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TL Mafia XLVII - Page 165

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wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:05 GMT
#3281
yup, agreed with sandro, I actually overlooked bum.

I would support a bumatlarge lynch as well. Coagulation and deconduo are very likely to be scum for the same reasons.
Risen
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States7927 Posts
November 29 2011 20:06 GMT
#3282
On November 30 2011 04:59 sandroba wrote:
Don't bother with analysis risen, after what you posted it won't do us any good even if you are town =/


Why don't you defend yourself or explain why my analysis is bad instead of just trying to discredit me with an offhand remark. That is scum behavior.
Pufftrees Everyday>its like a rifter that just used X-Factor/Liquid'Nony: I hope no one lip read XD/Holyflare>it's like policy lynching but better/Resident Los Angeles bachelor
xtfftc
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom2343 Posts
November 29 2011 20:06 GMT
#3283
Uh, I shouldn't have simply looked at the last post you quoted and assumed they're ordered chronologically.

Anyway, I did not imply that they were all anti-town but that he didn't bother saying a word about the massive case on him. Just completely ignored it when he saw that it didn't get picked up.

And also, how is saying something like "this ace-modkilled screwed the whole game." or discussing modkills in the thread pro-town? Don't we have enough posts that are not related to any analysis and are just mindless chatting?
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:07 GMT
#3284
On November 30 2011 05:06 Risen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 04:59 sandroba wrote:
Don't bother with analysis risen, after what you posted it won't do us any good even if you are town =/


Why don't you defend yourself or explain why my analysis is bad instead of just trying to discredit me with an offhand remark. That is scum behavior.


stop derping.

If you're town you're acting the fool right now and if you're scum you sure are making it easier to catch you.

I have a town read on you, but you're currently ruining that.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
November 29 2011 20:08 GMT
#3285
Unfortunatelly none of that matters when 80% of town are not even reading the thread. top vote getter has 20 votes with ~70 people alive. Sigh.
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
November 29 2011 20:08 GMT
#3286
I agree with WBG on BC and the general consensus to save Palmar who I still don't think is scum ( Palmar please don't semi martyr / give up you are still a force to be reckoned with even when your playing below your normal ( which is still higher than most people's best ))

##vote BloodyC0bbler

However I still stand behind my choice to lynch Risen and I don't believe Zek's claim which seems more like a desperation move ( however he will probably be the first choice lynch and I don't like wasting my vote )

As BC can only be lynched and Risen can be shot if the votes are tied between them I will give preference to BC and change my vote from Risen to who ever the first vote is at the time and let the vigilante's deal with him
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:09 GMT
#3287
On November 30 2011 05:06 xtfftc wrote:
Uh, I shouldn't have simply looked at the last post you quoted and assumed they're ordered chronologically.

Anyway, I did not imply that they were all anti-town but that he didn't bother saying a word about the massive case on him. Just completely ignored it when he saw that it didn't get picked up.

And also, how is saying something like "this ace-modkilled screwed the whole game." or discussing modkills in the thread pro-town? Don't we have enough posts that are not related to any analysis and are just mindless chatting?


I asked if it was anti-town.

No, discussing modkills doesn't get us anywhere, but an expression of frustration isn't anti-town. It's completely natural.

Trying to base supersoft being scum on him discussing Ace's modkill is disingenuous and will ultimately be fruitless.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
November 29 2011 20:09 GMT
#3288
@xftc I won't bother to say a word about w/e risen posted about me. does that make me scum?
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:10 GMT
#3289
*natural should be neutral.

Drazerk do you have any reads other than BC/Risen/zeks?

I agree that Risen's and Zeks's recent behavior has been somewhat strange but they are both new players and are facing lynch. Players in that type of situation tend to act in unexpected ways.
xtfftc
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom2343 Posts
November 29 2011 20:10 GMT
#3290
On November 30 2011 05:03 sandroba wrote:
@xft based on night kills alone bum has a ultra high chance of being scum. Jackal and redFF(?) shot and bum still alive? He had like 0 chance of atracting medics due to activity. Coupled with the fact that he is lurking his ass off while town is self destructing, you see where I'm going. If anything that makes ss even more likely to be town.

