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Newbie Mini Mafia

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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 27 2011 18:43 GMT
#64
Hey, I'd like to participate in this. Only got a single game under my belt, so im quite the noob :p
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 29 2011 11:17 GMT
#136
Herrrro. I havnt recieved anything yet
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 29 2011 15:26 GMT
#138
On October 29 2011 23:32 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2011 20:17 Skrammen wrote:
Herrrro. I havnt recieved anything yet


Err check your inbox again? I have a copy of the pm in my sent folder. If not let me know and I'll resend it


Err, it was marked as read even tho i could swear I never saw it. I just feel stupid now, sorry about that :C

/confirm
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 30 2011 13:18 GMT
#172
Good morning gentlemen!
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 30 2011 20:40 GMT
#205
On October 30 2011 14:42 Zanfada wrote:
Day 1 it is very important not to let the mafia lurk and hide in the background. So we have to preasure them and force everyone to interact. If you look at the last mini mafia town lost because of inactivity. So we can't have anyone be inactive.


I guess to get things start hacklebeast hasn't posted anything yet. so until he speaks up or a better target comes along

##Vote hacklebeast


4 hours into the game and you go on and try to stir some discussion up? He wasnt the only one who had said nothing up to that point, why did you choose him? It seems a little bit... Dodgy to use a vote to pressure someone into talking more so soon I think.

And just a head's up: Since we have people from both sides of the pond in this game there is bound to be somewhat of a delay in answers and people might be working or sleeping when some discussions takes place. We should be somewhat tolerant of this, but obviously 24 hours of no posting is not good.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 31 2011 14:10 GMT
#247
On October 31 2011 07:20 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
In the interest of getting some other possible discussions going...

Skrammen has now doubled his post count, using his first to say good morning and his second accuses someone for trying to stir up discussion with a vote "so soon", as well as a preemptive excuse for not being active:
Show nested quote +
And just a head's up: Since we have people from both sides of the pond in this game there is bound to be somewhat of a delay in answers and people might be working or sleeping when some discussions takes place. We should be somewhat tolerant of this, but obviously 24 hours of no posting is not good.

The only people that benefit from a delayed discussion is obviously the mafia, they'd rather it never happen. Also, while his statement is true, I think it was fairly obvious to most people, and scum always like to have an excuse to fall back on.

So FOS on Skrammen for now.


Ah. Well, you see I was only trying to clarify some things so they are clear. I did not however, encourage it.

+ Show Spoiler +
The only people that benefit from a delayed discussion is obviously the mafia, they'd rather it never happen. Also, while his statement is true, I think it was fairly obvious to most people, and scum always like to have an excuse to fall back on.


I think we both might be talking without saying anything now; both of these things are quite obvious, yet we both had to say it. What I said was just that; A head's up just in case people did not know. Honestly I think this is pretty bad grounds for accusations. I still maintain that a vote 4 hours into the game is pretty suspicious, but not enough to be convinced he is red.

+ Show Spoiler +
I can take my vote back at any time. The vote was just there to promote talking which it did just that.

What was alot more interesting was Toad's post and how it was received. I personally think blues should post and help the town or they stand out to mafia and playing safe and become much better targets. Also mafia rarely mention blues for the simple fact that it makes them look more like mafia hunting for blues with any mention of blues. The same goes for blues themselves, they want to hide with town and do their job. I think Toad was just trying to prevent what happened last game to happen this game. However his post doesn't say anything more then "post guys" which doesn't further along any conversation it just increase his post count which in my opinion is all mafia try to do for the first day.
On October 30 2011 22:54 hacklebeast wrote:
Show nested quote +


Unnecessarily trying to start a town panic? Baseless accusing people that, under your own admission, have no evidence against? Sounds like very mafia things to do. I'm not going to go so far as to cast my vote yet, but I'm watching you.

Besides, I could never have committed the crime. Gmarshal I could take or leave, but killing ponies? I don't have it in me to take out something this lovable.



I wasn't starting a town panic, though it seems to have caused you to panic a little. Your response to my vote seems to be an emotional plea involving ponies and a FOS but little more then that. It seems as if you are trying to not draw any sort of attention to yourself even after a vote has already been placed on you. Normally I would take this as a scum tell but it seems more like a newbie tell then a mafia at this point.

Then there is Ciryandor, he defended me and my baseless attack on someone. The only time I usually am defended is when scum are trying to buddy up with me. Or since he has played a few games he is just trying to let newbies know what I was doing. Still FOS for now.


This is his answer to why he did it, and to be honest, it worked, he got stuff going which is good. I will be keeping an eye out, but at this point his reasoning seems good enough for me. As you said earlier, delaying discussion is indicative of scummy behaviour, or perhaps it might not be? An elaborate ruse?
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 31 2011 18:48 GMT
#261
@Ciryandor

In an earlier post you said the following:
+ Show Spoiler +
I personally have a good vote that I want to expound on right now, but I want to see more posting from that person before I cast it, as it may yield more information on him.


