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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 566

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 01 2018 02:17 GMT
#11301
I don't see what the term limits put in after FDR has to do with any of this. what's your point about the term limits, stealth?
I don't see how it relates to the new deal particularly.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2018 02:24 GMT
#11302
FDR was so popular that after he died Republicans passed term limits, had he not died and lived he could have easily seen the presidency till at least the early 50's. FDR's polices were what kept getting him elected, yet here in 2018 we have the same party running from positions far less "radical" than what saved this country from tearing itself apart during the depression.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2018 02:30 GMT
#11303
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.
FDR sought a third term because the Fall of France scared the fuck out of everyone and the Democrats didn’t think anyone else could win. And even with that popularity, he still only got 55% of the popular vote. FDR won because he was charismatic, people trusted him and his policies supported working class American. Don’t discount those first two.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
August 01 2018 02:30 GMT
#11304
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 02:40:51
August 01 2018 02:34 GMT
#11305
On August 01 2018 11:24 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
FDR was so popular that after he died Republicans passed term limits, had he not died and lived he could have easily seen the presidency till at least the early 50's. FDR's polices were what kept getting him elected, yet here in 2018 we have the same party running from positions far less "radical" than what saved this country from tearing itself apart during the depression.

Holy shit, can we not abuse American history this badly? They amended this constitution because 2 terms is enough. That takes two thirds of the House and senate. It was popular too, because Americans were uncomfortable with breaking the two term tradition. Even democrats were uncomfortable with with someone holding office for that long.

The two things Americans of all parties dislike is single party rule and presidents serving more than two terms.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
August 01 2018 02:34 GMT
#11306
On August 01 2018 09:22 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 08:38 kollin wrote:
On August 01 2018 08:03 IgnE wrote:
On August 01 2018 06:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
On August 01 2018 05:51 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 05:47 kollin wrote:
On August 01 2018 05:44 ticklishmusic wrote:
On August 01 2018 05:27 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 05:22 Mercy13 wrote:
Have any Democrats said they would take Koch money or is this all theoretical?

The Kochs have been threatening to support the Democrats and push the democrats to fight against progressives(more than current) and people who want to regulate the banking industry. They are not happy with the Republicans and Trump’s trade practices.

I doubt the Democrats bite as a whole, but there are a few that might take them up of the offer. All candidates raise money for their own election bids, so no one can stop them from taking it. Its rich people throwing their money around and trying people to take it.


personally i'd take the money, then after the election i'd block the david koch's phone number. the way i see it, money is money, it's how you spend it that matters.

How can you justify fighting AGAINST corporate interests to your constituents while taking corporate money? If you can't win without that money, you either have to accept losing until the country is sick to death of the other side, or compromise on why you're running for office in the first place. The latter choice precipitates a race to the bottom.

I’m going to bet he is joking and doesn’t believe that is a viable plan. Its kinda funny to think about, however.


it's a bit of a weird hypothetical which i wouldn't spend too much time thinking about. money is necessary for races, and it's a bit of an arms race. if david koch shows up and offers me a million bucks because his alternative is some tarriff-loving loony, then sure i'll take his money. sure he wants strings to be attached, but i'll grab my metaphorical scissors and go snip snip.

while i'm not incorruptible and many would call me a neoliberal corporate shill or whatever regardless, i'm comfortable enough with my own values and political positions that i could take money from a conservative donor and politely tell him that we agree that tariffs are bad, thanks for his money, and that's the extent of our relationship. no special favors, no special access. if he doesn't want that, he can put his million somewhere else and that's fine. i'm not going to go out of my way to court him.


yes i agree that the koch money in this case is essentially a "fuck you" to Trump more than it is standard political bribery and I would also accept it

Some high level #resistance tactical thinking


The problem with accepting that kind of money is twofold:

A) Money is addicting. If you have the money now, you will want to have it in the future, too. You might even tell yourself that it doesn't influence you. But at some point you will think "If i do a), i will no longer get that money, better do b) instead.
B) Even if you somehow dodge A, the impression that is still that of you being a corrupt person. People will speculate about what you give them money people in return. Which is bad for you, and undermines the trust in a democratic system, which is also bad.


ah right money is addicting but not righteous homegrown power.

its pretty easy to change the impression. what if koch gave money to a true socialist just to spite trump? does the socialist now appear to be a closet koch libertarian?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2018 02:40 GMT
#11307
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 02:46:13
August 01 2018 02:43 GMT
#11308
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