I don't have a read on Bum, I just like his case. But if we carry on this train of thought, Supersoft completely ignoring the rather serious case on him can be explained with both of them being mafia.
Risen
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States7927 Posts
November 29 2011 20:12 GMT
#3291
I think Ciryandor is a lurker-mafia. And here is why... this time in proper chrono order.

On November 24 2011 17:44 Ciryandor wrote:
Also @ prplhz:

In my experience, you are bad at deflecting bad townie play vs scum play, I remember that from LotR mafia. However, those basic tips on newbie play will go quite a way to encourage player activity.

However I won't vote for you because my experience tells me you don't have what it takes.


Indicates to me that he knows how to play mafia, and he knows how to play town. Town play is posting a lot so people can get proper reads on you, Ciry is not.

On November 26 2011 12:07 Ciryandor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 26 2011 03:51 Kurumi wrote:
scratch the comment about supersoft not being on the list, fuck my reading skills
where's tnkted Ciryandor and syllogism? Heck, even Nisani?

I just woke up; I live 1 hour behind KST so the US/EU people won't see me because I'm asleep.

Okay, Palmar and sandroba are now scummy for pushing "easy" lynches of people with scummy meta? Really? What about those people who haven't contributed anything despite posting quite a bit and mucking up the game? All the argumentation just doesn't help.


Supporting a sinani lynch.

On November 26 2011 20:22 Ciryandor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 26 2011 18:38 intrigue wrote:
hiiii guys i subbed in for someone. so, i don't know anybody, but palmar seems pretty popular. should i just jump on the bandwagon and vote for him too?

Not quite; read up a bit first as some people think giving him the mayor post could be disastrous. I would personally prefer if you wanted to take a look at BloodyC0bbler and Sandroba, who both have good cases for going for the mayor post. However you're quite free to just go for it if you think Palmar's activity is pro-town enough for your liking.


Supporting two people I feel are mafia without any real logical explanation.

On November 29 2011 10:07 Ciryandor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 29 2011 09:42 Risen wrote:
Ciryandor looks really scummy to me as well. His last post in the thread was asking me how I knew I would make it through night 1 even though I was only excited about making it through day 1.

If I get lynched/vigi shot I think a hard look should be given to all the players going off on this ONE thing. Unless Ciry has more justification than that.

Why would you celebrate getting through a day where only the mayor gets an auto-lynch, and not even being considered on the chopping block; and posting it when the night post is about to be put up? You're being obtuse and deflecting the attention on you by attacking those who try to make a case on you instead of posting a proper defense then discrediting the logic people are using. The fact that he doesn't even dignify it with the admission that his interpretation of the time cycle was WRONG doesn't help.


Indeed, why would I celebrate making it through day 1 of my first TL Mafia game. Probably because it's my first TL Mafia game. He literally voted based on an apparent "scumslip" and NOTHING else. I ask for a better analysis and he immediately disappears.

He hasn't posted since except to ask Ace wtf he was thinking. I think a town player would be more active, and have more analysis to his name. Maybe he'll come out tonight with something crazy and prove me wrong. Shouldn't be too hard, my case isn't very strong against him, and it boils down to he's lurking when he knows he should be posting, and he's bandwagoning on me when he knows it should take more than just an apparent "scumslip" to lynch someone.
Pufftrees Everyday>its like a rifter that just used X-Factor/Liquid'Nony: I hope no one lip read XD/Holyflare>it's like policy lynching but better/Resident Los Angeles bachelor
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 29 2011 20:12 GMT
#3292
On November 30 2011 04:53 sandroba wrote:
I agree with bugs, ss is prob town. Ty for answering for me. <3
prpl you are scum because your day1 makes no sense in a townie perspective. Besides that, you realized previously that lynching palmar was a bad move, but now that votes are close you back pedal.


No. Read what I write. I said that Palmar was a bad lynch as long as I wasn't sure that BloodyC0bbler was town and as long as I wasn't sure that Palmar was scum. Then I read through BloodyC0bbler's posts and I came to the conclusion that he is most likely town. Also, Palmar has been acting extremely weird since then and I think that he is scum, so I am voting him.