And now you have decided to vote me. Did you already make up your mind before I did my post? As far as I can tell, the only thing you seem to base your suspicion on is the fact that I made a point about timezones. I think you are over-analyzing things way too hard, stop looking for something who is not there.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
October 31 2011 19:05 GMT
#264
@Chocolate

+ Show Spoiler +
Definitely FOS on Zanfada now. Needlessly aggressive, fos on ciryandor for defending him, even though what you did at first was a smart and good thing to do as it opened discussion. And yeah, having almost no evidence for any of his fos but saying a lot of empty words is kinda :/
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=278558&currentpage=11#210


+ Show Spoiler +
Toad i did not fos ciry. Filter my posts and look at them if you dont believe me. I only fosd zanfa, and noted suspicion with you that i have since withdrawn.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=278558&currentpage=12#234


Not once did you FoS on me, yet you preffered to vote me instead of zanfa. You also FoS'd Ciry but claim you didnt. You seem to be a bit everywhere, throwing suspicions left and right. To me, it appears like you are trying to be a bit of an instigator while saying very little of substance. You've posted nearly as little as I have done, and you say you vote me because of lack of activity?

##Vote Chocolate

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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 01 2011 00:04 GMT
#290
As I have previously stated, I've got some suspicions regarding Zanfada. He hasnt posted much since the heat dropped of him, not since you decided to bandwagon me. He is writing a lot without saying much, and he is pretty agressive.

+ Show Spoiler +
That said, the 3 people up for the chopping block are Skram, Toad, and myself. Out of those three Skram looks like the best target.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=278558&currentpage=14#268

I still maintain that these are poor grounds of accusation.

At first glance, Toadsstern seem very eager to appear very pro-town. I dont think I like the idea of lynching for the sake of lynching.
+ Show Spoiler +
The most important part right here: You think Skrammen is the easy wagon? I thought the easy wagon is either zanfa or me for mafia since there used to be always a couple of votes on both of us. Something like 1 or 2. Skrammen only started once ciry voted for him.
Again, I would love to get you lynched first but he's looking scummy too and I for sure don't want a no-lynch as that's just the same as lynching a townie while leaving everything in the dark because we got no information out of votings or posts.


But thats not strictly true, is it? You voted me after the heat dropped of zanfada, and the wagon came-a rolling my way. Most of his other posts are quite confusing, which may or may not be because that his first language is not english, but it can be a good excuse.

If you decide to lynch me anyway, and I do flip green, there's a good chance all of the scum will be among those who are most adamant about lynching me. If I flip red, then risk and bunneh got some 'splaining to do.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 01 2011 17:08 GMT
#317
On November 02 2011 01:36 Zanfada wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 01 2011 09:40 Zanfada wrote:
On November 01 2011 09:04 Skrammen wrote:


If you decide to lynch me anyway, and I do flip green, there's a good chance all of the scum will be among those who are most adamant about lynching me. If I flip red, then risk and bunneh got some 'splaining to do.


This last statement is really odd, If you are town then there is no reason to bring it up. This seems like a scum slip to me but why say you might be red if you are scum...



can you comment on this skram, the choice of words is still bothering me.


Just stating the obvious. Why say I might red if I am scum? Well, if I was, would I tell you? Are you desperatly trying to find a reason to get me lynched, again?

What about you. So far, the only thing you have done is come in, instigate somthing on someone else, defend yourself when you got under pressure only to disappear again. And here you are again.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 01:37 GMT
#410
@Toadsstern

The reason for this is that at that point, bunneh and risk were defending me, and thus me flipping would be bad news for them. Perhaps pretty redundant but still true.

So lets think about it. Risk turned out to be green. If I were a red, how would I benefit from his death? He blocked my lynch, and he seemed pretty adamant about my affiliations. Now that he's gone it might reinforce any suspicions you have of me or toad, which is exactly what the scum wants, they want either of us lynched on day 2.

Your vote for Drem earlier was a vote for the sake of voting, nothing solid to go on. Your unvote was also on very poor grounds.

What I do think of this situation is that me and toad are just two townies pointing fingers at each other. I've not removed you from my list of people to look at, but at this point in time, I do not think you are a scum. You're pointing fingers at basically everyone in this game, which is either poor mafia play or good townie play.

At this point its obvious that either one of us is a scum, or none of us.

