of me was a little to lengthy and aggressive to be normal but I don't know why he'd do that as town or mafia. | ||
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On September 19 2012 04:54 rethos wrote: Debears post seems suspicious for reasons already mentioned. The real interesting part (for me) comes after this post: Until now thrawn2112 strikes me as a player that is willing to go after suspicious stuff (because of the whole SDM discussion). It seems to me though that debears's post does not seem suspicious to him. He seems actually biased imo which makes me think that there is some sort of alliance there. Also interesting is to point out stuff like He is pointing out minor stuff that he does not agree with to make it look like he is not biased. Little nitpicky stuff. He is also not expanding on the second point in his post. That seems to be his primary concern when he started looking into it. Why doesn't he explain what has come of that concern, did it get solved? How? If not why didn't he mention it in his second post as well to give a clear and full reading. Right now it seems that he is doing his best to defend him while still being able to back out if something goes wrong. @thrawn2112 what conclusion have you achieved regarding the last quote? ##FOS Debears ##FOS thrawn2112 It's odd but not odd enough to influence my read on him in either direction. Basically it this point it tells me nothing other than that it tells me nothing. Still going with town. You say I'm a player who is willing to go after suspicious stuff... well yeah, that's the point of the game. But then when I give a town read, all the sudden that automatically makes myself and that player a team? That's your prerogative but it's an extremely weak case. Is there anything other than that about me which you find suspicious? Because if not then that's a very weak FOS. | ||
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On September 19 2012 04:27 kushm4sta wrote: If I had to call a scum team right now it would be Thrawn debears drazak just because they are all defending each other at this point. The only I would be willing to lynch though is debears. Before you jump down my throat I know it's too early to call scum teams and this is pure speculation. Well that bolded part is just a straight up lie. I don't see how drazak fits into your theory... I was the first one to call drazak out on his unreasonably defensive post and I've never defended him. So once again, is the only reason you think I'm scum because of your debears association case? On September 19 2012 05:07 Sharrant wrote: At the same time, debears isn't really the most suspicious person to me, his defense of Thrawn could be scummy, or it might not be. It was weird, but not a strong tell either way in my opinion. However, there is getting to be a large web of people involved with debears either way. ##unvote Kushm4sta ##vote debears I do however think that it will be a distraction until it is resolved. THere's a good chance he flips scum, and that would reflect poorly on Thrawn, who up until this point I've been relatively sure he was town. I'm not convinced he's mafia, but I'm suspicious enough of him I'd like to get to the point where we can force a claim. Ok Sharrant that is a ridiculous vote. You start out saying "debears isn't really the most suspicious person to me" and say his defense of me "was weird, but not a strong tell either way in my opinion." Then you vote for him and say "there's a good chance he flips scum" and you're "not convinced he's mafia" after saying his defense of me was a null read. So, what exactly is your read on him and if you don't have a read then why are you voting for him? All I see is a bunch of "he may be scum" and "he is a null read." | ||
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He says that he thinks I am town and asks if anyone has evidence otherwise. So my interpretation of it is that he's aggressively trying to convince people that I'm town. So what would the motivations be behind that? There's the one that he's town trying to convince people he's right, and there's the possibility that he's scum and is "dickriding" like kush said. But I don't see either being more likely than the other. That's why it doesn't factor into my overall read on him. So in summary, it's weird, but gives me nothing to make a read off of. | ||
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On September 19 2012 05:51 kushm4sta wrote: @thrawn you say I made a straight up lie and that's not an accusation I take lightly. if anything it was an exaggeration and not a lie. I don't want to spend a lot of time discussing my scumteam theories, because while I think they help in looking for cases, they do not constitute a case. but I don't like being called a liar so here goes. drazak is connected by saying killing is more suspicious than debears. he says they can't both be mafia so therefore debears isn't mafia. That is the classic mafia defense..defending a teammate by attacking the attacker. and you have defended debears. So that was the basis for that comment. Is it a real case against you? no. Is it a lie though? also no. Uh, saying that drazak and I defended each other is a lie. In fact it's the exact opposite of the truth. | ||
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On September 19 2012 05:58 Sharrant wrote: That's a ridiculous vote? You pick choice words out to discredit what I said, and try to make it personal. I'm fairly convinced the two of you are mafia after that. You know who I think is most suspicious, that hasn't been a secret. This has been mentioned in every post that Kush is my number one target, but that's not going anywhere. I think you should re-read my post. Several times even. Yes, his defense of you wasn't particularly strong either way in and of itself, that's what I said. That's one moment of his play, and you jumped all over that. Yeah it is a ridiculous vote. After reading your post I had absolutely no idea what your read on debears was other than you want him lynched in order to try and make associative cases. And furthermore I don't even think associative cases are good, especially in D1. So to me that vote just seems completely disingenuous. On September 19 2012 05:58 Sharrant wrote:This is exactly why I voted debears. He was scummier to me than KillingTime, and the situation between those two had to be resolved. And look, here you come in and jump all over it. I never said he was a null read, not once yet you claim I did. I said I'm not convinced he's mafia, but I'm suspcious enough of him to the point where I'd like to force him to claim. Claim what exactly? On September 19 2012 05:58 Sharrant wrote:Do you see how different those things are? Of course you do, because you're not dumb, you're trying to buy yourself and him some room. I said he was suspicious because he's suspicious, I said I'm not convinced because I wouldn't bet my life savings that he's mafia. But I'm absolutely willing to vote for him. Voting for him did not mean I was ready to lynch him, as it stands I'd now be ready to lynch both of you. I was pretty sure he would flip mafia before, now I'm much more certain. You tried to bully me out of voting, because you didn't agree, yet have cast no votes yourself. In fact everyone has been pretty much sitting on their hands in that regard, townies shouldn't be so scared to use their tools to hunt mafia. Maybe I'm wrong and you and debears aren't mafia, but that "ridiculous vote" just got a pretty big scum slip in my eyes from you. Me calling you out on that vote has nothing to do with my read on debears, it's about how scummy your vote looks. I still say your vote was wishy washy. | ||
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On September 19 2012 06:18 Sharrant wrote: Where did I say I wanted him lynched? Please tell me. I said I wanted him forced to claim. I've said in every single post, that voting does not mean you want someone lynched. I also have said several times now, that I consider him suspicious. The fact that you keep ignoring this is baffling. Claim what? His role? Why would you possibly want someone to roleclaim D1? I'm not even sure if roleclaiming is what you're talking about. You say you find him suspicious but you say that while also talking about his defense of me was a null read.... which is the main reason people are suspicious of him in the first place. So what about him is suspicious and what is this "claim" you're trying to get him to make? | ||
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On September 19 2012 06:26 rethos wrote: Here is were I do not understand your "meh" attitude. Why, if he is town, is he trying to convince people he is right? What does that do? How does that help? Is it just bad town play? Also why is he so convinced that you are town? Everything in his post tries to scream "omg this thrawn2112 guy is sooooo townie"? Why is he not suspicious of you? Confirming a townie is actually not that useful for anyone. How does that help us get scum? If he was trying to convince people that he's right about a scum, that makes sense. Town should push scum. Trying to convince people that he's right about his town read, when that said townie is not in any real danger seems extremely odd. Here's why him defending me doesn't have to be only a scummy move. At that time a huge amount of discussion was between sonic and I and we were going at each other pretty hard. You say I wasn't in any real danger which is true but the argument between sonic and I was the most talked about thing at the time. So debears goes into the thread and gives his read on the most popular topic at the moment, and his read happens to be that I'm town. It seems like a lot of people in here are of the mindset that if player a assigns player b a town read, then by golly player a must be scum. It is not bad at all to talk about town reads, it's only bad if that's the only thing you're doing which isn't what debears has done. And confirming a townie is extremely useful... it gives you one less target to be suspicious of at least for the time being. You keep going back to that quote from debears I brought up. It does strike me as overzealous but nothing beyond that, especially since he hasn't slacked on scumhunting. In regards to why would he make such a strong statement if he is town, well I do not know. Hence my null read on that particular statement. | ||
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##Vote Sharrant | ||
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On September 19 2012 06:33 rethos wrote: @thrawn2112 since the whole debears affair, your conflict with SDM seemed to have been left in the air. What is your current read about SDM? Do you have any other reads that the town might want to know about? If you look in my filter you notice that my last post about SDM is me still thinking he's scummy but with weaker convictions. Right now I am of the opinion that most of the conflict between us was a difference of opinion on how the game should be played and other similar misunderstandings. Also I had been calling out sharrant's posts and then sonic came in and his post about sharrant makes me wanna give sdm more townie points. So no I don't think he looks scummy anymore, he actually looks pretty townish. He's been really active and he's been pretty vocal about his reads which is most often a town trait. | ||
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On September 19 2012 08:16 Sharrant wrote: When did I call for a blue role claim? Why are you just making shit up? I wanted you to roleclaim, because of the little stint you and Thrawn had there. That struck me as scummy, so rather than wanting to lynch you, I wanted to get you to claim, and then depending on whether your claim was refuted or not, just drop it and possibly find someone that had revealed themselves as scummy while you were on the front of everyone's minds. Ok you say you weren't asking for a blue roleclaim. Then you say you wanted him to claim to see if his claim could be refuted or not. If you're not expecting him to claim blue then how could his claim possibly be refuted (by a counter claim) if he doesn't claim blue? | ||
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First you come in with the wildy off topic FOS post, then you make a vote for debears because you "liked sdm's post" which was pretty much the extent of your 2 sentence justification for your vote, then your next post is more about the FOS stuff and you give excuses for why you aren't posting and promise us a post which never came. ##FOS Killing | ||
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On September 19 2012 09:29 JacobStrangelove wrote: Oh I feel... yeah my bad I missed that part. Don't worry you will hear more from me as the game goes on just hard at the moment with so many assigments I have like two due tonight... hmm the role claim thing just seems so... scummy I still can't see how it helps town as much as you think it would... Yeah same thing with me. No matter how I llook at all the ways a role claim could work out it always ends up not making any sense to have been suggested by a town player | ||
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On September 19 2012 09:40 kushm4sta wrote: imo don't even think about serial killer until he kills someone and we know he exists. look for a substantial post from me at like 10 pm. I will break down debears latest post and expand on my argument about why I think he's scummy. the second half of d1 is approaching and I think we should solidify our bandwagons instead of accusing people like thrawn who are just not gonna get lynched today. also why are so many people already voting sharron? His play is really stupid with the roleclaim call, but stupid play doesn't make you mafia. you think first time mafia would really be so confidently retarded like that? Because like you said we're halfway into d1 and it's time to start voting. Would he make a big mistake as first time mafia? Maybe? Who knows? The point is it happened. You also gotta look at his vote for debears. Ignore what your read on debears is and just look at that post. It's so washy washy.... Combine that with the role claim nonsense and that's why I'm voting for him. | ||
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On September 19 2012 05:07 Sharrant wrote: At the same time, debears isn't really the most suspicious person to me, his defense of Thrawn could be scummy, or it might not be. It was weird, but not a strong tell either way in my opinion. However, there is getting to be a large web of people involved with debears either way. ##unvote Kushm4sta ##vote debears I do however think that it will be a distraction until it is resolved. THere's a good chance he flips scum, and that would reflect poorly on Thrawn, who up until this point I've been relatively sure he was town. I'm not convinced he's mafia, but I'm suspicious enough of him I'd like to get to the point where we can force a claim. debears not most supicsious person his defense of thrawn could be scummy or not but not a strong tell either way vote for debears it's a destraction that needs to be resolved there's a good chance he flips scum not convinced debears is mafia wants to force debears to claim How is this a rational justification of a vote, even it's just a pressure vote? And this line "I'm not convinced he's mafia, but I'm suspicious enough of him I'd like to get to the point where we can force a claim." is the scummiest sounding thing I've read in the thread so far. | ||
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kush I completely get what you are saying about debears 'dickriding' all game... but on its own is that a good justification for either a town or a scum read, especially in a newbie game? Besides the interactions between myself and debears do you find anything else scummy about him? | ||
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sooooo if you haven't voted yet now's the time | ||
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On September 19 2012 08:29 thrawn2112 wrote: hey killing where's that post you promised us? First you come in with the wildy off topic FOS post, then you make a vote for debears because you "liked sdm's post" which was pretty much the extent of your 2 sentence justification for your vote, then your next post is more about the FOS stuff and you give excuses for why you aren't posting and promise us a post which never came. ##FOS Killing | ||
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sharrant: Please give me at least one possible example where "forcing" someone to roleclaim under threat of a lynch will end up being good. I don't see it. Also, you keep talking about this crazy plan you have that you won't divulge to us..... we're just supposed to accept on faith that it's a good plan and therefore you're town? kush you have been asked this several times by different people but I still don't like your explanation of why you prefer debears over sharrant. I think you said that both of their play is bad but that debears play is bad scum wheras sharrant is bad town. So what you're saying is that dickriding a player looks scummier than asking for roleclaims, voting for people you have no intentions of lynching, being obssesed with blue and sk roles, and saying "guys dont lynch me I have a secret plan"? I can see why people would think that debears is scummy but I can't see how they see him scummier than sharrant unless they're going off of half-baked association cases. | ||
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Am I the only one who saw that and thought wtf? | ||
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On September 20 2012 00:54 Sharrant wrote:Debears, your play has struck me as scummy, but I wasn't playing with full knowledge of the situation. You and Thrawn both stand a much better chance of being town in my eyes than you did 5 minutes ago. Ok so you say that up till this point debears has looked scummy to you. But then you make a post about pming a mod about the setup or something and now you have information that makes BOTH debears and I seem less scummy? I find it hard to believe that a mod would give you information that would impact your reads... therefore I think you're lying about pming a mod. | ||
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What do all these people have in common? They are people that sharrant has voted for or said he wants to lynch. Kush: He votes for kush and during the time that vote was in place sharrant thought he was either On September 19 2012 03:14 Sharrant wrote:(SK, possibly blue or self important green) Debears: Votes for debears because On September 19 2012 05:07 Sharrant wrote: I do however think that it will be a distraction until it is resolved............ I'm suspicious enough of him I'd like to get to the point where we can force a claim. Thrawn: After voting for debears in order to force roleclaims and such I question his debears vote and he responds with On September 19 2012 05:58 Sharrant wrote: Voting for him did not mean I was ready to lynch him, as it stands I'd now be ready to lynch both of you. Maybe I'm wrong and you and debears aren't mafia, but that "ridiculous vote" just got a pretty big scum slip in my eyes from you. Killing: Then he gives reasons why he'd be okay with voting for killing and also says that will nullify his earlier case on me/debears. To me that looks like he's switching to another player while trying to provide an out for himself from his earlier case: On September 19 2012 12:15 Sharrant wrote: In particular, I think there's one candidate that would clear up most of this. Most of the reason for me voting for debears in the first place was because of KillingTime. .............So it goes on a few ifs, but the lurker that I'm most comfortable going after in this situation is KillingTime. If we lynch him, and if he flips mafia, that's the end of any case of mine against debears and Thrawn. Stutters and Remedy: Ok once again it looks like he's trying to provide an out for himself from an earlier vote. He doesn't want to vote for debears anymore because he pm'd a mod and got information that somehow influenced his reads: On September 20 2012 00:54 Sharrant wrote: I wasn't playing with full knowledge of the situation. You and Thrawn both stand a much better chance of being town in my eyes than you did 5 minutes ago. ........................... So, I'm going with the lurkers now. Remedy, that vote randomly popping up on Kush is pretty suspicious to me, but I'm still more suspicious of stutters. So that's where my vote is going for now, but depending on Stutters next post, it could end up on Remedy very easily. So first his vote is on kush while he thinks that kush is sk or a blue or a self-important green. Then he votes for debears in order to solve a killing/debears issue (which I'm not clear on) and in order to force debears to roleclaim. Then in OMGUS style he says he would be fine with lynching me because of how I called him out on his debears vote. Next he says he is ok with voting for killing because of issues with his debears vote. Then he votes for stutters and says he could "easily" vote for remedy because of a pm exchange between him and a mod that made him think debears was less scummy. All the votes look similar to me.... they look like votes not based on scumhunting, but votes using any reason possible to vote while providing easy outs for himself when he later changes him reads/votes. | ||
