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Trading/Investing Thread - Page 93

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{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 05 2022 15:58 GMT
#1841
Anyone remember Didi?

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-05 21:07:25
January 05 2022 21:07 GMT
#1842
I agree with the guy from the ethical standpoint. From the economic standpoint it's also valid to not invest in China where at any given moment company execs can get executed (no pun intended) and company being taken over by the government.

Could someone explain the Tesla phenomenon to me? How can a company whose market share is 2% have market cap greater than all the other automobile companies in the US combined? Also, recalling 500k vehicles due to factory issues (which is like their whole year worth of sales of vehicles) for repairs and share price didn't even budge? My brain is too small for that...
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 05 2022 21:09 GMT
#1843
Because Tesla is not just a car company, but also an energy, insurance, and software company all in one.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-05 21:43:03
January 05 2022 21:34 GMT
#1844
On January 06 2022 06:07 Manit0u wrote:
Could someone explain the Tesla phenomenon to me? How can a company whose market share is 2% have market cap greater than all the other automobile companies in the US combined? Also, recalling 500k vehicles due to factory issues (which is like their whole year worth of sales of vehicles) for repairs and share price didn't even budge? My brain is too small for that...

See this post. And this one isn't bad either.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-05 22:13:33
January 05 2022 22:11 GMT
#1845
On January 06 2022 06:34 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2022 06:07 Manit0u wrote:
Could someone explain the Tesla phenomenon to me? How can a company whose market share is 2% have market cap greater than all the other automobile companies in the US combined? Also, recalling 500k vehicles due to factory issues (which is like their whole year worth of sales of vehicles) for repairs and share price didn't even budge? My brain is too small for that...

See this post. And this one isn't bad either.


I get that Tesla isn't just a car company but like all of Musk's projects are pretty much fail and smoke & mirrors. So much promised, nothing really delivered. Then there's the case of Tesla buying a failing company (solar roofs) to save SpaceX (which propped up the failing company with grant money so Tesla had to buy it or all the grants would be worthless) which is super sus as Musk is on board with all 3 companies.

Like, literally nothing they promised in the past 5 years came to be:
- semi/truck + convoy technology
- solar roofing
- hyperloop
- robotaxi
- better batteries
- unbreakable car window glass

Every single presentation for their products was just blowing smoke up the investor's asses. They have delivered nothing of it even though some of those projects were scheduled to hit the market 2-3 years ago. Are people blind when valuing those companies?

I bet it'll end just like Theranos, I'm just baffled it hasn't happend already.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 05 2022 22:47 GMT
#1846
The duration and ubiquity of central bank supported bubble-blowing is certainly historic. Without that, it would have failed one of the many times that its inept business management would have led to not being able to raise more money to keep funding ongoing operations.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-05 22:53:17
January 05 2022 22:52 GMT
#1847
Musk has nothing to do with Hyperloop. SolarCity was bought by Tesla because it was going Bankrupt I believe it was owned by his Cousin, or Brother. The Tesla Semi is in it's testing phase, with Pepsi more than likely to get the first couple of trucks. Batteries are being improved all the time. As for Tesla and smoke and mirrors.... Over 900k this year. So...

And SpaceX, again what smoke and mirrors.

Smoke and mirrors belongs to the likes of say GM, which claims to be the leader of EV's and it's technology. They sold an impressive 26 cars, not counting the Chevy Bolt which have all been recalled because they are literal car bombs and the drivers have been told to park away from other vehicles. As for their newly announced models, all were prerendered when shown, including the woman driving one...
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
January 05 2022 22:57 GMT
#1848
On January 06 2022 07:11 Manit0u wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2022 06:34 LegalLord wrote:
On January 06 2022 06:07 Manit0u wrote:
Could someone explain the Tesla phenomenon to me? How can a company whose market share is 2% have market cap greater than all the other automobile companies in the US combined? Also, recalling 500k vehicles due to factory issues (which is like their whole year worth of sales of vehicles) for repairs and share price didn't even budge? My brain is too small for that...

