Sucks for you jaybrundage.
##Unvote
##Vote jaybrundage
See you tonight.
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
prplhz
Denmark8045 Posts
Sucks for you jaybrundage. ##Unvote ##Vote jaybrundage See you tonight. | ||
Erandorr
2283 Posts
| ||
prplhz
Denmark8045 Posts
| ||
Meapak_Ziphh
United States6784 Posts
For the record @both sandroba and Erandorr: you've both said I'm scummy now. I think you should post your cases. I really don't mind dying if it helps clear things up. The final mafia is most likely amongst jay/wbg/hiro/me so if I need to die to make things apparent that's fine. | ||
hiro protagonist
1294 Posts
This brings me to Jay and Sandroba. I would be fine with lynching Jay today, he is improving as a town, but I think there is meart to WBG post about Jay being scum. Now, for Sandroba: I think He would be the only player in this game with the exeption to Palmar that has the balls to bus there partner on day 1. I dont mean strat up ' Im calling you out as scum' bus. I mean Bussing when he realizes its the best option. Looking back at the conversation on day 1 between Him and Palmer, his only mention of Wiggles after asking Palmars opinion of him is this: On November 16 2011 20:18 sandroba wrote: I agree with what you said about wiggles and there is always the statistical benefit of lynching wiggles, even when there is no evidence on him =P But seriously, his posts screams to me "look at me guyz, I'm being helpful and trying to find scum!". He seems to be trying to blend in too hard. I'd rather see some more from him before pushing for his lynch though, hopefully he will comply. prplhz seems town to me this game, so maybe that means he is mafia? (j/k prpl =P) errandor is interesting. His play this game is way different than any game I've played with him before, and one thing that's clear for sure is that he is trying his best to win this one. I'm leaning town, mainly because he is arguing against the hiro lynch which seems reasonable to me at this point. Onto my weak scum suspect, Meapak: what do you think about this guy? Agreeing with Palmar that Wiggles looks scummy, but kinda says he would not want to lynch him until there is more said from wiggles. this could be said in both a townie context as well as a scum trying to give his partner time. Its WIFOM, I know, but Sandroba does not say anything else till: On November 17 2011 09:13 sandroba wrote: Fuck man, there is not much argument against lynching wiggles. No one is really pushing a second candidate (MZ is pushing hiro, but not too strongly, I would expect him to put a lot more effort into it if he was mafia with wiggles). Jaybrundage is looking real scummy to me and voting wiggles too. =/ A townie looking like he has cold feet? of a scum looking for another lynch. remember, he had already defended, me so he could not put his vote on me without looking really scummy. again, I know this is WIFOM, my gut says there may be something to it. Now this is in know way a strong read, but I would like everyone to go back and look at sandroba. Its in know way a strong read, and I cant see from a scum perspective pushing a no lynch when they are not the main scum suspect... Im down to answer any questions for a bit. I most likely will put my vote on Jay, but Im gonna hold of on that to spur some discussion. | ||
hiro protagonist
1294 Posts
On November 20 2011 07:22 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Wait Erandorr, you have found something super scummy I did but you're not pointing it out? And if you're concerned about a no lynch then isn't voting hiro counter intuitive? iirc jay has more votes. For the record @both sandroba and Erandorr: you've both said I'm scummy now. I think you should post your cases. I really don't mind dying if it helps clear things up. The final mafia is most likely amongst jay/wbg/hiro/me so if I need to die to make things apparent that's fine. I agree with the bolded part. I know I look scummy, so I dont blame anyone for voting me. I will make my reads as best I can before I die, if need be. | ||
Erandorr
2283 Posts
1) You tried to push Hiro over Wiggles and get the pressure away from him. 2) You made it sound like the alternative to lynching Hiro would be a no lynch 3) You were very non commital about Wiggles but in ultra tunnel mode on Hiro without saying anything about anyone else for a very long time. 4)you set up Hiro for day2 lynch but never follow up and don't exactly comment on it 5)you say bugs is town then you are convinced he is scum and then go back to him being off the hook. 6) You call jay a super easy lynch and then lynch him because you are done with the newbie excuse... wait what? also you get away from a kind of hard lynch target in WBG 7) i hate the fact that you never explain the decisions , such as not going for hiro anymore, but instead just drop it. you only reply to that kind of stuff when you get asked about it specificly There are points in your favor too and this is all very poorly formulated, but I would still appreciate if you could answer this. | ||
Erandorr
2283 Posts
![]() | ||
jaybrundage
