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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4049

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7290 Posts
August 28 2023 00:42 GMT
#80961
On August 28 2023 03:01 Gorsameth wrote:
The GOP is not going back to normal without Trump, The cat is out of the bag, the crazies are in control and they are simply fighting each other for who can be more crazy.



Agreed.

For a look into the future of the GOP look at the batshit crazies in charge of Michigan's GOP.

How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 28 2023 00:54 GMT
#80962
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43203 Posts
August 28 2023 02:17 GMT
#80963
One of the charges he's facing is showing Kid Rock the secret plans to attack Iran against Kid Rock's better judgement. Kid Rock told him that he didn't think he was cleared to view the plans.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 28 2023 02:44 GMT
#80964
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21945 Posts
August 28 2023 08:24 GMT
#80965
On August 28 2023 09:54 JimmiC wrote:
I just am waiting for when basic things stop working. It seems like that is already happening, but I think the supporters will just blame the scapegoat no matter what so I do not think it matters.

There is currently ZERO accountability in the Republican Party, it’s always the “them”.

On a side note even if you are OK with Trumps actions are you not embarrassed that he did all so stupidly that there are recorded phone calls and mountains of evidence. So not only did he epically fail at over turning the election, but he all on his own got himself and all his buddies arrested. He’s not a competent leader even if you are down with whatever you call his ideology.
A page or 2 ago we have Introvert saying how all the cases are politically motivated.

Their not embarrassed by the mountains of evidence because they conveniently deny its existence.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5599 Posts
August 28 2023 11:28 GMT
#80966
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45003 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 12:39:27
August 28 2023 11:38 GMT
#80967
On August 28 2023 20:28 Elroi wrote:
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.


Nope, just that one case was even more partisan than the other partisan cases. He wrote:

On August 27 2023 06:00 Introvert wrote:
I think there are so many indictments, and are at base political (even the more serious ones) that I think it's a lot to ask for voters to try and understand everything happening in each case. Bragg's absurdly partisan one being the kickoff I think tainted the rest.


He said that so many indictments were politically motivated, and that Bragg's happened to be absurdly partisan.

(If Introvert walked back this claim that many indictments were politically motivated, in a later post, I honestly missed it.)
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21945 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 11:45:50
August 28 2023 11:42 GMT
#80968
On August 28 2023 20:28 Elroi wrote:
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.
On August 27 2023 06:00 Introvert wrote:
I think there are so many indictments, and are at base political (even the more serious ones) that I think it's a lot to ask for voters to try and understand everything happening in each case. Bragg's absurdly partisan one being the kickoff I think tainted the rest. Maybe GOP voters will become exhausted, but I think the better way to beat him in the primary is argue that Trump has the worst chance to win the GE, and so to beat Biden we need someone else. I think that's going to be a stronger argument than the seriousness of the legal issues per se. If it Trump in the general I think he'd get most republicans anyways, Biden really sucks and esp if his marked deterioration continues most GOP voters will vote for Trump. The independents is where Trump will get slaughtered, and he'll drive Dem turnout skyhigh. But that's all just my opinion.
I do read that to say that all the indictments are political. Tho he does atleast acknowledge some are serious.

As for the Stormy case in particular. I don't think that is only being brought up because its Trump, or because he is a Republican.
I am sure plenty of politicians have payed hush money to hide a skeleton while they run for campaign but most are not quite so inept or penny pinching as Trump.
He is getting charged because he was stupid about it. If a democrat was as dumb about it and got caught they would be getting charged aswell.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23451 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 17:46:42
August 28 2023 17:25 GMT
#80969
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43203 Posts
August 28 2023 17:31 GMT
#80970
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.

That’s America’s fault.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5761 Posts
August 28 2023 17:35 GMT
#80971
On August 27 2023 23:35 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 27 2023 15:17 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I'm actually largely on board with that and in principle I'd agree entirely. But I think there are two other additional truths - American politicians normally seem to get 1 shot to run for president and popular+competent politicians seem pretty rare (at least on a national level).

I agree that Republican voters would vote for DeSantis if he wins the republican primary, assuming he doesn't throw Trump under the bus, in which case he definitely loses a bunch of Trumpists, a lot of those people are hardly conservative and have no real alignment with the republican party in the first place. But if you don't distance yourself from Trump, you will drive up democrat turnout too. I think January 6 is going to be a much bigger topic in the presidential election than it is in the republican primary and while there might be a way to navigate that question in the republican primary I don't think there is a way in the presidential election, and if DeSantis is the guy most likely to further the conservative agenda then losing this presidential election would mean you have to find a new guy for 2028. I get your point, though.

Indeed, so much can happen in 4 years and it feels like waiting is a dangerous game if you fervently wish to be President.