Your logic is terrible. You didn't lynch wherebugsgo in Mini Mafia X because "he didn't attack your credibility" which was an insane idea you just couldn't let go of. You are making just as much sense right now as you were in Mini Mafia X and you are putting just as much effort into this game, and I have learned never to listen to you when that happens. I can't prove my innocence to you right now 'cause you are not making a case against me, and I doubt that you are letting go of your insane idea that my day1 was scum, even though you can't tell me why.

Are you saying that BloodyC0bbler is scum? Are you saying that how Palmar has been playing, since the post where I told people not to get ahead of themselves and vote Palmar without considering our situation, has been very much like you know townie Palmar? Has it been townie at all? He is giving us no information, nothing but emotional speeches trying to make us feel guilty like wherebugsgo did to me in Mini Mafia X, and OMGUS against BloodyC0bbler as he did against Ace.
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:13 GMT
#3293
On November 30 2011 05:10 xtfftc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 05:03 sandroba wrote:
@xft based on night kills alone bum has a ultra high chance of being scum. Jackal and redFF(?) shot and bum still alive? He had like 0 chance of atracting medics due to activity. Coupled with the fact that he is lurking his ass off while town is self destructing, you see where I'm going. If anything that makes ss even more likely to be town.

I don't have a read on Bum, I just like his case. But if we carry on this train of thought, Supersoft completely ignoring the rather serious case on him can be explained with both of them being mafia.


no, it can't.

Name one logical reason why we should connect bum and supersoft based on the fact that supersoft is ignoring the case on himself.

You don't ever connect alignments before someone flips. If you think two people are scum together you lynch the one who is more likely to be scum and then once he flips you reevaluate.

If either of them is town your theory is flushed down the toilet.
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:14 GMT
#3294
On November 30 2011 05:12 prplhz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 04:53 sandroba wrote:
I agree with bugs, ss is prob town. Ty for answering for me. <3
prpl you are scum because your day1 makes no sense in a townie perspective. Besides that, you realized previously that lynching palmar was a bad move, but now that votes are close you back pedal.


No. Read what I write. I said that Palmar was a bad lynch as long as I wasn't sure that BloodyC0bbler was town and as long as I wasn't sure that Palmar was scum. Then I read through BloodyC0bbler's posts and I came to the conclusion that he is most likely town. Also, Palmar has been acting extremely weird since then and I think that he is scum, so I am voting him.

Your logic is terrible. You didn't lynch wherebugsgo in Mini Mafia X because "he didn't attack your credibility" which was an insane idea you just couldn't let go of. You are making just as much sense right now as you were in Mini Mafia X and you are putting just as much effort into this game, and I have learned never to listen to you when that happens. I can't prove my innocence to you right now 'cause you are not making a case against me, and I doubt that you are letting go of your insane idea that my day1 was scum, even though you can't tell me why.

Are you saying that BloodyC0bbler is scum? Are you saying that how Palmar has been playing, since the post where I told people not to get ahead of themselves and vote Palmar without considering our situation, has been very much like you know townie Palmar? Has it been townie at all? He is giving us no information, nothing but emotional speeches trying to make us feel guilty like wherebugsgo did to me in Mini Mafia X, and OMGUS against BloodyC0bbler as he did against Ace.


you call sandro's logic terrible in this game based on something he said in a previous game...

and yet your logic isn't much better, since your reasoning for voting palmar is that "he's acting weird."

The rest of this post is fluff. gtfo.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
November 29 2011 20:15 GMT
#3295
Yes I'm saying palmar is likely town and bc likely scum. You are right about my effort right now though.
xtfftc
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom2343 Posts
November 29 2011 20:15 GMT
#3296
On November 30 2011 05:09 wherebugsgo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 05:06 xtfftc wrote:
Uh, I shouldn't have simply looked at the last post you quoted and assumed they're ordered chronologically.

Anyway, I did not imply that they were all anti-town but that he didn't bother saying a word about the massive case on him. Just completely ignored it when he saw that it didn't get picked up.