See this post. And this one isn't bad either.


I get that Tesla isn't just a car company but like all of Musk's projects are pretty much fail and smoke & mirrors. So much promised, nothing really delivered. Then there's the case of Tesla buying a failing company (solar roofs) to save SpaceX (which propped up the failing company with grant money so Tesla had to buy it or all the grants would be worthless) which is super sus as Musk is on board with all 3 companies.

Like, literally nothing they promised in the past 5 years came to be:
- semi/truck + convoy technology
- solar roofing
- hyperloop
- robotaxi
- better batteries
- unbreakable car window glass

Every single presentation for their products was just blowing smoke up the investor's asses. They have delivered nothing of it even though some of those projects were scheduled to hit the market 2-3 years ago. Are people blind when valuing those companies?

I bet it'll end just like Theranos, I'm just baffled it hasn't happend already.


Tesla's valuation is ridiculous but this idea that the company is a bunch of smoke and mirrors ala Theranos is far more ridiculous. They've literally sold more electric cars than anyone at a time when it's becoming obvious that the future is EVs. Their new Model S is the fastest accelerating production car in history. They are among the leaders in full self-driving technology which also seems like it's going to be the future. But I guess none of that matters because one of their windows cracked when they threw a steel ball at it?
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-06 00:58:44
January 06 2022 00:54 GMT
#1849
On January 06 2022 07:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Musk has nothing to do with Hyperloop. SolarCity was bought by Tesla because it was going Bankrupt I believe it was owned by his Cousin, or Brother. The Tesla Semi is in it's testing phase, with Pepsi more than likely to get the first couple of trucks. Batteries are being improved all the time. As for Tesla and smoke and mirrors.... Over 900k this year. So...

And SpaceX, again what smoke and mirrors.

Smoke and mirrors belongs to the likes of say GM, which claims to be the leader of EV's and it's technology. They sold an impressive 26 cars, not counting the Chevy Bolt which have all been recalled because they are literal car bombs and the drivers have been told to park away from other vehicles. As for their newly announced models, all were prerendered when shown, including the woman driving one...



"According to a filing with the chancery court, Musk owned 22.1% of Tesla common stock at the time of the deal, and 21.9% of SolarCity."

"SolarCity was founded and run by Musk's cousins, Lyndon and Peter Rive, but backed by Musk who served as chairman of the board. Meanwhile, he also was CEO of Tesla, as well as the company's chairman.

That wasn't his only potential conflict. SpaceX, Musk's aerospace venture, had invested $255 million in SolarCity bonds from March 2015 to March 2016. Four members of Tesla's board directly or indirectly owned SolarCity stock at the time the acquisition was under consideration. And some Tesla board members also held shares in SpaceX and were on its board."

If that's not conflict of interest then I don't know what is... After all, he's being held in court for that, even shareholders think buying an insolvent company for $2.6b was not financially viable.

"Now, newly unsealed documents in an investor lawsuit say the situation was far worse than that. They allege that SolarCity wasn't just carrying a heavy debt load: it was completely insolvent."

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2019/09/solarcity-was-insolvent-when-tesla-paid-2-6-billion-to-buy-it-lawsuit-says/

Tesla Semi was supposed to be on the market by 2019. It's still an idiotic concept since large scale hauling doesn't really care about acceleration and that's all that it offers (it has worse range and economics than your standard truck, not to mention huge weight added because batteries are very heavy).

As for the SpaceX:

"The Raptor production crisis is much worse than it seemed a few weeks ago," Musk wrote.

"We face genuine risk of bankruptcy if we cannot achieve a Starship flight rate of at least once every two weeks next year," Musk added later.