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Cubu why did you sign up for this game when you can only make like 3 posts every 48 hours? Or.... are you mafia? @Remedy: The thing about kush's motives is that in the 2 games I played with him, his town meta in both games was to look scummy. Not intentionally of course but IMO he posts a lot of stuff without thinking about it. So while I do think there's been some scummy things he's said this game, because of his meta I'm going to overlook them until a little later (D2) into the game when I can actually look at the direct consequences of his actions. I still think sharrant has said blatantly scummy things, and I've thought through possible "plans" he could've had and I don't see any that make sense so I think he's lying about that. | ||
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I still say that sharrant is scummy enough to override lurker policy | ||
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On September 20 2012 05:39 drazak wrote: Super busy today, read most the posts, willing to ##VOTE Sherrant I'll try to post more tonighnt You had time to read most of the posts but not enough time to write even a single word about your vote choice? | ||
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On September 20 2012 06:04 Sharrant wrote: Okay, so lynches only ever occur at the end of the day, there's no auto lynch once you hit 50%+1? Because I didn't actually see the style of voting mentioned in the OP. So I just assumed the person with the majority of votes at the end of the day is lynched, or if someone has a majority of the votes on them they are lynched. Then I take back the part about L-1, question why no one else said anything about it earlier when I brought up L-1, and apologize to Drazak about it. But still, Drazak, do you not see why posting a vote with aboslutely no reasoning is scummy? In 3 hours whoever has the most votes is getting lynched. | ||
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On September 20 2012 06:30 kushm4sta wrote: @killing I understand it as sharrant is not roleclaiming. He was trying to get debears to roleclaim mason. I think that's it. uh, no. he claimed mason, somewhere on page 19 | ||
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So maybe we should lynch cubu, and if cubu flips mason well then at least we have a confirmed town player (sharrant) and we haven't lost a useful poster. If Cubu doesn't flip mason then we atuo lynch sharrant D2. In the outcome that cubu is mason, then like others have said about him earlier we aren't losing a player who is willing to scumhunt or contribute or say anything at all. And yeah mafia will have a good target for their nightkills (sharrant) but if there's a medic or a jailkeeper, and I think it's likely that there will be at least one of those, then they can save sharrant from nk's at their own discretion. All that being said I still don't know if I believe the mason claim or not..... like how the hell am I supposed to get any kind of mason-with-sharrant read on cubu's filter? My instincts tell me that he's lying because of my past suspicions of him and the wtf-ness of the last few pages. | ||
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On September 20 2012 07:10 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Fuuuuck, we don't have a decent counter wagon to Sharrant or Cubu. How many posters are even around right now? How many would consider changing their vote? I'd say killing or drazak | ||
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So killing/drazak but I say drazak. vote count? | ||
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On September 20 2012 07:42 kushm4sta wrote: there is 2 hours 15 minute left nope, 1 hour 15 min. in the day post it says we have 47 hours, not 48. the game started late I think | ||
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If you've got insight into the drazak/killing/cubu/sharrant choice now is the time to speak up. | ||
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kush what are your thoughts on killing and drazak? | ||
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On September 20 2012 08:41 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: It's not "killing a lurker to prove a town", it's killing a town to prove a town. We would be at d3 without both masons and with either 1 or 2 extra townies dead (depending on how successful our d2 lynch is). Best case scenario is d3 with one scum lynched, 2 masons dead and 1 VT night killed. That's bad. The worst case scenario is fucking horrible. Actually the best case scenario is that if sharrant is lying both he and cubu could be mafia which gives us 2 scum kills. But like you said the worst case scenario in which they are actually masons and there is no jk would leave us with 2 blue roles killed. The best case and worst case scenarios are so extreme making it a pretty big risk, which is why waiting on that issue is a pretty safe route. | ||
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On September 20 2012 09:09 kushm4sta wrote: My thoughts on killing vs drazak. drazak I didn't even think drazak is scummy. I just voted for him now because of the last minute omg we need to vote for someone confusion. 1 he is not that scummy. a lot of scumhunting and nothing that strikes me as a huge scumslip 2 he's not even a lurker. I thought he was more of a lurker but I just went through his filter and I would not consider him a lurker. killingtime i was in the process of reading his filter just now, but i just realized the deadline already passed. so fail. Kush, you have been a big "we must lynch the biggest lurker" advocate. Based on that last line you were writing that post before you saw the drazak flip right? So not only did you not follow your own policy in your final vote (there are lurkier people than drazak), you also voted for someone that you didn't think is scummy. On top of all of that your drazak vote was even worse than drazak's sharrant vote. Time to go read through your filter. | ||
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On September 20 2012 09:22 kushm4sta wrote: No? What caused that instant bandwagon was sharrant telling everybody that he and cubu were masons. suddenly our 2 bandwagons went to shit and town had to insta pick another because time was almost up. yeah and instead of staying around to discuss which candidate was better you just voted for one of them with no explanation | ||
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I should feel bad because I pushed for a lynch on a player that I thought was scummy all game and then later lied to try and cover it up? Why do you think his mason status is such a sure thing? Your last post is pretty much just an omgus accusation. | ||
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On September 20 2012 10:08 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: I need to go back to take a really close look at his filter. But when you say this, what are you referring to? That you thought he was lying at the time? That you still think he's lying? Or is there anything you think he's said that is a confirmed lie at this point? both, thought it at the time and still think it now Here's why I think the mason claim is fabricated. Before he had revealed what the plan was, he had this to say about it: On September 20 2012 00:54 Sharrant wrote: were my plan successful the information would still be 50/50 on proving mafia. Plan successful according to his explanation of the plan = he baits mason claims out of scum debears and scum thrawn, and because he is a mason he will have caught us lying because his experience of masons are that if there are more than 2 then they all share the same qt. Soooo where does the 50/50 part come into this? When he first threw out the 50/50 line I was thinking something along the lines of him being a cop and worrying about framers or godfathers and such. My imagined notion of his plan didn't make much sense to me, and with that 50/50 part his given explanation of his plan doesn't seem consitent from before he explanaied the plan and after he explained the plan. Then in that same post where he talks about the 50/50 stuff he also says that now he thinks debears and I are way less scummy. That isn't consistent with his earlier reads either. How does his supposed plan being destroyed by information from a mod make him think we are less scummy? The whole purpose of the plan in the first place was to catch scum lying... so if the plan won't work that means he has to drop his scumreads on me/debears? His next read on debears and I is that we are masons, remember this is after he said he pm'd the mod. He doesn't directly come out and say this but it is implied. So a short history of his reads on us are: He think's we're both scum. He tries to bait us into claiming mason. That plan won't work because of game mechanics. Therefore debears and I are no longer scum and we're now masons? There are no specific confirmable lies per se, but I just see a bunch of inconsistencies in how he talks about the plan from the time he first mentioned it to the time he finally explained it, and there are illogical transitions between his reads. Also, the Cubu mason claim just looks way too convienient... all throughout the last half of D1 he is asking us to trust him abhout things we have no possible way of confirming and if he's mafia then cubu is the safest townie to lie about. At the point when he dropped the cubu claim I didn't think and I don't think anyone else thought that cubu was going to ever post again. | ||
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On September 20 2012 13:24 JacobStrangelove wrote: Wait what! What on earth happened? We lynch drazak? What happened to the killing scum read? After posting this near lynch deadline On September 20 2012 06:29 JacobStrangelove wrote:killing I don't think is as scum as anyother lurker.(infact slightly less) On September 20 2012 13:24 JacobStrangelove wrote: We voted for someone who our other two scum reads (assuming sharrent spoke for cubu) told us to vote for.... Sharrent was also willing to vote for killing | ||
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On September 20 2012 14:04 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yeah but drazak seemed more town than killing, when I was refering to the killing being less that the lukers I was talking about stutters/cubu the two main lurkers under fire at the time. Yeah? I thought that was my point. I might have missed something though. Your post indicated you wanted us to have lynched killing instead of drazak and that it was bad we lynched drazak because sharrent was on board with it,,, I was just pointing out that sharrent was also on board with voting killing. Speaking of sharrent you mention him as a scum read, is that your read on him? | ||
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On September 20 2012 09:16 Atreides- wrote:I wasn't around after my last post, and I mixed up the voting deadline by an hour (thought it would be an hour from now, my bad). On September 20 2012 15:10 Atreides- wrote: I didn't actually know about the no-lynch until the mod posted about it. Atreides, I'm not satisfied about the context of your 1-minute-after-deadline post. In that post you said a no-lynch would have been the best choice, and later when asked about the no-lynch thing you said you didn't know about it until a mod confirmed it as real in the thread. Which means that before you made that after-deadline post, you had been following the thread closely enough to see when marv confirmed no-lynch. Marv's post happened at this time. However 14 minutes after marv's post Keirathi posted a vote count and specified the exact lynch time in big bold blue text. People had also been talking about lynch time because there was some confusion about it. So to me it looks like you really weren't reading the thread. You have also said that "weren't around after my last post" which reads as you saying you weren't reading the thread. Clarify the context of all that please. | ||
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the 50/50 thing makes sense | ||
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I'm still reading all of your posts about reads on me, and all the times when you tried to rationalize your role claim idea after people jumped on you for it. | ||
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On September 20 2012 23:03 Sharrant wrote: Certainly! M-8:14PM 17th S-10:56AM 18th S-11:17 PM S-11:22 AM 19th S-11:50 AM M-12:14 PM S-1:01 PM S-5:09 PM S-5:20 PM S-5:28 PM S-5:46 PM S-6:42 PM M-7:37 PM S-7:50 PM S-8:05 PM M-8:07 AM Yeah, I probably should've posted my plan into my mason box earlier, but I was waiting for him to say literally anything first. what time zone are those in | ||
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In the qt marv says "new player incoming" at the same time he announces sharky's arrival in the thread. When sharrant says in the qt that his plan is bad is 4 minutes before he says it in the thread. I'm gonna go ahead and stop here because those timestamps don't look like they could have been faked. It's already taken me a long time to convert timezones and find correlations between the qt post and the events in thread for just those 2 posts. Sharrant posted the timestamps 5 minutes after I asked him for them so I doubt he would have been able to fake all those timestamps in 5 minutes.... because I personally was unable to verify their accuracy within 5 minutes. I believe your mason claim now. Also sharky just confirmed it. So even if you're lying and we find out later then we will have 2 confirmed scum. | ||
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On September 21 2012 00:15 Sharrant wrote: @Thrawn I guess I didn't need to post the wall of text after that, but I felt it would help to explain my motives on you and debears to the fullest. I think that will be the last I have to say about being a mason, still, if there are questions I'll happily answer. For now I'd like to move back onto scum hunting rather than having to prove my role. Up on my radar right now is (in no particular order) debears, Atreides, and kush. I need to read through JAcob's most recent posts again before I have a more solid idea on him. Kush right now is up there mainly for his points immediately after Drazak's death. He says he was just bandwaggoning, got caught up writing a post so he missed the deadline, but he also never thought Drazak was lurking and the biggest slip up in my eyes. He thought Drazak was doing great things scumhunting. I can't find a post by Drazak where he's scumhunting. Also his latest posts were one lined little bits saying almost nothing. Atreides pops up because he sort of appears every now and again, says a few things and pops off. Doesn't really seem to hunt for people, but had something to say after Drazak died nonetheless. debears is up there for everything that happened earlier, but I'm still trying to process how the last half of day 1 changed my opinion of him. He's had good and bad posts since then which I'll need to take a closer look at. jacob, kush, and atreides all came into the thread after the deadline and said some strange things. I think atreides' posts are the scummiest looking and most contradictory, refer to my case against him. unfortunately like he said he's gonna be afk for a long time but he's someone I'm currently pretty suspicious of: On September 20 2012 22:31 thrawn2112 wrote: Atreides, I'm not satisfied about the context of your 1-minute-after-deadline post. In that post you said a no-lynch would have been the best choice, and later when asked about the no-lynch thing you said you didn't know about it until a mod confirmed it as real in the thread. Which means that before you made that after-deadline post, you had been following the thread closely enough to see when marv confirmed no-lynch. Marv's post happened at this time. However 14 minutes after marv's post Keirathi posted a vote count and specified the exact lynch time in big bold blue text. People had also been talking about lynch time because there was some confusion about it. So to me it looks like you really weren't reading the thread. You have also said that "weren't around after my last post" which reads as you saying you weren't reading the thread. Clarify the context of all that please. | ||
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On September 20 2012 06:41 Atreides- wrote:2) Sharrant outs a mason, he confirms, and we lynch cubu or killing. At this point it's very unlikely for both Sharrant and his ally to be mafia, and more likely for both to be masons. Relatively strong outcome. 4) Sharrant doesn't reveal the mason and we lynch cubu or killing. This seems like rolling the dice, as we wouldn't have any idea if Sharrant is lying or not, and it's very possible for us to lynch a townie on top of that. I'm leaning towards 2) as an option right now unless something changes. I feel that both Killing and Stutters are slightly scummy/lurky but cubu sounds like a strong vote as well. I was hoping for him to post by now. In that post he lists a bunch of scenarios and in 2 of them he advises lynching killing or cubu. He says the best option is option 2 which is if sharrant outs a mason and the mason confirms then we lynch cubu or killing. Sharrant ended up outing cubu as a mason so obviously cubu would no longer be his lynch choice which leaves killing as his preferred option. Of course cubu didn't confirm... but it still looks liek a contradiction because of how much he had talked about lynching killing in that post But then he comes into the thread and said he would have preferred a no lynch and that "There weren't any exceptionally strong arguments against killer / drazak." His lynch reads before the cubu reveal were killing, stutters, and cubu but then later he says he wants a no-lynch because there weren't any good lynch candidates? | ||
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Debears: First off I like your posts about atreides. But on to a momre striking observation, I think the only single thing that you have said different from me were 1) the rethos stuff and 2) when you voted for killing where I voted for drazak. (but even that's something I said I would have done) Now that the pattern has continued for so long I'm really starting to see how strange your posting looks. You seem to like coming into the thread after I've given a read and giving the same exact read. I'd been dismissing it so far because I can't really blame someone for having the same read I do especially just during D1, but now that you come in all over atreides after I have just done the same thing really points to you not wanting to come up with original ideas so FOS debears. | ||
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On September 21 2012 02:44 JacobStrangelove wrote:Also I do agree about Debears latching on to you (was one of my first posts just everything else got in the way) Still need to go though his stuff side by side with your filter. (also if he does latch in all but one thing how on earth haven't you noticed it until now) I have, but at the time people were accusing him of doing it they were making that accusation based off a very small sample size so it wasn't warranted. Today the sharrant mason thing finally reached a conclusion and my next posts are about atreides, and then debears comes in with the same thing making it too strong of a pattern to dismiss. | ||
