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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 21

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2018 20:01 GMT
#401
It is already illegal to lie to the FBI and way easier to prove. And it has stiffer sentencing too.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15723 Posts
March 22 2018 20:02 GMT
#402
On March 23 2018 04:59 On_Slaught wrote:
If Trump is interviewed by Mueller under oath, then we will approach a 100% chance he perjures himself. Losing Dowd seems to drastically increase the odds of him having the meeting.

On the other hand, also increases the chance he straight up fires Mueller
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21950 Posts
March 22 2018 20:04 GMT
#403
On March 23 2018 05:02 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 04:59 On_Slaught wrote:
If Trump is interviewed by Mueller under oath, then we will approach a 100% chance he perjures himself. Losing Dowd seems to drastically increase the odds of him having the meeting.

On the other hand, also increases the chance he straight up fires Mueller

Which makes for an easy obstruction of justice, mostly the same result.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2018 20:08 GMT
#404
On March 23 2018 05:04 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 05:02 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2018 04:59 On_Slaught wrote:
If Trump is interviewed by Mueller under oath, then we will approach a 100% chance he perjures himself. Losing Dowd seems to drastically increase the odds of him having the meeting.

On the other hand, also increases the chance he straight up fires Mueller

Which makes for an easy obstruction of justice, mostly the same result.

But it has to be after the bloodbath in November, 2018 that would be the result of the firing.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheLordofAwesome
Profile Joined May 2014
Korea (South)2655 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-22 20:17:29
March 22 2018 20:16 GMT
#405
On March 23 2018 05:08 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 05:04 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 23 2018 05:02 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2018 04:59 On_Slaught wrote:
If Trump is interviewed by Mueller under oath, then we will approach a 100% chance he perjures himself. Losing Dowd seems to drastically increase the odds of him having the meeting.

On the other hand, also increases the chance he straight up fires Mueller

Which makes for an easy obstruction of justice, mostly the same result.

But it has to be after the bloodbath in November, 2018 that would be the result of the firing.

November seems very far away right now. It's very clear that congressional Republicans will not stand up to Trump even if he tries to just fire mueller himself with the only justification being "I'm the president and I can do whatever I want." Such an action would obviously have to go to SCOTUS to be settled, but that can take a while.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7917 Posts
March 22 2018 20:19 GMT
#406
On March 23 2018 03:42 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 03:36 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 23 2018 03:20 xDaunt wrote:
On March 23 2018 03:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2018 02:55 xDaunt wrote:
On March 23 2018 02:45 Mohdoo wrote:
If I were a guessing man, one of two situations occurred:

1. Trump made a request of Dowd that he could simply not agree to

2. Trump is insisting on taking action that Dowd does not think he can protect Trump from the effects of

As I understand, lawyers in these situations either actively do things or protect their clients from the things their client does. A lawyer bows out when they either feel unable to protect or unable to comply. It doesn't seem common for a lawyer to quit because of bad chemistry or something. They seem to serve much more of a tool purpose.


The chemistry between lawyer and client, particularly in the type of role that Dowd was serving, is really important. There's room for substantial disagreement between lawyers and their clients, but the relationship is not going to work and not be productive if the attorney and client don't get along and don't see eye-to-eye on certain things.


I suppose I consider 'seeing eye to eye' as different from 'chemistry'. Disagreement on actions being taken seems 100x more likely than "we just don't get along well". I don't think this was personality, I think it was plans and actions.

It's hard to explain, but what I'm really describing is chemistry as opposed to simple agreement on plans and actions. My clients ignore me all of the time when it comes to plans and actions. And that's fine. Sometimes they're right. Sometimes I'm right. Sometimes it ultimately doesn't really matter one way or the other. However, despite whatever disagreement that we may have on a course of action, our chemistry is such that we can have the frank and open discussions that we need to have to reach whatever the ultimate decision will be. If the chemistry between lawyer and client breaks down to the point where that type of discussion cannot be had, then the relationship is likely compromised and the attorney should withdraw.


I think you're referring to a working relationship. Trump's view of a 'working relationship' seems to be that people pretty much do as he says, regardless of their own opinions. Dowd and most people probably expect to be listened to when they're providing the legal advice they were hired to provide, vs. just being told that they're going to be wholly disregarded.


My best guess as to why the relationship failed is that Dowd and Trump have substantially different strategic visions for how to deal with the Mueller probe. Strategic vision is something that is very clearly up to the client to dictate. Dowd was unwilling (and potentially unable) to assist Trump in pursuing his strategic goals, so there really wasn't much point for him to stay on as legal counsel. This isn't really a "Trump wants a yes man" issue, regardless of whether Trump is right.

I think it’s a bit daring to put « Trump » and « strategic vision » in the same sentence. We will never know what happened between the two but everything we learnt about Trump the last years points to a scenario where Dowd has a strategic vision, Trump the understanding and reaction of a slightly retarded 8 years old, Dowd is not soulless enough not to tell Trump what he thinks or at least tries to do his job, and Trump gets tired and irritated and moves to his new toy.