So far their fastest turnaround was 27 days for a rocket, I don't know how they want to go down to stable 14 days this year.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14061 Posts
January 06 2022 01:16 GMT
#1850
The poor quality of the teslas and their astronomical repair costs are going to toll one day when the industry catches up with them. The moment a Honda EV comes out they'll lose any chance at the lower class market and the Germans are going to come for their higher end lunch with a vengeance.

I think you're much more likely to see a Chinese company become the commuter car EV for the international market. Teslas right now are Italian sports cars in thee best framing.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 06 2022 15:05 GMT
#1851
In other news, coal continues to have stellar near-record prices. Who knew that all that it needed for a revival was several years of short-sighted "green" policy mixed with a near-term energy crisis!
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
riotjune
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States3394 Posts
January 06 2022 16:52 GMT
#1852
How do EVs do in the winter? Won't leaving the vehicle running in cold weather drain the battery real quick? That would make a case against EVs, though I guess with impending global warming it won't be a problem anymore (soon).

Also when one battery cell fails you have to replace the whole thing. Be ready to get price gouged when that happens.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 06 2022 17:11 GMT
#1853
On January 07 2022 01:52 riotjune wrote:
How do EVs do in the winter? Won't leaving the vehicle running in cold weather drain the battery real quick? That would make a case against EVs, though I guess with impending global warming it won't be a problem anymore (soon).

Also when one battery cell fails you have to replace the whole thing. Be ready to get price gouged when that happens.

Depends heavily on the specific model but in general significantly reduced. For optimal EV usage you should ideally live in an area with year-round excellent weather like Los Angeles.

The problems with batteries are many and significant; the tendency for manufacturers to take a no-repair approach is only one among many. Batteries are in general an inferior store of energy to any form of popular form of chemical fuel. But the major driver of EV popularity is not superior technology, or even their relative actual greenness, but specifically market manipulation by regulators that heavily subsidize the creation of EVs relative to any alternatives.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-06 22:08:38
January 06 2022 22:05 GMT
#1854
IMO hybrid is the way to go. You get the best of both worlds and never really find yourself in a situation where you have problems with it.

After 5 years of using hybrid drives I can confidently say that if I were absolutely forced to change I'd go petrol over EV any day, but since I'm not being forced I'll go with hybrid over anything else any day of the week.

BTW: has anyone tested EV in heavy snow for example? Large amounts of torque is not what you want there. Just curious.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10663 Posts
January 07 2022 19:23 GMT
#1855
Told myself I would buy nvidia at 270. But I think I’ll wait a little more lol.
Skol
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
January 08 2022 09:23 GMT
#1856
Well, with incoming market collapse I don't know if it's a good idea to buy anything
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
FreakyDroid
Profile Joined July 2012
Macedonia2616 Posts
January 08 2022 17:31 GMT
#1857
As they say: don't try to catch a falling knife. Even though I expect a bounce week, I dont know how long it will last or it will play out in the first place. Always good idea to have bids on previous longer consolidations, in the case of Nvidia thats 230 160 and 80. Cash is king is times like these, be as greedy as possible with your bids.
Smile, tomorrow will be worse
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 08 2022 18:19 GMT
#1858
I'm probably going to keep a bit more cash on hand for a while. The past six months have largely been a wash in terms of stock performance, not like the year before it that was a win. And while "buying the dip" was nice for a couple of 5-10% drops, it hardly seems worth doubling down on that until we see if this Fed scare is going to blow over like all the ones before it, or if it's for real this time.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17557 Posts
January 08 2022 20:02 GMT
#1859
Well, David Bury is shorting everything and is predicting a 91% market crash or something like that. Only time will tell.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
3FFA
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States3931 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-11 03:11:14
January 11 2022 03:09 GMT
#1860
Worth a read for anyone thinking they're going to time the market...

https://www.pwlcapital.com/resources/buy-the-dip/

IMO one should adhere to the academia and follow evidence-based investing, not news headlines.
"As long as it comes from a pure place and from a honest place, you know, you can write whatever you want."
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