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On September 21 2012 03:05 debears wrote: The funny thing here is, thrawn, is actually I was onto Atreides before you. Here is your first post about Atreides. Look at the timestamp. + Show Spoiler + On September 20 2012 22:31 thrawn2112 wrote: Atreides, I'm not satisfied about the context of your 1-minute-after-deadline post. In that post you said a no-lynch would have been the best choice, and later when asked about the no-lynch thing you said you didn't know about it until a mod confirmed it as real in the thread. Which means that before you made that after-deadline post, you had been following the thread closely enough to see when marv confirmed no-lynch. Marv's post happened at this time. However 14 minutes after marv's post Keirathi posted a vote count and specified the exact lynch time in big bold blue text. People had also been talking about lynch time because there was some confusion about it. So to me it looks like you really weren't reading the thread. You have also said that "weren't around after my last post" which reads as you saying you weren't reading the thread. Clarify the context of all that please. Now look at the timestamp from my first post about him. + Show Spoiler + On September 20 2012[ 12:40 debears wrote: I have a couple of thoughts from reading through all this craziness. First, this jumped out at me. Why would you want a no lynch? Even though the mason claim caused confusion, there were two reasonable candidates in drazak and KillingTime who had been lurking with scummy tells. All a no lynch would have done is keep lurkers around. @SDM + Show Spoiler + Sonic Death Monkey Sweden. September 20 2012 11:20. Posts 403 PM Profile Quote # filter On September 20 2012 10:45 thrawn2112 wrote: Also, the Cubu mason claim just looks way too convienient... all throughout the last half of D1 he is asking us to trust him abhout things we have no possible way of confirming and if he's mafia then cubu is the safest townie to lie about. At the point when he dropped the cubu claim I didn't think and I don't think anyone else thought that cubu was going to ever post again. I was thinking about this at the time, but it kind of felt far fetched because Cubu hadn't cast his vote and it seemed weird that he would assumed Cubu wouldn't be back to the thread at least for voting. And if Cubu is in on it, he's basically given up 2 scum. I think looking closer at the exact timing of the various claims he's made may be important. The "outing" of Cubu came late, although it seemed to me the set-up of Cubu as his fake mason buddy would've to have been planned in advance. I will get back on this. His timing can be explained by town and mafia motivations. Town - He waited until the final hour (if i am correct) when he had 6 votes on himself. His back was against the wall and if he is mason it preserves an important part of us. Mafia - By waiting until the end, he sent us into some confusion. We were stuck in a situation where our biggest bandwagons were gone, as Kush said. And, it ended up pushing our focus on lurkers and a mislynch. I have not been able to go through any filters yet to look at everyone's reasoning for their votes. From a first glance, there was good reasoning for most of us for voting who we voted for. Still, I will check more in depth. Oh wait, another post about Atreides from me. Look at the timestamp. + Show Spoiler + On September 20 2012 16:02 debears wrote: Where do you get that this was the consensus. There is a reason why they showed up as targets. Although they posted, their posts did not contain much. They voted for other players without stating their own reasons. One thing has just now came to my mind. Is that why you wanted a no lynch? The problem with this logic is that you could have said the same for drazak if you don't look at the situation with hindsight. Drazak and Killing did similar things. In fact, any lynching can be due to mafia. Who do you feel is the most mafia right now? Also, mafia can essentially bandwagon on a no lynch also. A no lynch makes it alright for everyone to prevent taking sides on arguments "because no one has strong feelings one way or another". The mafia can hide behind it. Looks like you came in after me on Atreides. Yet, you come out and lie saying that you accused him first. Then you say I continue to cockride you? FOS Thrawn Also, did anyone notice that although I specifically asked Atreides who he thought was the most mafia, he did not acknowledge the question one bit? I concede your point on the timestamps. Wasn't a lie on part though, just an error. My most recent posts have all been about Atreides and then you post a pretty detailed case against him. Ever since people have called you out for hiding behind me I've not thought it was a good case because there wasn't a large enough amount of posts to base that accusation off of. But I've kept it in the back of mind in case it continues and with my recent memory of me saying a bunch of stuff about atreides and then you coming in with a big case on him, it looked that the pattern people pointed out actually existed. Kush: read my points against atreides and see if that no-lynch idea looks genuine or not. the argument isn't that a no-lynch is a stupid idea therefore atreides = scum. What I'm saying is that his no-lynch idea doesn't match up with what he was saying pre-lynch. | ||
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Going through your filter right now and this looks spretty scummy: On September 19 2012 11:51 RemedySC wrote: Kush, this post stood out to me also. Debears posts do seem to link him and Thrawn, and if drazak is a part of this trio, than this post could just be another defense for his said teammate. No offense to kush but kush's scumteam theory was completely awful. What I see is you coming in and sheeping onto an insubstantial case in order to get a mislynch on me, drazak and (maybe) debears. That scumteam idea is such a weak argument I find it hard to believe a town player would honestly use it. Which leads me to wonder why kush brough it up in the first place, but I'm still unsure of kush because I have a hard time serparating crazy scum things he could have said with crazy town things he always said in previous games. | ||
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On September 21 2012 04:30 kushm4sta wrote: no shit the scumteam was bad. it wasn't meant as anything but a description of my thought process. Kush accusing you isn't the point of that post, but it did look strange and right now you're the hardest person for me to judge because of your meta. I know that at least 2 of those players in the team are town (meaning it's promoting at least 2 mislynches) and it makes him look even worse than it made you look because he went along with going along with it. Looking at that point, and combinging it with him being completly absent during the voting confusion (after talking about how he's off work on lynch day) and then posting immediately after the mislynch saying how bad it was I've got a pretty strong scumread on him. Look at his filter and tell me what you think. Remedy what are your scumreads atm? | ||
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On September 21 2012 04:54 kushm4sta wrote:I read his posts. I read your posts regarding his posts. I read them again. and again and again. I still dont get it. You are saying he said he didn't know about no lynch but did know about no lynch. Just confused the fuck out of me. What did he even do wrong...why does that make him mafia. Atriedes just strikes as a big noob basically. He says stupid shit that makes no sense, but that doesn't make him mafia Ok, he comes in the thread 1 minute after deadline saying that town should have no-lycnhed. He was then accused of saying that because he's trying to give himself townie points. His responce to that was that A) He didn't know when the deadline was and B) the reason he didn't push for no-lynch earlier was because he didn't know it was possible until marv said it was. Well I that doesn't look like a likely story. For him to not have known when lynch deadline was he would have had to not been reading the thread because 14 minutes after marv posted the no-lynch thing the other mod posted how much time was left until lynching. However debears did point out that marv posted about the no-lynch a minute after his last post before deadline so it's not a 100% confirmed lie but I don't buy that he wasn't lurking in the thread. Another reason why his no-lynch idea doesn't seem legit is because he had been talking about different scenarios that could happen and in half of them he said we should vote for killing. My biggest read right now is on remedy...... I asked you for you to look at remedies filter please do it, and what do you think about my case against him? | ||
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On September 21 2012 05:57 kushm4sta wrote: Just read through remedy's filter. Don't see how this guy can be anybody's "biggest read." Your two main arguments against him. 1 He sheeped on my retarded scumteam notion. I don't like this read because it seems like the case here is stupidity = scum. Not everyone is as enlightened as you about the uselessness of association cases. Are they bad? Yes I agree with that but I don't think making them is a scumtell. 2 His useless vote for me. I don't see the scum motivation in this, since both our bandwagons were town. He is not following the town plan of consolidating our bandwagon, but we never made that plan concrete really. He didn't believe in the sharrant case. He has been consistently against lynching lurkers, so that's why he wouldn't vote for cubu. The scumteam thing is not about stupidity = scum, it's about him going along with a a dumb idea that will end up lynching at least 2 confirmed town. Judging by your last post I don't think you think I'm town but that has nothing to do with my personal read on him because I know my alignment. And his vote for you accomplishes nothing at all. There was absolutely no way you were getting lynched so even if he was town and didn't want to lynch a lurker why wouldn't he pick his scummiest read out of the people that could possibly have been lynched? He was also absent during all the confusion near vote deadline, and came in after the mislynch talking about how it was dumb. That looks scummy because he wasn't around during the confusion to help town out, yet he is there 9 minutes afterwards talking about how the lynch didn't go well. So what's your biggest scumread? Earlier you said it's debears and that you'd read his new posts but you haven't said anything about that since then. | ||
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On September 21 2012 06:19 kushm4sta wrote: In my eyes the drazak mislynch was not hotly debated. Sharrant was hotly debated. drazak was just a desperation lynch. Not talking about drazak specifically, the whole thing in general. It really started to get as you say 'desperate' once sharrant claimed cubu as mason and remedy was not posting during that time. He was lurking in the thread, but not contributing. The lurking read is based off of how quickly he posted after the lynch. | ||
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On September 21 2012 07:40 kushm4sta wrote: #fos thrawn K guys I did the legwork on this monster of a filter. Tell me what you think. 1 Being active when he said he'd be lurking Thrawn was quite reluctant to join this game. Before the game started he warned us that he would be lurking more than usual. Except that hasn't happened. In fact, he has been extremely active. Imagine this, thrawn, in his 4th game, finally gets mafia, the role he has dreamt of ever since he learned about the game. That is something that could spur activity. Obviously regardless of my alignment I am in a position to be posting up the same amount that's been my meta so far. I did not think I would have computer access this game but that has changed. Your argument is basically that before the game even started I lied about how much posting I could do somehow knowing or hoping against odds that I would be mafia and I could use that to trick people into making a false meta read. 2 His multitude of paper thin cases. These are his accusations throughout the game so far. 1 fos sonic for making a survey That happened at the very start of the game. Of course any accusation at that point is going to be weak. The accusation was based on me seeing a simialar action from when he was scum in our last game. I didn't see the point of the surveys. Last game as scum he proposed that people make read lists which I thought that was a scummy tactic. He was scum that game leading me to think he was doing a similar thing in this one. 2 fos killing for saying he doesn't like FOS I didn't fos him for him saying he didn't like FOS. I fos'd him for coming into the thread at a point when people were alread makking and sharing reads and he made a fluff post. 3 vote sharrant for saying a bunch of different stupid shit bunch of stupid shit = making a vote for debears based on a paragraph of reasoning and saying he wants to force debears to role claim. Later I stuck to my vote because he was talking about a secret plan that he wasn't willing to share with us. I assumed he was suggesting he was a blue role and I even tried to think through what possible things a blue player could do in that situation and I came up with nothing so his claim that he had a plan seemed like a complete lie. Yet debears does not earn an fos even though he gives them out like candy... then d2 4 fos debears for copying his arguments (d1 it was ok d2 it's not?) First you say i am supicisous for not fosing debears and when I do it makes me suspicious? 5 atreides he tells me I need to look at for being confused about no lynch I don't see what's scummy about that 6 remedy who is suddenly out of no where his TOP scumread. Thrawn's case: he made a commented on a stupid scumteam thought I had. Also he didn't vote for a bandwagon d1. And that's his "biggest read"... I've already told you that my case on remedy isn't because he agreed with a stupid post. here and also read my post right after it. Here is him yelling at killingtime for making a thin case: But less than an hour earlier thrawn makes a case also based on only 1 sentence of justification: Yes it's hypocritical but that doesnt mean scum 3 His total lapse of logic after sharrant role claims. What does everyone think about this plan huh? Well what I think is that you are fishing to see if town will follow this madness. Cubu is basically confirmed town and you want to lynch him anyway. I didn't try to push it much further than that. I think it was stutters who pointed out what the worst possible outcome of that plan was and I dropped it after that and started contributing to the lurker lynch discussion 4 the real story of d1 Thrawn is on my ass about a redirection of a killing lynch onto drazak. Well that did not happen. The real redirection, which no one has even talked about, is from debears to sharrant. Where did I accuse you of redirecting from killing to drazak? Debears had a majority vote. Thrawn defends debears, pushes sharrant, and suddenly sharrant has the majority vote. That's an association case so it's assuming that at bare minimum, debears is confirmed scum in order for me to be scum. | ||
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On September 21 2012 12:25 RemedySC wrote: Thrawn, you haven't replied to a single post I made about you. Do you have a response to any of my concerns? Also, was that role block from mafia? I saying a got a message saying exactly "you were roleblocked." Thought I'd post it so that A) if the roleblock came from a town player they will know I'm at being honest and B) If it came from a mafia then town will have more information. In either case it gives everyone more info to work with. Maybe not now but at some point in the future.... in my first game mafia started making up a bunch of fake "I got roleblocked" claims and town was able to see through them because people had been saying the exact times they got roleblocked throughout the game. I don't see why I would get roleblocked though. Sonic the JK could have done it but I don't think so because I think he had a town read on me. That leaves only the possibilities that there's a town roleblocker who did it or the mafia did it but I have no information or theories about that so kinda useless to speculate further. On September 21 2012 09:42 RemedySC wrote: Okay, I don't think mafia got lucky in killing a blue. Looks like other than the Sharrant read, Sonic's biggest read was Atreides-, Debears, and Killing. All three have had good arguments made against them. Possibly they they thought Sonic might have more info. Remedy this post sets off my scum alarms. I son't have any evidence (and neither do you) why mafia would have killed sonic other than that he was really townish and I don't think anyone suspected him. So when you start talking about how they might have killed him because of his reads it just makes me think there's some manipulation going on behind his nightkill and your post. On September 21 2012 08:40 RemedySC wrote: This post by Thrawn to me screams mafia if you think of drazak as a town. Why get worked up over this post by drazak, when he was replying to Kush? He is very capable of defending himself. You're saying I was defending drazak or kush or something? I can't really tell what you're accusing me of here. I wasn't defending anybody I was putting out a scummy thing that drazak said. On September 21 2012 08:40 RemedySC wrote: Scum slip? That sentence totally contradicts itself. What's the contradiction? Kush said drazak debears and I all defended each other and I said it's a lie and the truth is the opposite of kush's claim. Kush claim = we defended each other and the truth/opposite of what kush said = I had been suspicious of drazak. Was there anything else I think got all your direct questions | ||
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On September 21 2012 13:01 RemedySC wrote: You know, I could see sonic role blocking you. His power also allows him to save someone, if his strongest town read was you, then he would use it on you. If the reasoning behind that is that he is trying to save his strongest town read then it would have gone to either of the 2 confirmed masons. Anyway there are tons of possible explanations of the roleblock and no reason to believe any of more than any other so I'd rather not speculate about it. | ||
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On September 21 2012 14:43 RemedySC wrote: Just re-read this post and want to address it. I acknowledged an idea, that is all. Nothing ever came of it afterwards. . Of course you know your alignment. Why do you even have to say that. He wasn't understanding that part of my case against you. It wasn't that you agreed with something stupid, it was that you agreed with something that would (now in hindsight after drazak's flip) put suspicion on at least 2 town players. Also I don't see why you would have agreed with him if you had been paying attention and had noticed what the interactions were between me and drazak. Looks less like a mafia eager to push anything that casts suspicion on town players. On September 21 2012 14:43 RemedySC wrote: I made my case against Kush, that is why I voted for him. I had no one I felt as confident about to vote against. I'm not going to just bandwagon onto someone unless I have good evidence. Now you're just putting words in my mouth. I never once said it was dumb. I stated the obvious and said it didn't go too well. Big deal? Also I mention in another post what I was doing near lynch time. Read it. This is why that original post looks so scummy. A massive clusterfuck of confusion, role claiming, cubu not being around to vote, and last minute vote switching occured during the last few hours of day 1. I just looked it up again and your post actually came 6 minutes after the lynch instead of 9..... which strongly suggests that you were lurking during the lynch and came in afterwards with a post about how "it didn't go well" in order to make yourself look more town. You came out and confirmed that you were in fact lurking and here is your excuse: "Okay, I was around reading the thread for the last 30-40 minutes before lynch time. I honestly didn't know what I could say to have an impact on the vote. It was clear to me that drazak was going to be lynched, and I didn't see any way for me to change that." So you come after all the craziness and lurk for 30-40 minutes and can't think of anything to say? Not buying that. | ||
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Like debears said we've got the same set of people going back and forth and kinda just making the same arguments over and over because lots of people aren't giving fresh input... so there's not tooo much to talk about atm until we get more reads from everyone else. I'm pretty confident in my remedy read but I don't wanna let that give people an excuse to keep lurking. Unfortunately there's not a good way to get lurkers to post because by their nature they for whatever reason don't like posting or are unable to post. So all you lurkers: just remember that you guys are who we're gonna look at if our reads fall flat so you need to change that by getting in here and saying what you're thinking. | ||
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On September 21 2012 17:24 rethos wrote: Believe it or not I was actually making a test to see how much leniancy lurkers get in this game. It seems to me that it's a lot. I mean how much did people take to realize that I was not posting ANYTHING? My opinions are as follows: 1) The hit on SDM is surprising. If I were mafia I would definetly try and get that confirmed townies out instead. That really irks me a lot. It means that SDM was more of a threat that having a confirmed town. I do not think that they actually got a read on him a blue. He was way to active and open, him flipping blue must have been a surprise for them as well as for us. My opinion on talking about who mafia night killed and why: mafia players are more likely to do it than town players. First because they have perfect information as to exactly why the night kill happened wheras town has 0 information except for a wide range of unprovable theories, and second it can be a tool to mislead the town as to the true reasons for why the night kill happened. You say you don't think mafia got a read on sonic as a blue... why do you think this? You say it would have been a big surprise for mafia and town that he was blue... why the surprise? What made you previously think that he was most likely green instead of blue? On September 21 2012 17:24 rethos wrote: 2) Lynching an active player seems bad if we don't have a good reason. Right now the feeling I get is that mafia is laughing from the sidelines as some townies fight each other. Again back to the lurker idea. That means putting pressure on people to post. 3) Obviously the mason claim seems very fool proof. It all fits back way to good. The only way it's not true is if Sharrant was planning it all along when there was no pressure and tricked us all into accusing him. (very unlikely - if so... well played sir well played). Obviously also it's a bad risk/reward thing since now if something happens, we have two confirmed mafia. I'm not sure what read you're giving. "Fool proof" makes me think you arew suggesting maliciuos intent behind the mason claim but the rest of that makes me think you believe the claim to be true. So just for clarity you're saying you believe the claim right? On September 21 2012 17:24 rethos wrote: My biggest problem right now is number 2. I am guilty of it as well but I was actually doing it on purpose. What are the other guys's reasons? Everybody that is not posting, can you tell us why are you not? (I have given my reason, if you need me to go into more detail about it please ask). Also this post looks pretty fluffy, you didn't commit to scumreads so what is your scumread? I refresh the page and see you say: "This is my actual read for now: there is a significant part of mafia hiding amongst lurkers." You're gonna have to put forth more than that. Your read is that there is a significant part of mafia among lurkers, who out of the lurkers do you most suspect? And do you have any thoughts and the reads people have been making during N1? What seems strange about you saying that you intentionally lurked (which to me sounds like a really strange plan for a town player to both think of and carry on for so long) is that you say it right after debears, myself, and jacob talk about being frustrated with lurkers. So my gut instinct tells me your post is you making up that intentional lurking idea to try and excuse your lurking. So right after we start calling people out for lurking you make a big post saying why you've been lurking and you talk a bunch about night kill theories that can't really be proven and your read is that there is an unspecifed mafia amongst the lurkers. Looks defensive and scummy. Regardless of all that, thanks for posting and please follow through and don't lurk any more. | ||