United States3921 Posts
It seems like im the one to go atm Rofl at Hiro putting a case on Sandroba Kinda ironic | ||
jaybrundage
United States3921 Posts
| ||
wherebugsgo
Japan10647 Posts
On November 20 2011 06:50 prplhz wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 01:27 prplhz wrote: @Erandorr At the danger of being ever more of an idiot I don't think that hiro protagonist is scum. I skimmed some of his earlier games and he always looks like this. This post from PYP:I looks the same as his posts here, he never says anybody is scum. He mostly just focuses on who is town. Now, I know that there was a mayoral election on day1 in PYP:I but people still had to scum hunt. Also his logic was way off as illustrated in posts like this. I think his posts in that game looks a lot like his posts in this game, he is trying, in his own peculiar way, to create what he think is is a good townie atmosphere. The most townie tell for hiro protagonist in my opinion is that he voted for Mr. Wiggles as fourth. I don't think the lynch was certain at that point and I don't think that he bussed Mr. Wiggles. While sandroba had said that he liked the Mr. Wiggles lynch he had not voted yet and I don't think that anybody would bus their scum buddy on day1. I don't think scum would want any of them to die on day1 since that would give town 3 lynches to find the last scum, that's really uphill. I would like to lynch wherebugsgo. The simplest explanation is that scum don't want to die day1, don't draw attention to each other, and that overly newbie play is probably because someone is ... very new at this game. This leaves wherebugsgo. Also, I don't hate wherebugsgo's play, I think he's pretty good at mafia both as scum and as town, but whatever. I don't like the no lynch idea. I don't see what you are seeing in those posts, but hiro's posts in this game do not look like that. Also he's not focusing on finding townies in this game, and I don't even think the two games are comparable. Lastly, if the bolded were the case then I am not scum. I wanted Wiggles to be lynched, but I thought hiro was a better choice. If I were scum, I would've acted upon the fact that there were four votes left and hammered Wiggles. I'm very decisive as scum and not afraid of starting arguments, but I am afraid of things that make me look bad long term. Not hammering wiggles, I admit, made me look really bad. I also straddled the fence because I was unsure between hiro and wiggles, though my gut kept saying hiro was the better lynch. Ofc, at this point we don't know if hiro is scum or not, so I could very well still be right. I reasoned after the flip that it was unlikely though, since hiro voted fourth on Wiggles. I was the one who pointed this out to Meapak, who said the focus should be on me+hiro. If I were scum why would I point that out to Meapak, and basically give him a free pass to attack me? If I were scum I would have no interest in giving information to town, that would work against my win condition. I could have simply let Meapak chase after hiro because he missed the fact that hiro was the fourth vote on Wiggles. He is focusing on finding townies. Maybe this is because he doesn't trust his own scum hunting abilities and instead he tries to find townies that he can trust. I think he has more confidence as scum, since he knows he's wrong and that he can't possibly he right it's easier to be more assertive. You even complained about it yourself that his list of reads didn't contain a single scum read. Yes, it made you look bad that you didn't hammer Mr. Wiggles. You can say that you wanted him lynched as much as you want. You pointed out something that 6 townies would have figured out eventually (I knew it, I would have stated it if you hadn't). These are easy points for scum to get town credit, you point out something that's important but that's going to be figured out in a short while anyway. There is nothing to suggest that hiro is looking for townies any more than he is looking for scum. I don't know how you can come to this conclusion when hiro hasn't even said anything about it himself. Second, when the hell have you seen hiro play scum? How would you know how he would play scum, or what kind of confidence he would have as either alignment? And I don't believe I complained that it contained no scum reads. He called meapak scum, but he didn't call me scum. That's what I pointed out. I pointed out the fact that he voted me despite never calling me scum. He said he thought meapak was red, so my concern was the disconnect between his thoughts and his vote. Lastly, I wouldn't point out something like that as scum about my own scumbuddy before anyone else noticed it. That's dumb, since it wouldn't further my win condition. If I were scum with Wiggles I would have either bussed him when it was apparent he was going to die or I would have destroyed the thread in my attempt to cover it up and distract you guys. I'm not afraid of causing chaos when I'm mafia, because I know I can get away with it if I have to. And, what's your point? I was the first to point out