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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 663

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4557 Posts
February 10 2017 09:54 GMT
#13241
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.

As we oppose unregulated immigration -and should oppose it until the immigration rate reaches zero as they are effectively walking additions to criminal behaviour- so we should oppose any and all pro-creation -and should oppose it until the number of babies born reaches zero as they are effectively crawling additions to criminal behaviour.


But his post clearly said:

native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


Babies count as native so it's ok.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
February 10 2017 09:58 GMT
#13242
On February 10 2017 18:46 Silvanel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


His argument is "Reductio ad absurdum". You said that bringing refugess results in rise in asbolute crime number. Which of course is true. However bringing ANY people even most peacefull will result in rise of absolute crime numbers. So if we assume that reducing ABSOLUTE crime number is our goal the best way would be roduce (or stabilize) population number. So not reproducing.

A sound argument to Your oversimplication.
there are to many variations there to make it stick; also it's a before(his) vs after(mine) argument. i have facts and he has would-be's and could-be's. makes no sense unless the discussion changes and we postulate futures.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 10:02 GMT
#13243
On February 10 2017 18:54 Laurens wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.

As we oppose unregulated immigration -and should oppose it until the immigration rate reaches zero as they are effectively walking additions to criminal behaviour- so we should oppose any and all pro-creation -and should oppose it until the number of babies born reaches zero as they are effectively crawling additions to criminal behaviour.


But his post clearly said:

Show nested quote +
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


Babies count as native so it's ok.


That's absurd. What happens when immigrants start having babies? Hell, some of these migrants could actually arrive pregnant. On top of that we know most of them are pretty rapey, what about the immigrant rape babies?
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15365 Posts
February 10 2017 10:06 GMT
#13244
On February 10 2017 18:51 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 16:41 Acrofales wrote:
On February 10 2017 16:39 DickMcFanny wrote:
Well nobody is saying Muslims invented rape or have a monopoly on it. But when migrants are X times as likely to commit violent crimes and Y times as likely to commit theft, voters have a right to know that.

[citation needed]


Refusing to collect such data is a deliberate strategy by politicians favoring such reckless immigration policies. It means their opponents have to rely on anecdotal evidence at best, whose validity can always be questioned. Pretending the problem doesn't exist may be convenient in the short term, but in the long term it leads to radicalization.

Ask yourself this question: if migrants from the countries in question are not going to be overrepresented in crime and/or unemployment statistics, why is such data not collected? It would probably be the strongest argument the proponents of such migration policies could have against their opponents. The reason is probably that such statistics would indeed roughly confirm what the opponents are saying, if the statistics from countries that do collect such data are any indication.

Well, for my country the answer is pretty easy: It's been policy since the founding of the republic and has nothing to do with the migration topic over the past two years.

No one wanted outliers in crime stats of ethnic minorities to be used to justify repression and violence against those minorities anymore. Which I consider a good thing.
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 10:11:29
February 10 2017 10:11 GMT
#13245
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 10:15 GMT
#13246
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 10:17 GMT
#13247
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?


Or maybe I am wrong... I mean, I've never thought of this before but... perhaps we should just not have laws, that would fix it.
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 10:19:15
February 10 2017 10:17 GMT
#13248
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.

Edit: to keep it on point - you do not change the environment of the refugees(you keep them together) nor do you change their genetics. basically you do nothing and expect different results.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 10:19 GMT
#13249
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 10:25:55
February 10 2017 10:25 GMT
#13250
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18285 Posts
February 10 2017 10:26 GMT
#13251
On February 10 2017 07:42 DickMcFanny wrote:
Well, the "racist" cop in Sweden who snapped and ranted on Facebook published the crime stats in Örebro, where he worked.

Out of the 150 cases of rape and violent crime in 2016, a SINGLE one was committed by a native Swede.
His name is Peter Springare, look it up. 150 rapes and assaults, a single one committed by a native Swede. In a town in which native Swedes make up almost 80% of the population.

How does Sweden react? Well he's facing persecution now, obviously, because the reality he talks about reflects the reality of Islam and not the rosy image the left has.