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On September 21 2012 17:45 rethos wrote: To be clear my defense against lurking is not "hey I did it on purpose", it's "hey I will not be lurking anymore now" makes sense after you saying this: On September 21 2012 17:24 rethos wrote: Believe it or not I was actually making a test to see how much leniancy lurkers get in this game. It seems to me that it's a lot. I mean how much did people take to realize that I was not posting ANYTHING? .......... I am guilty of it as well but I was actually doing it on purpose. | ||
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On September 21 2012 18:11 rethos wrote: Actually no.. I am sorry to all of you. But it really seems that playing mafia is really not for me. I got bored and did not want to post any more. Now I am trying to catch up and can't get bring myself to it. Yes I lied about having this weird plan of lurking intentionally. I lurked because I did not have motivation to do anything. Again I am really really sorry. I will ask for a replacement. Lol which one of your mason buddies in the qt told you to write this post? My vote today was going to be remedy but this series of posts from rethos makes me consider lynching him regardless of him asking for a replacement. | ||
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On September 21 2012 17:24 rethos wrote: Believe it or not I was actually making a test to see how much leniancy lurkers get in this game. It seems to me that it's a lot. I mean how much did people take to realize that I was not posting ANYTHING? My opinions are as follows: 1) The hit on SDM is surprising. If I were mafia I would definetly try and get that confirmed townies out instead. That really irks me a lot. It means that SDM was more of a threat that having a confirmed town. I do not think that they actually got a read on him a blue. He was way to active and open, him flipping blue must have been a surprise for them as well as for us. 2) Lynching an active player seems bad if we don't have a good reason. Right now the feeling I get is that mafia is laughing from the sidelines as some townies fight each other. Again back to the lurker idea. That means putting pressure on people to post. 3) Obviously the mason claim seems very fool proof. It all fits back way to good. The only way it's not true is if Sharrant was planning it all along when there was no pressure and tricked us all into accusing him. (very unlikely - if so... well played sir well played). Obviously also it's a bad risk/reward thing since now if something happens, we have two confirmed mafia. My biggest problem right now is number 2. I am guilty of it as well but I was actually doing it on purpose. What are the other guys's reasons? Everybody that is not posting, can you tell us why are you not? (I have given my reason, if you need me to go into more detail about it please ask). First why make such a long post if you were bored? The first 2 bolded statements show emotion which suggests interest in the game. The third one (as well as the whole post) shows that you have an interest in pressuring lurkers which suggests an interest in future game developments. Am I reading too much into this? There might be some confirmation bias going on but after looking at his entire filter I do not get the impression that he was bored from any of his posts. | ||
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On September 21 2012 18:47 JacobStrangelove wrote: I don't see comfirmation bias in that, in the space of about 4 posts he has lied several times. One he lies about being bored. Two he lies about his defense not being based on intentinal lurking and he admits to lying about having the plan in this first place. Scum have plenty of reason to lie, town don't. Just say he was town.. he wouldn't see himself as more a target than anyone else who is lurking. I think guilt gave him away. Also if he is town and lies.... then he is playing the game very wrong... It does look he was feeling very guilty. He gets called out for lurking and then says he was lurking intentionally to test the strength of the lurker policy. Well why does that need to be tested in the first place? How will that help catch scum? Then you question him about that plan, he says his defense wasn't that he had a lurking plan after clearly stating that he did, then when I quote him on that he goes back to his first claim saying that he wass trying to call attention to lurkers, then finally he says he was lying about the lurker plan and that he's bored with the game. Him being bored is definitely not what I saw in his D1 posts and in this new series of posts. His post at the top of the last page has several other scummy things in it that I pointed out so ##Vote rethos | ||
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On September 21 2012 19:11 KillingTime wrote: I sort of feel he is breaking the rules here and messing up the game. Saying explicitly with like 36hrs of a day left that you are going to get replaced in thread - when the first post explicitly says that you should PM the mod and that you can't get modkilled to help you team - seems to violate the spirit of those rules if not the exact letter for me. Meh I guess that is a mess for the mods to sort out and not us. But this is not cool ![]() there's a difference in being modkilled and being replaced but yeah it's not for us to talk about while the game is still going | ||
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On September 22 2012 00:39 marvellosity wrote: I'd like to point out that PMs from hosts may not be shared under any circumstances. Further, the notifications for mafia roleblocker, town roleblocker, and Jailkeeper would all say the same thing. I cant copy/paste the text or do you mean screenshots? | ||
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On September 22 2012 00:36 Dandel Ion wrote: It would make zero sense for a town RB (RB doesn't protect from nighthits) to block thrawn of all people. unless they thought I was scum Also Dandel if rethos/you are town then obviously I can't expect you to be able to defend his actions but imo what he said was scummy enough for me to keep the vote on you unless you change my mind about that. So who do you propose lynching? On September 22 2012 00:16 Sharrant wrote: Hey, guys. I can 100% guarantee you that SDM was not the one who role blocked THrawn. Somebody else did that. Why am I so sure? Because I was roleblocked, and it had previously been discussed me being RB'ed by the jailor so that I wouldn't die. It makes no sense for anyone else to RB me, either we have a seperate town RB'er who is still very suspicious of me, or we have a very bad mafia RB'er who thought RB'ing a mason would actually do something. In my mind it's much more likely SDM RB'ed me, and a townie or mafia RB'ed Thrawn. Thrawn, I would like to know exactly how your RB text was written. EXACTLY. Please. Now here's where things get tricky. I assume SDM RB'ed me to save me. And there was another possible jailor, possible vanilla roleblock, or possible lie about a role block by Thrawn. (I do consider Thrawn fairly town so I'm not sure about him lying, it seems to be a big risk). So here's where the really big question comes in If someone is jailed and attacked, are they informed they survived an attack? Because if they are not informed, it's entirely possible that I was attacked, or Thrawn was attacked, but we don't know. Thus the SK possibility is just as high as it started. Hell, it's entirely possible that due to the flavour we're considering that a mafia attack, when it was an SK attack. He's said the fluff is just fluff, so we don't know what type of scum killed him. (For now I'm still considering it a mafia attack though, but it's a 70-30 thing because I think mafia would more likely go after me, and SK more likely SDM, but this is a newbie game so that's just speculation) If we are informed, then it's most likely there is no SK, unless they took a liking to my earlier post on how I would play an SK in this situation. Rethos' replacement is kind of out of the blue for me, I had a scum feeling about him before, I'm not sure how that will change with him suddenly having a new personality. Kush does stand out to me as a distinct possibility as mafia, but I do agree we should focus more on the lurkier players still. THere's a very good chance that the group of Dandel Ion, Remedy, Atreides, KillingTime contain at least one scum. Just spitballing here, but Remedy+KillingTime or Dandel Ion+Atreides make the most sense as teams in my head unless there's some attack-y stuff between them I'm not remembering. There's a good chance only one of those 4 is scum though, unfortunately it's hard to read while they're still lurking. At least with Dandel Ion we should hopefully be getting a more clear read today. Also, especially with the new players joining it's imperrative you check the spelling of people's names. Honestly, my name was misspelled ninety percent of the time on Day 1, it got a little annoying. And some of them were really funny on other people, like Atreides had his name bombed pretty hard. In answer to your question I'm not allowed to post specific wording but marv said that all roleblock notifications say the same thing. Not sure if you asked me to post to verify it against yours or if you are digging for information about where the roleblock would have come from. Your logic about roleblocking makes sense but I do not know what information it gives or if the 2nd roleblock can be verified to have come from either mafia or town so once again I don't put too much stock in that discussion right now. However I will give my thoughts on my roleblock. If it came from a town player it was because they thought I was scum, or they were a jk thinking I was town. If it came from mafia, I think they suspect me of being one of the more powerful blue roles and they were trying to stop me from performing an action based upon the reads I was making during N1. And all that is under the assumption that your mason confirmation is indeed accurate. I don't think it's possible that you could have faked those timestamps in 5 minutes and to me that is enough to assume your mason status is confirmed. That's all I have to say about that topic though because there's no way of knowing (except asking for a role claim which I don't think would be worth it for this situation) which option I should believe. I'd like to move on from the roleblocking discussion and on to lynch discussion. | ||
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On September 21 2012 21:55 kushm4sta wrote: in between class high as fuck so I'm gonna keep this short. mafia don't get bored.he might have lied about his reason for afking but I don't think he lied about being bored. all he did was turn this thread into scum paradise basically. Well obviously if he were mafia he lied about being bored. It'd be just another lie after the several he made in the span of like 10 minutes. | ||
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On September 22 2012 01:06 kushm4sta wrote: Why would he leave the game if he wasn't bored? because I had just outed him as mafia. sounds like cheating to me but that is at the mod's discretion | ||
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On September 22 2012 01:25 kushm4sta wrote: So just that suspicion was enough to make him say oh fuck the only way out of this is to quit from the game and pretend im bored? That doesn't seem likely to me. He had just been caught lying a few times in a row on top of other things I said in a case about his posts. Even when he decided to say "sorry I was actually just bored" he admittined that he had been lying. Also he did not seem bored at all which makes me that that was also a lie. | ||
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On September 21 2012 22:57 Dandel Ion wrote: Reasoning: It was redundant for him to roleblock one of the masons. You all treat the masons as confirmed town, but they really are not. As long as none of them flip, there will remain some doubt. And it could possibly surface at a very bad time for town. It would be incredibly stupid for scum to shoot one mason, and leave the other in the game. During Night 1, that is. I'd say they're confirmed town. If you've got any reason otherwise please say so. | ||
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On September 22 2012 01:39 Dandel Ion wrote: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=367548¤tpage=35#683 My filter is not that big (yet).... Yeah in that post you talk about how you think they are masons because of the modkill possibility, but I want to know why you originally said they aren't confirmed in the earlier post. | ||
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On September 22 2012 01:49 Dandel Ion wrote: But that's arguing semantics, for you 99% = confirmed, for me it is 100% = confirmed. As I said, I do believe them, and I do not think that they are scum. Ok I see why you said they are not confirmed now. I'll let you get back to filter reading | ||
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On September 22 2012 01:56 debears wrote: 3. His claim of being bored Someone pointed out his excitement in the pregame with the picture deal. So, lets say he was hoping he'd get the blue role or a mafia role. If he is townie, yeah he could be bored. However, why did he wait til his back was against the wall, arguably a time when he shouldn't be bored, to say he was bored and quit? If he was a blue role, I don't understand why he would be bored since he would be a key part of the town. If he was mafia, he wouldn't be bored since he has to think clearly and watch what he posts and try to sway people whom he knows are town against each other. To me, this gives strong evidence that the boredom claim was indeed a lie. The boredom claim was the nail in the coffin for me. I made these two posts after he claimed boredom. Also, are we just supposed to accept his new story about being bored after he went back and forth between his other lies as soon as they were exposed? | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:06 kushm4sta wrote: Mafia not leave games as a tactic. Yes mafia leaves games, but they only do it when they have an actual reason, like they are busy (weetee) or they are bored. In newbie xxv (I think) scum dandel ion offered to leave. This was because he felt he was too busy to properly defend himself as mafia, not because he thought it was the only escape from suspicion. So whether town or mafia I think rethos really was bored. He was not bored pregame when he drew a cat. He was not bored d1 when he was very active and made a vote count. That I agree with. He became bored, though, and that accounts for his long afk. If you accept that he was actually bored, the case against him falls apart. It makes sense that he lied about wanting to test lurker leniency, because he didn't want to admit to his boredom. Also it fit his point about not pressuring the lurkers enough. Here's what happened: First he lies about having a lurking plan: "Believe it or not I was actually making a test to see how much leniancy lurkers get in this game" (not a plan a townie with any sense would use) and then he lies about the lie: "To be clear my defense against lurking is not "hey I did it on purpose", it's "hey I will not be lurking anymore now"" (saying "I will not be lurking anymore" ..... how does that = boredom?) then he goes back to saying the first lie was true: "So basically there is a problem with this game (all newbie games? I don't know) that is that people are not pressuring lurkers at all. Mainly they are giving them little slaps on the hand like (hey you have not posted in a while). I wanted to actually attract attention to that. And I think I actually succedded." then he says all the previous lies actually were lies and that instead he's bored "Actually no.. I am sorry to all of you. But it really seems that playing mafia is really not for me. I got bored and did not want to post any more. Now I am trying to catch up and can't get bring myself to it. Yes I lied about having this weird plan of lurking intentionally. I lurked because I did not have motivation to do anything." How does that more sense than coming out and being truthful about being bored right off the bat? | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:06 kushm4sta wrote:Yes mafia leaves games, but they only do it when they have an actual reason, like they are busy (weetee) or they are bored. Mafia leaves games if they are bored? So you're saying that he is both bored and mafia? Are you still high or are you scum? | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:35 kushm4sta wrote: Thrawn I'm saying that even if he was mafia, boredom was his reason for leaving. Are you? On September 22 2012 03:06 kushm4sta wrote:.If you accept that he was actually bored, the case against him falls apart. FOS Kush | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:39 Dandel Ion wrote:I would like for everyone to look at his filter and tell me what they think about this. Other than your predecessor he's my top scumread. Your posting is way way more townish than rethos was but rethos was so scummy that my vote remains. | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:49 kushm4sta wrote: Ok its wrong to say "mafia don't get bored" because that is an absolute. I would rather say, in my current sober state, that it is much less likely for scum to get bored. Is there a chance he is scum? I doubt it but of course there is a chance. I'm saying that I think bored mafia is more likely than mafia that uses faked boredom into quitting the game as a scum strategy. Lol in my first mafia game as town I got really baked and then I lurked in the thread taking notes and making theories. I took a nap, woke up and proceeded to make the mother of all scummy-sounding posting sprees. So if you're town then my advice is: don't play this game high, don't even read the thread. So you believe the boredom claim no matter if he is town or scum right? Is there a reason for you doubting he's scum or is it just a gut feeling? | ||
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On September 22 2012 04:16 kushm4sta wrote: Wtf I was actually quite proud of my reasoning and when I wad writting it I was thinking to myself damn this is going to convince everybody Just give your current sober read on the situation then.... and if you end up not thinking he shouldn't be lynched then who should be? | ||
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On September 22 2012 03:15 RemedySC wrote: Also this was rethos's first game ever. Before playing mafia, he would be excited to try it out. Maybe he couldn't get into though. Is that the full extent of your read? | ||
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On September 22 2012 04:32 kushm4sta wrote: I am giving my current sober read. Why do I think he's not scum? because scum are less likely to.get bored. because being bored gives him a reason to lie about testing towns lurker leniency. Ok I definitely agree that scum are less likely to be bored. Which is why if he's scum then the boredom claim is yet another lie. It also looks like another lie because his D1 filter doesn't show signs of boredom, and coming into the thread and lying about lurking plans also doesn't show boredom. Since he already had shown how much he likes lying, I think the boredom claim is another lie and he asked to get replaced because he, or maybe his fellow scum, realized that he had just fucked up big time. And I don't see how being bored would give a town rethos motivation to lie and say he had a lurker policy testing plan. If he was really bored and he was town, why not just say sorry i've gotten bored and want to be replaced? Or even better why would he even jump back into the thread and make crazy sounding lies in as an excuse to not be lynched? He should've just pm'd a mod saying he wants out and not gone to extreme lengths (lying) to get people to stop accusing him of lurking. Bored-town-rethos doesn't make sense. Lying scum rethos makes more sense... especially after seeing how eager he was to lie and lie about lies and so on. | ||