something important about wiggles, but your excuse is that it would've been figured out anyway, so I'm scum? Your logic makes no sense. I thought wiggles was scummy but hiro was scummier. So I voted hiro. You claim to adhere to Occam's Razor but you ignore the simplest explanation when it's staring you in the face. On November 20 2011 06:50 prplhz wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 02:17 prplhz wrote: Meapak_Ziphh is not scum because Mr. Wiggles wrote an analysis on him, I doubt that the scum wanted either of them to get lynched day1, so Mr. Wiggles wouldn't try to make the lynch between the two of them. This is WIFOM, though. I agree with you that Meapak doesn't look scum, but for different reasons than this. You can't simply assume scum won't make other scum look bad, because that's not always true. Think about it, I don't think Palmar would've said he thought the optimal play for scum day 1 was to bus unless it actually has happened. I didn't agree with it earlier but it's certainly possible, we just cannot rule things out based on unbased assumptions. That's how, for example, town often falls into the trap of getting a "confirmed townie" and letting him live. No, it is not WIFOM that two scum do not want a lynch to be between themselves on day1. They want both to make it through day1. Palmar said to ignore everything he said during the night including his hard bussing theory, a theory that also surprised me as I wrote in the thread. I don't propose lynching only between those who didn't vote for Mr. Wiggles, but I think that it is very much more likely that we find scum there so that's where I'm looking. We can think about something else later. Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 02:17 prplhz wrote: jaybrundage is not scum because I think that a newbie would not throw a crazy vote 5 minutes into the game without consulting his much more experienced scum buddy. I don't think Mr. Wiggles would have gone out without giving jaybrundage some advice and I don't think jaybrundage looks coached, his newbieness looks very real. Wait again, how can you assume this? One person thinks jay looks coached, you think he doesn't look coached. Don't you see that there is no room here to just assume those things? We can't have it both ways, since between you and Meapak there's nothing objective that furthers one argument over the other. Yea, it's hard to be objective about whether someone looks coached or not. Same about whether someone looks genuine or fake or fabricate and all that. I can only say that I doubt Mr. Wiggles would go out without giving some advice to his newbie scum buddy. Mr. Wiggles put a lot of effort into the thread when he was about to get lynched, do you really think he just totally ignored jaybrundage in the QT? That would make no sense. If what you think Wiggles did was effort, then I really have to question what you are talking about. Wiggles rolled over and died, he did next to nothing to save himself. If you think he put a lot of effort into his case on Meapak then I don't really know if you're reading the same game I am. Also, when and where did Palmar say to ignore what he said during the night? He died that night, he certainly couldn't have said it in retrospect unless I missed something. On November 20 2011 06:50 prplhz wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 02:17 prplhz wrote: I am never sure that anybody is scum. If I could lynch anybody right now I would lynch wherebugsgo, that's how sure I am but I kinda wanted some input from the rest of you before I made a case and none of you seem too hooked on the idea ... other than jaybrundage. Up till this statement you hadn't said anything scummy, but I find this really strange. You wanted to lynch me, but you didn't push it strongly because you wanted other people's approval? That's backward thinking, you make a case on someone you think is scum and THEN you see how other people react. Waiting to make a case because you want to hear other opinions is rather weird, because you won't usually hear much unless you actually make the case to begin with. Look through my games. I doubt I've ever pushed any lynch harder than this. What? Your defense is that you don't push lynches hard, so...then what? lol. You should have no fear of pushing a case if you're town, your apprehension is what is setting me off. I don't understand why you would be apprehensive when I know as town you push ideas very strongly. Your ideas might not always make sense but you don't wait around for people to agree with you before pushing them, normally. On November 20 2011 06:50 prplhz wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 02:17 prplhz wrote: I don't like the no lynch idea because I don't think it is a good idea to blues. In case we don't have a detective there's going to be a ton of WIFOM involved, also it could all go wrong. And the way it looks, we're going to lynch jaybrundage, the guy who might be the hardest to get a concrete read on. Scum is never going to shoot him and we'll be left with your null tell still in 3 real days.