And also, how is saying something like "this ace-modkilled screwed the whole game." or discussing modkills in the thread pro-town? Don't we have enough posts that are not related to any analysis and are just mindless chatting?


I asked if it was anti-town.

No, discussing modkills doesn't get us anywhere, but an expression of frustration isn't anti-town. It's completely natural.

Trying to base supersoft being scum on him discussing Ace's modkill is disingenuous and will ultimately be fruitless.

..........
I did not base my vote on this. It was, however, an example of the things he is interested in posting about instead of doing what every townie (especially more experienced ones like him) should be trying to do: hunt for mafia.

On November 30 2011 05:09 sandroba wrote:
@xftc I won't bother to say a word about w/e risen posted about me. does that make me scum?

You're comparing apples and oranges ^^ Bum is a good player who posted a serious analysis. Risen is herp-derping.

Anyway, I really am done with Supersoft for now. I'm going to post on prplhz next.
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 29 2011 20:15 GMT
#3297
On November 30 2011 04:59 sandroba wrote:
Don't bother with analysis risen, after what you posted it won't do us any good even if you are town =/


Rofl, you need to shut up. You are too lazy to play this game and now you tell other people not to play this game. Risen is fighting back, I think he should be shot tonight and not lynched today, but let him prove his innocence and maybe he can convince vigs not to shoot him (though I really hope they will).
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
xtfftc
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom2343 Posts
November 29 2011 20:16 GMT
#3298
On November 30 2011 05:13 wherebugsgo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 05:10 xtfftc wrote:
On November 30 2011 05:03 sandroba wrote:
@xft based on night kills alone bum has a ultra high chance of being scum. Jackal and redFF(?) shot and bum still alive? He had like 0 chance of atracting medics due to activity. Coupled with the fact that he is lurking his ass off while town is self destructing, you see where I'm going. If anything that makes ss even more likely to be town.

I don't have a read on Bum, I just like his case. But if we carry on this train of thought, Supersoft completely ignoring the rather serious case on him can be explained with both of them being mafia.


no, it can't.

Name one logical reason why we should connect bum and supersoft based on the fact that supersoft is ignoring the case on himself.

You don't ever connect alignments before someone flips. If you think two people are scum together you lynch the one who is more likely to be scum and then once he flips you reevaluate.

If either of them is town your theory is flushed down the toilet.

Look at Sandroba's post and you will realise what the point of mine was.
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
November 29 2011 20:17 GMT
#3299
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 30 2011 03:48 layabout wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 03:23 tree.hugger wrote:
On November 30 2011 03:10 layabout wrote:
On November 30 2011 03:01 tree.hugger wrote:
On November 30 2011 02:54 layabout wrote:
On November 30 2011 02:07 tree.hugger wrote:
Unless... everyone is willing to hope on the Serejai wagon? Can you two figure out if you have support for Supersoft now? Because otherwise, let's use our votes on the people who screwed up obviously like Risen and WBG, or the people we have clues on like Zeks.

can you give logically sound reasons as to why this is the case?
because the reasoning in this thread behind those lynches strikes me as incredibly weak

Because in mafia if you wait around for someone to step forward and say "lolol guys I'm mafia haha fooled you" then you won't win. You go on suspicions and threads of evidence. You build your case and watch for mafia behavior. When you start to catch the mafia, you look back and they incriminate other mafia. It snowballs.

If you have a better idea, I guess you could state it now, but frankly the results for this day are pretty decided to begin with. Do you seriously not believe that Risen, WBG, or Zeks aren't mafia? Then say so and put forward a better candidate. If you don't have a better candidate, or if you want to town to win, than pick someone with the best evidence against them in your view, and vote.

first paragraph- waffle about how the game is played that presents nothing relevant

second paragraph- refuses to provide their own analysis or point to any credible analysis.Doesn't asks the question but instead ask me to explain why he is incorrect rather than explaining why he is correct, what possible reason could you have as town to do this? i can only think of one scumhunting. But whether or not you are scumhunting you should still be able to answer my question because you are publicly support the votes and should be able when asked to explain yourself in full, because you do not have a reason to hold back such information and because your reasoning should be sound.