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On September 22 2012 05:45 Dandel Ion wrote: Both of you are just repeating the same thing over and over now. This isn't constructive. Talk about something else pls. Like my Remedy case. I like my Remedy case. Who else likes my Remedy case? Who doesn't like my Remedy case? Pls include reasons. Also, Sharky lurking even harder than Cubu (#1 replacement (I'm only #2 cuz I wasn't insta"confirmed" town, so I'm automatically worse)), Stutters not posting and Kush & Thrawn repeating the same arguments over and over. This all and more in this episode of "Bitches in the Brothel" I've said pretty much all I have to say about remedy during N1. I started looking into his filter because of this post. Go and look at the craziness that went down in the last few hours of D1. Rethos wasn't around for the most crucial part but then he comes in 6 minutes after the lynch saying the the mislynch didn't go well. He later said he did that because he was lurking in the thread 30-40 minutes before the deadline but he didn't feel like he had anything useful to say. Then he made some (imo and apparently yours too) weak and poorly thought out accusations against me and this was right after kush had made a massive FOS on me. (btw kush that statement is not a suspicion of you it's a suspicion of remedy) Before the rethos thing happened he was my top scumread. Another weird thing happened with him since all that was is he came into the thread and made this post: On September 22 2012 03:15 RemedySC wrote: Also this was rethos's first game ever. Before playing mafia, he would be excited to try it out. Maybe he couldn't get into though. That's all he has to say about a topic that has caused votes for a player this early on in D1? | ||
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lol but that statement would be true for rethos as well | ||
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and kush. have you read any of the stuff I said about remedy during N1? it's not just about a lack of scumhunting | ||
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On September 22 2012 06:23 kushm4sta wrote: thrawn at the time I didn't like the no lynch confusion argument but I don't think I ever fully understood it. that was atreides who suggested no lynch, not remedy | ||
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here here here here there's also stuff that's been recently said about him by myself and dandel | ||
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First time here | ||
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On September 22 2012 08:36 kushm4sta wrote: Look at these two quotes: This regarding my case against him. (The only case I didn't understand was the atreides one. Because it was convoluted as fuck.) These two quotes, the "or are you scum" quotes I would expect from an aggressive newb, but thrawn's meta is none of those things. @thrawn what is the purpose of these questions? Are they jokes or what? The last quote is sorta joking but they're both serious opinions/questions. Your ability to follow my logic this game has been even worse than in our previous games so either you're somehow just failing to understand things I type or you're scum and trying to downplay them. You even came into the thread talking how baked you were and you made a bunch of confusing/contradictory posts about the boredom claim of rethos. Like they were so contradictory/confusing I thought you either still must be high or you're scum trying to create confusion. So yeah... that's why I keep asking if you're confused about my posts/high. (Perhaps you are right and my cases have just made no sense at all but if that's true then I'm concerned for my mental health.) The only other option is that you're trying to discredit my cases by saying they don't make sense and that you're scum. No offense but honestly I believe the former to be true and for some reason you're being more dense this game than usual.... maybe some breakdown in communication between us has occurred? Honestly you are the hardest person in the thread to reason with because you act like an asshole whenever people are suspicious of you or disagree with you. Not just this game but all of them. I've somewhat responded in kind this game because it's gotten annoying so how about we just leave emotions out of it from now on? Basically, the less angry/negative emotions you put into your posts, the better for everyone involved. | ||
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I could switch to remedy. I've been thinking over the fact that my #1 scumread (rethos) is most suspicious of my #2 (remedy) scumread but I don't really know what to make of it, at least until 1 of them flips. And kush I don't think stutters would be a bad choice (lurker policy in effect here) but don't see myself voting for him unless the vote count ends up being super spread out among lots of candidates or something similarly controversial. My stutters vote would be because of the post timing I pointed out and because of lurker policy. However you yourself said your case against him was weak, I'm assuming at some point you're going to try and make a vote based on a stronger case? Lurker policy has its place but I don't see why it should be put into effect with so much time left before deadline. | ||
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uh... noted? lol | ||
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I don't think atreides should be a lynch candidate. The stuff I just posted is enough for me to not have a scumread on him anymore. He has been lurking but if we have to go for a lurker stutters is a much better choice. | ||
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So if all the follwoing is true, Stutters has to be scum 1: At least 1 mafia voted for drazak 2: There are no holes we've overlooked in sharrant's mason claim 3: My reasoning about kush's vote is extremely likely to be correct (4: and an additional one for people other than myself would be that thrawn is town) For me of course 4 is 100 true. 2 is so close to 100 percent true it may as well be 100 percent. Then I think 3 is the next most likely and 1 is probably the part of the theory I have the most hesitations about. However I think 1 and 3 are solid enough. So in other words I think stutters is a pretty damn good lynch option. Not only for all the reasons just mentioned but also because he's a huge lurker. | ||
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On September 22 2012 13:59 kushm4sta wrote: K so the questions everyone needs to answer: who is your biggest scumread? are you willing to hop on a stutters bandwagon? rethos/dandel, and after that either remedy or stutters. remedy was my #2 but after doing the research for my last post stutters has moved up the scum radar a lot higher so as of now idk which of them I'd put in the #2 spot. And yes I would definitely vote stutters but not right not unless rethos isn't getting lynched. | ||
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On September 22 2012 14:06 kushm4sta wrote: @thrawn Why is it a sure thing that 1 scum voted for drazak? How sure are we about the sharrant mason claim actually? I know before I said blah blah 100% why are we even talking about it, but recently i've been thinking. I only thought it was very unlikely they were scum because of the risk. Then their towniness was confirmed by the chat log timestamps. Does it actually confirm them because I pretty much just saw the timestamps and took other people's word for it without even looking at them. The one scum voting for drazak is def the weakest part but I can't remember a single mislynch I've been a part of where there weren't ANY mafia who voted for the town guy. And for me the timestamps was the thing that pretty much forced me into accepting them as masons. Here's the post I did about them. If you want to check my research yourself, or do additional research beyond the 2 timestamps I looked up, then the list of timestamps are on that page I linked you and sharrant posted the timezone for them as well. The qt chat long is on the previous page. I started looking up the times and referencing them with events that took place in the thread and the first 2 came up clean. I noticed it had taken me quite a long time to convert timezones, and read through the thread to see if the qt posts matched up. If sharrant had made them up, then it would have taken him a good amount of time to fake them so cleanly. Then I realized that he had posted the time stamps 5 minutes after I asked for them which would be an inhuman time for them to have been fabricated. The only ways I can see that falling apart is if A) the two events I looked up happened to be the only ones he managed to guess correctly (he would have had like 20 seconds to spend guessing at each one) or B) he made the timestamps a long time before I asked for them. If A is true well then fuck me for being so unlucky. You can go do the research yourself and try out different posts than I did or I'll even do it if you're lazy and doubting A is true. I don't think B is likely because if he faked them a long time before I asked then why wouldn't he have included them in the original qt post? | ||
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Lots of people have been making those arguments this whole game and I actually start getting suspicious when I see them. At best it gives a null read on your true intentions. | ||
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On September 22 2012 14:30 JacobStrangelove wrote:(who is yourharry?) lol go ask goodkarma | ||
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On September 22 2012 14:36 sharky246 wrote: I was thinking that maybe all three of you (kushm4sta, thrawn2112 and stutters695) are mafia (got nothing against you personally). I mean afterall, it is in the best interest of the mafia to lynch a townie. But to think that that is the case is abit too simplistic, albeit a possibility. I know that everyone thinks of you as confirmed mason and all that but since you've joined the theory you just posted (about thinking 3 mafia voted for drazak) has been the most extensively thought out idea you've posted. Do you have any other ideas or reads? You shouldn't just leave it all the work up to sharrant. | ||
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On September 22 2012 14:35 JacobStrangelove wrote: uhh ok... It's an inside joke for people who were around during my first game (so I guess only the hosts) but if you really want to know just go read the obs qt for newbie game XXIV lol. | ||
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On September 22 2012 14:14 kushm4sta wrote: wait if it's plurality vote why do we even need a backup plurality lynch doesn't mean you should only vote your top scumread. marv explained it pretty well here | ||
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On September 22 2012 15:02 JacobStrangelove wrote: Ok lol I actually pm'd him so... LOL dear lord you are going to get an entertaining response | ||
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On September 23 2012 00:52 Dandel Ion wrote: Eh, if that's going to be the wagon, so be it. ##unvote ##vote stutters Who would you rather the wagon be? I see you come into the thread with a scumread that other people thought was scummy at the time, (most especially myself) debears attacks you and you immediately go after him even to the point of voting for him. Then two people go for stutters and it's time to change your vote to stutters? Is debears still your top read? Don't you even want to try to see if you can push your case? | ||
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On September 23 2012 01:48 kushm4sta wrote: @thrawn please change your vote. Your argument for stutters was really good, yet you dont vote for him? because rethos/dandel is my stronger read. The stutters thing is based on the fact that he's a lurker (and the way he lurks is suspicious) and as for my argument, it's based on several assumptions. It's a mix of true asumptions and likely assumptions, but because some of it is based on information I can't confirm then makes it as weak as an association case. I'll change but that's only if rethos isn't gonna get lynched. | ||
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A lot of the stuff he has said looks scummy, but it only looks scummy if you already think rethos is scum. He's being accused of trying to deflect attention onto remedy, but lets look at the motivations behind that. Yes, he could do it if he is scum, but would he be so obvious about it? Also if he was trying to deflect onto remedy then wouldn't the other mafia try to pitch in and help deflect? Now if he is town, then of course he will be super aggressive about trying to get other people to comment on his reads. That's pretty much a townie's primary objective if they think that they are gonna be mislynched. If they know they will die then the most helpful thing they could possibly to is to try and get people discussion their reads so that when they flip green then town will have a lot to look at. Like I said I've thought dandel's posting was scummy but that scum read is only based off of me thinking that rethos was scum. And one thing I haven't considered about rethos is that if he was lying about being bored he could still be town. Also it is somewhat accepted that you are supposed to give replacements a decent amount of time to play before you lynch them. So for all of those reasons I don't like the idea of lynching dandel today. I think more time is needed to get a read on him. Therefore, ##Unvote So now I want to lynch either remedy or stutters. I think both are very good options. I've talked a lot about remedy but basically nobody outside of the people who share reads on everything have shared their reads on him. | ||
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"I could have easily gone after drazak or Cubu Day 1, but instead I refused to vote on Cubu, and I didn't know what to think on the Drazak situation. That is why I didn't post with 45 minutes remaining day 1. I didn't think i could say anything that would make a difference when Lynch time was so close." First off the phrase: "I could have easily gone after drazak or Cubu Day 1" looks like a potential scumslip. And the reason he said he didnt post was because he couldn't think of anything useful to say. Possible, but town players are interested in helping town. Looks more like he didn't care about who was lynched. Then after the rethos debacle he comes in with this insightful post: On September 22 2012 03:15 RemedySC wrote: Also this was rethos's first game ever. Before playing mafia, he would be excited to try it out. Maybe he couldn't get into though. Hard to believe that's all he would say about the issue if he really cared. Other people have said other stuff but those are my main reasons. | ||
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If not him then stutters for lurker policy, his suspicious posts where he stops lurking when people accuse him of it, and for my process of elimination theory a few pages back. vote count? | ||
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you don't seem to care too much about who gets lynched... most especially when the lynch candidates were mostly all confirmed towns (drazak and the masons) | ||
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On September 23 2012 07:20 kushm4sta wrote: nah I don't like this. anyone want to switch back to stutters? remedy lynch is based on feel reads and presumed scumslips. he doesn't care about who gets lynched... how the fuck does that make him scum? anyone want to swtich back to stutters? Why stutters over remedy? Looks like you said because its a gut feeling... And earlier you had weird hesitations about lynching stutters based on meta.... What are your reads and order of preference for those players? | ||
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On September 23 2012 07:34 kushm4sta wrote: because I'm not confident enough in my read of you and the origanal premise to make stutters my first pickthrawn are you there? your drazak lynch theory, about how at least 1 scum voted for drazak. I can't stop thinking about this. turns out itsnot just your theory it is a known truism of mafia. Now we know there are only 3 possible scum that voted for him. stutters myself and you. if you believe in that theory, how can you not lynxh stutters... unless you are the mafia who voted | ||
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On September 23 2012 07:41 kushm4sta wrote: @thrawn well if its true you are town and you have doubts about me, isn't that more of a reason to vote stutters Lynch a player to get a read on another player that would be based on the idea that there is 1 mafia who voted for drazak? Seems like poor reason to not vote my scumread. No scum could have voted drazak or you and stutters could both be scum. | ||
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On September 23 2012 07:58 kushm4sta wrote: but your scumreads are always wrong thrawn. Don't really know how to respond to that... I should not vote my reads? And I don't understand you recent thought process... You keep voting for people then having hesitations that aren't based on much... Just say your damn reads lol | ||
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On September 23 2012 08:09 kushm4sta wrote: If we are both scum then you Lynch stutters a scum. if no one is scum.. well that is possible but its also an extreme rarity. Ok that is reasonable however it's based on some unproven assumptions..... But first why not remedy | ||
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On September 23 2012 08:45 kushm4sta wrote: why stutters over remedy even though they are both scum reads? because at least 1 scum voted for drazak bandwagon. stutters voted for him, remedy didn't That is a good reason but honesty right now I don't really trust you motives because of how much you've gone back and forth during d2 and especially the last few hours | ||
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On September 23 2012 08:55 Atreides- wrote: @debears, I didn't really see much substance in your case vs Dandel. A lot of it was based on your case against rethos (which I disagreed with) and all thrawn really did was point out the stupid things that remedy said. Again, I can't see the difference here between town mistakes vs mafia intentional bad posting. Then u don't understand the remedy Case, it's not about quality of posts it's about his likely motivations behind his posting | ||
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On September 23 2012 09:06 Dandel Ion wrote: I know that was most likely a typo, but it really does look like that. LOL | ||