The government of my country was looking pretty shaky around the turn of the millennium; 9/11 and one or two local events (not terrorist attacks, other stuff) gave them gas for two more terms. Not quite as dramatic as the fall of France, and the effect wasn't as large either, but the general principle holds.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23617 Posts
August 01 2018 02:55 GMT
#11309
On August 01 2018 10:48 Nebuchad wrote:
I wish articles stopped pretending that Third Way is thinking strategically about this and just happens to think that the best strategy is to do x. Third Way wants to do x, and then does everything it can to manipulate reality so that it looks like x is the right thing to do (see this article where they go in Wisconsin to figure out what Americans want and magically deduce that they want the policies of Third Way even though they've heard the opposite during the whole trip). All this stuff like "moderates are warning that ignoring them will lead the party to disaster in the midterm elections and the 2020 presidential contest." "And they worry the angry left will cost Democrats a rare chance to win over those kind of voters, including Republicans who no longer want to be part of Trump's GOP"... No that's bullshit, you're just voicing disagreement and pretending that it's about strategy when it's about policy.


What's funny is statistic and metric after metric shows they are dead wrong about this but it didn't stop them in 2016 and it wont stop them in 2018 or 2020 and they'll still be blaming us because we don't want a coalition with Bill Kristol and Henry Kissinger.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Leporello
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2845 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 05:30:25
August 01 2018 04:40 GMT
#11310
https://m.box.com/shared_item/https://jefs-jmd.box.com/v/ManafortDay1

Prosecution is releasing evidence from the Manafort trail on a per-day basis. Most of this will be financial fraud (Manafort's 2nd trial will deal with conspiracy with a Russian agent, set for later this year), so not too politically interesting yet.

But, one interesting thing from today. In 2014, working for Ukraine's Pro-Russia movement, this was the primary talking-point:

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
[image loading]

"Make Ukraine Work Again". Sounds so familiar...

edit: also worth noting a lot of this, such as the images I posted, is actually from Tad Devine. Who, in this e-mail, was communicating with Konstantin Kilimnik, Putin's main guy in Ukraine. This is actually also very interesting.

Put all this in context. The campaign manager running against Hillary Clinton in the primary -- Tad Devine. Then in the general, she was running against Trump's campaign manager -- Paul Manafort.
Both of them having previously just worked, together, in a Putin-led endeavor in Ukraine.
I wonder how hard Tad Devine was pushing Bernie, and what his true motives were with the Bernie campaign. Was he just using Bernie to pick away at Hillary? Without condemning or suspecting Bernie in any way, one has to admit there is a possibility he was being used. I mean, his campaign manager just happens to be this one guy Manafort was working with in Ukraine -- which by the way, was a right-wing campaign, not at all reflective of Bernie Sanders. "Small world".
Big water
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43538 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 05:33:24
August 01 2018 05:30 GMT
#11311
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

Buddy, you need to reread your WW2 history. This was not the dissolution of the HRE, it was a rerun of 1870 with extra occupation. The shocking historical events you’re describing didn’t happen.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Leporello
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2845 Posts
August 01 2018 05:31 GMT
#11312
Especially since "Vichy GOP" has such a nice ring to it.
Big water
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15736 Posts
August 01 2018 05:40 GMT
#11313
On August 01 2018 10:19 Plansix wrote:


It appears several other unregistered foreign agents have been referred to other District attorneys offices for prosecution of necessary. It will be interesting to see where this goes next. But the drum beat of collusion is not a crime makes me think someone has talked and the Trump team knows it.

I need Mueller to indict Tony podesta. What in the world would Trump tweet???
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23617 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 05:48:19
August 01 2018 05:48 GMT
#11314
On August 01 2018 14:30 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

Buddy, you need to reread your WW2 history. This was not the dissolution of the HRE, it was a rerun of 1870 with extra occupation. The shocking historical events you’re describing didn’t happen.


Pretty sure he learned all he needed to know about WW2 in 10th grade US schools. Surely they couldn't have led him astray?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 06:12:43
August 01 2018 06:10 GMT
#11315
On August 01 2018 14:30 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

Buddy, you need to reread your WW2 history. This was not the dissolution of the HRE, it was a rerun of 1870 with extra occupation. The shocking historical events you’re describing didn’t happen.

As far as I can tell you're missing Plansix's point. What is it you are saying did not happen?

In some technical sense the claim that "France ceased to exist as a nation" is hyperbole but, I mean... are you claiming that what did happen to France did not shock the world?
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7960 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 11:26:20
August 01 2018 08:21 GMT
#11316
On August 01 2018 14:30 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

Buddy, you need to reread your WW2 history. This was not the dissolution of the HRE, it was a rerun of 1870 with extra occupation. The shocking historical events you’re describing didn’t happen.