Lets look at the votes from the previous day:

+ Show Spoiler +
1. risk.nuke Toadesstern
2. HarbingerOfDoom Skrammen
3. Toadesstern Skrammen
4. Zanfada Skrammen
5. xsksc Skrammen
6. Ciryandor Skrammen
7. hacklebeast toadesstern
8. Skrammen Chocolate
9. hyshes Zanfada
10. Drem903 Zanfada
11. IMABUNNEH Toadesstern
12. Chocolate Skrammen


I do not think there would be more than 1 mafia voting for me. Risk voted Toadsstern and we know he turned out to be town. Hacklebeast also voted for him, and so did bunneh. But what if we consider hyshes and drem's vote on Zanfada to be a safe-vote, so to speak? Or do you think this is very poor mafia play? At this point im not sure, but im pointing my finger on drem.
+ Show Spoiler +

the people i've accused genuinely accused: Zanfada (not great reasoning, but it was only my first day, and he just seemed suspicious), SKrammen, YOU, hackle, and Toad.

If we say that he would not accuse a fellow mafia, there is stil chocolate, bunneh, hyshes, ciry, xskcx and HoD left.

Now, I believe there is somthing there worth investigating.

+ Show Spoiler +
Of those 5 Toad and SK are the one's i've been constant about, and toad is the only one to make any real accusations against me. Zanfada i hold no real suspicion of anymore.


Why not vote me? Seems like an easy lynch. It would probably give you some answers, too. But you knew that I would flip green, and when that happened you do not want to be on the list as a scum.

+ Show Spoiler +
1) His posts are long when a simple reply could answer the question (disregarding his analysis post on risk). As scum he's using longer posts to try and cover all possible points that could indicate him to be Mafia.


Yes, or perhaps his excuse is a valid one. I made a comment about time-zones and it nearly got me lynched.

+ Show Spoiler +
2) The only person who would benefit from Risk's death is Toad. Now, my earlier statement on that was it could be a Mafia ploy to distract us, but that would also be immediately obvious so it could be a double trick (kill risk to get suspicion on toad, but we realize that and stop focusing on toad, and then toad is mafia so it was just a convoluted trap that could work). At this point it just gets into an infinite chain of back and forth.


Now this is interesting. You're right - it could be a double trick. Or a triple trick, or whatever. I think getting rid of risk is too obvious, and I dont think it would benefit him. Sometimes there is not a hidden meaning, and sometimes the most obvious answer is the right one. But we can not be 100% certain untill we get some lynching done. At this time, I believe Drem to be a valid lynch. Another day without a lynch is getting us nowhere.

## Vote Drem903




The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 01:40 GMT
#411
Your vote for Drem earlier was a vote for the sake of voting, nothing solid to go on. Your unvote was also on very poor grounds.


During the 2~ hours it took me to write up a post i changed my mind about this. I still think his reasoning was poor, but I found what I think is a better reason for it, and I went with it.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 02:28 GMT
#416
On November 03 2011 11:09 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Skrammen
Since you reappeared, I would like to reassert my earlier request; If you value your life, please make a post of the following:
1) At least 2, preferably 3 people you think are scum
2) Explanations and some analysis of why you think they are scum
3) At least 2, preferably more, people you think are town, excluding yourself
4) Explanations of why you think they are town
5) What you think the goal of the risk.nuke shooting was


I'm going to reply to this quickly for now, and I will come back with a more thorough respons once I get my sleep. I've been busy all day and its getting late over here.

1) At this point I think atleast Drem is a scum. Im suspicious of Hyshes and chocolate, but Toad is still on my radar.

3) I think Bunneh is a townie. Ciry seems pro-town and I havnt made my mind up about the rest of them, but im about 50-50 on Zanfada and yourself.

5) I believe the biggest reason for getting rid of risk is to get either me or toad lynched today. If I get lynched and flip green, toad is very very suspicious. If toad gets lynched and flips green then that would put pressure on me and those who pushed toad the most.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 15:09 GMT
#445
Well, shit. Lots of stuff happened here while I was going about my day. Firstly, I will not block a lynch. Secondly, I noted my suspicion of him earlier, and I will come back with that post I promised. (Yes, I'm a slow writer)
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 16:06 GMT
#446
On November 03 2011 11:28 Skrammen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 03 2011 11:09 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Skrammen
Since you reappeared, I would like to reassert my earlier request; If you value your life, please make a post of the following:
1) At least 2, preferably 3 people you think are scum
2) Explanations and some analysis of why you think they are scum
3) At least 2, preferably more, people you think are town, excluding yourself
4) Explanations of why you think they are town
5) What you think the goal of the risk.nuke shooting was


I'm going to reply to this quickly for now, and I will come back with a more thorough respons once I get my sleep. I've been busy all day and its getting late over here.

1) At this point I think atleast Drem is a scum. Im suspicious of Hyshes and chocolate, but Toad is still on my radar.