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The first accusation you make is that he's an active lurker (a weird phrase but I know what you mean) and that he doesn't take stances. So I'm gonna talk about some of his reads. Here's the first read he makes: (here) It comes in at a time when sonic and I were going at it pretty strongly and his opinion on the issue is, well I don't really know. He doesn't give it. He does sorta talk about the issue but does not come out and say if he thinks either sonic or I look more scummy, and in his next post he has this to say about the issue: "I am going to stay mostly away from the thrawn kush sonic debacle for the moment it’s not as clear as it should be." Jacob what was so unclear about it that caused you to not want to discuss it? Later in that same post he talks about the debears/thrawn issue and ends up saying this: "Both are plausible I will need more time to work out which is which" but he doesn't end up posting that read. Those are the two most dramatic issues of the start of the game but he doesn't want to talk about them or he needs more time to work them out but ends up not doing so. What I remember most from jacob's posting was the rethos stuff. So, rethos comes into the thread saying that he had a lurking plan. Jacob asks him this:"Wait you were lurking on purpose? That is your entire reason for lurking? "Hey guys don't lynch me I was lurking on purpose" Why would you do that? What do you gain from it? (apart from a social life) Please elaborate". He does question rethos but if there is any suspicion contained in those questions it is very faint. Then after rethos responds jacob makes this post and he never commits too strongly to believing or disbelieving rethos. It's a bunch of sentences and each contain very slight reads that are in contradiction with the read of the other sentences. He finally commits to a scum read on rethos in this post: On September 21 2012 18:47 JacobStrangelove wrote: I don't see comfirmation bias in that, in the space of about 4 posts he has lied several times. One he lies about being bored. Two he lies about his defense not being based on intentinal lurking and he admits to lying about having the plan in this first place. Scum have plenty of reason to lie, town don't. Just say he was town.. he wouldn't see himself as more a target than anyone else who is lurking. I think guilt gave him away. Also if he is town and lies.... then he is playing the game very wrong... He points out that rethos lied several times. This was something that I pointed out first, and something that jacob did not even seem to think was happening before I posted about it. And at the end of the post there's the "if's he's town" part where he could be leaving himself an out. Here are some posts that are representative of what I'm talking about when I say his posts don't contain reads: On September 19 2012 13:54 JacobStrangelove wrote: Oh cool stutters is here *waits* Funny how you show up right after I make a statement about you but it could be coincidence. So.... did what stutters did make him suspicious or not? Another similar post: On September 19 2012 14:03 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yeah it looks really bad, that said assuming you are mafia you would probably do everything you could to get a post out to avoid this... (as in last night although you would probably also do a post like this anyway) Once again I by the time I finish reading the post I have no idea what his final read was. Go read his filter and a lot of it's similar to the two above quotes. After reading a jacob post you are left with a often weak and sometimes dizzying notion of what jacob's actual read is. When he gives reads a lot of times he'll throw in one of these: (but here's something that could make my read the opposite of what it is) Another one of your points about him is that it's not the same jacob from last game. I went through his filter from that game and he does ramble on a lot but he does no where near the amount of providing himself outs for his reads. So yeah I'd say jacob looks scummy. Now onto your other questions specifically addressed to me: On September 23 2012 11:55 kushm4sta wrote: What caused you to drop your suspicion of dandel/rethos? Because it came totally out of the blue. I did not drop my suspicion. My decision to not lynch dandel was given here: + Show Spoiler + On September 23 2012 03:09 thrawn2112 wrote: For the people who think dandel's posting is scummy, consider this: A lot of the stuff he has said looks scummy, but it only looks scummy if you already think rethos is scum. He's being accused of trying to deflect attention onto remedy, but lets look at the motivations behind that. Yes, he could do it if he is scum, but would he be so obvious about it? Also if he was trying to deflect onto remedy then wouldn't the other mafia try to pitch in and help deflect? Now if he is town, then of course he will be super aggressive about trying to get other people to comment on his reads. That's pretty much a townie's primary objective if they think that they are gonna be mislynched. If they know they will die then the most helpful thing they could possibly to is to try and get people discussion their reads so that when they flip green then town will have a lot to look at. Like I said I've thought dandel's posting was scummy but that scum read is only based off of me thinking that rethos was scum. And one thing I haven't considered about rethos is that if he was lying about being bored he could still be town. Also it is somewhat accepted that you are supposed to give replacements a decent amount of time to play before you lynch them. So for all of those reasons I don't like the idea of lynching dandel today. I think more time is needed to get a read on him. Therefore, ##Unvote So now I want to lynch either remedy or stutters. I think both are very good options. I've talked a lot about remedy but basically nobody outside of the people who share reads on everything have shared their reads on him. Rethos was still my primary scum read. (rethos...not dandel, very important) I had thought that dandel had said some suspicious stuff and I was still prepared to lynch him, but then I realized that how dandel was acting could also likely be how a town player would act and that I might have been influenced by confirmation bias by already thinking rethos is scum. When players get replaced you almost always want to allow some time to make a read on them because the person they replaced might have been just an awful player. So for those two reasons (the confirmation bias possibility, and giving replacements time to make reads and vote) I decided to hold off on lynching him. I did not change my read on rethos... I was deciding to hold off on dandel because of policy. On September 23 2012 11:55 kushm4sta wrote:Your plan originally was to vote for dandel then change your vote to stutters if it became clear dandel wasn't getting lynched. Why did you abandon your plan for remedy? I'm assuming you mean abandon my plan for stutters? My position was always that remedy was my #2 read behind rethos, at lowest it was tied with stutters for #2. When you began pressuring me to vote stutters, your argument was that the remedy lynch had happened too easily. Then you were pretty aggressive about trying to get stutters lynched. So for the same reason you said you didn't like the remedy lynch, I was distrustful about your aggressiveness concerning stutters. Now that they've both flipped green it actually makes you look town because there'd be no reason to try so hard to get town to switch their votes from one mislynch onto another. | ||
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I'm starting to think that the interactions and accusations between me/jacob/kush (all varying degrees of the more active posters in the thread) suggests that there could be a large portion of mafia among the lurkers. | ||
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On September 23 2012 23:08 kushm4sta wrote: so I just read killing's filter for the first time in like 2 days. I thoght that there were specifically 2 things kilLing did that made him look really town. Now I can only find one. He initiates the plan to check the mason chat. this doesn't guarantee him town. but I read his filter and honestly it just does not seem that suspicious to me. granted he has been quite afk. I would say its a town leaning null read atm. Only 1 thing that makes him look town, but it doesn't guarantee him town, he doesn't seem that suspicious and is a town leaning null read? Can you look at it again and post a read that is more logical and explained? I don't see how you can read his filter, find less things that make him look town that you originally thought did, decide that the one thing you found doesn't guarantee him town, and then come to the conclusion that he's a town/null read. | ||
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On September 23 2012 23:18 Dandel Ion wrote:I was saying Killing has a "higher chance", meaning I have less of a town read on him than I have on Kush. It's a direct comparison. I don't currently think Killing is too scummy, but I aknowledge the possibility that he might be. He's pretty null to me though. I don't think Kush is scum. In other words, I think Kush is town. Now that your past reads except for debears are gone, what are your current scum reads? I haven't seen you give any since the lynch. You discuss the possibility that killing might be scummier than kush but your read on him is null. | ||
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I'm reading atreides filter and I want to reopen the case against him During day 1 he makes posts saying how he would be ok with lynching killing, but he never goes in depth into his killing read. He just says how killing is a possible lynch candidate. Then he makes a post after the vote deadline, but before the night post. So at this point if he's town he should not know the alignment of drazak. He says he would have preferred a no-lynch over drazak... does he already know that drazak will flip green? And why a no-lynch over killing, who he had mentioned several times as a lynch candidate? He just doesn't want to lynch lurkers? Atreides why do you think lurker lynching is bad? It allows lurkers to stay in the thread and gives mafia a free nightkill and no risk of any of them being lynched for lurking. He also said that "it's obvious now that the mafia had a strong hand" in the drazak vote. That is a very bold claim to make. Not only is it extremely confident in its own accuracy, but it also suggests that there are potentially a good amount of mafia voting for drazak. Well kush would be the only possibility from my perspective (and kush I would be the only possibility from your perspective if you're town) so I do not see how he could be so sure of that claim if he is town. He does make a case against me. His first accusation is that I hopped on the sharrant bandwagon. I've tunneled sharrant the hardest out of anyone and atreides even admits that I was suspicious of sharrant before I "hopped on" sonic's bandwagon. Another part of his case is that my posting has been "ineffectual" compared to my posting from previous games. I've had huge filters in all my previous games but I can't really remember a previous game where I was extremely accurate with my reads... I don't know where this claim comes from. Atreided how were my votes/reads in previous games so much better than in this game that you think I'm scum? In D2 his comments on the main lynch candidates (stutters remedy dandel) are: On September 23 2012 07:40 Atreides- wrote: ugghhh Stutters is a bad vote, right now I don't feel comfortable lynching him without him posting more. I think that his lurking is him genuinely being busy rather than intentional (due to his lurking last game. he once went 2-3 days without a post). After my last post I would have felt strong about voting thrawn, I think I made a good case against him but it was pretty much swept under the rug. Seems like I'm alone here, and there's no chance of him getting votes. However at the very least I suggest looking into my post and his filter...being active doesn't make you town. Dandel doesn't come off as scummy to me yet, and I posted earlier why I didn't buy the case against rethos. He's open to lynching debears, stutters, remedy, and possibly another lurker. Meaning if he's mafia it's less likely for these others to be mafia as well. Remedy...I think he's a last resort lynch at best. I can't make any reads off him. His activity is in line with what he said his work schedule would be. His posts are too short, he votes without explanation, and his arguments don't make much sense...but I have trouble differentiating this between mafia and confused town. From what I can see his reads are pretty much null on the three main candidates. Read sonic's filter during N1. He spends a huge amount of time going after atreides. I think it's most likely that it was the mafia who nk'd sonic (at least 2 roleblocks are already accounted for so I doubt the specific mafia who did the nk was roleblocked) So what I'm seeing is the person who mafia decided it was important to kil was someone who was strongly going after atreides. FOS Atreides- | ||
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On September 24 2012 06:53 Atreides- wrote: I think that killer's posts have improved a bit since day 1. Looking at his filter from the previous game, he didn't post much there either. Lynching him at this point would be a joke when we can make good reads on other players. If he's town, that makes him a good topic of discussion for scum. Hell, just look at how the last two lurker lynches turned out. Seems like everyone has suspected kush at some point or another...after the recent flips I'm leaning on him being town though. The way he switches stances so easily looks genuine to me, I don't think scum would be as likely to do that. @thrawn - hopefully you and jacob will be the topics of discussion for today, so your post is a good diversion to that. A trainwreck of a post at that. That was your post from earlier...and yet you bring up the same arguments AGAIN. Before I was a null-read, and now you FOS me? For the same thing? I was reading sonic's filter and the arguments he made against you looked good, and then he got nk'd, so I decided it was time to look at your filter again. And as for me lowering my suspicion because of the 1 minute delay between your last post and the no-lynch blue post, that doesn't point to town or scum. You could have just then figured out that no-lynch was a possibility if you are town or scum. My new case is about the context of those posts. You post right after deadline but before drazak flipped green, saying how you didn't approve of the drazak lynch. Do you see how that looks scummy? Then you make a very strong suggestion that there could be a large presence of mafia among the drazak vote, and since you've said that the only thing that has happened are people who voted for drazak flipping green/blue, or becoming confirmed masons. On September 24 2012 06:53 Atreides- wrote:You address only some of the stuff I made in that post, the stuff that I myself admitted was weak. You didn't respond to my strongest point: + Show Spoiler + Next, what I think is a huge slip, his vote on drazak: Initially he believes that both killer and drazak are scummy lurkers and is willing to vote for either: Sharrant votes drazak as a lurker policy lynch. Sonic votes based on the change in his meta and his bandwagon vote on Sharrant. Kush votes and admits to bandwagoning. Thrawn copycats Sonic's reasoning and votes drazak after kush. Drazak's post: On September 20 2012 07:27 drazak wrote: Ok, I'm home now. When I decided to vote sherrant I honestly was just bandwagoning, I couldn't find anyone with a good read other than the lurkers. For the moment, I'd much rather vote cubu, he doesn't have anything to add and if he does flip mason it confirms our other mason. I was on my phone earlier so I had no way to write a longer more descriptive post. I'm going to go through some filters during night and see if I can come up with some suspicions to start D2 with, presuming I make it through the night. Thrawn's post: On September 20 2012 07:30 thrawn2112 wrote: I would go with drazak. Previously my lurker lynch back up was killing but drazak made that retarted vote. I've also had earlier supicions of him maily because of his first post, where he goes out of his way to defend accusations against him that haven't even happend yet. So killing/drazak but I say drazak. vote count? Once the focus is on drazak, thrawn changes his opinion and believes drazak is the stronger vote. Now, what really stands out to me is this: drazak literally admitted to bandwagoning. In thrawn's recent post in the previous page, he says this: + Show Spoiler + On September 22 2012 13:53 thrawn2112 wrote: I've been looking at the final vote count. I think it's very very safe to assume that at least 1 mafia voted for drazak. The people who voted for drazak are: Sharrant, Sonic Death Monkey, kushm4sta, thrawn2112, Stutters695. So then I removed sharrant, sonic, and myself, which leaves kush and stutters. Out of those two I think it's more likely stutters is scum. And when I look at their votes, kush made that retarded "ok looks like drazzak is the bandwagon then" vote. Originally it looked suspicious but consider this... why the fuck would a mafia player bandwagon onto a townie lynch and then use such a terrible phrase? Especially to even include the word bandwagon? That imo, is a colossal error that I don't think anyone would be capable of. (well maybe yourharry would find some way to rationalize it) So, that leaves stutters who already looks suspicious, both for lurking, and because of how he stops lurking to pop in the thread once someone calls him out. So if all the follwoing is true, Stutters has to be scum 1: At least 1 mafia voted for drazak 2: There are no holes we've overlooked in sharrant's mason claim 3: My reasoning about kush's vote is extremely likely to be correct (4: and an additional one for people other than myself would be that thrawn is town) For me of course 4 is 100 true. 2 is so close to 100 percent true it may as well be 100 percent. Then I think 3 is the next most likely and 1 is probably the part of the theory I have the most hesitations about. However I think 1 and 3 are solid enough. So in other words I think stutters is a pretty damn good lynch option. Not only for all the reasons just mentioned but also because he's a huge lurker. So kush isn't suspicious because mafia would never admit to bandwagon posting, but drazak was? This is a very big contradiction. That's two times you've been completely contradictory. Wanted to get this out there first, going to respond to some other things in the meantime. I said my vote for drazak was mostly because of that vote. Yes, kush made a shitty vote, but there's a difference between them. Drazak's vote was just s simple vote. No explanation for the vote or anything. While kush's vote did look strange, it was so strange thatI didn't believe a mafia would make it. I don't think a mafia would come out and state: "hey guys I'm joining the most popular bandwagon." | ||
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The reason I let off earlier on you was because the things I was accusing you of (like lying about the no-lynch idea)...... was because I thought of a reason why town-atreides could have honestly found out about no-lynch when marv posted about it. The new case is about the context. I explained it as best I could earlier so I going to post it again: "My new case is about the context of those posts. You post right after deadline but before drazak flipped green, saying how you didn't approve of the drazak lynch. Do you see how that looks scummy? Then you make a very strong suggestion that there could be a large presence of mafia among the drazak vote, and since you've said that the only thing that has happened are people who voted for drazak flipping green/blue, or becoming confirmed masons." You're not my top scumread, it's just an FOS. Right now I'm most interested in killing. | ||
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For switching targets in D2: Not sure exactly what your argument is, other than that it was me trying to confusion. Well I do post very frequently and I refresh the mafia forums several times/hour so if something occurs to me while reading new posts then I'm going to bring it up. And there is more than one scum right? When I stop tunneling someone it's not always because I am no longer suspicious of them. For instance, I still think killing is scummy but my next filter to go through is probably going to be dandel's and the D1 filter of rethos. The reason why I didn't want town to talk about lurkers forever: I've played in a few games where town makes a big huge deal out of saying exactly why lurkers are so awful and people either agree or disagree but either way it goes on for far too long. Usually in those cases town ends up agreeing to do a lurker lynch... they right out and say it in the thread. So the rest of D1 ends up being the townies saying who they think is the lurkiest, lurkers saying "I'm not lurking as much as this guy," and mafia who blend in by saying who they think is the lurkiest. Our D1 discussion didn't need to follow down that path... so I deliberately said something that would get the first accusations flying. For my defense of you: I saw nothing in your posts that made you look mafia, and I did see things that made you look town. For instance when you agreed with me about drazak you bolded those words in his post, called attention to them, and made it a part of your argument, which was not a part of my argument. So in that example you had done independent analysis rather than latch on to the exact argument of my idea.... something I associate with town more than mafia. And maybe I was a little biased towards you... after all I was explaining to sonic in a pretty straightforward way exactly why I had made that "lynch last player" post, and he just didn't understand what I was saying, then you come in and try to explain it to him and then people start getting suspicious of you just for being logical. Voting for drazak: It was done under the combination of him being a lurker, and his vote with no justification. You say killing had an equally weird vote... that killing vote you quoted happened quite a bit earlier, the drazak thing happened after my main read had just claimed mason and I was trying to decided who to vote on. And yes that killing vote does look weird and only further adds to my suspicions of killing. ##Vote: KillingTime | ||
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Here's what I see on atreides: D1, Comes in after the vote deadline but before the flip to tell us all how he didn't like the drazak lynch. Feeling guilty because he's scum and so he tries to gain town cred? N1, Sonic and I both go after him for that, sonic gets nk'd and I get roleblocked. D2 he avoids drama concerning the main lynch candidates (here) and decides to safely cast his vote on me who had no chance of being lynched that day. N2 I FOS him and yet again I am roleblocked. D3 Debears votes for me, then atreides comes in and votes for me while trying to manipulate others into doing so. (kush who I think is town and could easily vote for me as I've been one of his main suspicions, and sharky who has shown that he really isn't capable of making his own reads) ##Vote: Atreides- | ||
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not an accusation, I think you're town (probably strongest town read along with maybe kush? I really don't buy that he's scum...based off the D2 voting thing between remedy/stutters) but you seem hugely susceptible to confirmation bias | ||
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Also if cop is out there you absolutely need to claim today. Yes you will probably be nk'd but your information would be invaluable to us in this situation. | ||
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And then with you wanting to vote switch to stutters I can't think why you'd do that if you're scum...once remedy was set to be mislynched you could have just let it be. | ||