We'll have to wait for the court case, but I'm sure you'll understand if I don't take a rant on Facebook seriously.

Regarding actual crime, there's this: http://www.thelocal.se/20170112/swedens-2016-crime-stats-analyzed

So actual rape reports have stayed mostly stable (tentative conclusion), despite increased immigration. That's about as close to actual data I have managed to find on the matter (as opposed to anecdotal Facebook rants).

But what is your "reality of Islam"? I don't want to put words in your mouth, so go ahead and explain what you mean instead of dog whistling.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 10:35 GMT
#13252
On February 10 2017 19:25 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.


It's not hard and, ultimately, we're on the same side.

You say, rightly, that we should compare immigrant crimes to zero as any and all immigrant crimes committed add to the total number of crimes in a country (I mean it's not like an immigrant could ever prevent a crime, so we should ignore that possibility).

I agree, I am just willing to make the following reasonable assumptions:

a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.

Therefore we need to keep a close eye on native breeding and limit it as and when we can to reduce absolute levels of criminality. We all, of course, desire zero criminality, unless you think some level of criminality is desirable. Is that what you want? Do you want more criminality?

Again, I'm really struggling to see what's confusing about this.
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18285 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 10:42:31
February 10 2017 10:42 GMT
#13253
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.

Edit: to keep it on point - you do not change the environment of the refugees(you keep them together) nor do you change their genetics. basically you do nothing and expect different results.


Ah wait, so if we have eugenics for babies, can't we do the same for refugees? Do a DNA test. If they are clear on the crime gene, they are allowed entry.

Because it seems to me you're all aboard Dapper's Modest Proposal, with some minor caveats that we need not cull ALL babies, just those with the crime gene, so I'm assuming we can do the same for immigrants.
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4557 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 10:44:32
February 10 2017 10:44 GMT
#13254
a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.


Bro how do you still not get this. Grown up natives are still natives, and we're happy with native crime.
No need to cull any babies because "native crimes happen regardless", that's XMZ's starting point.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18285 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 11:08:51
February 10 2017 10:47 GMT
#13255
On February 10 2017 19:44 Laurens wrote:
Show nested quote +
a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.


Bro how do you still not get this. Grown up natives are still natives, and we're happy with native crime.
No need to cull any babies because "native crimes happen regardless", that's the starting point of our discussion.


E: Nvm, Poe's law got me.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11825 Posts
February 10 2017 10:51 GMT
#13256
On February 10 2017 19:47 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:44 Laurens wrote:
a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.


Bro how do you still not get this. Grown up natives are still natives, and we're happy with native crime.
No need to cull any babies because "native crimes happen regardless", that's the starting point of our discussion.


The mind boggles how anybody can say this with a straight face.

Let me see if I understand this correctly. We're completely fine with crime committed by white people, it's when brown people commit crimes that we should get outraged. Regardless of how much crime brown people commit: any crime committed by a brown person is a crime too many, whereas we're happy with white peoples' crimes.

Or is that not what you were trying to say?


Basically, what is happening here is that a lot of people are making fun of xmz s utter lack of any understanding of what statistics mean by reductio ad absurdam. None of them, except for xmz, seriously believe what they are saying.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 11:01:25
February 10 2017 10:54 GMT
#13257
On February 10 2017 19:35 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:25 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 17:48 xM(Z wrote:
a note here - you people are comparing crimes of refugees vs crimes of natives and i think that's wrong. you should compare crimes of refugees with 0 because they're on top of.
native crimes would've happen regardless but refugee crimes are forced upon, are an added bonus.


It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.


It's not hard and, ultimately, we're on the same side.

You say, rightly, that we should compare immigrant crimes to zero as any and all immigrant crimes committed add to the total number of crimes in a country (I mean it's not like an immigrant could ever prevent a crime, so we should ignore that possibility).

I agree, I am just willing to make the following reasonable assumptions:

a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.

Therefore we need to keep a close eye on native breeding and limit it as and when we can to reduce absolute levels of criminality. We all, of course, desire zero criminality, unless you think some level of criminality is desirable. Is that what you want? Do you want more criminality?