3) I think Bunneh is a townie. Ciry seems pro-town and I havnt made my mind up about the rest of them, but im about 50-50 on Zanfada and yourself.

5) I believe the biggest reason for getting rid of risk is to get either me or toad lynched today. If I get lynched and flip green, toad is very very suspicious. If toad gets lynched and flips green then that would put pressure on me and those who pushed toad the most.


2) I dont have much to add to my previous post where I laid out some of my thoughts and voted for Drem. But I thought that both hyshes and Drem were mafias, but Hyshes voted Drem earlier. Now, this could be a ploy or one of them is green. If we do lynch Hyshes and he flips green, I will look even closer at Drem.

As for Hyshes, I honestly dont have much to add to your thoughts regarding the matter. One thing is that he did not vote for the easy lynch, because being on the list when I flipped green would spell bad news for him. I think this is a pretty good scumtell. If he flips red we should pressure everyone else who did not vote for me hard, as there is likely to be scum among them. And I do not like one bit his defeatist attitude. If you are green and you do this, you are only hurting the town.

4) So far it seems to me that both Bunneh and Ciry are townies because they are both very pro-town. Stirring up discussions and the like. To be very honest - I have not looked as much from this angle, I've been pretty busy both defending myself and trying to discern who are scums.

So, unless hyshes makes a solid defence for himself I guess im with the bandwagon.

## Unvote Drem903
## Vote Hyshes



The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 03 2011 18:12 GMT
#456
On November 04 2011 03:03 hyshes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2011 02:58 IMABUNNEH wrote:
On November 03 2011 22:16 hyshes wrote:
I'm not retarded, and this aint stupid play either. It's the only play i got left to have a possible chance on a town win. I'm just kinda hoping it will open your eyes. I'm just offering good working material here. for that purpose, i'm willing to do a sacrifice here.

After my action here it will be 6towns vs 3 mafia (assuming mafia kills a townie next night), so still a good majority for the town. Maybe if towns is lucky, it will be 7vs3..



Sacrificing yourself just to show you're green doesn't seem like it helps the town all that much. The reason being, IF you were to flip up green, then it drops to a 7/3. The mafia then get to ping someone else (right?), making it 6/3. At 6/3 it's going to be a lot harder for us to get a solid lynch on a scum.

If you throw yourself to the lions and turn out green, we're going to have real problems. If what you say is ACTUALLY true, don't sacrifice yourself, because in doing so you're basically sacrificing the town. This is why I think you MUST be red. You're right that you're not retarded, which is why the only possible option is that you're red.

Also in your other posts you refused to defend yourself against "retarded" logic (think that's the right quote, or the gist of it). The posts made against you are pretty sound logically, and your attitude to the accusation is entirely illogical.


The retarted logic refers to toad's posts. HarbingerOfDoom's post does not make sense either, it's a wall of sh*t.


If you think its a wall of shit perhaps you could point out its flaws rather than give in
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 04 2011 18:49 GMT
#489
Maybe HoD was wrong pushing this, maybe we were wrong following suit, but it was definitly wrong giving in and not making any sort of defense until way late.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 05 2011 14:21 GMT
#523
So, I'm just going to share some of my thoughts and consider some scenarios here. First of all, welcome hacklebeast 2.0 Sermokala. You've probably been following this thread and already have some thoughts to share with us. With you being new its pretty difficult for us to get a read on you. I would love if you could post some more of your thoughts regarding who is scum and who is town.

Regarding the Me vs. Toadsstern thing, at this point two options seem to be possible:

1. One of us is scum. This seems to be the general consensus, and we've been in each others throat for most of this game.
But if toad was green then the mafia should have used this, because if Toad gets killed by mafia, I would have been lynched already. But if we consider Toad to be a mafia, the scum will not touch me, because if I die it gives you pretty good information on him.

2. Neither of us are scum. I'm not quite sure about this, but I've mentioned this previously. I think this is the least likely of the two.

Also, I noticed somthing Toad said:
+ Show Spoiler +
Ok I'm back and lol we got a hero medic


We cant be sure there is a medic, yet he automatically says there is one. A scumslip?

Although, to be fair, I do not think the mafia would abstain from trying to kill someone, so we might have one. I cant be for sure if this is a scumslip or just a lack of clarification, but it does seem a bit suspicious to me.

The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 05 2011 14:54 GMT
#526
On November 05 2011 23:48 Toadesstern wrote:
but it's awesome. The very moment I post something that's so clear and I don't need to explain it someone shows up and yells at me that I'm scum because you can interprete it in a way nobody does until he's forced to do so by some magical power.
I don't know if that's a townie being overeager to find something where nothing's to be found or a mafia trying to get people on me again. I'm still kinda shocked since hyshes flipped green.
If I have to stop lynching people like hyshes I'm just not sure by what standars I'm supposed to go. A mafia yelling he's mafia? Yeah that happened last game and he got banned for that. But given those two things (mafia yelling he's mafia and what hyshes did) I'm just having problems imagining something you're able to do that makes you more mafia than hyshes actions and at the same time less than a mafia yelling he's mafia because that's a banreason.