I like the best case scenarios. I don't like the worst case scenarios. Imagine if we sit here in two days, our doc dead and another townie dead, no one claiming any other blue role and jaybrundage still alive. How would you like that situation? I don't like the idea of putting a huge responsibility on the blue(s) when we have no idea if they have the skill or ability to even further town's goal this game with an additional two nights to perform their actions. Ideally, we win the game but I'd much rather lynch jaybrundage than no lynch. If jaybrundage is at 4 votes at the end of the day I'll switch to him. This isn't all thought out I admit but I'm not a huge statistics buff. I still think it's not a great idea to no lynch. I hope you meant three votes and not four, since four votes means jay would already be hammered and you would be wasting your vote. Most of the rest of the post is rather weird because the best case in all of the situations is that we win the game and the worst case is we lose! (lol wut) I mean, what was the point of all of that? Yes, three of course. Yes, it's a weird post. I just wanted to show that I'd thought about it, in the end I arrived at the same conclusion as a lot of other people: it's not worth it. I'm not a statistics buff so I can't give you numbers but it just seems to risky and town is in a good position right now so I don't think it's worth it. Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 05:45 wherebugsgo wrote: On November 20 2011 03:56 prplhz wrote: I had that feeling too Meapak_Ziphh, but I thought he'd actually read some guides and then, Mr. Wiggles isn't in the QT and he hasn't written several posts for jaybrundage. Maybe he pointed out some stuff for jaybrundage that he could do or say, but that doesn't make any sense when jaybrundage elects to go for sandroba, which is a crazy move and I really doubt that Mr. Wiggles told him to do that, I should think that he would have told him to go for somebody else. I'd much rather see jaybrundage hang than a no lynch. He's the second most scummy by far, even though I'd still prefer wherebugsgo. If there are 4 votes on jaybrundage before deadline, I'm gonna switch to him. @sandroba What do you want to do tomorrow then if jaybrundage flips green? You said you had a harder time reading newbies than more seasoned players, and I feel that your jaybrundage lynch isn't as much a scum read as it is a you-will-never-get-a-read-on-him-anyway read. Also, you could be dead tomorrow so I hope that you will be active tonight if jaybrundage doesn't flip scum. As sandro pointed out (sometime yesterday?) sandro actually, from a scum perspective, probably doesn't have much thread cred. Look at it this way; by the end of day 1 he was one of the most inactive players, he was relatively indecisive, and there was never any suspicion on him. Even now there has been no suspicion on him. That's an excellent opportunity for scum to open up an attack, since they love players like that. It makes it look as if they are doing real analysis, they are obviously making an original attack, since no one else found that person scummy, and analysis can be fabricated because the player is relatively inactive. When you think about it like that, it's not so far-fetched that a scum player would attack sandro. The bigger assumption is actually the one you're making, that a new player wouldn't attack sandro since he's a well-known good townie or whatever. That assumption relies on wiggles telling him that, and trying to figure out what scum would do in that kind of situation is very similar to predicting or making sense of night kills; only scum know that. sandroba has a lot of town credit, he hammered Mr. Wiggles. I don't think you could pick a worse day2 target than sandroba, especially for a new guy since he's gonna get destroyed no matter what. It's a bit hard to judge since jaybrundage is new but I just think he strikes me as a new guy with a very misguided attack on sandroba. A lot of new players think they've figured it out and that they're batman, that's what he uses to explain his late Mr. Wiggles vote too, a crazy plan that makes no sense. I think newbies like these and it fits on him, while I think that it's hard to overplay the newbie card as a newbie. I disagree with you, sandroba wouldn't be a terrible choice for a scum to attack. He's not the best and I agree with you on that; so then why would we consider optimal cases? Since jay is new he's not going to play optimally regardless of his alignment. It doesn't make much sense to push sandro from either alignment but it makes more sense from a scum perspective. Yes, sandro hammered wiggles, but look at how jay keeps talking about Palmar's idea that it's hindering our thought process to eliminate the possibility scum would bus. | ||
jaybrundage
United States3921 Posts
| ||
wherebugsgo
Japan10647 Posts