Again, I'm really struggling to see what's confusing about this.
even if i consider your argument a tangent, on that [b] part:
- nope; native+refugee breeding(maybe controlled in some way) and environmental change would be enough to not have breeding alone as an issue.

@Simberto: - reductio ad absurdum, impracticability doesn't exist when postulating futures.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11825 Posts
February 10 2017 11:14 GMT
#13258
On February 10 2017 19:54 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:35 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:25 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
[quote]

It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.


It's not hard and, ultimately, we're on the same side.

You say, rightly, that we should compare immigrant crimes to zero as any and all immigrant crimes committed add to the total number of crimes in a country (I mean it's not like an immigrant could ever prevent a crime, so we should ignore that possibility).

I agree, I am just willing to make the following reasonable assumptions:

a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.

Therefore we need to keep a close eye on native breeding and limit it as and when we can to reduce absolute levels of criminality. We all, of course, desire zero criminality, unless you think some level of criminality is desirable. Is that what you want? Do you want more criminality?

Again, I'm really struggling to see what's confusing about this.
even if i consider your argument a tangent, on that [b] part:
- nope; native+refugee breeding(maybe controlled in some way) and environmental change would be enough to not have breeding alone as an issue.

@Simberto: - reductio ad absurdum, impracticability doesn't exist when postulating futures.


The problem is that you are using statistics that are utterly useless when investigating what you want to investigate.

What people care about is "What is the chance that someone commits a crime on me". And what you need to look at for that are relative numbers, not absolute numbers. Absolute numbers are mostly an indicator of population size. And of course population size increases when you bring in more people.

This means that refugees increase population size, and thus increase the absolute number of crimes being committed. It is irrelevant how criminal the refugees are. If 100000 don't commit any crimes, but one little boy steals an apple, absolute crime has still gone up. But relative crime has gone down, and thus your chance of being victim of a crime has decreased. It they, on average, commit more crimes than the native population, relative crime has gone up, and your chance of being a victim of a crime has increased (Not even this is sure, because refugees are also more likely victims of crime).

And if you increase the total population through another mean, like for example, reproducing, some of the new humans will commit crimes, and that means that total crime numbers will go up. But relative crime numbers don't have to go up. And those are what is important.

This whole discussion about babies, which you absolutely don't seem to grasp, tries to explain this point to you.

Absolute crime mostly measures population size, and is not important when gouging your individual risk.
Relative crime numbers are what you should care about.
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 10 2017 11:23 GMT
#13259
On February 10 2017 19:54 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:35 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:25 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:38 Dapper_Cad wrote:
[quote]

It is for this reason that I am against human pro-creation.

Sure, new borns can't commit crimes, but that's a short sighted view. Many, many babies grow up to commit crimes later in life.
i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.


It's not hard and, ultimately, we're on the same side.

You say, rightly, that we should compare immigrant crimes to zero as any and all immigrant crimes committed add to the total number of crimes in a country (I mean it's not like an immigrant could ever prevent a crime, so we should ignore that possibility).

I agree, I am just willing to make the following reasonable assumptions:

a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.

Therefore we need to keep a close eye on native breeding and limit it as and when we can to reduce absolute levels of criminality. We all, of course, desire zero criminality, unless you think some level of criminality is desirable. Is that what you want? Do you want more criminality?

Again, I'm really struggling to see what's confusing about this.
even if i consider your argument a tangent, on that part:
- nope; native+refugee breeding(maybe controlled in some way) and environmental change would be enough to not have breeding alone as an issue.

@Simberto: - reductio ad absurdum, impracticability doesn't exist when postulating futures.


I'm not saying that breeding alone is the issue, I'm saying, again we agree on this, that absolute levels of crime is the problem. Add an immigrant, more crime, add a baby -and I'm not being racist, here, any coloured baby will do- and you inevitably add more crime, it just takes a little longer.

And as long as we're talking about controlling breeding "in some way", I've an idea that should keep the hippies happy: Aggressive promotion of homosexuality. Some sort of advertising blitz maybe? Tax breaks for interior decorators and makers of musical theatre? That sort of thing.