It was and it was not.

Prussians left France after a few weeks in 1870 and France transitionned from a corrupt dictatorial empire to a sovereign republic, minus alsace. The whole thing was Bismark trying to find a way to unite Germany and Napoleon III being, as usual, a complete tool.

Nazi germany occupied half of France for five years in 1940, destroyed the Republic (that ironically they had helped to create 70 years before) and installed a fascist puppet government under military control in the other half before annexing it too because total war. The whole thing was a world war of annexation and world domination.

How the f... is that a rerun, except for the part where France collapsed and the germans entered Paris?

Plansix is correct and your parallel is only relevant in the narrowest way (narrow like, ignoring the context and all consequences). France, which was a superpower, did in effect ceased to exist as a sovereign nation in 1940 and the event shocked the whole world.

I don’t want to speculate on the effects it had on FDR reelection but i struggle to see what you are trying to say.

On August 01 2018 14:48 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2018 14:30 KwarK wrote:
On August 01 2018 11:40 Plansix wrote:
On August 01 2018 11:30 Aquanim wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:52 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On August 01 2018 10:47 Plansix wrote:
This just in, the revolution will not be easy and will be opposed by the establishment. Just beat them.

And FDR died in office because of WW2, not the new deal.


How did you get that I believed that FDR died due to the New Deal? He rode his New Deal policies for 8 years.

I'm guessing Plansix meant that "FDR remained in office for that long because of WW2".

The fall of France was a super power falling like a house of cards. There is no touchstone to use as and example for what that would be like if it happened today. France just ceased to exist as a nation.

Buddy, you need to reread your WW2 history. This was not the dissolution of the HRE, it was a rerun of 1870 with extra occupation. The shocking historical events you’re describing didn’t happen.


Pretty sure he learned all he needed to know about WW2 in 10th grade US schools. Surely they couldn't have led him astray?

I don’t think you have ever displayed anything that approached the level of historical knowledge required to be so unsufferably condescending, buddy.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 12:54:07
August 01 2018 12:53 GMT
#11317
On August 01 2018 11:24 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
FDR was so popular that after he died Republicans passed term limits, had he not died and lived he could have easily seen the presidency till at least the early 50's. FDR's polices were what kept getting him elected, yet here in 2018 we have the same party running from positions far less "radical" than what saved this country from tearing itself apart during the depression.

term limits weren't just passed by republicans, they were passed by democrats too. the republicans alone did not have the votes to pass them.
and they were passed because it had been a norm for a very very long time, and nobody bothered to codify it into a formal rule until somebody broke the norm. waiting until someone breaks it to fix it is fairly common in politics sadly.

FDR's reelection could've been more about the man himself doing well, plus favorable circumstances, rather than the policies (though those helped some). What basis do you have for claiming the country would've torn itself apart otherwise? sure depressions are terrible, but they do end in time one way or the other anyways, it's only a question of how bad and how long. Also, the great depression is what ALLOWED the radical policies to be implemented. When people feel things are very bad, they're far more willing to accept radical solutions than they otherwise would be.

I think you overestimate how well the progressive policies would go over in this country right now.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14101 Posts
August 01 2018 12:58 GMT
#11318
France wasn't really a superpower in an age of so many other powers that surpassed them. Nothing about france was really exceptional and it was still recovering from a large section of its nation being reduced to wasteland.

I can see people surprised but another nation falling shouldn't have shocked anyone.

FDR stayed in office beacuse of ww2 not some quasi socialist policy that republicans can now take credit for beacuse they switched sides.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2018 13:21 GMT
#11319
On August 01 2018 21:58 Sermokala wrote:
France wasn't really a superpower in an age of so many other powers that surpassed them. Nothing about france was really exceptional and it was still recovering from a large section of its nation being reduced to wasteland.

I can see people surprised but another nation falling shouldn't have shocked anyone.

FDR stayed in office beacuse of ww2 not some quasi socialist policy that republicans can now take credit for beacuse they switched sides.

Yes, in hindsight the fall of France was not that surprising. But for the average US citizen in a pre-internet, pre-television era, the complete collapse of long standing world power was a shock. Especially coupled with Great Depression and its aftermath.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15736 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-01 14:04:53
August 01 2018 14:04 GMT
#11320
Looks like some sort of very important news is about to drop. Trump seems to be completely backed against a wall if he is getting this brazen. I'm honestly kind of scared of what is going to happen today.



This may have something to do with evidence intended to be presented at day 2 of the Manafort trial
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