Everything you say will be analyzed and scrutinized, and thats how its supposed to be.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 06 2011 15:16 GMT
#559
Holy wall of text batman. I'll have a read after ive had my morning coffee
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 06 2011 17:43 GMT
#562
I've been looking a bit into Drem. I'm going to quote Ciry's analysis on his first posts, because I honestly have little to add to it.

+ Show Spoiler +
On November 01 2011 01:42 Ciryandor wrote:
Drem's post record is the following; and I feel he's worth looking at as well:

Show nested quote +
On October 30 2011 11:27 Drem903 wrote:
Whoever killed GMarshal must hate friendship, quite a bit.. and ponies. He is probably the worst type of scum to ever exist.

On October 30 2011 13:48 Drem903 wrote:
using extensive analysis, and some complex theory. I have decided to blame xsksc for the murder, because his name is impossible to pronounce,



I see a parallel with the last mini game, where scum wanted to jump the gun a bit using some very speculative reason to create an FoS on someone; but in this case this is tempered by the fact that he did not vote on xsksc.


Then when he realizes nobody really bit his bait:

Show nested quote +
On October 30 2011 15:39 Drem903 wrote:
If you're telling the truth that you're name really is just a random assortment of levels, then i will no longer blame you. I had assumed that you were possessed by some kind of devil, hence the inhuman name.


He plays it off as an attempt to stir conversation...

Show nested quote +
On October 31 2011 00:53 Drem903 wrote:
The thing with xsksc was pretty much just a joke to try and get the ball rolling. The only person that has really garnered any suspicion from me is bunneh, and that's only because his posts seem to be "posts for the sake of posting" rather than trying to really get anything dones.

He only seems to post to try and appear active.


Then goes on the offensive after someone does commit to a real vote on a person.

Show nested quote +
On October 31 2011 01:19 Drem903 wrote:
Are you able to change you're vote after you have voted?

If you're not able to change you're vote, then we also have to be very suspicious of zanfada. We both randomly chose a person to try and encourage discussion, but he actually voted. If you can't change you're vote, then that seems suspicious to me, as he seems in a hurry to lynch someone (anyone). If you can change you're vote, then it's no big deal, but it's still something to consider.


After that post, he basically leaves the suspicion on Zanfada, which by now looks good enough for other people to lynch.

Show nested quote +
On October 31 2011 05:36 Drem903 wrote:
On October 31 2011 05:04 IMABUNNEH wrote:

There was no coming to each others' defense, as he has said nothing in my defense.


Hmm good point, that'll teach me to reread better.

We still haven't heard from Skrammen though, and I still think Toad is dodgy. Since other than telling people they should post more posts, he hasn't really said anything.

Zanfada also has not posted at all since his initial accusation, so he should also be one to consider for now.


+ Show Spoiler +
[QUOTE]On November 01 2011 03:28 Drem903 wrote:
I'll be the first to admit that i am not particularly talkative, although that's mostly because i don't have regular computer access at school.. I have been reading the thread through, and although i still hold zanfada in suspicion, i will also have to agree that SKrammen has not really contributed that much either.

His only notable post just recounts information that everyone should know (though some may not have read the thread too carefully and could've forgotten). Although i feel the need to point out, that SKrammen did call out Zanfada for being hasty to vote (even if he could later rescind the vote). If they were both scum, then it wouldn't make sense for them to call suspicion upon one another.

Zanfada also hasn't posted in a while, and the only notable parts of his posts were: asking the blues to post more frequently (though not to identify themselves), and to defend himself from hacklebeasts own accusations.

So, the people i'm currently very suspicious of are: SKrammen and Zanfada. When i get more time to really look at everyone's posts this might change, but it's just those 2 for now.

##vote Zanfada


Here he continues with his accusations of Zanfada and votes for him. But in his post ciry said this:
+ Show Spoiler +
After that post, he basically leaves the suspicion on Zanfada, which by now looks good enough for other people to lynch.


Now, at this time other people had been making suspicion of Zanfada, myself including. Only after this did he decide to vote him. He attempts to stay under the radar by voting a secondary lynch target, and kept his vote when the bandwagon came and went.

His defence:
+ Show Spoiler +

@Harbinger. I voted for Zanfada because he, at the time, was the person i was most suspicious of. In retrospect i should have looked at SKrammen's posts more, but at the time he [SKrammen] wasn't the most suspicious to me. Now, although SKrammen is still suspicious (he completely ignored toad's analysis a page back, and only responded to defend himself from Zanfa), i am starting to put a lot more thought in the the claim that Toadesstern is a major suspect. (Zanfa i am now unsure of, and hope to see more posts from him before i say anything more on him).