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On September 25 2012 01:21 kushm4sta wrote:Taking notes is just an inherently scummy thing to do. Town doesn't have to try hard to keep their story straight. Kush please re-read this so I don't have to point out how dumb it is | ||
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Other than things that could be town play what has he done that is specifically and obviously scummy? | ||
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On September 25 2012 01:25 thrawn2112 wrote: The only part of that jacob case I buy is the meta argument.... all the others are just as easily explained by weak early game town play, confirmation bias from jacob when making cases (a town trait), and your own confirmation bias against him. Other than things that could be town play what has he done that is specifically and obviously scummy? | ||
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You came in talking about remedy (I was pushing very hard against remedy directly prior to being scummy of rethos/you), you vote for stutters as he starts becoming the main bandwagon, and you eventually end up back on remedy, also a big bandwagon. Now you're voting for me based off (from what I can tell from what you;'re implying in your argument) the stuff that has happened recently... and I'm also the biggest bandwagon. Your only unique vote was for debears, who you unvoted as soon as someone else became the bandwagon, and since then you've barely mentioned him at all. | ||
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I had previously decided to ask sharrant for that qt the very next time that I saw him post in the thread... I refreshed, saw that he had posted recently, and so I wanted to take advantage of the opportunity. I could only initiate asking the question if I knew both he and I were in the thread at the same time. That happened, so I did it then. And I did believe his claim, I just had to be sure. The thing that pushed me over the edge into believing the mason claim was the timestamps, no way those coould be faked. But later on I decided to check some of the other timestamps (other than the two I didn't check), but I couldn't find any posts from the qt that I could reference to a specific part of the thread. So he could have faked the only two that would be fact checkable and just made quick reasonable guesses at the rest. Didn't believe it, but had to be sure. On dropping the dandel vote.. first because it's common to give replacements some time, and also because the posts dandel were making when he was trying hard to get people to talk about remedy were something that either town or mafia would do so I didn't have too much of a read on him. If you're town and you know you're gonna get mislynched you need to keep trying to get people to scumhunt with you so that your flip will provide town with information. I outlined all that here. My vote for drazak over killing was because of drazak's strange vote. Believe that or not if you want but that was my reason. | ||
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On September 25 2012 02:13 Dandel Ion wrote:You probably didn't find enough examples, so you have to mention him twice, huh? No, you went from a remedy, to stutters, then back to remedy while making a case against debears that you dropped as soon as stutters started picking up votes... and you've said almost nothing about debears since. I asked you about it when it happened and you even said debears was actually your strongest read. | ||
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I'd like to know what you think about kush and killing | ||
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There will be 7 people left. Subtract sharky. (sharky for mason) So the list is: 'jacob kush atreides dandel killing debears' And don't be stupid, there are probably not less than 3 scum. 2 scum would be ridiculously unfair out of 13 players and 3 has always been standard in newbies. There have been 4 votes for me from: 'kush dandel atreides debears' and since you take away the mason, and me after lynch, 3 scum will be in that original list of 6 meaning at least 1 of them absolutely for sure is among the list of kush, dandel, atreides, and debears. So if I get lynched then look at those guys. And that means right now I know at least one of them is scum. | ||
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On September 25 2012 04:05 KillingTime wrote: can I get a vote count -[b]sorry guys but I did say I would be pretty inactive in this period[b]. I will be on the thread tomorrow afternoon when I will hopefully actually have time to post cases in plenty of time for the lynch. But Thrawn & jacob are scummy scum scum IMHO. Steps in to defend himself from being accused of lurking when nobody has recently, and he gives popular scum reads with no explanations. | ||
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really thinking about killing right now. His last post shows signs of guilt (defends himself against an accusation that nobody has made in a pretty long time,) and listed popular reads without justifications. I also know that there is at least 1 scum out of kush, debears, atreides, and dandel but not sure which yet. | ||
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On September 25 2012 05:58 kushm4sta wrote: apart from Jacob this is the most words I've seen for such little meaning. This is just obvious math thrawn, but you say it all dramatic like you figured.something out. you don't like maths? hopefully you'll appreciate it it later | ||
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My top two scum reads at this point are rethos and dandel lon | ||
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On September 25 2012 02:51 Dandel Ion wrote: The thing is that you try to make it sound as if Remedy was two bandwagons, but it really was just one. I have mentioned debears often enough, methinks. Nobody is interested in debears being scum, and with my current theory, debears actually ISN'T scum. Which is a shame, I had a pretty strong read. But you know what? I am willing to admit I was most likely wrong about debears. I think that Kush is town. In fact, he is the most town. I'm still null on Killing. How that's possible given the gamelenght? It's the magic of lurking. Story of this game. All of those you could've found out if you actually paid attention. Or maybe you did pay attention and just want to discredit me as a "bandwagoner". Who knows You say you're null on killing, but then throw in a suggestive statement that there might be something suspicious about him... yet you have a null read on him. Time to grow some balls and stop subtly hinting at things that might be scummy. Is your read on him really null? | ||
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On September 25 2012 08:26 Dandel Ion wrote: Because it was a lie, obviously. You know who lies? Scum You know who doesn't? Town -> You must be scum Logic A+ so your argument is that I was scum before the game started? previously kush was the only person silly enough to make that argument | ||
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this space left intentionally blank ....and instead of talking about me he just talks about scumteam theories. And the guy he replaced was a confirmed liar. If there is anyone who thinks I'm town then you need to be looking for mafia in one of the 4 that voted me. Due to maths one of them has to be scum. I don't think there'd be 2 scum in a game with 13 people. | ||
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I don't see it... in that post specifically or your others? | ||
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On September 24 2012 21:45 Dandel Ion wrote: No I obviously mean DarkTemplar, because I really want to make an Archon... DT = detective = cop maybe he was claiming cop there because he is a "dt" and wants to become an archon? I havent found anything in his filter other than that... don't know if he meant that specific post or what. | ||
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On September 25 2012 13:17 debears wrote:This thread has turned to shit. What are we doing here guys? killing is keeping up with his same old bullshit, dandel was apparently drunk and trying to piss me off, and jacob is writing walls of text that are hard to follow. oh and our only confirmed town player dropped in to let us know he was confirmed town and he's been afk from the thread since then | ||
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anyways... does nobody care how amazingly shitty and conformist killing's contribution was? ##Unvote dandel u asshole lol I was looking for breadcrumbs for about 4 hours | ||
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##Vote KillingTime seems town is pretty dead set on lynching me (hmmm..... that went down easily didn't it?) so I'm probably not gonna spend too much time in the thread other than to laugh at the crazy association cases you guys are planning. just remember that there's at least 1 scum within the list of debears, kush, dandel, and atreides | ||
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So my emotions are telling me "no don't trust that lying asshole" but logically his boredom claim makes a bunch of sense, and is actually a very town-ish tell. So I guess remove dandel from that list. Which leaves me with kush/debear/atreides. My initial suspicion of atreides started with his post after deadline.... but remedy did that too and he was green so the feeling of guilt about a mislynch could obviously also be a town trait. And if anything he's been consistent with his suspicion of me for pretty much the entire game so his vote for me makes a lot of sense. Now there's kush. Oh kush, where to begin. Kush is the guy with a scummy town meta, I know this from my previous games. He just posts whatever random thought comes into his head as he's lighting dat bowl. I've been getting a town vibe off of him for most of the game. First there is the shit with him trying hard to get people to switch to stutters while remedy was already voted in for the reason that the remedy lynch came about too easily. That's wayyyy more a townish thing for him to do.... rather than a mafia who for some reason decides to stick his neck out and tell everyone to vote switch. Also he has been talking with me about jacob even though I'm set to be lynched which suggests that he is interested in discussing his top scumread. Talking about your top scumread with the guy who is being lynched is just.... sooooo townie. Hrmm now here comes the irony of all ironies..... that only leaves debears. His case against me I originally thought to be genuine but that was just because of the length of it and research he put into it. That could be town or mafia so I'm throwing that out. His case looks like spin city with all the "Thrawn, the mason killer" shit. And when I read that my first thought was "how could anyone come to that conclusion?" I don't think it's something a scumhunting townie would see of as suspicious. So based on all of the above, my mafia pick among the 4 of them would have to go to debears. It's hard to think that because I've been thinking he was town for basically all game, but meh, it happens. So my conclusion is that there are only 2 mafia, or debears is scum. [##Unvote] [##Vote: debears] | ||
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##Unvote ##Vote: debears | ||
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Also can the people that are voting for me tell me what I've done that is scummy rather than something that would be done by a town player [/i]or[/i] a scum player? For far too long people have been making cases based off of pointing out flaws in logic and similar stuff. I've been doing it too but I really think that debears is scum. If there's someone left who thinks I'm town and you agree with my process of elimination post a few posts up then you need to vote for debears. | ||
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so thrawn do you think Jacob is scum?[/QUOTE I dunno. why is he scum? I'm willing to consider that his long walls of texts aren't indicative of either town or scum... and he's had a pretty strong town read on me most all game. And since I think there's a mafia roleblocker it'd make sense if he was scum.... for example mafia would roleblock me because they see me as a potential blue threat... which would align perfectly with jacob having such a strong town read on me all game. and he has been pretty wishy washy about his read on me in the last few pages. Do you have an argument other than that he's pissing you off? Cuz to me that's what it looked like when you first began being suspicious of him. | ||
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On September 26 2012 02:33 sharky246 wrote: But the difference is that sharrant was a mason, whereas you are unconfirmed (i don't doubt the possibility that you are townie, but all signs point to scum). what I was trying to tell you is that just because somebody has only voted for townies doesn't mean that they're scum. the fact that sharrant was confirmed mason has nothing to do with it... he lynched two townies because he was wrong. being wrong is possible. if being wrong weren't possible or even likely then we wouldn't have had so many damn mislynches in this game. and do you really think that's a strong reason to vote for me? if town mislynches again they are seriously fucked unless some lucky shit happens during the night cycle. if you're gonna vote for at least tell me your reasons other than making such a simplistic argument. sorry to say this and I'm not trying to be rude but this game requires way more thought than you've put into it so far | ||
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Sonic, a confirmed town, was suspicious of me. Also, there were a few others who commented on my original "lynch last player" idea and they all were suspicious of it or said it was dumb. And debears comes in and on his very first post of the game, at a time when town players are supposed to be very suspicious of everyone, and he makes a huge post on why he thinks I'm town. How would anyone be able to make such a strong town read at that early phase of the game, especially if they themselves are a townie and are supposed to be suspicious of everything that's said in the game? Well they can make a town read and they can talk about all the town motivations..... because they know who's town. | ||
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On September 26 2012 03:11 sharky246 wrote: Of course i could be wrong. Nobody apart from the mafia knows if the person they vote for is scum or townie. But since the main objective of the scums is to kill all townies, don't you think that someone among those who voted for the townies would be mafia? I'm not saying that you are 100% mafia. But if someone was to be mafia, i'm pretty sure it is someone among those who voted for the guy that ended up dead. And since you were there twice, i think you are the most likely to be mafia. In fact, if you end up mafia, i'm pretty sure i know who the others are. Remember the first lynch, 5 people voted for drazak. Sonic Death Monkey was townie, sharrant was townie, i am townie and that leaves you and kush. KillingTime, Dandel Ion, Sharrant, JacobStrangelove and you voted for another townie on the second lynch. Among kush, you, killing, dandel, and jacobs, i find it hard to believe that none of you would be mafia. I mean the possibility that none of the people who's vote landed on a guy dead being mafia is just near impossible. There are 3~4 mafia out of a possible 7 people (excluding me). If those 5 people aren't mafia, well that doesn't make sense. So at least 1 of you 5 must be the mafia. And because you appeared twice, you seem alittle more suspicious than the other 4. Now i am going to bed. I guess you are going to die, unless something happens like last time were people changed their votes the last hour, and i suspect that might happen again. sharky at this phase in the game you need to be 100% sure. don't just quit out this early. if we mislynch then the game is pretty much over. what do you think about debears? | ||
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On September 26 2012 03:13 kushm4sta wrote: Thrawn it's like you are playing a slot machine and you keep pulling the lever again and again hoping to get lucky and hit the jackpot. What I mean is you accuse someone new every hour hoping to get people to jump him. And when they don't you switch to someone else easy as that and try again. The only people.you haven't accused directly are Jacob and me. I forget who called you the boy who cried wolf but it's quite apt. ok well i'm desperately trying to find scum. at least listen to each of my arguments. incoming post soon | ||
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I've already talked about his first posts of the game: On September 26 2012 02:52 thrawn2112 wrote: I think I finally get why debears cockriding me early on was scummy: Sonic, a confirmed town, was suspicious of me. Also, there were a few others who commented on my original "lynch last player" idea and they all were suspicious of it or said it was dumb. And debears comes in and on his very first post of the game, at a time when town players are supposed to be very suspicious of everyone, and he makes a huge post on why he thinks I'm town. How would anyone be able to make such a strong town read at that early phase of the game, especially if they themselves are a townie and are supposed to be suspicious of everything that's said in the game? Well they can make a town read and they can talk about all the town motivations..... because they know who's town. Ok so somehow on his 2nd post of the game and at a time when townies are supposed to be suspicious of everything, he somehow has this strong town read on me. Then there's this: On September 19 2012 00:44 debears wrote: sharrant. good post. I like the reasoning on kush as sk. I would like to see what he has to say about it in response. Although he stated he did not want to be the super active best townie to avoid nk, he was quite active last night and led discussion. Uh really? Was sharrant's post that good? Sharrant talks about how he thought kush was sk, because kush went on about how he didn't like being nk'd. How is that a reasonable thing for sharrant to say? It's completely absurd. Yes, it makes a little bit of sense, but how could anyone really have an sk read that early on in the game? Why wouldn't a mafia kush talk about not liking being nk'd? Why wouldn't an emotional town kush talk about not liking being nk'd? So what we have from dandel is more blending in and agreeing with people that he knows are town. Here's the next weird piece of blending in: On September 19 2012 07:51 debears wrote: ##Vote: Sharrant + Show Spoiler + Sonic Death Monkey Sweden. September 19 2012 06:37. Posts 358 What really came off as weird though, was how he not only implied Kush was scum, but that he even was SK. Seriously, that read is so specific it's ridiculous. To be claiming reads on SK this early, a 1 in 13 shot assuming there's even one in the game, is really weird. Spotting a SK hasn't even been in my range of thinking this early into d1. It's interesting though, because the players likely to be thinking about a SK this early in the game is scum. Just consider the information they've got. They know all townies and all maffia, figuring out if there's a SK is their only "black box" aside from blue roles (which he also mentions in his post). It's not at all weird for scum to think about SK at this point, but I do find it weird for townies. Ask yourselves, before his post, had any of you guys even been you guys been even considering a SK read? I had not thought of this. He has been stuck on the idea of SK Uh... previously you said you liked sharran'ts reasoning about sk? Once more he chimes in on his agreement with a player he knows is town... knows is town because debears himself is mafia. The final bit of blending in I want to point out his his vote for me. Out of all the people who did so, his seemed to come out of nowhere more than anyone else's. Sure, dandel's was kinda sudden and unexpected, but I do not think dandel is scum after reevaluating my opinion on rethos. That was here: On September 26 2012 01:25 thrawn2112 wrote: When I think about dandel, it always comes back down to the rethos lies. I just find it very hard to trust someone who has already admitted to a series of lies.... yet if rethos was town, then the most likely reason a town player would quit would be because of time contstraints, boredom, and everyone jumping all over him. The last of those 3 happened, and boredom was his actual "claim." And I am also wondering if mafia rethos lied about the lurker shit and then been caught in that lie, would he have told another one? So my emotions are telling me "no don't trust that lying asshole" but logically his boredom claim makes a bunch of sense, and is actually a very town-ish tell. So I guess remove dandel from that list. So out of all the people that voted for me.... debears (his case about how I'm the "mason-killer" was fuckin spin-city, fox news style) looks the most suspicious. Kush and atreides have been on my ass for a long time, and rethos claiming that he was bored is a VERY strong town-tell and makes it a very believable claim. Townies get bored.... mafia don't. | ||