You can’t assume that Trump interact with his lawyer like your clients interact with you. Very few people have both such personality disorders while being as staggeringly stupid.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 22 2018 20:21 GMT
#407
On March 23 2018 05:16 TheLordofAwesome wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 05:08 Plansix wrote:
On March 23 2018 05:04 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 23 2018 05:02 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2018 04:59 On_Slaught wrote:
If Trump is interviewed by Mueller under oath, then we will approach a 100% chance he perjures himself. Losing Dowd seems to drastically increase the odds of him having the meeting.

On the other hand, also increases the chance he straight up fires Mueller

Which makes for an easy obstruction of justice, mostly the same result.

But it has to be after the bloodbath in November, 2018 that would be the result of the firing.

November seems very far away right now. It's very clear that congressional Republicans will not stand up to Trump even if he tries to just fire mueller himself with the only justification being "I'm the president and I can do whatever I want." Such an action would obviously have to go to SCOTUS to be settled, but that can take a while.

I don’t know how the Republicans could run against “You allowed the president to end a criminal investigation into his own people’s misconduct. You did nothing and it is your job to keep the president in check.” They are already facing a hard headwind as it is. This would be like if Clinton had somehow fired Ken Star.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 22 2018 20:35 GMT
#408
Fox News is all the cover they need.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
March 22 2018 20:36 GMT
#409
November seems far away but the campaign season really isn't. It won't be too long before you start seeing heavy polling of relevent races and their day to day changes.

Once an issue can be quantified as percentage points the memory of those changes doesn't go away as easyily as it would have a year ago. If trump fires muller then ted cruz is in a fight for his life and the board gets shifted way left as the narrative of a republican collapse starts getting traction.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 22 2018 20:48 GMT
#410
Hence the need for the GOP to get ahead of the Mueller firing before the midterms get any closer.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
March 22 2018 21:40 GMT
#411
On March 23 2018 05:48 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Hence the need for the GOP to get ahead of the Mueller firing before the midterms get any closer.

But to do this would rely on trump understanding how a calendar works.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
March 22 2018 21:59 GMT
#412
So was Dowd calling for Mueller's firing yesterday Dowd's hail Mary play to keep his job? I can't think of anything one of DJT's lawyers could say that would be more flattering to DJT's insecurities.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 22 2018 22:00 GMT
#413
The way Trump has been acting recently he wants Mueller gone yesterday. he has the perfect weapon a Congress and Senate that wants him around because he will sign anything put in front of him.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8156 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-22 22:26:28
March 22 2018 22:25 GMT
#414
On March 23 2018 07:00 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The way Trump has been acting recently he wants Mueller gone yesterday. he has the perfect weapon a Congress and Senate that wants him around because he will sign anything put in front of him.


It's funny how the GoP doesn't understand that they will lose the next few elections so drastically it's not impossible they'll never recover from it. All they've done by electing Trump and then refusing to govern him is make every democrat and independent rally against them. It also isn't really smart to piss off an entire younger generation. They are your next voters after all once the older generation dies off
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32743 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-22 22:38:11
March 22 2018 22:32 GMT
#415
Looks like McMaster's been replaced by John Bolton.


Just found this tweet from Trump as well. Bolton's been a former UN ambassador, and has membership in a laundry list of conservative organizations like, "the Institute of East-West Dynamics, the National Rifle Association, the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, Project for the New American Century, Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA), Committee for Peace and Security in the Gulf, the Council for National Policy, and the Gatestone Institute." Reputed to be quite a hawk on foreign affairs.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8156 Posts
March 22 2018 22:36 GMT
#416
On March 23 2018 07:32 PhoenixVoid wrote:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-43509695?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_breaking&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central

Looks like McMaster's been replaced by John Bolton.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/976948306927607810
Just found this tweet from Trump as well. Bolton's been a former UN ambassador, and membership in a laundry list of conservative organizations like, "the Institute of East-West Dynamics, the National Rifle Association, the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, Project for the New American Century, Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA), Committee for Peace and Security in the Gulf, the Council for National Policy, and the Gatestone Institute,"


Did he just fire another one?!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 22 2018 22:38 GMT
#417
The GOP if it wants to exist in any shape or form better prevent Bolton from going to war against Iran.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 22 2018 22:42 GMT
#418
Haha this is great. John Bolton. And that wicked mustache.

I love it. Bolton's a lot closer to my views in that role than McMaster, but he's been out of the game a bit. We'll see.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-22 22:44:31
March 22 2018 22:43 GMT
#419
We're going to war. Not sure where yet (likely Iran given Boltons rhetoric), but it's happening. It checks so many boxes for Trump. His base loves it, he wants to be a war leader, and he might think it would distract from Mueller.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8156 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-22 22:52:32
March 22 2018 22:52 GMT
#420
On March 23 2018 07:43 On_Slaught wrote:
We're going to war. Not sure where yet (likely Iran given Boltons rhetoric), but it's happening. It checks so many boxes for Trump. His base loves it, he wants to be a war leader, and he might think it would distract from Mueller.


I really doubt congress is going to let him tho.. Even the GoP can't be that dumb.. Wait, shit. Yeah you're totally going to war. Have fun!
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