Mostly because he seems adamant about convincing us that he is town, and constantly restates that point over and over again. Which seems like something mafia would do if they were desperate to avoid a lynch.


As I've stated more than once when I looked at the voting patterns; it would make sense for the mafia to avoid being on the list of voters when I got lynched and flipped green.

A second post where he defends his actions:

+ Show Spoiler +
I guess i don't honestly have a good reason as to why i did not vote for SKrammen in the end. The thing was i was only suspicious of those 2, and the one i was suspicious of to the point of voting was Zanfada. Although i was reary of SKrammen, i did not see him as suspicious to the point of lynching.

Although it is noteworthy to say that Toad does have a point about Risk not really posting that much. He's actively defending SK, although he immediately tries to spurn attention back on SK when he is called into question, and a few of his posts are just updates on him lurking. He has also tried to get people to look at Toad.

So if Toad is mafia, then risk probably isn't. If risk is mafia, then toad isn't, and SKrammen is also mafia because risk wouldn't defend him if he wasn't.


Again, this does not really change anything as far as I am concerned. But I am not sure if these "If x is mafia then y is town"-arguments are always valid. What if we lynch toad only to find out he is a townie?

+ Show Spoiler +
@SKrammen

If i had changed my vote to you, and you flipped green, everyone who voted for you would have been under heavy suspicion of being scum. So that's 7 people, of which i was 1, so what reasoning would i have to block you're vote if i was mafia? I wouldn't be that much more suspicious than any of the other 6.

For every towny that dies the mafia becomes stronger. If was mafia and had changed my vote to you, and i had said you were suspicious so it's not unlikely for a person to decide to agree with the majority if they had similar convictions, then why would i not vote for you to get you out of the way? The fact is, i didn't have enough conviction to accuse you as i didn't feel that you were necessarily scum. I wasn't convinced enough to take that risk. Bad townie play? possibly. Even worse mafia play? i would believe so.


He has a point now. But I would like someone elses input on this here - to me it makes sense for him not wanting to be one of the people who voted for me, but would you consider it bad mafia play to block it? I'm not so sure anymore.

I would like for you to tell us what you feel about Zanfada, and who do you think is Town?



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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 06 2011 19:39 GMT
#564
On November 07 2011 04:23 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
So I thought I'd have more time now, as the original plan was my gf got back this evening, but instead she'll apparently be back within the next 15 minutes now. As such, I don't think I'll be able to make a big case post now (maybe I'll still get one up before the deadline? :-/), but I thought I'd make some contributions while I can.

@Skrammen regarding Drem, possibly a bit outdated, but: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=278558&currentpage=23#444
Might have the info you want.

Unless something comes up to change my mind, I am willing to vote for the following 4 people today: Skrammen, Chocolate, xsksc, Drem. With a preference in order of xsksc, Chocolate, Skrammen, Drem.

Should be back in time to change as somehow I doubt this one will garner enough votes to ensure a lynch, but for now
##vote xsksc


How did I miss that... Well, I guess that answers it then, unless you got something else to add, Drem? I've also been thinking about somthing else:

+ Show Spoiler +
His only notable post just recounts information that everyone should know (though some may not have read the thread too carefully and could've forgotten). Although i feel the need to point out, that SKrammen did call out Zanfada for being hasty to vote (even if he could later rescind the vote). If they were both scum, then it wouldn't make sense for them to call suspicion upon one another.


Wouldnt it make perfect sense for us to FoS each other if we were both mafia? And wouldnt it make sense for you to put suspicion on Zanfada if you two were mafiabuddies?

I know this is nothing solid nor any evidence of anything, I'd just like some input on this, because I'm not able to make up my mind about this. The activity has really dropped here the for the last few hours, and the lynch deadline is coming up fast.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 06 2011 23:48 GMT
#578
Well. If we dont get a lynch done it will get us nowhere, but if we lynch a townie it will probably be worse.

##vote Toadsstern
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 00:41 GMT
#597
Well, this indecision is going to kills us. Yes, im willing to push for Choc or Drem. I cant push for a lynch on myself tho. Hyshes tried that!
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 00:56 GMT
#603
I guess someone has to start.