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take out dandel and subsitute debears | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + On September 25 2012 02:10 debears wrote: @thrawn I get the part that if you are town, gettin sharrant to answer quickly about the qt would mean he couldn't forge it. However, that still leaves the question of why you would do it at night, when you could have easily waited until the day. As you said, sharrant wasn't posting much. What is really odd is that you were commanding the thread (our strongest poster as I said earlier), yet sharrant gets killed. Although sharrant was confirmed, which you didn't believe, you would have been a bigger priority to the mafia if you were town since you were active. Combine that with the timing of you asking for sharrant's 2nd qt thread, and sharrant's death, and it's very suspicious. And, if you factor in the claimed roleblocks, it all makes even more sense. Also, you had said, after checking the 1st qt yourself, that he couldn't have forged it. Why the double check all of a sudden? On the day 2 arguments, I didn't explain it as well as I wanted. Let me clear it up. My problem was first the confusion you have caused with making all those cases. Second, you voted for drazak, who had the same or less evidence as killing, despite thinking that the mafia interfered with a killing bus. Then, you vote for remedy over rethos/dandel, although remedy has the same or less accusations than retho/dandel. Less if you count the lying from rethos and the lying/lack of defense of dandel after I went after dandel. Both coincidentally led to mislynchs. This is all I can get for now in terms of looking at the rest of the post due to time constraints.... It seems like you made decent points (I just addressed the drazak over killing). The part about lurkers can make sense, but the fact you brought it up and the fact that we had no idea who to lynch behind sharrant is very coincidental. And about your defense of me, you hadn't brought it up about the drazak post at the time (unless I missed it) so it could be possible that you see it now and bring it up. Can't be sure on it though. My vote still stands with you Out of all the people who have voted for me (excluding the mason) he's expressed the most doubts about his case against me. Everyone else is pretty sure that I'm scum.... yet he writes this long post agreeing that my defense against his case was good and how a lot of the things he said about me could also apply to town-thrawn. Everyone else has been like "no thrawn I know you're scum." Classic mafia wishy-washyness about his vote... especially when compared to everyone else that's voted for me. This guy's scum. | ||
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I usually don't like discussing blue role actions but if there's a vig, you know what to do after I flip. | ||
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On September 26 2012 03:11 sharky246 wrote: Now i am going to bed. I guess you are going to die game mvp right here | ||
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On September 26 2012 05:30 kushm4sta wrote: this is debears first game so for that I excuse his early game retardation. His.argument against you, I disagree with a lot of it but I definitely agree with the boy who cried.wolf part. If.he is mafia then he is first time mafia and he has been doing a really good town impersonation for his first game. if sharky isn't coming back then a vote change isn't even possible is it? he made it seem like he's not.coming back. kush think about it. when you rolled town your first game or hell even your second, weren't you really fucking suspicious of every goddamn thing that was said? townies are suspicious of everything mafia are suspicious of nothing townies talk about what they are suspicious of see where I'm going? | ||
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if you are town wouldn't you know that you're not scum? "if i were mafia" defenses come from mafia players | ||
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On September 19 2012 03:42 thrawn2112 wrote:About debears: I'll read his filter and point out what I think about it, but for now the thing that struck me as odd was the line: I don't see why he is making it such a huge goal for town to establish if I am 100% town or not. Seems a little too off topic from the whole scumhunting thing. Other than that I said I had a null to townish read on you. So yes. I did think it was suspicious of how much you were going out of your way to talk about me being town, but other than that I had a null-town read. | ||
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have you never changed your mind about anything? and why can't I find one thing a little suspicious but not see any problems with the rest of it | ||
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or even jacob for that matter. No clue at all why'd he'd vote for kush when we're at mylo and kush is like the least likely person to be lynched. other than sharky of course. well maybe not. | ||
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On September 26 2012 06:21 Atreides- wrote:What we should think about, though, is what to do after thrawn flips red. oh dear lord what you should be thinking about is if you should be lynching thrawn | ||
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On September 26 2012 06:28 Atreides- wrote: haha, well that's just a matter of opinion not if you're town? | ||
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such as if you should lynch thrawn and if you should lynch debears | ||
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ps: if the game doesn't automatically end once I get lynched, then that means there is a vig. vig, shoot debears. hell shoot anyone who isn't kush or dandel, them be my strongest town reads. | ||
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On September 26 2012 06:21 Atreides- wrote: Looks like we're set on lynching thrawn, which is good. As mentioned, by now the opposition against him is so strong that even mafia will join in. If thrawn flips red, I have a strong feeling that debears will be town. He was the first to join me against thrawn. Without his post and vote I don't think the bandwagon would be nearly as strong right now. What we should think about, though, is what to do after thrawn flips red. Killing and dandel joined the bandwagon late, and without any input of their own. Jacob has posted a lot but has said little of importance. I think jacob looks the worst out of these three, skimming through the past game he was town and more confident in his opinions. atreides I gotta say that's one of the more scummy looking posts i've seen. like I pointed out you shouldnt spend time talking about post lynch flips when there's still time left to talk about the lynch basically the entire post seems completely irrelevant unless you and debears are scum so talk about debears with me please? | ||
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use [] instead of <> | ||
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if answer to both questions = yes then please at least say something | ||
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At least come to terms with that and then work from there. | ||
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i doubt anyone else can possibly get lynched | ||
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On September 26 2012 08:10 debears wrote: Nice reasoning dandel for your vote go tell someone in qt to bus me, idc who fact is, if i get mislynched... are you willing to take the risk that there's no vig? they sure as shit will shoot you in the next nght cycle | ||
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OMG thrawn scumslip lol | ||
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you have to change your vote stop spending time correcting shit and responding to stuff about sharky and please go read or whatever | ||
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kush: how many times have you mislynched somebody in your town mafia career? | ||
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On September 26 2012 08:23 JacobStrangelove wrote: gah I hate you guys I hate being rushed into decisions.. you'd have more time to think about reads if you didn't spend it all writing essays for each post in everyone's filters lol | ||
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when D3 started like 4 people instantly voted for me and other votes piled up later on, with like 0 oppositon. this is at a time when town is in mylo.... what does that suggest to you? | ||
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On September 26 2012 08:28 kushm4sta wrote: fuck guys I have to pop these fuxking meds but real quick listen... this is not an option. vote changing at this point is not an option, because we can't get all town to votechange. this is useless. by the time of lynch, EVERYONE I don't give a shit how you feel about thrawn EVERYONE needs to have their vote parked on him. I.think this is right that mafia votechange could fuck us (maybe not if we have a Vig). but no one has done the logic work to figure this out so just ducking vote thrawn alright kush. this post right here. you're either scum, or you've just accepted the blame for the loss when I flip or there could be a vig, but that is a big risk, and town will still be in an awful situation anyways so after the deadline read this post again and remember it was you who screamed that everyone needs to vote thrawn | ||
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however I am almost certain about debears | ||
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you haven't even been willing to indulge talking about debears A for effort | ||
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assuming there will be no lucky vig or roleblock action | ||
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On September 24 2012 03:37 thrawn2112 wrote: If I have to pick between kush and killing because of the "kush is soft defending killing argument'" I think killing is the best lynch. Now kush has been on my radar the same way he was in our last game. First it's very hard to get a strong read on him if you're judging off of his reads, they are often pretty wild. Early on in the game I decided to consider him null read because of those things but there have been several points afterwards where I've thought he was town. Combine that with me not understanding why a scumkush would justify crusading so hard to switch the lynch from green remedy to green stutters... Town-kush is what I think. Killing on the other hand has somehow managed to avoid the spotlight forever. I and everyone else was suspicious of him D1 but since then I can't remember him being talked about in-depth till just recently. Look at his vote for rethos. (just saw kush pointed it out) Looks like his vote isn't based on much reasoning other than a lynch-liars policy. I don't see any reason he votes him other than that, he even says his read on the situation is a null read. Null-read on someone you're voting for is a big gamble. INFECT Killing. Infect == because vig is the disease ridden wench\ dandel if it makes you vote for debears then pretend i claimed sk so lynch me and there is no vig and game is over | ||
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congrasts kush i guess you got what you wanted. nobody switched | ||
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On September 26 2012 09:20 JacobStrangelove wrote: I KNEW HE WAS SK HAHAHAHAHAHHA GG guys! I am so sorry just these last few moments have been so tense for me... read the mafia Qt it’s hilarious. Kush/Jacob love story continues... also the part where I said we don’t have two town here we have something entirely different.... I lost it. Although in all fairness the lurkers did play a huge part in this game, but having the two berserkers as a scum team (and the cold light of miss-reason from debears) it made for a perfect team. hey jacob let me share with you a post I wrote up but decided not to post. here it is in all its glory: (whoops i left out the quote gotta edit) jacob do you think i'm scum? there is no fucking way kush is going to get lynched today. change your vote to something fucking useful. if you think i'm scum then vote for me and if you "think" I'm town then bus your buddy debears kush you've been asking jacob about that joke for a long time now, and as I was going through his filter I noticed something: Jacob You made that "joke" about me being sk..... are you mafia? Does mafia think I'm sk and is that why they're roleblocking me? Interesting how it occurred to you to make that joke.... On September 19 2012 08:59 JacobStrangelove wrote: Oh wow a serial killer read, this thread just got interesting. I have to wonder does a serial killer investigation come back as scum or as serial killer... Because if it comes back as serial killer you would almost have to go for investigation immunity Oh look here's something only mafia who's scared of the sk threat would think about. Jacob's a mafia who is speculating about whether or not an sk would go for investigation immunity or 1 kp protection. Townies do not think about these things, especially not durnig D1. Later on in that same post: On September 19 2012 08:59 JacobStrangelove wrote:Thrawn points out there might not be an Sk good thing to note. And here's where mafia jacob first became suspicious of me being an sk... I see no reason for him to include my name in that post unless he was thinking that because I pointed out we shouldn't talk about sk yet because we don't even know if there is one, that I might be the sk. And ever since he has been convincing his mafia friends to roleblock me. Then he made that joke.... a joke that would most likely occur to someone who had been thinking that I was sk. And kush asked him to explain the joke several times and he refused to do so. So, Jacob is the 2nd scum. | ||
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i decided i didn't really care if there was a cop. he wouldn't want to roleclaim early on, and was hoping that either i or mafia would make a cop read before then | ||
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no more walls of text | ||
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On September 26 2012 09:41 Hapahauli wrote: As discussed in our coaching conversations, you latch on to inconsistencies in people's play that aren't necessarily scum-tells. I'll talk more about it in the post-game analysis (i'll get around to it tomorrow), but your early-game cases didn't try to establish mafia-mentality enough. When you started to look for mentality, you nailed debears cold. Unfortunately, it was too late, and townies weren't active enough to switch. But overall you played really well. You were probably the best town player in the game, despite you not being town =P Well last night I got really pissed and at one point I just decided to not read the thread anymore, thenn I woke up this morning and I read the mafia newbie guide and ver's guide (previouisly i had only skimmed the newbie guide) and smoked like half a pack of cigs and realized how fucking dumb I had been about every single one of my reads, mostly debears and rethos | ||
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basically I decided to accuse and tunnel the shit out of everyone that voted me until I found one that seemed the scummiest with their vote | ||
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i was wrong lol | ||
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On September 26 2012 10:02 Dandel Ion wrote: Hm, I feel like my individual reads in itself were pretty good - I had scum reads on debears, thrawn and jacob. Thrawn was not scum, but I can call it a non-town read. (btw scumbag thrawn, y u no claim SK) Kush I had a townread on under the assumption he had a brain, but it seems I was wrong. My bad really, I should've known better from our last game... I guess I just got carried away with my associations. I thought about it... but I would have had to play so damn well after claiming. Basically I would have to somehow keep the town:mafia ratio at a point where you can't lynch me because you need my vote to outnumber the mafia vote... and I would have to survive at least 2 more nights (I think 2?) didn't see it happening | ||
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On September 26 2012 11:33 JacobStrangelove wrote:Atreis(horribly sorry about this I can never recall your name) so you haven't read dune? atreides was that where you got your name? | ||
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On September 26 2012 11:42 Atreides- wrote: yep, by far my favorite book series I've only read the first two. I liked the 2nd more than the first but the ending was just kinda.... depressing? Not really in a bad way... just ..... idk. Made me feel weird I've heard the ones by his son are ass, is it true? I know kevin j anderson wrote some of it and I read a lot of his star wars stuff in middle school and liked em. (not as much as the stuff by timothy zahn if you get the reference in my username) | ||
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not all of em have bad endings..... i'd say michael crichton and asimov do a good job with their endings | ||
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dandel lon when I claimed vig did you still think I was sk? | ||
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On September 26 2012 13:29 kushm4sta wrote:4 My mood swings a lot regardless of if I'm scum I think. On August 24 2012 17:54 kushm4sta wrote: Wow guys everyone wants to kill me because I'm annoying or something and everyone hates me?? Reading this thread makes me want to cry. Honestly I will try harder but if you kill me let me just say that would be a huge mistake beacuse I am no ordinary townsperson. I am the jailkeeper so yeah you really shouldn't kill me. | ||
thrawn2112
United States6918 Posts
My very first fucking post in mafia ever was a ridiculous essay about the threat of serial killers: On August 15 2012 09:55 thrawn2112 wrote: Does anyone have experience playing in a game where a serial killer was a possible role? If there did end up being a serial killer, how big a role did they play and how high would you rate the importance and achieveability of sniffing them out early? In other words, would it be a worthwhile use of the town's time and investigation to try to figure out who, if anyone, is the serial killer? I can see how it would be very important to find out who is SK early on, but I also can see how it might be way more difficult than figuring out who is mafia, and thus not a good use of time. One distinction between the serial killer and the mafia is that the mafia are in communication and will be working together while the serial killer is separated from both town and mafia. Any player who is suspected to be not of town affiliation could either be mafia or SK, so while in either case they are a good target for lynching, having knowledge of their actual role would be way more valuable than just an uninformed hit on a supposed non-town player. If there isn't an SK, then this line of discussion is a complete waste of time and we would be doing the mafia's job for them, which is why I asked if anyone has experience in games with an SK so that we all can get a better idea of what the risk/reward anaylsis should be on determining whether or not and when to focus on a potential SK. Concerning shady sand's post, this is my first game so I have no previous history to reference. so painful to read | ||
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are you talking about the vig roleclaim? well while I was up for lynch my last shot options were to claim vig or sk. the vig claim seamed like it would be less believable than an sk claim, but if people did believe me than my chances at winning the game would be a lot higher than if I claimed sk. if I were to claim sk then I have no doubts that I wouldn't have been lynched.... but then I have to manipulate town in to keeping me around long enough, and I would also have to avoid being nk'd. scum are terrified of sk is what I'm thinking. I hadn't used my 1 kp protection yet but at that point in the game there were 3 mafia, and 4 town. So on the day I got lynched, I would have had to convince town to lynch debears (which I guess was a long shot because of killing's investigation check, and because of... sharky not seeming to care enough about the game in order to reevaluate his read on everything). From that point on I would have to not get nightkilled, while maintaining a close balance of mafia/town so that town would be scared to lynch me. I just really didn't see all that happening as sk. So I took the intitailly riskier choice of claiming vig but long term it was much safer imo. The reason I did it so late was because it took me forever to make a decision on all that shit in the above paragraph, and I didn't want to roleclaim anyway because that's risky no matter what I claim.... and when I finally made a decision it took me so damn long to find my breadcrumb lol cuz my filter was ridiculous | ||
thrawn2112
United States6918 Posts
On September 27 2012 21:01 Dandel Ion wrote: Our gamewinner, if only he was allowed to play: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=367548¤tpage=51#1003 At first I thought it was a smurf account of somebody in the game.... guess it was just some guy who really wanted to play in our newbie | ||
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