I mean if I time travelled back to 2012 and told prospective candidates who were holding out for 2016 or beyond that Donald Trump would become President and the GOP would be reformed as a borderline cult of personality where loyalty to that individual and where they’d shifted the party trumped (pun intended) other considerations, and if they want in they need to run now. I don’t think they’d believe me, even if I otherwise irrefutably demonstrated evidence of my time-travelling being legit

If you went to 2012 and told Republicans Trump would become president, they would wisely embrace an America first platform that much sooner and get rid of Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell to make things unambiguous. If you simply told the GOP he was to be their nominee, the RNC would institute a system of super-delegates to prevent it. If on the other hand you told them Hillary lost to Trump, the DNC would remove its system of superdelegates and precipitate a Bernie Sanders vs. Ted Cruz election.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23451 Posts
August 28 2023 18:21 GMT
#80972
On August 29 2023 02:31 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.

That’s America’s fault.

And the whole planet's problem.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15723 Posts
August 28 2023 19:00 GMT
#80973
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.


Republicans love the idea of conflict with institutions because it gives them a knee jerk feeling of being powerful. Trump being indicted only makes them more compelled to identify with him. Factor in people blaming Biden for global inflation and there ya go.

I haven't found anyone who would change their mind from voting for Trump even if he is convicted of crimes. Its all essentially a mental health crisis among rural men. Its no different than Andrew Tate stuff.

2024 will be a battle between "independents" (conservatives who try to squirm out of the label for the sake of participating in bad faith discussions) balancing blaming Biden for the economy with "Trump is a convicted criminal", and there is no way to predict how their deficient little minds will tackle the dilemma.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4861 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 19:04:18
August 28 2023 19:02 GMT
#80974
On August 28 2023 20:42 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 20:28 Elroi wrote:
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.
Show nested quote +
On August 27 2023 06:00 Introvert wrote:
I think there are so many indictments, and are at base political (even the more serious ones) that I think it's a lot to ask for voters to try and understand everything happening in each case. Bragg's absurdly partisan one being the kickoff I think tainted the rest. Maybe GOP voters will become exhausted, but I think the better way to beat him in the primary is argue that Trump has the worst chance to win the GE, and so to beat Biden we need someone else. I think that's going to be a stronger argument than the seriousness of the legal issues per se. If it Trump in the general I think he'd get most republicans anyways, Biden really sucks and esp if his marked deterioration continues most GOP voters will vote for Trump. The independents is where Trump will get slaughtered, and he'll drive Dem turnout skyhigh. But that's all just my opinion.
I do read that to say that all the indictments are political. Tho he does atleast acknowledge some are serious.

As for the Stormy case in particular. I don't think that is only being brought up because its Trump, or because he is a Republican.
I am sure plenty of politicians have payed hush money to hide a skeleton while they run for campaign but most are not quite so inept or penny pinching as Trump.
He is getting charged because he was stupid about it. If a democrat was as dumb about it and got caught they would be getting charged aswell.



More or less, yes. There is clearly wrongdoing (legality tbd) on the documents one, the others are politcal lawfare ranging from the novel and unwise to the rediculous. To say nothing about the way these prosecutors are going about it
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43203 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 19:23:02
August 28 2023 19:18 GMT
#80975
On August 29 2023 04:02 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 20:42 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 28 2023 20:28 Elroi wrote:
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.
On August 27 2023 06:00 Introvert wrote:
I think there are so many indictments, and are at base political (even the more serious ones) that I think it's a lot to ask for voters to try and understand everything happening in each case. Bragg's absurdly partisan one being the kickoff I think tainted the rest. Maybe GOP voters will become exhausted, but I think the better way to beat him in the primary is argue that Trump has the worst chance to win the GE, and so to beat Biden we need someone else. I think that's going to be a stronger argument than the seriousness of the legal issues per se. If it Trump in the general I think he'd get most republicans anyways, Biden really sucks and esp if his marked deterioration continues most GOP voters will vote for Trump. The independents is where Trump will get slaughtered, and he'll drive Dem turnout skyhigh. But that's all just my opinion.
I do read that to say that all the indictments are political. Tho he does atleast acknowledge some are serious.

As for the Stormy case in particular. I don't think that is only being brought up because its Trump, or because he is a Republican.
I am sure plenty of politicians have payed hush money to hide a skeleton while they run for campaign but most are not quite so inept or penny pinching as Trump.
He is getting charged because he was stupid about it. If a democrat was as dumb about it and got caught they would be getting charged aswell.



More or less, yes. There is clearly wrongdoing (legality tbd) on the documents one, the others are politcal lawfare ranging from the novel and unwise to the rediculous. To say nothing about the way these prosecutors are going about it

He threatened to jail the Georgia Secretary of State unless the guy fabricated votes for him to steal the election.
I think you're going to find that they are shredding ballots because they have to get rid of the ballots because the ballots are unsigned. The ballots are corrupt, and they're brand new and they don't have a seal and there's the whole thing with the ballots. But the ballots are corrupt.