[B]On February 10 2017 19:44 Laurens wrote:
Show nested quote +
a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.


Bro how do you still not get this. Grown up natives are still natives, and we're happy with native crime.
No need to cull any babies because "native crimes happen regardless", that's XMZ's starting point.


This makes no sense to me, but as long as we're here:

[image loading]

I'm thinking anyone whose skin is on the Toffee Crunch row and below could be included in crime statistics - with the possible exception of the Koala Bear column up to Witch Hazel.
But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-10 11:30:37
February 10 2017 11:30 GMT
#13260
On February 10 2017 20:14 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2017 19:54 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:35 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:25 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:19 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:17 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:15 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 19:11 xM(Z wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:51 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 10 2017 18:41 xM(Z wrote:
[quote]i don't get it; or rather, how does it relates to what i said?.


I don't get how you don't get it.

Immigrants commit crimes as soon as their barbarous feet stumble onto sacred European soil. Babies, of any and all extractions, are exactly the same, it just takes longer.
i totally disagree with that part. there are a lot of predispositions, susceptibilities, traits(yes, even behavioral) coming directly from nature; not everything is nurture as you make it out to be(but that's a different topic).


So you know how to raise / genetically alter babies so that as adults they are guaranteed to commit zero crimes? Does this wondrous technique have a name?
first you study if it's heritable ...
you know, instead of assuming things.


I am assuming that any large sample of human beings of any race/creed/religion will contain individuals that, at some point in their lives, contravene the laws of any given modern nation state. Was this too much?
it's to vague, pointless to argue. laws differ, people differ, populations differ, environments differs.
unless you have statistics spread across populations, environments, cultures, legal systems ... i'm done here; to many ifs and buts even for me.


It's not hard and, ultimately, we're on the same side.

You say, rightly, that we should compare immigrant crimes to zero as any and all immigrant crimes committed add to the total number of crimes in a country (I mean it's not like an immigrant could ever prevent a crime, so we should ignore that possibility).

I agree, I am just willing to make the following reasonable assumptions:

a. Native born populations breed.
b. The results of this breeding grow up.
c. Greater that 0% of these grown up natives commit crimes.

Therefore we need to keep a close eye on native breeding and limit it as and when we can to reduce absolute levels of criminality. We all, of course, desire zero criminality, unless you think some level of criminality is desirable. Is that what you want? Do you want more criminality?

Again, I'm really struggling to see what's confusing about this.
even if i consider your argument a tangent, on that [b] part:
- nope; native+refugee breeding(maybe controlled in some way) and environmental change would be enough to not have breeding alone as an issue.

@Simberto: - reductio ad absurdum, impracticability doesn't exist when postulating futures.


The problem is that you are using statistics that are utterly useless when investigating what you want to investigate.

What people care about is "What is the chance that someone commits a crime on me". And what you need to look at for that are relative numbers, not absolute numbers. Absolute numbers are mostly an indicator of population size. And of course population size increases when you bring in more people.

This means that refugees increase population size, and thus increase the absolute number of crimes being committed. It is irrelevant how criminal the refugees are. If 100000 don't commit any crimes, but one little boy steals an apple, absolute crime has still gone up. But relative crime has gone down, and thus your chance of being victim of a crime has decreased. It they, on average, commit more crimes than the native population, relative crime has gone up, and your chance of being a victim of a crime has increased (Not even this is sure, because refugees are also more likely victims of crime).

And if you increase the total population through another mean, like for example, reproducing, some of the new humans will commit crimes, and that means that total crime numbers will go up. But relative crime numbers don't have to go up. And those are what is important.

This whole discussion about babies, which you absolutely don't seem to grasp, tries to explain this point to you.

Absolute crime mostly measures population size, and is not important when gouging your individual risk.
Relative crime numbers are what you should care about.
that is missing the point and i claimed that in my first reply. babies come one at the time and statistically(in some cases) less than one in a lifetime.

nothing absurd there just something completely different. to link it to my posts he needs to have statistics on heritability.

And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
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