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Well, either the scum are bussing him or he's a town. Either way.
vote ##Sermokala
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Well, fuck. Pretty damn well played by Ciry and Bunneh I guess. Guess us townies didnt play all that well :p
Anyways, gg. I thought it was pretty fun and I learned lots.
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Just a quick question, how do you scum communicate? PMs? Super-secret forum? Cleverly encrypted newspaper articles?
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More like codenames and shit, articles with hash codes would look pretty suspicious I guess
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On November 13 2011 14:08 Curu wrote:It was really hard coaching without giving stuff away like my own reads and stuff. I wanted so much to tell Skrammen that Ciryandor was like 99.9999% scum. Actually I sent this PM to him: Show nested quote +What I would do is protect the most confirmed Town member. The guy who no one is ever going to lynch.
There are two parts to this: remember that Mafia only needs to get 1 mislynch the rest of the game to win. That means they are probably not going to hit anyone that has suspicion on them since they can try to get them mislynched in one of the cycles.
Protecting someone who is largely considered confirmed Town would ensure that that person cannot be killed if they are Town so it narrows down the pool of mislynch candidates. If the person is completely left alone then that tells you there is a good chance they are Mafia. Why? Because you already chose to no lynch on a mylo, that means the Mafia night hit actually isn't important. Regardless of whether or not the hit goes through or is blocked, Mafia still only needs 1 mislynch to win. The absolute optimal play for scum in this situation considering they know there is a Medic still alive is to abstain from shooting because a successful kill doesn't accomplish anything while a successful save confirms another person as Town. If they were to play optimally they would choose not to shoot tonight. The next best play for them would be to hit the most confirmed Town member since if they are saved it doesn't matter, they weren't going to get lynched anyways.
The worst possible play for Mafia would be to hit someone under suspicion since if they get saved Mafia just confirmed a mislynch candidate as Town and if they die they removed one of the mislynch candidates anyways.
Of course this all assumes Mafia plays optimally which might be a bit of a stretch in a Newbie game. But I would just protect the person who is most likely Town.
Whether you want that to be HoD or someone else is up to you, saving HoD guarantees there is at least one person left in the next cycle that you know is confirmed Town, saving someone else opens up the chance that HoD might die but also gives you the chance to confirm someone else as Town. I tried to just give generic advice without getting into specifics in the game. Toadesstern and I talked a bit, mostly about what to do when people thought it was him vs Skrammen. Skrammen and I talked a lot. Zanfada didn't talk to me.
Well I appreciated your input but honestly, i'm a bit dense. I see it clear as day what you meant now, but when I read it I really wasnt sure.
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EPT