##unvote Toadesstern
##vote Chocolate
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 02:28 GMT
#627
Well... If we have no lynch at all we will probably not make it. If we lynch a townie - even less so. I hope you're right about this HoD.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 02:34 GMT
#629
On November 07 2011 11:31 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
You should have started a case along with a vote on someone when you were doing all your PbP's earlier, you have plenty of town-cred too you know! Wasn't aware me not being able to make a big case would put us in such a last-minute bind >.>

Also, lol @skrammen starting the shift when he was one of the two I mentioned as people that I was willing to lynch that seemed lynchable. I wonder if we could have gone for sermokala...I kinda wanted to give him a chance to compensate for hackle's complete lack of contribution, but so far his main contributions have been poorly argued at best. And you know, accusing me isn't going to win any points in my book either :-P


Oh I wouldnt go as far as call it an accusation, I just hope your instinct on this is right on target
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 02:41 GMT
#632
So we have 10 players remaining, if lynch goes through we'll lose 1 and if we dont get divine intervention again they will kill another 1, so that makes 8 remaining, of which 3 maybe scum, 2 if we get this right. If we have 8 players where 3 are scum, there are 4 who arent, we are 2 players down from achieveing vote majority, and if we lynch a scum, we are 1 player down from achieving vote majority? So, basically, we need a scum lynch AND divine intervention?
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 07 2011 03:03 GMT
#635
Fuckin ponies. I'm going to sleep and silently judge people now.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 08 2011 07:17 GMT
#691
Foiled again! Curse you mathematics!

But for you who has me pegged as scum, I'd quite like you to explain it with more reason than "oh well he looks scummy i guess" and i'll answer you once I get home from the hospital later today.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 08 2011 16:22 GMT
#694
On November 08 2011 21:55 IMABUNNEH wrote:
Urgh. I've said from Day 1, one of Toad and SKrammen are obviously red, and the other green as a result.

But is SKrammen REALLY that obvious?

We originally thought that risk.nuke kill was potentially scum trying to shift attention away from him, since it implicated anyone except for him.

I'm going to go with the obvious here. SKrammen absolutely has to be scum. I don't know if anyone doesn't have him on their scum list anymore either. So an early vote to make my intentions known:

##vote SKrammen

Sorry to Toad for suspecting you for so long It seems that as soon as a couple more of us came round to believing you were town, you got punished for it. That makes me think the scum are the low-middle activity people for certain.


So, why do I absolutely have to be a scum?
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 09 2011 18:44 GMT
#716
Well. At the start of the game I was pretty sure that Toad was scum, mostly because he was writing a lot without saying much. I think Ciry has a good point regarding the vote patterns, and I am pretty sure drem is a scum at this point. I said earlier that this is exactly what the mafia wants; Toad was pretty adamant about me being scum, and they knew we were both townies, and thus they WANT me to get lynched today.

I am also curious as to why I would want to kill Toad if I were scum. You lot seem pretty damn set on that either of us HAS to be scum, and killing him would not be beneficial to me if I was a mafia.

Last minute bandwagons with HoD doesnt seem to be the way to go; so I'm going with my gut here.

@Sermokala

+ Show Spoiler +
1. Bandwagoning is the most effective strategy of the mafia. If you can get a train started on someone thats not mafia its worth it to organize the whole mafia to support it. His vote I feel really started the train.


Yet you readily jump on the wagon without much to justify it, and you have posted nothing where you suspect me. You tried to push for Toad, but that didnt go as planned so you nightkilled him instead, which is as I suspect, exactly what you wanted. I also see you are defending both Drem and xsksc.

##vote Drem903

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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 09 2011 19:29 GMT
#721
On November 10 2011 03:44 Skrammen wrote:
Well. At the start of the game I was pretty sure that Toad was scum, mostly because he was writing a lot without saying much. I think Ciry has a good point regarding the vote patterns, and I am pretty sure drem is a scum at this point. I said earlier that this is exactly what the mafia wants; Toad was pretty adamant about me being scum, and they knew we were both townies, and thus they WANT me to get lynched today.

I am also curious as to why I would want to kill Toad if I were scum. You lot seem pretty damn set on that either of us HAS to be scum, and killing him would not be beneficial to me if I was a mafia.

Last minute bandwagons with HoD doesnt seem to be the way to go; so I'm going with my gut here.

@Sermokala

+ Show Spoiler +
1. Bandwagoning is the most effective strategy of the mafia. If you can get a train started on someone thats not mafia its worth it to organize the whole mafia to support it. His vote I feel really started the train.


Yet you readily jump on the wagon without much to justify it, and you have posted nothing where you suspect me. You tried to push for Toad, but that didnt go as planned so you nightkilled him instead, which is as I suspect, exactly what you wanted. I also see you are defending both Drem and xsksc.

##vote Drem903


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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 10 2011 00:17 GMT
#726
I still think Drem is a legit lynch. But I hope we get gosumove by medic.