And you are going to find that they are — which is totally illegal, it is more illegal for you than it is for them because, you know what they did and you're not reporting it. That's a criminal, that's a criminal offense. And you can't let that happen. That's a big risk to you and to Ryan, your lawyer. And that's a big risk. But they are shredding ballots, in my opinion, based on what I've heard. And they are removing machinery and they're moving it as fast as they can, both of which are criminal finds. And you can't let it happen and you are letting it happen. You know, I mean, I'm notifying you that you're letting it happen. So look. All I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have because we won the state.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5654 Posts
August 28 2023 19:35 GMT
#80976
On August 29 2023 04:02 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 20:42 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 28 2023 20:28 Elroi wrote:
Go back and take a look Gorsameth, I only think Introvert said that the first case was politically motivated (the Stormy Daniels case). In that specific one, I think he's right.
On August 27 2023 06:00 Introvert wrote:
I think there are so many indictments, and are at base political (even the more serious ones) that I think it's a lot to ask for voters to try and understand everything happening in each case. Bragg's absurdly partisan one being the kickoff I think tainted the rest. Maybe GOP voters will become exhausted, but I think the better way to beat him in the primary is argue that Trump has the worst chance to win the GE, and so to beat Biden we need someone else. I think that's going to be a stronger argument than the seriousness of the legal issues per se. If it Trump in the general I think he'd get most republicans anyways, Biden really sucks and esp if his marked deterioration continues most GOP voters will vote for Trump. The independents is where Trump will get slaughtered, and he'll drive Dem turnout skyhigh. But that's all just my opinion.
I do read that to say that all the indictments are political. Tho he does atleast acknowledge some are serious.

As for the Stormy case in particular. I don't think that is only being brought up because its Trump, or because he is a Republican.
I am sure plenty of politicians have payed hush money to hide a skeleton while they run for campaign but most are not quite so inept or penny pinching as Trump.
He is getting charged because he was stupid about it. If a democrat was as dumb about it and got caught they would be getting charged aswell.



More or less, yes. There is clearly wrongdoing (legality tbd) on the documents one, the others are politcal lawfare ranging from the novel and unwise to the rediculous. To say nothing about the way these prosecutors are going about it

Ah, yes, trying to rig the elections is, apparently, no big deal. lol
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28705 Posts
August 28 2023 19:36 GMT
#80977
Yeah the election stuff is clearly worse than the documents imo. Well I guess I don't fully know the extent of the documents but the election stuff is a clear as daylight attempt at stealing the presidency, it's just so incompetently executed that it ends up being kinda hilariosly ridiculous and that seems to make people kinda gloss over it
Moderator
StasisField
Profile Joined August 2013
United States1086 Posts
August 28 2023 19:39 GMT
#80978
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.

Yup and the 2022 midterm polls claimed we were gonna see a massive red wave. And 2016 polls said Hillary was gonna win in a landslide. Since we apparently trust these consistently wrong national polls more than a year out from election day, here's some more interesting polling data that I think does a much better job of indicating who would win head-to-head: 53% of voters say they definitely won't vote for Trump compared to 43% for Biden. And the definitely support/won't support lines for a candidate don't tend to move much as time passes. When over half the country has already decided you're not getting their vote, your chances of winning are pretty slim.
What do you mean Immortals can't shoot up?
StasisField
Profile Joined August 2013
United States1086 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 19:48:38
August 28 2023 19:40 GMT
#80979
On August 29 2023 03:21 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2023 02:31 KwarK wrote:
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.

That’s America’s fault.

And the whole planet's problem.

Oh so you'll be voting for Biden then? Since you recognize the Fascist GOP winning is the whole world's problem, I'm sure you'll do the bare minimum and vote to prevent it on Election Day and not be another leftist with worse political instincts than the literal Nazis who took over the GOP by voting to keep the GOP in power while also electing more of their own candidates to the party over time.
What do you mean Immortals can't shoot up?
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15723 Posts
August 28 2023 19:55 GMT
#80980
On August 29 2023 04:40 StasisField wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2023 03:21 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 29 2023 02:31 KwarK wrote:
On August 29 2023 02:25 GreenHorizons wrote:
First poll since the mugshot is out and Trump is up 2 points (5 if you include Cornel West) on Biden.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

For context, the same polling firm had Biden up 8 points at this point of the race in 2019.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


That's a 10 point swing in favor of Trump amid the "worst" news for him to date. I know Democrats insist this/Biden is the best they can do, but it's increasingly looking like that won't be good enough.

That’s America’s fault.

And the whole planet's problem.

Oh so you'll be voting for Biden then? Since you recognize the Fascist GOP winning is the whole world's problem, I'm sure you'll do the bare minimum and vote to prevent it on Election Day and not be another leftist with worse political instincts than the literal Nazis who took over the GOP by voting to keep the GOP in power while also electing more of their own candidates to the party over time.


Ehhh, folks like me and GH have an easy pass in this regard because our entire cities could choose not to vote and Biden would still win (Washington and Oregon).

Protest votes to signal dissatisfaction with corporate dems when you live in a safe-blue state is the correct thing to do IMO.
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