So again can you give logically sound reasons as to why we sould "use our votes on the people who screwed up obviously like Risen and WBG, or the people we have clues on like Zeks" ?
i will answer you when you answer me

You're pretty cute. You asked why we should use our votes on people that we have evidence for. In my first paragraph I explained why you lynch people based on small clues; because that's the only things we usually have to go on. You clearly don't understand the term 'waffle', because I didn't.

In my second paragraph, I explained that you should vote for one of the main candidates, because they have evidence on them. Have you not read the thread? Would you like me to explain what evidence we have against Risen, WBG, and Zeks?

It's you who needs to be more clear. I've been clear.
1) We have evidence against Risen, WBG, and Zeks.
2) We should vote based on evidence.
3) Risen, WBG, and Zeks all are candidates in the running to be lynched tonight.
4) Therefore, in order to not waste your vote, you should use it on one of those three, or present a credible alternative.

What else needs to be explained? How are you so confused on this point?

TELL ME WHAT YOU THINK THE EVIDENCE IS don't argue about answering the question.and don't say you have been clear because you have simply deflected from the issue i was raising.
waffle:denotes language without meaning; blathering, babbling, droning since it wasn't relevant to the question then in the context of "why did i think we should lynch these players" i would class paragraph 1 as meaningless and therefore waffle

you seem to be saying that we have to lynch on little evidence and flipping mafia allows you to analyse their past actions and produce more relevant analysis and. but everyone should know that anyway so why state it?
It is my understanding that the evidence we use to support lynches lynches is not based upon proof's of a players alignment but on analysis of a players behaviour, they may be trying to look like they are contributing whilst actually not saying much, they may have incriminating voting patterns, the manner explain their actions might not make sense from a townies perspective etc...
we do not base lynches on
a "whoot! i'm alive" post from a new player
a question to townies
or a tenous link between a single clue and a players profile.
because that is all the evidence i see

voting on the main candidates makes sense but if there isn't a logical reason that suggests that town should kill that player (so they are either serejai) sound analysis suggests that the player is probably mafia then you should not vote for the main candidates

On November 30 2011 03:55 Risen wrote:
Yo tree.hugger where is your case against me? All I see is, well he has a lot of votes he be scum hurr durr

Would accusing tree.hugger of propagating a scum agenda be a productive thing to do now- for disappearing rather than settling the issue with a simple explanation about his decision making or
should i delay until tomorrow as we have more pressing issues to deal with. (the lynch candidates has very little or nothing incriminating them)
It appears that zeks is getting lynched and that is unlikely to change. Bad decision but i hope he is scum.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 29 2011 20:17 GMT
#3300
On November 30 2011 05:15 xtfftc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 05:09 wherebugsgo wrote:
On November 30 2011 05:06 xtfftc wrote:
Uh, I shouldn't have simply looked at the last post you quoted and assumed they're ordered chronologically.

Anyway, I did not imply that they were all anti-town but that he didn't bother saying a word about the massive case on him. Just completely ignored it when he saw that it didn't get picked up.

And also, how is saying something like "this ace-modkilled screwed the whole game." or discussing modkills in the thread pro-town? Don't we have enough posts that are not related to any analysis and are just mindless chatting?


I asked if it was anti-town.

No, discussing modkills doesn't get us anywhere, but an expression of frustration isn't anti-town. It's completely natural.

Trying to base supersoft being scum on him discussing Ace's modkill is disingenuous and will ultimately be fruitless.

..........
I did not base my vote on this. It was, however, an example of the things he is interested in posting about instead of doing what every townie (especially more experienced ones like him) should be trying to do: hunt for mafia.

Show nested quote +
On November 30 2011 05:09 sandroba wrote:
@xftc I won't bother to say a word about w/e risen posted about me. does that make me scum?

You're comparing apples and oranges ^^ Bum is a good player who posted a serious analysis. Risen is herp-derping.

Anyway, I really am done with Supersoft for now. I'm going to post on prplhz next.


Yeah, when the flavor of the thread is "let's discuss out-of-game shit", people tend to discuss out-of-game shit.

Supersoft was not the only player discussing those things, which is why I'm telling you that even considering it as a piece of evidence is disingenuous.

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