##unvote Drem903
##vote Sermokala
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 10 2011 22:10 GMT
#756
Unless they hit the medic I think it just might give us a clearer picture.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 11 2011 09:59 GMT
#780
Well, I guess its crunchtime now. I am the medic. I stopped the hit on night2, but fucked it up the other nights.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 11 2011 10:38 GMT
#781
I've been trying to lay low this game, and there are probably a lot of the more experienced players lurking this thread who is facepalming at that, because it hasnt worked all that well.

But since I am already taking a risk and probably next in line for a nightkill now, should I tell you who is confirmed townie? He would probably die next night then I guess.

I'll look at your answers once I get home from the hospital this afternoon.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 11 2011 16:26 GMT
#784
I feel that both Sermokala and Drem are scum. Sermo's words seem pretty forced and not genuine, and I've already mention why I think that Drem is a scum. There isnt a lot to go on with xskcd but he could very well be one aswell. I'm not sure about yourself, bunneh, but I got nothing solid to go on. At this point, it would be silly to assume that either ciry or hod is scum, because if they are, they are playing us so well I just might cry.

I do not at all like the deafitist attitude of Sermo, and it reminds me too much of hyshes. But I dont think he will flip green.
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 11 2011 18:59 GMT
#790
Well, allright then. They tried to kill you, Harbinger. I guess thats why I followed your bandwagon on Chocolate, because you were the only one I could with certainty say were a townie. This will probably make you next in line for a night kill, but lets hope its worth it.

Why do you think that both sermo and drem can be scum tho?
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 11 2011 22:12 GMT
#795
That I did. I expect apology muffins! We still have another 26~ hours, yes?
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 12 2011 21:54 GMT
#802
Well, either the scum are bussing him or he's a town. Either way.

vote ##Sermokala
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Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 13 2011 04:21 GMT
#810
Well, fuck. Pretty damn well played by Ciry and Bunneh I guess. Guess us townies didnt play all that well :p

Anyways, gg. I thought it was pretty fun and I learned lots.
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 13 2011 04:49 GMT
#820
Just a quick question, how do you scum communicate? PMs? Super-secret forum? Cleverly encrypted newspaper articles?
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 13 2011 04:50 GMT
#822
On November 13 2011 13:49 xsksc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 13 2011 13:49 Skrammen wrote:
Just a quick question, how do you scum communicate? PMs? Super-secret forum? Cleverly encrypted newspaper articles?


http://www.quicktopic.com/46/H/nC2crqNBL9Vj

our quicktopic


Oh you bastards, you
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 13 2011 05:04 GMT
#825
More like codenames and shit, articles with hash codes would look pretty suspicious I guess
The muffin mare is seated at the labratory of the utility muffin research kitchen.
Skrammen
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway195 Posts
November 13 2011 05:12 GMT
#827
On November 13 2011 14:08 Curu wrote:
It was really hard coaching without giving stuff away like my own reads and stuff. I wanted so much to tell Skrammen that Ciryandor was like 99.9999% scum. Actually I sent this PM to him:

Show nested quote +
What I would do is protect the most confirmed Town member. The guy who no one is ever going to lynch.

There are two parts to this: remember that Mafia only needs to get 1 mislynch the rest of the game to win. That means they are probably not going to hit anyone that has suspicion on them since they can try to get them mislynched in one of the cycles.

Protecting someone who is largely considered confirmed Town would ensure that that person cannot be killed if they are Town so it narrows down the pool of mislynch candidates. If the person is completely left alone then that tells you there is a good chance they are Mafia. Why? Because you already chose to no lynch on a mylo, that means the Mafia night hit actually isn't important. Regardless of whether or not the hit goes through or is blocked, Mafia still only needs 1 mislynch to win. The absolute optimal play for scum in this situation considering they know there is a Medic still alive is to abstain from shooting because a successful kill doesn't accomplish anything while a successful save confirms another person as Town. If they were to play optimally they would choose not to shoot tonight. The next best play for them would be to hit the most confirmed Town member since if they are saved it doesn't matter, they weren't going to get lynched anyways.

The worst possible play for Mafia would be to hit someone under suspicion since if they get saved Mafia just confirmed a mislynch candidate as Town and if they die they removed one of the mislynch candidates anyways.

Of course this all assumes Mafia plays optimally which might be a bit of a stretch in a Newbie game. But I would just protect the person who is most likely Town.

Whether you want that to be HoD or someone else is up to you, saving HoD guarantees there is at least one person left in the next cycle that you know is confirmed Town, saving someone else opens up the chance that HoD might die but also gives you the chance to confirm someone else as Town.


I tried to just give generic advice without getting into specifics in the game.

Toadesstern and I talked a bit, mostly about what to do when people thought it was him vs Skrammen. Skrammen and I talked a lot. Zanfada didn't talk to me.


Well I appreciated your input but honestly, i'm a bit dense. I see it clear as day what you meant now, but when I read it I really wasnt sure.
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