We have two shots before we need to make a call that will make or break the game. That's a great position to be in, particularly as today and tomorrow will be our information days. We lynch Jay, and if he flips town we brush that off and reevaluate again. We'll probably need to look hard at who might have considered bussing scum, since if Jay is not scum, and since I think Meapak is pretty town, scum would probably be in the prpl/Erandorr/hiro/sandro side. | ||
wherebugsgo
Japan10647 Posts
On November 20 2011 08:10 jaybrundage wrote: WBG whats your thoughts on lynching hiro? I don't think he's the best lynch for today. Erandorr made some very good points about him, but honestly being the fourth vote on Wiggles, and how he has played since then has given me doubt. When I reread the thread after wiggles and palmar flipped I wasn't confident in my day 1 read anymore. If you are indeed town though, we'll probably need to reconsider hiro again. | ||
jaybrundage
United States3921 Posts
On November 20 2011 08:11 wherebugsgo wrote: We lynch Jay, and if he flips town we brush that off and reevaluate again Eh so nothing can be learned from my death? And you also agreeing with me about scum bussing all of a sudden. | ||
hiro protagonist
1294 Posts
On November 20 2011 08:03 Erandorr wrote: Yo Hiro, could you read my thoughts about you and answer them, please ? ![]() yeah, your reads are right. my post saying "would anyone like to lynch someone other than me/wiggles" looks bad, but I was tying to spur some discussion, albeit badly. Wiggles makes a few post subtly referencing me. As well as not bringing me up when I was the major lynch target. I know Im town, so I think He was looking buddy up to me in case he dies, to make me look bad. | ||
chaoser
United States5541 Posts
On November 20 2011 07:19 Erandorr wrote: Can we get a votecount (yeah I am lazy) on ER shift, updating kind of hard. Right now jay to be lynched 3 hours left in day | ||
wherebugsgo
Japan10647 Posts
On November 20 2011 08:14 jaybrundage wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 08:11 wherebugsgo wrote: We lynch Jay, and if he flips town we brush that off and reevaluate again Eh so nothing can be learned from my death? And you also agreeing with me about scum bussing all of a sudden. Sure something can be learned from your death. If you're scum, we win. If you're town, like I said, we reevaluate again and move on. If you're town and you die, like I said, that probably means we need to heavily reconsider that scum bussed on day 1, because to me it is unlikely that Meapak is scum. I will reread again since Erandorr has posted something (I just kinda skimmed it, sorry) about Meapak and I want to see for myself again if there's anything that I missed. | ||
chaoser
United States5541 Posts
jaybrundage Erandorr jaybrundage (4) wherebugsgo sandroba Meapak_Ziphh prplhz With 7 people, 4 votes are needed for majority 24 hours remaining in the day there | ||
jaybrundage
United States3921 Posts
On November 20 2011 08:14 hiro protagonist wrote: Show nested quote + On November 20 2011 08:03 Erandorr wrote: Yo Hiro, could you read my thoughts about you and answer them, please ? ![]() yeah, your reads are right. my post saying "would anyone like to lynch someone other than me/wiggles" looks bad, but I was tying to spur some discussion, albeit badly. Wiggles makes a few post subtly referencing me. As well as not bringing me up when I was the major lynch target. I know Im town, so I think He was looking buddy up to me in case he dies, to make me look bad. Thats a really weak case. It doesnt even make much sense. He didnt mention you as a possible lynch because he wanted to buddy up with you because if he dies it makes you look kinda bad. How about this he didnt mention you because your his mafia partner and after a bandwagon formed you had to join it or you would look even worse. If Hiro had not voted for Mr.Wiggles he would have been so obvious as mafia. | ||
| ||
![]() StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War Sea Dota 2![]() Pusan ![]() Mini ![]() Last ![]() ZerO ![]() Snow ![]() hero ![]() HiyA ![]() ToSsGirL ![]() Mind ![]() [ Show more ] League of Legends Counter-Strike Other Games B2W.Neo1309 DeMusliM305 Pyrionflax260 SortOf245 crisheroes175 OGKoka ![]() Livibee114 JuggernautJason63 QueenE19 ZerO(Twitch)9 Organizations StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War
StarCraft 2 • StrangeGG StarCraft: Brood War![]() • -Miszu- ![]() • Kozan • Laughngamez YouTube • AfreecaTV YouTube • sooper7s • intothetv ![]() • Migwel ![]() • IndyKCrew ![]() • LaughNgamezSOOP Dota 2 League of Legends |
SOOP
SKillous vs Spirit
Tenacious Turtle Tussle
PiG Sty Festival
Serral vs TriGGeR
Cure vs SHIN
The PondCast
Replay Cast
PiG Sty Festival
Clem vs Bunny
Solar vs Zoun
Replay Cast
Korean StarCraft League
PiG Sty Festival
herO vs Rogue
ByuN vs SKillous
SC Evo Complete
[ Show More ] [BSL 2025] Weekly
Replay Cast
SOOP Global
ByuN vs Zoun
Rogue vs Bunny
PiG Sty Festival
MaxPax vs Classic
Dark vs Maru
Sparkling Tuna Cup
PSISTORM Gaming Misc
|
|